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Endogenous choice of price or quantity contract with upstream advertising 内生的价格或数量选择与上游广告合同
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12438
Qing Hu, Dan Li, Tomomichi Mizuno

We investigate a supply chain comprising a manufacturer engaged in advertising and two retailers who compete with differentiated products. We examine the endogenous choice between competing on quantity or price for the retailers. Our analysis reveals that, depending on the level of product substitutability, the range of possible outcomes is varied and includes Cournot, Bertrand, and Cournot-Bertrand under informative advertising. This result contradicts the established understanding that firms tend to engage in Cournot competition as their dominant strategy. Furthermore, we find that under persuasive advertising, Cournot or Bertrand outcomes may be optimal, but Cournot-Bertrand never arises as an equilibrium.

我们调查了一个供应链,包括一个从事广告的制造商和两个零售商,他们以差异化的产品竞争。我们考察了零售商在数量竞争和价格竞争之间的内生选择。我们的分析表明,根据产品可替代性的水平,可能的结果范围是多种多样的,包括信息广告下的古诺、贝特朗和古诺-贝特朗。这一结果与既定的理解相矛盾,即企业倾向于将古诺竞争作为其主导战略。此外,我们发现在有说服力的广告下,古诺或贝特朗结果可能是最优的,但古诺-贝特朗结果从未作为均衡出现。
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引用次数: 0
Not your average firm: A quantile regression approach to firm-level investment in the United States 不是你的普通公司:美国公司级投资的分位数回归方法
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-14 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12440
Doğuhan Sündal

A significant portion of the work published on firm investment adapts models that operate on an “average firm” assumption, which is different from the investment behavior of a modal firm. This study employs a Bayesian quantile regression model to explore the investment rates in the United States and finds, first, that the firms with higher investment rates have a higher responsiveness to the valuation ratio and lower responsiveness to the profit rate, and, second, that there is a decline in the responsiveness of firm investment to these factors in recent years. The paper also emphasizes the role of autonomous investments in determining firm-level investment rates, based on differing sectoral factors.

发表的关于企业投资的研究中,有很大一部分采用了基于“平均企业”假设的模型,这与模式企业的投资行为不同。本研究采用贝叶斯分位数回归模型来探索美国的投资率,发现:首先,投资率较高的公司对估值比率的响应较高,对利润率的响应较低;其次,近年来公司投资对这些因素的响应有所下降。该文件还强调了自主投资在基于不同行业因素确定公司层面投资率方面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Proposer and responder conceding in impunity bargaining 提议者和回应者在有罪不罚的讨价还价中让步
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-22 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12437
Daniela Di Cagno, Werner Güth, Luca Panaccione, Maria Cristina Scarafile

In impunity bargaining with concession, opportunistic proposers would not offer anything nor concede. Opportunistic responders should not accept first offers since second offers could be more generous, for example, due to random trembles. On the contrary, our experimental data, elicited via the strategy vector method, show that participants moderate initial claims and concede, albeit by small amounts. The considerable heterogeneity in behavior suggests that disagreement is unpleasant: participants avoid it by yielding (demanding firstly less than what can be shared) and conceding (lowering first demand). Overall agreement dominates interpersonally (one plays against another) and intrapersonally (as if one plays against oneself).

在不受惩罚与让步的讨价还价中,机会主义的提议者不会提供任何东西,也不会让步。机会主义反应者不应该接受第一次出价,因为第二次出价可能更慷慨,例如,由于随机颤抖。相反,我们通过策略向量法得出的实验数据表明,参与者缓和了最初的主张,并做出了让步,尽管幅度很小。行为上的巨大异质性表明,分歧是令人不快的:参与者通过让步(首先要求的比可以分享的少)和让步(降低第一个要求)来避免分歧。总体共识在人际关系(一个人与另一个人对抗)和个人关系(好像一个人与自己对抗)中占主导地位。
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引用次数: 0
The relevance of Thirlwall’s growth law in the Zambian economy 蒂尔沃尔增长规律与赞比亚经济的相关性
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-23 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12436
Lewis Chimfwembe, Kevin S. Nell

This paper uses a blended methodology—conventional tests of ‘Thirlwall's law’ combined with an in-depth growth narrative approach and unit root tests—to identify the dominant balance-of-payments adjustment mechanism in the Zambian economy over the period 1956–2017. Consistent with Thirlwall's growth law, the main results identify income changes as the dominant balance-of-payments adjustment mechanism, rather than relative price changes. The three-regime export demand function further reflects the vulnerability of the Zambian economy to unexpected busts in the world copper market, and highlights the need for effective industrial policies to create a more diversified economy into higher value-added manufactures. The analysis also demonstrates that the results are robust to some of the main criticisms that have been levelled against Thirlwall's original growth law.

