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China’s partners or US allies: the dual status of major European states and their voting behaviour in the UNGA 中国的伙伴还是美国的盟友:欧洲主要国家的双重地位及其在联合国大会上的投票行为
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00668-8
Qi Haixia

China’s rise, along with deepening Sino-European economic relations, seems to have a strong impact on the diplomatic outlook of actors in Europe. An interesting phenomenon is that, while several major European states have become strategic partners of China, they remain US allies at the same time. In the context of trade tensions and a possible decoupling between China and the USA, what are the diplomatic effects of the close economic relations between Europe and China? To find the answer, this study builds models on the functions of trade and partnerships with China with respect to voting choice of China’s partners, including those in Europe, in the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA). After making a statistical analysis and presenting detailed analysis on France, Germany, the UK, and Poland, this paper finds that the close economic and trade ties do indeed enhance voting similarity between China and major states in Europe in the UNGA.

中国的崛起,加上中欧经济关系的加深,似乎对欧洲行为者的外交前景产生了强烈影响。一个有趣的现象是,尽管几个主要的欧洲国家已经成为中国的战略伙伴,但它们同时仍然是美国的盟友。在中美贸易紧张和可能脱钩的背景下,欧洲和中国之间密切的经济关系会产生什么样的外交影响?为了找到答案,本研究建立了与中国的贸易和伙伴关系在联合国大会上投票选择中国伙伴(包括欧洲伙伴)方面的功能模型。通过对法国、德国、英国和波兰的统计分析和详细分析,本文发现,紧密的经贸关系确实增强了中国与欧洲主要国家在联合国大会上的投票相似性。
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引用次数: 0
‘System friction’ in China-EU economic relations and the reaction of the EU 中欧经济关系中的“制度摩擦”与欧盟的反应
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00667-9
Herman Voogsgeerd

In the period between 2015 and 2020, we have witnessed an increase in ‘system friction’ in the trade and investment relations between the EU and the People’s Republic of China (PRC). This paper focuses on the meaning of this notion of ‘system friction’, originally coined by Sylvia Ostry and on how the EU and especially the European Commission reacted to this friction. This notion might present an alternative to the notion of ‘system rivalry’. The result of system friction in the relation between the EU and the PRC had been a convergence towards more trade defensive moves. A form of managed trade with help of a ratified Investment treaty between the two sides might be a potential outcome.

在2015年至2020年期间,我们目睹了欧盟与中华人民共和国(PRC)之间贸易和投资关系中的“制度摩擦”增加。本文的重点是“制度摩擦”这个概念的含义,最初是由西尔维娅·奥斯特利提出的,以及欧盟,特别是欧盟委员会如何应对这种摩擦。这个概念可能是“系统竞争”概念的另一种选择。欧盟与中国之间的制度摩擦的结果是向更多的贸易防御行动趋同。在双方批准的投资条约的帮助下,某种形式的管理贸易可能是一个潜在的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Diverging perceptions of the “Visegrad Four + ” format and the limits of the V4 + Japan cooperation 对“维谢格拉德四国+”模式和V4 +日本合作局限性的不同看法
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00669-7
Michal Kolmaš

The Visegrad Group format — coordinated policy forum for Czechia, Slovakia, Poland and Hungary — has been dubbed as a significant policy tool that advocates the interests and builds synergies among the four partners. The “Visegrad Four + ” format, which coordinates foreign relations of these four countries, has been narrated as the key foreign policy venue of the V4, and the V4 + Japan is often understood as the key partnership within this format. Due to the recently growing Chinese influence in Central and Eastern Europe, and the impacts of the war in Ukraine in 2022, many have come to expect the coordination to strengthen and ramify. This article argues, however, that the V4 + Japan platform represents only a marginal policy forum and is unlikely to gain any significant political momentum in the foreseeable future. Basing the analysis on a set of interviews with the V4 and Japanese policymakers, the paper posits three reasons that have prevented the deepening of the V4 + Japan coordination: (i) there are significant limits to socialization in the group, (ii) there are diverse threat perceptions among V4 members, and (iii) there is little interest in deepening economic coordination vis-a-vis third parties. These findings question the viability of foreign policy coordination among the Visegrad Group members, and highlight the impediments for the expansion of V4 + Japan cooperation.

