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Geostatistical assessment of unconfined compressive strength of rocks in Northeast Jeddah, Saudi Arabia 吉达东北地区岩石无侧限抗压强度的地质统计学评价
Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.21833/ijaas.2023.09.011
Mohammed A. M. Alghamdi
The determination of rock strength holds paramount importance in the field of engineering geology. In this study, we conduct a comprehensive geostatistical evaluation of the unconfined compressive strength (UCS) within a 100 km2 area situated in northeast Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. The UCS values were indirectly estimated using an empirical equation based on the Schmidt hammer rebound method, resulting in a range of strengths from 9.2 to 198.4 MPa. The corresponding mean UCS values vary between 60.3 to 81.7 MPa, with standard deviations ranging from 18.6 to 45.3 MPa. The analysis revealed that, among the sites examined, a specific location exhibited the highest median UCS value of 72.2 MPa, while another site recorded the lowest value of 56.2 MPa. Based on the distribution of UCS values, the study area was classified into five distinct strength categories: very low, low, medium, high, and very high. Notably, the majority of variability in UCS values was confined within the middle 50% range, as evident from the interquartile range (IQR) below 30 MPa. Additionally, certain sites displayed a tighter cluster of UCS values, while an IQR of DEFJ≥60 indicated a more widespread distribution of strength values. Furthermore, two locations were identified as representing the minimum and maximum UCS values within a 95% confidence interval. The UCS in location A was estimated at 60.25±9.14 MPa, whereas in location B, it was 81.72±8.50 MPa. These findings offer valuable insights into the rock strength characteristics of the designated area, providing essential data for engineering and geotechnical applications.
岩石强度的确定在工程地质领域具有极其重要的意义。在这项研究中,我们对位于沙特阿拉伯吉达东北部100平方公里区域内的无侧限抗压强度(UCS)进行了全面的地质统计学评估。利用基于Schmidt hammer回弹法的经验方程间接估算了UCS值,得到强度范围为9.2 ~ 198.4 MPa。相应的平均UCS值在60.3 ~ 81.7 MPa之间,标准差在18.6 ~ 45.3 MPa之间。分析显示,在所调查的地点中,特定地点的平均UCS值最高,为72.2 MPa,而另一个地点的平均UCS值最低,为56.2 MPa。根据UCS值的分布,将研究区划分为5个不同的强度类别:极低、低、中、高和极高。值得注意的是,UCS值的大部分变异性被限制在中间的50%范围内,这从低于30 MPa的四分位数范围(IQR)中可以看出。此外,某些地点显示出更紧密的UCS值集群,而DEFJ≥60的IQR表明强度值分布更广泛。此外,在95%置信区间内,确定了两个位置代表最小和最大UCS值。A位置的UCS为60.25±9.14 MPa, B位置的UCS为81.72±8.50 MPa。这些发现对指定区域的岩石强度特性提供了有价值的见解,为工程和岩土应用提供了重要的数据。
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引用次数: 0
Adoption of blockchain as an open accounting information system in Vietnam: A triple-entry accounting approach 在越南采用区块链作为开放的会计信息系统:一种三重记帐方法
Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.21833/ijaas.2023.09.022
Ha Thi Thu Hoang, Linh Ha Nguyen, Dung Thuy Dinh
Blockchain technology has emerged as an indispensable force driving economic development across various sectors in Vietnam. However, prior research in the realm of blockchain technology has predominantly focused on areas such as logistics, journalism, and banking, neglecting the pivotal domains of accounting and auditing. Recognizing this theoretical gap and the significant role played by accounting and auditing in economic systems, this paper endeavors to augment our understanding of blockchain technology through the lens of a novel "triple-entry accounting method." Additionally, it seeks to assess the level of acceptance of this potentially transformative innovation within the Vietnamese business landscape. Blockchain, renowned for its decentralized architecture and distributed data system, represents a fundamental departure from conventional accounting practices. It functions as an open accounting information system, wherein data is distributed among multiple computers with identical copies, devoid of central administration but validated by a network of participants. Drawing upon responses from a sample of 225 participants and employing statistical analysis with SPSS, this study investigates attitudes and intentions regarding the adoption of blockchain technology in the field of accounting in Vietnam. The results of this analysis reveal a positive correlation between four variables-perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, comparability, and complexity-and the attitude toward blockchain application, further positively influencing the intention to use it. However, the variable of Perceived Risk does not exhibit statistical significance. These findings underscore the necessity of establishing intelligent accounting procedures through blockchain adoption and underscore the importance of understanding factors influencing attitudes and intentions to enhance the widespread acceptance of this innovation in the Vietnamese business context.
