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Commercial Lunar Ice Mining: Is There a Role for Royalties? 商业月球冰开采:是否有版税的作用?
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2022.101525
Ben McKeown, A. Dempster, S. Saydam, J. Coulton
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引用次数: 2
Evaluating the Public Value of Improving Early Detection Accuracy of Cumulonimbus Using a Geostationary Satellite in South Korea 评价利用韩国静止卫星提高积雨云早期探测精度的公共价值
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2022.101507
Ju-Hee Kim , Hancheol Lim , Jinho Shin , Seung-Hoon Yoo

The Cheollian Satellite 2A called Geo-Kompsat-2A is a geostationary meteorological satellite operated by Korea Meteorological Administration for weather and space-weather observation purposes. This article seeks to evaluate the public value arising from improving the accuracy of early detection of cumulonimbus using Geo-Kompsat-2A. To this end, an economic technique called contingent valuation (CV) is adopted taking a three step approach. In step 1, a CV questionnaire was prepared for deriving the willingness to pay (WTP) for the improvement. In step 2, a nationwide survey of 1000 households was conducted using the CV questionnaire and employing person-to-person interviews with household visits. In step 3, the average WTP was estimated. The yearly household average WTP was KRW 2143 (USD 1.91), securing statistical significance. Adjusting this value to suit the entire population of South Korea produces a yearly public value of KRW 44.1 billion (USD 39.3 million). Although it is not easy to accurately evaluate the costs involved in the improvement, the results of conducting a pilot cost-benefit analysis suggest that the improvement secures social desirability.

“铁莲2A卫星”(Geo-Kompsat-2A)是韩国气象厅为观测天气和空间天气而运营的地球同步气象卫星。本文旨在评估利用Geo-Kompsat-2A提高积雨云早期检测精度所产生的公共价值。为此,采用了一种称为条件估值(CV)的经济技术,采用三步法。在步骤1中,准备了一份CV问卷,以获得改进的支付意愿(WTP)。第二步,在全国范围内对1000户家庭进行调查,采用简历问卷和家访的面对面访谈。在步骤3中,估计平均WTP。家庭年平均WTP为2143韩元(1.91美元),具有统计学意义。调整这个数值以适应整个韩国人口,每年产生的公共价值为441亿韩元(3930万美元)。虽然不容易准确地评估改善所涉及的成本,但进行试点成本效益分析的结果表明,改善确保了社会的可取性。
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引用次数: 0
Legacy of Faster, Better, Cheaper? Cost, Schedule, and Performance Objectives: Understanding the Impact of NASA Policy on Perceptions of Failures 更快、更好、更便宜?成本、进度和技术目标:理解NASA政策对失败感知的持续影响
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2022.101515
Casey Eaton , Shivani Patel , K. Loveday Glandon , Kristin Weger , Bryan Mesmer , Robert Moreland

This research examines perceptions of failure at the US National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and NASA's “faster, better, cheaper” movement of the 1990s, identifying how subsequent perceptions, policies, and practices reflect and react to this former ideology in regards to perceptions of failure. Thirty-one NASA participants were surveyed regarding their definitions of failure and perceptions of causes of failure. Regarding failure, participants believed optimistic schedule and budget planning leads to failures and also believed that NASA was neutral on prioritizing prevention of budget overruns and schedule delays. Participants often defined and perceived failures in three areas of schedule, performance, and cost objectives, which are similar to the terms “faster, better, cheaper.” Associated NASA documentation, including strategic plans, is investigated, identifying that language regarding failure and success at NASA often involves these three areas. The examination of NASA documentation suggests potential evolution in policy, subsequent to the faster, better, cheaper era. Potential impacts in NASA policy and practice resulting from the FBC ideology are introduced: an absence and return to language of risk acceptance, a continued emphasis on science mission funding, and a gradual reduction in NASA civil servant workforce. The findings of this research provide insight into the operationalization of the three areas emphasized in the faster, better, cheaper ideology, their use in NASA documentation, and acknowledgment by NASA participants.

本研究考察了美国国家航空航天局(NASA)对失败的看法,以及20世纪90年代NASA的“更快、更好、更便宜”运动,确定了随后的看法、政策和实践如何反映和反应这种关于失败观念的前意识形态。31名NASA参与者接受了关于他们对失败的定义和对失败原因的看法的调查。关于失败,与会者认为乐观的时间表和预算规划导致失败,并认为NASA在优先预防预算超支和时间表延误方面是中立的。参与者通常在三个方面定义和感知失败:进度、性能和成本目标,这类似于术语“更快、更好、更便宜”。相关的NASA文件,包括战略计划,被调查,确定关于NASA的失败和成功的语言通常涉及这三个领域。对美国国家航空航天局文件的研究表明,在更快、更好、更便宜的时代之后,政策可能会发生变化。介绍了FBC意识形态对NASA政策和实践的潜在影响:风险接受语言的缺失和回归,科学任务资金的持续强调,NASA公务员队伍的逐步减少。本研究的发现为更快、更好、更便宜的意识形态、它们在NASA文件中的使用以及NASA参与者的认可所强调的三个领域的运作提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
Media use and US Attitudes Toward Government and Private Space Exploration 媒体使用和美国对政府和私人太空探索的态度
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2022.101506
James Bingaman, Wyatt Dawson, Paul R. Brewer, Ashley Paintsil

