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La evolución de la ciencia política en Chile: un análisis exploratorio (1980-2000) 智利政治科学的演变:探索性分析(1980-2000)
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-11-26 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2005000100003
Alfredo Rehren, M. Fernández
Resumen Este articulo intenta llenar un vacio en el conocimiento de la evolucion de la disciplina desde su temprano inicio en la decada de los 60. Para hacerlo, analiza las publicaciones de revistas ya establecidas, la produccion de tesis de postgrado y el volumen y tipo de proyectos de investigacion emprendidos con recursos publicos desde los 80. Examinando los campos tradicionales de especializacion en la disciplina -teoria politica, relaciones internacionales, instituciones politicas, comportamiento politico, politicas publicas e historia politica- los autores concluyen que, en una disciplina crecientemente institucionalizada, existe un desequilibrio en su desarrollo y productividad entre los diferentes campos de especialidad como tambien al interior de ellos, donde existe una relacion desigual entre publicaciones, tesis de postgrado y proyectos de investigacion.
在这一领域,我们提出了一种新的方法,通过对不同的研究领域进行比较,并对其进行比较。本文分析了20世纪80年代以来利用公共资源进行的研究项目的数量和类型。传统especializacion在纪律审查这些领域-teoria政治、国际关系、政治政策、行为,公开政策机构和历史-作者得出的结论是,在一个政治纪律日益制度化,与生产力发展不均衡等不同专业领域也是他们,有一个关系不一样的出版物,研究生论文及研究项目。
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引用次数: 12
Venezuela: un equilibrio inestable 委内瑞拉,艾斯德班
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-24 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2019000200391
Dimitris V. Pantoulas, Jennifer McCoy
Venezuela’s descent into the abyss deepened in 2018. Half of the country’s GDP has been lost in the last five years; poverty and income inequality have deepened, erasing the previous gains from the earlier years of the Bolivarian Revolution. Significant economic reforms failed to contain the hyperination, and emigration accelerated to reach three million people between 2014 and 2018, ten percent of the population. Politically, the government of Nicolas Maduro completed its authoritarian turn following the failed Santo Domingo dialogue in February, and called for an early election in May 2018. Maduro’s victory amidst a partial opposition boycott and international condemnation set the stage for a major constitutional clash in January 2019, when the world was divided between acknowledging Maduro’s second term or an opposition-declared interim president, Juan Guaido.
2018年,委内瑞拉进一步坠入深渊。在过去的五年里,这个国家的GDP损失了一半;贫困和收入不平等加剧,抵消了玻利瓦尔革命早期取得的成果。重大的经济改革未能遏制这种过度膨胀,2014年至2018年期间,移民人数加速增加,达到300万人,占人口的10%。在政治上,尼古拉斯·马杜罗(Nicolas Maduro)政府在2月份圣多明各对话失败后完成了威权主义转向,并呼吁在2018年5月提前举行选举。马杜罗在反对派部分抵制和国际社会谴责的情况下获胜,为2019年1月的重大宪法冲突创造了条件,当时世界在承认马杜罗的第二任期和反对派宣布的临时总统胡安·瓜伊多之间存在分歧。
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引用次数: 9
Uruguay en el 2018: un año de señales mixtas y preguntas abiertas 2018年乌拉圭:信号混合和开放式问题的一年
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-24 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2019000200367
Erica Townsend-Bell
Uruguay faced significant headwinds in 2018. The Frente Amplio is confronting a slowing economy, and its most challenging election yet. Overall, economic growth is positive, but reduced from the previous year; inflation, unemployment, and the deficit are above target rates. After the loss of a deputy in 2016, the Frente returned to a strong legislative efficiency rate in 2018. However, the party remains vexed by President Tabare Vazquez’s ever lower approval rating, which dipped to a nadir of 30% by year’s end. The party’s challenges are extensive. Economic stagnation, low presidential approval ratings, a slim parliamentary majority, and disaffected voters fuse to create substantial unpredictability for the 2019 elections and the country’s future political configuration.
乌拉圭在2018年面临重大阻力。阿普里奥阵线面临着经济放缓,以及迄今为止最具挑战性的选举。总体而言,经济增长是积极的,但比上年有所下降;通货膨胀、失业率和赤字都高于目标利率。在2016年失去一名议员后,阵线在2018年恢复了强劲的立法效率。然而,该党仍然对总统塔瓦雷·巴斯克斯(Tabare Vazquez)越来越低的支持率感到恼火,该支持率在年底跌至30%的最低点。中国共产党面临着广泛的挑战。经济停滞、总统支持率低、议会微弱多数以及不满的选民融合在一起,给2019年的选举和该国未来的政治格局带来了很大的不可预测性。
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引用次数: 1
Guatemala 2018: frente a una encrucijada constitucional 危地马拉2018:面临宪法十字路口
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-24 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2019000200265
Kate Brannum
Guatemalan politics were dominated in 2018 by political strife between the Jimmy Morales administration and the International Commission against Impunity in Guatemala (CICIG). The most pressing issues in Guatemala continue to be corruption and the weakness of the rule-of-law. The year began with but guarded optimism that CICIG could continue its work despite worries about the President’s commitment to democracy, but ended with a constitutional crisis that threatened CICIG’s work in Guatemala. With general elections approaching in 2019, democracy in Guatemala hangs in the balance. However, at the end of 2018, the makeup of the election was still in doubt and Guatemala was in a constitutional crisis that has not been resolved.
