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The monetary policy of the State Bank of Vietnam, households and income distribution: the evidence from DSGE model 越南国家银行的货币政策、家庭和收入分配:DSGE 模型的证据
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-01-2023-0022
Trung Duc Nguyen, Lanh Kim Trieu, Anh Hoang Le
PurposeThis paper aims to propose a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) to assess the response from the household sector to monetary policy shocks through the consumption function. Moreover, the transmission from monetary policy to household consumption and income distribution is experimented with through the vector autoregression (VAR) model.Design/methodology/approachIn this study, the authors used the maximum likelihood estimation to estimate the DSGE and VAR models with the sample from 1996Q1 to the end of 2021Q4 (104 observations).FindingsThe DSGE model’s results show that the response of the household sector is as expected in the theory: a monetary policy shock occurs that increases the policy interest rate by 0.29%, leading to a decrease in consumer spending of about 0.041%, the shock fades after one year. Estimates from the VAR model give similar results: a monetary policy shock narrows income inequality after about 2–3 quarters and this process tends to slow down in the long run.Research limitations/implicationsBased on the research results, the authors propose policy implications for the SBV to achieve the goal of price stability, and stabilizing the macro-economic environment in Vietnam.Originality/valueThe findings of the study have theoretical contributions and empirical scientific evidence showing the effectiveness of the implementation of the SBV’s monetary policy in the context of macro-instability, namely: flexibility, caution and coordination of different measures promptly.
本文旨在为越南国家银行(SBV)提出一个动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)模型,通过消费函数评估家庭部门对货币政策冲击的反应。此外,还通过向量自回归(VAR)模型对货币政策向家庭消费和收入分配的传导进行了实验。在本研究中,作者使用最大似然估计法对 DSGE 和 VAR 模型进行了估计,样本从 1996Q1 到 2021Q4 末(104 个观测值)。研究结果 DSGE 模型的结果显示,家庭部门的反应与理论预期一致:货币政策冲击发生时,政策利率上升 0.29%,导致消费支出下降约 0.041%,冲击在一年后消失。VAR 模型的估计结果与此类似:货币政策冲击会在大约 2-3 个季度后缩小收入不平等,从长期来看,这一过程趋于放缓。研究局限性/意义基于研究结果,作者为越南国家银行实现物价稳定目标和稳定越南宏观经济环境提出了政策建议。独创性/价值研究结果具有理论贡献和实证科学证据,显示了越南中央银行在宏观不稳定背景下实施货币政策的有效性,即:灵活、谨慎和及时协调不同措施。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of policy uncertainty on the volatility of bitcoin 政策不确定性对比特币波动性的影响
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-08-2023-0222
Manel Mahjoubi, J. Henchiri
PurposeThis paper aims to investigate the effect of the economic policy uncertainty (EPU), geopolitical risk (GPR) and climate policy uncertainty (CPU) of USA on Bitcoin volatility from August 2010 to August 2022.Design/methodology/approachIn this paper, the authors have adopted the empirical strategy of Yen and Cheng (2021), who modified volatility model of Wang and Yen (2019), and the authors use an OLS regression with Newey-West error term.FindingsThe results using OLS regression with Newey–West error term suggest that the cryptocurrency market could have hedge or safe-haven properties against EPU and geopolitical uncertainty. While the authors find that the CPU has a negative impact on the volatility of the bitcoin market. Hence, the authors expect climate and environmental changes, as well as indiscriminate energy consumption, to play a more important role in increasing Bitcoin price volatility, in the future.Originality/valueThis study has two implications. First, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, the study is the first to extend the discussion on the effect of dimensions of uncertainty on the volatility of Bitcoin. Second, in contrast to previous studies, this study can be considered as the first to examine the role of climate change in predicting the volatility of bitcoin. This paper contributes to the literature on volatility forecasting of cryptocurrency in two ways. First, the authors discuss volatility forecasting of Bitcoin using the effects of three dimensions of uncertainty of USA (EPU, GPR and CPU). Second, based on the empirical results, the authors show that cryptocurrency can be a good hedging tool against EPU and GPR risk. But the cryptocurrency cannot be a hedging tool against CPU risk, especially with the high risks and climatic changes that threaten the environment.
目的本文旨在研究2010年8月至2022年8月美国的经济政策不确定性(EPU)、地缘政治风险(GPR)和气候政策不确定性(CPU)对比特币波动率的影响。本文采用了 Yen 和 Cheng(2021 年)的实证策略,他们修改了 Wang 和 Yen(2019 年)的波动率模型,作者使用了带 Newey-West 误差项的 OLS 回归。作者发现,CPU 对比特币市场的波动性有负面影响。因此,作者预计未来气候和环境变化以及无节制的能源消耗将在增加比特币价格波动性方面发挥更重要的作用。首先,据作者所知,本研究首次扩展了不确定性维度对比特币波动性影响的讨论。其次,与之前的研究相比,本研究可被视为首次研究气候变化在预测比特币波动性中的作用。本文从两个方面对加密货币波动性预测的文献做出了贡献。首先,作者利用美国三个不确定性维度(EPU、GPR 和 CPU)的影响讨论了比特币的波动性预测。其次,基于实证结果,作者表明加密货币可以成为抵御 EPU 和 GPR 风险的良好对冲工具。但是,加密货币不能成为 CPU 风险的对冲工具,尤其是在高风险和气候变化威胁环境的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
Attitudes of college seniors toward graduate student loan debt: the role of financial education 大四学生对研究生贷款债务的态度:金融教育的作用
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-02 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-09-2023-0259
Manuel Salas-Velasco

