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Assessing Dynamic Reserves vs. Stochastic Optimization for Effective Integration of Operating Probabilistic Forecasts 动态储量评估与运行概率预测有效整合的随机优化
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-03-04 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3547561
Qin Wang;Miguel Ortega-Vazquez;Aidan Tuohy;Erik Ela;Mobolaji Bello;Daniel Kirk-Davidoff;William B. Hobbs;Vijay Kumar
Probabilistic forecasting is becoming pivotal in utilities' decision-making processes, offering an accurate portrayal of plausible forecast deviations as opposed to deterministic forecasting which only focuses on the expected forecasted variables. Two methods, dynamic reserve and stochastic optimization, have been used to integrate probabilistic forecasts into power system operational planning. Dynamic reserve predicts system reserve requirements based on observed (from historical observations) or expected (from probabilistic forecasts) uncertainty spreads. This approach has a low computational burden, but it is commitment and dispatch agnostic. Stochastic optimization, on the other hand, considers multiple scenarios simultaneously (from probabilistic forecasts), allocating recourse across the commitment and dispatch variables, but demanding high computational resources and time. The selection between these methods depends on utility requirements and specific situations. This paper conducts a comprehensive evaluation of both methods using a calibrated real-size system representing the Southern Company for medium and high solar penetration levels. Additionally, it proposes a hybrid dynamic reserve and stochastic optimization approach with a risk evaluation pre-scheduling procedure to enhance decision-making.
概率预测在公用事业的决策过程中正变得至关重要,它提供了对合理预测偏差的准确描述,而确定性预测只关注预期的预测变量。将概率预测与电力系统运行规划相结合,采用了动态储备和随机优化两种方法。动态储备根据观察到的(来自历史观察)或预期的(来自概率预测)不确定性差预测系统储备需求。这种方法具有较低的计算负担,但它与承诺和调度无关。另一方面,随机优化同时考虑多个场景(来自概率预测),在承诺和调度变量之间分配追索权,但需要高计算资源和时间。这些方法之间的选择取决于实用需求和具体情况。本文对这两种方法进行了综合评估,使用了一个校准的实际尺寸系统,代表南方公司的中高太阳能渗透水平。在此基础上,提出了一种带有风险评估预调度程序的动态储备与随机优化混合方法,以增强决策能力。
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引用次数: 0
Minimax Regret Robust Co-Planning of Transmission and Energy Storage Systems With Mixed Integer Recourse 混合整数追索权下输电与储能系统的最小最大遗憾鲁棒协同规划
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-03-04 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3547836
Ehsan Barkom;Hossein Saber;Moein Moeini-Aghtaie;Mehdi Ehsan;Mohammad Shahidehpour
The growing penetration of renewable energy sources, with intermittent and uncertain nature, brings new challenges to the secure and efficient operation of power systems. Expanding transmission networks and utilizing energy storage (ES) have been introduced as effective solutions to address these challenges. This paper presents a minimax regret robust co-planning model with mixed integer recourse for transmission and ES systems, designed from the perspective of a central planner. The model considers a polyhedral uncertainty set for future peak load growth, while uncertainties in wind farm expansion are addressed through internal scenario analysis. This approach will guarantee the robustness of investment decisions and provide the central planner with a clear picture of the maximum regret among all possible scenarios. Furthermore, the proposed minimax regret framework facilitates strategic planning for ES installation after the resolution of long-term uncertainties. In this paper, we reformulate the model into a standard min-max-min problem, in which the maximization level is only over uncertainties. Subsequently, a five-level solution strategy based on a modified nested column and constraint generation decomposition technique is represented to deal with the intractability and complexity of the problem caused by binary variables of transmission lines and ES blocks. The model is finally evaluated through comprehensive simulation studies to verify its tractability, practicality, and effectiveness.
