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The Geopolitics of American Exceptionalism 美国例外主义的地缘政治
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2022.0023
P. Harris
Abstract:Leaders inside the United States have long tried to maintain favorable external conditions, especially in Eurasia, to protect or advance their domestic agendas. In recent decades, this connection between domestic politics and geopolitical conditions in the “Old World” has incentivized US leaders to pursue a pattern of never-ending military interventions. In turn, the material reality of perpetual engagement in Eurasian affairs has given rise to the pervasive idea that the United States is and must remain an indispensable guarantor of international order. However, these contemporary ideas of American Exceptionalism are dangerously mismatched with the emerging reality of a multipolar world system in which the United States has fewer opportunities to militarily intervene across Eurasia without risking significant repercussions.
摘要:美国国内领导人长期以来一直试图保持有利的外部条件,特别是在欧亚大陆,以保护或推进其国内议程。近几十年来,“旧世界”的国内政治和地缘政治条件之间的这种联系激励了美国领导人追求无休止的军事干预模式。反过来,长期参与欧亚事务的物质现实产生了一种普遍的观念,即美国现在是,而且必须继续是国际秩序不可或缺的保障者。然而,这些美国例外主义的当代思想与多极世界体系的新兴现实危险地不匹配,在多极世界体系中,美国在不冒重大影响风险的情况下对欧亚大陆进行军事干预的机会更少。
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引用次数: 0
Middle Power Diplomacy Knowledge Production in South Korea: A Critical Interpretation 韩国中等大国外交知识生产:批判性解读
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2022.0025
I. Yoo, Y. Cho
Abstract:In this article we examine the ways in which middle power diplomacy (MPD) knowledge is produced in the South Korean IR community, specifically in the context of critical IR studies. In doing so, we attempt to address the questions of who produces MPD knowledge, why, for whom, and for what purposes, while also identifying the meta-theoretical underpinnings of MPD knowledge. Our critical review of the literature suggests that current South Korean MPD knowledge is a Korean version of hegemonic stability theory, which aims to secure the US liberal hegemony in world politics. We therefore argue that South Korean MPD knowledge may limit South Korea’s agency in IR as well as its scholarly thinking space for discerning novel ways of peacefully coexisting with others and sensing possible systemic transformations of global politics.
摘要:在这篇文章中,我们考察了中等权力外交(MPD)知识在韩国IR社区中产生的方式,特别是在批判性IR研究的背景下。在这样做的过程中,我们试图解决谁产生MPD知识、为什么、为谁以及出于什么目的的问题,同时也确定MPD知识的元理论基础。我们对文献的批判性回顾表明,目前韩国的MPD知识是霸权稳定理论的韩国版本,旨在确保美国在世界政治中的自由霸权。因此,我们认为,韩国的MPD知识可能会限制韩国在IR中的代理权,以及其学术思维空间,以辨别与他人和平共处的新方式,并感知全球政治可能发生的系统性变革。
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引用次数: 0
Sino-Myanmar Relations in the Aftermath of the February 2021 Coup in Naypyidaw: Continuation and Change in China’s Myanmar Policy 2021年2月内比都政变后的中缅关系:中国缅甸政策的延续与变化
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2022.0027
E. Tan, H. Yoo
Abstract:This article examines the realpolitik calculations behind China’s responses to General Min Aung Hlaing’s February 2021 coup d’etat in Myanmar. By seeking to play both sides of the unrest in Myanmar, Beijing hopes to ensure that it can count on a set of regional allies to serve China’s interests. By simultaneously strengthening friendly relations with the Tatmadaw regime and the ethnic minority communities and pro-reformist movements in the country, Beijing can maintain a façade of friendship with the junta, while concurrently strengthening Beijing’s influence over Myanmar’s internal political forces. This enables Beijing to signal that it would be unwise for the Tatmadaw to step out of line away from China’s interests.
