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Economics of Healthy Aging in India: A Multidimensional Perspective 印度健康老龄化经济学:多维视角
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2022-0004
M. Malik, S. Singh, Falguni Pattanaik
Abstract Aging is the foremost challenge in recent times, given the demographic shift in populations across the world. It implies the costs of healthcare burden and involves economic and social security challenges through shortage of labor supply, consumption–saving paradox, increase in expenditure on healthcare, and most importantly, social capital among the developing countries. Furthermore, there is a likely challenge of old age security in terms of income and expenditure due to increasing healthcare costs and low earning incentives at older ages. India currently has the second largest population globally, with >9% of its population accounting for aging. Based on the multidimensional aging index (AI) using the latest longitudinal survey data of older adults in India, we examined the possible challenges of the economics of aging in India while examining the economic health and social outcomes of the elderly. Our results found that the elderly in India are highly exposed to negative impacts due to vulnerability in socio-economic and health spheres of life. Low labor force participation, lack of skills, and low literacy are the prevalent challenges faced by the elderly Indian population, particularly women. Similarly, the fiscal challenges include increased income tax and insurance coverage for the elderly, while health challenges imply a greater proportion of the disabled and multi-morbid, leading to more burden on the health and welfare system of India. Thus, given the possible short- and long-term effects of aging on the path of economic growth in India, policy incentives are required to minimize the impact and avert the burden of population aging in the country.
摘要鉴于世界各地人口结构的变化,老龄化是近年来最重要的挑战。它意味着医疗负担的成本,并涉及劳动力供应短缺、消费-储蓄悖论、医疗支出增加,最重要的是发展中国家的社会资本带来的经济和社会保障挑战。此外,由于医疗成本的增加和老年人的低收入激励,老年保障在收入和支出方面可能面临挑战。印度目前是全球第二大人口大国,超过9%的人口处于老龄化状态。基于多维老龄化指数(AI),使用印度老年人的最新纵向调查数据,我们研究了印度老龄化经济可能面临的挑战,同时研究了老年人的经济健康和社会结果。我们的研究结果发现,印度的老年人由于在社会经济和健康生活领域的脆弱性,极易受到负面影响。劳动力参与率低、缺乏技能和识字率低是印度老年人口,特别是妇女面临的普遍挑战。同样,财政挑战包括增加老年人的所得税和保险范围,而健康挑战意味着残疾人和多病患者的比例更高,这给印度的卫生和福利系统带来了更大的负担。因此,考虑到老龄化对印度经济增长道路可能产生的短期和长期影响,需要采取政策激励措施,最大限度地减少人口老龄化的影响,避免该国人口老龄化带来的负担。
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引用次数: 1
How Effective are Hiring Subsidies to Reduce Long-Term Unemployment Among Prime-Aged Jobseekers? Evidence from Belgium 雇佣补贴在减少壮年求职者长期失业方面效果如何?来自比利时的证据
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.26481/umaror.2021005
Sam Desiere, Bart L. W. Cockx
Hiring subsidies are widely used to create (stable) employment for the long-term unemployed. This paper exploits the abolition of a hiring subsidy targeted at long-term unemployed jobseekers over 45 years of age in Belgium to evaluate its effectiveness in the short and medium run. Based on a triple difference methodology the hiring subsidy is shown to increase the job finding rate by 13% without any evidence of spill-over effects. This effect is driven by a positive effect on individuals with at least a bachelor’s degree. However, the hiring subsidy mainly created temporary short-lived employment: eligible jobseekers were not more likely to find employment that lasted at least twelve consecutive months than ineligible jobseekers.
