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All in favour? Indian business interests and the India-EU FTA 都赞成吗?印度的商业利益和印度-欧盟自由贸易协定
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00672-y
Kari Irwin Otteburn

Negotiations between the European Union (EU) and India regarding a free trade agreement (FTA) have been hindered by numerous difficulties and disagreements since they began in 2007. A few studies have pointed at various key points of contention, including inter alia tariffs on sensitive products, intellectual property rights, trade in services, and chapters on non-trade issues. Despite a long-standing body of research into the ways in which interest groups, particularly business interests groups, influence economic policymaking and the outcomes of trade negotiations, the preferences of interest groups — especially on the Indian side — have been largely overlooked in the context of the FTA negotiations. This is reflective of a general lack of research on preferences toward trade agreements of interests groups in the Global South. In this paper, I analyse the preferences toward the agreement of India’s most influential chamber of commerce: the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI). The analysis shows that, since the start of negotiations, FICCI’s perception of the FTA has been deeply ambivalent and the policy preferences of the chamber are not likely to be met by an FTA between the EU and India. Additionally, the chamber’s preferences toward certain chapters of the agreement, particularly toward the key issues, may limit Indian negotiators’ ability to compromise, with several potential implications for the final agreement.

欧盟(EU)和印度之间的自由贸易协定(FTA)谈判自2007年开始以来一直受到许多困难和分歧的阻碍。一些研究指出了各种关键的争论点,包括敏感产品的关税、知识产权、服务贸易和关于非贸易问题的章节。尽管长期以来一直在研究利益集团,特别是商业利益集团如何影响经济决策和贸易谈判的结果,但在自由贸易协定谈判的背景下,利益集团的偏好,特别是印度方面的偏好,在很大程度上被忽视了。这反映出普遍缺乏对全球南方利益集团的贸易协定偏好的研究。在本文中,我分析了印度最具影响力的商会——印度工商联合会(FICCI)对协议的偏好。分析表明,自谈判开始以来,印度工商总商会对自由贸易协定的看法一直非常矛盾,欧盟和印度之间的自由贸易协定不太可能满足商会的政策偏好。此外,美国商会对协议某些章节的偏好,尤其是对关键问题的偏好,可能会限制印度谈判代表的妥协能力,从而对最终协议产生一些潜在影响。
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引用次数: 0
The influence of Chinese foreign policy think tanks on China’s EU policy: a comparative analysis of CIIS and SIIS 中国外交政策智库对中国欧盟政策的影响:CIIS与SIIS的比较分析
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-13 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00666-w
Hua Xin

Pushed by structural transformations of geopolitics and world economy, China had to adjust its policy toward the European Union (EU) continuously during the period of 2014–2019, in pace with the dramatic changes in the European political landscape and the European Union’s policy orientations. During this process, the role of Chinese foreign policy think tanks has become more prominent and complex. This article conducts a comparative case study of the central-level China Institute of International Studies (CIIS) and the provincial-level Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (SIIS), analyzing mechanisms of their influence over China’s EU policy. Based on a theoretical paradigm that interprets think tanks as the “central space” in a “field of power,” this article establishes an analytical framework regarding the policy influence of CIIS and SIIS as being determined by their differentiated positions within China’s foreign policy-making structure. It compares the flows of CIIS and SIIS publications on EU policy issues and the issuing of EU policy documents by the Chinese government, with a particular focus on the economic dimension of the relationship. It reveals patterns of synchronization and succession between think tank advice and official policy endorsements. Also, it analyzes the structural characteristics of meetings on EU policy sponsored by CIIS and SIIS, disclosing their varied connections with central and provincial policymakers, as well as other political actors. Generally speaking, the CIIS is in a more advantageous position than the SIIS. The findings also confirm the trend of a new round of centralization in China’s policy process.

