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Determinants of Operating Efficiency for the Jordanian Banks: A Panel Data Econometric Approach 约旦银行运营效率的决定因素:面板数据计量经济学方法
IF 2.3 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-31 DOI: 10.3390/ijfs12010012
Rasha Istaiteyeh, Maysa’a Munir Milhem, Farah Najem, Ahmed Elsayed
This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of key financial indicators influencing the operational efficiency of banks in Jordan over the period 2006 to 2021. The study, focusing on fifteen commercial banks, employs seven regression models to assess the impact of selected variables on bank operating efficiency. Our findings reveal novel insights with substantial contributions to banking practice. We identify a statistically significant influence of both bank-specific factors and temporal effects, demonstrating the nuanced dynamics shaping the operational efficiency of Jordanian banks. Notably, a positive and significant correlation is established between the operating efficiency ratio and return on assets, bank size, and the ratio of loan loss provisions to net interest income, providing valuable strategic guidance for effective management. Conversely, a significant negative relationship is observed between the operating efficiency ratio and the total expense ratio, underscoring the critical importance of careful cost management. No significant associations are found between the operating efficiency ratio and credit risk, the equity-to-asset ratio, the deposit-to-liability ratio, and the equity-to-liability ratio. This study makes a unique contribution by shedding light on these previously unexplored correlations, offering actionable insights for enhancing operational efficiency in the banking sector. Additionally, our research advocates for the Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ) to persist in adaptive policy measures, which are crucial for ongoing banking reforms and improved monitoring practices. Based on our empirical findings, these recommendations aim to fortify the resilience and adaptability of Jordan’s banking sector, contributing both academically and practically. Importantly, they reinforce the symbiotic link between a stable banking sector and sustained economic development in Jordan.
本文全面分析了 2006 年至 2021 年期间影响约旦银行运营效率的主要金融指标。研究以 15 家商业银行为重点,采用七个回归模型来评估选定变量对银行运营效率的影响。我们的研究结果揭示了对银行业实践有重大贡献的新见解。我们发现了银行特有因素和时间效应在统计上的重大影响,这表明了影响约旦银行运营效率的微妙动态。值得注意的是,运营效率比率与资产回报率、银行规模以及贷款损失准备金与净利息收入的比率之间存在显著的正相关关系,为有效管理提供了宝贵的战略指导。相反,经营效率比率与总费用比率之间存在明显的负相关关系,这凸显了谨慎管理成本的重要性。在经营效率比率与信贷风险、资产权益比率、存款负债比率和权益负债比率之间没有发现明显的关联。本研究揭示了这些以前未曾探索过的相关关系,为提高银行业的运营效率提供了可行的见解,从而做出了独特的贡献。此外,我们的研究还主张约旦中央银行(CBJ)坚持采取适应性政策措施,这对于正在进行的银行业改革和改进监管实践至关重要。基于我们的实证研究结果,这些建议旨在加强约旦银行业的复原力和适应性,在学术和实践方面都有所贡献。重要的是,这些建议加强了约旦稳定的银行业与持续的经济发展之间的共生联系。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting Operating Income via a Generalized Operating-Leverage Model 通过广义运营杠杆模型预测运营收入
IF 2.3 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-23 DOI: 10.3390/ijfs12010011
Sherwood Lane Lambert, Kevin Krieger, Nathan Mauck
We propose a generalized, practitioner-oriented operating-leverage model for predicting operating income using net sales, cost of sales, depreciation, and SG&A. Prior research links operating income directly to these items; hence, our model includes all aggregate revenues and expenses that comprise operating income. Prior research finds that the cost of sales is “much less” sticky than depreciation and SG&A; hence, we use the cost of sales as a proxy for the total variable costs and depreciation and SG&A as proxies for the sticky fixed costs. We introduce a new adjustment to the textbook operating-leverage model so that the ratio of sales to the cost of sales remains constant for the reference and forecast periods. Inspired by prior research, we adjust depreciation and SG&A for cost stickiness. We find that using our generalized operating-leverage model improves the forecast accuracy of next-quarter and next-year operating income predictions compared to predictions made using textbook operating leverage, which is a special case of our model.
