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Mexico 2019: Personalistic Politics and Neoliberalism from the Left 墨西哥2019:左派的个人主义政治和新自由主义
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-090x2020005000113
Mariano Sánchez Talanquer
This article analyzes President Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s (AMLO) first year in power. It argues that his government is hostage to deep-seated fragilities in the Mexican state apparatus, which are structurally constraining its ability to deliver results. Yet rather than addressing institutional deficiencies, decisions made by the new government have further compromised the state’s weak capabilities. Under the premise of extirpating the old neoliberal order, AMLO has centralized decision-making in the national executive, cultivated personalistic linkages, discarded inherited institutions, and implemented an aggressive fiscal austerity program. These measures have impaired the functioning of the bureaucracy and limited the prospects for greater social inclusion. Fiscal austerity, a quasi-religious moralizing discourse, and an increased reliance on the military for policy implementation mark a conservative turn. Attempts to weaken independent centers of power and AMLO’s propensity to demonize opponents may not escalate into a full authoritarian reversal, but they have eroded the conditions for pluralistic politics and rational public deliberation. Overall, the “Fourth Transformation” has missed opportunities to democratically strengthen the state and lay the groundwork for progressive social change.
这篇文章分析了安德列姆斯·曼努埃尔López奥夫拉多尔总统执政的第一年。它认为,他的政府受制于墨西哥国家机器根深蒂固的脆弱性,这种脆弱性从结构上限制了政府取得成果的能力。然而,新政府做出的决定非但没有解决体制上的缺陷,反而进一步损害了政府薄弱的能力。在消灭旧的新自由主义秩序的前提下,奥夫拉多将决策权集中在国家行政部门,培养个人联系,抛弃继承下来的制度,实施激进的财政紧缩计划。这些措施损害了官僚机构的运作,限制了扩大社会包容的前景。财政紧缩、一种准宗教的道德化话语,以及在政策执行上越来越依赖军队,这些都标志着保守派的转向。削弱独立权力中心的企图和奥夫拉多妖魔化对手的倾向可能不会升级为完全的专制逆转,但它们已经侵蚀了多元政治和理性公众审议的条件。总的来说,“第四次转型”错过了民主地加强国家和为渐进式社会变革奠定基础的机会。
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引用次数: 4
Chile's 2019 October Protests and the Student Movement: Eventful Mobilization? 智利2019年10月抗议与学生运动:事件动员?
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-090x2020005000106
Indira Palacios-Valladares
A wave of massive, at times violent, protests raged in Chile from October to December of 2019, opening new possibilities for the country’s politics. This paper investigates to what extent these events affected the organization, identity, and strategies of a pivotal actor in the cycle and, for the past two decades, an important driver of domestic political change: the student movement. Based on a qualitative analysis of media coverage and in-depth interviews with key student movement figures, it argues that, although the events in question were a national turning point, they did not necessarily constitute a critical juncture for the student movement. In explaining this somewhat paradoxical outcome, the paper supports the established view that the transformative impact of protest events on social movements depends on the strength of the movement’s organization and the character of its protest repertoires. In addition, it also highlights that some factors overlooked by the broader social movement literature --including the eventfulness of antecedent mobilization and the locus of protest-mediate the consequences of protest events on the movements involved.
2019年10月至12月,智利爆发了一波大规模、有时甚至是暴力的抗议活动,为该国政治开辟了新的可能性。本文调查了这些事件在多大程度上影响了周期中一个关键角色的组织、身份和策略,以及过去二十年来国内政治变革的重要推动力:学生运动。基于对媒体报道的定性分析和对主要学生运动人物的深度访谈,它认为,尽管所讨论的事件是一个全国性的转折点,但它们并不一定构成学生运动的关键时刻。在解释这个有点矛盾的结果时,本文支持了一个既定的观点,即抗议事件对社会运动的变革性影响取决于运动组织的力量和抗议活动的特点。此外,它还强调了一些被更广泛的社会运动文献所忽视的因素——包括事前动员的事件性和抗议的地点——调解了抗议事件对相关运动的影响。
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引用次数: 8
It's (Almost) Always the Economy: Economic Performance and Political Realignments in Argentina in 2019 (几乎)总是经济:2019年阿根廷的经济表现和政治调整
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-090x2020005000104
Ana Carolina Garriga, J. Negri
© 2020, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile. All rights reserved. This article analyzes the last year of the Mauricio Macri’s administration in Argentina, and the accession of Alberto Fernandez to power. We present a survey of the economic situation in 2019, the most important issues in the political agenda, and the political developments around the presidential election. We argue that the inability of the government to deliver on the economic front, and a realignment in the opposition, marked by Cristina Fernandez unexpectedly stepping down as presidential candidate, explain why Mauricio Macri was unable to get reelected.
©2020,智利天主教大学。版权所有。本文分析了毛里西奥·马克里政府在阿根廷的最后一年,以及阿尔贝托·费尔南德斯上台。我们对2019年的经济形势、政治议程中最重要的问题以及围绕总统选举的政治发展进行了调查。我们认为,政府在经济方面的无能,以及以克里斯蒂娜•费尔南德斯(Cristina Fernandez)意外辞去总统候选人身份为标志的反对派重组,解释了毛里西奥•马克里(Mauricio Macri)无法连任的原因。
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引用次数: 1
The First Year of Bolsonaro in Office: Same Old Story, Same Old Song? 博索纳罗执政第一年:老故事,老歌?