可再生能源具有间歇性和不确定性,对电力系统的安全高效运行提出了新的挑战。扩大输电网络和利用能源存储(ES)已被引入作为应对这些挑战的有效解决方案。本文从中心规划者的角度出发,提出了一种具有混合整数资源的输电系统和ES系统的极小极大遗憾鲁棒协同规划模型。该模型考虑了未来峰值负荷增长的多面体不确定性集,而风电场扩建的不确定性则通过内部情景分析来解决。这种方法将保证投资决策的稳健性,并为中央计划者提供所有可能情景中最大遗憾的清晰图景。此外,提出的最大最小遗憾框架有助于在解决长期不确定性后对ES安装进行战略规划。在本文中,我们将该模型重新表述为一个标准的最小-最大-最小问题,其中最大化水平仅在不确定性之上。在此基础上,提出了一种基于改进嵌套列和约束生成分解技术的五层求解策略,以解决输电线路和ES块二元变量引起的问题的难解性和复杂性。最后通过综合仿真研究对模型进行了评价,验证了模型的可追溯性、实用性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Online Monitoring of Battery Degradation for Enhanced Power Smoothing of PV Power Plants 增强光伏电站功率平滑的电池退化在线监测
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-03-03 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3546996
Ammar Atif Abdalla;Mohamed Shawky El Moursi;Tarek H. M. El-Fouly;Khalifa Hassan Al Hosani
In pursuit of a carbon-neutral future, the integration of photovoltaic (PV) power plants into the electrical power grid is expanding. Although beneficial, this expansion presents challenges due to weather-induced variability, which destabilizes the grid and causes voltage and frequency deviations. A viable solution is the use of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) alongside PV power plants. However, conventional controllers, which lead to uniform and frequent charging cycles, accelerate degradation and reduce efficiency in BESS. To address this, this paper proposes segmenting the BESS units into distinct charging and discharging groups, effectively minimizing battery cycling and enhancing their lifespan. The controller dynamically assigns batteries to each group based on power fluctuation forecasts using a power-sharing model. This model manages battery activation, enables inter-group support, and balances degradation by monitoring BESS charge levels and assessing battery health through an online system. This controller, coupled with a degradation balancing layer, strategically prioritizes units based on their cycling age. The proposed technique was rigorously tested and experimentally validated, demonstrating that it significantly reduces battery degradation to a maximum of 0.099%, in stark contrast to the up to 4.41% observed with conventional controllers.
为了追求碳中和的未来,将光伏(PV)发电厂整合到电网中的做法正在扩大。尽管是有益的,但由于天气引起的可变性,这种扩张带来了挑战,这会破坏电网的稳定,并导致电压和频率偏差。一个可行的解决方案是将电池储能系统(BESS)与光伏电站一起使用。然而,传统的控制器导致均匀和频繁的充电周期,加速了电池的退化,降低了电池的效率。为了解决这个问题,本文建议将BESS单元划分为不同的充电和放电组,有效地减少电池循环并延长其使用寿命。控制器根据功率波动预测,采用功率共享模型,将电池动态分配到每组。该模型管理电池激活,实现组间支持,并通过在线系统监测BESS充电水平和评估电池健康状况来平衡电池退化。该控制器与退化平衡层相结合,根据循环年龄对单元进行战略性优先级排序。所提出的技术经过了严格的测试和实验验证,表明它可以将电池退化率显著降低到最大0.099%,与传统控制器高达4.41%的电池退化率形成鲜明对比。
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引用次数: 0
A Unified Strategy for Frequency Regulating and MPPT for Photovoltaic Sources Based on a Novel Three-Parameter Characteristic Curve 基于新型三参数特性曲线的光伏电源调频与最大功率同步策略
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-27 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3546706
Yihao Zhu;Hongda Cai;Pengcheng Yang;Yongzhi Zhou;Yanghong Xia;Wei Wei
The large-scale integration of Photovoltaic (PV) sources may reduce system inertia and power quality, resulting in increased frequency fluctuations and diminished system stability due to lack of the primary frequency regulation (FR) capability. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a unified strategy for frequency regulating and Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) for PV sources to provide ancillary services to the power grid. The strategy employs a specifically designed active power control (APC) method to enable rapid and flexible power adjustments of PV sources, with which further FR function may be achieved. The presented APC algorithm adopts an iterative technique with a novel three-parameter PV characteristic curve, making it possible to reconstruct the real-time PV generation model, clarify the relationship between the system frequency, output power, and operating voltage. Its high control accuracy, fast convergence rate, and strong explainability offer significant practical value. Additionally, this adaptive control strategy features autonomous switch between the FR and MPPT modes adapting to real-time irradiation changes, without the need for additional irradiation or temperature sensors. The integration enhances both solar utilization efficiency and the FR capability, while eliminating the controller transitions during operating mode switches. Hardware-in-the-loop tests validate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed strategy.