我们提出了一个通用的、面向从业人员的经营杠杆模型,用于利用净销售额、销售成本、折旧和一般销售与管理费用预测营业收入。以往的研究将营业收入与这些项目直接挂钩;因此,我们的模型包括了构成营业收入的所有总收入和总支出。先前的研究发现,销售成本的粘性比折旧和 SG&A 的粘性 "小得多";因此,我们使用销售成本作为总可变成本的代理变量,使用折旧和 SG&A 作为粘性固定成本的代理变量。我们对教科书中的经营杠杆模型进行了新的调整,使销售额与销售成本的比率在参照期和预测期保持不变。受先前研究的启发,我们对折旧和 SG&A 进行了成本粘性调整。我们发现,与使用教科书式经营杠杆(我们模型的特例)进行预测相比,使用我们的广义经营杠杆模型可以提高下一季度和下一年度营业收入预测的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
How Local Finance and Enforcement Shaped SME Credit Choices before and during the COVID Crisis COVID 危机前和危机期间,地方金融和执法如何影响中小企业的信贷选择
IF 2.3 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-19 DOI: 10.3390/ijfs12010010
Francesco Fasano, Maurizio La Rocca, F. Javier Sánchez-Vidal, Maria Joshepin Lio, Alfio Cariola
Credit from suppliers is an important source of finance for firms. It can sustain firms’ financial flexibility even in periods of downturn. In this study, using a large database of 90,763 Italian firms in the 2015–2021 period, we investigated how local financial development affects the trade-credit policies of SMEs and how this effect is conditioned by the degree of judicial enforcement. Given that trade credit can be a substitute for bank financing, we find that firms make more use of trade credit in developed financial markets. Moreover, we highlight the finding that a higher degree of judicial enforcement, which reinforces the role of contracts in the market, amplifies this effect. Finally, we observe that the COVID-19 crisis has reduced both the positive effect of local financial development and the positive moderating effect of enforcement in the use of trade credit.
供应商的信贷是企业的一个重要资金来源。即使在经济低迷时期,它也能维持企业的财务灵活性。在本研究中,我们利用 2015-2021 年间 90763 家意大利企业的大型数据库,研究了地方金融发展如何影响中小企业的贸易信贷政策,以及司法执行程度如何制约这种影响。鉴于贸易信贷可以替代银行融资,我们发现在发达的金融市场中,企业更多地使用贸易信贷。此外,我们还强调,司法执行程度越高,合同在市场中的作用就越大。最后,我们注意到,COVID-19 危机削弱了当地金融发展的积极影响,也削弱了执法对贸易信贷使用的积极调节作用。
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引用次数: 0
Is Artificial Intelligence Really More Accurate in Predicting Bankruptcy? 人工智能真的能更准确地预测破产吗?
IF 2.3 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-18 DOI: 10.3390/ijfs12010008
Stanislav Letkovský, Sylvia Jenčová, Petra Vašaničová
Predicting bankruptcy within selected industries is crucial because of the potential ripple effects and unique characteristics of those industries. It serves as a risk management tool, guiding various stakeholders in making decisions. While artificial intelligence (AI) has shown high success rates in classification tasks, it remains uncertain whether its use significantly enhances the potential for early warning of impending problems. The following question arises: will classical methods eventually replace the effectiveness of these advanced techniques? This paper sheds light on the fact that even classical methods continue to achieve results that are not far behind, highlighting their enduring importance in financial analysis. This paper aims to develop bankruptcy prediction models for the chemical industry in Slovakia and to compare their effectiveness. Predictions are generated using the classical logistic regression (LR) method as well as AI techniques, artificial neural networks (ANNs), support vector machines (SVMs), and decision trees (DTs). The analysis aims to determine which of the employed methods is the most efficient. The research sample consists of circa 600 enterprises operating in the Slovak chemical industry. The selection of eleven financial indicators used for bankruptcy prediction was grounded in prior research and existing literature. The results show that all of the explored methods yielded highly similar outcomes. Therefore, determining the clear superiority of any single method is a difficult task. This might be partially due to the potentially reduced quality of the input data. In addition to classical statistical methods employed in econometrics, there is an ongoing development of AI-based models and their hybrid forms. The following question arises: to what extent can these newer approaches enhance accuracy and effectiveness?
