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Presidential Marketing: Trade Promotion Effects of State Visits 总统营销:国事访问的贸易促进效应
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1792329
Eugene Beaulieu, Zeng Lian, Shan Wan
ABSTRACT This paper studies the trade promotion effects of state visits paid by Chinese political leaders by analyzing China’s trade flow with 184 countries between 1998 and 2014. International events are used to instrument state visits. The results find that trade promotion effects come two years after the visits. Moreover, the promotion effects are biased towards the industries and firms with connections to the government. Trade barriers offset the promotion effects of state visits.
摘要本文通过分析1998 - 2014年中国与184个国家的贸易流量,研究了中国政治领导人国事访问的贸易促进效应。国际活动被用作国事访问的工具。结果发现,贸易促进效应在访问两年后才会显现。此外,促进效应偏向于与政府有联系的行业和企业。贸易壁垒抵消了国事访问的促进作用。
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引用次数: 3
The Empirical Analysis on the Import and Export Technology Effect of Agricultural FDI in China 中国农业FDI进出口技术效应实证分析
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1792327
Zhihui Wen, Lijuan Zhuang, Rixin Zhang
ABSTRACT The paper analyzes the formative mechanism of the import and export technology effect, the trade contribution and squeezing effect on technology of agricultural FDI, and further regionally discusses this issue in China. The contribution of agricultural FDI to the import and export of agricultural products is remarkable. The agricultural FDI and growth rate of international trade had crowding out effects on domestic agricultural investment. There is a significant positive correlation in the study of regional technical spillover. Agricultural FDI investment enhances the ability of agricultural research and development, to produce technology spillover. Midwest regional technology spillover is not obvious.
本文分析了进出口技术效应的形成机制、农业对外直接投资对技术的贸易贡献和挤压效应,并在此基础上进一步在中国进行区域研究。农业FDI对农产品进出口的贡献是显著的。农业FDI和国际贸易增长率对国内农业投资具有挤出效应。区域技术溢出研究存在显著的正相关关系。农业FDI投资增强了农业研发能力,产生了技术溢出效应。中西部地区技术溢出不明显。
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引用次数: 8
Brexit and Asian Exports: A Value Chains Perspective 英国脱欧与亚洲出口:价值链视角
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1792328
T. Long
ABSTRACT The UK departure from EU (Brexit) has profound economic implications for all countries engaged in the global value chains. Using a new decomposition approach, this study examines the position of Asian exports in the EU27-UK supply chains trade. We find that total Asian VA embedded in the EU27-UK supply chains trade increased during 2000–2014, mostly due to the emergence of China. Although Japan’s position in the EU27-UK supply chains trade declined, her positions in the supply chains trade between EU27 (the UK) and all EU27’s (the UK’s) trading partners have increased. Some Asian industries, including computer and electronic and electrical equipment or textile and garment apparel, may affect heavily due the EU27-UK trade disruptions.
英国脱欧对所有参与全球价值链的国家都具有深远的经济影响。本研究采用一种新的分解方法,考察了亚洲出口在欧盟-英国供应链贸易中的地位。我们发现,在2000-2014年期间,嵌入欧盟-英国供应链贸易中的亚洲总增加值有所增加,这主要是由于中国的出现。尽管日本在欧盟27国-英国供应链贸易中的地位有所下降,但她在欧盟27国(英国)和所有欧盟27国(英国)贸易伙伴之间的供应链贸易中的地位有所上升。由于欧盟与英国的贸易中断,一些亚洲行业,包括计算机、电子和电气设备、纺织和服装,可能受到严重影响。
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引用次数: 0
Public Safe Assets Determination 公共安全资产判定
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-06-08 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1748083
L. Hung
ABSTRACT On a sample of 150 economies, we characterise the safety of public debt by both ordinary least square and instrument variable regressions. For demand analysis, the public debt is safer for a larger financial market size, a higher financial development level, a lower inflation rate and greater political stability. For supply analysis, the safety of debt improves for a huger debt stock in economies with high income per capita but deteriorates in economies with low income per capita. Cases studies record that, compared with the prediction by economic fundamentals, the investors overestimate the debt safety of China but underestimate that of Greece and Japan.