区块链技术已成为推动越南各个部门经济发展的不可或缺的力量。然而,之前对区块链技术领域的研究主要集中在物流、新闻和银行等领域,而忽视了会计和审计等关键领域。认识到这一理论差距以及会计和审计在经济系统中发挥的重要作用,本文试图通过一种新颖的“三重会计方法”来增强我们对区块链技术的理解。此外,它还试图评估越南商业环境对这种潜在变革性创新的接受程度。区块链以其分散的架构和分布式数据系统而闻名,代表着与传统会计实践的根本背离。它的功能是作为一个开放的会计信息系统,其中数据分布在具有相同副本的多台计算机之间,没有中央管理,但由参与者网络验证。根据225名参与者的回答,并使用SPSS进行统计分析,本研究调查了越南会计领域采用区块链技术的态度和意图。分析结果显示,感知有用性、感知易用性、可比性和复杂性这四个变量与对区块链应用的态度之间存在正相关关系,从而进一步积极影响使用区块链的意愿。感知风险变量不具有统计学意义。这些发现强调了通过采用区块链建立智能会计程序的必要性,并强调了了解影响态度和意图的因素的重要性,以增强越南商业环境中对这一创新的广泛接受。
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引用次数: 0
The mediating effect of resilience on the relationship between perceived organizational support and innovative work behavior 弹性在组织支持感与创新工作行为关系中的中介作用
Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.21833/ijaas.2023.09.006
Woranaree Jaingam, Khahan Na-Nan
In today's dynamic and competitive business landscape, innovation plays a pivotal role in driving organizational success. Central to this process is the concept of innovative work behavior (IWB), which holds significant importance in generating and implementing novel ideas, processes, and products. Extensive research has consistently underscored a positive association between innovation and IWB. Two key factors influencing IWB are perceived organizational support (POS) and resilience (RES). POS encompasses employees' perceptions of the organization's support and care, while RES reflects their capacity to adapt and recover in the face of challenges. This study delves into the interconnections among perceived organizational support, resilience, and IWB, with a specific focus on investigating the mediating role of resilience. To unravel these relationships, a comprehensive survey was conducted, involving 355 support staff members at Rajamangala University of Technology in Thailand. Utilizing the Process macro for SPSS, the gathered data was meticulously analyzed. The results shed light on positive correlations between perceived organizational support, resilience, and IWB. Furthermore, the study successfully highlights the significant mediating effect of resilience in the relationship between perceived organizational support and IWB. The contributions of this research are twofold: firstly, it emphasizes the pivotal role of resilience as a mediator among support staff within a university setting. Secondly, the findings underscore the importance of cultivating supportive and resilient work environments to foster and encourage IWB among employees. However, while this study provides valuable insights, it is essential to expand the scope of research in the future. Exploring various employee types and organizations would enhance the wider applicability of the conclusions drawn here. In conclusion, this investigation provides a deeper understanding of the intricate connections between perceived organizational support, resilience, and innovative work behavior. It underscores the importance of building supportive and resilient workplace cultures, which can serve as catalysts for driving innovation and organizational success.