Purpose

This paper aims to examine prospective graduate students' attitudes toward educational loan borrowing in an experimental setting.

Design/methodology/approach

Participants were randomly assigned to two treatment groups and one control group. Subjects in experimental group 1 received financial education: a short online course on the economic viability of getting a master's degree and how to finance it with a graduate student loan, while subjects in experimental group 2 received financial education along with information on the availability bias.

Findings

Relying on a control group in the assessment of financial literacy education intervention impacts, this research finds positive causal treatment effects on individuals’ attitudes toward debt-financed graduate education. In comparison to the control group, experimental subjects perceived the possibility of going into debt with a graduate loan to complete a master’s degree as less stressful and worrying.

Practical implications

This study has important educational policy implications to prevent students from stopping investing in human capital by perceiving educational loan debt as something stressful or worrying. The results can help potential (and current) grad students develop a feasible financial plan for graduate school by encouraging higher education institutions to implement educational loan information and financial education into university seminar courses for better graduate student loan decision-making.

Originality/value

Student attitudes toward debt have been analyzed in the context of higher education, but only a few researchers internationally have used an experimental design to study personal financial decision-making.

设计/方法/途径参与者被随机分配到两个治疗组和一个对照组。实验组 1 的受试者接受了金融教育:一门关于获得硕士学位的经济可行性以及如何通过研究生贷款进行融资的简短在线课程,而实验组 2 的受试者在接受金融教育的同时,还接受了关于可得性偏差的信息。研究结果在评估金融知识教育干预影响时,本研究发现对照组对个人对负债融资研究生教育的态度产生了积极的因果处理效应。与对照组相比,实验对象认为,为了完成硕士学位而负债的可能性较小,压力和担忧也较小。 实际意义这项研究对教育政策具有重要意义,可以防止学生因认为教育贷款债务是一种压力或担忧而停止人力资本投资。研究结果可以帮助潜在的(和在读的)研究生制定可行的研究生财务计划,鼓励高等教育机构将教育贷款信息和财务教育纳入大学研讨课程,以更好地进行研究生贷款决策。
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引用次数: 0
Digitalization of corporate finance and firm performance: global evidence and analysis 企业融资数字化与公司业绩:全球证据与分析
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-04-2023-0109
Mohammed Sawkat Hossain, Maleka Sultana

Purpose

As of now, the digitization of corporate finance presents a paradigm shift in business strategy, innovation, financing and managerial capability around the globe. However, the prevailing finance scholarly works hardly document the impact of the digitalization of corporate finance on firm performance with global evidence and analysis. Hence, the contemporary debate on whether firm performance is genuinely stimulated because of the digitalization of corporate finance or not has been a pressing issue in the relevant literature. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to identify a data-driven, concise response to an unaddressed finance issue if the performance of high-digitalized firms (HDFs) outperforms that of their counterpart peers for wealth maximization.

