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Recent trends in the youth labor market in Colombia: Diagnosis and policy challenges 哥伦比亚青年劳动力市场的最新趋势:诊断和政策挑战
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-03-06 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2021-0007
Andrés Ham, Darío Maldonado, Carlos Santiago Guzmán-Gutiérrez
Abstract This paper characterizes the labor market of youth in Colombia from 2008 to 2017. We estimate labor market indicators for individuals aged between 14 and 28 years using microdata from Colombia's household surveys over the study period. Our estimates document the main patterns and trends in the labor market of youth in labor force participation, employment, unemployment, informality, and earnings. We compare these statistics with the same indicators of adults (individuals aged between 29 and 65 years), and explore differences in characteristics within youth such as gender, region, educational attainment, socioeconomic status (SES), and experience. Results indicate that participation rate of young Colombians have increased in recent years, but are mainly employed in low-quality jobs namely unsalaried and informal. We also document marked inequalities in labor market outcomes across youth characteristics. We provide a series of recommendations to guide future youth labor policy based on these estimates as well as the critical analysis of recent youth policies in Colombia.
摘要本文描述了2008年至2017年哥伦比亚青年劳动力市场的特点。我们使用研究期间哥伦比亚家庭调查的微观数据估计了14至28岁个体的劳动力市场指标。我们的估计记录了青年劳动力市场在劳动力参与、就业、失业、非正规性和收入方面的主要模式和趋势。我们将这些统计数据与成年人(年龄在29岁至65岁之间的人)的相同指标进行了比较,并探讨了年轻人的特征差异,如性别、地区、教育程度、社会经济地位(SES)和经验。结果表明,哥伦比亚年轻人的参与率近年来有所提高,但主要从事低质量的工作,即无薪和非正式工作。我们还记录了青年特征在劳动力市场结果方面的显著不平等。我们根据这些估计以及对哥伦比亚最近青年政策的批判性分析,提出了一系列建议,以指导未来的青年劳工政策。
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引用次数: 2
Does an Introduction of a Paid Parental Leave Policy Affect Maternal Labor Market Outcomes in the Short Run? Evidence from Australia’s Paid Parental Leave Scheme 带薪育儿假政策的引入是否会在短期内影响孕产妇劳动力市场的结果?来自澳大利亚带薪育儿假计划的证据
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2020-0004
B. Bass
Abstract This paper studies how an introduction of paid parental leave (PPL) affects maternal labor market outcomes in the short run. Using a reform in Australia, the PPL scheme, that gave the primary caregiver of a child born or adopted on or after January 1 2011, $672.70 a week for a maximum of 18 weeks, this paper develops theoretical predictions of the effect of PPL on maternal labor market outcomes, and tests these predictions using confidential data from the Australian Pregnancy and Employment Transitions Survey. The theoretical results imply that after the introduction of PPL, hours of work in the pre-birth period should decrease for mothers who will qualify for PPL, and increase for mothers who are attempting to qualify for PPL. Post birth, the theoretical results imply that more mothers are out of work and on leave than would have been in the absence of PPL. The empirical results suggest that the PPL scheme had no significant effect on labor market outcomes pre birth or post birth.
摘要本文研究了带薪育儿假的引入在短期内对孕产妇劳动力市场结果的影响。利用澳大利亚的一项改革,即PPL计划,该计划为2011年1月1日或之后出生或收养的孩子的主要照顾者提供每周672.70美元,最长可达18周,本文对PPL对孕产妇劳动力市场结果的影响进行了理论预测,并使用澳大利亚怀孕和就业过渡调查的机密数据对这些预测进行了测试。理论结果表明,引入PPL后,将有资格获得PPL的母亲在出生前的工作时间应该减少,而试图获得PPL的母亲在出生前的工作时间应该增加。出生后,理论结果表明,更多的母亲没有工作和休假,而不是没有PPL。实证结果表明,PPL方案对出生前和出生前的劳动力市场结果没有显著影响。
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引用次数: 2
Poverty and labor informality in Colombia 哥伦比亚的贫困与劳动力非正规化
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2020-0006
R. M. Torres
Abstract Labor informality and poverty are at high levels in Latin America. In developing countries, poverty and the labor market are related not through unemployment but through employment. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the link between labor informality and poverty in Colombia. To do so, earnings gaps associated with labor informality are estimated; then, the effect of formalization on poverty is calculated, as the influence of changes in labor informality on Colombia’s poverty reduction from 2002 to 2013. The findings show that the earnings gap between formal and informal workers is 37–44%, and if informality were eliminated, poverty would decrease by approximately 40%. However, even though informality has great potential to reduce poverty, its actual effect on Colombia’s poverty reduction in the years analyzed was low.