维谢格拉德集团的形式——捷克、斯洛伐克、波兰和匈牙利的协调政策论坛——被称为一个重要的政策工具,倡导四个合作伙伴的利益并建立协同作用。“维谢格拉德四人组”+ ” 协调这四个国家外交关系的格式被描述为V4和V4的主要外交政策场所 + 日本经常被理解为这种形式中的关键伙伴关系。由于中国最近在中欧和东欧的影响力不断增强,以及2022年乌克兰战争的影响,许多人开始期待这种协调会加强和分化。然而,本文认为V4 + 日本平台只是一个边缘的政策论坛,在可预见的未来不太可能获得任何重大的政治势头。基于对V4和日本政策制定者的一系列采访,本文提出了阻碍V4深化的三个原因 + 日本的协调:(i)该群体的社会化有很大的局限性,(ii)V4成员对威胁的看法不同,(iii)对深化与第三方的经济协调兴趣不大。这些发现质疑维谢格拉德集团成员国之间外交政策协调的可行性,并突出了V4扩张的障碍 + 日本合作。
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引用次数: 0
The EU and China in the global climate regime: a dialectical collaboration-competition relationship 全球气候机制中的欧盟和中国:辩证的合作-竞争关系
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00664-y
Sirma Altun, Ceren Ergenc

As two major powers that are willing to lead the design and evolution of the global climate regime, the EU and China have maintained a dialogue on climate change and biodiversity while clashing over other economic and political issues. This paper investigates EU-China relations in the global climate regime by briefly analysing three main areas that are key for the global green transition: standardization, green taxonomy, and the renewables sector. The paper claims that EU-China relations in the global climate regime develop within the dialectical collaboration-competition nexus, showing moments of consensus as well as contention between the two major powers in the three selected cases.

作为愿意引领全球气候机制设计和演变的两个大国,欧盟和中国在气候变化和生物多样性方面保持着对话,但在其他经济和政治问题上存在分歧。本文通过简要分析对全球绿色转型至关重要的三个主要领域:标准化、绿色分类法和可再生能源部门,探讨了中欧关系在全球气候机制中的作用。本文认为,在全球气候机制中,中欧关系是在辩证的合作-竞争关系中发展的,在三个选定的案例中,这两个大国之间既有共识,也有争论。
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引用次数: 0
Armenia-India partnership: geopolitical and geo-economic implications in the Eurasian context 亚美尼亚-印度伙伴关系:欧亚背景下的地缘政治和地缘经济影响
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00665-x
Radhika Lakshminarayanan, Tigran Yepremyan

Abstract

In the twenty-first century, changing global power equations are impacting the dynamics of foreign and security policy choices of small states, as they seek to develop alliances and partnerships to offset their geopolitical and geo-economic vulnerabilities. In this context, Armenia’s security orientation is largely seen as consistently intertwined with Russia even after independence. Armenia has also attempted to develop a “normative alliance” with the European Union, relying mostly on its special relations with France. In recent years, various factors including domestic politics, deficit of security, and Russian dominance have led to a gradual re-orientation in the Armenian alliance trajectory towards more multilateral partnerships indicating a tendency towards “hedging” alliances. Conceptualizing from a theoretical foundation relating to small-state alliance options, this paper presents a case for Armenia-India strategic partnerships, given the historical and cultural ties between the two nations and the rapid growth of India as an emergent giant in the multipolar world. In this context of strategic analysis, the Georgia-Armenia-Iran corridor has a potential of vital geo-economic and geopolitical axis for India as well as for Russia, the EU, and China. The position of Armenia with its “both… and” integration approach, approximation with the EU, and strategic partnership with Russia has proved to be insufficient in security issues; however, the friendly disposition of a rising power, such as India, leaves Armenia with the capacity to diversify its security as a local civilizational and geo-economic connector.