Design/methodology/approach

The first stage test models examine the firm performance of relatively high-digitalized firms as opposed to low-digitalized firms based on the system GMM. The second stage test of the probabilistic (logit) model infers that the probability of being HDFs explores because of better performance. Then, the authors execute robust checks based on the different quantile regressions and Z-score-based system GMM. In addition, the authors recheck and present the test results of the fixed effect and random effect to capture time-invariant individual heterogeneity. Finally, the supplementary test findings of firms’ credit strength by using Altman five- and four-factor Z-score models are presented.

Findings

By using cross-country panel analysis as 15 years’ test bed for HDFs and low digitalized firms (LDFs), the test results indicate that the overall firm performance of a digitalized firm is significantly better than that of a non-digitalized firm. The global evidence documents that HDFs are exposed to higher values and are financially more persistent as compared to their counterparts. The finding is remarkably concomitant across several possible subsample analysis, such as country–industry–size–period analysis.

Practical implications

This study can be remarkably effective in encouraging managers, policymakers and investors to acknowledge the need for adopting the required digitalization. Overall, this original study addresses a core research gap in the corporate finance literature and remarkably provides further direction to rethink the assumptions of firm digitalization on additive value and thereby identify optimal decisions for wealth maximization. The findings also imply that investors require an additional risk premium if they invest in relatively LDFs, which have relatively lower market value and weaker firm performance.

Originality/value

From an investors point of view, the academic novelty contributes to an innovative and unsettled issue on the impact of digitization of corporate

目的 目前,企业财务数字化在全球范围内带来了企业战略、创新、融资和管理能力的范式转变。然而,现有的金融学术著作很难通过全球性的证据和分析来证明企业金融数字化对企业绩效的影响。因此,当代关于企业财务数字化是否真正刺激了企业绩效的争论一直是相关文献中亟待解决的问题。因此,本研究的目的是针对一个尚未解决的金融问题,即高数字化企业(HDFs)在财富最大化方面的表现是否优于同类同行,找出一个以数据为驱动的简明对策。设计/方法/途径第一阶段检验模型基于系统 GMM 检验相对高数字化企业与低数字化企业的企业绩效。概率(logit)模型的第二阶段检验推断出,成为高数字化企业的概率会因为更好的绩效而提高。然后,作者根据不同的量化回归和基于 Z 值的系统 GMM 进行了稳健检验。此外,作者还重新检验并展示了固定效应和随机效应的检验结果,以捕捉时变个体异质性。通过对高数字化企业和低数字化企业(LDFs)进行 15 年的跨国面板分析,检验结果表明,数字化企业的整体绩效明显优于非数字化企业。全球证据表明,与同类企业相比,高数字化企业面临的价值更高,财务状况更持久。这项研究可以有效地鼓励管理者、决策者和投资者认识到采用必要的数字化的必要性。总之,这项原创性研究填补了企业金融文献中的一个核心研究空白,为重新思考企业数字化对附加值的假设,进而确定财富最大化的最优决策提供了新的方向。研究结果还表明,如果投资者投资于市值相对较低、公司业绩相对较弱的低流动性公司,则需要额外的风险溢价。原创性/价值从投资者的角度来看,这一学术新成果有助于解决公司财务数字化对公司业绩的影响这一创新而悬而未决的问题,因为在全球市场上,公司财务数字化程度的高低是一个新问题。因此,这一学术创新有助于分享企业财务数字化及其对企业绩效影响的全球证据。此外,本研究还根据金融和商业流顶级期刊上发表的最新相关学术著作进行了深入的评论分析,以确定假设。总之,本研究填补了公司财务文献中的一个核心研究空白,为重新思考公司数字化问题提供了新的方向,从而为股东财富最大化确定了最优决策。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneity effect of prudential regulation on the stability of banks: evidence from WAEMU banks using quantile regression with fixed effects 审慎监管对银行稳定性的异质性影响:利用带固定效应的定量回归从西非经济货币联盟银行得出的证据
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-11-2023-0343
Emile Sègbégnon Sonehekpon

Purpose

This paper aims to analyze the heterogeneous effect of prudential regulation on the stability of banks in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU).