拉丁美洲的劳动力非正规化和贫困程度很高。在发展中国家,贫困和劳动力市场不是通过失业而是通过就业来联系的。本文的目的是分析哥伦比亚非正规劳动力与贫困之间的联系。为此,估计了与非正规劳动力相关的收入差距;然后,计算了2002年至2013年正规化对贫困的影响,即劳动力非正规化变化对哥伦比亚减贫的影响。调查结果显示,正规和非正规工人之间的收入差距为37-44%,如果消除非正规,贫困将减少约40%。然而,尽管非正规化有很大的减贫潜力,但在所分析的几年中,它对哥伦比亚减贫的实际影响很低。
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引用次数: 5
Heterogeneous effects of minimum wage on labor market outcomes: A case study from Turkey 最低工资对劳动力市场结果的异质性影响:来自土耳其的案例研究
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2020-0016
Enes Işık, Özgür Orhangazi, Hasan Tekgüç
Abstract We assess the effects of a sharp minimum wage increase on wages, informality, and employment in Turkey, a large developing economy with one of the highest minimum wage-to-average wage ratios among OECD countries and widespread discrepancies between labor market outcomes of women and of men. We look at the quasi-experimental 2016 minimum wage increase and pay attention to identifying information coming from demographic groups. We find that the increase in the minimum wage had an economically substantial and statistically significant positive impact on wages. Despite the positive wage effects of the increase, we find no negative employment effects. However, we show that the minimum wage increase may have caused an increase in the share of informal employment among workers with less than tertiary education, especially for such workers working for small firms.
摘要:我们评估了土耳其最低工资大幅上涨对工资、非正式性和就业的影响。土耳其是一个大型发展中经济体,是经合组织国家中最低工资与平均工资比率最高的国家之一,女性和男性的劳动力市场结果存在普遍差异。我们着眼于2016年准实验性的最低工资增长,并注意识别来自人口群体的信息。我们发现,最低工资的提高在经济上和统计上对工资有显著的积极影响。尽管这一增长对工资有积极的影响,但我们发现没有负面的就业影响。然而,我们表明,最低工资的增长可能导致高等教育以下工人的非正规就业比例增加,特别是对于为小企业工作的这些工人。
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引用次数: 2
The Effect of Remittances on Crime in India 汇款对印度犯罪的影响
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2020-0001
M. Mahesh
Abstract There is a well-established literature that finds a strong causal association between remittance flows and economic growth and poverty. Owing to the poverty-alleviating and income-generating effects of remittances, it may theoretically reduce crime by increasing the opportunity cost of committing crime. This paper studies the effects of remittance receipts on crime outcomes in India. The identification strategy, exploits the variation in rainfall as an instrument for remittance receipts. The results suggest that remittance receipts have a negative effect on violent crimes and a positive effect on nonviolent crimes. Since remittance flows mean that more economic resources are available, remittances provide an incentive for certain crimes that thrive in the presence of economic resources. Therefore, an important implication of this result is that as remittance receipts increase income and welfare, there is a diverse effect on the costs and benefits of different types of crimes. It may result in unfavorable outcomes in the form of increases in certain nonviolent crimes.
摘要有一篇公认的文献发现,汇款流动与经济增长和贫困之间存在着强烈的因果关系。由于汇款的减贫和创收作用,从理论上讲,汇款可以通过增加犯罪的机会成本来减少犯罪。本文研究了汇款收据对印度犯罪结果的影响。识别策略利用降雨量的变化作为汇款收据的工具。研究结果表明,汇款收据对暴力犯罪有负面影响,对非暴力犯罪有正面影响。由于汇款流动意味着有更多的经济资源可用,汇款为在经济资源存在的情况下猖獗的某些犯罪提供了激励。因此,这一结果的一个重要含义是,随着汇款收据增加收入和福利,不同类型犯罪的成本和收益会受到不同的影响。它可能会以某些非暴力犯罪增加的形式导致不利的结果。
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引用次数: 4
The effect of trial periods in employment on firm hiring behavior 就业试用期对企业招聘行为的影响
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2020-0009
Isabelle Sin, Nathan Chappell
Abstract Recent changes in New Zealand law decreased the cost of dismissing employees within their first 3 months with an employer, with the aim of encouraging firms to increase hiring by reducing the associated risk. We use monthly linked employer–employee data and exploit the staggered introduction of the policy to estimate its effect on hiring. We find that the policy had little effect on the number of hires, the hiring of jobseekers of unknown quality, or the stability of employment. Our results suggest that policies that temporarily lower dismissal costs do not necessarily increase firm hiring.
