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Subnational dimensions of the EU’s de-risking strategy in relations with China 欧盟在对华关系中降低风险战略的次国家层面
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-025-00746-z
Tomasz Kamiński

This paper highlights the strategic importance of integrating subnational governments into the European Union’s de-risking policy towards China, focusing on their unique contributions to mitigating dependencies and enhancing resilience. While the EU has shifted from a decoupling strategy to de-risking—emphasising diversification and safeguarding critical sectors—the role of subnational entities such as cities and regions remains underutilised. Often at the forefront of international partnerships, these actors engage in sectors vulnerable to geopolitical, economic, and reputational risks, but also present opportunities to support the EU’s strategic objectives. The paper demonstrates how subnational governments can be instrumental in diversifying partnerships across Asia, advancing the EU’s Global Gateway initiative, and contributing to industrial policy, all within the de-risking framework. It proposes a structured, three-step model—recognition, mechanisms for input, and best-practice sharing—to enhance the engagement of subnational actors in EU policies. By leveraging their expertise and local networks, cities and regions can play an essential role in strengthening the EU’s resilience, reducing over-reliance on China, and linking local initiatives with the Union’s broader strategic goals. Through a comprehensive analysis of risks, opportunities, and actionable recommendations, this paper underlines the critical need for multilevel governance in addressing the complexities of EU-China relations, positioning subnational actors as essential contributors to the Union’s de-risking strategy.

本文强调了将地方政府纳入欧盟对华去风险政策的战略重要性,重点关注了地方政府在减轻依赖和增强韧性方面的独特贡献。虽然欧盟已经从脱钩战略转向去风险——强调多样化和保护关键部门——但城市和地区等次国家实体的作用仍未得到充分利用。这些参与者通常处于国际伙伴关系的最前沿,参与易受地缘政治、经济和声誉风险影响的领域,但也为支持欧盟的战略目标提供了机会。该文件展示了地方政府如何在降低风险的框架内,在亚洲建立多样化的伙伴关系、推进欧盟的全球门户倡议以及为产业政策做出贡献方面发挥重要作用。它提出了一个结构化的三步模式——识别、输入机制和最佳实践分享——以加强次国家行为体对欧盟政策的参与。通过利用其专业知识和地方网络,城市和地区可以在加强欧盟的韧性,减少对中国的过度依赖,并将地方倡议与欧盟更广泛的战略目标联系起来方面发挥重要作用。通过对风险、机遇和可行建议的全面分析,本文强调了多层次治理在解决欧中关系复杂性方面的迫切需要,并将地方行为体定位为欧盟降低风险战略的重要贡献者。
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引用次数: 0
Geopolitical conflicts and economic disruptions: Germany’s China policy under pressure 地缘政治冲突与经济动荡:德国对华政策面临压力
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-025-00751-2
Margot Schüller

The European Union’s policy on China provided the foundation for Germany’s ‘Strategy on China’, published in 2023. By framing China as ‘partner, competitor, and systemic rival’, the EU’s 2019 policy signalled flexibility. However, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the attempt to weaponise energy imports in 2022 shifted the EU’s focus towards economic security and a ‘de-risking’ approach to China. Germany’s strategy revealed open dissension on two levels: within the ‘traffic light’ coalition government, and between government policy and the interests of German business. Business representatives, pointing to a weakening domestic economy and structural challenges in major industries, questioned the de-risking approach. This internal dissent hindered the development of a consistent China policy and obstructed effective responses to mounting economic and geopolitical challenges. Following the February 2025 election, a new coalition government was formed with the stated aim of reviving the domestic economy and pursuing a more assertive foreign policy. It announced a revision of the China strategy, continuing to follow the principle of de-risking. The first section of this paper examines the formation of Germany’s China strategy. The second section explores geopolitical and industrial factors. The third section analyses the response from German businesses. The fourth section discusses the current government’s approach to China.

