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Editorial: James R. Barth: mentor, coauthor, teacher and friend – a tribute 社论:詹姆斯-R-巴特:导师、合著者、老师和朋友--致敬
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-11 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-10-2023-319
R. Cebula
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引用次数: 0
Can insurance ensure economic growth in an emerging economy? Fresh evidence from a non-linear ARDL approach 保险能确保新兴经济体的经济增长吗?来自非线性ARDL方法的新证据
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-03 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-05-2023-0125
Quang Thien Tran, Nhan Huynh
Purpose This study aims to explore the nexus between insurance penetration and economic development in Vietnam, one of the fastest-growing economies over the past two decades. Design/methodology/approach This study uses an updated data set of the insurance sector in Vietnam from 1996 to 2020. The autoregressive lagging distribution and cointegrating non-linear autoregressive lagging distribution (NARDL) models are used to explore the nexus between the insurance market development and economic growth. Findings This study confirms the unidirectional causality and positive impacts of insurance market development on economic growth both in the short and long term, supporting the “supply-leading” hypothesis. Nonlife insurance has more significant but slower impacts on contributing to economic development in the long run. From the NARDL approach, this study also discloses the asymmetric relationship between the insurance industry and economic growth. Aggregate and life insurance display short- and long-term asymmetric impacts, whereas nonlife insurance shows long-term asymmetry. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to examine the hidden asymmetries of the insurance-growth nexus in Vietnam from non-linear models. Notwithstanding the theoretical contributions to the prior literature, several practical implications are proposed for insurance businesses, policymakers and investors.
本研究旨在探讨保险渗透率与越南经济发展之间的关系,越南是过去二十年来增长最快的经济体之一。本研究使用了1996年至2020年越南保险业的最新数据集。运用自回归滞后分布和协整非线性自回归滞后分布模型探讨保险市场发展与经济增长之间的关系。研究结果证实了保险市场发展在短期和长期内对经济增长的单向因果关系和正向影响,支持了“供给主导”假说。从长期来看,非寿险对经济发展的贡献作用更为显著,但速度较慢。从NARDL方法来看,本研究还揭示了保险业与经济增长之间的不对称关系。综合保险和寿险表现出短期和长期的不对称影响,而非寿险表现出长期的不对称影响。原创性/价值据作者所知,这是第一个从非线性模型中检验越南保险-增长关系隐藏的不对称性的研究。尽管对先前文献的理论贡献,但对保险企业,政策制定者和投资者提出了一些实际意义。
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引用次数: 0
Regulatory policy uncertainty, banking industry innovations and financial development among emerging markets 监管政策不确定性、银行业创新与新兴市场金融发展
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-03 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-07-2023-0180
Rexford Abaidoo, Elvis Kwame Agyapong
Purpose This study examines the extent to which regulatory policy uncertainty, macroeconomic risk, banking industry innovations, etc. influence variability in financial sector development among emerging economies in sub-Sahara Africa (SSA). Design/methodology/approach Data for the empirical inquiry were compiled from a sample of 25 economies from the subregion from 2010 to 2020. Empirical estimates examining the relationships noted above were carried out using the two-step system generalized method of moments estimation technique. Findings Results the empirical estimates suggest that regulatory policy uncertainty and macroeconomic risk adversely influence or constrain financial sector development among the economies examined in the study. Banking industry innovations on the other hand is found to positively influence the development of the financial sector in these economies. Furthermore, moderating empirical analysis suggests that effective governance positively moderates the relationship between banking industry innovations and financial development among economies in the subregion. Originality/value This study’s approach to the mechanics of financial development among economies in SSA is designed to offer different perspectives to those found in the existing literature on financial development in three fundamental ways. First, although the verification of the role of banking industry innovations in financial development may not be new, it is important to point out that the approach used in this study is based on an index for innovations with different constituents or principal components in its construction; making the variable significantly different from what has been examined in the literature. In addition, the review of regulatory policy uncertainty and macroeconomic risk (both variables are multifaceted constructs using the principal component analysis procedure) further brings into this study’s analysis, a different approach to examining conditions influencing variability in financial development among developing economies.