摘要 新西兰最近对法律进行了修改,降低了雇主在前 3 个月内解雇员工的成本,目的是通过降低相关风险来鼓励企业增加招聘。我们利用每月的雇主-雇员关联数据,并利用该政策的交错实施来估算其对招聘的影响。我们发现,该政策对招聘数量、招聘质量未知的求职者或就业稳定性的影响甚微。我们的结果表明,暂时降低解雇成本的政策并不一定会增加企业的招聘。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of child benefit on female labor supply 儿童福利对女性劳动力供给的影响
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2020-0017
I. Magda, Aneta Kiełczewska, N. Brandt
Abstract In 2016, the Polish government introduced a large child benefit, called “Family 500+”, with the aim to increase fertility and reduce child poverty. It is universal for the second and every further child and means-tested for the first child. We study the impact of the new benefit on female labor supply, using Labor Force Survey data. Based on a difference-in-differences methodology, we find that the labor market participation rates of women with children decreased after the introduction of the benefit compared to that of childless women. The labor force participation rate of mothers showed a drop of 2–3 percentage points by mid-2017 as a result of the “Family 500+” program. The effect was higher among women with lower levels of education and among women living in small towns.
摘要2016年,波兰政府推出了一项名为“家庭500+”的大型儿童福利,旨在提高生育率和减少儿童贫困。它对第二个和每一个孩子都是普遍的,对第一个孩子进行经济状况调查。我们利用劳动力调查数据研究了新福利对女性劳动力供应的影响。基于差异分析法,我们发现,与无子女妇女相比,有子女妇女的劳动力市场参与率在引入福利后有所下降。由于“家庭500+”计划,到2017年年中,母亲的劳动力参与率下降了2-3个百分点。在受教育程度较低的妇女和生活在小城镇的妇女中,这种影响更大。
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引用次数: 8
Examining the Impact of Legal Arizona Worker Act on Native Female Labor Supply in the United States 检视《亚利桑那州劳工法》对美国本土女性劳动力供给的影响
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2020-0003
Christian Gunadi
Abstract Low-skilled immigration has been argued to lower the price of services that are close substitutes for household production, reducing barriers for women to enter the labor market. Therefore, policies that reduce the number of low-skilled immigrants who work predominantly in low-skilled service occupations may have an unintended consequence of lowering women’s participation in the labor market. This article examines the labor supply impact of the Legal Arizona Workers Act (LAWA), which led to a large decline in the low-skilled immigrant workforce of the state. The analysis shows no evidence that LAWA statistically significantly affected US-born women’s labor supply in Arizona. This finding is partly explained by an increase in native workers in household service occupations due to LAWA, which offset the decline in immigrants in these occupations and caused the cost of household services to be relatively uninfluenced by the passage of LAWA.
人们认为,低技能移民降低了与家庭生产密切相关的服务价格,减少了女性进入劳动力市场的障碍。因此,减少主要从事低技能服务职业的低技能移民数量的政策可能会产生意想不到的后果,即降低女性在劳动力市场的参与度。本文考察了法律亚利桑那州工人法案(LAWA)对劳动力供应的影响,该法案导致该州低技能移民劳动力大幅下降。分析显示,没有证据表明LAWA在统计上显著影响亚利桑那州在美国出生的妇女的劳动力供应。这一发现在一定程度上可以解释为,由于LAWA,家庭服务职业的本地工人增加,这抵消了这些职业中移民人数的下降,并导致家庭服务成本相对不受LAWA通过的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Not everyone is engaged: an innovative approach to measure engagement levels on the labor market 并不是每个人都投入工作:一种衡量劳动力市场投入程度的创新方法
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/IZAJOLP-2020-0010
C. Chartouni, Robert Holzmann, G. Páez
Abstract In this paper, we analyze the Individuals’ level of engagement on the labor market and the engagement heterogeneity across individuals in matters of labor market outcomes and the effectiveness of policy interventions. Emerging economies with highly segmented and distorted labor markets typically exhibit strong heterogeneity in labor market engagement. This paper develops an innovative index that measures individuals’ labor market engagement across three dimensions (preferences, intensity, and barriers) and across three labor market categories (employed, unemployed, and out-of-labor force) based on a recent special labor market survey in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). Clustering individuals with similar engagement levels permit more effective targeting of labor market interventions. Findings confirm the strong heterogeneity of labor market engagement in the KSA and the index’s usefulness in the construction of differentiated policies across these clusters.