欧盟对华政策为德国2023年发布的“对华战略”奠定了基础。通过将中国定位为“合作伙伴、竞争对手和系统性竞争对手”,欧盟2019年的政策显示出了灵活性。然而,俄罗斯对乌克兰的入侵以及2022年将能源进口武器化的企图,使欧盟的重点转向了经济安全,并对中国采取了“降低风险”的方式。德国的战略暴露了两个层面的公开分歧:“红绿灯”联合政府内部的分歧,以及政府政策与德国企业利益之间的分歧。企业代表指出,中国国内经济正在走弱,主要行业面临结构性挑战,他们对降低风险的做法提出了质疑。这种内部分歧阻碍了一贯对华政策的发展,也阻碍了对日益严峻的经济和地缘政治挑战的有效回应。在2025年2月的选举之后,一个新的联合政府成立,其目标是重振国内经济,并奉行更自信的外交政策。它宣布修改中国战略,继续遵循降低风险的原则。本文第一部分考察了德国对华战略的形成。第二部分探讨地缘政治和产业因素。第三部分分析了德国企业的反应。第四部分讨论了当前政府对中国的态度。
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引用次数: 0
The Third Plenum of the Twentieth Party Congress: ideological fervor, economic pragmatism, and the possibilities for EU-China relations 二十届三中全会:意识形态热情、经济实用主义和中欧关系的可能性
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-08-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-025-00744-1
Bart Dessein, Jasper Roctus

The People’s Republic of China (PRC) has made solid progress in pursuing the high-quality development it urgently seeks, placing innovation at the core of its economic strategy. However, much like its initial technological leap during the reform and opening-up era—which was heavily reliant on technology imports—China continues to depend significantly on the West for (certain) advanced innovations and high-end technologies. This reliance helps explain why China remains committed to staying open to the global economy: as a source of raw materials, energy, and technology, and as a vital market for its manufactured goods. At the same time, Beijing is determined to avoid overdependence on foreign countries. This dual aim is reflected in the earlier ‘Dual Circulation Strategy’ (DCS), as well as in more recent concepts such as ‘new qualitative productive forces’ and ‘the country’s innovation system,’ highlighted in the ‘Resolution of the Third Plenum of the Twentieth Party Congress’ of July 2024. In light of this, the European Union (EU) has to contend with a PRC that is deeply nationalistic, proud of its economic achievements, yet also burdened by a faltering economy and a growing sense of strategic encirclement. Recognizing that both the EU and China have substantial stakes in each other’s sustainable growth and prosperity, this policy brief recommends that Brussels seize opportunities to renew dialogue and revitalize bilateral relations. Doing so could persuade Beijing that greater benefits lie in alignment with the EU than with alternative partners. Moreover, in a context of intensifying US-China tensions, reengagement with China may help preserve the functioning of global governance institutions and maintain the EU’s influence on the international stage.

中华人民共和国把创新摆在经济战略的核心位置,扎实推进其迫切需要的高质量发展。然而,就像改革开放时期最初的技术飞跃(严重依赖技术进口)一样,中国在(某些)先进创新和高端技术方面继续严重依赖西方。这种依赖有助于解释为什么中国仍然致力于对全球经济保持开放:作为原材料、能源和技术的来源,以及作为其制成品的重要市场。与此同时,中国政府决心避免过度依赖外国。这种双重目标反映在早期的“双循环战略”(DCS)中,以及最近的概念,如“新型质的生产力”和“国家创新体系”,在2024年7月的“第二十届三中全会决议”中强调。鉴于此,欧盟(EU)不得不与一个有着深刻民族主义色彩、为其经济成就感到自豪、但同时又背负着经济衰退和日益增长的战略包围感的中国抗衡。认识到欧盟和中国对彼此的可持续增长和繁荣都有重大利害关系,本政策简报建议布鲁塞尔抓住机会恢复对话,振兴双边关系。这样做可能会让中国政府相信,与欧盟结盟比与其他合作伙伴结盟更有好处。此外,在美中紧张局势加剧的背景下,与中国重新接触可能有助于维护全球治理机构的运作,并维持欧盟在国际舞台上的影响力。
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引用次数: 0
From infrastructure space to network power: Chinese cross-border collaborative Special Economic Zones in Southeast Asia 从基础设施空间到网络力量:中国在东南亚的跨境合作经济特区
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-08-15 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-025-00738-z
Hong Liu, Chao Yao

