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Notes on the accumulation and utilization of capital: Some theoretical issues 关于资本积累与利用的若干理论问题
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-03 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12407
Michalis Nikiforos

This paper discusses some issues related to the triangle between capital accumulation, distribution, and capacity utilization. First, it explains why utilization is a crucial variable for the various theories of growth and distribution, and, more precisely, with regards to their ability to combine an autonomous role for demand (along Keynesian lines) and an institutionally determined distribution (along classical lines). Second, it responds to some recent criticism by Girardi and Pariboni (2019) and I explain that their interpretation of the model in Nikiforos (2013) is misguided, and that the results of the model can be extended to the case of a monopolist. Third, it provides some concrete examples on why demand is a determinant for the long-run rate of utilization of capital. Finally, it argues that when it comes to the normal rate of utilization it is the expected growth rate of demand that matters, and not the level of demand. This insight provides a more straightforward way to link the adjustment at the micro and the macro level.

本文讨论了与资本积累、分配和产能利用之间的三角关系有关的一些问题。首先,它解释了为什么利用率是各种增长和分配理论的关键变量,更准确地说,是关于它们将需求的自主作用(沿着凯恩斯主义路线)和制度决定的分配(沿着经典路线)结合起来的能力。其次,它回应了Girardi和Pariboni(2019)最近的一些批评,我解释说,他们在Nikiforos(2013)中对该模型的解释是错误的,该模型的结果可以扩展到垄断者的情况。第三,它提供了一些具体的例子,说明为什么需求是资本长期利用率的决定因素。最后,它认为,当谈到正常利用率时,重要的是需求的预期增长率,而不是需求水平。这种见解提供了一种更直接的方法,可以将微观和宏观层面的调整联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Does tertiarisation slow down productivity growth? A Kaldorian–Baumolian analysis across 10 developed economies 三元化会减缓生产力增长吗?Kaldorian–Baumolian对10个发达经济体的分析
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-26 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12409
Adrián Rial, Rafael Fernández

This study examines the impact of the expansion of the service sector on labour productivity growth in 10 developed economies, reaching back to the late 1970s. The main research novelty is that it combines both Kaldorian and Baumolian insights to develop a new shift-share decomposition that, consistent with Kaldorian theory, endogenises productivity growth at the industry level with respect to structural change, and, consistent with the Baumolian framework, includes the impact that arises from the cumulative reallocation of nominal output and employment. Our results show that tertiarisation leads to a gradual decrease in productivity growth in most of these economies.

本研究考察了自20世纪70年代末以来10个发达经济体服务业扩张对劳动生产率增长的影响。主要的研究新颖之处在于,它结合了卡尔多里安和鲍莫里安的见解,开发了一种新的移位-份额分解方法,这种方法与卡尔多里安理论一致,在结构变化方面内生了行业层面的生产率增长,并且与鲍莫里安框架一致,包括了名义产出和就业的累积再分配所产生的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在大多数这些经济体中,三级化导致生产率增长逐渐下降。
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引用次数: 2
Intersectoral and intercountry linkages as drivers of employment growth in emerging economies: The case of Visegrád countries 作为新兴经济体就业增长驱动力的部门间和国家间联系:Visegrád国家的案例
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-22 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12408
Claudio Di Berardino, Ilaria Doganieri, Stefano D'Angelo, Gianni Onesti

This study provides new empirical evidence on the transformation of the structure of production in the Visegrád (V4) countries—the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia—using a multi-regional version of the subsystem approach to global input-output tables. In particular, the paper analyses structural change in these countries, with a focus on the integration of market services in manufacturing. Moreover, using an input-output structural decomposition analysis (SDA), we evaluate the role of some key determinants of employment changes in manufacturing. The results indicate that an increasing amount of intermediate demand comes from producer services. Further, a substantial portion of manufacturing employment is generated by foreign final demand, and the SDA demonstrates that labour intensity and final demand play a determining role in the change in the number of hours worked.