在当今充满活力和竞争的商业环境中,创新在推动组织成功方面发挥着关键作用。这个过程的核心是创新工作行为(IWB)的概念,它在产生和实现新的想法、过程和产品方面具有重要意义。广泛的研究一直强调创新与IWB之间的积极联系。影响IWB的两个关键因素是感知组织支持(POS)和弹性(RES)。POS包含了员工对组织支持和关怀的看法,而RES则反映了他们在面对挑战时适应和恢复的能力。本研究探讨了组织支持感、组织弹性和员工敬业度三者之间的关系,重点考察了组织弹性的中介作用。为了弄清这些关系,对泰国拉贾曼加拉理工大学的355名后勤人员进行了一项全面调查。利用SPSS的Process宏,对收集到的数据进行了细致的分析。结果揭示了感知组织支持、弹性和IWB之间的正相关关系。此外,本研究成功地强调了弹性在组织支持感知与IWB关系中的显著中介作用。本研究的贡献是双重的:首先,它强调了弹性作为大学环境中支持人员之间的中介的关键作用。其次,研究结果强调了培养支持性和弹性工作环境对培养和鼓励员工的IWB的重要性。然而,尽管本研究提供了有价值的见解,但在未来扩大研究范围至关重要。探索不同的员工类型和组织将增强这里得出的结论的更广泛的适用性。总之,本研究对感知组织支持、弹性和创新工作行为之间的复杂联系提供了更深入的理解。它强调了建立支持性和弹性的工作场所文化的重要性,这种文化可以作为推动创新和组织成功的催化剂。
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引用次数: 0
The influence of nursing leaders' behavior on nurses' job satisfaction: A quantitative study in Hail, Saudi Arabia 护理领导行为对护士工作满意度的影响:沙特阿拉伯海尔的定量研究
Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.21833/ijaas.2023.09.012
Nashi Al Reshidi, Noof Shanan, Michelle Garcia, Anfal Saleh, Tagreed Dali, Ahlam Musbet
This cross-sectional quantitative study investigates the intricate relationships between the demographic characteristics of nurses and their perceptions of leader behavior and job satisfaction within the healthcare context of Hail, Saudi Arabia. The primary aim is to establish the pertinence of nursing leaders' behaviors in shaping the perceptions and job satisfaction levels of nursing professionals. A sample of 716 nurses was selected using a simple random sampling method, with participants completing questionnaires administered through online software. Two validated instruments were employed: the 19-item Leadership Behavior Description Questionnaire (LBDQ), exhibiting excellent reliability (Cronbach's alpha of 0.955), and the 20-item Minnesota Satisfaction Questionnaire (MSQ), also demonstrating excellent reliability (Cronbach's alpha of 0.968). Results indicate a moderate level of job satisfaction with a significant association observed with respect to age. However, nurses' perceptions of nursing leaders' behaviors did not exhibit significant variations concerning age, education, or experience. Similarly, no substantial correlations were found between job satisfaction, experience, and education. These findings align with previous studies, emphasizing that job satisfaction is primarily contingent on a supportive work environment rather than organizational structure or nursing care delivery models. Consequently, the behavior of leaders towards their staff emerges as a crucial determinant of staff satisfaction, offering a substantial solution for staff retention and fostering a positive work culture. Such improvements can enhance staff competence, skills, and overall quality, ultimately ensuring the provision of safe patient care.