There is a growing scholarly attention to mega cross-border infrastructural projects in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) through collaborative Special Economic Zones (SEZs). While existing literature has explored relationships between special zones, usually produced through preferential economic policies, and the outside region, few studies take a view beyond the static demarcation of SEZs. This paper utilizes network power framework through the lens of infrastructuralization to investigate the changing and diversified emphasis of China’s application of the SEZ model. It delves into the development processes of the China-invested Sihanoukville SEZ in Cambodia and the Malaysia-China Kuantan Industrial Park in Malaysia. The introduction of the Shenzhen model in the Sihanoukville SEZ brings in the idea and practice of administrative reconfiguration, and the zone becomes a constitutive part of the infrastructure that channels the planning codes into Cambodia. In comparison, with limited space for overseas developers, the zone in Malaysia serves as the infrastructure to secure logistics alternatives in the transnational production network. By investigating the SEZs' multi-faceted process of infrastructuralization, we argue that the SEZs constitute a key hub of the interactive networks and simultaneously an integral part of the channel for cross-border circulation of capital, people, ideas, technical standards, and practices. By transcending conventional territorial boundaries and integrating zoning codes with logistical infrastructures, China has effectively turned SEZs into nodes of both domestic urbanization and transnational power network entanglements. The Chinese model demonstrates the potential of zones to operate beyond enclave logics and instead function as strategic assemblage that rewrite state-market relations.

通过合作性经济特区(SEZs),“一带一路”倡议(BRI)中的大型跨境基础设施项目越来越受到学术界的关注。虽然已有文献探讨了通常通过优惠经济政策产生的特区与外部区域之间的关系,但很少有研究超越了经济特区的静态划分。本文运用网络权力框架,通过基础设施建设的视角,考察中国经济特区模式应用重点的变化和多样化。深入研究了中国投资的柬埔寨西哈努克经济特区和马来西亚中马关丹工业园的发展历程。深圳模式在西哈努克特区的引入带来了行政重组的理念和实践,该特区成为基础设施的组成部分,将规划规范引入柬埔寨。相比之下,由于海外开发商的空间有限,马来西亚的开发区作为基础设施,在跨国生产网络中确保物流选择。通过研究经济特区多方面的基础设施建设过程,我们认为,经济特区构成了互动网络的关键枢纽,同时也是资本、人员、思想、技术标准和实践跨境流通渠道的组成部分。通过超越传统的领土边界,将分区代码与物流基础设施相结合,中国有效地将经济特区变成了国内城市化和跨国电网纠缠的节点。中国模式展示了区域超越飞地逻辑运作的潜力,而是作为重写国家-市场关系的战略组合发挥作用。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating Eurasian countries’ global energy governance: a framework for analysis 欧亚国家全球能源治理评估:一个分析框架
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-08-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-025-00743-2
Yunheng Zhou, Weizhen Wang, Yiming Chen, Jiaai Tian, Kevin Tu

Energy is the driving force of modern civilization. This paper introduces a global energy governance index (GEGI) based on the pressure-state-response (PSR) model to evaluate and compare Global Energy Governance (GEG) performance among 48 Eurasian nations. The GEGI elucidates the disparities among nations in governance outcomes, closely linked to national income levels and the availability of energy resources. The highest rankings are predominantly held by affluent, resource-rich countries, succeeded by prosperous nations with limited energy assets. Following these are middle-income countries that possess a moderate supply of resources, whereas low- and middle-income nations are relegated to the lower tiers due to their inadequate resource endowments. The international community should focus on eliminating energy poverty, fostering energy security among importers and exporters, and maintaining strong relations among major powers in Eurasia, particularly between China and the EU, to effectively address the global energy and climate crisis.

