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Schumpeter and the post-Keynesian monetary theory 熊彼特与后凯恩斯主义货币理论
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12466
Giancarlo Bertocco, Andrea Kalajzić

The name of Schumpeter is not among those of the precursors of post-Keynesian monetary theory. This seems understandable when considering Schumpeter's ferocious criticism of The General Theory. However, in recent years various authors have highlighted significant points of contact between Schumpeter's monetary theory and that of Keynes and of post-Keynesians. The objective of this work is not only to indicate the similarities between Schumpeter's monetary theory and that of the post-Keynesians, but rather to show that Schumpeter's approach to money and credit allows making post-Keynesian monetary theory more solid. In particular, we will show that Schumpeter's monetary theory enables to develop an explanation of the principle of effective demand sounder than that based on the simple presence of endogenous money and on the liquidity preference theory.

后凯恩斯主义货币理论的先驱中没有熊彼特的名字。考虑到熊彼特对《通论》的猛烈抨击,这似乎是可以理解的。然而,近年来多位学者强调了熊彼特的货币理论与凯恩斯和后凯恩斯主义者的货币理论之间的重要联系点。本文的目的不仅在于指出熊彼特的货币理论与后凯恩斯主义者的货币理论之间的相似之处,更在于说明熊彼特的货币和信贷方法可以使后凯恩斯主义的货币理论更加坚实。我们将特别说明,熊彼特的货币理论能够对有效需求原则做出比简单的内生货币存在和流动性偏好理论更可靠的解释。
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引用次数: 0
Conflict fuels inflation but the tinder lies elsewhere: Eclectic structuralist thoughts in a developing economy context 冲突助长通胀,但火药却在别处:发展中经济体背景下的折衷结构主义思想
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12462
Arslan Razmi

Developing country inflation is in the headlines again. Mainstream macroeconomics typically ignores the role of conflict while non-mainstream work tends to ignore macroeconomic constraints. This paper revisits the issue employing a dependent economy framework with eclectic characteristics. Specifically, I explore the mechanisms that propagate both real and monetary sources of inflation in the presence of real wage resistance and distributional conflict. The analysis shows that the inability to pay for subsidies with taxes or bond issuance in a stylized developing economy could create a situation where a relatively small shock leads to sustained and accelerating inflation and a wage-price spiral, thanks to conflicting claims on income. Subsidies to protect consumers from external price shocks could, similarly, leave a country vulnerable to accelerating wage-price spirals as the stabilizing relative price effects of a declining foreign asset position are dampened. Distributional conflict thus plays the role of sustainer rather than the primum mobile. Price controls could, in theory, better enable inflation management if these do not result in redistribution toward spenders. Such controls, however, create other trade-offs for countries facing balance-of-payments fragility.

发展中国家的通货膨胀再次成为头条新闻。主流宏观经济学通常忽视冲突的作用,而非主流研究则往往忽视宏观经济制约因素。本文采用具有折衷主义特征的依存经济框架来重新审视这一问题。具体来说,我探讨了在实际工资抵制和分配冲突的情况下,通货膨胀的实际和货币来源的传播机制。分析表明,在一个风格化的发展中经济体中,如果无法通过税收或发行债券来支付补贴,就会出现这样一种情况:由于对收入的要求相互冲突,一个相对较小的冲击就会导致持续和加速的通货膨胀以及工资-价格螺旋式上升。同样,为保护消费者免受外部价格冲击而提供的补贴,也会使一个国家容易受到工资-价格螺旋式上升的影响,因为外国资产头寸下降所产生的稳定相对价格的效果会受到抑制。因此,分配冲突扮演的是维持者的角色,而不是移动者的角色。从理论上讲,如果价格管制不会导致对消费人群的再分配,就能更好地进行通胀管理。然而,对于面临国际收支脆弱性的国家来说,这种控制会造成其他的权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Demand and distribution in a dynamic spatial panel model for the United States: Evidence from state-level data 美国动态空间面板模型中的需求与分布:来自州一级数据的证据
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12461
Gilberto Tadeu Lima, André M. Marques

We estimate a modified demand-and-distribution system for the 48 contiguous US states and the District of Columbia (DC) employing dynamic spatial panel data for 1980–2019. We allow for endogenous regressors, test for the presence, significance, and magnitude of spatial spillovers, and estimate immediate and cumulative effects on our endogenous variables of interest. Without testing for spatial dependence and spillovers, we estimate that output growth and capacity utilization in the sample US states and DC rise in response to an increase in their own wage share. When we test for spatial dependence and spillovers as required by the state-level nature of the data, and consider that the functional distribution of income and the level of economic activity are jointly determined, we estimate that a higher state wage share raises output growth in the own state and the neighboring states. Yet the effect of a change in the state wage share on capacity utilization in the own state and the neighboring states is not statistically significant. Meanwhile, a higher state output growth raises the wage share in the own state, but its impact on the wage share in the neighboring states is not statistically significant. A higher state capacity utilization raises the wage share in the own state, yet it reduces the wage share in the neighboring states.

