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Millets for sustainable development in India: a social cost benefit analysis from a policy perspective 小米促进印度可持续发展:政策视角下的社会成本效益分析
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-024-00713-0
Sukhpal Singh, K. V. Ramani, Rasananda Panda

Sustainable development goals (SDGs) like zero hunger, no poverty, good health and well-being, reduced inequalities, climate action, and responsible consumption and production also figure in the agenda of G20 which is about poverty alleviation and food security through combatting global hunger and malnutrition, and cooperation in research on climate-resilient and nutritious crops such as millets. During the International Year of millets (2023), India, which had declared 2018 as the ‘National Year of Millets’, has taken many initiatives to promote millets, as a part of the G20 presidency. In the context of climate change, millets have gained substantial attention for their unique adaptability in harsh conditions like semi-arid lands and drought-prone environments. Millets, also called nutri-cereals in India, mainly comprise pearl millet (bajra), sorghum (jowar) and finger millet (ragi), and contribute about 5% to India’s cereals production. India is the largest producer of millets globally, accounting for 41% of global and 80% of Asian production. Millets have been a part of daily diets in many regions of India prior to the Green Revolution, but many farmers lost interest in millet crop following the Green Revolution, possibly due to higher yield and profitability of rice. However, the literature examining the value chains and social cost–benefit analysis of millets vis-à-vis conventional crops is scanty. This paper examines the value chain economics of the three major millets (pearl millet, sorghum and finger millet) which account for 85% of the total production of millets in India from a social cost–benefit analysis (SCBA) perspective and examines if millets can be recommended as a nutritional supplement to rice. It examines the major millets on macro- and micronutrient aspects of nutrition. The paper argues for policy support for expand millet production, strengthen its value chain, create public awareness about the health benefits of millets and to undertake activities to promote millets as nutritional supplement to rice in India.

零饥饿、无贫困、健康和福祉、减少不平等、气候行动、负责任的消费和生产等可持续发展目标也列入了二十国集团的议程,该议程旨在通过消除全球饥饿和营养不良来减轻贫困和粮食安全,并合作研究适应气候变化和营养丰富的作物,如小米。在国际小米年(2023年)期间,印度宣布2018年为“全国小米年”,作为G20轮值主席国的一部分,印度采取了许多举措来推广小米。在气候变化的背景下,小米因其在半干旱土地和干旱易发环境等恶劣条件下的独特适应性而受到广泛关注。小米在印度也被称为营养谷物,主要包括珍珠粟(bajra)、高粱(jowar)和小米(ragi),占印度谷物产量的5%左右。印度是全球最大的小米生产国,占全球产量的41%,占亚洲产量的80%。在绿色革命之前,小米一直是印度许多地区日常饮食的一部分,但在绿色革命之后,许多农民对小米作物失去了兴趣,可能是由于水稻的产量和利润更高。然而,研究小米与-à-vis传统作物的价值链和社会成本效益分析的文献很少。本文从社会成本效益分析(SCBA)的角度考察了占印度小米总产量85%的三种主要小米(珍珠小米、高粱小米和手指小米)的价值链经济学,并考察了小米是否可以推荐作为大米的营养补充剂。它检查了主要的小米在宏观和微量营养方面的营养。这篇论文主张政策支持扩大小米的生产,加强小米的价值链,提高公众对小米健康益处的认识,并开展活动来促进小米作为印度大米的营养补充剂。
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引用次数: 0
Examining the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) as a collaborative infrastructure for transcontinental policymaking: an ICIO-LP analysis 考察印度-中东-欧洲经济走廊(IMEC)作为跨大陆政策制定的协作基础设施:ICIO-LP分析
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-024-00712-1
Suvajit Banerjee, Surendar Singh