Design/methodology/approach

The author uses in this study individual bank data from balance sheets, income statements of banks in the WAEMU space and annual reports of the banking commission formed into a three-year panel from the period 2017 to 2019. First, this study uses hierarchical clustering based on specific banking characteristics to determine whether the WAEMU region’s banking markets are heterogeneous or not. Second, this study uses quantile regression approach with fixed effects to explore how that prudential regulation affects the conditional distribution of WAEMU bank stability.

Findings

The analysis reveals heterogeneity resulting in two distinct groups. Using the quantile regression approach, this study demonstrates that prudential regulation has a significantly more substantial and positive effect on the upper quantiles than on the lower quantiles of the conditional distribution of WAEMU bank stability. Furthermore, the effect of banking regulation also varies among pan-African cross-border banks, national banks and foreign banks. Among these types of banks, pan-African cross-border banks remain the most stable by adopting prudential regulation. The results remain robust and vary across different WAEMU countries.

Originality/value

The contribution of this study to the literature is multifaceted. First, this study uses individual bank-level constituted in panel data from the WAEMU region to assess the effect of prudential regulation on the stability of the WAEMU’s banking sector. This approach allows for a more granular analysis as this study considers individual regional banks’ specific characteristics and behaviors. Second, this study considers the heterogeneous effect of regulation on the stability of banks within the WAEMU space. This means that this study acknowledges that not all banks are affected similarly by prudential regulations, and this research aims to identify and quantify these differences.