2018年,吉米·莫拉莱斯(Jimmy Morales)政府与危地马拉反对有罪不罚国际委员会(CICIG)之间的政治冲突主导了危地马拉政治。危地马拉最紧迫的问题仍然是腐败和法治的薄弱。这一年开始时,尽管人们担心总统对民主的承诺,但CICIG仍能继续开展工作,这是一种谨慎的乐观情绪,但在年底,CICIG在危地马拉的工作受到了宪法危机的威胁。随着2019年大选的临近,危地马拉的民主前途未定。然而,在2018年底,选举的构成仍然存在疑问,危地马拉处于一场尚未解决的宪法危机中。
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引用次数: 3
Argentina 2018: acechada por la inestabilidad una vez más 2018年阿根廷:再次被不稳定所困扰
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-24 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2019000200129
Ana Margheritis
2018 was a rocky year for Argentina. Economic instability put it on the brink of crisis again and eroded the government’s credibility. This article provides an analysis of the main social, political and economic events affecting Argentina’s domestic politics and foreign policy. It accounts for selected issues, with an emphasis on changes in public policies and implications for the upcoming years. The argumentative thread focuses on the consequences of Argentina’s being haunted by the spectre of another debacle. Within changes in public policies, the focus is on the end of a gradual approach to structural changes and initiatives related to population and human mobility across borders—a policy area that has required increasing attention and resources of late.
2018年对阿根廷来说是艰难的一年。经济不稳定使其再次处于危机的边缘,并削弱了政府的信誉。本文分析了影响阿根廷国内政治和外交政策的主要社会、政治和经济事件。它说明了选定的问题,重点是公共政策的变化及其对未来几年的影响。争论的焦点是阿根廷被另一场崩溃的幽灵所困扰的后果。在公共政策的变化方面,重点是结束对结构变化和与人口和人员跨境流动有关的倡议采取渐进的办法,这是一个最近需要越来越多的关注和资源的政策领域。
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引用次数: 2
Aventuras de una noche y compromisos de largo plazo. Aprobación presidencial de Sebastián Piñera en Chile, 2009-2014 一夜情和长期承诺。2009-2014年,智利总统批准sebastian pinera
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-06-27 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2019000100049
P. Navia, Lucas Perelló
In 2010, Sebastian Pinera (2010-2014) became the first rightwing President of Chile after the dictatorship. His approval fluctuated significantly, experiencing an overall downward decline. Under favorable economic conditions, declining presidential approval must be explained by things other than economic vote. Using logistic regression models and predicted probabilities based on presidential approval polls, we test four hypotheses on the determinants of approval for Pinera: a punishment vote against the Concertacion, support tied to economic performance, issue-based support, and the cost of ruling. There is evidence in support of each of the four hypotheses. Although voting for Pinera might have been a one-night stand, economic vote determinants and, to a lesser extent, issue salience and the cost of ruling explain presidential approval under Pinera.
2010年,塞巴斯蒂安·皮涅拉(Sebastian Pinera, 2010-2014)成为智利独裁统治后首位右翼总统。他的支持率大幅波动,整体呈下降趋势。在有利的经济条件下,总统支持率下降的原因必须是经济选票以外的原因。使用逻辑回归模型和基于总统支持率民意调查的预测概率,我们测试了四个关于皮涅拉支持率决定因素的假设:对Concertacion的惩罚投票,与经济表现相关的支持,基于问题的支持以及执政成本。这四种假设都有证据支持。虽然投票给皮涅拉可能是一夜情,但经济投票的决定因素,在较小程度上,问题的突出性和统治成本解释了皮涅拉的总统支持率。
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引用次数: 1
¿Existe el voto programático en elecciones con un sistema de partidos políticos débil? Un análisis de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2016 在政党制度薄弱的选举中是否存在程序性投票?2016年秘鲁总统选举分析·全球之声
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-02 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2018000300429
David Sulmont
This paper analyzes the importance of programmatic differences between political parties in guiding electoral choices among voters. Even in circumstances of low party system institutionalization and high electoral volatility, citizens can differentiate politicians’ different programmatic stances on controversial issues and decide their vote according to their own preferences. Using the Peruvian presidential elections of 2016 as a case study, the study analyzed the relevance of three political dimensions and attitudes for electoral choice: left- wing orientations; attitudes toward government intervention in the economy (“economic statism”); and attitudes toward the discretional use of political power in government (“firm hand”).