A range of media—including science fiction television programs and films, news outlets, and social media platforms—present messages about space exploration by the US government (NASA) and private companies (such as SpaceX). With this in mind, the present study examines how different forms of media use predict support for space exploration. In doing so, it builds on theoretical accounts of genre-specific cultivation effects, news framing effects, and social media effects. The analyses use data from three national surveys conducted in 2016, 2020, and 2021. The results indicate that science fiction viewing predicts greater support for both government and privatelyfunded space exploration. The results yield mixed evidence on whether television news viewing predicts such support and little evidence that social media use does so. The study's findings highlight the potential role of science fiction in shaping public opinion about space exploration—which, in turn, may influence space policy.

一系列媒体——包括科幻电视节目和电影、新闻媒体和社交媒体平台——都在传递美国政府(NASA)和私营公司(如SpaceX)关于太空探索的信息。考虑到这一点,本研究考察了不同形式的媒体使用如何预测对空间探索的支持。在此过程中,它建立在特定类型培养效应、新闻框架效应和社交媒体效应的理论基础上。该分析使用了2016年、2020年和2021年进行的三次全国调查的数据。结果表明,科幻小说的观看预示着对政府和私人资助的太空探索都有更大的支持。关于看电视新闻是否能预测这种支持,结果提供了各种各样的证据,而几乎没有证据表明社交媒体的使用能做到这一点。这项研究的发现强调了科幻小说在塑造公众对太空探索的看法方面的潜在作用,而这反过来又可能影响太空政策。
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引用次数: 1
Bioethical Issues in Human Modification for Protection against the Effects of Space Radiation 保护人类免受空间辐射影响的生物伦理问题
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2022.101505
Konrad Szocik , Martin Braddock

Protection against the effects of space radiation poses great technical and medical challenges for future human missions and is of interparliamentary concern requiring alignment of multiple scientific, clinical, and ethical parameters. In our article, we highlight the inadequacy of current countermeasures, which may justify the use of human enhancement (HE), or biomedical technologies to increase astronaut protection from the harmful space environment, protect lifespan longevity and increase the chance of survival during spaceflight or as colonists on other worlds. The deleterious effects of space radiation on the human body may justify even the most radical forms of HE, which may incorporate gene editing. As a thought experiment, we propose that an ethical assessment should depend on the anchor and purpose of the mission and we discuss differences and similarities between the bioethics of space missions and military ethics on Earth.

防止空间辐射的影响对未来的人类飞行任务构成了巨大的技术和医学挑战,是议会间关注的问题,需要协调多种科学、临床和伦理参数。在我们的文章中,我们强调了当前对策的不足,这可能证明使用人类增强(HE)或生物医学技术来增加宇航员免受有害空间环境的保护,保护寿命,增加在太空飞行或作为其他星球殖民者的生存机会是合理的。太空辐射对人体的有害影响,甚至可以证明最激进的HE形式是合理的,其中可能包括基因编辑。作为一个思想实验,我们建议伦理评估应取决于任务的锚点和目的,我们讨论了空间任务的生物伦理与地球上的军事伦理之间的异同。
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引用次数: 2
European Union Space Surveillance & Tracking (EU SST): State of Play and Perspectives 欧洲联盟空间监视与跟踪(EU SST):现状和前景
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2022.101503
Regina Peldszus , Pascal Faucher

The European Union (EU) has put in place a unique multilateral governance model for its EU Space Surveillance & Tracking (EU SST) capability, which reconciles the need for increased autonomy in ensuring the resilience of space-based infrastructure for the European community with the requirements posed by sovereign security concerns. Implemented by a consortium of EU member states, EU SST has been in operation since 2016, and today it serves a growing user community of European organisations with SST services including Collision Avoidance. The participating entities channel diverse contributions into an operational sensor, data sharing, and service provision framework, while integrating the European ecosystem of industry and research and development. From the perspective of the EU SST partners, this paper reviews recent governance and operations, and highlights emerging developments in light of the European Union space programme, including its intersections with Space Traffic Management.