本文旨在分析审慎监管对西非经济货币联盟(WAEMU)银行稳定性的异质性影响。作者在本研究中使用的单个银行数据来自西非经济货币联盟空间内银行的资产负债表、损益表以及银行委员会的年度报告,这些数据组成了一个从 2017 年到 2019 年的三年期面板。首先,本研究使用基于特定银行业特征的分层聚类来确定西非经货联盟地区的银行业市场是否具有异质性。其次,本研究使用带有固定效应的量化回归方法,探讨审慎监管如何影响西非经货联盟银行稳定性的条件分布。利用量化回归方法,本研究表明,在西非经货联盟银行稳定性的条件分布中,审慎监管对上量化组的积极影响明显大于对下量化组的积极影响。此外,银行监管对泛非跨境银行、国家银行和外资银行的影响也各不相同。在这些类型的银行中,泛非跨境银行因采用审慎监管而保持最稳定。本研究对文献的贡献是多方面的。首先,本研究使用西非经货联盟地区面板数据中的单个银行层面数据来评估审慎监管对西非经货联盟银行业稳定性的影响。由于本研究考虑了单个地区银行的具体特征和行为,因此这种方法允许进行更精细的分析。其次,本研究考虑了监管对西非经济货币联盟范围内银行稳定性的不同影响。这意味着本研究承认,并非所有银行都受到审慎监管的类似影响,本研究旨在确定并量化这些差异。
{"title":"Heterogeneity effect of prudential regulation on the stability of banks: evidence from WAEMU banks using quantile regression with fixed effects","authors":"Emile Sègbégnon Sonehekpon","doi":"10.1108/jfep-11-2023-0343","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jfep-11-2023-0343","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>This paper aims to analyze the heterogeneous effect of prudential regulation on the stability of banks in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU).</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>The author uses in this study individual bank data from balance sheets, income statements of banks in the WAEMU space and annual reports of the banking commission formed into a three-year panel from the period 2017 to 2019. First, this study uses hierarchical clustering based on specific banking characteristics to determine whether the WAEMU region’s banking markets are heterogeneous or not. Second, this study uses quantile regression approach with fixed effects to explore how that prudential regulation affects the conditional distribution of WAEMU bank stability.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The analysis reveals heterogeneity resulting in two distinct groups. Using the quantile regression approach, this study demonstrates that prudential regulation has a significantly more substantial and positive effect on the upper quantiles than on the lower quantiles of the conditional distribution of WAEMU bank stability. Furthermore, the effect of banking regulation also varies among pan-African cross-border banks, national banks and foreign banks. Among these types of banks, pan-African cross-border banks remain the most stable by adopting prudential regulation. The results remain robust and vary across different WAEMU countries.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>The contribution of this study to the literature is multifaceted. First, this study uses individual bank-level constituted in panel data from the WAEMU region to assess the effect of prudential regulation on the stability of the WAEMU’s banking sector. This approach allows for a more granular analysis as this study considers individual regional banks’ specific characteristics and behaviors. Second, this study considers the heterogeneous effect of regulation on the stability of banks within the WAEMU space. This means that this study acknowledges that not all banks are affected similarly by prudential regulations, and this research aims to identify and quantify these differences.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":45556,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Economic Policy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2024-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140809377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The dynamics of the financial inclusion index for developing countries: lessons learned 发展中国家金融包容性指数的动态:经验教训
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-01-2023-0029
Ayi Ayayi, Hamitande Dout
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to calculate the financial inclusion index and analyze its dynamics in developing countries.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use the two-stage principal component analysis (PCA) method and consider financial technology innovations to improve the accuracy of the financial inclusion index.FindingsThe authors found a downward trend in the financial inclusion index in most developing countries over the study period. The authors also found that a high financial inclusion index is linked to high scores in the Doing Business and high business climate regulation ranking. In addition, the authors observed that the rates of low financial inclusion in developing countries are due to low utilization of and unequal access to financial services.Practical implicationsThe analysis suggests that policymakers in developing countries could invest in digital infrastructure to extend access to financial services in remote areas. They could also encourage financial innovation, particularly in financial technologies, by adopting flexible regulatory frameworks. Promoting the financial inclusion of marginalized groups through targeted initiatives tailored to their needs is another solution. They could also encourage the use of financial services by raising awareness and educating populations through training programs. Finally, to improve the business climate, governments could simplify administrative procedures and promote transparency and legal stability.Originality/valueUnlike previous studies, the use of the two-stage PCA method and the consideration of financial technology (Fintech) innovations such as mobile money in the determinants of the financial inclusion index improve the accuracy of the index.
本文旨在计算发展中国家的金融包容性指数,并分析其动态变化。作者采用两阶段主成分分析法(PCA),并考虑金融技术创新,以提高金融包容性指数的准确性。研究结果作者发现,在研究期间,大多数发展中国家的金融包容性指数呈下降趋势。作者还发现,高普惠金融指数与高营商环境得分和高商业环境监管排名有关。此外,作者还注意到,发展中国家金融包容性低的原因是金融服务利用率低和获得金融服务的机会不平等。他们还可以通过采用灵活的监管框架,鼓励金融创新,尤其是金融技术创新。另一个解决方案是,通过针对边缘化群体需求的有针对性的举措,促进这些群体的金融包容性。它们还可以通过培训计划提高人们的意识并对其进行教育,从而鼓励人们使用金融服务。最后,为改善商业环境,政府可以简化行政程序,提高透明度和法律稳定性。原创性/价值与以往的研究不同,本研究采用了两阶段 PCA 方法,并在金融包容性指数的决定因素中考虑了移动支付等金融技术(Fintech)创新,从而提高了指数的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Nexus between good governance and financial sustainability: evidence from microfinance sector of India 善治与财务可持续性之间的联系:印度小额信贷部门提供的证据
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-19 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-03-2023-0071
Maeenuddin, Shaari Abdul Hamid, Annuar Md Nassir, Mochammad Fahlevi, Mohammed Aljuaid, Kittisak Jermsittiparsert

Purpose

Microfinance emerged as an essential catalyst for socio-economic development and financial inclusion to reduce poverty. Microfinance institutions cannot meet their primary objective of poverty reduction if they are not sustainable financially. With the theoretical support of profit incentive theory, this paper aims to investigate the impact of organizational structure (OS), growth outreach (average loan per borrower [ALPB] and number of active borrowers), women empowerment (percentage of women borrowers [PWB]), liquidity, leverage and cost efficiency (cost per borrower) on the financial sustainability of microfinance providers (MFPs) in India and explore the possible moderating effect of the national governance indicators (NGIs).