在150个经济体的样本中,我们通过普通最小二乘法和工具变量回归来表征公共债务的安全性。从需求分析来看,金融市场规模越大,金融发展水平越高,通货膨胀率越低,政治越稳定,公债越安全。从供给分析来看,在人均收入高的经济体中,债务存量越大,债务的安全性就会提高,而在人均收入低的经济体中,债务的安全性就会恶化。案例研究表明,与经济基本面预测相比,投资者高估了中国的债务安全,而低估了希腊和日本的债务安全。
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引用次数: 2
Does Geographic Proximity Matter in Active Monitoring? Evidence from Institutional Blockholder Monitoring of Corporate Governance in the Korean Market 地理邻近对主动监测有影响吗?韩国市场机构股东监督公司治理的证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2019.1699846
K. Lee, C. Chung, Justin D. Morscheck
ABSTRACT We examine institutional blockholders’ active monitoring influence using a proprietary corporate governance score (CGS) provided by the Korea Corporate Governance Service (KCGS). We find that institutional blockholders effectively exert monitoring influence to improve CSG scores of investee firms. The evidence of effective monitoring is particularly evident for domestic institutional blockholders and is strongest in the shareholder rights category of the CSG score. Consistent with domestic blockholders having an informational advantage over their foreign counterparts, the evidence of active monitoring is stronger (weaker) in firms with lower (higher) earnings management (higher information quality) and for firms with lower (higher) stock liquidity. Our robust findings shed light on the specific monitoring role of institutional blockholders in emerging markets, where sound corporate governance is essential to firms’ long-term sustainability.
我们使用韩国公司治理服务(KCGS)提供的专有公司治理评分(CGS)来检验机构大股东的积极监督影响。研究发现,机构大股东有效地发挥了监督作用,提高了被投资企业的企业社会责任得分。有效监督的证据在国内机构大股东身上尤为明显,在CSG评分的股东权利类别中最为明显。与国内股东比外国股东具有信息优势一致,在盈余管理较低(较高)(信息质量较高)的公司和股票流动性较低(较高)的公司中,主动监控的证据更强(较弱)。我们强有力的研究结果揭示了机构股东在新兴市场的具体监督作用,在新兴市场,健全的公司治理对公司的长期可持续性至关重要。
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引用次数: 4
Exclusionary Effects of Internal Transactions of Large Business Groups 大企业集团内部交易的排他性效应
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-26 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1745085
Yangsoo Jin
ABSTRACT Antitrust law in Korea regulates internal transactions by the owner and his family, or ‘Person with Special Interest (PSI)’ of a large business group. Its regulatory grounds, however, are not well-established. This paper analyses internal transactions from the perspective of competition policy, particularly, exclusionary effects. Internal transactions between the upstream- and downstream-affiliates of a business group shrink the size of the upstream market and hence squeeze the profitability of potential entrants. Thus, it may exclude the entrants which, absent the transactions, would enter the market and contribute to consumers. In addition, it may lead to a breach of the fiduciary duty of PSI. We provide some policy implications by analysing the optimal behaviour of PSI.
韩国的反垄断法对大型企业集团的所有者及其家族或“特殊利害关系人(PSI)”的内部交易进行监管。然而,它的监管基础并不完善。本文从竞争政策的角度分析了内部交易,特别是排他性效应。企业集团上下游子公司之间的内部交易缩小了上游市场的规模,从而挤压了潜在进入者的盈利能力。因此,它可能会排除那些在没有交易的情况下进入市场并为消费者做出贡献的进入者。此外,这有可能导致PSI的信义义务的违反。我们通过分析PSI的最佳行为提供了一些政策含义。
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引用次数: 3
Will Increasing Tariffs on China Really Bring the Manufacturing Plants Back to the U.S.? 对中国加征关税真的会让制造业工厂回到美国吗?
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-23 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1744464
Lei Wang, G. Hewings
ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether the recent rise in tariffs on goods produced in China will lead processing trade manufacturing plants now located in China to delocate to the U.S. By using a hypothetical extraction method and examining the global value chains of income, we compare the factor payments in the Chinese and U.S. manufacturing sectors. Our estimates indicate that the average tariff rate necessary to move the processing trade firms is 48.15%, i.e. well above the current 25% rate. However, the average tariff rate needed for shifting China's processing plants to Mexico decease to 20.32%.