本研究利用全球投入产出表的多区域子系统方法,为Visegrád (V4)国家(捷克共和国、匈牙利、波兰和斯洛伐克)的生产结构转型提供了新的实证证据。本文特别分析了这些国家的结构变化,重点研究了市场服务在制造业中的整合。此外,使用投入产出结构分解分析(SDA),我们评估了制造业就业变化的一些关键决定因素的作用。结果表明,生产性服务业的中间需求在不断增加。此外,制造业就业的很大一部分是由外国最终需求产生的,SDA表明,劳动强度和最终需求在工作小时数的变化中起决定性作用。
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引用次数: 2
Optimal correction of the public debt and measures of fiscal soundness 公共债务的最佳调整和财政稳健措施
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-18 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12405
Barbara Annicchiarico, Fabio Di Dio, Stefano Patrì

This paper derives the optimal response of the primary budget balance to changes in the public debt as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) in a stochastic model of debt. Under the optimal solution, the surplus reactivity to the debt-GDP ratio is independent of the debt ratio itself, but its size depends on the degree of uncertainty surrounding the impact of fiscal policies. We characterize the properties of the optimal control policy by proposing different metrics that may be used to assess fiscal soundness and as early warning indicators of fiscal imbalances.

本文在债务的随机模型中推导出初级预算平衡对公共债务占国内生产总值(GDP)份额变化的最优响应。在最优解下,盈余对债务- gdp比率的反应性与债务比率本身无关,但其大小取决于围绕财政政策影响的不确定性程度。我们通过提出不同的指标来描述最优控制政策的特性,这些指标可用于评估财政健全性,并作为财政失衡的早期预警指标。
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引用次数: 1
A typology of Marxian transformation procedures with endogenous exploitation rate 具有内生剥削率的马克思主义转化过程的类型学
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-15 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12406
Gabriel V. Montes-Rojas

This paper constructs a unified framework to evaluate the Marxian transformation models, where the exploitation rate is an endogenous variable determined within value and price of production systems. All different procedures are based on two different value-price invariance equations. These could be chosen among either two aggregate product equations (gross or net output) or three capital invariant equations (total, variable or constant). Different combinations of invariance equations result in most Marxian solutions developed in recent decades. The solution does not imply that one model (prices) is logically prior to the other (values), but that in fact that the joint solution is needed.

本文构建了一个统一的框架来评价马克思的转型模型,其中剥削率是生产系统的价值和价格决定的内生变量。所有不同的程序都基于两个不同的价值-价格不变性方程。这些可以在两个总产品方程(总产出或净产出)或三个资本不变方程(总、可变或恒定)中选择。不变性方程的不同组合导致了近几十年来发展起来的大多数马克思主义解。该解决方案并不意味着一个模型(价格)在逻辑上优先于另一个模型(价值),而是实际上需要联合解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Income distribution, banks and managers: A linear joint-production model with financial assets 收入分配、银行和管理者:一个具有金融资产的线性联合生产模型
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-11 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12404
Michel Eduardo Betancourt Gómez

The aim of this paper is to elaborate a Sraffian production model with banks, corporations, shareholders and managers to argue that the expansion of the financial sector contributes to the decrease of the wage-share. The model introduces joint production to take into account fixed capital and corporate firms and provides rigorous foundations for the description of an economy characterised by unbalanced growth with the financial sector growing at the highest rates. Besides demonstrating that the analysis generates non-negative solutions for prices and quantities, the paper concludes that, if workers' debt grows faster than the rest of the economy, the wage share diminishes and that the greater the size of the dividends that corporate companies decide to distribute, the larger the reductions in the wage share.