摘要在21世纪,不断变化的全球权力方程式正在影响小国外交和安全政策选择的动态,因为它们寻求发展联盟和伙伴关系,以抵消其地缘政治和地缘经济脆弱性。在这种背景下,亚美尼亚的安全取向在很大程度上被视为即使在独立后也始终与俄罗斯交织在一起。亚美尼亚还试图与欧盟建立“规范联盟”,主要依靠其与法国的特殊关系。近年来,包括国内政治、安全赤字和俄罗斯主导地位在内的各种因素导致亚美尼亚联盟轨迹逐渐转向更多的多边伙伴关系,这表明有“对冲”联盟的趋势。鉴于亚美尼亚和印度之间的历史和文化联系,以及印度作为多极世界中新兴大国的快速发展,本文从与小国家联盟选项相关的理论基础上提出了亚美尼亚和印度战略伙伴关系的案例。在战略分析的背景下,格鲁吉亚-亚美尼亚-伊朗走廊对印度、俄罗斯、欧盟和中国来说都具有重要的地缘经济和地缘政治轴心的潜力。事实证明,亚美尼亚在安全问题上的立场是不够的,其“既……又”的一体化方法、与欧盟的接近以及与俄罗斯的战略伙伴关系;然而,印度等崛起大国的友好态度使亚美尼亚有能力将其安全多样化,成为当地文明和地缘经济的纽带。
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引用次数: 1
Bottom-up market-facilitation and top-down market-steering: comparing and conceptualizing green finance approaches in the EU and China 自下而上的市场促进与自上而下的市场导向:欧盟和中国绿色金融模式的比较与概念化
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00663-z
Mathias Lund Larsen

To address environmental problems, efforts to green financial systems are proliferating across the globe. However, green finance policy approaches differ substantially and in ways left unexplained in current literature. Focusing on the EU and China as the most active and influential in green finance, the paper provides a comparative analysis and conceptualization of their approaches. The analysis is based on the dissection of policy documents, a review of stakeholder statements and articles, and insights from semi-structured interviews and participant observation. The paper finds that in terms of similar characteristics, both parties seek inclusive expertise input, establish thematic committees, and initiate green finance efforts through financial system-wide guidelines. In terms of different characteristics, the paper finds that through a consultation-based, transparent, and limited mandate approach, the EU is characterized by longer time horizons and organic growth. This can be contrasted with the Chinese technocratic, closed-door, and non-limited mandate approach, characterized by rapid rollout and command-and-control growth. These findings can be conceptualized as a bottom-up market-facilitating approach in the EU and a top-down market-steering approach in China. The different approaches help explain current difficulties in coordination between the EU and China and imply that cooperation is only possible through compatibility rather than harmonization. The findings show that different governance models can actively use the state to pursue sustainable development, and second that such an active state can function in very different ways towards the same goals.

为了解决环境问题,绿色金融体系的努力正在全球范围内激增。然而,绿色金融政策的方法有很大不同,而且在目前的文献中无法解释。本文以欧盟和中国作为绿色金融领域最活跃、最具影响力的国家为研究对象,对其方法进行了比较分析和概念化。该分析基于对政策文件的剖析、对利益相关者声明和文章的审查,以及半结构化访谈和参与者观察的见解。论文发现,就相似的特征而言,双方都寻求包容性的专业知识投入,成立专题委员会,并通过金融系统范围的指导方针启动绿色金融工作。从不同的特点来看,本文发现,通过基于协商、透明和有限授权的方法,欧盟具有更长的时间跨度和有机增长的特点。这可以与中国的技术官僚、封闭的、非限制的授权方法形成对比,后者的特点是快速推出和指挥控制增长。这些发现可以被概念化为欧盟自下而上的市场促进方法和中国自上而下的市场引导方法。不同的方法有助于解释目前欧盟和中国之间协调的困难,并意味着只有通过兼容性而不是协调才能进行合作。研究结果表明,不同的治理模式可以积极利用国家来追求可持续发展,其次,这种积极的国家可以以非常不同的方式实现相同的目标。
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引用次数: 4
A meteoric strategic partnership? The still long march of mutual understanding and trust between China and the Czech Republic 迅速发展的战略伙伴关系?中捷两国相互了解和信任的道路依然漫长
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00662-0
Fangxing Qin, Jeremy Garlick, Siyang Liu

