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Local Multipliers in New Firm Creation: Inter-Sectoral Spillovers of Entrepreneurship and Startup Agglomeration 新企业创建中的地方乘数:企业家精神和初创企业集聚的部门间溢出效应
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-18 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2021.1874465
Jungho Kim
ABSTRACT This paper investigates the local multiplier effects in new firm creation by analysing a unique panel dataset of new firms and patents at the regional level in Australia. It finds that new firms in the tradable sector such as low-technology manufacturing and knowledge-intensive services industries have local multiplier effects on new firm creation in the non-tradable sector such as other services industries. It also shows that the local multiplier effect in new firm creation exists between manufacturing and knowledge-intensive services industries in the tradable sector. The local multipliers are greater in regions with more patents than in other regions.
摘要本文通过分析澳大利亚地区新企业和专利的独特面板数据集,研究了新企业创建中的地方乘数效应。研究发现,低技术制造业和知识密集型服务业等可贸易部门的新企业对其他服务业等非贸易部门的新企业创建具有局部乘数效应。研究还表明,在贸易部门中,制造业和知识密集型服务业之间存在新企业创建的本地乘数效应。专利数量多的地区的局部乘数大于其他地区。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Covid-19 Induced Decline in Consumer Durables and Mobility on NO2 Emission in Europe 新冠肺炎导致欧洲耐用消费品和流动性下降对二氧化氮排放的影响
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2021.1877562
Syed Hasanat Shah, W. Ameer, Guo Wei Jiao, Azka Amin
ABSTRACT This study explores links between NO2 emission and Covid-19 induced decline in consumption and mobility in Europe by using satellite images and various indices. This study discovered that strict lockdown in the wake of Covid-19 reduced consumption and mobility and thus, paved way for decline in NO2 emission in Europe. Satellite images show that NO2 emission is low in countries with strict bans on mobility. Similarly, decline in consumption is correlated in NO2 emission. This shows that despite its adverse socio-economic impact, Covid-19 is a blessing in disguise for environment, at least in short-run.
摘要:本研究利用卫星图像和各种指数,探讨了二氧化氮排放与新冠肺炎引发的欧洲消费和流动性下降之间的联系。该研究发现,新冠肺炎后的严格封锁减少了消费和流动性,从而为欧洲二氧化氮排放的下降铺平了道路。卫星图像显示,在严格禁止出行的国家,二氧化氮的排放量很低。同样,消费量的下降与二氧化氮的排放相关。这表明,尽管新冠肺炎对社会经济产生了不利影响,但至少在短期内,它对环境来说是因祸得福。
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引用次数: 1
Family Formation and Dissolution During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence From South Korea COVID-19大流行期间的家庭形成和解散:来自韩国的证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2021.1874466
Jinho Kim, Taehoon Kim
ABSTRACT This study explores the short-term effects of COVID-19 on marriage and divorce rates in Korea. We document a 9.6–13.9% reduction in the provincial crude marriage rate in March-June 2020 after the surge in COVID-19 cases. On top of this overall decline, a one-unit increase in the number of confirmed cases per 1,000 people in a given province decreased the marriage rate by 3.8–6.2%. The crude divorce rate decreases by 3.2–7.1% after the surge of COVID-19. Our results imply that the decline in marriage rates due to COVID-19 can lead to a significant decrease in fertility rates in the near future.
本研究探讨了COVID-19对韩国婚姻和离婚率的短期影响。我们发现,在2019冠状病毒病病例激增后,2020年3月至6月,省级粗婚率下降了9.6-13.9%。在总体下降的基础上,一个省份每1000人中每增加一个单位的确诊病例,结婚率就会下降3.8%至6.2%。新冠肺炎疫情激增后,粗离婚率下降了3.2-7.1%。我们的研究结果表明,COVID-19导致的结婚率下降可能导致不久的将来生育率大幅下降。
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引用次数: 12
The Macroeconomic Consequences of Stimulating Offline Consumption during COVID-19 COVID-19期间刺激线下消费的宏观经济后果
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2021.1875868
D. Kim, Minseung Kim, Myungkyu Shim
ABSTRACT This paper analyses the macroeconomic consequences of a fiscal policy implemented in South Korea during COVID-19, ‘Korean Economic Impact Payment (KEIP)’ program, that aims to stimulate offline consumption. In doing so, we modify a SIR-macro model by explicitly distinguishing online- and offline consumption goods. Benchmark analysis predicts that (1) there are positive effects on key macro variables at the impact while progress of the epidemic hardly changes and (2) the transfer multiplier from the KEIP is estimated to be about 0.5 at the impact, a value with what we expect from the usual neo-classical business cycle model.
本文分析了韩国在2019冠状病毒病期间实施的财政政策“韩国经济影响支付”(Korea Economic Impact Payment, KEIP)计划的宏观经济后果,该计划旨在刺激线下消费。在此过程中,我们通过明确区分线上和线下消费品来修改sir宏观模型。基准分析预测:(1)在疫情进程几乎没有变化的情况下,疫情对关键宏观变量产生了积极影响;(2)在疫情发生时,KEIP的转移乘数估计约为0.5,这个值与通常的新古典经济周期模型的预期值一致。
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引用次数: 3
How Main Stock Exchange Indices React to Covid-19 Pandemic: Daily Evidence from East Asian Countries 主要证券交易所指数如何应对Covid-19大流行:来自东亚国家的每日证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508x.2020.1869055
M. Kartal, Serpil Kılıç Depren, Özer Depren
ABSTRACT This study investigates whether the Covid-19 and the financial indicators affect the main stock exchange indices of East Asian countries. Number of cases and deaths caused by Covid-19, uncertainty, volatility, foreign exchanges, and mobility are examined by using Quantile Regression and comparing the pre-pandemic and the pandemic periods. The results shows that (i) the indicators have a significant negative impact as expected; (ii) the impact of mobility and pandemic indicators has significance in the trend of the indices whereas they differentiate among countries; (iii) the impact of the variables is significantly differentiated from the low level to the high level.