本文的目的是用银行、公司、股东和管理者来阐述一个斯拉弗生产模型,以证明金融部门的扩张有助于工资份额的下降。该模型引入了联合生产,将固定资本和企业考虑在内,并为描述以金融部门以最高速度增长的不平衡增长为特征的经济提供了严格的基础。除了证明该分析产生了价格和数量的非负解外,该论文还得出结论,如果工人的债务增长速度快于其他经济部门,工资份额就会减少,而且公司决定分配的股息规模越大,工资份额的减少幅度就越大。
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引用次数: 0
Withholding self-employed and business incomes: An application to Italian firms 扣留个体户和商业收入:适用于意大利公司
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-11 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12403
Maria Rosaria Marino, Corrado Pollastri, Alberto Zanardi

The paper proposes the application of a generalised withholding tax scheme to business-to-business transactions, in order to combat the evasion of income-related taxes levied on self-employed workers and businesses, as an alternative to the standard regime based on self-reporting. The scheme proposed here is comprehensive in scope, since it applies to all B2B transactions involving the self-employed and businesses, and can be regarded as an extension of the withholding tax regimes which are currently applied to specific sectors and/or business categories and self-employed taxpayers in some countries. We argue, even on the basis of a simple conceptual framework, that the benefit of extending such a withholding mechanism to profit taxes is twofold. On the one hand, consisting of an advance payment on the effective profit tax liability, it contributes to curbing tax evasion due to non-payment in a system characterised by a standard self-reporting mechanism. On the other hand, and more importantly, the withholding system—retaining information about each transaction subjected to it—enhances third-party information reporting if the withholding tax is applied to transactions that are otherwise excluded. This paper offers details on operational aspects of the proposed withholding tax mechanism. In particular, a critical issue in implementing the withholding regime lies in the choice of the tax rate, and more specifically in setting a level that is effective in reducing tax evasion without generating excessive tax refunds. This issue is discussed by applying the withholding mechanism to balance sheet microdata of all non-financial Italian companies.

该文件建议在企业对企业交易中应用一种通用的预扣税方案,以打击对自营职业者和企业征收的与收入相关的税收的逃避,作为基于自我报告的标准制度的替代方案。这里提出的方案范围全面,因为它适用于涉及自营职业者和企业的所有B2B交易,并且可以被视为目前适用于某些国家特定部门和/或业务类别和自营职业者纳税人的预扣税制度的延伸。我们认为,即使在一个简单的概念框架的基础上,将这种预扣税机制扩展到利得税的好处是双重的。一方面,在一个以标准自我报告机制为特征的制度中,它包括预先支付有效的利得税义务,有助于遏制因不缴税而逃税。另一方面,更重要的是,如果预扣税适用于原本不包括在内的交易,则预扣税系统(保留有关受其约束的每笔交易的信息)可以增强第三方信息报告。本文详细介绍了预扣税机制的操作方面。具体而言,执行预扣税制度的一个关键问题在于税率的选择,更具体地说,在于确定一个既能有效减少逃税又不会产生过多退税的水平。通过将预扣机制应用于所有非金融意大利公司的资产负债表微观数据来讨论这个问题。
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引用次数: 0
A financial frontier model with bankers' susceptibility under uncertainty 不确定条件下具有银行家敏感性的金融前沿模型
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-11 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12402
Hans D. G. Hyun

This article aims to refine the Post Keynesian long run financial frontier models under an intermediate run called the ‘implementation period,’ the time horizon to finance and implement long run strategic plans. During this period, the availability of debt finance is crucial to bridge the time gap before future free cash flows validate the investment. Therefore, firms' long run investment plans may be modified or suspended during this time horizon subject to bankers' uncertainty perception and state of confidence, which constrain debt capacity and firms' investment decisions. Uncertainty and the measures to enhance confidence, such as banking convention, mimetic behaviours, and bankers' spontaneous optimism, are critical to determining the financial frontier because they affect the lending amount, tenor, and refinancing potential. The proposed model focussing on bankers' convention and susceptibility explains the volatile nature of the financial frontier, investment instability, downward sloping effective loan supply and credit rationing under new perspectives.