我们利用 1980-2019 年的动态空间面板数据,对美国 48 个毗连州和哥伦比亚特区(DC)的修正需求和分配系统进行了估计。我们考虑了内生回归因素,检验了空间溢出效应的存在、重要性和规模,并估计了对我们感兴趣的内生变量的直接和累积效应。在不检验空间依赖性和溢出效应的情况下,我们估计样本美国各州和华盛顿特区的产出增长和产能利用率会随着其自身工资份额的增加而上升。当我们根据数据的州级性质对空间依赖性和溢出效应进行检验,并考虑到收入函数分布和经济活动水平是共同决定的时,我们估计州工资份额的提高会提高本州和邻州的产出增长。然而,州工资份额的变化对本州和邻州产能利用率的影响在统计上并不显著。同时,本州产出增长较高会提高本州的工资份额,但对邻近各州工资份额的影响在统计上并不显著。较高的州产能利用率会提高本州的工资份额,但会降低邻州的工资份额。
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引用次数: 0
Green quality choice in a duopoly 双头垄断中的绿色质量选择
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12460
Luca Gori, Francesco Purificato, Mauro Sodini

This article considers a quantity-setting duopoly (Cournot rivalry) in which firms adopt an abatement technology as a device to improve the quality of products. Consumer preferences capture vertical product differentiation (quality) towards “green” products. This introduces a trade-off on the production side, as firms that do not abate, in turn, do not sustain any abatement cost but the demand for their product is low. On the contrary, firms that choose to abate incur abatement costs, but the demand for their product is high. The article aims to study and understand whether this kind of preference may lead firms to strategically invest in green technology and introduces a new, private-based (that contrasts the well-known public-based) mechanism through which pollution abatement can emerge as a sub-game perfect Nash equilibrium (SPNE) of a non-cooperative abatement decision game with product quality and complete information. The model is developed in a parsimonious way to pinpoint the main determinants of the endogenous market outcomes ranging from an anti-prisoner's dilemma in which self-interest and mutual benefit of non-abatement do not conflict to an anti-prisoner's dilemma in which self-interest and mutual benefit of abatement do not conflict, passing through to an anti-coordination scenario. Additionally, the welfare analysis reveals the existence of a win-win solution from a societal perspective. The article shows that the results obtained in the Cournot setting also hold considering a Bertrand duopoly.

本文探讨了一种数量确定型双头垄断(库诺竞争),在这种垄断中,企业采用一种减排技术作为提高产品质量的手段。消费者的偏好反映了对 "绿色 "产品的纵向产品差异(质量)。这就引入了生产方面的权衡,因为不减排的企业反过来不承担任何减排成本,但对其产品的需求却很低。相反,选择减排的企业会产生减排成本,但对其产品的需求却很高。文章旨在研究和理解这种偏好是否会导致企业战略性地投资于绿色技术,并引入了一种新的、基于私人(与众所周知的基于公共)的机制,通过这种机制,污染减排可以作为具有产品质量和完整信息的非合作减排决策博弈的子博弈完美纳什均衡(SPNE)而出现。该模型以简洁的方式建立,指出了内生市场结果的主要决定因素,从自利与不减排互利不冲突的反囚徒困境,到自利与减排互利不冲突的反囚徒困境,直至反协调情景。此外,福利分析从社会角度揭示了双赢方案的存在。文章表明,考虑到伯特兰双头垄断,在库诺背景下获得的结果同样成立。
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引用次数: 0
A micro-founded comparison of fiscal policies between indirect and direct job creation 对间接和直接创造就业的财政政策进行微观比较
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-23 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12459
Kensuke Ohtake

The purpose of this paper is to provide a micro-economic foundation for an argument that the direct employment by the government is more desirable than the government purchase of private goods to eliminate unemployment. A general equilibrium model with monopolistic competition is devised, and the effects of policies (government purchase, tax rate operation, and government employment) on macroeconomic variables (consumption, price, and profit) are investigated. It is shown that (1) the government purchase is inflationary in the sense that additional effective demand by the government not only increases private employment but also raises prices; (2) the government employment can achieve full employment without causing a rise in prices.