摘要本研究探讨新冠肺炎疫情和金融指标是否影响东亚国家主要证券交易所指数。通过使用分位数回归并比较大流行前和大流行期间,研究了Covid-19引起的病例数和死亡人数、不确定性、波动性、外汇和流动性。结果表明:(1)各指标与预期一样具有显著的负向影响;㈡流动性和大流行病指标的影响对指数的趋势具有重要意义,但它们在各国之间有所不同;(3)变量的影响从低水平到高水平有显著差异。
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引用次数: 24
Finance and Productivity Growth: Evidence from China 金融与生产率增长:来自中国的证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-22 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1863833
Yong Ma, Han Zhang
ABSTRACT This paper examines the effects of finance on total factor productivity (TFP) growth based on panel data of 30 Chinese provinces from 2000 to 2016. We find that financial volatility has a significantly negative effect on TFP growth while the effect of financial development on TFP growth is nonlinear and inverted U-shaped. Further analysis shows that the effect of financial volatility on TFP growth is strengthened during boom periods of financial and business cycle but weakened during the bust periods. We also find that better developed financial systems are more capable of absorbing financial and business cycle shocks.
本文基于2000 - 2016年中国30个省份的面板数据,考察了金融对全要素生产率增长的影响。研究发现,金融波动对TFP增长具有显著的负向影响,而金融发展对TFP增长的影响呈非线性倒u型。进一步分析表明,金融波动对全要素生产率增长的影响在金融周期繁荣期和经济周期萧条期增强,而在经济周期萧条期减弱。我们还发现,较发达的金融体系吸收金融和商业周期冲击的能力更强。
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引用次数: 3
The Effect of Non-Tariff Measures on Global Value Chain Participation 非关税措施对全球价值链参与的影响
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-18 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1862694
Upalat Korwatanasakul, Youngmin Baek
ABSTRACT This study takes a novel approach by using an additional compliance requirement indicator as a relative proxy for non-tariff measures (NTMs) to measure the impact of NTMs on global value chain (GVC) participation. We conduct a cross-sectional analysis at the industry level, spanning 30 countries with 19 industrial sectors in the year 2015. Our analysis finds that both NTMs and tariffs have negative impacts on backward GVC participation, and the impact of NTMs is greater than that of tariff measures. Therefore, policies that reduce trade costs from policy barriers, especially NTMs, can help promote participation in GVCs.
本研究采用了一种新颖的方法,通过使用额外的合规要求指标作为非关税措施(ntm)的相对代理来衡量ntm对全球价值链(GVC)参与的影响。我们在行业层面进行了横断面分析,涵盖了2015年30个国家的19个行业。我们的分析发现,非关税措施和关税措施对落后的全球价值链参与都有负面影响,且非关税措施的影响大于关税措施的影响。因此,降低政策壁垒造成的贸易成本的政策,特别是非关税措施,有助于促进全球价值链的参与。
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引用次数: 6
Changes in Demographic, Social, and Economic Structure in North Korea and Policy Direction for Improving Residential Environment 朝鲜人口、社会和经济结构的变化与改善居住环境的政策方向
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-16 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1862691
Jiseob Kim, Min-Jae Kwak
ABSTRACT This paper analyses structural changes in demographic, social, and economic conditions in North Korea and draws policy implications on housing supply and residential environment. Demographic and social structures in North Korea, such as population aging, low fertility rate, and increases in nuclear families, are changing, just as many developed countries have experienced. At the same time, there is a high demand for house and infrastructure redevelopment. Meanwhile, there are significant differences in household wealth, living infrastructure, and family compositions across North Korean provinces. Hence, policymakers in North Korea must take into account such regional heterogeneities when they consider the house supply and residential improvement policies.
本文分析了朝鲜人口、社会和经济状况的结构性变化,并得出了住房供应和居住环境的政策含义。与发达国家一样,北韩的高龄化、低生育率、核心家庭增加等人口结构和社会结构正在发生变化。与此同时,对房屋和基础设施重建的需求也很高。与此同时,朝鲜各省份在家庭财富、生活基础设施和家庭组成方面存在显著差异。因此,朝鲜的政策制定者在考虑住房供应和住宅改善政策时,必须考虑到这种地区异质性。
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引用次数: 0
Cooperation in Revision Games and Some Applications 复习游戏中的合作及一些应用
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1080/1226508x.2020.1836783
Yuichiro Kamada, Michihiro Kandori
ABSTRACT The present paper provides some examples that illustrate how cooperation is achieved among rational and selfish agents when (i) they prepare their actions in advance and (ii) they have some opportunities to revise their actions. Specifically, we use the framework of revision games introduced by Kamada and Kandori [(2020). “Revision Games.” Econometrica 88: 1599–1630]. To judge the sustainability of cooperation in the examples, we show and utilise a simple and useful lemma.
本文提供了一些例子,说明了当(i)理性和自私的行为者事先准备好他们的行为,(ii)他们有一些机会修改他们的行为时,他们是如何实现合作的。具体来说,我们使用了Kamada和Kandori[(2020)]引入的复习游戏框架。“修改游戏。”计量经济学[j]。为了判断例子中合作的可持续性,我们展示并利用了一个简单而有用的引理。
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引用次数: 3
Special Publication by the R. K. Cho Economics Prize Recipient 赵r.k.经济学奖得主的特别出版物
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1080/1226508x.2020.1838088
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Global Economic Review
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