欧洲联盟(欧盟)已经为其欧盟空间监测建立了一个独特的多边治理模式。跟踪(EU SST)能力,它协调了在确保欧洲共同体天基基础设施弹性方面增加自主权的需求与主权安全问题提出的要求。欧盟SST由欧盟成员国联盟实施,自2016年以来一直在运行,今天它为不断增长的欧洲组织用户社区提供SST服务,包括防撞服务。参与实体将不同的贡献引入到一个可操作的传感器、数据共享和服务提供框架中,同时整合欧洲的工业和研发生态系统。从欧盟SST合作伙伴的角度,本文回顾了最近的治理和运营,并强调了欧盟空间计划的新发展,包括其与空间交通管理的交叉。
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引用次数: 0
Artemis Accords: Are Safety Zones Practical for Long Term Commercial Lunar Resource Utilisation? 阿尔忒弥斯协定:安全区域对月球资源的长期商业利用是否可行?
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2022.101504
Ben McKeown , Andrew G. Dempster , Serkan Saydam

Commercial lunar resource extraction activities could become a reality in the mid to long term. Under the existing Outer Space Treaty, there is ambiguity regarding the legal context within which such activities could occur. The Artemis Accords, signed in 2020, are proposed as a mechanism by which space resource extraction activities could take place, with a key proposal of the Accords being the use of Safety Zones to facilitate lunar resource extraction. Whilst the use of Safety Zones is ostensibly proposed for small scale In Situ Resource Utilisation (ISRU) activities focussed on lunar water production, messaging around the Artemis Accords has indicated that there may be an intent to use them to set precedent for longer term, larger scale commercial resource activity. This article explores the practicability of using Safety Zones for large scale commercial lunar resource extraction from the perspective of the commercial entities that could undertake such activities. Conceptual long term demand for water sourced from ice contained in the lunar Permanently Shadowed Regions (PSRs) is derived, and the surface area required to produce sufficient water to meet this market demand determined. Due to the potential characteristics of water ice occurrence in the lunar PSRs, the footprint of operations could be substantial, and virtually without precedent in the terrestrial extractive resource industries. The article concludes that the use of the Safety Zones proposed in the Artemis Accords could be impractical for the governance of large scale commercial lunar resource production. It is suggested that whilst small scale ISRU activities take place under the auspices of the Artemis Accords, efforts are continued to develop a multilateral governance framework acceptable to both the international community and to the commercial sector for the potential large scale development of lunar resources.

商业月球资源开采活动可能在中长期内成为现实。根据现有的《外层空间条约》,这种活动可能发生的法律背景并不明确。2020年签署的《阿尔忒弥斯协定》被提议作为开展空间资源开采活动的机制,《协定》的一项关键提议是利用安全区促进月球资源开采。虽然表面上建议使用安全区用于小规模的原位资源利用(ISRU)活动,重点是月球水的生产,但围绕《阿尔忒弥斯协定》的消息表明,可能有意利用它们为长期、大规模的商业资源活动树立先例。本文从能够开展大规模月球商业资源开采活动的商业实体的角度,探讨了利用安全区进行大规模月球商业资源开采的可行性。推导了从月球永久阴影区(PSRs)的冰中获取水的概念性长期需求,并确定了生产足够的水以满足这一市场需求所需的表面面积。由于月球PSRs中存在水冰的潜在特征,操作的足迹可能是巨大的,并且在陆地采掘资源工业中几乎没有先例。文章的结论是,使用《阿尔忒弥斯协定》中提出的安全区对于大规模商业月球资源生产的治理可能是不切实际的。有人建议,虽然小规模的月球资源研究所活动是在《阿尔忒弥斯协定》的主持下进行的,但仍在继续努力制定一个国际社会和商业部门都能接受的多边管理框架,以便潜在地大规模开发月球资源。
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引用次数: 4
To the Moon and Back: Reexamining Presidential Decision-Making and the Apollo Program 《往返月球:重新审视总统决策和阿波罗计划》
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2022.101516
Adam M. McMahon

Why did President John F. Kennedy call on the nation to send Americans to the moon? And why did his successors see the expensive and risky Apollo program to completion even after his death? Drawing from the literature on presidential decision-making, I argue Kennedy's announcement was both ordinary and epiphenomenal. Using archival materials spanning the Eisenhower, Kennedy, Johnson, and Nixon administrations, this article augments existing research and contends the 35th president constrained his own options by criticizing the outgoing Eisenhower administration for allowing a “missile gap” during the 1960 presidential campaign. After learning it did not exist, JFK's own crisis rhetoric set expectations and forced him to compete with the Soviets in a new arena at the height of the Cold War. His assassination made it politically risky for his successors to alter the lunar program, relegating both Johnson and Nixon to claim residual credit and avoid blame for diminishing the American crewed space exploration program. Reevaluating the historical role of the president in achieving one of the most significant government-led endeavors in history reveals how Kennedy's past actions inadvertently drove the development of space policy at mid-century.