本研究考察了监管政策不确定性、宏观经济风险、银行业创新等因素对撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)新兴经济体金融部门发展可变性的影响程度。设计/方法/方法实证调查的数据来自该次区域2010年至2020年的25个经济体样本。利用矩估计技术的两步系统广义方法对上述关系进行了经验估计。结果:实证估计表明,监管政策的不确定性和宏观经济风险对研究中所考察的经济体的金融部门发展产生不利影响或制约。另一方面,银行业创新对这些经济体金融部门的发展产生了积极影响。此外,调节实证分析表明,有效治理正向调节了次区域经济体间银行业创新与金融发展之间的关系。原创性/价值本研究对SSA经济体间金融发展机制的研究方法旨在从三个基本方面为现有文献中关于金融发展的研究提供不同的视角。首先,虽然银行业创新对金融发展的作用的验证可能并不新鲜,但重要的是要指出,本研究中使用的方法是基于创新指数,该指数在其构建中具有不同的成分或主成分;使变量与文献中检验的变量显著不同。此外,对监管政策不确定性和宏观经济风险的审查(这两个变量都是使用主成分分析程序的多方面结构)进一步引入本研究的分析,这是一种不同的方法来检查影响发展中经济体金融发展可变性的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Can diversification be improved by using cryptocurrencies? Evidence from Indian equity market 使用加密货币可以改善多样化吗?来自印度股市的证据
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-02-2023-0047
Susovon Jana, Tarak Nath Sahu
Purpose This study aims to investigate the possibilities of cryptocurrencies as hedges and diversifiers in the Indian stock market before and during financial crisis due to the pandemic and the Russia–Ukraine war. Design/methodology/approach Researchers have used daily data on cryptocurrencies and Indian stock prices from March 10, 2015 to August 26, 2022. The researchers have used the dynamic conditional correlations (DCC)-GARCH model to determine the volatility spillover and dynamic correlation between stocks and digital currencies. Further, researchers have explored hedge ratio, portfolio weight and hedging effectiveness using the estimates of the DCC-GARCH model. Findings The findings indicate a negative conditional correlation between equities and cryptocurrencies before the crisis and a positive conditional correlation except for Tether during the crisis. Which implies that cryptocurrencies serve as a hedging asset in the stock market before a crisis but are not more than a diversifier during the crisis, except for Tether. Notably, Tether serves as a safe haven during times of crisis. Finally, the study suggests that Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance Coin and Ripple are the most effective diversifiers for Indian stocks during the crisis. Originality/value This study makes several contributions to the existing literature. First, it compares the hedge and diversification roles of cryptocurrencies in the Indian stock market before and during crisis. Second, the study findings provide insights on risk hedging and can serve as a guide for investors. Third, it may help rational investors avoid underestimating risk while constructing portfolios, particularly in times of financial turmoil.
本研究旨在调查由于大流行和俄罗斯-乌克兰战争导致的金融危机之前和期间,加密货币在印度股市中作为对冲和多元化的可能性。研究人员使用了2015年3月10日至2022年8月26日期间加密货币和印度股票价格的每日数据。研究人员使用动态条件相关(DCC)-GARCH模型来确定股票与数字货币之间的波动溢出和动态相关性。此外,研究人员还利用DCC-GARCH模型的估计探讨了套期保值比率、投资组合权重和套期保值有效性。研究结果表明,在危机之前,股票和加密货币之间存在负的条件相关性,而在危机期间,除了Tether之外,股票和加密货币之间存在正的条件相关性。这意味着,在危机之前,加密货币在股市中是一种对冲资产,但在危机期间,除了Tether之外,加密货币只不过是一种分散投资的工具。值得注意的是,Tether在危机时期充当了避风港。最后,研究表明,比特币、以太坊、币安币和瑞波币是危机期间印度股市最有效的多元化投资工具。本研究对现有文献有几点贡献。首先,它比较了加密货币在危机前和危机期间在印度股市中的对冲和多样化作用。第二,研究结果提供了风险对冲的见解,可以为投资者提供指导。第三,它可能有助于理性投资者在构建投资组合时避免低估风险,尤其是在金融动荡时期。
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引用次数: 1
Financial inclusion: a catalyst for financial system development in emerging and frontier markets 金融包容性:新兴和前沿市场金融体系发展的催化剂
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-06-2023-0155
Josephine Ofosu-Mensah Ababio, Eric B. Yiadom, Emmanuel Sarpong-Kumankoma, Isaac Boadi
Purpose This study aims to examine the relationship between financial inclusion and financial system development in emerging and frontier markets. Design/methodology/approach Using data across 35 countries over 19 years (2004–2022), the improved GMM estimation technique reveals that financial inclusion significantly contributes to the development of financial systems. Findings The study uses a segmented approach, dividing financial development indices into subindices: financial depth, financial access and financial efficiency. Indicators of bank financial inclusion show a positive and highly significant relationship with bank depth and access but a negative relationship with bank efficiency. Similarly, indicators of the debt market and stock market financial inclusion demonstrate positive relationships with market depth and access but negative relationships with debt and stock market efficiency. The study further examines composite indexes of financial inclusion for bank, debt and stock market segments, finding strong and highly significant relationships with market development. These results underscore the importance of promoting financial inclusion across all segments of the financial sector to achieve an inclusive financial system. Practical implications The implications of this research highlight the need for policymakers and practitioners to implement policies and regulations that enhance financial inclusion and foster the development of robust financial systems. By extending access to mainstream financial instruments and services, financial institutions can stimulate financial intermediation and support, thereby accelerating the development of the banking, debt and stock markets. Originality/value The study is robust to the use of several indicators of financial inclusion and financial development, and it forms part of the early studies that examine the close relationship between the two variables.