The India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) can play a pivotal role in various economic and geostrategic spheres by facilitating trade integration between Asia and Europe. The study portrays the mechanism through which the IMEC participating economies can achieve their respective policy goals. The study is focused on a dual research objective. Firstly, it attempts to develop an inter-country input–output (ICIO) and linear programming (LP) impact analysis framework to address the potential of trade integration across the IMEC participating members phase-wise, initially within the Asian countries and later expanded to some European countries. For a comparison between north–south and south-south trade, the study conducts separate simulation modeling exercises based on the entire IMEC and the Eastern Corridor IMEC respectively. Secondly, the study intends to present some first-hand alternative policy choices for IMEC negotiators and trade enthusiasts both from economic and environmental perspectives. The findings demonstrate that as the IMEC network expands, trade diversion away from other parts of the world decreases, leading to the creation of trade opportunities shared with a larger number of trading partners. This results in a minor reduction in national income growth for the European member economies, while significantly improving the economic prospects for the IMEC Asian members. The study also indicates that the emphasis on environmental priorities is impeding the economic objectives, particularly among Asian IMEC members, resulting in a policy trade-off. The restructuring of energy systems to lower CO2 emissions is diminishing national income growth to nearly half of the figures achievable when economic policy goals take precedence.

印度-中东-欧洲经济走廊(IMEC)可以通过促进亚洲和欧洲之间的贸易一体化,在各个经济和地缘战略领域发挥关键作用。该研究描绘了IMEC参与经济体实现各自政策目标的机制。本研究有双重研究目标。首先,它试图建立一个国家间投入产出(ICIO)和线性规划(LP)影响分析框架,以分阶段解决跨IMEC参与成员的贸易一体化潜力,最初在亚洲国家内,后来扩展到一些欧洲国家。为了比较南北贸易和南南贸易,该研究分别基于整个IMEC和东部走廊IMEC进行了单独的模拟建模练习。其次,本研究旨在从经济和环境的角度为IMEC谈判者和贸易爱好者提供一些第一手的替代政策选择。研究结果表明,随着IMEC网络的扩大,从世界其他地区转移的贸易减少,从而创造了与更多贸易伙伴共享的贸易机会。这导致欧洲成员经济体的国民收入增长略有下降,而IMEC亚洲成员的经济前景则显著改善。该研究还表明,对环境优先事项的重视正在阻碍经济目标的实现,特别是在IMEC的亚洲成员国中,导致政策权衡。为降低二氧化碳排放而调整能源系统的做法,使国民收入增长减少到以经济政策目标为优先时所能达到的数字的近一半。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable lending strategies: a framework for enhancing climate resilience in industrial loan portfolios 可持续贷款战略:提高工业贷款组合气候适应能力的框架
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-024-00709-w
Neha Chhabra Roy

This paper underscores the critical significance of climate-related risks within the banking and industrial sectors, emphasizing the need for a climate-resilient response system and strategic loan portfolio planning. The study introduces an efficient methodology for identifying key Climate-Linked Risks (CLRs) across impacted sectors, capturing their diverse impacts, quantifying them, and subsequently designing optimal loan portfolios. A comprehensive review of literature and primary responses from CLR experts, coupled with secondary data sources, forms the basis of our analysis. Initially, CLR impacts were categorized into push and pull indicators based on empirical weighted averages. Subsequently, fuzzy logic theory was employed to quantify CLR in form of composite index across industries. Finally, the study proposes portfolio planning for banks using mean variance portfolio. The proposed control approach assesses sectoral severity, prioritizes sectors, identifies root causes, and recommends cost-effective strategies, enhancing the overall resilience of the banking ecosystem.

本文强调了气候相关风险在银行和工业部门中的重要意义,强调了建立气候适应型应对体系和战略性贷款组合规划的必要性。该研究介绍了一种有效的方法,用于识别受影响行业的关键气候相关风险(clr),捕捉其多样化影响,对其进行量化,并随后设计最佳贷款组合。对文献的全面回顾和CLR专家的主要回应,加上二手数据来源,构成了我们分析的基础。首先,基于经验加权平均值,将CLR影响分为推和拉两类指标。随后,运用模糊逻辑理论,以跨行业综合指数的形式对CLR进行量化。最后,本文提出了基于均值方差的银行投资组合规划方法。拟议的控制方法评估了行业的严重程度,确定了行业的优先顺序,确定了根本原因,并建议了具有成本效益的战略,以增强银行生态系统的整体弹性。
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引用次数: 0
British economic strategy and regional institutions in Asia, 2016–2024 2016-2024 年英国在亚洲的经济战略和地区机构
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-024-00711-2
Tim Summers, Chen Li, Chunzi Miao