能源是现代文明的动力。本文引入基于压力-状态-响应(PSR)模型的全球能源治理指数(GEGI)来评估和比较48个欧亚国家的全球能源治理(GEG)绩效。GEGI阐明了各国在治理成果方面的差异,这些差异与国民收入水平和能源资源的可获得性密切相关。排名最高的主要是富裕、资源丰富的国家,排在其后的是能源资产有限的繁荣国家。紧随其后的是拥有适度资源供应的中等收入国家,而低收入和中等收入国家由于资源禀赋不足而被降至较低级别。国际社会应着眼于消除能源贫困,促进进口国和出口国的能源安全,维护欧亚地区主要大国之间特别是中欧之间的牢固关系,有效应对全球能源和气候危机。
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引用次数: 0
Reassessing China’s economic power in Southeast Asia during the 2010 s: insights from the nexus of FDI-driven manufacturing and GVC trade 重新评估2010年代中国在东南亚的经济实力:来自外商直接投资驱动的制造业和全球价值链贸易关系的见解
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-06-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-025-00735-2
Yoon Ah Oh

Southeast Asia’s primary foreign policy challenge amid the intensifying US-China rivalry is commonly framed as a pursuit of neutrality, which is premised on the region’s economic dependence on China and its security reliance on the USA. While widely accepted, the economic side of this framing largely rests on the assumption that China’s economic dominance in the region is indisputable. This article challenges this assumption by reassessing China’s role in Southeast Asia’s manufacturing sector during the 2010s. Empirical evidence shows that, while China was the region’s dominant supplier at the time, its role as an investor with key decision-making power in production networks remained limited. In this article, to better make sense of these results, a typology of sourcing relations centered on the alignment between foreign assemblers and their suppliers was developed, drawn from the FDI and GVC approaches. Two case studies illustrate key outcome categories involving Thailand and Vietnam. The findings suggest that China's economic position in SE Asia during the 2010s was more limited than commonly assumed, though this may be changing with the emergence of new technologies.

在美中竞争加剧的背景下,东南亚的主要外交政策挑战通常被定义为追求中立,其前提是该地区对中国的经济依赖和对美国的安全依赖。尽管这一框架在经济方面被广泛接受,但它在很大程度上建立在中国在该地区的经济主导地位是无可争议的假设之上。本文通过重新评估中国在2010年代在东南亚制造业中的作用来挑战这一假设。经验证据表明,尽管中国当时是该地区的主要供应国,但作为在生产网络中拥有关键决策权的投资者,它的作用仍然有限。在本文中,为了更好地理解这些结果,根据FDI和GVC方法,开发了一种以外国装配商与其供应商之间对齐为中心的采购关系类型。两个案例研究说明了涉及泰国和越南的主要成果类别。研究结果表明,2010年代中国在东南亚的经济地位比通常认为的更为有限,尽管这种情况可能随着新技术的出现而改变。
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引用次数: 0
A ‘network power shift’ or up the value chain? Japan’s changing role in Asian political economy 是“网络权力转移”还是向价值链上游转移?日本在亚洲政治经济中的角色变化
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-06-19 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-025-00733-4
Nikolay Murashkin, Olesya Emelyanova

The goal of this article is to trace the evolution of Japan’s role in Southeast and South Asian political economy in the 2000s–2010s to understand how Japan’s previously established network power in Asian supply chains has changed amid much-discussed power shifts in the region. The increasing number of emerging and rising regional powers induces Japan to search for new approaches to support strong economic ties with the partners. Some of Japan’s approaches may seek to reflect the needs of the country’s partners, to maintain an image of a responsible stakeholder, while others include trade-offs regarding participation in emerging blocs and continuation of foreign economic policy based on national interests, as formulated by different domestic policy constituencies. The importance of network connections with Southeast Asia (SEA) and adjacent countries such as Bangladesh is determined by the region’s sustained growth potential, Japan’s continuing export-oriented economy and its attempts to stay relevant, while remaining a core node of regional value chains. Domestically, Japan’s reliance on export-led development has implications for debates on neoliberal policies and state capitalism inside Japan proper. Internationally, we seek to elucidate how Japan keeps pursuing its national interests in regional economic policy, while maintaining its existing geopolitical alignments amid increasingly networked regional security. We examine Japan’s policy initiatives and contextualise them within our analysis of trade and investment flows to clarify cooperation priorities and to identify shifts in Japan’s network power in the region.

