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Navigating the Indo-Pacific: Vietnam's Hedging Strategies Amid the Geopolitical Rivalry Between China and the United States 驾驭印度洋-太平洋:越南在中美地缘政治竞争中的避险策略
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2024.a919883
Xiangning Wu, Joseph Ching Velasco
Abstract: Vietnam has implemented hedging strategies in response to the geopolitical rivalry between China and the United States in the Indo-Pacific region. While the uncertainty from the dynamics of the Sino–US rivalry has been widely acknowledged, we examine how Vietnam's hedging strategy is also calibrated toward ongoing domestic political developments. We argue that while the international environment determines the overall structure of Vietnam's geopolitical hedging strategy, domestic factors, such as the success of Doi Moi, the interaction of party factions, and disagreements among public elites, influence the breadth of this strategy. Current global exigencies and internal domestic concerns require Hanoi to intelligently and delicately calibrate its interactions with great powers with little margin for error.
摘要:越南针对中国和美国在印度洋-太平洋地区的地缘政治竞争实施了对冲战略。虽然中美竞争动态带来的不确定性已得到广泛承认,但我们研究了越南的对冲战略是如何与当前的国内政治发展相适应的。我们认为,虽然国际环境决定了越南地缘政治避险战略的整体结构,但国内因素(如 Doi Moi 的成功、政党派系之间的互动以及公共精英之间的分歧)也影响着这一战略的广度。当前的全球紧急状况和国内关切要求河内明智而微妙地调整与大国的互动关系,几乎没有犯错的余地。
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引用次数: 0
China's State Capitalism and International Responses: A Comparative Analysis of Infrastructure Investment Strategies 中国的国家资本主义与国际回应:基础设施投资战略比较分析
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2024.a919881
Maxmilian Rech
Abstract: By introducing the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), an international infrastructure investment strategy, China attracted a lot of attention. China's approach to state capitalism has opened a window of opportunity for other infrastructure investment strategies. In response, the world's largest and liberally minded economies, such as the United States of America, Japan, and the European Union, have focused on connectivity and embarked on similar strategies. In this article, I conduct a comparative analysis of infrastructure investment strategies. I analyze key tenets of the BRI and international responses through the prism of principles, priorities, funding, financing, governance, and implementation. The comparison of strategies highlights more commonalities than differences, and I identify several instances in which liberal economies act in contradiction to their variety of capitalism. The results suggest that China has opened a window of opportunity for proactive infrastructure investment strategies, and major economies have responded in kind. With overlapping emphases in similar geographic regions, these strategies lead to competition. Consequently, recipient countries profit from an advantageous negotiating position when seeking to attract foreign direct investment in infrastructure projects.
摘要:通过提出 "一带一路 "倡议这一国际基础设施投资战略,中国吸引了众多关注。中国的国家资本主义做法为其他基础设施投资战略打开了一扇机会之窗。作为回应,美国、日本和欧盟等世界上最大的、思想开放的经济体都关注互联互通,并开始实施类似的战略。在本文中,我将对基础设施投资战略进行比较分析。我从原则、优先事项、资金、融资、治理和实施等角度分析了金砖倡议的关键原则和国际应对措施。通过对各种战略的比较,我发现共同点多于不同点,而且我还发现了一些自由经济体的行为与其各种资本主义相矛盾的情况。研究结果表明,中国为积极的基础设施投资战略打开了一扇机会之窗,而主要经济体也做出了相应的回应。这些战略的重点在相似的地理区域重叠,导致了竞争。因此,受援国在寻求吸引对基础设施项目的外国直接投资时,可从有利的谈判地位中获益。
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引用次数: 0
Book Symposium on Mel Gurtov 梅尔-古尔托夫新书研讨会
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2024.a919886
David M. Lampton, Mel Gurtov
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引用次数: 0
A Qualitative Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road in Europe: Who Benefits from the Initiative and Who Does Not 欧洲海上丝绸之路成本效益定性分析:谁能从倡议中获益,谁不能?