本研究旨在探讨新兴市场和前沿市场金融普惠与金融体系发展之间的关系。利用35个国家19年(2004-2022年)的数据,改进的GMM估计技术揭示了金融普惠对金融体系发展的重大贡献。研究采用分段方法,将金融发展指标划分为金融深度、金融可及性和金融效率三个子指标。银行普惠金融指标与银行深度和可及性呈正相关,与银行效率呈负相关。同样,债务市场和股票市场的金融包容性指标与市场深度和准入呈正相关,但与债务和股票市场效率呈负相关。该研究进一步考察了银行、债务和股票市场部门的金融普惠综合指数,发现与市场发展之间存在强烈且高度显著的关系。这些结果强调了在金融部门所有部门促进普惠金融对实现普惠金融体系的重要性。本研究的意义突出表明,政策制定者和从业人员需要实施加强普惠金融和促进健全金融体系发展的政策和法规。通过扩大获得主流金融工具和服务的机会,金融机构可以刺激金融中介和支持,从而加速银行、债务和股票市场的发展。原创性/价值本研究对金融普惠和金融发展的几个指标的使用是稳健的,它构成了检验两个变量之间密切关系的早期研究的一部分。
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引用次数: 2
Do institutions impact differently inward greenfield FDI and cross-border M&A sales? A study of five institutional quality indicators in developed and developing countries 制度对绿地FDI和跨境并购的影响是否不同?对发达国家和发展中国家的五项机构质量指标的研究
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-06-2023-0161
Nadia Doytch, Ayesha Ashraf
Purpose This study aims to test the impact of different institutional quality indicators on two modes of foreign direct investment (FDI)-greenfield investment and cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As) for a sample of 110 countries over the period 2003–2017. Design/methodology/approach The authors develop a model of well-known FDI determinants, such as market size and potential, openness, the value of the national currency and the quality of institutions. The authors examine one-by-one five different institutional factors: law and order, investment profile of the host country, control of corruption (anti-corruption); democratic accountability, and government stability, applying a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator that assures no endogeneity and reverse causality of the key explanatory variables. Findings The results point out the fact that fertile institutional conditions for attracting greenfield FDI to developing countries require law and order, good investment conditions and a state of democracy, but not necessarily tight control of corruption and a stable government. On the other hand, the appropriate institutional environment for attracting cross-border M&A sales flows to developing countries includes strong law and order, good investment conditions, strict control of corruption and strong democratic accountability. The results for developed countries show overall smaller importance of institutions as a determinant of both types of FDI. Originality/value This is the first study to analyze the differentiated determinants of the two modes of investment. The study holds implications for crafting two different policies for attracting greenfield FDI and M&A sales.
本研究旨在以2003-2017年110个国家为样本,检验不同制度质量指标对两种外商直接投资(FDI)模式——绿地投资和跨境并购(m&a;As)的影响。作者开发了一个众所周知的外商直接投资决定因素模型,如市场规模和潜力、开放程度、国家货币价值和制度质量。作者逐一考察了五个不同的制度因素:法律和秩序、东道国的投资概况、腐败控制(反腐败);民主问责制和政府稳定,应用广义矩量法(GMM)估计器,确保关键解释变量没有内质性和反向因果关系。研究结果指出,吸引绿地FDI到发展中国家所需的肥沃制度条件需要法律和秩序、良好的投资条件和民主国家,但不一定是严格控制腐败和稳定的政府。另一方面,吸引跨国并购销售流入发展中国家的适当制度环境包括强有力的法律和秩序、良好的投资条件、严格控制腐败和强有力的民主问责制。发达国家的结果表明,机构作为两种外国直接投资的决定因素的重要性总体上较小。这是第一个分析两种投资模式差异决定因素的研究。该研究对制定两种不同的政策来吸引绿地FDI和并购销售具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
Does capital flight tone down economic growth? Evidence from emerging Asia 资本外逃是否降低了经济增长?来自新兴亚洲的证据
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-03-2023-0068
Shahanara Basher, A. Mamun, H. Bal, N. Hoque, M. Uddin
PurposeThis study aims to offer an up-to-date estimate of capital flight from selected emerging Asian economies and examine the anti-growth phenomenon of capital flight by using annual data for the period 1981–2019.Design/methodology/approachThe study relies on residual methods to derive the estimate of capital flight with necessary adjustments. It then applies the autoregressive distributed lag Bounds testing approach in examining the impact of capital flight on the economic growth of Asian emerging economies.FindingsThe study identifies capital flight as the attributor to the slower economic growth of the selected emerging economies of Asia.Practical implicationsApart from appropriate policies addressing the issues causing capital flight, unleashing the way of private sector-led growth of the emerging countries with necessary policy, infrastructural, institutional and regulatory support can rather help them retain and repatriate domestic capital.Originality/valueThe capital flight estimates in earlier studies are antithetical as they differ in terms of definition and estimation procedure. Again, the growth effect of capital flight in these economies has received meager attention in research and policy debates. Furthermore, being country-specific or region-specific, existing studies are unable to compare the growth effect of capital flight for different emerging economies in this region. Examining the growth effects for a large number of countries separately based on a common estimate of capital flight can resolve these issues that this study aims to do.
