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Empirical Analysis of Investors’ Herding Behaviours during the Market Structural Changes and Crisis Events: Evidence from Thailand 市场结构变化与危机事件中投资者羊群行为的实证分析:来自泰国的证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-09-30 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1821746
B. Jirasakuldech, Riza Emekter
ABSTRACT This study investigates herding behaviour of investors in Thailand under different market conditions, crisis periods, and major market structural changes. The results show that herding behaviour occurs during an extreme market movement of negative or positive returns, in the declining market environment, on days with high trading volume, and during economic downturn as measured by negative GDP output gap. The structural break point analysis and rolling regression technique further shows that herding behaviour gathered heavily around 1997 Asian crisis. The establishments of internet trading platform, bond electronic trading exchange, and future electronic exchanges in Thailand do not make investors herd.
摘要本研究考察了泰国投资者在不同市场条件、危机时期和主要市场结构变化下的羊群行为。结果表明,羊群行为发生在负回报或正回报的极端市场运动中,在市场环境下降时,在交易量高的日子里,以及在经济低迷时期(以负GDP产出缺口衡量)。结构断点分析和滚动回归技术进一步表明,羊群行为在1997年亚洲金融危机前后大量聚集。泰国互联网交易平台、债券电子交易交易所和未来电子交易所的建立并没有让投资者趋之若鹜。
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引用次数: 5
The Dynamics of Private Sector Development in Natural Resource Dependent Countries 自然资源依赖型国家私营部门发展的动态
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-09-16 DOI: 10.1080/1226508x.2020.1821745
Goran M. Muhamad, A. Heshmati, Nabaz T. Khayyat
ABSTRACT This paper discusses the role of private sector development in overcoming the challenges of the resource curse. It identifies the developmental factors in the private sector in natural resource dependent countries by adapting a dynamic flexible adjustment model. Its empirical results are based on panel data from 110 natural resource producers in developed, developing, and emerging countries during the period 1990–2017. The findings show that natural resource rents can foster private sector development, and the speed of adjustment towards the target level of development is faster in oil and gas exporting countries.
本文讨论了私营部门发展在克服资源诅咒挑战中的作用。它通过采用动态灵活的调整模式,确定了依赖自然资源的国家私营部门的发展因素。其实证结果基于1990年至2017年期间来自发达国家、发展中国家和新兴国家110个自然资源生产国的面板数据。研究结果表明,自然资源租金可以促进私营部门的发展,石油和天然气出口国向目标发展水平调整的速度更快。
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引用次数: 6
Trade Liberalisation, Technology Import, and Indian Manufacturing Exports 贸易自由化、技术进口与印度制造业出口
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-07-25 DOI: 10.1080/1226508x.2020.1798267
R. Rijesh
ABSTRACT The study examines the impact of embodied (capital goods) and disembodied (royalties, technical fees etc.) technology import on Indian manufacturing exports during 1995-2016. The panel econometric analysis based on OLS, RE, FGLS, and Tobit regression revealed a significant impact of both forms of technology purchase on overall manufacturing exports. The use-based classification of manufacturing revealed that the embodied technology facilitated the exports of intermediate and capital goods while the disembodied technology helped theexports of consumer goods and capital goods. In all cases, the impact of technology import on the exports of basic goods is negligible. We also find a statistically significant impact of R&D on Indian exports.
摘要:本研究考察了1995-2016年印度制造业出口的具体(资本货物)和非具体(特许权使用费、技术费用等)技术进口的影响。基于OLS、RE、FGLS和Tobit回归的面板计量分析显示,两种形式的技术购买对整体制造业出口都有显著影响。基于使用的制造业分类表明,具体化技术促进了中间产品和资本品的出口,而非具体化技术促进了消费品和资本品的出口。在所有情况下,技术进口对基本商品出口的影响是微不足道的。我们还发现研发对印度出口的统计显著影响。
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引用次数: 5
Do Institutional Investors Improve Corporate Governance Quality? Evidence From the Blockholdings of the Korean National Pension Service 机构投资者是否提高了公司治理质量?从韩国国民年金公团持股的证据来看
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-07-22 DOI: 10.1080/1226508x.2020.1798268
C. Chung, Dongnyoung Kim, Junyoup Lee
ABSTRACT Institutional investors dissatisfied with weak firm governance can directly or indirectly intervene in management to maximise profits. However, no study has investigated the effects of such interventions on corporate governance. This study therefore examines the effect of Korean National Pension Service blockholdings on firms’ corporate governance quality in the Korean market. This setting is interesting because the market is dominated by chaebols, which have ineffective internal governance mechanisms. We find that blockholdings reduce corporate governance quality under various endogeneity checks and empirical models; this finding in an emerging market implies that regulatory authorities should support institutional blockholders’ active market participation.