光伏(PV)源的大规模集成可能会降低系统惯性和电能质量,由于缺乏一次频率调节(FR)能力,导致频率波动增加,系统稳定性降低。针对这些挑战,本文提出了一种统一的光伏电源频率调节和最大功率点跟踪(MPPT)策略,为电网提供辅助服务。该策略采用专门设计的有功功率控制(APC)方法,实现光伏电源的快速、灵活的功率调节,并进一步实现FR功能。本文提出的APC算法采用迭代技术,采用新颖的三参数光伏特性曲线,可以实时重建光伏发电模型,明确系统频率、输出功率和工作电压之间的关系。其控制精度高、收敛速度快、可解释性强,具有重要的实用价值。此外,这种自适应控制策略在FR和MPPT模式之间自主切换,适应实时辐射变化,无需额外的辐射或温度传感器。该集成提高了太阳能利用效率和FR能力,同时消除了操作模式切换期间控制器的转换。硬件在环测试验证了所提策略的可行性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Decentralized Synthetic Inertia Control for Two-Area Power Systems With Wind Integration 风电一体化两区电力系统的分散综合惯性控制
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-27 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3546203
Aldo Barrueto;Hector Chavez;Karina Barbosa
Modern power systems may experience decrease in stability due to the increased integration of variable generation sources that depend on power electronics converters. A common control strategy is to incorporate synthetic inertia from wind turbines, typically using state-feedback control in a single-area power system model that assumes uniform frequency. As power systems become more interconnected, different frequency behaviors can emerge in multiple areas, casting doubt on current methods that do not consider multi-area stability. Furthermore, most single-area synthetic inertia methods ignore the limitations of communication systems in real power systems. This paper proposes a decentralized synthetic inertia control strategy for a two-area power system with wind power. This approach accounts for the actual behavior of power systems in different areas and the limitations of communication systems in real scenarios. Numerical results, derived from dynamic models using actual operating data from the Chilean Power System, demonstrate that the decentralized control performs comparably to centralized control in maintaining power system stability and optimizing frequency nadir. However, the decentralized control has the advantage of relying solely on local variables, eliminating the need for communication links between areas during operation.
由于依赖电力电子转换器的可变发电源的集成增加,现代电力系统的稳定性可能会下降。一种常见的控制策略是结合风力涡轮机的综合惯性,通常在假设均匀频率的单区域电力系统模型中使用状态反馈控制。随着电力系统的互联程度越来越高,不同的频率行为可能会在多个区域出现,这让人们对目前没有考虑多区域稳定性的方法产生了怀疑。此外,大多数单区域综合惯性方法忽略了实际电力系统中通信系统的局限性。提出了一种具有风电的两区电力系统的分散综合惯性控制策略。该方法考虑了电力系统在不同区域的实际行为和通信系统在实际场景中的局限性。利用智利电力系统实际运行数据建立的动态模型的数值计算结果表明,分散控制与集中控制在维持电力系统稳定和优化频率最低点方面具有相当的效果。然而,分散控制的优点是只依赖于局部变量,在操作过程中不需要区域之间的通信联系。
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引用次数: 0
Matrix Adaptive Correction-Based Dynamic Dimensionality Reduction Method for Voltage-Related TSCOPF in Bulk Power Systems With High Wind Power Penetration 基于矩阵自适应校正的大容量风电系统电压相关TSCOPF动态降维方法
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3545467
Lin Xue;Tao Niu;Nan Feng;Sidun Fang;Yuyao Feng;Hung Dinh Nguyen;Guanhong Chen
Transient security-constrained optimal power flow (TSCOPF) is an important class of problems for system operation. Several challenges arise when dealing with bulk power grids, including the large size and complex transient voltage behaviors. This paper aims to address such hurdles by proposing a dynamic dimensionality reduction matrix adaptive correction (DDR-MAC) algorithm, which can effectively evaluate proper Volt/Var levels to guarantee secure system operation. First, this paper performs dimensionality reduction processing at the bus and device levels to obtain a low-dimensional model with dominant modes, which solves the problems of high-order and large computational volumes of differential equations. Moreover, a dimensionality reduction error assessment model is established to ensure reduced-order accuracy. Then, the reduced-order TSCOPF model is equivalently decomposed into a mixed-integer linear optimization model and a combined coefficient correction model for system dynamic constraints and steady-state nonlinear constraints. Furthermore, a secant/tangent sensitivity adaptive correction method is presented to achieve fast computation. The DDR-MAC approach is verified across differently scaled IEEE test systems and the Nordic test system and can improve computational efficiency by 49.07% while offering higher accuracy than traditional computation methods.