本研究旨在通过1981-2019年的年度数据,对选定的亚洲新兴经济体的资本外逃进行最新估计,并检验资本外逃的反增长现象。设计/方法/方法本研究依靠残差法得出资本外逃的估计,并进行必要的调整。然后运用自回归分布滞后边界检验方法检验资本外逃对亚洲新兴经济体经济增长的影响。研究发现,资本外逃是亚洲新兴经济体经济增长放缓的主要原因。除了采取适当的政策解决导致资本外逃的问题外,在必要的政策、基础设施、制度和监管支持下,为新兴国家释放私营部门主导的增长之路,反而可以帮助它们留住和汇回国内资本。早期研究中的资本外逃估计是对立的,因为它们在定义和估计过程方面有所不同。同样,这些经济体中资本外逃的增长效应在研究和政策辩论中受到的关注很少。此外,现有研究存在国别或地区差异,无法比较资本外逃对该地区不同新兴经济体的增长效应。基于对资本外逃的共同估计,对大量国家的增长效应进行单独研究,可以解决本研究旨在解决的这些问题。
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引用次数: 0
Does financial inclusion promote sustainable livelihood development? Mediating effect of microentrepreneurship 普惠金融能否促进可持续生计发展?微型创业的中介效应
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-05-2023-0134
Jogeswar Mahato, M. Jha
PurposeThis study aims to investigate the impact of financial inclusion in promoting sustainable livelihood among indigenous women entrepreneurs. Moreover, the study has also examined the mediating role of microentrepreneurship between financial inclusion and sustainable livelihood.Design/methodology/approachStructure equation modeling has been used to analyze the mediating effect of microentrepreneurship between financial inclusion and sustainable livelihood development. In total, 598 samples of indigenous women across the Sundargarh and Mayurbhanj districts in Odisha are used for the statistical data analysis in the study.FindingsThe results showed that financial inclusion has direct and indirect effect on promoting sustainable livelihood among indigenous women. The results also highlighted that microentrepreneurship significantly mediates the relationship between financial inclusion and sustainable livelihood.Practical implicationsThe Government of India should formulate policies on financial inclusion by reviewing the findings of this study. In addition, to increase the base of microenterprises and the achievement of sustainable livelihood in rural regions, more focus should be given toward the promotion of inclusive finance among indigenous women in India.Originality/valueThe present idea has not been discussed or explored earlier among the indigenous communities in the Indian context. So, the study will benefit the marginalized groups of women in promoting their livelihood sustainably.
