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Solow's attempt to revive the concept of ‘social rate of return’ and Pasinetti's critique 索洛复兴 "社会收益率 "概念的尝试和帕西内蒂的批评
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12473
Heinz D. Kurz, Neri Salvadori
The paper deals with Robert Solow's attempt to revive the concept of the ‘social rate of return’ and Luigi Pasinetti's critique of it. By means of this concept Solow thought to be able to circumnavigate the capital theoretical attack on the marginalist theory by claiming that the rate of interest is an accurate measure of, and can be seen as being determined by, the ‘social rate of return’. His analysis focused on a switch‐point between two techniques, in which, alas, the rate of interest is already fixed. Pasinetti objected that, by construction, Solow established the opposite of what he thought he had done. Since in a switch‐point also the prices of capital goods are known, the ‘quantity of capital’ employed is fixed: it depends on the rate of interest and therefore cannot be taken as given independently of it and the corresponding system of prices.
本文论述了罗伯特-索洛试图恢复 "社会收益率 "概念的努力以及路易吉-帕西内蒂对这一概念的批判。通过这一概念,索洛认为可以绕过资本理论对边际主义理论的攻击,声称利率是对 "社会收益率 "的精确测量,并可视为由 "社会收益率 "决定。他的分析侧重于两种技术之间的转换点,而在这种转换点中,利率是固定不变的。帕西内蒂反对说,索洛所建立的体系与他认为自己所做的恰恰相反。由于在转换点中,资本货物的价格也是已知的,因此所使用的 "资本数量 "是固定的:它取决于利率,因此不能独立于利率和相应的价格体系而被视为既定的。
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引用次数: 0
Economic growth and Indian wealth‐income ratios in the long run: 1860–2018 经济增长与印度财富收入比的长期关系:1860-2018
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-22 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12475
Rishabh Kumar
This paper presents new series on the evolution of wealth‐income ratios in India. I construct a new macro‐history dataset, covering the period 1860–2018 and containing historical series on the composition and level of national wealth, national income, savings, investment and prices. These data show a gradual rise in India's national wealth‐to‐national income ratio (β = W/Y) since the mid‐twentieth century, with the main takeoff occurring around the end of the twentieth century. I ascribe this pattern to the steady increase in saving rates since independence which were themselves the consequence of income shifts in favor of higher saving sectors under India's mixed economy era. Prior to 1950, wealth‐income ratios fluctuated a lot on account of land prices and low economic growth. These series offer an alternative timeline of wealth concentration in the absence of long‐run distributional data. In colonial India, land was dominant in national wealth, and its ownership was concentrated. In recent decades the importance of capital and urban land—both also concentrated in ownership—has increased.
本文介绍了印度财富收入比演变的新系列。我构建了一个新的宏观历史数据集,涵盖 1860-2018 年,包含国民财富、国民收入、储蓄、投资和价格的构成和水平的历史序列。这些数据显示,自二十世纪中叶以来,印度的国民财富与国民收入之比(β = W/Y)逐渐上升,主要的飞跃发生在二十世纪末。我将这一模式归因于印度独立以来储蓄率的稳步上升,而储蓄率的上升本身就是印度混合经济时代收入向高储蓄部门转移的结果。1950 年之前,财富收入比因土地价格和低经济增长而波动很大。在缺乏长期分配数据的情况下,这些数据系列提供了另一条财富集中的时间线。在殖民时期的印度,土地在国民财富中占主导地位,其所有权也很集中。近几十年来,资本和城市土地--两者的所有权也很集中--的重要性有所增加。
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引用次数: 0
Fiscal and macroprudential policy coordination for stabilization purposes 为稳定目的协调财政和宏观审慎政策
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-11 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12471
María Malmierca-Ordoqui

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need of maintaining financial and economic stabilization to mitigate the negative effects of the health crisis. In the context of a currency area, national governments count on national fiscal and macroprudential instruments to stabilize their own economy. Through a DSGE model for a monetary union I assess the welfare implications of different macroprudential-fiscal policy combinations, that are set with stabilization purposes. The findings confirm that for a supply and a demand shock, as the ones responsible for the economic crisis of 2020, the stabilizing policy mix might deteriorate welfare. By contrast, after a financial shock, similar to that of the Great Recession, the stabilizing policy combination strategies always achieve welfare gains.