本文旨在为政府直接就业比政府购买私人商品消除失业更可取的论点提供微观经济基础。本文设计了一个垄断竞争的一般均衡模型,研究了各种政策(政府购买、税率操作和政府就业)对宏观经济变量(消费、价格和利润)的影响。结果表明:(1) 政府购买会导致通货膨胀,因为政府的额外有效需求不仅会增加私人就业,还会提高价格;(2) 政府就业可以实现充分就业,但不会导致价格上涨。
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引用次数: 0
Searching for a Carbon Laffer Curve: Estimates from the European Union Emissions Trading System 寻找碳拉弗曲线:来自欧盟排放交易体系的估算
IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12458
Matteo Mazzarano, Simone Borghesi

Carbon prices have grown remarkably in the European Union (EU) Emissions Trading System (ETS) in recent years, raising distributional concerns. Revenues are expected to grow with higher carbon prices, thus providing resources to address distributional issues. Beyond a certain point, however, higher prices can discourage the purchase of allowances and ultimately reduce revenues, describing a Carbon Laffer Curve (CLC). We empirically investigate the CLC in the EU ETS between 2012 and 2021 using auction revenues at the country level. Results indicate that ETS revenues follow an inverted-U relationship in both the volume and the price of auctioned allowances, with an estimated optimal price between 86 and 125 euros.

近年来,欧洲联盟(EU)排放交易体系(ETS)中的碳价格显著增长,引起了人们对分配问题的关注。随着碳价格上涨,收入有望增加,从而为解决分配问题提供资源。然而,超过一定程度后,较高的价格会阻碍人们购买配额,并最终减少收入,这就是碳拉弗曲线(CLC)。我们利用国家层面的拍卖收入,对 2012 年至 2021 年欧盟排放交易计划中的碳拉弗曲线进行了实证研究。结果表明,排放交易计划的收入与拍卖配额的数量和价格呈倒 "U "型关系,最佳价格估计在 86 至 125 欧元之间。
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引用次数: 0
Sraffian indeterminacy of steady-state equilibria in the Walrasian general equilibrium framework 瓦尔拉斯一般均衡框架中稳态均衡的斯拉夫不确定性
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12454
Naoki Yoshihara, Se Ho Kwak

In contrast to Mandler's generic determinacy of steady-state equilibria, we first show that any non-trivial steady-state equilibrium is indeterminate under a general overlapping generation (OLG) economy with a fixed Leontief technique. We also check that this indeterminacy is generic. These results are obtained by explicitly introducing a general model of every generation's utility function and individual optimization program to the OLG economy, which also verifies that Mandler's claim on generic determinacy is invalid. We also argue the distinctiveness of our results in comparison with the standard literature of OLG indeterminacy.

与曼德勒提出的稳态均衡的通用确定性不同,我们首先证明,在具有固定列昂惕夫技术的一般重叠世代(OLG)经济中,任何非三维稳态均衡都是不确定的。我们还检验了这种不确定性的通用性。这些结果是通过在 OLG 经济中明确引入每一代人的效用函数和个人优化程序的一般模型得到的,这也验证了曼德勒关于一般确定性的说法是无效的。我们还论证了我们的结果与有关 OLG 不确定性的标准文献的不同之处。
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引用次数: 0
Demand-led industrialisation policy in a dual-sector small open economy 双轨制小型开放经济体中以需求为导向的工业化政策
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12457
Önder Nomaler, Danilo Spinola, Bart Verspagen

This article models the process of structural transformation and catching-up in a demand-led Southern economy constrained by its balance of payments. Starting from the Sraffian Supermultiplier Model, we model a dual-sector small open economy with a traditional and a modern sector that interacts with a technologically advanced Northern economy. We propose two (alternative) autonomous elements that define the growth rate of this demand-led economy: government spending and exports. Drawing from the Structuralist literature, productivity in the technologically laggard Southern economy grows by absorbing technology from the Northern economy, by both embodied and disembodied spillovers, and potentially closing the technology gap. The gap affects the income elasticity of exports, bringing a supply-side mediation to the growth rates in line with the Balance of Payments Constrained Model. We observe that a demand-led government policy plays a central role in structural change, pushing the modern sector to a larger share of employment than what results under export-led growth. Such a demand policy is the only way in which partial catching up (in productivity and GDP per capita) can result, and this is facilitated by a global market place in which the balance of payments constraint is relatively soft.