本文旨在完善后凯恩斯主义的长期金融前沿模型,在一个被称为“执行期”的中间阶段,即融资和实施长期战略计划的时间范围。在此期间,在未来自由现金流验证投资之前,债务融资的可用性对于弥补时间差距至关重要。因此,企业的长期投资计划可能会在这段时间内被修改或暂停,这取决于银行家的不确定性感知和信心状态,这限制了债务能力和企业的投资决策。不确定性和增强信心的措施,如银行业惯例、模仿行为和银行家自发的乐观情绪,对于确定金融前沿至关重要,因为它们影响贷款金额、期限和再融资潜力。提出的模型侧重于银行家的惯例和敏感性,在新的视角下解释了金融前沿的波动性、投资不稳定性、向下倾斜的有效贷款供应和信贷配给。
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引用次数: 0
Permanent Scars: The Effects of Wages on Productivity 永久的伤痕:工资对生产力的影响
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.36687/inetwp187
Claudia Fontanari, A. Palumbo
This paper explores how stagnating real wages may have contributed to the slowdown of US productivity. Through shift-share analysis, we find that after a sharp change in distribution against wages, some historically high-productivity sectors (like manufacturing) switched towards slower productivity growth. This supports our hypothesis that the anemic growth of productivity may be partly due to the trend toward massive use of cheap labor. Our estimation of Sylos Labini’s productivity equation confirms the existence of two direct effects of wages, one acting through the incentive to mechanization and the other through the incentive to reorganize labor use. We also show that labor ‘weakness’ may exert a further negative effect on labor productivity. On the whole, we find that a persistent regime of low wages may determine very negative long-term consequences on the economy.
本文探讨了实际工资停滞不前是如何导致美国生产率放缓的。通过转移份额分析,我们发现,在工资分配急剧变化之后,一些历史上高生产率的部门(如制造业)转向生产率增长较慢的部门。这支持了我们的假设,即生产率增长乏力可能部分归因于大量使用廉价劳动力的趋势。我们对Sylos Labini的生产率方程的估计证实了工资的两种直接影响的存在,一种是通过对机械化的激励,另一种是通过对劳动力使用重组的激励。我们还表明,劳动力“疲软”可能对劳动生产率产生进一步的负面影响。总的来说,我们发现,持续的低工资制度可能会对经济产生非常负面的长期影响。
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引用次数: 6
Convergence in solvency and capital centralization: A B-VAR analysis for high-income and euro area countries 偿付能力和资本集中的趋同:高收入国家和欧元区国家的B‐VAR分析
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-18 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12401
Emiliano Brancaccio, Raffaele Giammetti, Milena Lopreite, Michelangelo Puliga

We apply a B-VAR technique to 28 high-income countries and 11 Euro area countries in 1999–2019 to analyze the causal relationships between centralization of capital measured in terms of network control and solvency conditions represented by the difference between GDP growth and interest rate. Results show a relationship that goes in two directions. First of all, divergent solvency conditions lead to an average increase in capital centralization and its greater convergence between countries. In turn, an average increase in capital centralization and its greater convergence produces a convergence of solvency conditions between countries. These outcomes are consistent for both groups of high-income countries and Euro area countries. Finally, in the group of high-income countries, we also note that an average deterioration in solvency conditions leads to a convergence of capital centralization between countries.

本文以1999-2019年28个高收入国家和11个欧元区国家为研究对象,运用B-VAR技术分析了以网络控制衡量的资本集中度与以GDP增长率和利率之差为代表的偿付能力状况之间的因果关系。结果显示,这种关系有两个方向。首先,偿付能力条件的差异导致各国资本集中度的平均提高和趋同程度的增强。反过来,资本集中化的平均增加及其更大的趋同会导致各国之间偿付能力条件的趋同。这些结果对高收入国家和欧元区国家都是一致的。最后,在高收入国家组中,我们还注意到,偿付能力状况的平均恶化会导致各国之间资本集中化的趋同。
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引用次数: 0
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Metroeconomica
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