COVID-19 大流行突显了保持金融和经济稳定以减轻健康危机负面影响的必要性。在货币区的背景下,各国政府依靠国家财政和宏观审慎工具来稳定本国经济。通过货币联盟的 DSGE 模型,我评估了以稳定为目的的不同宏观审慎-财政政策组合对福利的影响。研究结果证实,对于造成 2020 年经济危机的供给和需求冲击,稳定政策组合可能会恶化福利。相比之下,在发生类似大衰退的金融冲击后,稳定政策组合策略总能实现福利收益。
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引用次数: 0
Full household equilibrium 完全家庭均衡
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12463
Arrigo Opocher, Ian Steedman

Developing ideas suggested by James Meade, Harry Johnson and Neil Laing, we argue that when one compares alternative long-period positions, as in the work-horse two commodity, two primary input model, the household's expenditure and the prices of the commodities purchased cannot be treated as independent variables. We call such a full adaptation of households to consistent price configurations ‘full household equilibrium’. It is found that, at both the household and the aggregate levels, the purchased quantity of a ‘normal’ commodity can increase when its relative price rises. This basic result is readily applied both to aspects of welfare theory and to international trade theory.

根据詹姆斯-米德(James Meade)、哈里-约翰逊(Harry Johnson)和尼尔-莱恩(Neil Laing)提出的观点,我们认为,当我们比较不同的长期状况时,如在工作马两种商品、两种主要投入模型中,家庭支出和购买商品的价格不能被视为独立变量。我们把这种家庭对一致价格配置的完全适应称为 "完全家庭均衡"。我们发现,在家庭和总体层面上,当 "正常 "商品的相对价格上升时,其购买量也会增加。这一基本结果很容易应用于福利理论和国际贸易理论的各个方面。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the regional impacts of a multi-hosting mega sport event: The case of EURO 2020 in Rome 评估多次举办大型体育赛事对地区的影响:2020 年罗马欧洲杯案例
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12465
Stefano Deriu, Claudio Socci, Giovanni Di Bartolomeo, Giuseppe Ciccarone, Ludovica Almonti

UEFA EURO 2020 is the first multi-hosting mega-event developed on the entire continent. Often, mega-events concentrated in one place have turned out to have a modest, or adverse, economic impact due to high costs. Therefore, the ex-post assessment of the local impact of the four matches played in Rome as a mega-event is an interesting case study. To this end, we use a Computable General Equilibrium model based on the Lazio regional Social Accounting Matrix. We estimate a significant Gross Domestic Product multiplier at around 1.45. Furthermore, in terms of employment, the event generates an additional net volume equivalent to 9762 full-time jobs per year.

2020 年欧洲杯是首次在整个欧洲大陆举办的大型赛事。通常情况下,集中在一个地方举办的超大型赛事由于成本高昂,对经济的影响不大,甚至会产生负面影响。因此,对在罗马举行的四场大型赛事对当地影响的事后评估是一项有趣的案例研究。为此,我们使用了基于拉齐奥地区社会核算矩阵的可计算一般均衡模型。我们估计国内生产总值乘数约为 1.45。此外,在就业方面,该活动每年产生的额外净就业量相当于 9762 个全职工作岗位。
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引用次数: 0
Is the supermultiplier stable? 超乘法器稳定吗?
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12464
Stephen Thompson

Supermultiplier models, which show how autonomous demand can drive both business cycles and long-run GDP growth, are based on a stability assumption. In this paper I look at recent efforts to justify this assumption, and argue that they are not convincing. The supermultiplier literature generally assumes that business investment reacts very slowly to changes in the state of the economy, but faster adjustment speeds are consistent with US data and can generate instability.

超级乘数模型展示了自主需求如何推动商业周期和长期国内生产总值的增长,该模型基于一个稳定性假设。在本文中,我审视了近期为证明这一假设的合理性所做的努力,并认为这些努力并不令人信服。超乘数文献一般假定商业投资对经济状况变化的反应非常缓慢,但较快的调整速度与美国的数据相符,而且会产生不稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Schumpeter and the post-Keynesian monetary theory 熊彼特与后凯恩斯主义货币理论
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12466
Giancarlo Bertocco, Andrea Kalajzić

The name of Schumpeter is not among those of the precursors of post-Keynesian monetary theory. This seems understandable when considering Schumpeter's ferocious criticism of The General Theory. However, in recent years various authors have highlighted significant points of contact between Schumpeter's monetary theory and that of Keynes and of post-Keynesians. The objective of this work is not only to indicate the similarities between Schumpeter's monetary theory and that of the post-Keynesians, but rather to show that Schumpeter's approach to money and credit allows making post-Keynesian monetary theory more solid. In particular, we will show that Schumpeter's monetary theory enables to develop an explanation of the principle of effective demand sounder than that based on the simple presence of endogenous money and on the liquidity preference theory.