This paper examines the British approach to Asia and its regional institutions from the Brexit vote in 2016 to the British general election of July 2024. The paper analyses official government statements and debates among political elites about Britain’s foreign policy posture in the region, from the broad ‘Indo-Pacific tilt’ and the Belt and Road Initiative to engagement with specific regional institutions such as ASEAN, BRI, AIIB, CPTPP and bilateral trade and investment agreements. It argues that approaches to regional institutions in and across Asia are driven by a combination of a dominant policy view that there is a need to engage with Asia which is becoming economically and strategically more important in a changing world, alongside a desire to decentre China in British strategic approaches to the region (partly in response to US-China strategic rivalry). However, given China’s centrality to regional economic growth in Asia, this approach creates contradictions which are rarely addressed in British policy debates. This paper will contribute not only to understanding British foreign policy, but also shed light on the evolving “new regionalism” and power dynamics across the Indo/Asia–Pacific, and how actors external to the region view and engage with the development of regional institutions in Asia.

本文考察了从2016年英国脱欧公投到2024年7月英国大选期间,英国对亚洲及其区域机构的态度。本文分析了官方政府声明和政治精英之间关于英国在该地区外交政策姿态的辩论,从广泛的“印度-太平洋倾斜”和“一带一路”倡议,到与东盟、“一带一路”、亚投行、CPTPP和双边贸易和投资协定等具体地区机构的接触。它认为,在亚洲和整个亚洲地区建立区域性机构的方法是由两种主要政策观点共同驱动的,一种主要政策观点认为,在不断变化的世界中,有必要与在经济和战略上越来越重要的亚洲接触,另一种是英国希望将中国分散到该地区的战略方法中(部分是为了应对美中战略竞争)。然而,鉴于中国在亚洲地区经济增长中的中心地位,这种做法产生了在英国政策辩论中很少提及的矛盾。本文不仅有助于理解英国的外交政策,还有助于阐明印度/亚太地区不断演变的“新区域主义”和权力动态,以及该地区以外的参与者如何看待和参与亚洲区域机构的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Securitising regionalism: mega-regional trade blocs, Indo-Pacific Economic Framework and supply chain alliances in Asia 区域主义证券化:大区域贸易集团、印太经济框架和亚洲供应链联盟
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-024-00710-3
Xianbai Ji

This article examines the evolution of Asian regionalism, through the analytical prism of securitised regionalism, a concept that marries security concerns with regional cooperative efforts. It highlights the transformation from an initial focus on economic integration to a tool for geopolitical manoeuvring in response to evolving international relations in Asia. Initially shaped by the Cold War’s ideological confrontations, organisations like the Southeast Asia Treaty Organization and Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) underscored the security-driven nature of early Asian regionalism. However, the post–Cold War era witnessed a shift towards economic collaboration and integration, as evidenced by the development of the ASEAN Free Trade Area, Asia–Pacific Economic Cooperation and Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, indicating a phase of de-securitisation. Recent trends, however, suggest an America-led resurgence of securitised regionalism in Asia, marked by the emergence of initiatives like the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework and a series of supply chain alliances. These initiatives, influenced by major power competition, especially the strategic interests of the United States in Asia, signify a renewed emphasis on geopolitical and security concerns. Additionally, the formation of strategic supply chain alliances aimed at reducing dependency on China points towards an enhanced focus on internal economic security within securitised regional blocs.

本文通过证券化区域主义的分析棱镜考察亚洲区域主义的演变,证券化区域主义是一种将安全问题与区域合作努力结合起来的概念。它突显出,为应对亚洲不断演变的国际关系,中国已从最初关注经济一体化,转变为一种地缘政治操纵工具。东南亚条约组织(Treaty Organization)和东南亚国家联盟(Association of Southeast Asian Nations, ASEAN)等组织最初是在冷战意识形态对抗的影响下形成的,它们强调了早期亚洲地区主义以安全为导向的本质。然而,后冷战时代见证了经济合作和一体化的转变,如东盟自由贸易区、亚太经济合作组织和区域全面经济伙伴关系的发展,表明了一个去证券化阶段。然而,最近的趋势表明,以美国为首的证券化地区主义在亚洲复苏,其标志是《全面与进步跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership)、印太经济框架(Indo-Pacific Economic Framework)和一系列供应链联盟等倡议的出现。这些倡议受到大国竞争的影响,特别是受到美国在亚洲战略利益的影响,标志着对地缘政治和安全问题的重新重视。此外,旨在减少对中国依赖的战略供应链联盟的形成,表明了对证券化区域集团内部经济安全的进一步关注。
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引用次数: 0
Geo-economic and geopolitical developments in EU-asia security relations 欧盟与亚洲安全关系中的地缘经济和地缘政治发展
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-024-00706-z
Emil Kirchner