摘要:本文考察了中国对敏昂莱将军2021年2月缅甸政变的反应背后的现实政治考量。通过寻求在缅甸动乱中扮演两面派角色,北京希望确保它能够依靠一系列地区盟友来为中国的利益服务。通过同时加强与缅甸国防军政权、少数民族社区和支持改革运动的友好关系,北京可以与军政府保持友好的外表,同时加强北京对缅甸内部政治力量的影响力。这让北京发出信号,缅甸国防军脱离中国利益是不明智的。
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引用次数: 1
The Power of Building Parallel Institutions: How China’s New Strategy Advances Global Governance Reform 建立平行制度的力量:中国新战略如何推进全球治理改革
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2022.0028
Yue Xu, Hongsong Liu
Abstract:China has been a proponent of global governance reform, but its reform strategy does not remain constant. In the wake of the Global Financial Crisis, its political opportunities were depleting when dominant states, especially the United States, were recovering from the crisis. As a result, the promised 2010 International Monetary Fund (IMF) reform package failed to materialize under Beijing’s old reform strategy of making overt proposals. We argue that Beijing’s goal of the IMF reform was achieved through the creation of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. To advance reform, the newly-created institution needs to have sufficient governance capacity to ensure its effectiveness, produce policy outcomes close to Beijing’s preferences, and operate in an issue area competing for resources with the established institution, the IMF, but not necessarily in the same issue area as is required by the literature of contested multilateralism.
摘要:中国一直是全球治理改革的推动者,但其改革战略并非一成不变。在全球金融危机之后,当主要国家,尤其是美国,正在从危机中复苏时,其政治机会正在枯竭。其结果是,在北京公开提出建议的旧改革策略下,承诺的2010年国际货币基金组织(IMF)改革方案未能实现。我们认为,通过创建亚洲基础设施投资银行(aiib),中国实现了IMF改革的目标。为了推进改革,新成立的机构需要有足够的治理能力,以确保其有效性,产生接近北京偏好的政策结果,并在与现有机构国际货币基金组织(IMF)争夺资源的问题领域运作,但不一定是在有争议的多边主义文献所要求的同一问题领域。
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引用次数: 0
Sources of Corruption in Authoritarian Regimes: A Cross-Country Panel Data Analysis 独裁政权腐败的根源:跨国小组数据分析
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2022.0029
Suehyun Jung
Abstract:This article examines the sources of corruption in authoritarian regimes, focusing on the effect of time variance on the level of corruption, personalist concentration of power, and the regime stability (ruler’s expectations for remaining in power). The Personalism Index developed by J. Wright and the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Corruption Index were used in order to construct the panel data covering 2001–2010 for fifty-eight authoritarian states. The empirical findings show that authoritarian regimes with a higher personalist concentration are more prone to corruption, and that short sighted and vulnerable authoritarian regimes are more corrupt. From a policy perspective, the results suggest that reinforcing institutions which can impose political restrictions on top leaders from arbitrarily allocating resources via rent-seeking can be effective in curbing corruption in authoritarian regimes. On the other hand, the results also indicate that an authoritarian leader with longer time horizon can implement the institutions which can improve economic performance, thus leading to lower levels of corruption.
摘要:本文考察了专制政权中腐败的根源,重点研究了时间方差对腐败程度、个人权力集中度和政权稳定性(统治者对继续掌权的期望)的影响。为了构建涵盖2001-2010年58个专制国家的面板数据,我们使用了J. Wright开发的人格指数和民主多样性(V-Dem)腐败指数。实证结果表明,个人主义集中度越高的威权主义政权越容易腐败,而短视和脆弱的威权主义政权更容易腐败。从政策的角度来看,研究结果表明,加强能够对最高领导人通过寻租任意分配资源施加政治限制的制度,可以有效地遏制专制政权的腐败。另一方面,研究结果也表明,具有较长时间视野的威权领导人能够实施能够提高经济绩效的制度,从而导致较低的腐败水平。
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引用次数: 2
Changing Frames: China's Media Strategy for Environmental Protests 变化的框架:中国媒体对环境抗议的策略
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2022.0017
Joo-Youn Jung, Ming Zeng
Abstract:In the People's Republic of China (PRC), the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has remained stable despite frequent popular protests. Focusing on environmental protests, we attempt to explain how the CCP has utilized domestic news media to deal with protests and ensure regime stability. We chose five major protests against Para-Xylene (PX) and analyzed all of the People's Daily Online (PDO) articles thereon since 2007. From the Hu Jintao to Xi Jinping governments, PDO's collective portrayal of the anti-PX protests has dramatically changed from a symbol of democratic progress to an impediment to national industrialization and social stability. The systematically orchestrated media framing demonstrates that, instead of indiscriminately suppressing information on protests, the party has deliberately chosen when and what to permit and what images to project onto the protests. This article provides new insights into the CCP's media strategy for popular protest and sheds light on how China's authoritarian regime has maintained political legitimacy and social stability despite a considerable level of public discontent and deepening political oppression.