雇佣补贴被广泛用于为长期失业者创造(稳定的)就业。本文利用在比利时针对45岁以上的长期失业求职者的招聘补贴的废除来评估其在短期和中期的有效性。基于三差方法,招聘补贴被证明可以将求职率提高13%,而没有任何溢出效应的证据。这种影响是由至少拥有学士学位的个人所产生的积极影响所驱动的。然而,雇用补贴主要是创造临时的短期就业:合资格的求职者并不比不符合资格的求职者更有可能找到至少连续12个月的工作。
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引用次数: 0
Puerto Rico's minimum wage: Revisiting a price floor with bite 波多黎各的最低工资:重新制定价格下限
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2021-0009
Robert Tucker Omberg
Abstract Revisiting research from the 1990s from Castillo-Freeman and Krueger, I use the synthetic control method of Abadie et al. to estimate the impact of the most recent increase in the federal minimum wage on employment in Puerto Rico. I estimate that the employment/population ratio of various groups in Puerto Rico was significantly lower than that of a data-constructed synthetic Puerto Rico which did not raise its minimum wage. Placebo tests on other donor units, time periods, and population groups suggest that a significant portion of this gap is a result of the minimum wage. Groups with greater exposure to the minimum wage, such as teens and restaurant workers, experienced proportionally greater declines in employment. My results suggest an own-wage elasticity of employment in Puerto Rico of −0.68, higher than estimates from the mainland, which suggests that the employment response to minimum wages may be more dramatic at higher relative minimum wages.
摘要回顾了20世纪90年代Castillo Freeman和Krueger的研究,我使用Abadie等人的综合控制方法来估计最近联邦最低工资的提高对波多黎各就业的影响。我估计,波多黎各各群体的就业/人口比率远低于数据构建的综合波多黎各,该波多黎各没有提高最低工资。对其他捐赠单位、时间段和人群的安慰剂测试表明,这一差距的很大一部分是最低工资造成的。受最低工资影响较大的群体,如青少年和餐馆工人,就业率也相应下降。我的研究结果表明,波多黎各自身的就业工资弹性为-0.68,高于大陆的估计,这表明在相对最低工资较高的情况下,就业对最低工资的反应可能更为显著。
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引用次数: 0
Directing young dropouts via SMS: evidence from a field experiment 通过短信指导年轻的辍学者:来自实地实验的证据
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2022-0001
Jérémy Hervelin
Abstract Although short message services (SMS) are constantly used to transmit information, little is known about the use of SMS by public institutions to direct people. This paper presents a field experiment in France about the effectiveness of SMS in directing disadvantaged people toward public services. Two types of treatment SMS were provided: one type had its content written in a formal style; the second type SMS style was much informal. All the SMS were individualized and included specific information about the agencies. Results indicate that the SMS had no significant effect on enrollment. There is also no apparent heterogeneous effect according to individual, agency, or location characteristics. In line with other academic evidence, these findings suggest that SMS have very limited effectiveness in directing this population toward public services.
摘要尽管短消息服务(SMS)不断被用来传输信息,但人们对公共机构使用短消息来引导人们知之甚少。本文在法国进行了一项关于短信在引导弱势群体获得公共服务方面的有效性的实地实验。提供了两种类型的治疗短信:一种是以正式风格编写内容;第二种类型的短信风格非常非正式。所有短信都是个性化的,并包含了有关机构的具体信息。结果表明,短信对入学没有显著影响。根据个人、机构或地点特征,也没有明显的异质性影响。与其他学术证据一致,这些发现表明,短信在引导这一人群获得公共服务方面的有效性非常有限。
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引用次数: 0
Statutory, effective, and optimal net tax schedules in Lithuania 立陶宛的法定、有效和最佳净税收时间表
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2021-0005
Nerijus Černiauskas, Alain Jousten
Abstract We estimate effective and optimal net income tax schedules and compare them to the estimated statutory rates for the case of Lithuania for the period 2014–2015. Values of effective net tax rates are estimated from the survey of EU Statistics on Income and Living Conditions; the statutory net tax rates are estimated with the European tax-benefit simulator EUROMOD, whereas optimal net taxes are calculated via Saez (2002) methodology. We find that the three net tax schedules are similar for employees in the middle of the income distribution. At the bottom of the income distribution, optimal net tax schedules suggest higher in-work benefits. The net tax schedules diverge substantially for the self-employed. At the top of the income distribution, where the majority of self-employed are concentrated, the self-employed are required to pay 15 cents less net taxes per Euro than employees—and they effectively pay 29 cents less.