本文的目标是追溯日本在2000年至2010年期间在东南亚和南亚政治经济中的角色演变,以了解日本之前在亚洲供应链中建立的网络权力如何在该地区备受讨论的权力转移中发生变化。越来越多的新兴和崛起的地区大国促使日本寻求新的途径来支持与合作伙伴建立牢固的经济联系。日本的一些做法可能会试图反映该国合作伙伴的需求,以保持一个负责任的利益攸关方的形象,而另一些做法则包括在参与新兴集团和根据不同国内政策选区制定的基于国家利益的对外经济政策的延续方面进行权衡。与东南亚(SEA)和孟加拉国等邻国建立网络联系的重要性取决于该地区的持续增长潜力、日本持续的出口导向型经济以及它在保持区域价值链核心节点的同时保持相关性的努力。在国内,日本对出口导向型发展的依赖对日本国内关于新自由主义政策和国家资本主义的辩论产生了影响。在国际上,我们试图阐明日本如何在地区经济政策中继续追求其国家利益,同时在日益网络化的地区安全中保持其现有的地缘政治联盟。我们研究了日本的政策举措,并将其置于我们对贸易和投资流动的分析中,以澄清合作重点,并确定日本在该地区网络力量的变化。
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引用次数: 0
How do international students adjust to new cultural environments? A qualitative study of international students’ experience in Asian universities 国际学生如何适应新的文化环境?亚洲大学国际学生经历的质性研究
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-06-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-025-00734-3
Candice A. Wray, Chieh Wang, Yu-Hsuan Wang, David C. McConville

Research on international students’ study experience has predominantly focused on host countries in Western contexts. This study addresses the need for qualitative research on international students’ experience in the Asian context. Using the U-curve model and psychological contract theory, this study examined the adjustment challenges and cognitive schema of international master’s degree students at two universities in Taiwan. The results showed that psychological contract theory is important in explaining the socio-emotional shifts across the U-curve. We present a five-stage model of adjustment with psychological contract embedded as an intraphase mental framework that guides how students interpret their experiences. Additionally, evidence indicated that the pre-arrival stage plays a critical role in the adjustment process. Furthermore, this study found differences in adjustment between Asian and non-Asian international students. While Asian students encounter social adjustment challenges, non-Asian students encounter challenges with academic adjustment and communication etiquette.

关于国际学生学习经历的研究主要集中在西方背景下的东道国。本研究探讨了对亚洲背景下国际学生经历进行定性研究的必要性。本研究运用u型曲线模型及心理契约理论,探讨台湾两所大学国际硕士研究生的适应挑战与认知图式。结果表明,心理契约理论在解释u型曲线上的社会情绪变化方面具有重要意义。我们提出了一个五阶段的调整模型,其中嵌入了心理契约作为阶段内心理框架,指导学生如何解释他们的经历。此外,有证据表明,到达前阶段在适应过程中起着关键作用。此外,本研究还发现亚洲和非亚洲国际学生在适应能力方面存在差异。亚洲学生面临社会适应的挑战,非亚洲学生则面临学术适应和交际礼仪的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Who is closerto whom? Exploring communication networks of EU delegation and its member states’ embassies in China 谁和谁更亲近?探索欧盟代表团及其成员国驻华使馆的沟通网络
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-06-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-025-00730-7
Li Zhang, Shujun Jiang, Xi Luo