由于选定行业的潜在连锁反应和独特性,预测这些行业的破产至关重要。它可作为风险管理工具,指导各利益相关方做出决策。虽然人工智能(AI)在分类任务中显示出很高的成功率,但其使用是否能显著提高对即将发生的问题进行预警的潜力,目前仍不确定。由此产生的问题是:传统方法是否会最终取代这些先进技术的有效性?本文揭示了这样一个事实,即即使是经典方法也能继续取得不落人后的结果,这凸显了它们在金融分析中的持久重要性。本文旨在开发斯洛伐克化工行业的破产预测模型,并比较其有效性。预测使用经典的逻辑回归 (LR) 方法以及人工智能技术、人工神经网络 (ANN)、支持向量机 (SVM) 和决策树 (DT) 生成。分析的目的是确定所采用的方法中哪种最有效。研究样本由斯洛伐克化工行业的约 600 家企业组成。用于破产预测的 11 个财务指标的选择是以先前的研究和现有文献为基础的。结果表明,所有探讨的方法都产生了高度相似的结果。因此,确定任何一种方法的明显优越性都是一项艰巨的任务。部分原因可能是输入数据的质量可能较低。除了计量经济学中使用的经典统计方法外,基于人工智能的模型及其混合形式也在不断发展。下面的问题是:这些新方法能在多大程度上提高准确性和有效性?
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引用次数: 0
Firms’ Investment Level and (In)Efficiency: The Role of Accounting Information System Quality 公司的投资水平与(不)效率:会计信息系统质量的作用
IF 2.3 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-18 DOI: 10.3390/ijfs12010009
Cláudia Pereira, Beatriz Castro, Luís Gomes, Helena Canha
We investigate whether accounting information system quality has an impact on the level and efficiency of firms’ investments. While firms’ growth depends on investment and financing decisions, accounting information is fundamental for the decision-making of several stakeholders. We assess the accounting information system quality by discretionary accruals, whereas the investment inefficiency is estimated by the residuals of an investment regression for a sample of 3073 Portuguese SMEs from 27 industries, over the period from 2016 to 2021 using a panel regression analysis. The empirical evidence suggests that firms exhibiting higher accounting information system quality tend to invest more. In addition, firms with a lower accounting information system quality have more inefficient investments, as they tend to engage in more overinvestment, although this is not significant for underinvestment. Therefore, this study provides new evidence regarding the impact of accounting information systems on investment that may be useful for several stakeholders, such as managers, creditors, regulators, and academics, by providing evidence for SMEs, where empirical studies are scarce.
