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Knowledge-based view of the firm and the phenomenon of knowledge encapsulation 基于知识的企业观和知识封装现象
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-07 DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2024-1-115-136
V. Maltsev, A. Yudanov
The article is devoted to the development of the knowledge-based approach to the theory of the firm (KBV). It is noted that the modern mainstream KBV (R. Grant (1996) and numerous followers) sees the nature of the firm in effective integration of the knowledge of specialists employed in it. The article proposes to supplement this analysis with the second important function of the firm — its role as an encapsulator of knowledge. The foundations of such an approach to knowledge were laid by H. Demsetz, but have not yet been developed in the literature. The essence of encapsulation is to reduce complete knowledge to an algorithm of actions sufficient to achieve the goal, which is possible, say, with the help of instructions, directions of the manager, built in constructive “foolproofing”, etc. The compiler of the instruction does not integrate his knowledge with the knowledge of its performer, but prescribes the unquestioned implementation of the algorithm of behaviour. Thus, huge cost savings are achieved on the training of performers. The article considers the limiting case — the scheme of the firm functioning as a pure encapsulator of knowledge, the Markov property of the process is substantiated. The role of the entrepreneur as an architect and manager of the knowledge encapsulation scheme is revealed. At the same time, significant negative aspects of production based on the widespread use of encapsulated (incomplete — you do what you do not understand) knowledge are analyzed. In particular, the non-creative nature of labour in the encapsulationbased firm (a particular manifestation of which is the slow spread of horizontally organized or teal firms) and the threat of disqualification of performers when combining encapsulation with artificial intelligence are discussed
这篇文章专门论述了以知识为基础的企业理论(KBV)方法的发展。文章指出,现代主流知识型企业理论(R. Grant (1996) 及其众多追随者)认为,企业的本质在于有效整合企业中雇用的专家的知识。本文建议用企业的第二个重要功能--作为知识的封装者--来补充这一分析。德姆塞茨(H. Demsetz)为这种知识方法奠定了基础,但尚未在文献中得到发展。封装的本质是将完整的知识还原为足以实现目标的行动算法,例如,借助指令、管理者的指示、内置的建设性 "傻瓜化 "等来实现。指令的编制者并不将自己的知识与执行者的知识结合起来,而是规定毫无疑问地执行行为算法。因此,在培训表演者方面节省了大量成本。文章考虑了极限情况--公司作为知识的纯粹封装者的计划,证实了该过程的马尔可夫特性。文章揭示了企业家作为知识封装计划的设计者和管理者的作用。同时,还分析了在广泛使用封装知识(不完整--你做你不了解的事)的基础上进行生产的重大负面影响。特别是,讨论了在基于封装的公司中劳动的非创造性(其具体表现是横向组织或茶色公司的传播缓慢),以及在将封装与人工智能相结合时,执行者被取消资格的威胁。
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引用次数: 0
Soaring public debt: Return of financial repression and high inflation? 公共债务飙升:金融抑制和高通胀卷土重来?
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-07 DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2024-1-33-51
Y. A. HSE University, S. E. Pekarski
The global economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has once again shown the key role of fiscal stimulus. At the same time, in many developed countries, stimulating monetary policy was limited by the already achieved zero interest rates. But the fight against the consequences of the coronavirus with fiscal policy instruments had a negative effect in the form of an increase in the state budget deficit and, as a result, in public debt. According to the Institute of International Finance (IMF), by the end of 2022, global debt reached $297 trillion, or 349%. The public debt in the world reached 102% of GDP in 2022, which is a historically high value since the 1960s. In 2023, global debt continued to grow in nominal terms: according to the IMF, in Q1 2023, it has already increased by $8.3 trillion to $305 trillion. The risks of rapid growth in public debt in developed and developing countries were even before the COVID-19 pandemic. But after a period of stimulus fiscal measures in 2020—2021 the public debt problem has worsened, raising fears that the practice of financial repression could become a reality for the next decade. Accelerating global inflation increases incentives for governments to use financial repression to eliminate the public debt burden. At the same time, financial repression, in turn, may imply a decrease in the effectiveness of the inflation targeting policy, as a result of which there are risks that high inflation will become more sustainable.
