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Growing old in rural America: Measuring late-life health and economic well-being 美国农村的老龄化:衡量晚年健康和经济福祉
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100565
Yuulin An , Sayorn Chin , Ray Miller
We estimate well-being among older rural Americans with an expected utility framework and simulations using longitudinal data spanning nearly 30 years from the Health and Retirement Study. At age sixty, we find mean rural consumption expenditures of $24,105, a retirement probability of 53%, and a remaining life expectancy of 20.3 years for the cohort born 1931–36. When adjusting life expectancy for living in poor health, we obtain an age sixty quality adjusted life expectancy (QALE) of only 15.4 years. Our welfare metric suggests well-being among rural residents who report loneliness is only about half that of the non-lonely rural residents—largely driven by substantial consumption and QALE gaps. We also document substantial regional variation in rural well-being. Moreover, we find that older rural Americans are generally falling further behind older urban Americans across birth cohorts. Most of this widening gap is driven by declining relative consumption and wealth as opposed to health.
我们用一个预期的效用框架来估计美国农村老年人的福祉,并使用健康与退休研究中近30年的纵向数据进行模拟。在60岁时,我们发现平均农村消费支出为24,105美元,退休概率为53%,1931-36年出生的人群的剩余预期寿命为20.3年。当调整健康状况不佳的预期寿命时,我们得到60岁的质量调整预期寿命(QALE)只有15.4年。我们的福利指标显示,报告孤独的农村居民的幸福感只有非孤独农村居民的一半左右,这主要是由巨大的消费和生活质量差距造成的。我们还记录了农村福利的重大区域差异。此外,我们发现,在整个出生队列中,老年农村美国人普遍落后于老年城市美国人。这种不断扩大的差距主要是由相对消费和财富的下降而不是健康造成的。
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引用次数: 0
Early-life transfers for education and marriage and children’s old-age support: Time or money? 为教育、婚姻和子女养老而进行的早期生活转移:时间还是金钱?
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100562
Ziwei Rao , Max Groneck , Rob Alessie
This paper explores the relationship between parental transfers in early life and the support provided by children to their elderly parents in terms of both financial and time contributions. The study hypothesizes that the type of transfer received by the child correlates with the nature of support they provide in later life. Using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), the findings suggest a positive correlation between educational transfers and financial support provided by the child, while transfers towards supporting a child’s marriage are positively linked to increased time support in terms of visits to the elder parents. The results also provide tentative evidence that children’s place of residence may act as a mediating factor, with educational transfers predicting a greater geographical distance, while marital transfers are associated with children staying closer to their parents.
本文从经济和时间两方面探讨了早期父母转移与子女对老年父母的支持之间的关系。该研究假设,孩子接受的转移类型与他们在以后的生活中所提供的支持的性质有关。利用中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS)的数据,研究结果表明,教育转移与子女提供的经济支持之间存在正相关关系,而支持子女婚姻的转移与探望年长父母的时间支持增加呈正相关关系。研究结果还提供了初步证据,表明儿童的居住地可能是一个中介因素,教育转移预示着更大的地理距离,而婚姻转移则与儿童与父母的距离更近有关。
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引用次数: 0
Longevity gains and the internal rate of return of PAYG pension plans – Evidence for 17 OECD countries 现收现付养老金计划的寿命收益和内部收益率——来自17个经合组织国家的证据
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100567
Bram Groenewoud, Eduard Ponds
We study the impact of the continuous increase of longevity on the internal rate of return from PAYG pension schemes. We use an empirical analysis based on the evidence from 17 developed OECD countries to find that the trend to longer life expectancy leads to an additional return on top of the growth rate of the economy. Depending on the settings of the plan, particularly the retirement age, this extra return varies between 0.10% point and more than 1%-point over time and across countries for cohorts born in the period 1935–1990. The retirement age in most countries during the postwar period lagged the increase in longevity, implying redistribution form younger cohorts to older cohorts. A fair allocation of longevity growth would imply a proportional distribution over the working and retirement periods so that the ratio of working period length and pension period length remains stable over time. We show that an implementation of this fair rule as of the year 1960 would have led to an average reduction in the internal rates of return of 0.4%-point for all countries. The fall in return per country depends on the country-specific divergence of the actual retirement age and the fair rule retirement age. Furthermore, the implementation of the fair rule would have led to more stable contribution rates and to more stable ratios between the retired part and the working part of the population.