After the introduction of the 16 + 1 cooperation platform in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) in 2012, bilateral relations between China and Czechia warmed up in the period 2015–2017, most notably when they became strategic partners in 2016. However, relations declined thereafter due to factors such as China’s underwhelming investment programme, the Czech focus on security and human rights, and some Czech politicians’ engagement with Taiwan. This article analyses the shortcomings inherent in Chinese and Czech interpretations of their partner’s approaches to the relationship. The analysis demonstrates that several factors have undermined China’s efforts to build solid bilateral relations. Above all, China’s misunderstanding of the ways in which the Czech political system and culture influence the formulation of Czech policy towards China, combined with underwhelming economic results, have undermined China’s diplomatic efforts. At the same time, the fragmentation of Czech political power structures means that it is difficult for Czechia to form a stable consensus on China policy. In addition, lack of understanding of China’s history and the contemporary context of its foreign policy means that Czech views on China have become politicised and polarised. These problems have seriously affected the mutual trust and development of relations between the two countries, in the same way as they have impacted relations between China and other CEE countries, most notably Lithuania.

在引入16 + 1中欧和东欧合作平台2012年,中国和捷克的双边关系在2015-2017年升温,最显著的是在2016年成为战略伙伴。然而,由于中国的投资计划不受欢迎、捷克对安全和人权的关注以及一些捷克政客与台湾的接触等因素,两国关系此后有所下降。本文分析了中国和捷克对其合作伙伴处理关系的方式的解释中固有的缺陷。分析表明,有几个因素破坏了中国建立牢固双边关系的努力。最重要的是,中国对捷克政治制度和文化影响捷克对华政策制定的方式的误解,加上令人失望的经济成果,破坏了中国的外交努力。与此同时,捷克政治权力结构的碎片化意味着捷克很难在对华政策上形成稳定的共识。此外,由于对中国历史及其外交政策的当代背景缺乏了解,捷克对中国的看法变得政治化和两极分化。这些问题严重影响了两国之间的互信和关系发展,也影响了中国与其他中东欧国家,尤其是立陶宛的关系。
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引用次数: 1
Not seeing eye to eye: perception of the China-EU economic relationship 看法不一致:对中欧经济关系的看法
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00658-w
Suetyi LAI

Abstract

Economic relationship has been the cornerstone of the China-EU relation as well as the China-EU comprehensive strategic partnership which was established in 2003. On the other side of the coin, economic relations have been main sources of disputes between China and the EU since the 2005–2006 textile disputes. This paper examines their mutual perceptions in this field as one way of explaining the development of the bilateral relationship, supported by substantial empirical data. It is found that the successful economic development of China has generated different perceptions between the EU and China. With the difference in the development level reducing, the EU side was concerned more about the rise of China, while the Chinese side emphasised more the relative decline of the EU’s economic might.