我们研究了会计信息系统的质量是否会影响企业的投资水平和效率。企业的发展取决于投资和融资决策,而会计信息对多个利益相关者的决策至关重要。我们通过全权应计项目来评估会计信息系统质量,而投资低效率则通过投资回归的残差来估算,样本是来自 27 个行业的 3073 家葡萄牙中小型企业,采用面板回归分析法,时间跨度为 2016 年至 2021 年。经验证据表明,会计信息系统质量较高的企业往往投资较多。此外,会计信息系统质量较低的企业投资效率较低,因为它们倾向于进行更多的过度投资,尽管这对投资不足的影响并不显著。因此,本研究提供了有关会计信息系统对投资影响的新证据,通过为实证研究稀缺的中小企业提供证据,可能对管理者、债权人、监管者和学术界等多个利益相关者有用。
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引用次数: 0
Bank Market Power, Firm Performance, Financing Costs and Capital Structure 银行市场力量、公司业绩、融资成本和资本结构
IF 2.3 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-17 DOI: 10.3390/ijfs12010007
Marisa Pessoa Gonçalves, Pedro M. Nogueira Reis, António Pedro Pinto
In this study, we provide a thorough analysis, conducted on a company-by-company basis, of the impact of bank concentration and the bank-relative power of banks on firm profitability, financing costs, and capital structure in a small economy like Portugal. Using a sample of 434,990 Portuguese companies, the study spans a time frame of 13 years (from 2006 to 2018). Principal component analysis (PCA) was used to determine bank concentration, and a new variable, “bank-related power”, was introduced. This work employed linear regression with static panel data for fixed and pooled effects, using Driscoll–Kraay standard errors and robust standard error estimation. A direct association was found between business performance and the use of bank credit in highly concentrated banking markets (SMEs), and there is evidence of an inverse relationship when the relative power of banks increases (small business). Evidence also shows that financing costs increase with greater bank concentration, while firms’ capital structure improves under similar conditions. When a bank holds greater relative market power, it tends to exert a negative impact on the capital structure of large companies. However, an inverse relationship is observed in the case of SMEs. Unlike previous studies, the article assesses the effects of bank market power on each of the different companies involved by using both bank concentration (as a composite variable) and a new variable that measures the relative power of banks. Due to its extensive database and expanded time frame, this research is innovative in the context of small-sized companies.
在本研究中,我们以公司为单位,深入分析了在葡萄牙这样的小型经济体中,银行集中度和银行相对权力对公司盈利能力、融资成本和资本结构的影响。研究以 434990 家葡萄牙公司为样本,时间跨度长达 13 年(从 2006 年到 2018 年)。研究采用主成分分析法(PCA)确定银行集中度,并引入了一个新变量 "银行相关权力"。这项研究采用线性回归法,使用固定效应和集合效应的静态面板数据,使用 Driscoll-Kraay 标准误差和稳健标准误差估计。研究发现,在高度集中的银行业市场(中小型企业)中,经营业绩与银行信贷的使用之间存在直接联系,有证据表明,当银行的相对权力增加时,两者之间存在反向关系(小型企业)。证据还显示,银行集中度越高,融资成本就越高,而在类似条件下,企业的资本结构会得到改善。当银行拥有更大的相对市场力量时,往往会对大公司的资本结构产生负面影响。然而,中小型企业的情况则相反。与以往的研究不同,本文通过使用银行集中度(作为一个综合变量)和一个衡量银行相对权力的新变量来评估银行市场权力对每个不同公司的影响。由于数据库庞大,时间跨度大,这项研究在小型公司方面具有创新性。
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引用次数: 0
The Influence of Airbnb Announcements on North American Capital Markets: Insights for Stakeholders Airbnb 公告对北美资本市场的影响:对利益相关者的启示
IF 2.3 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.3390/ijfs12010006
Tchai Tavor
This research investigates the burgeoning peer-to-peer (P2P) economy, exemplified by platforms such as Airbnb, and its implications within the North American context. The study focuses on understanding the repercussions of Airbnb announcements on capital markets, concentrating specifically on the travel and tourism sector and the real estate sector. The findings unveil a discernible augmentation in index returns preceding the announcement’s publication in both sectors. However, a notable divergence manifests post-announcement: while the real estate sector sustains an upward trajectory in returns, the travel and tourism sector experiences a post-publication decline. These results underscore the strategic advantage available to investors with early access to Airbnb announcements, enabling them to capitalize on excess profits. Furthermore, the broader investor community can leverage the insights gleaned from Airbnb announcements for financial gains. A nuanced examination of regression results reveals the substantial impact of macroeconomic variables on index returns in both the travel and tourism sector and the real estate sector. These insights contribute to a more nuanced understanding of the intricate dynamics shaping these economic domains.
