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Job Protection — It is Good to be an Insider 工作保障——做个局内人是件好事
Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2023-0003
Markus Gebauer
Abstract This study develops a search and matching model for labour markets with temporary and permanent contracts. It matches empirical patterns of higher matching rates and lower surplus for temporary workers and predicts an increase in separation taxes leads to a fall in the number of new permanent jobs, an increase in their wages, and stable separation rates because temporary workers shield permanent workers from adverse shocks. We find empirical support using a regional French policy experiment, the “Contrat de Transition Professionelle”, which increased separation taxes for recently hired permanent workers in firms with fewer than 1,000 workers.
摘要:本文建立了具有临时合同和永久合同的劳动力市场的搜索和匹配模型。它与临时工更高的匹配率和更低的盈余的经验模式相匹配,并预测离职税的增加会导致新的永久工作数量的下降,工资的增加,以及稳定的离职率,因为临时工保护永久工人免受不利冲击。我们通过法国的一项地区性政策实验——“职业转型契约”(Contrat de Transition Professionelle)——找到了实证支持。该实验增加了员工少于1000人的企业中新聘用的固定员工的离职税。
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引用次数: 0
The distributional effects of the pension system reform in Poland 波兰养老金制度改革的分配效应
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2023-0002
Elena Jarocinska, Anna Ruzik-Sierdzińska
Abstract This paper quantifies the effect of Poland's 1999 pension reform on the inequality of future pension benefits. The reform increases inequality, both in the upper and lower parts of the distribution. The estimates, based on the 2012 Polish Household Budget Survey, show that the Gini coefficient reaches 0.27 once the full effect of the reform has materialized. Had the pre-reform system continued unchanged, the Gini coefficient would not be >0.19. The increased inequality of pension benefits is the result of the system gradually moving from a more redistributive defined benefit pension system to a system in which benefits are strongly linked to earnings. We show to what extent minimum pension benefits mitigate the increase in inequality under different scenarios.
摘要本文量化了波兰1999年养老金改革对未来养老金福利不平等的影响。改革增加了分配上下两部分的不平等。根据2012年波兰家庭预算调查得出的估计显示,一旦改革的全面效果显现,基尼系数将达到0.27。如果改革前的制度继续保持不变,基尼系数将不会大于0.19。养老金福利的不平等加剧是该制度从更具再分配性的固定福利养老金制度逐渐转变为福利与收入密切相关的制度的结果。我们展示了在不同情况下,最低养老金福利在多大程度上缓解了不平等的加剧。
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引用次数: 0
Minimum wage and collective bargaining shocks: a narrative database for advanced economies 最低工资和集体谈判冲击:发达经济体的叙事数据库
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2023-0001
António Afonso, J. Jalles, Zoe Venter
Abstract This paper presents and describes a new database of major minimum wage and collective bargaining (CB) shocks covering 26 advanced economies over the period 1970–2020. The main advantage of this dataset is the precise identification of the nature and date of major shocks, which is valuable in many empirical applications. Based on the dataset, we observe that major changes in minimum wages have been more frequent than in CB in the last decades, and the majority of these were implemented during the 1980s and 1990s. In our empirical application, we find that minimum wage policy reductions have a medium-run positive impact on labor productivity and they lead to a fall in the unemployment rate. CB policy liberalizations do not seem to affect either productivity or capital formation, but they have a clear medium-term effect on the labor market. Moreover, CB policy liberalizations are characterized by a greater sensitivity to the prevailing business cycle conditions at the time of the shock (vis-à-vis minimum wage reforms).