本横断面定量研究调查了错综复杂的关系,护士的人口特征和他们的领导行为和工作满意度的看法,在沙特阿拉伯冰雹医疗保健的背景下。主要目的是建立护理领导的行为在塑造护理专业人员的看法和工作满意度水平的针对性。采用简单随机抽样的方法,选取716名护士,通过在线软件完成问卷调查。本研究采用两种验证工具:包含19个项目的领导行为描述问卷(LBDQ)具有优异的信度(Cronbach’s alpha为0.955),以及包含20个项目的明尼苏达满意度问卷(MSQ)具有优异的信度(Cronbach’s alpha为0.968)。结果表明,中等水平的工作满意度与年龄有显著的关联。然而,护士对护理领导行为的看法在年龄、教育或经验方面没有显着变化。同样,在工作满意度、工作经验和教育程度之间也没有发现实质性的相关性。这些发现与之前的研究一致,强调工作满意度主要取决于支持性的工作环境,而不是组织结构或护理提供模式。因此,领导者对员工的行为成为员工满意度的关键决定因素,为员工保留和培养积极的工作文化提供了实质性的解决方案。这种改进可以提高工作人员的能力、技能和整体质量,最终确保提供安全的患者护理。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating sustainability impact into disaster resource management: A structural model for the United Arab Emirates 将可持续性影响纳入灾害资源管理:阿拉伯联合酋长国的结构模式
Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.21833/ijaas.2023.09.002
Ali Ahmed Al-Hammadi, Wan Hasrulnizzam Wan Mahmood
This study endeavors to formulate a comprehensive structural model of disaster resources management that incorporates sustainability impact within the context of the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Given the UAE's vulnerability to diverse natural and man-made disasters, there arises a pressing need for effective disaster management strategies that embrace sustainability principles. To address this need, the research employs Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) and involves 152 stakeholders as respondents. The investigation adopts a multi-faceted approach, combining a thorough literature review, insightful case study analysis, and interviews with key stakeholders engaged in disaster management across the UAE. The study successfully identifies crucial factors that contribute to the efficacy of disaster resources management and its sustainability impact, while also recognizing the barriers and challenges that hinder the implementation of such strategies. The resulting structural model serves as a comprehensive framework for the seamless integration of sustainability considerations into disaster resources management within the UAE. Envisioned through a systems thinking approach, the model thoughtfully addresses the interconnectivity of various factors and the potential trade-offs between immediate emergency response and long-term sustainability objectives. The findings of this research contribute significantly to the field of knowledge concerning disaster resources management and sustainability impact, particularly in the unique context of the UAE. Furthermore, the model developed in this study holds practical implications for policymakers and practitioners involved in disaster management in the UAE, offering them a valuable blueprint for formulating effective and sustainable disaster management strategies.
本研究试图在阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE)的背景下建立一个综合的灾害资源管理结构模型,该模型包含可持续性影响。鉴于阿联酋易受各种自然灾害和人为灾害的影响,迫切需要采用可持续性原则的有效灾害管理战略。为了解决这一需求,本研究采用偏最小二乘结构方程模型(PLS-SEM),并涉及152名利益相关者作为受访者。调查采用了多方面的方法,结合了全面的文献综述,有见地的案例研究分析,并与阿联酋从事灾害管理的主要利益相关者进行了访谈。这项研究成功地确定了有助于灾害资源管理效率及其可持续性影响的关键因素,同时也认识到阻碍执行这种战略的障碍和挑战。由此产生的结构模型作为一个综合框架,将可持续性考虑因素无缝整合到阿联酋的灾害资源管理中。通过系统思维方法,该模型深思熟虑地解决了各种因素之间的相互联系,以及即时应急响应和长期可持续性目标之间的潜在权衡。这项研究的结果对灾害资源管理和可持续性影响的知识领域做出了重大贡献,特别是在阿联酋的独特背景下。此外,本研究中开发的模型对阿联酋参与灾害管理的决策者和从业者具有实际意义,为他们制定有效和可持续的灾害管理战略提供了宝贵的蓝图。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of gender sensitivity on attitudes toward marriage and childbirth among university students in South Korea 性别敏感性对韩国大学生婚姻和生育态度的影响
Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.21833/ijaas.2023.09.017
Jae Hee Kim
This research delves into the intricate domain of gender sensitivity, a cognitive process rooted in the awareness of gender equality and the ability to actively endorse and practice it. The study focuses on a cohort of university students on the brink of marriageable and childbearing age, aiming to scrutinize the potential influence of gender sensitivity on their attitudes towards marriage and childbirth. Employing a convenience sampling method, 196 students spanning from first to fourth-year were enlisted as participants. Data were collected through online surveys conducted between April 5 and April 12, 2022. Our findings illuminate that male participants harbor a more affirmative disposition towards both marriage and childbirth compared to their female counterparts. Moreover, a significant positive correlation surfaces between attitudes towards marriage and childbirth. Intriguingly, the study exposes a notable inverse relationship between gender sensitivity and attitudes towards marriage (β = -.49, t = -7.13, p < 0.001) as well as childbirth (β = -.44, t = -6.45, p < 0.001). In light of these revelations, the study underscores the paramount importance of integrating gender sensitivity into strategies aimed at enhancing university students' perspectives on marriage and childbirth. Moreover, it advocates for a policy-oriented approach to ameliorate gender inequality on a societal scale. The study's profound significance lies in its revelation that, in a society lacking in gender sensitivity, the prevalence of marriages and fertility rates may exhibit a negative correlation with gender sensitivity. This underscores the imperative need for sustained governmental efforts to augment gender sensitivity.