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2024.a919880
Enrique Martínez‐Galán, Francisco José B.S. Leandro
Abstract: China has traditionally been regarded as a continental power. However, the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road (MSR), launched in 2013, shapes China's intention to become a global maritime power. The initiative is the most significant contribution to increasing global maritime connectivity in recent decades. The volume and impact of Chinese investments in Europe's seaports are remarkable. This article proposes a fundamental framework to assess who benefits from the initiative. Since quantitative cost-benefit analyses (CBA) hardly apply to multifaceted and partially unquantifiable phenomena, we suggest assessing the MSR by means of a comprehensive qualitative CBA. We opted for a qualitative CBA due to ontological and epistemological reasons: on the one hand, the complex and multilayered nature of the problem is difficult to monetize, and, on the other hand, our argument is not final, as it attempts to assess a given policy before its implementation is sufficiently mature. In this vein, we apply the problem-solving methodology 'analytic hierarchy process'. While the media have disproportionately stressed the negative effects of the MSR, we conclude under this framework that (i) for China, MSR benefits largely outweigh associated costs; (ii) for participating countries, MSR benefits outweigh the associated costs only after cost-mitigating measures are incorporated; and (iii) for non-participating countries, MSR costs outweigh associated benefits.
摘要:中国历来被视为大陆强国。然而,2013 年启动的 "21 世纪海上丝绸之路"(MSR)表明了中国成为全球海洋强国的意图。该倡议是近几十年来对提高全球海上连通性的最重大贡献。中国在欧洲海港的投资数量和影响引人注目。本文提出了一个基本框架来评估谁能从该倡议中获益。由于定量成本效益分析 (CBA) 难以适用于多方面和部分无法量化的现象,我们建议通过全面的定性成本效益分析来评估 MSR。由于本体论和认识论的原因,我们选择了定性 CBA:一方面,问题的复杂性和多层次性难以货币化,另一方面,我们的论点不是最终的,因为它试图在特定政策实施足够成熟之前对其进行评估。因此,我们采用了 "层次分析法 "这一解决问题的方法。虽然媒体过分强调了 MSR 的负面影响,但我们在此框架下得出的结论是:(i) 对中国而言,MSR 的收益在很大程度上大于相关成本;(ii) 对参与国而言,MSR 的收益只有在采取成本缓解措施后才会大于相关成本;(iii) 对非参与国而言,MSR 的成本大于相关收益。
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引用次数: 0
Review of Engaging China 参与中国》评论
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2024.a920613
Anne F. Thurston
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引用次数: 0
"Let's Not Jump" "我们不要跳
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2024.a920614
David M. Lampton
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引用次数: 0
Chinese Investments and Involvement in Strategic Sectors and Infrastructure Development Across Europe: Europe's Hybrid Relationship with China Beyond the BRI—Introduction to the Special Issue 中国对欧洲战略部门和基础设施发展的投资与参与:超越金砖倡议的欧洲与中国混合关系--特刊简介
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2024.a919879
Niall Duggan, Ágnes Szunomár
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引用次数: 0
Exploring Chinese Investments in Europe: Scope and Governance Dynamics 探索中国在欧洲的投资:范围与治理动态
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2024.a919882
Carlos Raul Lima da Frota Araújo
Abstract: Chinese investments in Europe have been significant over the past decade, with almost US$455 billion spent on investments in several sectors, according to the China Global Investment Tracker. Notably, a great portion of these investments are driven by the Belt and Road Initiative. This study analyzes China's investments, identifying the main beneficiaries based on relative economic size and assessing the impact of governance indicators. It employs panel data regression to examine the impact of Chinese investments in 15 European countries from 2011 to 2020. Results indicate that smaller economies and those with lower scores for voice and accountability received a greater proportion of Chinese investments relative to their economic size. Serbia, Belarus, and Ukraine are in the top four list of countries. These findings suggest that China's investment decisions in Europe are not solely determined by governance indicators. Consequently, countries with lower scores have the potential to receive investments and foster economic growth, offering an alternative to conventional methods of attracting foreign investments.