摘要经济关系是中欧关系的基石,也是2003年建立的中欧全面战略伙伴关系的基石。另一方面,自2005-2006年纺织品争端以来,经济关系一直是中欧争端的主要来源。本文考察了他们在这一领域的相互看法,以此作为解释双边关系发展的一种方式,并得到了大量实证数据的支持。研究发现,中国经济的成功发展使欧盟和中国产生了不同的看法。随着发展水平差距的缩小,欧盟方面更加关注中国的崛起,而中国方面则更加强调欧盟经济实力的相对下降。
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引用次数: 0
Technological intensity in manufacturing trade between ASEAN and the EU: challenges and opportunities 东盟与欧盟制造业贸易中的技术强度:挑战与机遇
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00661-1
Amadeo Navarro Zapata, María Arrazola, José de Hevia

This article analyses trade flows EU-ASEAN, focusing on export performance and technological intensity, covering the years 2004–2016. The aim of this paper is to analyse to what extent, a further trade integration between the EU and ASEAN, could generate business opportunities for countries in both trading blocs. This analysis could serve as a basis for designing and implementing effective policies and strategies by policymakers in the face of a deepening EU-ASEAN trade integration. Therefore, a detailed analysis of the degree of complementarity of trade patterns, the weight of intra-industry trade, and the revealed comparative advantages allows us to outline some of those challenges and opportunities. Results suggest that intra-industry trade is moderate, mainly focused on few manufactures, accounting for a low value of total trade flows between the two blocs, and concentrated in a few countries. The Lafay index analysis suggests that the EU and ASEAN are natural partners regarding the technological patterns of the revealed comparative advantages; therefore, a deepening in trade integration between this trading blocs could allow to exploit those comparative advantages.

本文分析了2004年至2016年欧盟-东盟的贸易流动,重点关注出口绩效和技术强度。本文的目的是分析欧盟和东盟之间的进一步贸易一体化在多大程度上可以为这两个贸易集团的国家创造商业机会。这一分析可以作为政策制定者在欧盟-东盟贸易一体化不断深化的情况下制定和实施有效政策和战略的基础。因此,对贸易模式的互补程度、产业内贸易的比重以及所揭示的比较优势进行详细分析,使我们能够概述其中的一些挑战和机遇。结果表明,产业内贸易温和,主要集中在少数制造业,在两个集团之间的贸易总额中所占比例较低,并集中在少数国家。Lafay指数分析表明,欧盟和东盟在所揭示的比较优势的技术模式方面是天然的合作伙伴;因此,深化这些贸易集团之间的贸易一体化可以利用这些比较优势。
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引用次数: 1
Measuring economic diplomacy using event study method: the case of EU-China summit talks and Airbus stock price changes 用事件研究方法衡量经济外交:以欧中首脑会谈和空客股价变动为例
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00660-2
Sunkung Choi

Economic diplomacy receives growing interest in the field of international relations research ever since the end of the cold war. Despite the vast number of literature on economic diplomacy, there are not many studies measuring the effect of economic diplomacy quantitatively. The purpose of this paper is to propose a method to measure economic diplomacy using the event study method that observes the influence of specific events on stock prices. In this study, the summit talks between the EU and China are selected as specific events that are considered as a form of economic diplomacy, and Airbus stock price, the proxy of the reaction to the economic diplomacy, was observed to verify the influence of it. The study categorized the summit talks by the type of participants whether the top politicians were included or not. The result shows that, among all summit talks, the summit talks between top politicians between the EU and China influence the stock price of Airbus positively, and it is statistically significant.

自冷战结束以来,经济外交在国际关系研究领域受到越来越多的关注。尽管有大量关于经济外交的文献,但定量衡量经济外交效果的研究并不多。本文的目的是利用观察特定事件对股价影响的事件研究方法,提出一种衡量经济外交的方法。在这项研究中,欧盟和中国之间的首脑会谈被选为被视为一种经济外交形式的具体事件,并观察了空中客车公司的股价,作为对经济外交反应的代表,以验证其影响。结果表明,在所有峰会会谈中,欧盟和中国高层政治家之间的峰会会谈对空客股价产生了积极影响,并且具有统计学意义。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Asia Europe Journal
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