2014-2019年,在地缘政治和世界经济结构转型的推动下,中国对欧盟政策必须不断调整,以适应欧洲政治格局和欧盟政策取向的剧烈变化。在此过程中,中国外交政策智库的作用更加突出和复杂。本文以中央一级的中国国际问题研究院(CIIS)和省级的上海国际问题研究院(SIIS)为比较案例,分析它们对中国欧盟政策的影响机制。基于将智库解释为“权力领域”中的“中心空间”的理论范式,本文建立了一个分析框架,认为CIIS和SIIS的政策影响是由它们在中国外交决策结构中的不同位置决定的。它比较了CIIS和SIIS关于欧盟政策问题的出版物以及中国政府发布的欧盟政策文件的流动,特别关注了双方关系的经济层面。它揭示了智库建议和官方政策认可之间的同步和连续性模式。此外,本文还分析了CIIS和SIIS主办的欧盟政策会议的结构特征,揭示了它们与中央和省级决策者以及其他政治行为者之间的各种联系。总体而言,CIIS比SIIS处于更有利的地位。研究结果也证实了中国政策过程中新一轮的集权化趋势。
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引用次数: 0
The European Commission and the “Europeanisation” of EU trade diplomacy: the case of EU-China relations, 1999–2021 欧盟委员会与欧盟贸易外交的“欧洲化”:以1999-2021年欧盟与中国关系为例
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00670-0
Jan van der Harst

In recent times, the European Commission has shown to have increasing difficulty keeping up its central position in trade diplomacy towards China, in the face of a growing wariness and assertiveness of the member states. In this article, we observe a changing balance, a development from EU diplomacy towards European diplomacy, meaning a growing influence of EU member states in the process. We call this the “Europeanisation” of EU economic diplomacy. This is not limited to China and reflects a broader development, as is visible in the politicisation of the negotiation processes towards the (failed) Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) and the (provisionally applied) Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) between the EU and Canada, and also in the trend towards mixed agreements that require member state ratification. However, it was particularly in the relations with China that such trends became visible for the first time and have continued to manifest themselves throughout the years. Apart from the member states assembled in the Council, also the European Parliament has strengthened its position in the process at the expense of the Commission.

近年来,面对成员国日益警惕和自信的态度,欧盟委员会(European Commission)在对华贸易外交中越来越难以保持其核心地位。在本文中,我们观察到一种变化的平衡,即从欧盟外交向欧洲外交的发展,这意味着欧盟成员国在这一过程中的影响力越来越大。我们称之为欧盟经济外交的“欧洲化”。这不仅限于中国,而且反映了一个更广泛的发展,正如在(失败的)跨大西洋贸易与投资伙伴关系(TTIP)和(暂时适用的)欧盟与加拿大之间的全面经济贸易协定(CETA)的谈判过程的政治化,以及需要成员国批准的混合协议的趋势中所看到的那样。然而,特别是在与中国的关系中,这种趋势第一次变得明显,并在多年来继续表现出来。除了聚集在理事会的成员国之外,欧洲议会也以牺牲委员会为代价加强了其在这一进程中的地位。
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引用次数: 0
China’s partners or US allies: the dual status of major European states and their voting behaviour in the UNGA 中国的伙伴还是美国的盟友:欧洲主要国家的双重地位及其在联合国大会上的投票行为
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00668-8
Qi Haixia

China’s rise, along with deepening Sino-European economic relations, seems to have a strong impact on the diplomatic outlook of actors in Europe. An interesting phenomenon is that, while several major European states have become strategic partners of China, they remain US allies at the same time. In the context of trade tensions and a possible decoupling between China and the USA, what are the diplomatic effects of the close economic relations between Europe and China? To find the answer, this study builds models on the functions of trade and partnerships with China with respect to voting choice of China’s partners, including those in Europe, in the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA). After making a statistical analysis and presenting detailed analysis on France, Germany, the UK, and Poland, this paper finds that the close economic and trade ties do indeed enhance voting similarity between China and major states in Europe in the UNGA.

中国的崛起,加上中欧经济关系的加深,似乎对欧洲行为者的外交前景产生了强烈影响。一个有趣的现象是,尽管几个主要的欧洲国家已经成为中国的战略伙伴,但它们同时仍然是美国的盟友。在中美贸易紧张和可能脱钩的背景下,欧洲和中国之间密切的经济关系会产生什么样的外交影响?为了找到答案,本研究建立了与中国的贸易和伙伴关系在联合国大会上投票选择中国伙伴(包括欧洲伙伴)方面的功能模型。通过对法国、德国、英国和波兰的统计分析和详细分析,本文发现,紧密的经贸关系确实增强了中国与欧洲主要国家在联合国大会上的投票相似性。
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引用次数: 0
‘System friction’ in China-EU economic relations and the reaction of the EU 中欧经济关系中的“制度摩擦”与欧盟的反应
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00667-9
Herman Voogsgeerd