本文采用混合方法——传统的“Thirlwall定律”检验与深度增长叙事方法和单位根检验相结合——来确定1956-2017年期间赞比亚经济中占主导地位的国际收支调整机制。与Thirlwall的增长规律一致,主要结果确定收入变化是主要的国际收支调整机制,而不是相对价格变化。三体制出口需求函数进一步反映了赞比亚经济对世界铜市场意外崩溃的脆弱性,并突出了有效的产业政策的必要性,以创造一个更多元化的经济,成为高附加值的制造业。分析还表明,对于针对瑟尔沃尔原始增长定律的一些主要批评,结果是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Temporary versus permanent disability: A dynamic incentives model 暂时性与永久性残疾:一个动态激励模型
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-27 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12429
Pierpaolo Giannoccolo, Silvia Platoni

This article extends previous disability models in a different and more detailed framework that contemplates both temporary and permanent disability. By introducing different degrees of disability, the paper contributes to the recent debate among empirical scholars on the growth of disability insurance programmes in several OECD countries. This approach allows us to analyse, and consequently compare, the consumption paths of able, temporarily disabled, and permanently disabled workers. Furthermore, in a numerical simulation, the analysis demonstrates that the system of dynamic incentives should adapt the disability benefits to the different disability statuses.

本文在考虑暂时性和永久性残疾的不同且更详细的框架中扩展了以前的残疾模型。通过引入不同程度的残疾,本文有助于最近实证学者之间关于几个经合组织国家残疾保险计划增长的辩论。这种方法使我们能够分析并比较有能力、暂时残疾和永久残疾工人的消费路径。此外,通过数值模拟分析表明,动态激励系统应根据不同的残疾状态来调整残疾福利。
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引用次数: 0
Discussion notes on “classical-Keynesians” 关于“古典凯恩斯主义者”的讨论笔记
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-17 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12431
Sergio Parrinello

This article aims at stimulating a discussion on “the nine building blocks presented by Pasinetti to define the main methodological characteristic features of the classical-Keynesian school” and chosen as the guidelines of a recent collective volume. The discussion notes are tripartite. Part I presents a list of short annotations at the margin of the nine blocks for possible debate. Part II starts the discussion by focusing on “an appropriate analytical framework for dealing with technical change and economic growth” and, in particular, on the theoretical approach in terms of vertically integrated sectors. Part III deals briefly with the blocks on normal states, causality and macroeconomics versus microeconomics.

本文旨在激发对 "帕西内蒂提出的界定古典-凯恩斯学派主要方法论特征的九大构件 "的讨论,并被选为最近一本集体著作的指导方针。讨论说明由三部分组成。第 I 部分在九个板块的空白处列出了简短的注释,以备讨论。第二部分开始讨论 "处理技术变革和经济增长问题的适当分析框架",特别是纵向一体化部门的理论方法。第 III 部分简要论述了正常状态、因果关系和宏观经济学与微观经济学等问题。
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引用次数: 0
The macroeconomic effects of endogenous credit and money creation under Basel III regulations 巴塞尔协议III下内生信贷和货币创造的宏观经济效应
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-17 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12430
Boyao Li

Bank regulations affect the behaviour of credit and money creation; hence, they are essential for economic growth and stability. This paper develops an analytical model of the monetary circuit to show the macroeconomic effects of money creation under bank regulations. It describes the equilibrium in which banks create money in accordance with capital adequacy ratios or net stable funding ratios. This study reveals the equilibrium economic growth rate and debt level. In addition, this paper demonstrates how bank regulations influence firm capital structures, and the conditions for firms using debt and filing for bankruptcy. Results show that bank regulations can transfer risk from banks to firms. In fact, this study identifies a channel through which banks actively influence the macroeconomy through their money creation.