暂态安全约束最优潮流(TSCOPF)是系统运行中的一类重要问题。当处理大容量电网时,会遇到一些挑战,包括大尺寸和复杂的瞬态电压行为。本文提出了一种动态降维矩阵自适应校正(DDR-MAC)算法,该算法可以有效地评估合适的电压/Var电平,以保证系统的安全运行。首先,本文在总线和器件层面进行降维处理,得到具有优势模态的低维模型,解决了微分方程高阶、计算量大的问题。建立了降维误差评估模型,保证了降阶精度。然后,将降阶TSCOPF模型等效分解为系统动态约束和稳态非线性约束的混合整数线性优化模型和组合系数修正模型。在此基础上,提出了一种割线/正切灵敏度自适应校正方法,实现了快速计算。DDR-MAC方法在不同规模的IEEE测试系统和Nordic测试系统上进行了验证,计算效率提高了49.07%,精度也比传统计算方法高。
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引用次数: 0
Torsional Vibration Analysis of Virtual-Synchronous-Controlled DFIG-Based Wind Turbines 虚拟同步控制dfig型风力发电机组扭振分析
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3544247
Dong Wang;Yajun Guo;Yunhui Huang;Keliang Zhou;Shuo Wang
The deployment of inertia control in wind turbines (WTs) is required by grid operators to support system frequency stability, while its addition also strengthens the dynamic coupling of WT's mechanical system with the electrical gird, potentially exacerbating torsional vibrations in drivetrains. Such side effect has been reported for the supplementary inertia control in the current grid-following (GFL) control frame, while for its alternative, i.e., the so-called virtual inertia control, this effect has rarely been concerned. To fill this gap, this article conducts a comprehensive study on the torsional stability for virtual-synchronous-controlled (VSynC) DFIG-based WTs. A reduced-order small-signal model considering different wind speed operating regions is firstly proposed. Then, how the paths of different controls, such as virtual inertia control, pitching control, etc., affecting the torsional mechanical/electrical torque are sorted out, and correlated loop shaping on torsional damping are investigated in detail. Through a comparative analysis with GFL scheme, we confirm that VSynC-DFIG suffers more sever torsional stability challenges due to its curtailed electrical damping contribution. Furthermore, we identify the operating conditions that are prone to instability and reveal the mechanisms by which critical control factors impact stability. Finally, hardware-in-the-loop simulations are conducted to validate the correctness of the analyses.
电网运营商需要在风力涡轮机(WTs)中部署惯性控制,以支持系统的频率稳定性,同时它的增加也加强了WT机械系统与电网的动态耦合,可能会加剧传动系统的扭转振动。对于当前电网跟随控制框架中的补充惯性控制,已经报道了这种副作用,而对于其替代方案,即所谓的虚拟惯性控制,则很少关注这种副作用。为了填补这一空白,本文对基于虚拟同步控制(VSynC) dfig的WTs扭转稳定性进行了全面的研究。首先提出了考虑不同风速工况区域的降阶小信号模型。然后,梳理了虚拟惯性控制、俯仰控制等不同控制方式对扭转机电转矩的影响路径,并详细研究了相关环形对扭转阻尼的影响。通过与GFL方案的对比分析,我们证实了VSynC-DFIG由于其电阻尼贡献的减少而受到更严重的扭转稳定性挑战。此外,我们确定了容易不稳定的操作条件,并揭示了关键控制因素影响稳定性的机制。最后,进行了硬件在环仿真,验证了分析的正确性。
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引用次数: 0
Passive Method for Estimating Fundamental Frequency Grid Impedance: Including Model and Field Verification 基频网格阻抗的被动估计方法:包括模型和现场验证
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3545342
Gabriel Miguel Gomes Guerreiro;Ranjan Sharma;Frank Martin;Nikolaus Goldenbaum;Guangya Yang
This letter presents a field-verified passive method to estimate the equivalent fundamental frequency grid impedance. The method requires reactive power, active power, and root-mean-square voltage measurements as inputs and is based on a mathematical derivation independent of the angle and frequency estimation. A thorough verification process was adopted, comprising simulations in EMT utilizing a wind turbine with actual control code, field wind turbine measurements, and an operational wind power plant where the transmission system operator agreed to change grid configurations to allow testing of the algorithm for two grid scenarios. Results show good agreement between expectations and estimation from the proposed method.