我们研究了持续增长的寿命对现收现付养老金计划的内部收益率的影响。我们基于17个发达经合组织国家的证据进行实证分析,发现预期寿命延长的趋势导致经济增长率之外的额外回报。根据该计划的设定,特别是退休年龄的不同,随着时间的推移,对于1935年至1990年期间出生的人群来说,这一额外回报在0.10%到1%以上之间变化。在战后时期,大多数国家的退休年龄落后于寿命的增长,这意味着从年轻人到老年人的再分配。寿命增长的公平分配意味着在工作和退休期间按比例分配,以便工作期限和养恤金期限的比率随时间保持稳定。我们表明,在1960年实施这一公平规则将导致所有国家的内部回报率平均下降0.4%。每个国家回报的下降取决于各国实际退休年龄和公平退休年龄的具体差异。此外,执行公平规则将导致更稳定的缴款率和退休人口与工作人口之间更稳定的比率。
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引用次数: 0
Social engagement and health in an aging society: Impact of Basic Old-Age Pension in Korea 老龄化社会的社会参与与健康:韩国基本养老金的影响
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100566
Hoolda Kim
Despite older people’s notable contributions to economic growth in Korea, a significant proportion of them were left financially unprepared for old age and faced a high risk of poverty after retirement. In 2007, the National Pension was reformed to gradually lower the income replacement ratio from 60 % to 40 %. The Korean government implemented the Basic Old-Age Pension (BOAP) to compensate for the loss in pension income in 2008. While the BAOP benefits mitigate income poverty, it may also have spillover effects on social activities and health outcomes that older people are likely to be deprived of. We use the 2006–2020 Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging for the analysis. Using a doubly robust difference-in-differences model and event study, we investigate the impact of BOAP on social engagement and the health of older people. The results show that BOAP recipients tend to have more frequent meetings with children and are likely to have a better relationship with children while they are less likely to participate in social groups and have fewer social group meetings. These results are more evident among those recipients who have received pension benefits for longer years. We find a greater positive impact of BOAP on the health of non-employed, non-married, and poor recipients and the social activities of women, employed, and non-poor recipients. The impact of BOAP may vary by gender, employment status, marital status, and poverty status but the overall results emphasize the continual assistance of BOAP in promoting the social engagement and health of older Koreans.
尽管老年人对韩国的经济增长做出了巨大贡献,但他们中的很大一部分人在养老方面没有做好准备,退休后面临贫困的风险很高。2007年,国民养老金改革,逐步将收入替代率从60%降低到40%。韩国政府为了弥补养老金收入的损失,从2008年开始实施了基本养老金制度(BOAP)。虽然BAOP福利减轻了收入贫困,但它也可能对老年人可能被剥夺的社会活动和健康结果产生溢出效应。我们使用2006-2020年韩国老龄化纵向研究进行分析。采用双重稳健的差异中差异模型和事件研究,我们调查了BOAP对老年人社会参与和健康的影响。结果表明,BOAP接受者往往与儿童有更频繁的会面,可能与儿童有更好的关系,但他们不太可能参加社会团体,也较少参加社会团体会议。这些结果在那些领取养老金年限较长的人身上更为明显。我们发现,BOAP对非就业、未婚和贫困受助人的健康以及妇女、就业和非贫困受助人的社会活动产生了更大的积极影响。BOAP的影响可能因性别、就业状况、婚姻状况和贫困状况而异,但总体结果强调BOAP在促进韩国老年人的社会参与和健康方面的持续援助。
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引用次数: 0
Designing and implementing an older people-specific multidimensional poverty measure: An application to a middle-income country 设计和实施针对老年人的多维贫困衡量标准:在中等收入国家的应用
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-04-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100563
Jhonatan Clausen , Nicolas Barrantes , Micaela Salcedo
We contribute to the literature on poverty measurement in older age in low- and middle-income countries by designing and implementing a comprehensive and policy-relevant older people-specific multidimensional poverty index based on the Alkire-Foster method, estimated using data from four waves of Peru’s national household survey (2018, 2019, 2022, and 2023). Our measure includes 15 indicators spanning seven dimensions: social connectedness, knowledge, health, employment and social protection, shelter, water and sanitation, and energy. We set a referential threshold that identifies an older individual as multidimensionally poor if they experience deprivations in at least three out of seven dimensions of our measure. Our results show that multidimensional poverty incidence among older people in Peru has decreased by 8.6% between 2018 and 2023 but remains high at 35%. Older women, older people living in rural areas, older indigenous people and older people with disability are multidimensionally poorer than their counterparts, with deprivations contributing the most to multidimensional poverty varying across subgroups and subnational regions. Our findings can guide policymakers in prioritising resource allocation by identifying key deprivations to reduce multidimensional poverty among older adults. We estimate that 23% of the older population experience multidimensional but not monetary poverty, highlighting the complementarity of these approaches. Additionally, we find 12% of older people living in multidimensional and monetary poverty simultaneously, rising to 30% in rural areas. Our study bridges the most up-to-date conceptual and empirical literature on multidimensional poverty with the literature on poverty measurement in older age in low- and middle-income countries.