In the period between 2015 and 2020, we have witnessed an increase in ‘system friction’ in the trade and investment relations between the EU and the People’s Republic of China (PRC). This paper focuses on the meaning of this notion of ‘system friction’, originally coined by Sylvia Ostry and on how the EU and especially the European Commission reacted to this friction. This notion might present an alternative to the notion of ‘system rivalry’. The result of system friction in the relation between the EU and the PRC had been a convergence towards more trade defensive moves. A form of managed trade with help of a ratified Investment treaty between the two sides might be a potential outcome.

在2015年至2020年期间,我们目睹了欧盟与中华人民共和国(PRC)之间贸易和投资关系中的“制度摩擦”增加。本文的重点是“制度摩擦”这个概念的含义,最初是由西尔维娅·奥斯特利提出的,以及欧盟,特别是欧盟委员会如何应对这种摩擦。这个概念可能是“系统竞争”概念的另一种选择。欧盟与中国之间的制度摩擦的结果是向更多的贸易防御行动趋同。在双方批准的投资条约的帮助下,某种形式的管理贸易可能是一个潜在的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Diverging perceptions of the “Visegrad Four + ” format and the limits of the V4 + Japan cooperation 对“维谢格拉德四国+”模式和V4 +日本合作局限性的不同看法
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00669-7
Michal Kolmaš

The Visegrad Group format — coordinated policy forum for Czechia, Slovakia, Poland and Hungary — has been dubbed as a significant policy tool that advocates the interests and builds synergies among the four partners. The “Visegrad Four + ” format, which coordinates foreign relations of these four countries, has been narrated as the key foreign policy venue of the V4, and the V4 + Japan is often understood as the key partnership within this format. Due to the recently growing Chinese influence in Central and Eastern Europe, and the impacts of the war in Ukraine in 2022, many have come to expect the coordination to strengthen and ramify. This article argues, however, that the V4 + Japan platform represents only a marginal policy forum and is unlikely to gain any significant political momentum in the foreseeable future. Basing the analysis on a set of interviews with the V4 and Japanese policymakers, the paper posits three reasons that have prevented the deepening of the V4 + Japan coordination: (i) there are significant limits to socialization in the group, (ii) there are diverse threat perceptions among V4 members, and (iii) there is little interest in deepening economic coordination vis-a-vis third parties. These findings question the viability of foreign policy coordination among the Visegrad Group members, and highlight the impediments for the expansion of V4 + Japan cooperation.

维谢格拉德集团的形式——捷克、斯洛伐克、波兰和匈牙利的协调政策论坛——被称为一个重要的政策工具,倡导四个合作伙伴的利益并建立协同作用。“维谢格拉德四人组”+ ” 协调这四个国家外交关系的格式被描述为V4和V4的主要外交政策场所 + 日本经常被理解为这种形式中的关键伙伴关系。由于中国最近在中欧和东欧的影响力不断增强,以及2022年乌克兰战争的影响,许多人开始期待这种协调会加强和分化。然而,本文认为V4 + 日本平台只是一个边缘的政策论坛,在可预见的未来不太可能获得任何重大的政治势头。基于对V4和日本政策制定者的一系列采访,本文提出了阻碍V4深化的三个原因 + 日本的协调:(i)该群体的社会化有很大的局限性,(ii)V4成员对威胁的看法不同,(iii)对深化与第三方的经济协调兴趣不大。这些发现质疑维谢格拉德集团成员国之间外交政策协调的可行性,并突出了V4扩张的障碍 + 日本合作。
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引用次数: 0
The EU and China in the global climate regime: a dialectical collaboration-competition relationship 全球气候机制中的欧盟和中国:辩证的合作-竞争关系
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00664-y
Sirma Altun, Ceren Ergenc

As two major powers that are willing to lead the design and evolution of the global climate regime, the EU and China have maintained a dialogue on climate change and biodiversity while clashing over other economic and political issues. This paper investigates EU-China relations in the global climate regime by briefly analysing three main areas that are key for the global green transition: standardization, green taxonomy, and the renewables sector. The paper claims that EU-China relations in the global climate regime develop within the dialectical collaboration-competition nexus, showing moments of consensus as well as contention between the two major powers in the three selected cases.