Design/methodology/approach

A financial sustainability index has been developed by using principal components analysis, including both conventional measures (return of assets and return on equity) and efficiency measures (operational self-sufficiency and financial self-sufficiency). Due to the existence of endogeneity and heteroskedasticity, this study uses two-step system generalized method of moments estimates to examine the relationships for a period of 2006 to 2018.

Findings

The finding reveals that there is a strong significant relationship between financial sustainability and its influential factors. Organizatioanl Structure, loan size, women borrowers, Gross Domestic Products and inflation enhance the financial sustainability of India’s microfinance sector. However, a number of borrowers, liquidity, leverage and operating costs negatively affect the financial sustainability of MFPs of India. The estimates demonstrate that NGIs significantly moderate the association between financial sustainability and its influential factors. The NGIs negatively affect the positive impact of Organizatioanl Structure on financial sustainability. National governance increases the positive effect of loan size (ALPB) and reduces the negative effect of a number of borrowers and leverage on the financial sustainability of MFPs of India. However, NGIs negatively affect the positive relationship between Percentage of Women Borrowers and Financial sustainability of Microfinance Providers of India.

Originality/value

To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the first of its kind that incorporates all of the six dimensions of the National Governance Indicators (NGIs) and uses as a moderator. Secondly, a financial sustainability index has been developed for measuring the financial sustainability of Microfinance Providers (MFPs).

目的 小额信贷是促进社会经济发展和金融普惠以减少贫困的重要催化剂。如果小额信贷机构不能在财务上实现可持续发展,就无法实现其减贫的主要目标。在利润激励理论的支持下,本文旨在研究组织结构(OS)、增长外延(每个借款人平均贷款额 [ALPB] 和活跃借款人数量)、妇女赋权(妇女借款人百分比 [PWB])、流动性、杠杆率和成本效率(每个借款人成本)对印度小额信贷机构(MFPs)财务可持续性的影响,并探讨国家治理指标(NGIs)可能产生的调节作用。设计/方法/途径 利用主成分分析法制定了财务可持续性指数,包括传统衡量指标(资产回报率和股本回报率)和效率衡量指标(业务自给自足和财务自给自足)。由于存在内生性和异方差性,本研究采用两步系统广义矩估计法来考察 2006 年至 2018 年期间的关系。组织结构、贷款规模、女性借款人、国内生产总值和通货膨胀增强了印度小额信贷部门的财务可持续性。然而,借款人数量、流动性、杠杆率和运营成本对印度小额贷款公司的财务可持续性产生了负面影响。估算结果表明,国家性别指标在很大程度上缓和了财务可持续性与其影响因素之间的关联。国家治理指标对组织结构对财务可持续性的积极影响产生负面影响。国家治理提高了贷款规模(ALPB)的正效应,降低了借款人数量和杠杆率对印度多功能融资平台财务可持续性的负效应。然而,国家治理指标对女性借款人比例与印度小额贷款公司财务可持续性之间的正相关关系产生了负面影响。 原创性/价值 据作者所知,本研究是首次将国家治理指标(NGIs)的六个维度全部纳入并用作调节因素的同类研究。其次,本研究还开发了财务可持续性指数,用于衡量小额信贷提供商(MFP)的财务可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Role of financial openness in Ghana’s financial sector development episode 金融开放在加纳金融业发展中的作用
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-07-2023-0189
Eric Justice Eduboah

Purpose

This paper aims to reexamine the relationship between financial openness and financial development in Ghana.