How difficult is the EU to speak in one voice, especially in this digital age? This study uses social network analysis to explore the digital public diplomacy of the EU and its Member States (MS) through their social media activities on Chinese Weibo. It finds that the EU Delegation’s identity as a group leader is recognized by most member states, but generally, it has a weak coordinating role and lacks conversation with the third-country entities. Social identity theory and its extended model are employed to interpret the community formation of the EU and its MS’s communication network, especially how they interchange between an individual country, an EU membership identity, an intragroup identity, and a group identity. The study reveals that most EU MS play a more independent role in their digital public diplomacy activities in China rather than as a member of the Union, and the status of key members, such as France and Germany, is not inferior to that of the EU Delegation at all in the European intragroup in terms of as an information hub. This potentially would weaken the EU actorness at the global level once their voices are different from that of the EU.

欧盟用一个声音说话有多难,尤其是在这个数字时代?本研究运用社会网络分析,通过欧盟及其成员国在中国微博上的社交媒体活动,探讨欧盟及其成员国的数字公共外交。研究发现,欧盟代表团作为集团领导人的身份得到了大多数成员国的认可,但总体而言,其协调作用较弱,缺乏与第三国实体的对话。本文采用社会认同理论及其扩展模型来解释欧盟及其MS传播网络的共同体形成,特别是它们如何在单个国家、欧盟成员身份、群体内身份和群体身份之间相互交换。研究表明,大多数欧盟外交部长在中国的数字公共外交活动中扮演着更独立的角色,而不是作为欧盟的一员,而法国和德国等关键成员在欧洲集团内部作为信息中心的地位并不低于欧盟代表团。一旦他们的声音与欧盟不同,这可能会削弱欧盟在全球层面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Bangladesh amidst great power competition: when middle power meets economic statecraft 大国竞争中的孟加拉国:当中等大国遇到经济治国方略
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-05-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-025-00729-0
Ariful Haque, Qinrou Zhou, Chengwei Xu

Bangladesh, strategically positioned at the crossroads of South Asia and Southeast Asia, has emerged as a focal point for major global powers such as China, India, Japan, and the USA. The interaction of these nations with Bangladesh not only signifies the region’s economic potential but also unveils the complex geopolitical dynamics in action. China’s Belt and Road Initiative has notably expanded its influence in Bangladesh, while India, with historical ties and geographical proximity, plays a critical role in trade, security, and regional stability. Japan and Bangladesh elevated their previous comprehensive partnership to a strategic partnership in 2023. Simultaneously, the USA maintains a longstanding status as the country’s largest export market and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) source. Drawing from the literature on middle power and economic statecraft, this paper sheds light on how Bangladesh navigates the complex dynamics of global geopolitics as a middle power in South Asia. Applying trade, FDI, and Official Development Assistance (ODA) data from 2010 to 2022, our findings suggest that Bangladesh strategically balances the presence of these major powers to safeguard its interests, with their engagements showing more complementarity than competition.

孟加拉国战略性地位于南亚和东南亚的十字路口,已经成为中国、印度、日本和美国等主要全球大国的焦点。这些国家与孟加拉国的互动不仅表明了该地区的经济潜力,而且揭示了复杂的地缘政治动态。中国的“一带一路”倡议显著扩大了其在孟加拉国的影响力,而拥有历史联系和地理邻近的印度在贸易、安全和地区稳定方面发挥着关键作用。日本和孟加拉国于2023年将全面伙伴关系提升为战略伙伴关系。同时,美国长期保持着该国最大出口市场和外国直接投资(FDI)来源国的地位。本文借鉴了有关中等强国和经济治国方略的文献,阐明了孟加拉国作为南亚中等强国如何驾驭复杂的全球地缘政治动态。利用2010年至2022年的贸易、外国直接投资和官方发展援助(ODA)数据,我们的研究结果表明,孟加拉国在战略上平衡了这些大国的存在,以维护其利益,它们的参与显示出更多的互补性而不是竞争性。
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引用次数: 0
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