Global changes in power distribution and successive international crises have inevitably affected the European Union (EU) as an international player, heightening geo-economical and geopolitical considerations. China’s growing economic and military weight is a particular concern, not only as it relates to the Sino-US confrontation but also due to its economic and political influence in the Asia region, a region where the EU has significant trade and investment interests and depends heavily on the safe passage of maritime transport in the Indo-Pacific oceans. Relying on studies of economic statecraft, this research will explore the types and nature of economic instruments that the EU has introduced to defend or promote security relations with Asia and whether they have advanced the geopolitical ends of the EU. It will suggest that the EU has made considerable strides in linking trade/economic tools with geostrategic objectives, in promoting non-traditional security aspects generally, in consolidating and expanding EU connectivity and security partnerships with Asian countries, and in enhancing its naval presence in the Pacific and Indian Oceans.

全球权力分配的变化和接踵而至的国际危机不可避免地影响到作为国际参与者的欧盟(EU),加剧了地缘经济和地缘政治方面的考虑。中国日益增长的经济和军事影响力尤其引人关注,这不仅与中美对抗有关,还由于其在亚洲地区的经济和政治影响力,而欧盟在该地区拥有重要的贸易和投资利益,并在很大程度上依赖于印度洋-太平洋地区的海上运输安全。本研究将依托对经济国策的研究,探讨欧盟为维护或促进与亚洲的安全关系而采用的经济手段的类型和性质,以及这些手段是否推进了欧盟的地缘政治目的。研究将表明,欧盟在将贸易/经济工具与地缘战略目标联系起来、普遍促进非传统安全方面、巩固和扩大欧盟与亚洲国家的互联互通和安全伙伴关系以及加强其在太平洋和印度洋的海军力量方面取得了长足的进步。
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引用次数: 0
Informing macrologistics connectivity in emerging economies through a triangulated research approach: the case of Uzbekistan 通过三角研究方法为新兴经济体的宏观经济连通性提供信息:乌兹别克斯坦案例
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-024-00708-x
Zane P. Simpson

Uzbekistan has the potential to become a regional hub linking Southeast Asia, South Asia, the Commonwealth of Independent States and Europe. In order to inform the implementation of Uzbekistan’s Strategy for the Development of the Transport System, a triangulated research approach was followed to develop a spatially and commodity-level freight flow model for the country. The model outputs highlight that freight flow distribution is heavily skewed towards the East, that the country has significant exposure to freight risks beyond the borders due to the inordinate long distances of cross-border flows, and that demand for transport, and logistics costs, are high relative to gross domestic product. Transport policy, infrastructure development and the role of transport and logistics in development planning should therefore be prioritised as a strategic input into economic growth and development success, including the intelligence that enables these activities. There seem to be opportunities for domestic and regional consolidation, which can lead to the improved use of rail and intermodal solutions and support the development of effective special economic zones. These outputs can be refined with access to more detailed data.

乌兹别克斯坦有潜力成为连接东南亚、南亚、独立国家联合体和欧洲的区域枢纽。为了给乌兹别克斯坦运输系统发展战略的实施提供信息,我们采用了三角研究方法,为该国开发了一个空间和商品层面的货运模型。该模型的输出结果突出表明,货运流的分布严重向东部倾斜,由于跨境流动距离过长,该国面临严重的境外货运风险,而且相对于国内生产总值而言,运输需求和物流成本较高。因此,运输政策、基础设施发展以及运输和物流在发展规划中的作用应作为经济增长和发展成功的战略投入,包括促进这些活动的情报,予以优先考虑。国内和区域整合似乎有机会,这可以改善铁路和多式联运解决方案的使用,并支持发展有效的经济特区。这些成果可以通过获取更详细的数据加以完善。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: The regime complex for digital trade in Asia and China’s engagement 更正:亚洲数字贸易的复杂机制与中国的参与
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-10-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-024-00707-y
Xinchuchu Gao, Xuechen Chen
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引用次数: 0
Paradiplomacy and international conflict: disengagement from China by Swedish local governments 准外交与国际冲突:瑞典地方政府与中国的脱离关系
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-024-00703-2
Gustav Sundqvist, Björn Jerdén