摘要:本文探讨了近期中国产品关税的提高是否会导致目前位于中国的加工贸易制造工厂迁往美国。本文采用假设的提取方法,并考察了全球收入价值链,比较了中美制造业部门的要素支付。我们的估计表明,转移加工贸易公司所需的平均关税税率为48.15%,即远高于目前25%的税率。然而,将中国加工厂转移到墨西哥所需的平均关税税率降至20.32%。
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引用次数: 3
Productivity Growth in Dynamic Factor Adjustment for the Japanese Manufacturing Industry 日本制造业动态要素调整中的生产率增长
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-23 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1744466
Sangho Kim
ABSTRACT By utilising a dynamic adjustment-cost framework, this study analyses dynamic productivity growth in the Japanese manufacturing industry. Empirical results show that labour and capital are very slow in converging toward the long-run equilibrium, and that output supply and factor demand elasticities vary greatly, depending on the time horizon considered. The results also show that disequilibrium effects of quasi-fixed factors are positively biased toward productivity growth measured in a static equilibrium model. The bias results largely from negative adjustment costs related to the decreasing investment in the factors. There is an almost steady decrease in returns to scale, causing negative scale effects on productivity growth.
摘要本文运用动态调整成本框架,分析了日本制造业的动态生产率增长。实证结果表明,劳动力和资本趋同于长期均衡的速度非常缓慢,产出供给和要素需求弹性根据所考虑的时间范围变化很大。结果还表明,在静态均衡模型中,准固定因素的非均衡效应正偏向于生产率增长。偏差主要来自于与要素投资减少相关的负调整成本。规模回报几乎稳步下降,对生产率增长造成负规模效应。
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引用次数: 2
Inter-Type Investment Connectedness: A New Perspective on China’s Booming Real Estate Market 跨类型投资连通性:中国繁荣房地产市场的新视角
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-20 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2020.1744465
Z. Peng, Ziliang Yu, Huifu Nong
ABSTRACT This study explores the inter-type real estate investment connectedness in China. We document that: (1) connectedness is strong and time-varying; (2) the residential investment is instrumental in the inter-type investment connectedness network; (3) the total connectedness has dropped since 2008; and (4) the November 2008 Chinese stimulus package has significantly enhanced the influence of the residential and the industrial and other real estate investments. These results reflect both the economic development strategy of Chinese local governments and the importance of central government intervention, therefore providing a new perspective to understand China's booming real estate market during the past two decades.
摘要本研究探讨了中国房地产投资的类型间连通性。我们证明:(1)连通性强且时变;(2)住宅投资对类型间投资连通性网络有促进作用;(3)自2008年以来,总连通性有所下降;(4) 2008年11月中国经济刺激计划显著增强了住宅、工业和其他房地产投资的影响力。这些结果既反映了中国地方政府的经济发展战略,也反映了中央政府干预的重要性,因此为理解过去20年中国蓬勃发展的房地产市场提供了一个新的视角。
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引用次数: 5
Financial Intermediation, Costly Information Production, and Small Industry Growth 金融中介、高成本信息生产与小产业增长
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2019.1681287
Bongseok Choi, Seon Tae Kim
ABSTRACT This paper studies the mechanism of financial intermediaries' information production and its impact on industry-level growth, especially its difference between industries that differ in the technological composition of small firms. We build a growth model in which (i) both loan contracts and production of information on borrowing firms' productivities are endogenously determined, and (ii) the smaller firm's productivity is more costly to assess. Analytic results show that the smaller firm's innately greater degree of informational opaqueness hinders its growth, especially in the early stage of a country's financial development. We provide some evidence supporting the key mechanism.
摘要本文研究了金融中介机构信息生产的机制及其对行业增长的影响,特别是在小企业技术构成不同的行业之间的差异。我们建立了一个增长模型,其中(i)贷款合同和关于借款企业生产率的信息生产都是内生决定的,(ii)较小企业的生产率评估成本更高。分析结果表明,中小企业天生的信息不透明程度越大,会阻碍其成长,尤其是在一国金融发展的早期阶段。我们提供了一些支持关键机制的证据。
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Global Economic Review
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