本文分析了政党纲领差异在指导选民选举选择中的重要性。即使在政党制度制度化程度低、选举波动性高的情况下,公民也可以区分政治家在争议问题上的不同纲领立场,并根据自己的偏好来决定自己的投票。该研究以2016年秘鲁总统选举为例,分析了三个政治维度与选举选择态度的相关性:左翼倾向;对政府干预经济的态度(“经济国家主义”);以及对政府酌情使用政治权力的态度(“坚定的手”)。
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引用次数: 2
Buscando al “juez mediano”: estudio sobre la formación de coaliciones en la tercera sala de la Corte Suprema 寻找“中级法官”:最高法院第三庭联盟形成研究
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-02 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2018000300485
D. Lorenzo, Flavia Carbonell Bellolio
This work adapts the traditional methodology of dissent analysis for approaching to the judicial behavior of the Chilean Supreme Court between 2009 and 2013, particularly its Third Section. Although the high proportion of unanimous decisions (90% of the total) and the huge workload (500 cases per judge) generate limitations, our analysis finds robust coalitions in an environment of variability with over 10 different compositions per year in the same court. Within this period, the behavior of the court seems dominated by the coalition of justices Pierry, Carreno and Araneda, who form the majority when the court splits. Regarding the dissenting justices, the first part of the period features an opposition with Brito, and the second with Munoz. Whereas both justices appear in a solitary position as the minority, Pierry seems to behave as a “median justice.”
这项工作采用了传统的异议分析方法来研究2009年至2013年智利最高法院的司法行为,特别是其第三部分。虽然一致判决的高比例(占总数的90%)和巨大的工作量(每位法官500个案件)产生了限制,但我们的分析发现,在一个每年在同一法院有超过10个不同组成的变化环境中,强有力的联盟。在此期间,法院的行为似乎由法官皮埃里、卡雷诺和阿拉内达组成的联盟主导,他们在法院分裂时构成多数。关于持不同意见的法官,这一时期的第一部分是布里托的反对,第二部分是穆尼奥斯的反对。尽管两位大法官都以少数派的身份单独出现,但皮埃里似乎表现得像一位“中间大法官”。
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引用次数: 1
Respeto y Retribución: la pena jurídica en La metafísica de las costumbres 尊重与惩罚:道德形而上学中的法律惩罚
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-02 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2018000300507
J. Mañalich
The paper offers a reading of the section of the The Metaphysics of Morals in which Kant advances a secular conception of the legitimation of legal punishment, based upon the postulation of a (meta-)principle of respect as normative premise. On this basis, the precise meaning of the characterization of penal law as a “categorical imperative” is addressed, as well as the status of the “right of retribution” as standard for the commensuration of punishment. In this way, the paper seeks to undermine the linkage of Kant’s conception with the leitmotiv of a metaphysical realization of justice, as well as its interpretation as a version of a mixed theory, which would allegedly combine a deterrence goal with a mere side-constraint of desert-based proportionality.
本文提供了对《道德形而上学》部分的解读,其中康德提出了法律惩罚合法化的世俗概念,该概念基于作为规范前提的尊重(元)原则的假设。在此基础上,本文探讨了将刑法定性为“绝对命令”的确切含义,以及“惩戒权”作为量刑标准的地位。通过这种方式,本文试图破坏康德概念与正义的形而上学实现的主旨的联系,以及将其解释为混合理论的版本,该理论据称将威慑目标与基于沙漠的比例性的仅仅侧约束结合起来。
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引用次数: 0
Cuba 2017: the end of an era 2017年的古巴:一个时代的终结
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-08-16 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2018000200259
Teresa Castro, P. Brenner
In 2017, Cuba prepared itself for a momentous change that was coming in 2018: the first time in 59 years that a Castro would not be leading the government. No one expects Miguel Diaz-Canel Bermudez, whom the National Assembly elected as Cuba’s president in April 2018, to chart a course dramatically different from the one President Raul Castro had established. However, given the economic, demographic, and international political challenges Cuba faced in 2017, the year had to be viewed as the end of an era. Change is inevitable in order to sustain the Cuban Revolution. DOI:  http://dx.doi.org/10.4067/s0718-090x2018000200259
2017年,古巴为2018年即将到来的重大变革做好了准备:59年来,卡斯特罗家族的人首次不再领导政府。没有人指望国民议会在2018年4月选举为古巴总统的米格尔·迪亚斯-卡内尔·贝穆德斯(Miguel Diaz-Canel Bermudez)会制定一条与劳尔·卡斯特罗(Raul Castro)总统制定的道路截然不同的道路。然而,考虑到古巴在2017年面临的经济、人口和国际政治挑战,这一年不得不被视为一个时代的终结。为了维持古巴革命,变革是不可避免的。DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.4067/s0718 - 090 x2018000200259
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Revista De Ciencia Politica
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