本研究调查了以 Airbnb 等平台为代表的蓬勃发展的点对点(P2P)经济及其对北美市场的影响。研究重点是了解 Airbnb 公告对资本市场的影响,尤其是对旅行和旅游业以及房地产行业的影响。研究结果表明,在公告发布之前,这两个行业的指数回报率都出现了明显的上升。然而,公告发布后出现了明显的分化:房地产行业的回报率持续上升,而旅行和旅游行业的回报率在公告发布后出现下降。这些结果凸显了投资者在早期获得 Airbnb 公告的战略优势,使他们能够利用超额利润。此外,更广泛的投资者群体可以利用从 Airbnb 公告中获得的洞察力来获取财务收益。对回归结果的细致研究显示,宏观经济变量对旅行和旅游行业以及房地产行业的指数收益都有重大影响。这些见解有助于人们更细致地了解塑造这些经济领域的复杂动态。
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引用次数: 0
The Efficiency of Alternative and Conventional Energy Exchange-Traded Funds: Are Clean Energy Exchange-Traded Funds a Safer Asset? 替代能源和传统能源交易所交易基金的效率:清洁能源交易所交易基金是更安全的资产吗?
IF 2.3 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.3390/ijfs12010004
Carla Oliveira Henriques, Maria Elisabete Neves, João Jorge Couceiro
This paper examines the efficiency of alternative energy equity Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and conventional energy equity ETFs from 2018 to 2020, utilizing a combination of an output-oriented Slack-Based Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model and cluster analysis. In the context of an output-oriented DEA model, efficiency is defined as the ability of an ETF to maximize its outputs (annualized average return; environmental, social responsibility, and corporate governance; and net asset value) given a fixed level of inputs (expense ratio and beta). The findings indicate that alternative energy ETFs have the potential for long-term outperformance compared to conventional energy ETFs in terms of efficiency. However, during financial crises, the performance differences between the two types of ETFs diminish, with no significant outperformance observed in either category. The expense ratio and net asset value are identified as key factors influencing the efficiency of both ETF types. Additionally, social and governance metrics have a notably stronger positive impact on conventional energy ETFs relative to alternative energy ETFs, highlighting the increasing significance of these factors in financial asset performance.
本文结合以产出为导向的基于松弛的数据包络分析(DEA)模型和聚类分析,研究了2018年至2020年替代能源股票交易所交易基金(ETF)和传统能源股票ETF的效率。在以产出为导向的 DEA 模型中,效率被定义为 ETF 在固定投入水平(费用率和贝塔系数)下最大化其产出(年化平均回报率;环境、社会责任和公司治理;资产净值)的能力。研究结果表明,与传统能源 ETF 相比,替代能源 ETF 有可能在效率方面长期表现优异。然而,在金融危机期间,两类 ETF 之间的业绩差异缩小,没有观察到任何一类 ETF 有显著的超额收益。费用率和资产净值被认为是影响两类 ETF 效率的关键因素。此外,与替代能源 ETF 相比,社会和治理指标对传统能源 ETF 的积极影响明显更大,这凸显了这些因素在金融资产绩效中日益重要的地位。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Intangible Capital on Firm Profitability in the Technology and Healthcare Sectors 无形资本对科技和医疗保健行业企业盈利能力的影响
IF 2.3 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.3390/ijfs12010005
Voicu D. Dragomir
The aim of the present study is to assess the impact of structural capital intensity and utilization on firm profitability in an international setting: the European Union countries, plus Norway, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. The indicators are calculated based on financial data downloaded from the Refinitiv Eikon database. Two financial ratios are used as proxies for the intensity and utilization of structural capital. The balanced panel consists of 625 companies from 25 countries, over the period from 2013 to 2022. The panel includes financial information on two industries that are considered innovation-oriented, namely technology and healthcare. Alternative model specifications are proposed to test the robustness of the basic model, including dynamic models (with lagged dependent variables). The present study indicates that a higher proportion of structural capital (intangible assets, excluding goodwill) is a negative factor for company profitability in the technology and healthcare sectors. There is no indication that a more intense use of intangible assets and more investments in R&D positively contribute to company profitability in the respective industries, for a large sample of listed companies. A higher proportion of intangible assets, as reported in financial statements, is possibly related to inefficiencies in the management of structural capital. The inverse relationship between profitability and investments in intangible assets is likely due to failures in cost accounting. Limitations and future research propositions are provided in the conclusions.