本文提出了一种经现场验证的估计等效基频网格阻抗的无源方法。该方法需要无功功率、有功功率和均方根电压测量值作为输入,并基于独立于角度和频率估计的数学推导。采用了一个彻底的验证过程,包括EMT中的模拟,利用具有实际控制代码的风力涡轮机,现场风力涡轮机测量,以及一个运行中的风力发电厂,其中传输系统运营商同意改变电网配置,以允许对两种电网方案的算法进行测试。结果表明,该方法的期望值与估计值吻合较好。
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引用次数: 0
Aggregation Feasible Region of Full Power Spectrum Electric Vehicles Based on Polyhedron Projection 基于多面体投影的电动汽车全功率谱聚集可行域
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-24 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3544640
Leidong Yuan;Qingguang Yu;Xin Yao;Min Guo
The aggregation of electric vehicles (EVs) can take full advantage of the power flexibility of EV clusters, based on the aggregation feasible region (AFR) of EVs. However, existing aggregation techniques of conventional distributed energy resources (DERs), exhibit significant inaccuracies or require excessive computational efforts when applied to EVs with high power and small capacity. To solve this problem, an iterative method based on the high dimensional polyhedron projection principle is proposed to derive the exact AFR formula for the full power spectrum of EVs, and the limitations of the existing analytical AFR are revealed. The results reveal that the exact AFR is a set of linear inequalities, whose coefficients can be represented in binary code, and the complexity of the right side is linear with the number of EVs, making it highly conducive to programming calculations. Moreover, this paper proposes a simplified practical AFR based on the exact AFR, which reduces computational complexity. Numerical simulation cases demonstrate that the accuracy of this simplified approach is still higher than that of existing methods.
基于电动汽车的聚合可行区域(AFR),实现电动汽车集群的聚合,充分利用电动汽车集群的功率灵活性。然而,现有的传统分布式能源聚合技术在应用于大功率小容量电动汽车时,表现出明显的不准确性或需要过多的计算量。为了解决这一问题,提出了一种基于高维多面体投影原理的迭代方法,推导出电动汽车全功率谱的精确AFR公式,并揭示了现有解析式AFR的局限性。结果表明,精确的AFR是一组线性不等式,其系数可以用二进制表示,且右侧的复杂度与ev数量呈线性关系,非常有利于规划计算。并在精确AFR的基础上提出了一种简化的实用AFR,降低了计算复杂度。数值模拟实例表明,该简化方法的精度仍高于现有方法。
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引用次数: 0
Deterministic Forecasts and Prediction Intervals for Wind Speed Using Enhanced Multi-Quantile Loss Based Dilated Causal Convolutions 基于增强多分位数损失的扩展因果卷积的风速确定性预测和预测区间
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-18 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3543420
Adnan Saeed;Chaoshun Li;Qiannan Zhu;Belal Ahmad
With rising wind power penetration into power systems obtaining wind speed forecasts with associated uncertainty becomes crucial for better planning and dispatch. This study proposes an enhanced multi quantile regression-based loss function specially tailored to train models to generate both deterministic forecast and the corresponding prediction intervals. Though the regression architecture of the model plays an important role in extracting precise forecasts, however, its efficiency is often ignored which may be a downside for short term forecasting scenarios where model training time may also be a significant factor. The present study therefore designed a multi-scale dilated convolution-based architecture for enhanced efficiency. The architecture generates predictions at different scales which are combined using particle swarm optimization to obtain optimal forecasts. The model is trained using the proposed loss function on datasets from both NREL simulations and operational Chinese state grid measurements across three different locations. The proposed model exhibits excellent forecasting performance in comparative experiments with both simulated and real-world operational datasets.
随着风电在电力系统中的渗透率不断提高,获取具有相关不确定性的风速预报对于更好地规划和调度变得至关重要。本研究提出了一种增强的基于多分位数回归的损失函数,专门用于训练模型以生成确定性预测和相应的预测区间。虽然模型的回归体系结构在提取精确预测方面发挥着重要作用,但是,它的效率往往被忽视,这可能是短期预测场景的缺点,其中模型训练时间也可能是一个重要因素。因此,本研究设计了一个基于多尺度扩展卷积的架构来提高效率。该体系结构生成不同尺度的预测,并结合粒子群优化来获得最优预测。该模型在NREL模拟数据集和三个不同地点的中国国家电网运行测量数据集上使用所提出的损失函数进行训练。该模型在模拟和实际操作数据集的对比实验中均表现出优异的预测性能。
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引用次数: 0
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IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy
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