后凯恩斯主义货币理论的先驱中没有熊彼特的名字。考虑到熊彼特对《通论》的猛烈抨击,这似乎是可以理解的。然而,近年来多位学者强调了熊彼特的货币理论与凯恩斯和后凯恩斯主义者的货币理论之间的重要联系点。本文的目的不仅在于指出熊彼特的货币理论与后凯恩斯主义者的货币理论之间的相似之处,更在于说明熊彼特的货币和信贷方法可以使后凯恩斯主义的货币理论更加坚实。我们将特别说明,熊彼特的货币理论能够对有效需求原则做出比简单的内生货币存在和流动性偏好理论更可靠的解释。
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引用次数: 0
Conflict fuels inflation but the tinder lies elsewhere: Eclectic structuralist thoughts in a developing economy context 冲突助长通胀,但火药却在别处:发展中经济体背景下的折衷结构主义思想
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12462
Arslan Razmi

Developing country inflation is in the headlines again. Mainstream macroeconomics typically ignores the role of conflict while non-mainstream work tends to ignore macroeconomic constraints. This paper revisits the issue employing a dependent economy framework with eclectic characteristics. Specifically, I explore the mechanisms that propagate both real and monetary sources of inflation in the presence of real wage resistance and distributional conflict. The analysis shows that the inability to pay for subsidies with taxes or bond issuance in a stylized developing economy could create a situation where a relatively small shock leads to sustained and accelerating inflation and a wage-price spiral, thanks to conflicting claims on income. Subsidies to protect consumers from external price shocks could, similarly, leave a country vulnerable to accelerating wage-price spirals as the stabilizing relative price effects of a declining foreign asset position are dampened. Distributional conflict thus plays the role of sustainer rather than the primum mobile. Price controls could, in theory, better enable inflation management if these do not result in redistribution toward spenders. Such controls, however, create other trade-offs for countries facing balance-of-payments fragility.

发展中国家的通货膨胀再次成为头条新闻。主流宏观经济学通常忽视冲突的作用,而非主流研究则往往忽视宏观经济制约因素。本文采用具有折衷主义特征的依存经济框架来重新审视这一问题。具体来说,我探讨了在实际工资抵制和分配冲突的情况下,通货膨胀的实际和货币来源的传播机制。分析表明,在一个风格化的发展中经济体中,如果无法通过税收或发行债券来支付补贴,就会出现这样一种情况:由于对收入的要求相互冲突,一个相对较小的冲击就会导致持续和加速的通货膨胀以及工资-价格螺旋式上升。同样,为保护消费者免受外部价格冲击而提供的补贴,也会使一个国家容易受到工资-价格螺旋式上升的影响,因为外国资产头寸下降所产生的稳定相对价格的效果会受到抑制。因此,分配冲突扮演的是维持者的角色,而不是移动者的角色。从理论上讲,如果价格管制不会导致对消费人群的再分配,就能更好地进行通胀管理。然而,对于面临国际收支脆弱性的国家来说,这种控制会造成其他的权衡。
{"title":"Conflict fuels inflation but the tinder lies elsewhere: Eclectic structuralist thoughts in a developing economy context","authors":"Arslan Razmi","doi":"10.1111/meca.12462","DOIUrl":"10.1111/meca.12462","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Developing country inflation is in the headlines again. Mainstream macroeconomics typically ignores the role of conflict while non-mainstream work tends to ignore macroeconomic constraints. This paper revisits the issue employing a dependent economy framework with eclectic characteristics. Specifically, I explore the mechanisms that propagate both real and monetary sources of inflation in the presence of real wage resistance and distributional conflict. The analysis shows that the inability to pay for subsidies with taxes or bond issuance in a stylized developing economy could create a situation where a relatively small shock leads to sustained and accelerating inflation and a wage-price spiral, thanks to conflicting claims on income. Subsidies to protect consumers from external price shocks could, similarly, leave a country vulnerable to accelerating wage-price spirals as the stabilizing relative price effects of a declining foreign asset position are dampened. Distributional conflict thus plays the role of sustainer rather than the primum mobile. Price controls could, in theory, better enable inflation management if these do not result in redistribution toward spenders. Such controls, however, create other trade-offs for countries facing balance-of-payments fragility.</p>","PeriodicalId":46885,"journal":{"name":"Metroeconomica","volume":"75 4","pages":"520-545"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140975715","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Demand and distribution in a dynamic spatial panel model for the United States: Evidence from state-level data 美国动态空间面板模型中的需求与分布:来自州一级数据的证据
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12461
Gilberto Tadeu Lima, André M. Marques