摘要本文介绍并描述了一个新的数据库,该数据库涵盖了1970-2020年期间26个发达经济体的主要最低工资和集体谈判(CB)冲击。该数据集的主要优势是精确识别主要冲击的性质和日期,这在许多经验应用中是有价值的。根据数据集,我们观察到,在过去的几十年里,最低工资的重大变化比最低工资的变化更频繁,其中大部分是在20世纪80年代和90年代实施的。在我们的实证应用中,我们发现降低最低工资政策对劳动生产率有中期的积极影响,并导致失业率的下降。信贷政策自由化似乎既不影响生产率,也不影响资本形成,但它们对劳动力市场有明显的中期影响。此外,信贷政策自由化的特点是对冲击时普遍存在的商业周期条件更加敏感(参见-à-vis最低工资改革)。
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引用次数: 0
The effects of more intensive counseling for disadvantaged unemployed youth 对弱势失业青年进行更深入咨询的效果
Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2023-0004
Rainer Eppel, Helmut Mahringer
Abstract Many European countries are facing the key challenge of integrating low-skilled jobless young people into the labor market. From 2018 to 2020, the Public Employment Service (PES) in Vienna tested a new model of intensified support (“case management”). The target group consisted of young unemployed persons with low formal qualifications who were drawing on social assistance. Based on the pilot project and a propensity matching approach, we show that the increase in staff significantly increased the intensity of the counseling. It led to an increase in job proposals and active labor market program participation, as well as sanctions in the form of benefit suspensions for failure to keep PES appointments. In line with the goal, more of the young people were encouraged to take part in training and further education instead of being quickly placed in an unskilled job. However, in the three-year follow-up period, the intensified counseling did not (yet) have a significant effect on the overall extent of integration into employment. Regarding post-unemployment job quality, we find no effects on wages at the start of a job.
许多欧洲国家正面临着将低技能失业青年融入劳动力市场的关键挑战。2018年至2020年,维也纳公共就业服务处试行了一种强化支持的新模式(“个案管理”)。目标群体是依靠社会援助的正规资格较低的失业青年。基于试点项目和倾向匹配方法,我们发现工作人员的增加显著增加了咨询的强度。这导致了就业建议和积极参与劳动力市场计划的增加,以及对未能遵守PES预约的人以暂停福利形式的制裁。为了实现这一目标,鼓励更多的年轻人参加培训和继续教育,而不是很快就被安排在不需要技能的工作上。然而,在三年的随访期内,强化的咨询并没有(尚未)对融入就业的总体程度产生显著影响。关于失业后的工作质量,我们发现在工作开始时对工资没有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Explaining the Evolution of Job Tenure in Europe, 1995–2020 1995-2020年欧洲工作任期演变的解释
Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2023-0007
Maurizio Bussolo, Damien Capelle, Michael M. Lokshin, Iván Torre, Hernan Winkler
Abstract During the last quarter century, job tenure in Europe has shortened. Using data from Eurostat Labor Force Surveys of 29 countries from 1995 to 2020 and applying an age-period-cohort decomposition to analyze changes in tenure for specific birth cohorts, we show that tenure has shrunk for cohorts born in more recent years. To account for compositional changes within cohorts, we estimate the probability of holding jobs of different durations, conditional on individual and employment-related characteristics. The estimations demonstrate that, over time, the likelihood of having a medium- or long-term job decreased and holding a short-term job increased. We also find that stricter job protection legislation appears to decrease the probability of holding a short-term job, and higher trade openness and ICT-related technological change are correlated with an increase of that probability.
在过去的25年里,欧洲的工作任期缩短了。利用欧盟统计局1995年至2020年对29个国家的劳动力调查数据,并应用年龄-时期-队列分解来分析特定出生队列的任期变化,我们发现,近年来出生的队列的任期缩小了。为了解释队列内的组成变化,我们估计了持有不同持续时间的工作的概率,条件是个人和就业相关的特征。估计表明,随着时间的推移,从事中期或长期工作的可能性降低,而从事短期工作的可能性增加。我们还发现,更严格的就业保护立法似乎降低了持有短期工作的可能性,而更高的贸易开放程度和信息通信技术相关的技术变革与这种可能性的增加相关。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of a national work hours restriction in a high hours country 国家工作时间限制对高工作时间国家的影响
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2022-0006
Jieun Lee
Abstract This paper examines the effect of a new maximum work hour restriction introduced in South Korea in 2018 that limited maximum working hours from 68 h/week to 52 h/week. I use difference-in-differences analysis with continuous treatment measuring the prevalence of those working longer than 52 h/week prior to the policy change across industry-occupation-education groups. I find that the policy reduces work hours while increasing monthly earnings and hourly wages for male full-time workers. However, I find that the policy does not significantly affect total work hours, total employment, and total worker pay at the industry-occupation-education group level.