目的本研究旨在探讨普惠金融对促进原住民女企业家可持续生计的影响。此外,本研究还考察了微创业在普惠金融与可持续生计之间的中介作用。设计/方法/方法采用结构方程模型分析了微创业在普惠金融与可持续生计发展之间的中介作用。在这项研究中,总共有598个来自奥里萨邦Sundargarh和Mayurbhanj地区的土著妇女样本被用于统计数据分析。研究结果表明,普惠金融对促进土著妇女可持续生计有直接和间接的影响。研究结果还表明,微型创业在普惠金融与可持续生计之间具有显著的中介作用。实际意义印度政府应通过审查本研究的结果来制定普惠金融政策。此外,为了增加微型企业的基础,实现农村地区的可持续生计,应更加重视在印度土著妇女中推广普惠金融。原创性/价值在印度的土著社区中,目前的想法还没有被讨论或探索过。因此,这项研究将有利于边缘化妇女群体,促进她们的可持续生计。
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引用次数: 2
Effect of risk attitude on cryptocurrency adoption for compensation and spending 风险态度对加密货币采用补偿和支出的影响
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-04-2023-0099
U. Sridharan, Fady Mansour, Lydia Ray, Tobias M. Huning
PurposeThis study aims to investigate the effect of risk tolerance on the individual choice of adopting Bitcoin in the form of making and receiving payment and receiving compensation.Design/methodology/approachThe study uses data collected from an anonymous survey of 225 undergraduate and graduate students to measure their risk attitude using the general risk-taking propensity scale proposed by Zhang et al. (2018) and the risk-taking index, proposed by Nicholson et al. (2018). After controlling for a variety of personal traits, the study uses logistic regression to identify the predicted probabilities and marginal effects on individual choice of adopting Bitcoin.FindingsThe findings of this study suggest that individuals with a higher risk-seeking attitude are more likely to choose to receive payment for goods they sell in Bitcoin and more likely to choose to receive a portion of their compensation in cryptocurrency. Individuals in the higher-income groups are more likely to adopt Bitcoin 46% and 65% than their lower 14% and 45% and middle income 4% and 18% counterparts. While there was no statistically significant difference between males and females in adopting Bitcoin, respondents between the age of 26 and 29 were more likely to adopt Bitcoin. The effect on receiving gold was slightly smaller but highly comparable to that of receiving Bitcoin, which highlights a similar perception of risk toward the Bitcoin and gold.Originality/valueThe study uses a new data set collected by surveying 225 individuals and two different risk measurements to identify the relationship between perceived risk and Bitcoin adoption.
本研究旨在探讨风险承受能力对个人选择采用比特币支付、收款和接受补偿形式的影响。本研究使用对225名本科生和研究生的匿名调查收集的数据,使用Zhang等人(2018)提出的一般冒险倾向量表和Nicholson等人(2018)提出的冒险指数来衡量他们的风险态度。在控制了多种个人特征后,采用逻辑回归方法确定了个人选择采用比特币的预测概率和边际效应。这项研究的结果表明,具有更高风险寻求态度的个人更有可能选择用比特币收取他们出售的商品的付款,更有可能选择用加密货币收取部分报酬。高收入人群接受比特币的比例分别为46%和65%,而低收入人群的比例分别为14%和45%,中等收入人群的比例分别为4%和18%。虽然男性和女性在接受比特币方面没有统计学上的显著差异,但26岁至29岁的受访者更有可能接受比特币。收到黄金的影响略小,但与收到比特币的影响高度相似,这突显了对比特币和黄金的类似风险认知。独创性/价值该研究使用了一组新数据,该数据是通过调查225个人和两种不同的风险测量来确定感知风险与比特币采用之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Is financial technology a complement or substitute for domestic financial institutions in Ghana? 金融科技是对加纳国内金融机构的补充还是替代?
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-12 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-02-2023-0038
Kwadwo Antwi-Wiafe, G. Asante, Paul Owusu Takyi
PurposeThis paper aims to examine whether financial technology is complementing the performance of domestic financial institutions or substituting their performance in Ghana.Design/methodology/approachThe paper used data from the Bank of Ghana Payment System Statistics and Time Series Data of the Bank of Ghana from 2012 to 2021, by using autoregressive distributive lags estimation technique.FindingsThe results showed that in both the long run and short run, financial technology has a significant negative impact on bank performance, indicating that fintech serves as substitutes rather than complements for Ghanaian banks. These results suggest that there must be a critical review on the interoperability policy in Ghana and that banks should take advantage of the financial technology to increase profit.Originality/valueBased on the authors’ study, no empirical work has been extensively done in the Ghanaian context by examining how financial technology serves as either a complement or substitute for domestic banking institutions. This paper focuses on exploring the key definition of financial technology in Ghana and how transactions through these media are affecting or improving the performance of banks.
本文旨在考察金融技术在加纳是对国内金融机构绩效的补充,还是对其绩效的替代。本文采用自回归分布滞后估计技术,使用加纳银行支付系统统计数据和加纳银行2012年至2021年的时间序列数据。研究结果表明,在长期和短期内,金融科技对银行绩效都有显著的负面影响,这表明金融科技对加纳银行来说是替代品而不是补充。这些结果表明,必须对加纳的互操作性政策进行严格审查,银行应该利用金融技术来增加利润。原创性/价值根据作者的研究,在加纳的背景下,没有广泛的实证工作来研究金融技术如何作为国内银行机构的补充或替代。本文重点探讨了加纳金融技术的关键定义,以及通过这些媒体进行的交易如何影响或改善银行的绩效。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Financial Economic Policy
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