作为愿意引领全球气候机制设计和演变的两个大国,欧盟和中国在气候变化和生物多样性方面保持着对话,但在其他经济和政治问题上存在分歧。本文通过简要分析对全球绿色转型至关重要的三个主要领域:标准化、绿色分类法和可再生能源部门,探讨了中欧关系在全球气候机制中的作用。本文认为,在全球气候机制中,中欧关系是在辩证的合作-竞争关系中发展的,在三个选定的案例中,这两个大国之间既有共识,也有争论。
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引用次数: 0
Armenia-India partnership: geopolitical and geo-economic implications in the Eurasian context 亚美尼亚-印度伙伴关系:欧亚背景下的地缘政治和地缘经济影响
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00665-x
Radhika Lakshminarayanan, Tigran Yepremyan

Abstract

In the twenty-first century, changing global power equations are impacting the dynamics of foreign and security policy choices of small states, as they seek to develop alliances and partnerships to offset their geopolitical and geo-economic vulnerabilities. In this context, Armenia’s security orientation is largely seen as consistently intertwined with Russia even after independence. Armenia has also attempted to develop a “normative alliance” with the European Union, relying mostly on its special relations with France. In recent years, various factors including domestic politics, deficit of security, and Russian dominance have led to a gradual re-orientation in the Armenian alliance trajectory towards more multilateral partnerships indicating a tendency towards “hedging” alliances. Conceptualizing from a theoretical foundation relating to small-state alliance options, this paper presents a case for Armenia-India strategic partnerships, given the historical and cultural ties between the two nations and the rapid growth of India as an emergent giant in the multipolar world. In this context of strategic analysis, the Georgia-Armenia-Iran corridor has a potential of vital geo-economic and geopolitical axis for India as well as for Russia, the EU, and China. The position of Armenia with its “both… and” integration approach, approximation with the EU, and strategic partnership with Russia has proved to be insufficient in security issues; however, the friendly disposition of a rising power, such as India, leaves Armenia with the capacity to diversify its security as a local civilizational and geo-economic connector.

摘要在21世纪,不断变化的全球权力方程式正在影响小国外交和安全政策选择的动态,因为它们寻求发展联盟和伙伴关系,以抵消其地缘政治和地缘经济脆弱性。在这种背景下,亚美尼亚的安全取向在很大程度上被视为即使在独立后也始终与俄罗斯交织在一起。亚美尼亚还试图与欧盟建立“规范联盟”,主要依靠其与法国的特殊关系。近年来,包括国内政治、安全赤字和俄罗斯主导地位在内的各种因素导致亚美尼亚联盟轨迹逐渐转向更多的多边伙伴关系,这表明有“对冲”联盟的趋势。鉴于亚美尼亚和印度之间的历史和文化联系,以及印度作为多极世界中新兴大国的快速发展,本文从与小国家联盟选项相关的理论基础上提出了亚美尼亚和印度战略伙伴关系的案例。在战略分析的背景下,格鲁吉亚-亚美尼亚-伊朗走廊对印度、俄罗斯、欧盟和中国来说都具有重要的地缘经济和地缘政治轴心的潜力。事实证明,亚美尼亚在安全问题上的立场是不够的,其“既……又”的一体化方法、与欧盟的接近以及与俄罗斯的战略伙伴关系;然而,印度等崛起大国的友好态度使亚美尼亚有能力将其安全多样化,成为当地文明和地缘经济的纽带。
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引用次数: 1
Bottom-up market-facilitation and top-down market-steering: comparing and conceptualizing green finance approaches in the EU and China 自下而上的市场促进与自上而下的市场导向:欧盟和中国绿色金融模式的比较与概念化
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00663-z
Mathias Lund Larsen