本研究旨在评估结构性资本密集度和利用率在国际环境下对企业盈利能力的影响:欧盟国家以及挪威、瑞士和英国。这些指标是根据从 Refinitiv Eikon 数据库下载的财务数据计算得出的。两个财务比率被用作结构资本强度和利用率的替代指标。平衡面板由来自 25 个国家的 625 家公司组成,时间跨度为 2013 年至 2022 年。面板包括两个被认为以创新为导向的行业,即技术和医疗保健行业的财务信息。为检验基本模型的稳健性,提出了其他模型规格,包括动态模型(滞后因变量)。本研究表明,结构资本(无形资产,不包括商誉)比例越高,对科技和医疗保健行业的公司盈利能力越不利。在大量的上市公司样本中,没有迹象表明更多使用无形资产和更多研发投资会对相应行业的公司盈利能力产生积极影响。财务报表中无形资产比例较高,可能与结构资本管理效率低下有关。盈利能力与无形资产投资之间的反比关系可能是由于成本会计的失误。结论中提出了局限性和未来的研究建议。
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引用次数: 0
Variable Considerations in ASC 606, Earnings Management and Business Continuity during Crisis ASC 606、收益管理和危机期间业务连续性中的各种考虑因素
IF 2.3 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.3390/ijfs12010001
Mohammed M. Yassin, Dea’a Al-Deen Al-Sraheen, Khaldoon Ahmad Al Daoud, Mohammad Alhadab, Farouq Altahtamouni
The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) released Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 606, “Revenue from Contracts with Customers”, with the aim of enhancing transparency to provide fairer representation and inhibit the misuse of revenues to manipulate earnings. During COVID-19, variable considerations in ASC 606 were used to manage earnings as a tool to help firms survive. The study aimed to test the mediating role of earnings management in influencing the effect of variable considerations in ASC 606 on the continuity of the firm. An online questionnaire was sent to financial reporting preparers in US public shareholding firms; 403 valid questionnaires were received. The results of PLS-SEM revealed that crises such as COVID-19 have highlighted the way in which variable considerations in ASC 606 were exploited to manage firms’ earnings to ensure their survival. Companies resort to showing their best financial performance, beautifying its financial reports by manipulating profits, using flexibility in accounting policies, but this may negatively affect the country’s entire economy by collapsing companies and creating more financial crises that cannot be easily addressed.
美国财务会计准则委员会(FASB)发布了《会计准则汇编》(ASC)第 606 号 "与客户签订合同产生的收入",旨在提高透明度,提供更公平的表述,抑制滥用收入来操纵收益的行为。在 COVID-19 期间,ASC 606 中的变量考虑因素被用来管理收益,作为帮助企业生存的工具。本研究旨在检验收益管理在影响 ASC 606 中可变因素对公司持续性的影响方面所起的中介作用。研究向美国上市公司的财务报告编制人员发送了一份在线问卷,共收到 403 份有效问卷。PLS-SEM 的结果显示,COVID-19 等危机凸显了《美国会计准则第 606 号》中的变量因素被用来管理公司收益以确保其生存。公司诉诸于展示其最佳财务业绩,通过操纵利润美化其财务报告,利用会计政策的灵活性,但这可能会对国家的整个经济产生负面影响,使公司倒闭,并造成更多难以解决的金融危机。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Financial Studies
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