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What future are we creating? 我们在创造什么样的未来?
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1332/17579597y2023d000000006
Tony Robertson
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引用次数: 0
Adolescent male friendships 28 years later: adult criminal offences and domestic/intimate partner violence 28 年后的青少年男性友谊:成人刑事犯罪和家庭/亲密伴侣暴力
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1332/17579597y2023d000000004
Clifford R. O’Donnell
Adult arrest records were examined for a cohort of 150 public high school males named as friends by classmates 28 years earlier. The overall adult arrest rate was 35.3%. The arrest rate for males with at least one disciplinary referral was 59.2%. Friendship data were divided into offender–offender, offender–non-offender and non-offender–non-offender dyads. The proportion of offender–offender dyads was four times greater than offender–non-offender dyads, both for those with and without disciplinary referrals. These results are interpreted as indications of the possible influence of high school friends on adult offences. Arrests were disproportionally for violent offences against females among those who shared high school friendships. An interpretation that negative attitudes, emotions and behaviour toward females formed during activities with friends in high school, leading to a trajectory of violence towards women, is presented. Recommendations are made for interventions for adolescent male anger towards females to prevent adult domestic and intimate partner violence. Suggested interventions include anger management, school violence prevention, dating violence prevention and youth mentoring programmes. Also recommended is to change punitive school policies that bring students with behaviour problems together to opportunities for positive experiences, such as through organised activities, volunteer service in the community and restorative justice practices.
研究人员检查了一组150名公立高中男生的成年被捕记录,这些男生在28年前被同学称为朋友。成年人的总体逮捕率为35.3%。至少有过一次纪律转介的男性被捕率为59.2%。友谊数据被分为冒犯者-冒犯者、冒犯者-非冒犯者和非冒犯者-非冒犯者三组。违规者-违规者组合的比例是违规者-非违规者组合的四倍,无论违规者是否受到纪律处分。这些结果被解释为高中朋友对成人犯罪可能产生影响的迹象。在那些高中朋友中,针对女性的暴力犯罪被逮捕的比例过高。提出了一种解释,即在高中与朋友的活动中形成了对女性的消极态度、情绪和行为,导致了对妇女的暴力行为。对青少年男性对女性的愤怒提出了干预建议,以防止成年家庭暴力和亲密伴侣暴力。建议的干预措施包括愤怒管理、预防校园暴力、预防约会暴力和青年指导方案。还建议改变惩罚性的学校政策,将有行为问题的学生聚集在一起,让他们有机会获得积极的经历,例如通过有组织的活动、社区志愿服务和恢复性司法实践。
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引用次数: 0
Non-employment, gender norms and the risk of couple separation in eastern and western Germany. 德国东部和西部的非就业、性别规范和夫妻分离风险。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2023-10-02 DOI: 10.1332/17579597Y2023D000000001
Kathrin Stief

This paper examines and compares the impact of non-employment - more precisely female and male unemployment and female labour-market inactivity - on cohabiting and married couples' separation risk in eastern and western Germany. Although Germany has experienced substantial changes in the spheres of family and labour market in recent decades, differences between the former East and West Germany persist even over 30 years after reunification. Applying conditional logistic fixed-effect models to German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) data, I find the following: in western Germany, where - despite a trend towards more egalitarian gender norms - traditional gender norms still prevail, male unemployment increases couples' separation risk, whereas female labour-market inactivity reduces it. Examining change across two birth cohorts - women born in or before 1971 and women born after 1971 - I find for western Germany that the effects of male and female unemployment on couple separation appear to be converging, and the relationship-stabilising effect of female labour-market inactivity seems to be diminishing. This is in line with the trend towards egalitarian gender norms in that region. In eastern Germany, both female and male unemployment have a relationship-destabilising effect in the older birth cohort, which might reflect the more egalitarian gender norms there. However, the relationship-destabilising effect of male and female unemployment is diminishing, and can no longer be found in the younger birth cohort. Unexpectedly, for eastern German women born after 1971, labour-market inactivity is relationship-stabilising, which was not the case in the older cohort.