We estimate a modified demand-and-distribution system for the 48 contiguous US states and the District of Columbia (DC) employing dynamic spatial panel data for 1980–2019. We allow for endogenous regressors, test for the presence, significance, and magnitude of spatial spillovers, and estimate immediate and cumulative effects on our endogenous variables of interest. Without testing for spatial dependence and spillovers, we estimate that output growth and capacity utilization in the sample US states and DC rise in response to an increase in their own wage share. When we test for spatial dependence and spillovers as required by the state-level nature of the data, and consider that the functional distribution of income and the level of economic activity are jointly determined, we estimate that a higher state wage share raises output growth in the own state and the neighboring states. Yet the effect of a change in the state wage share on capacity utilization in the own state and the neighboring states is not statistically significant. Meanwhile, a higher state output growth raises the wage share in the own state, but its impact on the wage share in the neighboring states is not statistically significant. A higher state capacity utilization raises the wage share in the own state, yet it reduces the wage share in the neighboring states.

我们利用 1980-2019 年的动态空间面板数据,对美国 48 个毗连州和哥伦比亚特区(DC)的修正需求和分配系统进行了估计。我们考虑了内生回归因素,检验了空间溢出效应的存在、重要性和规模,并估计了对我们感兴趣的内生变量的直接和累积效应。在不检验空间依赖性和溢出效应的情况下,我们估计样本美国各州和华盛顿特区的产出增长和产能利用率会随着其自身工资份额的增加而上升。当我们根据数据的州级性质对空间依赖性和溢出效应进行检验,并考虑到收入函数分布和经济活动水平是共同决定的时,我们估计州工资份额的提高会提高本州和邻州的产出增长。然而,州工资份额的变化对本州和邻州产能利用率的影响在统计上并不显著。同时,本州产出增长较高会提高本州的工资份额,但对邻近各州工资份额的影响在统计上并不显著。较高的州产能利用率会提高本州的工资份额,但会降低邻州的工资份额。
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引用次数: 0
Green quality choice in a duopoly 双头垄断中的绿色质量选择
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12460
Luca Gori, Francesco Purificato, Mauro Sodini

This article considers a quantity-setting duopoly (Cournot rivalry) in which firms adopt an abatement technology as a device to improve the quality of products. Consumer preferences capture vertical product differentiation (quality) towards “green” products. This introduces a trade-off on the production side, as firms that do not abate, in turn, do not sustain any abatement cost but the demand for their product is low. On the contrary, firms that choose to abate incur abatement costs, but the demand for their product is high. The article aims to study and understand whether this kind of preference may lead firms to strategically invest in green technology and introduces a new, private-based (that contrasts the well-known public-based) mechanism through which pollution abatement can emerge as a sub-game perfect Nash equilibrium (SPNE) of a non-cooperative abatement decision game with product quality and complete information. The model is developed in a parsimonious way to pinpoint the main determinants of the endogenous market outcomes ranging from an anti-prisoner's dilemma in which self-interest and mutual benefit of non-abatement do not conflict to an anti-prisoner's dilemma in which self-interest and mutual benefit of abatement do not conflict, passing through to an anti-coordination scenario. Additionally, the welfare analysis reveals the existence of a win-win solution from a societal perspective. The article shows that the results obtained in the Cournot setting also hold considering a Bertrand duopoly.

本文探讨了一种数量确定型双头垄断(库诺竞争),在这种垄断中,企业采用一种减排技术作为提高产品质量的手段。消费者的偏好反映了对 "绿色 "产品的纵向产品差异(质量)。这就引入了生产方面的权衡,因为不减排的企业反过来不承担任何减排成本,但对其产品的需求却很低。相反,选择减排的企业会产生减排成本,但对其产品的需求却很高。文章旨在研究和理解这种偏好是否会导致企业战略性地投资于绿色技术,并引入了一种新的、基于私人(与众所周知的基于公共)的机制,通过这种机制,污染减排可以作为具有产品质量和完整信息的非合作减排决策博弈的子博弈完美纳什均衡(SPNE)而出现。该模型以简洁的方式建立,指出了内生市场结果的主要决定因素,从自利与不减排互利不冲突的反囚徒困境,到自利与减排互利不冲突的反囚徒困境,直至反协调情景。此外,福利分析从社会角度揭示了双赢方案的存在。文章表明,考虑到伯特兰双头垄断,在库诺背景下获得的结果同样成立。
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引用次数: 0
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Metroeconomica
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