Design/methodology/approach

The study applied maximum likelihood estimation and autoregressive distributed lag approach and tested Granger causality using quarterly data from 1990:1 to 2020:4.

Findings

This study revealed a long-run equilibrium relationship between financial openness and development, indicating that financial openness is a critical factor in Ghana’s financial development. Therefore, the study recommends with caution that policies aimed at promoting financial openness could be an effective way to encourage sustainable financial development in Ghana, as financial openness alone may not bring the desired outcome.

Research limitations/implications

The study contributes to the existing body of knowledge by providing empirical evidence of the link between financial openness and financial sector development in Ghana. Future research could delve deeper into the mechanisms through which financial openness affects financial development, exploring potential channels and transmission mechanisms.

Practical implications

The findings suggest that policymakers, particularly the Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Ghana, should prioritize policies aimed at promoting financial openness. This includes continued efforts toward financial liberalization and creating an environment conducive to domestic and international financial transactions. Moreover, policies aimed at increasing trade openness, boosting real GDP and maintaining moderate real interest rates are essential for fostering financial sector development.

Social implications

Enhancing financial sector development can have significant implications for society, including increased access to financial services, improved economic opportunities and enhanced overall economic stability. By promoting financial openness and development, policymakers would contribute to poverty reduction, job creation and overall socio-economic development. The study bridges the gap between theory and practice by providing empirical evidence supporting the theoretical proposition that financial openness stimulates financial sector development.

Originality/value

This study fills a crucial gap in the literature on the effects of financial openness on Ghana’s financial sector development. It focuses on Ghana, which liberalized its financial sector in 1988 as part of the overall economic reforms in 1983, and this justifies the starting point of this paper in 1990, as there are no adequate data before 1990. The study uses principal component analysis to construct an index that measures financial development. The study considers the recent financial crise

本研究采用最大似然估计法和自回归分布滞后法,并使用 1990:1 至 2020:4 的季度数据检验格兰杰因果关系。研究结果本研究揭示了金融开放与发展之间的长期均衡关系,表明金融开放是加纳金融发展的关键因素。因此,研究谨慎地建议,旨在促进金融开放的政策可能是鼓励加纳金融可持续发展的有效途径,因为仅靠金融开放可能无法带来预期结果。未来的研究可以深入探讨金融开放影响金融发展的机制,探索潜在的渠道和传导机制。研究结果表明,政策制定者,尤其是财政部和加纳银行,应优先考虑旨在促进金融开放的政策。这包括继续努力实现金融自由化,创造有利于国内和国际金融交易的环境。此外,旨在提高贸易开放度、促进实际 GDP 增长和保持适度实际利率的政策对于促进金融部门的发展也至关重要。通过促进金融开放和发展,政策制定者将有助于减少贫困、创造就业机会和推动整体社会经济发展。本研究通过提供支持金融开放刺激金融业发展这一理论主张的经验证据,在理论与实践之间架起了一座桥梁。加纳于 1988 年实现金融业自由化,这是 1983 年整体经济改革的一部分,因此本文以 1990 年为起点,因为 1990 年之前没有足够的数据。本研究采用主成分分析法构建衡量金融发展的指数。研究考虑了加纳最近在 2017 年发生的金融危机,强调了理解金融开放与金融发展之间联系的重要性,这对研究包括加纳在内的撒哈拉以南非洲金融体系发展的决策者和研究人员非常有用。
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引用次数: 0
Economic freedom and foreign direct investment in Brazil: an empirical analysis of determinants and policy implications 巴西的经济自由和外国直接投资:对决定因素和政策影响的实证分析
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-02-2024-0045
Kamal Upadhyaya, Bruno BDeGóes

Purpose

This paper aims to study the impact of economic freedom and some key macroeconomic variables on the foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow in Brazil.

Design/methodology/approach

An econometric model is developed that includes FDI inflow as the dependent variable and macroeconomic variables such as the output, current account balance, the real exchange rate, openness and economic freedom as explanatory variables. Annual time series data from 1995 to 2022 is used. Before carrying out the estimation, the time series properties of the data are diagnosed using unit root tests and cointegration tests. Since the data series were found to be stationary in the first difference form and the variables in the model were cointegrated, an error correction model is developed and estimated.