银行监管影响信贷和货币创造的行为;因此,它们对经济增长和稳定至关重要。本文建立了一个货币循环的分析模型,以显示在银行监管下货币创造的宏观经济效应。它描述了银行根据资本充足率或净稳定资金比率创造货币的均衡。本研究揭示了均衡经济增长率与债务水平的关系。此外,本文还论证了银行监管如何影响企业资本结构,以及企业使用债务和申请破产的条件。结果表明,银行监管可以将风险从银行转移到企业。事实上,本研究确定了银行通过货币创造积极影响宏观经济的一个渠道。
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引用次数: 1
A network-based economic growth model with endogenous migration and poverty traps 具有内生移民和贫困陷阱的基于网络的经济增长模型
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-16 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12428
Alberto Bucci, Davide La Torre, Danilo Liuzzi, Simone Marsiglio

We analyze a network-based macroeconomic framework with the objective to analyze the effects that endogenous migration choices may have on the mutual relation between population dynamics and capital accumulation. In our economy population size determines the labor input which, together with the available capital stock, shapes total output. Production takes place with a convex-concave technology allowing for a poverty trap. Migration depends on the origin-destination income differential and affects the fertility rate. Thus population growth ultimately turns out to be endogenously dependent upon economic conditions. Such feedback effects between population and capital dynamics give rise to possible heterogeneity in the patterns of economic development, allowing to explain the large variability in the level of development between regions we generally observe at world level. We show that a higher degree of economic interaction improves economic outcomes at global level by allowing poor economies to escape their poverty trap, suggesting thus that promoting the formation of tight relations between countries may be an important policy option to favor economic development.

我们分析了一个基于网络的宏观经济框架,目的是分析内生迁移选择对人口动态和资本积累之间相互关系的影响。在我们的经济中,人口规模决定了劳动投入,而劳动投入与可用的资本存量一起决定了总产出。生产采用凸凹技术,从而形成贫困陷阱。移民取决于原籍国和目的地的收入差异,并影响生育率。因此,人口增长最终被证明是内生地依赖于经济条件的。人口和资本动态之间的这种反馈效应可能导致经济发展模式的异质性,从而可以解释我们通常在世界一级观察到的区域之间发展水平的巨大差异。我们表明,更高程度的经济互动可以使贫穷经济体摆脱贫困陷阱,从而改善全球层面的经济结果,从而表明促进国家间紧密关系的形成可能是有利于经济发展的重要政策选择。
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引用次数: 0
Automation and economic growth in a task-based neoclassical growth model 基于任务的新古典增长模型中的自动化与经济增长
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-26 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12427
Kenichiro Ikeshita, Hideaki Uchida, Tamotsu Nakamura

This paper incorporates a task-based approach into the Solow growth model to analyze the effects of automation on economic growth. We find that if task producers smoothly adopt automation technology along the capital accumulation path, sustained growth is possible even without technological progress. This result is brought about by the fact that task automation makes the aggregate production function linear. In addition, we demonstrate that both the rental price of capital and the wage are constant on the growth path. In sum, while the interaction between task automation and capital accumulation can be a pathway for sustained growth in output, it leads to the cease of wage growth in the long run.

本文将基于任务的方法纳入索洛增长模型,以分析自动化对经济增长的影响。我们发现,如果任务生产者沿着资本积累的道路顺利采用自动化技术,即使没有技术进步,也有可能实现持续增长。这一结果是由任务自动化使聚合生产函数线性化的事实带来的。此外,我们还证明了资本的租金和工资在增长路径上是不变的。总之,虽然任务自动化和资本积累之间的互动可以成为产出持续增长的途径,但从长远来看,它会导致工资增长的停止。
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引用次数: 0
Partial identification for growth regimes: The case of Latin American countries 部分确定增长机制:以拉丁美洲国家为例
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-24 DOI: 10.1111/meca.12426
Paul Carrillo-Maldonado

This study introduces the partial identification of the structural vector autoregressive model to estimate the effect of income distribution on output. For this purpose, this study follows the Post-Keynesian growth models and identifies the demand regimes in Latin American countries for the period 1960–2014. The main results reveal that Bolivia, Colombia, Honduras, and Panama have profit-led regimes. In addition, Costa Rica, Nicaragua, Peru, and Uruguay have wage-led regimes. The regimes of Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, and Mexico could not be determined.

本文引入结构向量自回归模型的部分辨识来估计收入分配对产出的影响。为此,本研究遵循后凯恩斯增长模型,并确定了1960-2014年期间拉丁美洲国家的需求机制。主要结果显示,玻利维亚、哥伦比亚、洪都拉斯和巴拿马都是由利益主导的政权。此外,哥斯达黎加、尼加拉瓜、秘鲁和乌拉圭都有工资主导的体制。巴西、智利、厄瓜多尔和墨西哥的政权无法确定。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Metroeconomica
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