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-090x2020005000103
Octávio Amorim Neto, Gabriel Alves Pimenta
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引用次数: 6
Uruguay 2019: Fin del ciclo progresista y reestructura del sistema de partidos 乌拉圭2019年:进步周期的结束和政党制度的重组
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-090x2020005000117
Lihuen Nocetto, R. Piñeiro, Fernando Rosenblatt
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引用次数: 4
Venezuela 2019: A Tale of Two Presidents 2019年的委内瑞拉:两位总统的故事
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-090x2020005000118
Adriana Boersner
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引用次数: 3
Espacios políticos y estilo alto-bajo. Un análisis de dirigentes provinciales, a partir de juicios de expertos en Argentina 2015 政治空间和高低风格。基于2015年阿根廷专家判断的省级领导人分析
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-26 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-090x2020000100095
Diego Reynoso, Gonzalo Vronkistinos
En este articulo se estima la posicion de los principales dirigentes provinciales segun su estilo Low (bajo o informal-popular) o High (alto o sobrio-refinado), en la terminologia de Pierre Ostiguy. Para lograr eso se realizo una encuesta en cada una de las provincias a expertos en politica provincial. En total se consultaron a 191 expertos. El trabajo ofrece la estimacion promedio de 117 politicos provinciales, asi como el error estandar de esas estimaciones, y se pone a prueba la hipotesis acerca de que las diferencias en el estilo estan asociadas a la pertenencia a un espacio  politico. En otras palabras, que los politicos panperonistas tienden a tener un estilo Low y los no peronistas, y en especial los de Cambiemos, un estilo High.
在这篇文章中,我们根据皮埃尔·奥斯蒂盖(Pierre Ostiguy)的术语,根据他们的低(低或非正式流行)或高(高或高雅)风格来评估主要省级领导人的地位。为了实现这一目标,在每个省对省级政治专家进行了调查。共咨询了191名专家。在这篇文章中,我们提出了一种假设,即政治风格的差异与政治空间的成员身份有关,这一假设是基于对117名省级政治家的平均估计,以及这些估计的标准误差。换句话说,泛庇隆主义的政客倾向于低风格,而非庇隆主义的政客,尤其是Cambiemos的政客,倾向于高风格。
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引用次数: 0
Participar o no participar: análisis tipológico de la participación ciudadana de los mexicanos 参与或不参与:墨西哥公民参与的类型学分析
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-26 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-090x2020000100049
F. Nieto, Fernanda Somouano
The lack of political participation is usually identified with apathy and disenchantment with democracy. However, little has been theorized and studied about the relationship between political participation and other forms of civic involvement, including the possibility that some citizens prefer to participate outside of or at the margins of institutional politics. In this study, we analyze different forms of political and community participation. We begin with the assumption that lack of participation in politics does not necessarily imply lack of citizen’s participation altogether. Based on survey data, we identify types based on different empirical patterns of participation in Mexico. The typological k-means analysis shows that at least four types of participation can be identified: conventional, apathetic, apolitical and hyperactive. Through a multinomial model we examine the bases of this typology.
缺乏政治参与通常被认为是冷漠和对民主不再抱有幻想。然而,关于政治参与与其他形式的公民参与之间关系的理论化和研究很少,包括一些公民更愿意参与制度政治之外或边缘的可能性。在本研究中,我们分析了不同形式的政治和社区参与。我们首先假设,缺乏政治参与并不一定意味着完全缺乏公民参与。根据调查数据,我们根据墨西哥参与的不同经验模式确定了类型。类型学k-均值分析表明,至少可以识别出四种参与类型:传统的、冷漠的、不关心政治的和过度活跃的。通过一个多项模型,我们研究了这种类型的基础。
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引用次数: 3
¿Fuego amigo? El desgaste de las primarias competitivas en la provincia de Buenos Aires ¿光朋友?布宜诺斯艾利斯省竞争性初选的磨损
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-26 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-090x2020000100001
P. Clerici, F. Cruz, Lara Goyburo
Does a competitive primary generate a damage to parties? Literature emphasizes that the electoral effect could be negative in the Latin American party system. Here we show that a competitive primary affect parties negatively because they lose considerable voters in between the two elections. When factional competition generates friction among candidates, leaders and militants, a negative impact occurs within the political space. This results in the possibility that the candidate who wins the primary receives “friendly fire”.
竞争性初选会对政党造成损害吗?文献强调,拉丁美洲政党制度的选举效应可能是负面的。在这里,我们表明竞争性初选对政党产生负面影响,因为他们在两次选举之间失去了相当多的选民。当派系竞争在候选人、领导人和武装分子之间产生摩擦时,就会在政治空间内产生负面影响。这就有可能导致赢得初选的候选人受到“友军攻击”。
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引用次数: 3
La judicialización de la protesta y sus resultados: una tipología de la movilización legal en el Chile post-transición (1990-2018) 抗议的司法化及其结果:转型后智利法律动员的类型学(1990-2018)
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-26 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-090x2020000100073
Anita Perricone
There is abundant literature on the outcomes of legal mobilization, although there is no agreement on its effective influence on decision-making. This article explains the outcomes of different uses of legal mobilization by exploring the organizational resources, political and legal opportunities held by a series of actors who mobilized the law during the period under study. Based on the observation of these variables, four uses of legal mobilization are identified: residual by environmental organizations; exclusive by private health insurance affiliates; predominant by the anti-day after pill movement; symbolic by sexual minorities. It is argued that legal mobilization effectively influenced decision-making only when used in a symbolic way.
关于法律动员的结果有大量的文献,尽管对其对决策的有效影响没有一致意见。本文通过探讨在研究期间一系列动员法律的行动者所拥有的组织资源、政治和法律机会,来解释不同运用法律动员的结果。根据对这些变量的观察,确定了法律动员的四种用途:环境组织的残余;私人健康保险附属公司独家提供;以反对事后避孕药运动为主;是性少数群体的象征。有人认为,法律动员只有在象征性地使用时才能有效地影响决策。
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引用次数: 3
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Revista De Ciencia Politica
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