摘要本文考察了韩国2018年引入的新的最高工作时间限制的影响,该限制将最高工作时间从每周68小时限制到每周52小时。我使用差异中的差异分析和持续治疗来衡量政策改变前每周工作时间超过52小时的人在行业职业教育群体中的患病率。我发现这项政策减少了男性全职工人的工作时间,同时增加了他们的月收入和时薪。然而,我发现该政策对行业职业教育组层面的总工作时间、总就业人数和总工人工资没有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of time-saving household appliance ownership on outcomes for children and married women: evidence from India 拥有节省时间的家用电器对儿童和已婚妇女的影响:来自印度的证据
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2022-0008
S. Bhargava, A. Kerr
Abstract We use microlevel data from the India Human Development Survey to test our hypothesis that ownership of time-saving household appliances results in the following: an increase in employment rates for married women; an increase in school enrollment rates; and a decrease in employment rates for children. We address the concern of endogeneity of appliance ownership by instrumenting household ownership of time-saving appliances by two family-specific time-using household assets and (1) average ownership rate among single women living in the same primary sampling unit (for the adult female sample) or (2) average ownership among households with no children living in the same primary sampling unit (for the child sample). Our results suggest a decrease in married women's and children's employment when ownership of time-saving appliances increases. Disaggregating our measure of employment, we find that married women use time-saving appliances as a substitute for human capital and increase their probability of working in more productive employment outside of the household.
本文使用印度人类发展调查的微观数据来检验我们的假设,即拥有节省时间的家用电器会导致以下结果:已婚妇女就业率的增加;入学率提高;以及儿童就业率的下降。我们通过两个家庭特定的使用时间的家庭资产和(1)居住在同一主要抽样单位的单身女性的平均拥有率(对于成年女性样本)或(2)居住在同一主要抽样单位的没有孩子的家庭的平均拥有率(对于儿童样本)来测量家庭对节省时间的电器拥有率,从而解决了家电拥有率的内生性问题。我们的研究结果表明,当节省时间的电器的拥有量增加时,已婚妇女和儿童的就业就会减少。将我们的就业衡量标准分开来看,我们发现已婚妇女使用节省时间的电器作为人力资本的替代品,并增加了她们在家庭以外从事更有生产力的工作的可能性。
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引用次数: 1
Unemployment transitions and the role of minimum wage: From pre-crisis to crisis and recovery 失业转型和最低工资的作用:从危机前到危机和复苏
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2022-0002
E. Andriopoulou, A. Karakitsios
Abstract During the last decade, unemployment in Greece climbed up to 28%, almost quadrupling due to the economic crisis that hit Greece. In the present paper, we examine the determinants of the unemployment dynamics and the impact of the minimum wage on the probability of making a transition into and out of unemployment. We use micro-level data from the Greek Labour Force Survey (LFS) of the period 2004 to 2019 and control for several demographic factors, macro-economic conditions, regional differences, and changes in the statutory minimum wage. The results suggest that individual-level characteristics play an important role in making a transition into or out of unemployment. Changes in the real minimum wage are estimated to have either a statistically insignificant or a very small impact on unemployment entries and exits. Further, the impact of economy's growth rate follows the theoretical predictions as higher growth rates increase unemployment outflows and decrease inflows, while the regional differences are also important. Our findings persist even when we split the sample in three periods (pre-crisis, crisis, recovery). The results have important policy implications. Given that the disemployment effect of the minimum wage seems to be very limited in the Greek labor market, while the socioeconomic characteristics and regional characteristics play an important role, improving the skills of individuals through the educational system and reskilling or up-skilling programs while targeting specific regions may facilitate labor market mobility.