摘要我们估计了有效和最佳的净所得税时间表,并将其与立陶宛2014-2015年期间的估计法定税率进行了比较。有效净税率的价值是根据欧盟收入和生活条件统计调查估算的;法定净税率是用欧洲税收优惠模拟器EUROMOD估计的,而最佳净税率是通过Saez(2002)方法计算的。我们发现,对于处于收入分配中间的员工,三种净税率表是相似的。在收入分配的底部,最佳的净税收计划表明工作福利更高。自营职业者的净税收表差异很大。在收入分配的顶端,大多数自营职业者都集中在那里,自营职业者每欧元需要比雇员少缴纳15美分的净税,而他们实际上少缴纳29美分。
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引用次数: 1
Determinants of youth unemployment in Uganda: The role of gender, education, residence, and age 乌干达青年失业的决定因素:性别、教育、居住地和年龄的作用
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2021-0008
Abel Egessa, John Bosco Nnyanzi, J. Muwanga
Abstract Youth unemployment in Uganda increased from 12.7% in 2012/13 to 13.3 in 2016/17, despite a decline in the overall national unemployment rate from 11.1% to 9.2%. This poses serious development challenges, particularly to the ongoing efforts to poverty reduction. The main objective of the current study is to examine the extent to which gender, education, residence, and age determine youth unemployment in Uganda. Using recent data from the Uganda National Household Survey 2016/17 collected by the Uganda National Bureau of Statistics, we obtained a sample of 5,912 respondents for the ages between 18 years and 30 years. The main findings based on a binary logistic regression approach, reveal that education, gender, residence, and age are all critical in driving youth unemployment. The Ugandan youth who has some level of education is more likely to be unemployed compared to those with no education. But the youth that attended post-secondary education is associated with the highest unemployment probability followed by those with secondary school education and finally by primary education. While an increase in age appears to increase youth unemployment for females, the married youth have less chances of being unemployed compared to the unmarried youth. Moreover, as the probability of being unemployed reduces for the married youth, being divorced increases that probability. Similarly, the male youth are found more likely to be unemployed than their female counterparts. Additionally, the urban youth increased their chances of unemployment compared to the rural ones. Likewise, males are far more likely to remain in unemployment relative to females, just as living in the northern, eastern, or western region as a youth is less risky in terms of unemployment compared to living in the central region. On the other hand, whereas the education level of the household head is not important for youth unemployment, the marital status and gender of the household head are critical. The indirect effects of education, gender, residence, and age are clearly notable. Implications for policy and research are drawn.