摘要在本文中,我们分析了个人对劳动力市场的参与水平,以及个人在劳动力市场结果和政策干预有效性方面的参与异质性。劳动力市场高度分割和扭曲的新兴经济体在劳动力市场参与方面通常表现出强烈的异质性。本文基于沙特阿拉伯王国(KSA)最近的一项特殊劳动力市场调查,开发了一个创新指数,从三个维度(偏好、强度和壁垒)和三个劳动力市场类别(就业、失业和劳动力外流)衡量个人的劳动力市场参与度。将具有相似参与水平的个人聚集在一起,可以更有效地针对劳动力市场干预。研究结果证实了KSA中劳动力市场参与的强烈异质性,以及该指数在构建这些集群的差异化政策方面的有用性。
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引用次数: 0
First-time mothers and the labor market effects of the earned income tax credit 首次生育母亲与劳动市场对所得税抵免的影响
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2020-0007
Peter Shirley
Abstract The Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) is one of the largest anti-poverty programs in the United States, providing over $67 billion to more than 27 million families for the tax year 2016, an average of $2,455. By subsidizing the earnings of low-income workers, the EITC reduces poverty both directly through the credit itself and indirectly through labor supply incentives. The two primary determinants of the amount a tax unit receives are earned income and number of children. Many studies define eligibility based on the presence of children in a household and separate analyses by marital status, a reflection of the fundamentally different incentives the EITC poses for single- and dual-earner households. However, as the EITC theoretically encourages fertility and generally discourages marriage, endogenous responses along these two dimensions could bias estimates which rely on them for identification and sample selection. In this paper, I revisit the classic question of the EITC’s labor market effects while exploiting a source of arguably exogenous variation in EITC receipt that does not rely on these potentially endogenous characteristics: birth timing around the end of the calendar year. Using the Survey of Income and Program Participation, my results show positive earnings and employment effects for unmarried women in the 12 months following their first/only child’s birth, including for those with a high school degree or less (low-ed). Overall, the results are usually small and insignificant for married women, with the exception of negative (and sometimes significant) effects on earnings for low-ed married women. Using a difference-in-discontinuities approach, I separate the income effect of the credit itself from the information effect, which, I argue, occurs when women receive the EITC for the first time. I show that, while the income effect is negative across all groups of women, the information effects are positive for unmarried women and negative for married women, again consistent with theory and the body of evidence on the EITC.
摘要劳动所得税抵免(EITC)是美国最大的反贫困计划之一,在2016纳税年度为2700多万家庭提供了670多亿美元,平均2455美元。EITC通过补贴低收入工人的收入,直接通过信贷本身和间接通过劳动力供应激励来减少贫困。税收单位收入的两个主要决定因素是收入和子女数量。许多研究根据家庭中是否有孩子来定义资格,并根据婚姻状况进行单独分析,这反映了EITC对单收入和双收入家庭的根本不同激励。然而,由于EITC理论上鼓励生育,通常不鼓励结婚,这两个维度的内生反应可能会使依赖它们进行识别和样本选择的估计产生偏差。在这篇论文中,我重新审视了EITC劳动力市场效应的经典问题,同时利用了EITC收入的一个可以说是外生变化的来源,该来源不依赖于这些潜在的内生特征:出生时间在日历年年底左右。通过收入和项目参与调查,我的结果显示,未婚女性在第一个/独生子女出生后的12个月内,包括高中或以下学历(低教育程度)的女性,都会产生积极的收入和就业影响。总的来说,除了对低收入已婚妇女的收入产生负面(有时是显著)影响外,对已婚妇女来说,结果通常很小,微不足道。使用不连续性差异法,我将信贷本身的收入效应与信息效应区分开来,我认为,信息效应发生在女性第一次获得EITC时。我表明,虽然所有女性群体的收入效应都是负面的,但信息效应对未婚女性是正面的,对已婚女性是负面的。这与EITC的理论和证据一致。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
IZA Journal of Labor Policy
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