在过去十年中,希腊的失业率攀升至28%,由于经济危机的影响,失业率几乎翻了两番。在本文中,我们研究了失业动态的决定因素以及最低工资对进入和摆脱失业的可能性的影响。我们使用了2004年至2019年希腊劳动力调查(LFS)的微观数据,并控制了几个人口因素、宏观经济条件、地区差异和法定最低工资的变化。结果表明,个人层面的特征在进入或摆脱失业的过渡中起着重要作用。据估计,实际最低工资的变化要么在统计上不显著,要么对失业人数的进入和退出产生非常小的影响。此外,经济增长率的影响遵循理论预测,较高的增长率会增加失业流出,减少失业流入,而区域差异也很重要。即使我们把样本分成三个时期(危机前、危机中、复苏中),我们的发现依然存在。研究结果具有重要的政策意义。鉴于最低工资的失业效应在希腊劳动力市场上似乎非常有限,而社会经济特征和地区特征发挥着重要作用,通过教育系统和再培训或提高技能计划提高个人技能,同时针对特定地区,可能会促进劳动力市场的流动性。
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引用次数: 3
Training during recessions: recent European evidence 衰退期间的培训:欧洲最新证据
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2022-0007
Marco Bertoni, G. Brunello
Abstract We use European Union Labour Force Survey data for the period 2005–2018 to investigate the cyclicality of training in Europe. Consistent with the view that firms use recessions as times to update skills, we find that training participation is moderately countercyclical for the employed. Within the not-employed group, this is true also for the unemployed, who are likely to be involved in public training programs during recessions, but not for the inactive, who may be affected by liquidity constraints.
摘要:本文使用欧盟2005-2018年劳动力调查数据来调查欧洲培训的周期性。与企业利用经济衰退来更新技能的观点一致,我们发现参与培训对就业者来说是适度的逆周期的。在非就业人群中,失业人群也是如此,他们可能会在经济衰退期间参加公共培训项目,但不活跃人群则不然,他们可能会受到流动性限制的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Social and fiscal impacts of statutory minimum wages in EU countries: a microsimulation analysis with EUROMOD 欧盟国家法定最低工资的社会和财政影响:用EUROMOD进行微观模拟分析
IF 0.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajolp-2022-0009
Klaus Grünberger, Edlira Narazani, Stefano Filauro, Aron Kiss
Abstract This paper analyzes the effects of hypothetical MW (HMW) increases on social and fiscal outcomes in 21 European Union (EU) countries with a statutory national MW (NMW) based on a microsimulation approach using EUROMOD. The methodological challenges related to the use of available EU household survey data are described, along with the choices made to address these challenges. The paper assesses hypothetical scenarios in which countries with a statutory NMW increase their minimum wage (MW) to various reference values, set in relation to the gross national median and average wage. The model simulations suggest that MW increases can significantly reduce in-work poverty, wage inequality, and the gender pay gap, while generally improving the public budget balance. The implied wage increases for the beneficiaries are substantial, while the implied increases in the aggregate wage bill are generally modest. Extensions explore possible effects on employment and labor supply at the intensive margin.
摘要本文基于EUROMOD的微观模拟方法,分析了21个具有法定国家MW(NMW)的欧盟国家假设MW(HMW)增长对社会和财政结果的影响。介绍了与使用现有欧盟家庭调查数据有关的方法学挑战,以及为应对这些挑战而做出的选择。该文件评估了具有法定NMW的国家将其最低工资提高到与国民总工资中位数和平均工资相关的各种参考值的假设情景。模型模拟表明,MW的增加可以显著减少工作贫困、工资不平等和性别薪酬差距,同时总体上改善公共预算平衡。受益人的隐含工资增长幅度很大,而工资总额的隐含增长幅度通常不大。扩展探讨了密集边际对就业和劳动力供应的可能影响。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
IZA Journal of Labor Policy
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