本文研究并比较了德国东部和西部非就业——更准确地说是女性和男性失业以及女性劳动力市场不活跃——对同居和已婚夫妇分居风险的影响。尽管近几十年来,德国在家庭和劳动力市场领域发生了重大变化,但前东德和西德之间的差异在统一后的30多年里仍然存在。将条件逻辑固定效应模型应用于德国社会经济小组(SOEP)的数据,我发现如下:在德国西部,尽管性别规范趋于平等,但传统的性别规范仍然盛行,男性失业增加了夫妇的分离风险,而女性劳动力市场不活跃则降低了分离风险。通过研究两个出生群体的变化——1971年或之前出生的女性和1971年之后出生的女性——我发现,在德国西部,男性和女性失业对夫妻分离的影响似乎在趋同,女性劳动力市场不活跃对关系稳定的影响似乎正在减弱。这符合该地区实现平等性别规范的趋势。在德国东部,女性和男性失业都会对年龄较大的出生群体产生关系不稳定的影响,这可能反映出那里更平等的性别规范。然而,男性和女性失业对关系不稳定的影响正在减弱,在年轻出生的人群中再也找不到这种影响了。出乎意料的是,对于1971年后出生的东德女性来说,劳动力市场的不活跃正在稳定关系,而老年人的情况并非如此。
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引用次数: 0
The career history of Chinese entrepreneurs and their life outcomes: a life history study using sequence analysis 中国企业家的职业史及其人生结局——基于序列分析的人生史研究
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2023-08-14 DOI: 10.1332/175795921x16889785709088
Skylar Biyang Sun, Lei Jin, Xiaohang Zhao
Chinese entrepreneurs, whose population has been steadily growing since the Reform and Open Up in 1978, are a diverse group of people. Though previous research has analysed Chinese entrepreneurs by special cases, few have conducted a nationally representative study of their typology. And even fewer have analysed the life outcomes of the different types of entrepreneurs. Relying on two waves of the panel data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and with the technique of sequence analysis, for the first time, we explored the heterogeneous career trajectories of Chinese entrepreneurs and their corresponding life outcomes. We successfully depicted four unique entrepreneurial trajectories in China since the 1950s, which are necessity entrepreneurs, employee entrepreneurs, persistent entrepreneurs and farmer entrepreneurs. Our empirical results can support both the cumulative disadvantage theory and the set-point theory in health-related studies. Among all the entrepreneurs, farmer entrepreneurs have the worst self-rated health in the long run, which supports the cumulative disadvantage theory. At the same time, all types of entrepreneurs have similar depressive symptoms and economic returns, which supports the set-point theory.
自1978年改革开放以来,中国企业家是一个多元化的群体,其人口一直在稳步增长。尽管之前的研究通过特殊案例分析了中国企业家,但很少有人对他们的类型进行具有全国代表性的研究。更少的人分析了不同类型企业家的生活结果。基于中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS)的两波面板数据,运用序列分析技术,我们首次探索了中国企业家的异质性职业轨迹及其相应的生活结果。我们成功地描绘了20世纪50年代以来中国四种独特的创业轨迹,即必需品企业家、雇员企业家、坚持不懈的企业家和农民企业家。我们的实证结果可以支持健康相关研究中的累积劣势理论和设定点理论。在所有企业家中,从长远来看,农民企业家的自我评价健康状况最差,这支持了累积劣势理论。同时,所有类型的企业家都有相似的抑郁症状和经济回报,这支持了设定点理论。
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引用次数: 0
The life course – not a straight line! 人生历程——不是一条直线!
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1332/175795921x16838903410579
E. Cooksey
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引用次数: 0
Association of white blood cell count-to-mean platelet volume ratio with the risk of fatal stroke occurrence in older Chinese 中国老年人白细胞计数与平均血小板体积比与致命性脑卒中发生风险的相关性
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2023-05-24 DOI: 10.1332/175795921x16829403140033
Zhi-bing Hu, Ze-xiong Lu, Ying-Juan Chen, T. Zhu, Y. Jin, J. Pan, Qiong Zhong, Jun-xiao Li, F. Zhu
White blood cell (WBC) and mean platelet volume (MPV) counts are related to stroke events, but relationship between their combined indicator (WBC count-to-MPV count ratio (WMR)) and the risk of fatal stroke occurrence is unclear so far. In this retrospective analysis, we enrolled 27,163 participants aged 50 years or older without a stroke history in the Guangzhou Biobank Cohort Study. After a mean follow-up time of 15.0 (SD = 2.2) years with 389,242 person-years, 816 stroke (401 ischaemic, 259 haemorrhagic and 156 unclassified) deaths were recorded. Cox’s proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and the 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Compared with those in the lowest quartile, participants with the highest WMR had different risks for fatal all stroke and fatal ischaemic stroke, respectively, although an increased risk for fatal ischaemic stroke was observed among participants in the fourth WMR quartile and further hs-CRP adjustment; those in the WMR change with 10% increase had a 36% increased risk of fatal all stroke and a 79% increased risk of fatal haemorrhagic stroke, compared to those in a stable (the WMR change between −10% and 10%). Our findings suggest that higher WMR and its longitudinal change were associated with an increased risk of fatal stroke occurrence in middle-aged to older Chinese; it may be a potential indicator for the future fatal stroke occurrence in relatively healthy elderly populations.