摘要:在中华人民共和国(PRC),尽管民众抗议活动频繁,但中国共产党(CCP)仍然保持稳定。以环境抗议活动为重点,我们试图解释中共如何利用国内新闻媒体来处理抗议活动并确保政权稳定。我们选取了五起针对对二甲苯(PX)的重大抗议事件,并分析了2007年以来人民网所有与之相关的文章。有系统地精心策划的媒体框架表明,共产党没有不分青红皂白地压制有关抗议活动的信息,而是故意选择何时允许,允许什么,以及将什么形象投射到抗议活动中。这篇文章提供了对中共大众抗议的媒体策略的新见解,并揭示了中国专制政权如何在公众不满和政治压迫加深的情况下保持政治合法性和社会稳定。
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引用次数: 0
Expanding the Radicalization Framework: A Case Study of Tajik Migration to Russia 扩大激进框架——以塔吉克移民俄罗斯为例
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2022.0019
S. Vuković, India Boland
Abstract:The purpose of this article is to explore what explains radicalization of migrant communities and their families in their home country. Contemporary scholarship on radicalization has identified a broad range of explanatory variables, such as poverty, discrimination and/or lack of social mobility, that have the capacity to push individuals toward violence and radical beliefs. Yet, there is still a significant gap in current literature over the question why entire ethnic or national migrant groups are more represented in radical groups than others despite similar experiences. Using the case of Tajik migrants in Russia this article posits that the legacy of collective grievances and cyclical, systemic injustices, rather than a specific or personal experience of discrimination or mistreatment, are more accurate in explaining radicalization. The article pays specific attention to the role of religious or social remittances and, given a shared set of experiences, the susceptibility of the migrant's own family in the home country to the same radical ideology—despite their never leaving their country's borders. The findings suggest that the home country context, the collective account of society, is a more substantial predictor of radicalization than reception alone.
摘要:本文旨在探讨移民社区及其家庭在本国激进化的原因。关于激进化的当代学术研究已经确定了广泛的解释变量,如贫困、歧视和/或缺乏社会流动性,这些变量有能力将个人推向暴力和激进信仰。然而,尽管经历相似,为什么整个民族或国家的移民群体在激进组织中比其他群体更有代表性,目前的文献中仍然存在重大差距。本文以塔吉克移民在俄罗斯的个案为例,认为在解释激进化时,更准确的是集体不满和周期性系统性不公正的遗留问题,而不是特定或个人的歧视或虐待经历。这篇文章特别关注了宗教或社会汇款的作用,以及基于共同的经历,移民自己在祖国的家庭对同样激进意识形态的敏感性——尽管他们从未离开过自己的国家。研究结果表明,母国背景,即社会的集体描述,比接受本身更能预测激进化。
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引用次数: 1
Chinese Perspectives on US Strategy in Asia, 2017–2021 中国对美国2017-2021年亚洲战略的看法
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2022.0016
Joel Wuthnow
Abstract:The architects of US strategy in Asia have advanced a bold vision for a "free and open Indo-Pacific" but have paid less attention to China's views and responses. This article surveys perceptions of Chinese strategists toward the Trump administration's regional approach, arguing that China's analytic community came to see US strategy as largely focused on the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue. The most frequent Chinese prescription was a wedge strategy to weaken support for the United States among the other three Quad states: Japan, India, and Australia. Evidence from Chinese public diplomacy during the Trump years is consistent with such an approach. Yet the increase in assertive actions targeting the Quad partners revealed other impulses guiding policymakers and ultimately brought the four states more closely together. The Biden administration has an opportunity to leverage China's inability to successfully execute a wedge strategy to strengthen support for US influence and goals in the region.