对公司治理不力不满的机构投资者可以直接或间接地干预管理层以实现利润最大化。然而,目前还没有研究调查这些干预措施对公司治理的影响。因此,本研究考察了韩国国民养老金制度对韩国市场公司治理质量的影响。这种情况很有意思,因为市场由内部治理机制无效的财阀主导。在各种内生性检验和实证模型下,我们发现区块控股降低了公司治理质量;新兴市场的这一发现意味着监管当局应该支持机构大股东积极参与市场。
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引用次数: 7
Presidential Marketing: Trade Promotion Effects of State Visits 总统营销:国事访问的贸易促进效应
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1792329
Eugene Beaulieu, Zeng Lian, Shan Wan
ABSTRACT This paper studies the trade promotion effects of state visits paid by Chinese political leaders by analyzing China’s trade flow with 184 countries between 1998 and 2014. International events are used to instrument state visits. The results find that trade promotion effects come two years after the visits. Moreover, the promotion effects are biased towards the industries and firms with connections to the government. Trade barriers offset the promotion effects of state visits.
摘要本文通过分析1998 - 2014年中国与184个国家的贸易流量,研究了中国政治领导人国事访问的贸易促进效应。国际活动被用作国事访问的工具。结果发现,贸易促进效应在访问两年后才会显现。此外,促进效应偏向于与政府有联系的行业和企业。贸易壁垒抵消了国事访问的促进作用。
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引用次数: 3
Does Expropriation of Large Shareholders Change Corporate Investment Behaviors? Evidence from Chinese Listed Companies 大股东被征收是否会改变公司的投资行为?来自中国上市公司的证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1792330
Jinqing Zhang, Hui Chen, Yunbi An
ABSTRACT This paper presents a three-period dynamic model establishing the expropriation-investment relation for firms with financing constraints. Focusing on Chinese listed companies, we find that firms with less tight financing constraints overinvest before expropriation if the intended expropriation level is below a threshold, and underinvest if otherwise, while expropriation in these firms does not impact inefficient investment during and after expropriation even after relevant sanctions are imposed. We also find that expropriation in firms with tight financing constraints has no significant impacts on inefficient investment before expropriation, but further tightens firms’ financing constraints during and after expropriation, leading to underinvestment.
摘要本文建立了融资约束下企业征用-投资关系的三周期动态模型。以中国上市公司为研究对象,我们发现融资约束较宽松的公司,如果预期征收水平低于某一阈值,则在征收前过度投资,如果预期征收水平低于某一阈值,则投资不足,而这些公司的征收即使在征收期间和征收后也不会影响低效率投资。融资约束较紧的企业征收对征收前的低效率投资没有显著影响,但征收期间和征收后的企业融资约束进一步收紧,导致投资不足。
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引用次数: 1
The Empirical Analysis on the Import and Export Technology Effect of Agricultural FDI in China 中国农业FDI进出口技术效应实证分析
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1792327
Zhihui Wen, Lijuan Zhuang, Rixin Zhang
ABSTRACT The paper analyzes the formative mechanism of the import and export technology effect, the trade contribution and squeezing effect on technology of agricultural FDI, and further regionally discusses this issue in China. The contribution of agricultural FDI to the import and export of agricultural products is remarkable. The agricultural FDI and growth rate of international trade had crowding out effects on domestic agricultural investment. There is a significant positive correlation in the study of regional technical spillover. Agricultural FDI investment enhances the ability of agricultural research and development, to produce technology spillover. Midwest regional technology spillover is not obvious.