白细胞(WBC)和平均血小板体积(MPV)计数与中风事件有关,但它们的综合指标(WBC计数与MPV计数比(WMR))与致命中风发生风险之间的关系目前尚不清楚。在这项回顾性分析中,我们在广州生物库队列研究中招募了27163名50岁或50岁以上没有中风史的参与者。在平均随访15.0年(SD=2.2),389242人年后,记录了816例中风(401例缺血性,259例出血,156例未分类)死亡。Cox比例风险回归用于估计风险比(HR)和95%置信区间(CI)。与最低四分位数的参与者相比,WMR最高的参与者分别有不同的致命性全脑卒中和致命性缺血性卒中的风险,尽管在第四个WMR四分位数和进一步的hs-CRP调整中观察到致命性缺血性中风的风险增加;与稳定期(WMR变化在-10%-10%之间)相比,WMR变化10%的患者发生致命性全脑卒中的风险增加36%,发生致命性出血性卒中的风险提高79%。我们的研究结果表明,在中老年中国人中,较高的WMR及其纵向变化与致命中风发生风险增加有关;在相对健康的老年人群中,它可能是未来致命中风发生的潜在指标。
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引用次数: 0
The school-to-work transition for young people who experience custody 经历监护权的年轻人从学校到工作的过渡
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2023-01-27 DOI: 10.1332/175795921x16726787156855
Alex Bowyer, R. Dorsett, D. Thomson
We use individual-level population data to characterise the pathways followed by young people in England who experience custody. We identify a typology of pathways up to age 18 and a separate typology covering ages 19–22. Our results confirm the generally poor prospects among this group, showing 80% to be firmly established as not in employment, education or training (NEET) by age 22. Despite the high level of deprivation in the population considered, prospects are still found to vary with specific markers of disadvantage. Managing to avoid NEET when 16–18 is an important part of the strategy for avoiding NEET when older. This suggests the importance of policy interventions aimed at re-engagement of those who experience custody as a young person.
我们使用个人层面的人口数据来描述英国经历监护权的年轻人所遵循的途径。我们确定了18岁之前的途径类型学和19-22岁之间的单独类型学。我们的研究结果证实了这一群体普遍前景不佳,80%的人在22岁之前就已经确定没有就业、教育或培训(啃老族)。尽管所考虑的人口贫困程度很高,但前景仍因具体的不利标志而异。在16-18岁时设法避免啃老族是避免老年啃老族策略的重要组成部分。这表明政策干预的重要性,旨在重新参与那些经历过拘留的年轻人。
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引用次数: 1
Charting well-being over adulthood into pandemic times: a longitudinal perspective 在大流行时期绘制成年期福祉图表:纵向视角
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1332/175795921x16715373405417
Janine Jongbloed, L. Andres
The purpose of this study is to investigate how well-being changes over the adult life course from early adulthood in 1998 through to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021. We identify diverse well-being trajectories over time in a cohort of British Columbians and explore the extent to which changes in well-being associated with the pandemic varied for individuals in these different trajectory groups. Specifically, we ask: what was the effect of the pandemic on the well-being of individuals with different prior well-being trajectories over adulthood and how were these effects related to personal, educational and employment factors? To address this question, we model well-being trajectories over a large span of adulthood from the age of 28 to 51 years old. We find a diversity of distinct patterns in well-being changes over adulthood. The majority experience high well-being over time, while almost one in five experiences either chronically low or drastically decreased well-being in mid-adulthood, which coincides with the pandemic. Notably, those who have completed post-secondary education are less likely to report low well-being trajectories. Those with the lowest well-being over time also report the largest negative effects of the pandemic, which illustrates the compounding effects of the pandemic on existing inequalities.