乌干达的青年失业率从2012/13年的12.7%上升到2016/17年的13.3%,尽管全国总体失业率从11.1%下降到9.2%。这构成了严重的发展挑战,特别是对正在进行的减贫努力。本研究的主要目的是研究乌干达的性别、教育、居住地和年龄在多大程度上决定了青年失业。利用乌干达国家统计局收集的2016/17年乌干达全国家庭调查的最新数据,我们获得了5912名年龄在18岁至30岁之间的受访者的样本。基于二元逻辑回归方法的主要研究结果显示,教育、性别、居住地和年龄都是导致青年失业的关键因素。受过某种程度教育的乌干达青年比没有受过教育的青年更有可能失业。但接受过高等教育的年轻人失业率最高,其次是接受过中等教育的年轻人,最后是接受过小学教育的年轻人。虽然年龄的增长似乎增加了女性的青年失业率,但与未婚青年相比,已婚青年失业的机会更少。此外,对于已婚青年来说,失业的可能性降低了,而离婚则增加了失业的可能性。同样,男性青年比女性青年更容易失业。此外,与农村青年相比,城市青年失业的机会增加了。同样,与女性相比,男性更有可能处于失业状态,就像青年生活在北部、东部或西部地区比生活在中部地区的失业风险更小一样。另一方面,虽然户主的教育程度对青年失业并不重要,但户主的婚姻状况和性别对青年失业至关重要。教育、性别、居住地和年龄的间接影响是显而易见的。得出了对政策和研究的影响。
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引用次数: 6
Does the early release of retirement savings prolong labor market participation for workers approaching retirement? Evidence from Australia's “Transition to Retirement Income Streams” program 提前释放退休储蓄是否延长了接近退休的工人参与劳动力市场的时间?来自澳大利亚“向退休收入流过渡”计划的证据
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-09-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3702757
Andrew Carter
Abstract Australia's “Transition to Retirement Income Streams” (TRIS) program aims to prolong labor force participation for older workers (aged 55–65 years) by offering early access to a worker's compulsory retirement savings (superannuation). Using a difference-in-differences design, our results suggest a small labor supply response, which increases after the program's initial years. The size of the effects appears to be consistent with the program adoption profile, which was low initially. For this reason, our estimates should be viewed as a lower bound for the true effects. We find that individuals with higher incomes are more likely to adopt TRIS. At least half of the program participants appear to be using strategies to minimize tax, a behavioral response that seems at odds with the program's intent.
摘要澳大利亚的“向退休收入流过渡”(TRIS)计划旨在通过提前获得工人的强制性退休储蓄(养老金)来延长老年工人(55-65岁)的劳动力参与度。使用差异设计,我们的结果表明劳动力供应反应较小,在项目最初几年后会增加。影响的大小似乎与最初较低的项目采用情况一致。因此,我们的估计应该被视为真实影响的下限。我们发现,收入较高的个人更有可能采用TRIS。至少有一半的项目参与者似乎在使用最小化税收的策略,这种行为反应似乎与项目的意图不一致。
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引用次数: 0
Mitigating Long-term Unemployment in Europe 缓解欧洲长期失业问题
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.5089/9781513554464.001.A001
Hiroaki Miyamoto, Nujin Suphaphiphat
Abstract While unemployment rates in Europe declined after the global financial crisis until 2018/2019, the incidence of long-term unemployment, the share of people who have been unemployed for >1 year to the total unemployed, remained high. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic could aggravate the long-term unemployment. This paper explores the factors associated with long-term unemployment in European countries using a panel of 25 European countries over the period 2000–2018. We find that skill mismatches, labor market matching efficiency, and labor market policies are associated with the incidence of long-term unemployment. Among the different types of active labor market policies, training and startup incentives are found to be effective in reducing long-term unemployment.
摘要尽管欧洲的失业率在全球金融危机后一直下降到2018/2019年,但长期失业的发生率仍然很高,即失业超过1年的人在总失业人数中所占的比例。此外,新冠肺炎疫情可能加剧长期失业。本文利用一个由25个欧洲国家组成的小组,探讨了2000-2008年期间欧洲国家长期失业的相关因素。我们发现,技能错配、劳动力市场匹配效率和劳动力市场政策与长期失业的发生率有关。在不同类型的积极劳动力市场政策中,培训和创业激励措施被发现能有效降低长期失业率。
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引用次数: 7
Differentiating retirement age to compensate for health differences 区分退休年龄以弥补健康差异
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3582657
V. Vandenberghe
Abstract Population aging in Europe calls for an overall rise in the age of retirement. However, most observers agree that the latter should be differentiated to account for different individuals’ heterogeneous health when they grow older. This paper explores the relevance of this idea using the European Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) panel data. It first quantifies the health gradient across and within each of the European countries across sociodemographic groups (i.e., Gender × Education) at typical retirement age. It then estimates the degree of retirement age differentiation that would be needed to equalize expected health at the moment of retirement. Results point at the need for a very high degree of differentiation to equalize expected health, both across and within, European countries. But the paper also shows that systematic retirement age differentiation would fail to match a significant portion of the full distribution of health status. In a world synonymous with systematic health-based retirement age differentiation, there would still be a lot of what health economists call F-mistakes ([F]ailure of treatment, i.e., no retirement for people in poor health) and E-mistakes ([E]xcessive treatment, i.e., people in good health going for retirement).