由 COVID-19 大流行病引发的全球经济危机再次显示了财政刺激的关键作用。同时,在许多发达国家,刺激性货币政策受到了已经实现的零利率的限制。但是,用财政政策手段应对冠状病毒的后果却产生了负面影响,即国家预算赤字增加,从而导致公共债务增加。根据国际金融研究所(IMF)的数据,到 2022 年底,全球债务将达到 297 万亿美元,即 349%。2022 年,全球公共债务达到国内生产总值的 102%,这是自 20 世纪 60 年代以来的历史最高值。2023 年,全球债务按名义价值计算继续增长:根据国际货币基金组织的数据,2023 年第一季度,全球债务已经增加了 8.3 万亿美元,达到 305 万亿美元。发达国家和发展中国家公共债务快速增长的风险甚至在 COVID-19 大流行之前就已存在。但在 2020-2021 年采取了一段时间的刺激性财政措施后,公共债务问题更加恶化,这让人担心金融压制的做法可能在未来十年成为现实。全球通胀加速增加了政府利用金融压制来消除公共债务负担的动机。与此同时,金融抑制反过来又可能意味着通胀目标政策的有效性下降,因此存在着高通胀将变得更加可持续的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of public spending composition in the Russian regions 俄罗斯各地区公共支出构成的决定因素
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-07 DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2024-1-5-32
E. T. Gurvich, N. Krasnopeeva
We build factor models of the regional budgets spending composition, based on data for 2011—2019. Our estimates reveal that expenditure on social security, public health, and education have relatively low elasticity by fiscal revenue (0.6—0.7), On the contrary, national economy and housing expenditure have the highest elasticity (1.3—1.7), while culture and general public services expenditure are characterized with medium elasticity (0.8—0.9). The major econometric tool used for the analysis is quantile regression that allows to detect heterogeneity of expenditure relations with various factors. The dependence of fiscal revenues is homogenous only for social security, public health, and housing, while for other types of expenditure this relationship differs between regions with high and low fiscal revenue. We suggest procedure to identify individual ‘spending preferences’ of particular regions and classify all regions depending on their top spending priorities. Regions with a larger value of the gross regional product most often have education and social security as their priority while other regions mainly have national economy spending as a priority.
根据 2011-2019 年的数据,我们建立了地区预算支出构成的因素模型。我们的估计结果显示,社会保障、公共卫生和教育支出受财政收入影响的弹性相对较低(0.6-0.7),相反,国民经济和住房支出的弹性最高(1.3-1.7),而文化和一般公共服务支出的弹性为中等(0.8-0.9)。分析中使用的主要计量经济学工具是量化回归,它可以发现支出与各种因素之间的异质性关系。只有社会保障、公共卫生和住房对财政收入的依赖是同质的,而对于其他类型的支出,财政收入高的地区和财政收入低的地区之间的这种关系是不同的。我们提出了识别特定地区个人 "支出偏好 "的程序,并根据其最优先支出项目对所有地区进行分类。地区生产总值较大的地区通常优先考虑教育和社会保障,而其他地区则主要优先考虑国民经济支出。
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引用次数: 0
Alcohol policy in Russia in the last decade: A movement backwards 过去十年俄罗斯的酒精政策:倒退
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-07 DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2024-1-75-93
M. Kolosnitsyna
Since the mid-nineties of this century, Russia has intensified its state policy of combating excessive alcohol consumption. In particular, a minimum price threshold for vodka was introduced, excise taxes on alcohol in alcoholic beverages were substantially increased, and a mandatory ban on nighttime retail sales was introduced. A number of studies using Russian microdata have confirmed the effectiveness of these measures. From 2007 to 2017, the dynamics of alcohol consumption by the Russian population did show a consistent decline. Many researchers, both Russian and foreign, considered this trend as a success of government policy. Recently, however, official statistics have noted an annual increase in the consumption of alcoholic beverages: from 7.2 liters of pure alcohol per capita adult population in 2017 to 7.7 in 2021. Why has the alcohol policy, designed initially in line with international best practices, not reduced consumption in recent years? This article analyzes the practice of applying price and restrictive measures for the last 10 years on the basis of Rosstat data, federal and regional legislation. Excise duties and minimum vodka prices in real terms are calculated, as well as indices of the ratio of alcoholic beverage prices and average wages. The real excise taxes and prices for alcoholic beverages decreased after 2014, making them more affordable for consumers. After 2017, there is no increase in the number of Russian territories applying stricter temporary restrictions on alcohol trade compared to the norm of the federal law. Today, almost half of the country’s population lives in regions with the mildest possible time limits on alcohol sales that do not constrain its physical availability. We have to admit that the alcohol policy is inconsistent. The formal application of price and restrictive measures in the last decade has not prevented the growth of alcohol consumption.