Findings

The findings demonstrate that the size of the market (gross domestic product), current account balance and the economic freedom index significantly influence FDI inflow to Brazil. Although the signs of openness and the real exchange rate align with theoretical expectations, they do not attain statistical significance.

Originality/value

To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first formal study on the impact of economic freedom on the FDI inflow in Brazil. The finding of this study adds value to the understanding of FDI dynamics in Brazil, highlighting the critical role of economic freedom and market size in attracting foreign investment.

本文旨在研究经济自由度和一些关键宏观经济变量对巴西外国直接投资(FDI)流入量的影响。本文建立了一个计量经济学模型,将外国直接投资流入量作为因变量,将产出、经常账户余额、实际汇率、开放度和经济自由度等宏观经济变量作为解释变量。使用的是 1995 年至 2022 年的年度时间序列数据。在进行估计之前,使用单位根检验和协整检验对数据的时间序列属性进行了诊断。研究结果表明,市场规模(国内生产总值)、经常账户余额和经济自由度指数对流入巴西的外国直接投资有显著影响。尽管开放度和实际汇率的迹象与理论预期一致,但它们在统计上并不显著。 原创性/价值 据作者所知,这是第一项关于经济自由对巴西外国直接投资流入影响的正式研究。本研究的发现有助于人们了解巴西的外国直接投资动态,突出了经济自由和市场规模在吸引外资方面的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Examining payday loan utilization among households with mainstream credit access 研究有主流信贷渠道的家庭使用发薪日贷款的情况
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1108/jfep-08-2023-0242
Laura Lamb
PurposeThis study aims to gain insight into the motivations behind the decision to use high-cost payday loans by households who possess mainstream credit and to determine whether this behavior has changed over time.Design/methodology/approachUsing data from Statistics Canada’s Surveys of Financial Security, probit models are used to examine the sociodemographic and financial indicators associated with payday loan use.FindingsThe analysis uncovers the sociodemographic and financial characteristics of payday loan-user households with access to lower-cost short-term loans. The findings indicate that the likelihood of payday loan use has risen over time. Additional analysis reveals that indicators of financial instability are positively associated with payday loan use among this group.Research limitations/implicationsThis research highlights the dichotomy of payday loan users and recommends policymakers tailor solutions to the specific needs of different types of payday loan users.Practical implicationsThis research highlights the distinguishing sociodemographic and financial characteristics of payday loan user households and recommends policymakers tailor solutions to the specific needs of different types of payday loan users.Originality/valueThis is the first study, to our knowledge, to focus analysis on payday loan use of those with access to lower-cost short-term credit alternatives in Canada and to include measures of financial instability in the analysis. This research is timely given the current economic environment of high interest rates and high levels of household debt.
本研究旨在深入了解拥有主流信贷的家庭决定使用高成本发薪日贷款背后的动机,并确定这种行为是否随着时间的推移而发生变化。研究结果分析揭示了可获得低成本短期贷款的发薪日贷款用户家庭的社会人口和财务特征。分析结果表明,使用发薪日贷款的可能性随着时间的推移而增加。其他分析表明,在这一群体中,金融不稳定指标与发薪日贷款的使用呈正相关。研究局限性/启示这项研究强调了发薪日贷款用户的两极分化,建议政策制定者针对不同类型的发薪日贷款用户的具体需求量身定制解决方案。实践意义这项研究强调了发薪日贷款用户家庭在社会人口和财务方面的显著特点,并建议政策制定者针对不同类型发薪日贷款用户的具体需求制定相应的解决方案。原创性/价值据我们所知,这是第一项重点分析加拿大有机会获得低成本短期信贷替代品的人使用发薪日贷款情况的研究,并在分析中纳入了财务不稳定性的衡量标准。在当前高利率和高家庭债务水平的经济环境下,这项研究非常及时。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Financial Economic Policy
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