本文分析了进出口技术效应的形成机制、农业对外直接投资对技术的贸易贡献和挤压效应,并在此基础上进一步在中国进行区域研究。农业FDI对农产品进出口的贡献是显著的。农业FDI和国际贸易增长率对国内农业投资具有挤出效应。区域技术溢出研究存在显著的正相关关系。农业FDI投资增强了农业研发能力,产生了技术溢出效应。中西部地区技术溢出不明显。
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引用次数: 8
Brexit and Asian Exports: A Value Chains Perspective 英国脱欧与亚洲出口:价值链视角
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1792328
T. Long
ABSTRACT The UK departure from EU (Brexit) has profound economic implications for all countries engaged in the global value chains. Using a new decomposition approach, this study examines the position of Asian exports in the EU27-UK supply chains trade. We find that total Asian VA embedded in the EU27-UK supply chains trade increased during 2000–2014, mostly due to the emergence of China. Although Japan’s position in the EU27-UK supply chains trade declined, her positions in the supply chains trade between EU27 (the UK) and all EU27’s (the UK’s) trading partners have increased. Some Asian industries, including computer and electronic and electrical equipment or textile and garment apparel, may affect heavily due the EU27-UK trade disruptions.
英国脱欧对所有参与全球价值链的国家都具有深远的经济影响。本研究采用一种新的分解方法,考察了亚洲出口在欧盟-英国供应链贸易中的地位。我们发现,在2000-2014年期间,嵌入欧盟-英国供应链贸易中的亚洲总增加值有所增加,这主要是由于中国的出现。尽管日本在欧盟27国-英国供应链贸易中的地位有所下降,但她在欧盟27国(英国)和所有欧盟27国(英国)贸易伙伴之间的供应链贸易中的地位有所上升。由于欧盟与英国的贸易中断,一些亚洲行业,包括计算机、电子和电气设备、纺织和服装,可能受到严重影响。
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引用次数: 0
Public Safe Assets Determination 公共安全资产判定
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-06-08 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1748083
L. Hung
ABSTRACT On a sample of 150 economies, we characterise the safety of public debt by both ordinary least square and instrument variable regressions. For demand analysis, the public debt is safer for a larger financial market size, a higher financial development level, a lower inflation rate and greater political stability. For supply analysis, the safety of debt improves for a huger debt stock in economies with high income per capita but deteriorates in economies with low income per capita. Cases studies record that, compared with the prediction by economic fundamentals, the investors overestimate the debt safety of China but underestimate that of Greece and Japan.
在150个经济体的样本中,我们通过普通最小二乘法和工具变量回归来表征公共债务的安全性。从需求分析来看,金融市场规模越大,金融发展水平越高,通货膨胀率越低,政治越稳定,公债越安全。从供给分析来看,在人均收入高的经济体中,债务存量越大,债务的安全性就会提高,而在人均收入低的经济体中,债务的安全性就会恶化。案例研究表明,与经济基本面预测相比,投资者高估了中国的债务安全,而低估了希腊和日本的债务安全。
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引用次数: 2
Does Geographic Proximity Matter in Active Monitoring? Evidence from Institutional Blockholder Monitoring of Corporate Governance in the Korean Market 地理邻近对主动监测有影响吗?韩国市场机构股东监督公司治理的证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2019.1699846
K. Lee, C. Chung, Justin D. Morscheck
ABSTRACT We examine institutional blockholders’ active monitoring influence using a proprietary corporate governance score (CGS) provided by the Korea Corporate Governance Service (KCGS). We find that institutional blockholders effectively exert monitoring influence to improve CSG scores of investee firms. The evidence of effective monitoring is particularly evident for domestic institutional blockholders and is strongest in the shareholder rights category of the CSG score. Consistent with domestic blockholders having an informational advantage over their foreign counterparts, the evidence of active monitoring is stronger (weaker) in firms with lower (higher) earnings management (higher information quality) and for firms with lower (higher) stock liquidity. Our robust findings shed light on the specific monitoring role of institutional blockholders in emerging markets, where sound corporate governance is essential to firms’ long-term sustainability.
我们使用韩国公司治理服务(KCGS)提供的专有公司治理评分(CGS)来检验机构大股东的积极监督影响。研究发现,机构大股东有效地发挥了监督作用,提高了被投资企业的企业社会责任得分。有效监督的证据在国内机构大股东身上尤为明显,在CSG评分的股东权利类别中最为明显。与国内股东比外国股东具有信息优势一致,在盈余管理较低(较高)(信息质量较高)的公司和股票流动性较低(较高)的公司中,主动监控的证据更强(较弱)。我们强有力的研究结果揭示了机构股东在新兴市场的具体监督作用,在新兴市场,健全的公司治理对公司的长期可持续性至关重要。
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引用次数: 4
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Global Economic Review
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