我们根据秘鲁四次全国家庭调查(2018年、2019年、2022年和2023年)的数据,设计并实施了基于Alkire-Foster方法的全面且与政策相关的老年人多维贫困指数,从而为低收入和中等收入国家的老年人贫困衡量文献做出贡献。我们的衡量标准包括15项指标,涵盖七个方面:社会联系、知识、健康、就业和社会保护、住房、水和卫生设施以及能源。我们设定了一个参考阈值,如果一个老年人在我们测量的七个维度中至少有三个维度被剥夺,那么他就被认定为多维贫困。我们的研究结果显示,秘鲁老年人的多维贫困发生率在2018年至2023年期间下降了8.6%,但仍高达35%。老年妇女、生活在农村地区的老年人、老年土著居民和残疾老年人在多维度上比他们的同龄人更贫穷,贫困对多维度贫困的贡献最大,在各个亚群体和次国家区域各不相同。我们的研究结果可以指导政策制定者确定资源分配的优先顺序,以减少老年人的多维贫困。我们估计,23%的老年人口经历了多维而非货币贫困,突出了这些方法的互补性。此外,我们发现12%的老年人同时生活在多维度和货币贫困中,在农村地区这一比例上升至30%。我们的研究将有关多维贫困的最新概念和实证文献与有关低收入和中等收入国家老年人贫困测量的文献联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Occupations and retirement across countries 不同国家的职业和退休情况
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-03-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100561
Philip Sauré , Arthur Seibold , Elizaveta Smorodenkova , Hosny Zoabi
We study the role of occupations for individual and aggregate retirement behavior. First, we document large differences in individual retirement ages across occupations in U.S. data. We then show that retirement behavior among European workers is strongly correlated with U.S. occupational retirement ages, indicating an inherent association between occupations and retirement that is present across institutional settings. Finally, we find that occupational composition is an important predictor of aggregate retirement behavior across 45 countries. Our findings suggest that events affecting occupational structure, such as skill-biased technological change or international trade, can have consequences for aggregate retirement behavior and social security systems.
我们研究了职业对个人和集体退休行为的作用。首先,我们在美国数据中记录了不同职业的个人退休年龄的巨大差异。然后,我们表明欧洲工人的退休行为与美国职业退休年龄密切相关,表明职业与退休之间存在内在联系,这种联系存在于整个制度设置中。最后,我们发现职业构成是45个国家总体退休行为的重要预测因子。我们的研究结果表明,影响职业结构的事件,如技能偏向的技术变革或国际贸易,可能对总体退休行为和社会保障制度产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
The causal effect of working from home on mental health of 50+ Europeans 在家工作对50多个欧洲人心理健康的因果影响
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-03-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100560
Marco Bertoni , Danilo Cavapozzi , Giacomo Pasini , Caterina Pavese
We develop an identification strategy for the causal effect of working from home on mental health leveraging policy-induced variation during the Covid-19 pandemic. We overcome endogeneity by combining longitudinal microdata with the cross-sectional variation in the feasibility of remote working across occupations and in the legal restrictions to in-presence work across sectors. In our sample of 50+ Europeans, remote working increases feelings of sadness and depression, especially for women, parents with adult children at home, and in regions with strict containment measures and low excess mortality.
我们利用Covid-19大流行期间政策引起的变化,制定了一种识别策略,以确定在家工作对心理健康的因果影响。我们通过将纵向微观数据与跨职业远程工作可行性的横截面变化以及跨部门对现场工作的法律限制相结合,克服了内生性。在我们的50多名欧洲人的样本中,远程工作增加了悲伤和抑郁的感觉,尤其是对妇女、家里有成年子女的父母,以及在采取严格控制措施和低超额死亡率的地区。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 and domiciliary care utilisation: Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing COVID-19与居家护理利用:来自英国老龄化纵向研究的证据
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-03-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100552
Anastasia Arabadzhyan , Nikita Jacob , Panagiotis Kasteridis , Anne Mason , Nigel Rice
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly affected global health and social care, leading to unmet needs, especially among vulnerable groups. Using data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), we investigate disruptions in home care for individuals over 50. We evaluate how the pandemic changed home care use at the extensive and intensive margins; the relative risk of reporting unmet need; and access to acute and primary care for different socio-demographic groups. We find decreases in home care use (extensive margin), mostly driven by informal care, which were partially offset by an increase in the amount of care received among those who were using home care during the pandemic (intensive margin). However, the relative risk of reporting unmet need rose, particularly among ethnic minorities, individuals with musculoskeletal and mental health conditions, and those not in work or retirement (due to long-term sickness or disability, home or family responsibilities, or unemployment). Individuals living alone and those aged 50–59 faced higher unmet needs for home care, but maintained primary care access as opposed to their counterparts. Our findings suggest that while aiming to protect the most vulnerable groups, pandemic containment policies negatively affected access to vital health and social care services, thereby increasing unmet care needs and exacerbating existing inequalities.