This article analyzes the development of paradiplomatic relations between subnational governments in China and Sweden. The empirical material comprises official documents, media reports, and interviews, and correspondence with local decision makers. Following steady growth in the 1990s and 2000s, the number of paradiplomatic agreements between the two countries declined dramatically at the end of the 2010s. To our knowledge, this extensive “local decoupling” is unprecedented, at least in the history of modern paradiplomacy between Europe and China. The decline can primarily be explained by three interrelated factors: worsening bilateral relations between Sweden and China, growing Swedish concern about the human rights situation in China, and the lack of activity in some of the cooperation projects. Rather than pursuing goals such as peacebuilding and economic benefit, generally described as the main drivers behind local governments’ international activities, several subnational governments in Sweden deemed it appropriate to terminate cooperation with their Chinese counterparts due to other concerns. This development demonstrates the usefulness of a more constructivist perspective of paradiplomacy.

本文分析了中国和瑞典国家以下各级政府之间外交关系的发展。实证材料包括官方文件、媒体报道、访谈以及与地方决策者的通信。在 20 世纪 90 年代和 2000 年代稳步增长之后,两国之间的准外交协议数量在 2010 年代末急剧下降。据我们所知,这种广泛的 "地方脱钩 "是前所未有的,至少在中欧现代双边外交史上是如此。这种下降主要可以用三个相互关联的因素来解释:瑞典与中国双边关系的恶化、瑞典对中国人权状况的日益关注以及一些合作项目缺乏活动。一般而言,和平建设和经济利益等目标是地方政府开展国际活动的主要动力,但瑞典的一些国家以下各级政府认为,与其追求这些目标,不如出于其他考虑终止与中国同行的合作。这一事态发展表明,从更加建构主义的角度看待准外交是有益的。
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引用次数: 0
International law: from fragmentation to integration? an analysis of the relationship between international trade law and international labor law in multilateral and regional trade law frameworks 国际法:从分散到整合?对多边和区域贸易法框架中国际贸易法与国际劳动法之间关系的分析
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-024-00701-4
Tran Thi Thuy Duong

The fragmentation of international law is a long-standing issue. However, it continues to be a topic of debate. While investigating this phenomenon, specifically the relation between international labor law and trade law, the author addresses the following questions: How does the fragmentation between these two regimes appear? What are the benefits and challenges associated with this fragmentation? Recently, with the rise of new-generation free trade agreements (FTAs), there has been a trend toward incorporating labor rules into the international trade law regime. By analyzing and comparing the “Trade and Sustainable Development” chapters of two European Union (EU) FTAs, the EU-Korea FTA and the EU-Vietnam FTA, the author explores whether this incorporation effectively reduces the fragmentation of international law and its negative impacts. The author argues that while it may seem beneficial, this partial incorporation may exacerbate the fragmentation of international law. In particular, the universality and inalienability of labor rights as human rights are not adequately protected. Moreover, the adverse effects of the fragmentation of international law remain unresolved. Therefore, although incorporating labor articles into FTAs is a step in the right direction, more coherent measures are essential to address the challenges caused by the fragmentation of international law.

国际法不成体系是一个由来已久的问题。然而,它仍然是一个争论不休的话题。在研究这一现象,特别是国际劳动法与贸易法之间关系的同时,作者探讨了以下问题:这两种制度之间的割裂是如何出现的?这种割裂的好处和挑战是什么?近来,随着新一代自由贸易协定(FTA)的兴起,将劳工规则纳入国际贸易法体系已成为一种趋势。通过分析和比较欧盟(EU)的两个自由贸易协定(欧盟-韩国自由贸易协定和欧盟-越南自由贸易协定)中的 "贸易与可持续发展 "章节,作者探讨了这种纳入是否有效地减少了国际法的碎片化及其负面影响。作者认为,这种部分纳入看似有益,但可能会加剧国际法的不成体系。特别是,劳动权作为人权的普遍性和不可剥夺性没有得到充分保护。此外,国际法不成体系的不利影响仍未得到解决。因此,尽管将劳工条款纳入自贸协定是朝着正确方向迈出的一步,但要应对国际法不成体系带来的挑战,必须采取更加协调一致的措施。
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引用次数: 0
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