这项研究深入研究了性别敏感的复杂领域,这是一个植根于性别平等意识和积极支持和实践性别平等能力的认知过程。这项研究的重点是一群处于适婚和生育年龄边缘的大学生,旨在仔细研究性别敏感性对他们对婚姻和生育态度的潜在影响。采用方便抽样的方法,从一年级到四年级的196名学生被招募为参与者。这些数据是在2022年4月5日至4月12日期间通过在线调查收集的。我们的研究结果表明,与女性相比,男性参与者对婚姻和生育都有更积极的态度。此外,对婚姻的态度与生育之间存在显著的正相关。有趣的是,该研究揭示了性别敏感性和婚姻态度之间显著的负相关关系(β = -)。49, t = -7.13, p <0.001)以及分娩(β = -。44, t = -6.45, p <0.001)。鉴于这些发现,该研究强调了将性别敏感性纳入旨在提高大学生对婚姻和生育观点的策略的至关重要。此外,它提倡采取政策导向的办法,在社会层面上改善性别不平等。该研究的深刻意义在于它揭示了在缺乏性别敏感性的社会中,结婚率和生育率可能与性别敏感性呈负相关关系。这突出表明政府必须持续努力提高对性别问题的敏感性。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating the crowdfunding landscape for women entrepreneurs in India: Opportunities and barriers 引导印度女性企业家的众筹前景:机遇与障碍
Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.21833/ijaas.2023.09.009
G. K. Seeboli, G. P. Girish, B. Aruna, S. Geetha
The proliferation of advanced technologies has ushered in diverse and accessible fundraising avenues for entrepreneurs, profoundly influencing the burgeoning startup landscape in India. Among these innovative fundraising mechanisms, crowdfunding has emerged as a prominent platform with the potential to alleviate funding challenges and catalyze the Indian startup revolution. This research endeavors to discern disparities between male and female entrepreneurs concerning their fundraising attitudes, crowdfinancing method preferences, and perceptions of crowdfinancing's viability as a funding mechanism. Our study encompasses a sample of Indian entrepreneurs with basic knowledge of various crowdfunding options, comprising a dataset of approximately 300 respondents. Of this sample, 224 are Indian entrepreneurs, with 116 being female entrepreneurs. Hypothesis testing, employing Chi-square and Discriminant Analysis, was conducted to assess gender-based distinctions. Our findings reveal that female entrepreneurs exhibit a stronger inclination toward specific funding methods compared to their male counterparts. Additionally, our study elucidates the aspects of crowdfinancing that women entrepreneurs view favorably, suggesting a greater affinity for crowdfinancing among female entrepreneurs. This research sheds light on gender-related nuances in fundraising attitudes and preferences, offering valuable insights into the dynamics of entrepreneurship and funding strategies in the Indian context.