本研究的目的是调查从1998年成年早期到2021年新冠肺炎大流行,幸福感在成年生活过程中的变化。我们在一组不列颠哥伦比亚人中确定了不同的幸福感轨迹,并探讨了这些不同轨迹组中个体与疫情相关的幸福感变化的程度。具体来说,我们要问:疫情对成年后有不同幸福轨迹的人的幸福感有什么影响,这些影响与个人、教育和就业因素有何关系?为了解决这个问题,我们对从28岁到51岁的成年期的幸福轨迹进行了建模。我们发现,成年后幸福感的变化模式多种多样。随着时间的推移,大多数人的幸福感很高,而几乎五分之一的人在成年中期的幸福感长期较低或急剧下降,这与疫情相吻合。值得注意的是,那些完成了中学后教育的人不太可能报告幸福感低下的轨迹。随着时间的推移,那些幸福感最低的人也报告了疫情的最大负面影响,这说明了疫情对现有不平等的复合影响。
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引用次数: 1
Diversity of employment biographies and prospects of middle-aged welfare recipients 中年福利受助人的就业履历和前景的多样性
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2022-11-15 DOI: 10.1332/175795921x16643819920960
Cordula Zabel
Employment re-entry opportunities decrease with age. For middle-aged welfare benefit recipients, employment obstacles connected to age exacerbate further disadvantages connected to welfare receipt. At the same time, there is considerable diversity in middle-aged welfare benefit recipients’ long-term employment trajectories, which has thus far received little attention. Policies aim to increase labour market participation at higher ages. To this end, it is important to understand specific difficulties and to be realistic when formulating goals for people with very diverse types of employment histories. Using large-scale register data, this paper’s focus is on a cohort aged 45–54 in August 2012 in Germany. Sequence analysis aids in identifying characteristics relevant to employment histories over the past 19 years, from January 1993 to July 2012. Subsequent employment outcomes over the time span September 2012 to December 2018 are investigated, differentiating between jobs of different quality, and effects of training programmes on these outcomes are analysed using entropy balancing methods. Findings are that middle-aged welfare recipients’ employment biographies are very diverse, ranging from very little employment experience, over long histories of intermittent employment, to long continuous employment histories. Employment history attributes significantly affect employment prospects. The analyses further show that it is not too late to invest in skills, independent of employment history type.
就业机会随着年龄的增长而减少。对于中年福利金领取者来说,与年龄相关的就业障碍进一步加剧了与福利领取相关的不利因素。与此同时,中年福利金领取者的长期就业轨迹存在相当大的多样性,迄今为止很少受到关注。政策旨在提高劳动力市场在较高年龄段的参与度。为此,重要的是要了解具体的困难,并在为具有不同类型就业史的人制定目标时实事求是。利用大规模的登记数据,本文的重点是2012年8月德国45-54岁的人群。序列分析有助于识别与1993年1月至2012年7月的过去19年就业历史相关的特征。调查了2012年9月至2018年12月期间的后续就业结果,区分了不同质量的工作,并使用熵平衡方法分析了培训计划对这些结果的影响。研究结果表明,中年福利领取者的就业经历非常多样化,从很少的就业经历、长期的间歇性就业史到长期的连续就业史。就业历史属性显著影响就业前景。分析进一步表明,投资技能还为时不晚,与就业历史类型无关。
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引用次数: 1
A narrative review of teen mothers’ long-term outcomes: what birth cohort studies tell us 青少年母亲长期结果的叙述性综述:出生队列研究告诉我们的
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2022-10-27 DOI: 10.1332/175795921x16643247963616
L. SmithBattle, L. Flick
Studies examining the relationship between young maternal age and maternal outcomes are often cross-sectional or short term. We review birth cohort studies that investigate life course outcomes of teen mothers past age 25. Strengths of birth cohort studies include a focus on a complete cohort, rather than a sample, and prospective data collection beginning before or at birth. Limitations are high cost, attrition and unmeasured background factors. Some 20 studies from six countries met study criteria. This narrative review describes how teenage mothers fare as adults, identifies factors that modify outcomes and examines whether outcomes reflect specific time periods or cohorts.Childhood disadvantage was a greater marker of teen mothering in more recent cohorts, even in countries with strong social welfare programmes. The effects of young maternal age on all outcomes diminished when strong controls adjusted for selectivity into teen mothering.
研究年轻产妇年龄与产妇结局之间关系的研究通常是横向的或短期的。我们回顾了出生队列研究,这些研究调查了25岁以上青少年母亲的生命历程结果。出生队列研究的优势包括关注完整的队列,而不是样本,以及从出生前或出生时开始的前瞻性数据收集。局限性在于高成本、损耗和无法衡量的背景因素。来自6个国家的约20项研究符合研究标准。这篇叙述性综述描述了青少年母亲成年后的表现,确定了影响结果的因素,并考察了结果是否反映了特定的时间段或群体。在最近的群体中,即使在社会福利计划强大的国家,儿童时期的劣势也是青少年养育子女的一个更大标志。当强有力的控制措施调整了对青少年母亲的选择性时,年轻母亲年龄对所有结果的影响都会减弱。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Longitudinal and Life Course Studies
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