To address environmental problems, efforts to green financial systems are proliferating across the globe. However, green finance policy approaches differ substantially and in ways left unexplained in current literature. Focusing on the EU and China as the most active and influential in green finance, the paper provides a comparative analysis and conceptualization of their approaches. The analysis is based on the dissection of policy documents, a review of stakeholder statements and articles, and insights from semi-structured interviews and participant observation. The paper finds that in terms of similar characteristics, both parties seek inclusive expertise input, establish thematic committees, and initiate green finance efforts through financial system-wide guidelines. In terms of different characteristics, the paper finds that through a consultation-based, transparent, and limited mandate approach, the EU is characterized by longer time horizons and organic growth. This can be contrasted with the Chinese technocratic, closed-door, and non-limited mandate approach, characterized by rapid rollout and command-and-control growth. These findings can be conceptualized as a bottom-up market-facilitating approach in the EU and a top-down market-steering approach in China. The different approaches help explain current difficulties in coordination between the EU and China and imply that cooperation is only possible through compatibility rather than harmonization. The findings show that different governance models can actively use the state to pursue sustainable development, and second that such an active state can function in very different ways towards the same goals.

为了解决环境问题,绿色金融体系的努力正在全球范围内激增。然而,绿色金融政策的方法有很大不同,而且在目前的文献中无法解释。本文以欧盟和中国作为绿色金融领域最活跃、最具影响力的国家为研究对象,对其方法进行了比较分析和概念化。该分析基于对政策文件的剖析、对利益相关者声明和文章的审查,以及半结构化访谈和参与者观察的见解。论文发现,就相似的特征而言,双方都寻求包容性的专业知识投入,成立专题委员会,并通过金融系统范围的指导方针启动绿色金融工作。从不同的特点来看,本文发现,通过基于协商、透明和有限授权的方法,欧盟具有更长的时间跨度和有机增长的特点。这可以与中国的技术官僚、封闭的、非限制的授权方法形成对比,后者的特点是快速推出和指挥控制增长。这些发现可以被概念化为欧盟自下而上的市场促进方法和中国自上而下的市场引导方法。不同的方法有助于解释目前欧盟和中国之间协调的困难,并意味着只有通过兼容性而不是协调才能进行合作。研究结果表明,不同的治理模式可以积极利用国家来追求可持续发展,其次,这种积极的国家可以以非常不同的方式实现相同的目标。
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引用次数: 4
A meteoric strategic partnership? The still long march of mutual understanding and trust between China and the Czech Republic 迅速发展的战略伙伴关系?中捷两国相互了解和信任的道路依然漫长
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.1007/s10308-023-00662-0
Fangxing Qin, Jeremy Garlick, Siyang Liu

After the introduction of the 16 + 1 cooperation platform in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) in 2012, bilateral relations between China and Czechia warmed up in the period 2015–2017, most notably when they became strategic partners in 2016. However, relations declined thereafter due to factors such as China’s underwhelming investment programme, the Czech focus on security and human rights, and some Czech politicians’ engagement with Taiwan. This article analyses the shortcomings inherent in Chinese and Czech interpretations of their partner’s approaches to the relationship. The analysis demonstrates that several factors have undermined China’s efforts to build solid bilateral relations. Above all, China’s misunderstanding of the ways in which the Czech political system and culture influence the formulation of Czech policy towards China, combined with underwhelming economic results, have undermined China’s diplomatic efforts. At the same time, the fragmentation of Czech political power structures means that it is difficult for Czechia to form a stable consensus on China policy. In addition, lack of understanding of China’s history and the contemporary context of its foreign policy means that Czech views on China have become politicised and polarised. These problems have seriously affected the mutual trust and development of relations between the two countries, in the same way as they have impacted relations between China and other CEE countries, most notably Lithuania.

在引入16 + 1中欧和东欧合作平台2012年,中国和捷克的双边关系在2015-2017年升温,最显著的是在2016年成为战略伙伴。然而,由于中国的投资计划不受欢迎、捷克对安全和人权的关注以及一些捷克政客与台湾的接触等因素,两国关系此后有所下降。本文分析了中国和捷克对其合作伙伴处理关系的方式的解释中固有的缺陷。分析表明,有几个因素破坏了中国建立牢固双边关系的努力。最重要的是,中国对捷克政治制度和文化影响捷克对华政策制定的方式的误解,加上令人失望的经济成果,破坏了中国的外交努力。与此同时,捷克政治权力结构的碎片化意味着捷克很难在对华政策上形成稳定的共识。此外,由于对中国历史及其外交政策的当代背景缺乏了解,捷克对中国的看法变得政治化和两极分化。这些问题严重影响了两国之间的互信和关系发展,也影响了中国与其他中东欧国家,尤其是立陶宛的关系。
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引用次数: 1
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