自本世纪九十年代中期以来,俄罗斯加强了打击过度饮酒的国家政策。其中,伏特加酒的最低价格门槛被引入,含酒精饮料中的酒精消费税被大幅提高,夜间零售的强制性禁令也被引入。一些使用俄罗斯微观数据进行的研究证实了这些措施的有效性。从 2007 年到 2017 年,俄罗斯人口的酒精消费动态确实呈现出持续下降的趋势。许多俄罗斯和外国研究人员都认为这一趋势是政府政策的成功。然而最近,官方统计数据显示,酒精饮料的消费量每年都在增加:从 2017 年成年人口人均 7.2 升纯酒精增加到 2021 年的 7.7 升。为什么最初按照国际最佳做法设计的酒精政策近年来没有降低消费量?本文以俄罗斯统计局数据、联邦和地区立法为基础,分析了近十年来实施价格和限制措施的做法。文章计算了消费税和伏特加最低实际价格,以及酒精饮料价格与平均工资的比率指数。2014 年后,酒精饮料的实际消费税和价格下降,使消费者更能负担得起。2017 年后,与联邦法律规范相比,对酒类贸易实施更严格临时限制的俄罗斯地区数量没有增加。如今,全国近一半的人口生活在对酒类销售实行最温和的时间限制的地区,这些地区并不限制酒类的实际供应。我们不得不承认,酒类政策是不一致的。在过去的十年中,价格和限制措施的正式实施并没有阻止酒类消费的增长。
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引用次数: 0
Time for women (Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences 2023) 女性的时代(2023 年诺贝尔经济学奖)
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-07 DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2024-1-52-74
A. L. Lukyanova
The 2023 Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded to Claudia Goldin for her contribution to the study of women’s labor market outcomes. Goldin’s work establishes key historical facts regarding gender differences in the labor markets and provides insights into the driving forces of those gaps. Her methodology combines careful archival research, neoclassical microeconomic analysis, a cohort approach, and the use of natural experiments to identify causal relationships. This paper provides a survey of Goldin’s research on the relationship between economic development and the female labor supply, occupational segmentation, women’s educational attainment, discrimination, child penalty, and job flexibility. I also discuss how Goldin’s findings are relevant to understanding the gender gaps in Russia.
2023 年诺贝尔经济学奖授予了克劳迪娅-戈尔丁(Claudia Goldin),以表彰她对妇女劳动力市场成果研究的贡献。戈尔丁的研究确立了有关劳动力市场性别差异的重要历史事实,并深入揭示了造成这些差距的动因。她的研究方法结合了细致的档案研究、新古典微观经济分析、队列研究法和自然实验来确定因果关系。本文概述了戈尔丁对经济发展与女性劳动力供给、职业细分、女性受教育程度、歧视、子女惩罚和工作灵活性之间关系的研究。我还讨论了戈尔丁的研究成果如何与理解俄罗斯的性别差距相关。
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引用次数: 0
Economic education as a mirror of interdisciplinary discourse 经济教育是跨学科讨论的一面镜子
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-07 DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2024-1-137-153
A. Shastitko
The article continues to discuss options for the modernization of higher economic education in Russia, including those provisions that are presented in two articles: by A. Auzan, A. Maltsev and A. Kurdin (Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2023, No. 10) and by A. Buzgalin and A. Kolganov (Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2023, No. 11). Questions are formulated to clarify the position and further discussion. It is proposed to consider the modernization of economic education through the prism of structural alternatives for building an interdisciplinary discourse, as well as the demand for expert knowledge based on applied scientific research from business and the state. Special attention is paid to the significance of heterodox economic theories, as well as to the description of the image of the desired future economic education. The following principles of its construction are formulated: sufficient conceptual pluralism; setting up filters to maintain research quality standards and navigate within a disciplinary area; forming research coalitions; restructuring of curricula in the context of “building bridges” between research programs.