先进技术的扩散为企业家带来了多样化和便捷的融资渠道,深刻影响了印度蓬勃发展的初创企业格局。在这些创新的融资机制中,众筹已经成为一个突出的平台,它有可能缓解融资挑战,并催化印度的创业革命。本研究旨在揭示男女企业家在融资态度、众筹方式偏好以及对众筹作为融资机制可行性的认知方面的差异。我们的研究涵盖了对各种众筹方案具有基本知识的印度企业家样本,包括大约300名受访者的数据集。在这个样本中,224名是印度企业家,116名是女性企业家。采用卡方分析和判别分析进行假设检验,评估基于性别的差异。我们的研究结果显示,与男性企业家相比,女性企业家对特定的融资方式表现出更强的倾向。此外,我们的研究还阐明了女性企业家对众筹的青睐,表明女性企业家对众筹有更大的亲和力。这项研究揭示了筹资态度和偏好中与性别相关的细微差别,为了解印度背景下创业和融资策略的动态提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Does mental health really matter? The dynamics of emotion and organizational behavior 心理健康真的重要吗?情绪和组织行为的动力学
Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.21833/ijaas.2023.09.013
Aarthi Chandrasantha Singh, Mohanraj Bhuvaneswari
This research investigates the intricate relationship between mental health and workplace behaviors, specifically focusing on organizational citizenship behavior (OCB) and counterproductive work behavior (CWB). OCB and CWB are recognized as significant components of organizational behavior, with employees displaying these behaviors when they experience either job satisfaction or perceived threats. However, the factors influencing the choice of these behaviors remain elusive. This study contends that emotional states, shaped by the complex interplay of individual mental health, organizational climate, and culture, play a pivotal role in determining an employee's propensity to engage in OCB or CWB. Anxiety, stress, and depression are natural emotional responses to workplace situations, and they can both trigger and be triggered by OCB and CWB. This article aims to comprehensively investigate the impact of these emotional states on OCB and CWB behaviors. Furthermore, it explores the application of the conservation of resources (COR) theory in understanding these dynamics. The article underscores the necessity for further research in this area to enhance our comprehension of the intricate relationships among mental health, emotions, and workplace behaviors. This study contributes to the growing body of knowledge at the intersection of psychology and organizational behavior.
本研究探讨了心理健康与工作场所行为之间的复杂关系,特别关注组织公民行为(OCB)和反生产行为(CWB)。组织公民行为和员工行为被认为是组织行为的重要组成部分,当员工经历工作满意度或感知威胁时,他们会表现出这些行为。然而,影响这些行为选择的因素仍然难以捉摸。本研究认为,情绪状态是个体心理健康、组织氛围和文化复杂相互作用的结果,在决定员工从事组织外行为或组织外行为的倾向中起着关键作用。焦虑、压力和抑郁是对工作环境的自然情绪反应,它们既可以触发也可以被OCB和CWB触发。本文旨在全面探讨这些情绪状态对组织外行为和组织外行为的影响。此外,它还探讨了资源守恒(COR)理论在理解这些动态中的应用。这篇文章强调了在这一领域进行进一步研究的必要性,以增强我们对心理健康、情绪和工作场所行为之间复杂关系的理解。这项研究为心理学和组织行为学交叉领域不断增长的知识体系做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting the influx of crime cases using seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model 利用季节自回归综合移动平均模型预测犯罪案件流入
IF 0.5 Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.21833/ijaas.2023.08.018
Cristine V. Redoblo, Jose Leo G. Redoblo, Rene A. Salmingo, Charwin M. Padilla, Jan Carlo T. Arroyo
Crime constitutes a profound challenge to the societal fabric of a nation and often finds its roots in factors such as avarice, destitution, and economic adversity. This study endeavors to proactively address the issue of crime through the employment of a crime forecasting model, aimed at uncovering latent correlations and underlying patterns. Specifically, it employs the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model to project the future incidence of criminal cases. The research objectives encompass forecasting crime case numbers through time series analysis, appraising the statistical significance of monthly crime occurrences, and assessing the crime dataset utilizing the MATLAB Econometric Modeler. Leveraging historical crime data spanning from January 2018 to December 2021, sourced from nineteen municipalities in Negros Occidental, Philippines, forms the basis for crime case forecasting. An autoregressive test is applied to ascertain the acceptable confidence interval and goodness of fit for crime occurrences. Furthermore, MATLAB Econometric Modeler employs the Ljung-Box test to differentiate between stationary and non-stationary time series and residual crime cases. Notably, the study reveals a significant cyclic pattern in crime cases occurring every 20 months, underscoring the imperative for targeted crime prevention interventions. This study underscores the necessity for consistent and robust law enforcement measures by local government units across the nineteen municipalities in Negros Occidental, focusing on the five identified categories of criminal cases. It is recommended that these measures be implemented diligently to mitigate crime occurrences in the subsequent twenty-first month. Moreover, the study holds potential for extension to regions grappling with elevated crime rates due to inadequate control strategies in place.