本文模拟了一个受国际收支制约、以需求为导向的南方经济体的结构转型和赶超过程。从斯拉夫超乘数模型出发,我们建立了一个双部门小型开放经济体的模型,其中有一个传统部门和一个现代部门,它们与技术先进的北方经济体相互作用。我们提出了两个(可供选择的)自主要素来定义这一需求导向型经济的增长率:政府支出和出口。借鉴结构主义文献,技术落后的南方经济体通过吸收北方经济体的技术、体现和非体现溢出效应来提高生产率,并有可能缩小技术差距。这种差距会影响出口的收入弹性,从而为符合国际收支约束模型的增长率带来供应方中介效应。我们注意到,以需求为导向的政府政策在结构变革中发挥着核心作用,它推动现代部门在就业中所占的比重大于出口导向型增长的结果。这种需求政策是实现部分赶超(生产率和人均国内生产总值)的唯一途径,而国际收支约束相对较弱的全球市场则为这种赶超提供了便利。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate profit tax, managerial delegation and multinational firm's transfer pricing 公司利得税、管理授权和跨国公司的转让定价
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12456
Di Wu, Leonard F. S. Wang, Jie Ma

This paper analyzes the transfer pricing decision of the multinational firm. There are differences in profit tax rates between home-country and host-country. The multinational firm determines the transfer price to its overseas affiliate and delegates the responsibility of deciding on the final sales to its affiliate manager. We find that: (1) The multinational firm will set a higher transfer price if its affiliate hires a manager. If the host-country firm also hires a manager, the managerial delegation may lead to an asymmetry “prisoner's dilemma”. (2) When home-country's tax rate is higher than that in the host-country, multinational firm tends to set a lower transfer price relative to the marginal production cost. (3) When host-country's tax rate is higher than that in the home-country, an increase in the host-country corporate tax rate decreases multinational firm's profit and the consumer surplus, while its impact on the host-country firm's profit is non-monotone; an increase in the home-country tax rate decreases host-country firm's profit, increases consumer surplus, but has a non-monotone impact on multinational firm's profit.

本文分析了跨国公司的转让定价决策。母国和东道国的利润税率存在差异。跨国公司决定其海外关联公司的转让价格,并将决定最终销售额的责任委托给关联公司经理。我们发现(1) 如果跨国公司的分支机构聘用了经理,跨国公司将制定更高的转让价格。如果东道国企业也聘用经理,则管理授权可能会导致不对称的 "囚徒困境"。(2)当母国税率高于东道国税率时,跨国公司倾向于制定相对于边际生产成本较低的转让价格。(3)当东道国税率高于母国税率时,东道国企业税率的提高会减少跨国公司的利润和消费者剩余,而对东道国公司利润的影响是非单调的;母国税率的提高会减少东道国公司的利润,增加消费者剩余,但对跨国公司利润的影响是非单调的。
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引用次数: 0
The Pasinetti theorem in a task-based model of automation 基于任务的自动化模型中的帕西内蒂定理
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12455
Arthur Jacobs

We integrate the notion of task-based automation into a two-class model and study the interaction between endogenous automation and the wealth distribution between capitalists and workers. We find that, as the economy becomes more automated, the possibility of a sustained capitalist class naturally arises. We show that capital-augmenting technical progress induces automation and that it can generate a historical path from the dual equilibrium (where workers own all wealth), over the Pasinetti equilibrium (where capitalists own some wealth) to the anti-dual outcome (where capitalists own all wealth). The model's implications are related to Piketty's account of rising wealth inequality.

我们将基于任务的自动化概念纳入两级模型,研究内生自动化与资本家和工人之间财富分配的相互作用。我们发现,随着经济自动化程度的提高,自然会出现资本家阶级持续存在的可能性。我们表明,资本增强型技术进步会诱发自动化,它可以产生一条从二元均衡(工人拥有全部财富)、帕西内蒂均衡(资本家拥有部分财富)到反二元结果(资本家拥有全部财富)的历史路径。该模型的含义与皮凯蒂关于财富不平等加剧的论述有关。
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引用次数: 0
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Metroeconomica
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