文章继续讨论俄罗斯高等经济教育现代化的选择方案,包括两篇文章中提出的规定:A. Auzan、A. Maltsev和A. Kurdin的文章(《职业经济学》,2023年第10期)和A. Buzgalin和A. Kolganov的文章(《职业经济学》,2023年第11期)。为澄清立场和进一步讨论提出了问题。建议从建立跨学科论述的结构性替代方案以及企业和国家对基于应用科学研究的专家知识的需求的角度来考虑经济教育的现代化问题。我们特别关注异端经济理论的重要性,以及对未来理想经济教育形象的描述。本文提出了以下构建原则:充分的概念多元化;建立过滤器以保持研究质量标准并在学科领域内导航;形成研究联盟;在研究项目之间 "架设桥梁 "的背景下重组课程。
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引用次数: 0
Microfoundations of dominance of fundamentalism in economic policy: Is there an antidote? 原教旨主义在经济政策中占主导地位的微观基础:有解药吗?
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-07 DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2024-1-94-114
N. Pavlova, A. Shastitko
The article examines the possible reasons for the dominance of fundamentalism( in the form of Pigouvianism or market fundamentalism) over functionalism (Coasianism) in the practice of decision-making in economic policy. Continuing the study of the relationship between Coasianism, Pigouvianism and market fundamentalism, presented in previous works, the article focuses on finding the basis for the dominance of fundamentalism at the level of individual decisions and actions — in particular, in the field of cognitive bias and behavioral effects. Decision-making using an automatic cognitive system, subject to cognitive bias, as opposed to a reflective system, can lead to the choice of a fundamentalist solution to a problem where it is not the most efficient, and also reduces the efficiency of functionalism, since it prevents the correct identification of the problem itself, of the structural alternatives for its solution, as well as identifying and comparing the effects associatedwith each of the alternatives. The microfoundations of insufficient supply and demand of the Coasian approach are explored. Based on the identified problems of supply and demand for Coasianism, as one of the possible ways to promote it, it is proposed to consider the primary socialization of the individual in the learning process, the formation of substantive critical thinking. It is emphasized that adjustments to the socialization process are a matter of long-term strategy
文章探讨了在经济政策的决策实践中,原教旨主义(以皮古维主义或市场原教旨主义的形式)相对于功能主义(科斯主义)占主导地位的可能原因。文章延续了前几部著作中对科斯主义、皮古维主义和市场原教旨主义之间关系的研究,重点探讨了原教旨主义在个人决策和行动层面--尤其是在认知偏差和行为效应领域--占据主导地位的依据。与反思系统相比,使用受认知偏差影响的自动认知系统进行决策,可能会导致选择原教旨主义的方法来解决问题,而这种方法并不是最有效的,同时也会降低功能主义的效率,因为它阻碍了对问题本身、解决问题的结构性替代方案的正确识别,以及对每种替代方案相关效果的识别和比较。本文探讨了科亚方法中供需不足的微观基础。根据已确定的科斯主义供需问题,作为促进科斯主义的可能方法之一,建议考虑个人在学习过程中的主要社会化,即实质性批判性思维的形成。强调社会化进程的调整是一个长期战略问题
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引用次数: 0
Practice of antitrust and industrial policy (Proceedings of the round table discussion at the anniversary conference of the Chair of Competition and Industrial Policy of the Faculty of Economics, Lomonosov Moscow State University) 反托拉斯和产业政策的实践(莫斯科国立罗蒙诺索夫大学经济系竞争和产业政策教席周年纪念会议圆桌讨论记录)
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2023-12-141-153
A. Editorial
In modern conditions, the issues of choosing a reasonable balance between antitrust and economic regulation, instruments of antimonopoly and industrial policy — vertical and horizontal — have become actualized. This is due to the fact that several factors have intertwined: digitalization that transforms the usual business models and ideas about acceptable conditions for the functioning of markets; the search for solutions to the problems of sustainable development (low-carbon economy); a dramatic change in geopolitical conditions of doing business in Russia. In 2023, the Chair of Competition and Industrial Policy of the Faculty of Economics of Lomonosov Moscow State University turned 10 years old. On June 14, 2023 an anniversary conference was held to discuss a wide range of issues that the school of institutional studies of competition, industrial and competition policy, which has been formed in Russia, touches upon in its research. Within the framework of the conference, a round table was held on applied issues of antimonopoly and industrial policies in new conditions. Researchers, practicing consultants, and business representatives were invited to the discussion.