COVID-19大流行严重影响了全球卫生和社会保健,导致需求未得到满足,特别是在弱势群体中。使用英国老龄化纵向研究(ELSA)的数据,我们调查了50岁以上个人家庭护理的中断。我们评估了大流行如何在广泛和密集的边缘改变家庭护理使用;报告未满足需求的相对风险;以及不同社会人口群体获得急性和初级保健的机会。我们发现,家庭护理使用减少(边际宽),主要是由非正式护理推动的,部分抵消了在大流行期间使用家庭护理的人获得的护理量的增加(边际宽)。然而,报告需求未得到满足的相对风险上升,特别是在少数民族、患有肌肉骨骼和精神健康状况的个人以及没有工作或退休(由于长期疾病或残疾、家庭或家庭责任或失业)的人当中。独居者和年龄在50-59岁之间的人在家庭护理方面面临着更高的未满足需求,但与同龄人相比,他们仍能获得初级保健服务。我们的研究结果表明,虽然旨在保护最弱势群体,但大流行遏制政策对获得重要的保健和社会护理服务产生了负面影响,从而增加了未满足的护理需求,加剧了现有的不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Income and well-being in old age: The role of local contextual factors 老年收入与幸福感:地方背景因素的作用
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100551
Michał Myck , Monika Oczkowska , Ellam Kulati
While the role of local contextual factors as determinants of well-being has been broadly acknowledged, the literature has focused primarily on identification of individual level determinants. Using a unique dataset linking regional and individual-level information we investigate the association of well-being and local conditions among a sample of Polish individuals aged 50 and over. The results confirm high correlation of well-being with income, and we show that this correlation grows with the quality of local conditions. Similarly, a change in the composite measure of the latter is positively associated with well-being only for high income respondents. The findings highlight a particular set of policy challenges from the point of view of old age poverty and area-based social exclusion. They offer support for targeted financial transfers, and call for improvements in local conditions, in particular in accessibility to public services for low-income older individuals.
虽然当地环境因素作为幸福的决定因素的作用已得到广泛承认,但文献主要集中在个人层面决定因素的识别上。使用连接区域和个人层面信息的独特数据集,我们调查了50岁及以上波兰个人样本中幸福感和当地条件的关系。结果证实了幸福感与收入的高度相关性,我们表明这种相关性随着当地条件的质量而增长。同样,后者的综合衡量标准的变化只与高收入受访者的幸福感呈正相关。从老年贫困和基于地区的社会排斥的角度来看,调查结果突出了一组特殊的政策挑战。它们为有针对性的财政转移提供支持,并呼吁改善当地条件,特别是低收入老年人获得公共服务的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Funding options for long-term care services in Latin America and the Caribbean☆ 拉丁美洲和加勒比地区长期护理服务的筹资方案
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100550
Beatrice Fabiani de Leva , Joan Costa-Font , Natalia Aranco , Marco Stampini , Pablo Ibarrarán
Demographic and social changes Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) have called the traditional system of long-term care service provision into question, prompting many countries to prioritize long-term care reform on their social policy and fiscal agendas. A central policy issue under consideration involves assessing the demand and the costs of various long-term care options while evaluating its financial sustainability. To date, estimating the demand for care in Latin American countries is limited due to the underdeveloped and fragmented systems in place. This paper estimates the potential cost of various long-term care service packages that differ in the extent and type of government funding. Second, we investigate the financing sustainability of different coverage scenarios across seventeen countries in the LAC region. Finally, we assess the feasibility of alternative funding mechanisms and discuss the main benefits and drawbacks considering each country’s unique institutional constraints. Our estimates indicate that, while all seventeen LAC countries have the potential to implement a system funded through general taxation, a social insurance system is only feasible in a handful set of LAC countries.
拉丁美洲和加勒比地区(LAC)对传统的长期护理服务体系提出了质疑,促使许多国家将长期护理改革列为其社会政策和财政议程的优先事项。正在考虑的一个中心政策问题涉及评估各种长期护理选择的需求和成本,同时评估其财务可持续性。迄今为止,由于现有系统不发达和支离破碎,估计拉丁美洲国家的护理需求是有限的。本文估计了政府资助程度和类型不同的各种长期护理服务套餐的潜在成本。其次,我们调查了拉丁美洲和加勒比地区17个国家不同覆盖方案的融资可持续性。最后,我们评估了替代融资机制的可行性,并考虑到每个国家独特的制度约束,讨论了主要的利弊。我们的估计表明,虽然所有17个拉丁美洲和加勒比国家都有可能实施通过一般税收资助的制度,但社会保险制度仅在少数拉丁美洲和加勒比国家可行。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of the Economics of Ageing
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