摘要欧洲的人口老龄化要求退休年龄全面提高。然而,大多数观察者都认为,后者应该加以区分,以解释不同个体长大后的异质健康状况。本文利用欧洲健康、老龄化和退休调查(SHARE)小组数据探讨了这一想法的相关性。它首先量化了每个欧洲国家内部在典型退休年龄的社会人口群体(即性别×教育)的健康梯度。然后,它估计了退休时均衡预期健康所需的退休年龄差异程度。结果表明,需要高度的差异化,以均衡欧洲国家内部和内部的预期健康。但该论文也表明,系统的退休年龄差异将无法与健康状况的全部分布中的很大一部分相匹配。在一个以系统健康为基础的退休年龄差异的代名词的世界里,仍然会有很多健康经济学家所说的F-错误([F]治疗失败,即健康状况不佳的人没有退休)和e-错误([e]过度治疗,即健康状态良好的人走向退休)。
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引用次数: 3
Who cleans my house if the government pays? Refugees, low-educated workers, and long-term unemployed in tax-subsidized domestic service firms 如果政府出钱,谁来打扫我的房子?难民、低学历工人和税收补贴家政服务公司的长期失业者
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2021-0001
Johanna Rickne
Abstract Many European countries have implemented policies to revive their domestic service sectors. A common goal of these reforms has been to create employment for disadvantaged groups on the domestic labor market. I evaluate a Swedish policy where domestic service firms receive a 50% tax deduction on labor costs. Detailed data from tax records identify all formal workers and owners of firms that receive deductions. I describe the composition of workers and owners in these firms with respect to three groups targeted by Swedish policymakers: refugees, people with low education, and people who enter the workforce from long-term unemployment. I find that the shares of refugees and long-term unemployed in the subsidized sector barely exceed the shares in the full private labor force, and fall far below the shares in industrial sectors with a predominance of elementary jobs. The share of people with low education is higher than in the full private sector and on par with other low-skilled sectors. I conclude that the tax subsidy largely failed to improve employment opportunities among the target groups. An extended analysis suggests that labor immigration from other EU countries may be a partial explanation for this. EU immigrants operate half of all subsidized firms in Sweden's largest cities and nearly exclusively employ other EU immigrants.
摘要许多欧洲国家实施了振兴国内服务业的政策。这些改革的一个共同目标是为国内劳动力市场上的弱势群体创造就业机会。我评估了瑞典的一项政策,即家政服务公司可以从劳动力成本中获得50%的税收减免。税务记录中的详细数据确定了所有接受扣除的正式工人和公司所有者。我根据瑞典政策制定者针对的三个群体描述了这些公司的工人和所有者的组成:难民、低教育程度的人和从长期失业中进入劳动力市场的人。我发现,在补贴部门,难民和长期失业者的比例几乎不超过全部私营劳动力的比例,远远低于以初级工作为主的工业部门的比例。受教育程度低的人所占比例高于整个私营部门,与其他低技能部门持平。我的结论是,税收补贴在很大程度上未能改善目标群体的就业机会。一项扩展分析表明,来自其他欧盟国家的劳动力移民可能是对此的部分解释。在瑞典最大城市,欧盟移民经营着一半的补贴公司,几乎只雇佣其他欧盟移民。
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引用次数: 1
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IZA Journal of Labor Policy
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