在现代条件下,在反垄断和经济监管、反垄断工具和产业政策之间——纵向和横向——选择合理平衡的问题已经成为现实。这是由于几个因素交织在一起:数字化改变了通常的商业模式和关于市场运作可接受条件的想法;寻找可持续发展问题的解决方案(低碳经济);在俄罗斯经商的地缘政治环境发生了巨大变化。2023年,莫斯科国立罗蒙诺索夫大学经济学院竞争与产业政策系主任满10岁。2023年6月14日,举行了一次周年纪念会议,讨论了在俄罗斯成立的竞争、工业和竞争政策制度研究学院在其研究中涉及的广泛问题。在会议框架内,就新形势下反垄断和产业政策的适用问题举行了圆桌会议。研究人员、执业顾问和企业代表应邀参加了讨论。
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引用次数: 0
The world and Russia in the environment of transformation: Is the economic recovery sustainable? 转型环境中的世界和俄罗斯:经济复苏是否可持续?
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2023-12-31-47
M. V. Ershov
In 2023, there is an improvement in the trends of economic dynamics in the global economy, but there is a high probability that it will be only temporal. The processes of fragmentation of the world economy are intensifying, previous indicators of the state of the economy are becoming less informative. Regulators face a difficult choice regarding the mechanisms of economic policy. Russia is in no less difficult conditions, given the negative effect of the sanctions that are being implemented against it. Increasing the strength of the domestic economy and forming stable conditions in the financial market are the most important prerequisites for the successful solution of emerging problems.
2023年,全球经济动态趋势有所改善,但很有可能只是暂时的。世界经济分裂的进程正在加剧,以前的经济状况指标正在变得不那么有用。监管机构在经济政策机制方面面临着艰难的选择。鉴于对俄罗斯实施的制裁的负面影响,俄罗斯的处境同样困难。增强国内经济实力,形成稳定的金融市场条件,是成功解决新出现问题的最重要前提。
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引用次数: 0
The Phillips curve for an open economy: The evolution of inflation processes in Russia 开放经济的菲利普斯曲线:俄罗斯通货膨胀过程的演变
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-05 DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2023-12-103-119
A. Zubarev, A. M. Gorodnov
Modern specifications of the Phillips curve are actively used in the study of inflation dynamics, but many of them do not consider the influence of external variables. In this paper, we use a non-linear GMM to estimate the Phillips curve equation for a small open economy which includes the expected change in the exchange rate on Russian data. Estimates show that the assignment of the new head of the Bank of Russia in 2013 and the subsequent transition to the inflation targeting regime significantly reduced the impact of expectations of a change in the ruble exchange rate on inflation which confirms the efficiency of the modification of the monetary policy regime. Another interesting result is that the outbreak of the pandemic has again led to an increase in the impact of the expected change in the exchange rate on inflation which may be a result of increased uncertainty in import prices. The empirical results also show that the pandemic caused a decrease in price rigidity in the Russian economy while the transition to an inflation targeting regime did not affect price rigidity.
菲利普斯曲线的现代规范被积极用于暴胀动力学的研究,但其中许多没有考虑外部变量的影响。在本文中,我们使用非线性GMM来估计一个小型开放经济体的菲利普斯曲线方程,其中包括俄罗斯数据上汇率的预期变化。估计表明,2013年俄罗斯央行新行长的任命以及随后向通货膨胀目标制的过渡大大降低了卢布汇率变化预期对通货膨胀的影响,这证实了货币政策制度修改的有效性。另一个有趣的结果是,大流行病的爆发再次导致预期汇率变化对通货膨胀的影响增加,这可能是进口价格不确定性增加的结果。实证结果还表明,疫情导致俄罗斯经济的价格刚性下降,而向通胀目标制的过渡并未影响价格刚性。
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引用次数: 0
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Voprosy Ekonomiki
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