摘要:美国在亚洲战略的制定者提出了“自由开放的印太”的大胆愿景,但很少关注中国的观点和回应。这篇文章调查了中国战略家对特朗普政府地区做法的看法,认为中国的分析界开始认为美国的战略主要集中在四方安全对话上。中国最频繁的处方是采取楔形战略,以削弱对美国和其他三个四方国家(日本、印度和澳大利亚)的支持。特朗普时代中国公共外交的证据与这种做法是一致的。然而,针对四方合作伙伴的果断行动的增加揭示了指导政策制定者的其他冲动,并最终使四国更加紧密地团结在一起。拜登政府有机会利用中国无法成功实施楔形战略的优势,加强对美国在该地区影响力和目标的支持。
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引用次数: 1
The Benefit of the Wind: Testing the Rally Effect of North Korea Shocks during the Park Geun-hye Administration 风的好处:检验朴槿惠政府时期朝鲜冲击的反弹效应
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2022.0021
H. Choi, Minjin Choi, D. M. Kwag
Abstract:The "rally-'round-the-flag effect" sparked by North Korea (the so-called 'Northern Wind') has been an important part of South Korean domestic politics. Despite the long history and controversy associated with politics of Northern Wind, the literature provides surprisingly little quantitative evidence on this phenomenon. In this study, we empirically investigate the relationship between North Korean-induced incidents and former President Park Geun-hye's weekly job approval ratings. Using vector autoregressions, we find that (1) President Park gained political benefits from North Korea, where negative events (e.g., armed attacks) generated a larger boost in approval than positive events (e.g., high-level talks); (2) rally effects varied across regions according to different perceptions of the North Korean regime: during security crisis, Park received the largest rallies in Gyeongnam province where the dominant image of North Korea was an 'enemy that threatens our safety'; and (3) a test of nuclear weapons or intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) did not affect approval ratings even though it captured widespread media attention.
摘要:朝鲜引发的“北风效应”一直是韩国国内政治的重要组成部分。尽管北风的政治有着悠久的历史和争议,但关于这一现象的文献提供的定量证据却少得惊人。在本研究中,我们实证调查了朝鲜引发的事件与前总统朴槿惠每周工作支持率之间的关系。使用向量自回归,我们发现(1)朴槿惠总统从朝鲜获得了政治利益,其中负面事件(如武装袭击)比正面事件(如高层会谈)产生了更大的支持率提升;(2)不同地区对朝鲜政权的看法不同,集会效果也不同:在安全危机期间,朴槿惠在庆尚南道获得了最大的集会,那里对朝鲜的主要形象是“威胁我们安全的敌人”;(3)核武器或洲际弹道导弹(icbm)试验虽然引起了媒体的广泛关注,但并未影响支持率。
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引用次数: 0
Evolution of EU-DPRK Interactions: From Engagement to Stalemate 欧盟与朝鲜互动的演变:从接触到僵局
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1353/apr.2022.0022
J. Park, G. Spezza, B. Bridges
Abstract:The article examines the European Union (EU)'s policy toward and interactions with North Korea (DPRK) in order to answer the question, "To what extent, despite prima facie ruptures in the relationship, has the EU been engaged with the DPRK, which is conventionally understood as an unreliable state." Although the EU is seemingly inactive in North Korean affairs, yet it is a powerful institution that can play a significant role in the peacemaking process in Asia including on the Korean peninsula. This article explores, firstly, how the EU's policy toward Asia has evolved historically; secondly, how far such an agenda and principles have been implemented in the North Korean context; and finally, the extent to which previous practices pave the way for the two parties to be included in the process of forming a kind of extended regional governance in future. A common view is that the EU's strategical/political motivation for getting involved in North Korean affairs is negligible due to a lack of economic interests to counterbalance high political risks. This article highlights that, contrary to the common understanding of its soft issue-focused approach to Asia, the EU has been persistently engaged in DPRK affairs, notwithstanding the significant structural barriers. This role underpins the EU's growing intention and potential to enhance interactions under the aegis of comprehensive security (third generation cooperation) covering the economic, social, cultural, and human security-focused aspects of the relationship.
摘要:本文考察了欧盟(EU)对朝鲜的政策和与朝鲜的互动,以回答这样一个问题:“尽管双方关系初步破裂,但欧盟在多大程度上与朝鲜进行了接触,朝鲜通常被认为是一个不可靠的国家。”尽管欧盟在朝鲜事务中似乎不活跃,然而,它是一个强大的机构,可以在包括朝鲜半岛在内的亚洲和平进程中发挥重要作用。本文首先探讨了欧盟对亚洲政策的历史演变;第二,这样的议程和原则在朝鲜的背景下执行了多少;最后,之前的做法在多大程度上为两党在未来形成一种延伸的区域治理铺平了道路。一种普遍的观点是,由于缺乏平衡高政治风险的经济利益,欧盟参与朝鲜事务的战略/政治动机微不足道。这篇文章强调,尽管存在重大的结构性障碍,但欧盟一直坚持参与朝鲜事务,这与人们对其以软问题为重点的亚洲政策的普遍理解相反。这一作用支撑了欧盟日益增长的意图和潜力,即在全面安全(第三代合作)的支持下加强互动,涵盖关系中以经济、社会、文化和人类安全为重点的方面。
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引用次数: 0
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Asian Perspective
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