犯罪对一个国家的社会结构构成了深刻的挑战,其根源往往是贪婪、贫困和经济困境等因素。本研究试图通过使用犯罪预测模型来主动解决犯罪问题,旨在揭示潜在的相关性和潜在的模式。具体而言,它采用季节自回归综合移动平均(SARIMA)模型来预测未来的刑事案件发生率。研究目标包括通过时间序列分析预测犯罪案件数量,评估每月犯罪事件的统计显著性,以及利用MATLAB计量经济模型评估犯罪数据集。利用2018年1月至2021年12月来自菲律宾西内格罗州19个城市的历史犯罪数据,形成了犯罪案件预测的基础。采用自回归检验来确定犯罪发生的可接受置信区间和拟合优度。此外,MATLAB Econometric Modeler采用Ljung-Box检验来区分平稳和非平稳时间序列以及残留犯罪案件。值得注意的是,该研究揭示了每20个月发生一次的犯罪案件的显著循环模式,强调了有针对性的预防犯罪干预的必要性。本研究强调了西内格罗州19个城市的地方政府单位采取一致和强有力的执法措施的必要性,重点关注已确定的五类刑事案件。建议认真执行这些措施,以便在接下来的第21个月减少犯罪事件。此外,这项研究有可能推广到由于控制策略不足而导致犯罪率上升的地区。
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引用次数: 0
Macroeconomic factors and trade balance: An analysis of Vietnam's relations with RCEP countries 宏观经济因素与贸易平衡:越南与RCEP国家关系分析
IF 0.5 Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.21833/ijaas.2023.08.011
Thi Anh Tuyet Le
This study conducts a comprehensive analysis of the impact of macroeconomic factors on Vietnam's trade balance with the member countries of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) during the period from 2002 to 2021. Grounded in established trade theories and a comprehensive review of pertinent literature on inter-country trade balances, the investigation identifies the pivotal determinants influencing trade balances between Vietnam and RCEP nations. These determinants encompass key elements such as tariffs (TRF), foreign direct investment (FDI), gross domestic product (GDP), geographic distance (DIS), exchange rate (EXC), and the trade openness of individual economies (OPEN). The research outcomes substantiate parallels with previous studies, indicating that reducing tariffs, enhancing trade openness, augmenting GDP, and attracting higher foreign direct investment within RCEP member nations yield constructive effects on Vietnam's long-term trade balance. Conversely, in the short term, impediments like exchange rate fluctuations (EXC), geographic distance (DIS), and GDP disparities emerge as challenges to refining Vietnam's trade balance with RCEP countries. Accordingly, this article proffers pragmatic policy recommendations aimed at advancing Vietnam's trade equilibrium with RCEP countries. Proposed measures include facilitating business comprehension of tax regulations within RCEP, elevating the investment milieu to entice capital from developed RCEP economies, and executing trade promotion initiatives to facilitate market access for businesses across RCEP jurisdictions.
本研究全面分析了2002年至2021年期间宏观经济因素对越南与区域全面经济伙伴关系(RCEP)成员国贸易平衡的影响。本调查以已有的贸易理论为基础,全面回顾了有关国家间贸易平衡的相关文献,确定了影响越南与RCEP国家之间贸易平衡的关键决定因素。这些决定因素包括关税(TRF)、外国直接投资(FDI)、国内生产总值(GDP)、地理距离(DIS)、汇率(EXC)和各个经济体的贸易开放程度(OPEN)等关键因素。研究结果证实了与以往研究的相似之处,表明降低关税、提高贸易开放程度、增加国内生产总值和吸引RCEP成员国更多的外国直接投资对越南的长期贸易平衡产生了建设性影响。相反,在短期内,汇率波动(EXC)、地理距离(DIS)和GDP差距等障碍成为改善越南与RCEP国家贸易平衡的挑战。因此,本文提出了务实的政策建议,旨在促进越南与RCEP国家的贸易平衡。拟议的措施包括促进企业对RCEP内税收法规的理解,提升投资环境以吸引来自RCEP发达经济体的资本,以及执行贸易促进倡议以促进企业在RCEP管辖范围内的市场准入。
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International Journal of Advanced and Applied Sciences
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