摘要:根据《中国全球投资追踪》(China Global Investment Tracker)的数据,在过去十年中,中国在欧洲的投资十分可观,在多个领域的投资额接近 4,550 亿美元。值得注意的是,这些投资的很大一部分是由 "一带一路 "倡议推动的。本研究分析了中国的投资,根据相对经济规模确定了主要受益者,并评估了治理指标的影响。研究采用面板数据回归法,考察了 2011 年至 2020 年中国投资对 15 个欧洲国家的影响。结果表明,相对于其经济规模,较小的经济体以及在话语权和问责制方面得分较低的经济体获得了更大比例的中国投资。塞尔维亚、白俄罗斯和乌克兰位列前四名。这些结果表明,中国在欧洲的投资决策并非完全由治理指标决定。因此,得分较低的国家也有可能获得投资并促进经济增长,为传统的吸引外资方式提供了另一种选择。
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引用次数: 0
Ethnic Return Migrants in Korea and Japan: A Comparative Study of Nationalism and Citizenship 韩国和日本的少数民族回国移民:民族主义与公民身份比较研究
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2024.a919885
Zeljana Zmire
Abstract: This study explores the complicated nature of the citizenship of ethnic return migrants from Japan and Korea, Nikkeijin and Joseonjok. It aims to contribute to the scholarship by demonstrating that racism and nationalism are layered concepts by examining the reasons why Nikkeijin and Joseonjok enjoy preferential treatment to some extent but at the same time become targets of discrimination in Korea and Japan. I draw on Christian Joppke's position that citizenship is composed not only of legal status but also of social and identity elements and utilize two relatively novel concepts that shed new light on the complex nature of Nikkeijin and Joseonjok citizenship. One is Takeyuki Tsuda's concept of ethnoracism, which helps capture the type of racism aimed at groups that are not racially distinct but whose ostensible background differences are essentialized as inferior. The other is Gil-Soo Han's nouveau-riche nationalism, which argues that migrants are evaluated according to the global and developmental status of their country of origin. This comparative analysis helps demonstrate how the lives of Joseonjok and Nikkeijin are shaped by multiple layers of nationalism, racism, and status perceptions in their respective countries of residence.
摘要:本研究探讨了从日本和韩国回国的日裔和朝鲜裔移民公民身份的复杂性。它旨在通过研究日清人和朝鲜人在某种程度上享受优惠待遇,但同时又在韩国和日本成为歧视对象的原因,证明种族主义和民族主义是多层次的概念,从而为学术研究做出贡献。克里斯蒂安-约普克(Christian Joppke)认为,公民身份不仅包括法律地位,还包括社会和身份要素,我借鉴了这一观点,并利用两个相对新颖的概念,对日清人和朝鲜人公民身份的复杂性进行了新的阐释。一个是津田武之(Takeyuki Tsuda)提出的 "民族种族主义"(ethnoracism)概念,这一概念有助于捕捉针对那些没有种族差异,但其表面上的背景差异被本质化为劣等的群体的种族主义类型。另一个概念是 Gil-Soo Han 的新富民族主义(nouveau-ric-he nationalism),它认为移民是根据其原籍国的全球和发展地位来评价的。这种比较分析有助于说明朝鲜人和日清人的生活是如何受到其各自居住国的民族主义、种族主义和地位观念等多层因素的影响的。
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引用次数: 0
Rebooting Tourism in Vietnam: The Ho Tram Strip 重振越南旅游业:河曲地带
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2024.a919884
John Hutnyk
Abstract: Over many years, the Government of Vietnam made various statements on the importance of sustainability and tourism sector growth. Corporate tourism developers quickly followed suit with similar rhetoric, as did some sociological scholarship—at times promoting tourism uncritically and sometimes critiquing it unapologetically. This article is based on ethnographic observations of casino tourism development along the Hồ Tràm strip on the South-eastern Vietnamese coastline, both before and during COVID-19, as well as close commentary monitoring government statements, corporate press, and promotional sociological studies within tourism management. The article addresses target markets for casino tourism, planning, infrastructure, issues for workers in associated sectors, and environmental ecosystems with longer, toxic histories. What 'sustainability' means after COVID-19 might be questioned in the 'rebooting' of the tourism economy.
摘要:多年来,越南政府就可持续发展和旅游业增长的重要性发表了各种声明。企业旅游开发商迅速跟进,发表了类似的言论,一些社会学学者也发表了类似的言论--有时不加批判地宣传旅游业,有时则毫不掩饰地批评旅游业。本文基于在 COVID-19 之前和期间对越南东南海岸线还真地带赌场旅游开发的人种学观察,以及对政府声明、企业新闻和旅游管理中的宣传性社会学研究的密切评论。文章论述了赌场旅游的目标市场、规划、基础设施、相关行业工人的问题以及具有较长有毒历史的环境生态系统。在 COVID-19 之后,"可持续性 "的含义可能会在旅游经济的 "重启 "中受到质疑。
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Asian Perspective
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