为什么约翰·肯尼迪总统呼吁国家把美国人送上月球?为什么他的继任者甚至在他死后还看到昂贵而冒险的阿波罗计划得以完成?根据有关总统决策的文献,我认为肯尼迪的声明既普通又反常。本文利用跨越艾森豪威尔、肯尼迪、约翰逊和尼克松政府的档案材料,扩充了现有的研究,并认为这位第35任总统在1960年总统竞选期间批评即将卸任的艾森豪威尔政府允许出现“导弹缺口”,从而限制了他自己的选择。在得知它并不存在之后,肯尼迪自己的危机言论设定了人们的期望,迫使他在冷战高峰期与苏联人在一个新的舞台上竞争。他的遇刺给他的继任者改变月球计划带来了政治上的风险,让约翰逊和尼克松都有机会获得剩余的荣誉,避免因削弱美国载人太空探索计划而受到指责。重新评估总统在实现历史上最重要的政府主导的努力之一中的历史作用,揭示了肯尼迪过去的行动是如何无意中推动了世纪中叶太空政策的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Particularity and Potentiality of Civil–Military Integration Strategy for Space Activities in China 中国空间活动军民融合战略的特殊性和潜力评估
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2022.101514
Xiaodan Wu , Jie Long

The relationship between the civil and defence industries in China has undergone institutional changes from separation to combination and integration. Civil–military integration (CMI) was uplifted as a national-level strategy in 2015. Outer space was prioritised in the 2015 strategy, which presents an interesting opportunity for a review of its particularity and potentiality in China. The application of the CMI to space activities is a product of national policies related to economic development and technological advancement instead of a result of a military modernisation campaign. The CMI strategy holds the potential of being an enabler for space activities in China to accommodate the market-oriented approach and conform to the implementation practice of CMI in other advanced space countries. However, reform efforts remain at the early stages of development. Its operationalisation under the state-led development approach is characterised by uncertainty, ambiguity, and fluidity. The reforms are demanding in terms of tackling the entrenched issues of breaking down civil–military barriers and managing the contradiction between the traditional state-led approach and the revolutionary market-oriented approach. Specifically, it is in need of basic infrastructure to facilitate the development of commercial space, including a high-level, coherent framework of policy guidelines and the improvement of governance structure and institutional mechanisms through the enactment of a space law.

中国民防工业关系经历了从分离到结合、融合的制度变迁。2015年,军民融合被提升为国家战略。外层空间在2015年战略中被列为优先事项,这为审查其在中国的特殊性和潜力提供了一个有趣的机会。将CMI应用于空间活动是与经济发展和技术进步有关的国家政策的产物,而不是军事现代化运动的结果。CMI战略有潜力成为中国空间活动的推动者,以适应以市场为导向的方法,并符合其他先进空间国家CMI的实施实践。然而,改革努力仍处于发展的早期阶段。在国家主导的开发方式下,其运作的特点是不确定性、模糊性和流动性。这些改革需要解决一些根深蒂固的问题,包括打破军民之间的障碍,以及处理传统的国家主导方式与革命性的市场导向方式之间的矛盾。具体来说,它需要基本的基础设施来促进商业空间的发展,包括一个高级别、连贯的政策准则框架,以及通过颁布空间法来改进治理结构和体制机制。
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引用次数: 1
Brazilian Space Sector: Historical Analysis of the Public Budget 巴西空间部门:公共预算的历史分析
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2022.101502
Andrea Cabello , Lúcia Helena Michels Freitas , Michele Melo

We propose a historical analysis of the Brazilian space budget based on activities. The main contribution of this article is to consider Brazilian space public budget data in the context of an international classification that allows a better understanding of the priorities set by Brazil in its space sector over the last two decades. Brazilian space policy and activities have suffered from varying budgets ever since the inception of the space program. This follows the pattern of the Science, Technology, and Innovation sector, but there are also issues regarding the space sector itself. Launching centers and Earth observation are identified as the two priority areas for the Brazilian space program. One of the findings of this research is that the funding for research institutions has decreased over time, which was not that clear from previous data.

我们建议根据活动对巴西空间预算进行历史分析。本文的主要贡献是在国际分类的背景下考虑巴西的空间公共预算数据,以便更好地了解巴西在过去二十年中在其空间部门确定的优先事项。自从空间方案开始以来,巴西的空间政策和活动一直受到不同预算的影响。这是科学、技术和创新部门的模式,但也存在空间部门本身的问题。发射中心和地球观测被确定为巴西空间计划的两个优先领域。这项研究的一个发现是,研究机构的资金随着时间的推移而减少,这从以前的数据中并不那么明显。
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引用次数: 1
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Space Policy
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