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Race, Inequality, and Political Trust in Latin America 拉丁美洲的种族、不平等和政治信任
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2024.29
Castellar Granados, Francisco Sánchez

During the last decades, political distrust has seemingly become a common trend across Latin American democracies, however, differences in the levels of confidence among groups have also been identified. This article considers the potential effects of ethno-racial structures and their interactions with other forms of socioeconomic inequalities on political trust. Building on data from four waves of the Latinobarometer project and contextual measures from different sources, we analyze these relations and find that both socioeconomic and ethno-racial inequalities affect political trust and impact on the formation of different relations with the political system across Latin America. Furthermore, in particular it is found that at the individual-level interactions between inequalities shape political trust differently depending on the particular ethno-racial identification. These findings contribute to the understanding of ethnicity and race and its associations with other structural inequalities in shaping mass political culture.

过去几十年间,政治不信任似乎已成为拉美民主国家的共同趋势,然而,各群体之间的信任程度也存在差异。本文探讨了民族-种族结构及其与其他形式的社会经济不平等对政治信任的潜在影响。根据拉丁美洲晴雨表项目四次调查的数据和不同来源的背景测量数据,我们分析了这些关系,发现社会经济不平等和民族-种族不平等都会影响政治信任,并影响整个拉丁美洲与政治体系之间不同关系的形成。此外,我们还特别发现,在个人层面上,不平等之间的相互作用会根据特定的民族-种族认同而对政治信任产生不同的影响。这些发现有助于理解民族和种族及其与其他结构性不平等在塑造大众政治文化方面的关联。
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引用次数: 0
The Unbearable Uncertainty of Being on the Front Street-level Military in the Mexican War on Drugs 墨西哥禁毒战争中的前线街头军人的难以忍受的不确定性
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2024.20
Alejandro Pocoroba, Laura H. Atuesta, Javier Treviño-Rangel

Since the so-called war on drugs began in Mexico in 2006, the military has been the leading actor in charge of the government’s public security policy, undertaking tasks that should be carried out by the police. Analyses of this security strategy are based on quantitative methods and have focused on its results: e.g., an increase in the homicide rate or the committing of human rights violations. In contrast, based on in-depth interviews, this article explores the testimony of military personnel to understand what they experience in the field. Contrary to what the existing literature argues, which maintains that the military acts with a logic of war, this article shows that the situation is far more complex: they act in a scenario characterized by improvisation, facing the dilemma between acting and being accused of human rights or not acting and being accused of disobedience.

自 2006 年墨西哥开始所谓的禁毒战争以来,军方一直是负责政府公共安全政策的主要行动者,承担着本应由警方执行的任务。对这一安全战略的分析以定量方法为基础,重点关注其结果:如凶杀率的上升或侵犯人权行为的发生。与此相反,本文以深入访谈为基础,探讨了军事人员的证词,以了解他们在战场上的经历。现有文献认为,军队的行动符合战争逻辑,与此相反,本文表明,情况要复杂得多:他们在以随机应变为特点的场景中行动,面临着行动而被指控侵犯人权或不行动而被指控不服从命令的两难境地。
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引用次数: 0
Media Credibility and Voter Penalization of Corrupt Politicians in Latin America 拉丁美洲媒体公信力与选民对腐败政治家的惩罚
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2024.16
Carmen van Klaveren, Syed Mansoob Murshed, Elissaios Papyrakis

There has been a significant growth of social media as a means to inform oneself about politics. This article explores the consequences of this trend on the credibility audiences attribute to news exposing corrupt politicians and on their willingness to penalize the exposed politicians in elections. The study focuses on ten Latin American cities and employs a randomized control trial using experimental data embedded in a survey. Through this method, credibility and penalization levels are compared between state communications, newspapers, named journalists on social media, and anonymous journalists on social media. The article’s key findings demonstrate that corruption reports published on social media are deemed less credible than those published by state auditors and newspapers. This effect is exacerbated when the source of the report is anonymous. In addition, reports on corruption published on social media by anonymous sources have a negative effect on voter penalization of corrupt politicians.

作为了解政治的一种手段,社交媒体有了长足的发展。本文探讨了这一趋势对受众认为揭露腐败政客的新闻可信度以及受众在选举中惩罚被揭露政客的意愿的影响。研究以拉丁美洲的十个城市为重点,采用随机对照试验的方法,将实验数据嵌入调查中。通过这种方法,比较了国家通讯、报纸、社交媒体上的实名记者和社交媒体上的匿名记者之间的可信度和惩罚水平。文章的主要发现表明,在社交媒体上发布的腐败报道被认为可信度低于国家审计员和报纸发布的报道。如果报告来源是匿名的,这种影响就会加剧。此外,匿名来源在社交媒体上发布的腐败报告对选民惩罚腐败政客也有负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Tweeting Antagonism: (De)Polarizing Rhetoric and Tone in Colombia’s 2022 Presidential Campaign 推特上的对立:哥伦比亚 2022 年总统竞选中(去)两极分化的言论和语调
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2024.14
Laura Gamboa, Sandra Botero, Lisa Zanotti
Polarizing rhetoric and negative tone are thought to generate more attention on social media. We seek to describe and analyze how presidential candidates in Colombia’s 2022 election deployed (de)polarizing rhetoric and tone, around what topics, and with what effects. We analyze the tweets (and corresponding engagement) of the four leading candidates during the campaign. Tone behaves as expected. Negatively worded tweets receive overall more likes and retweets, though the strength of their effect varies by candidate. Polarizing rhetoric behaves differently. Using polarizing and depolarizing rhetoric proved better than neutral messages, but using depolarizing rhetoric, generated greater engagement than its polarizing counterpart. This study suggests that the visibility of a candidate does not necessarily correspond to their greater use of Twitter, an increased deployment of polarizing rhetoric, or an emphasis on negative emotions. This article provides a glimmer of hope regarding the potential usefulness of positive uniting messages on Twitter (now X).
人们认为两极分化的言论和消极的语气会在社交媒体上引起更多关注。我们试图描述并分析哥伦比亚 2022 年大选的总统候选人是如何围绕哪些话题使用(去)两极分化的言论和语气的,以及产生了哪些影响。我们分析了四位主要候选人在竞选期间的推文(以及相应的参与度)。语气的表现符合预期。措辞消极的推文总体上获得了更多的点赞和转发,但其效果的强弱因候选人而异。两极化言论的表现不同。事实证明,使用极化和去极化修辞比使用中性信息效果更好,但使用去极化修辞比使用极化修辞产生的参与度更高。这项研究表明,候选人的知名度并不一定与其更多地使用推特、更多地使用极化修辞或强调负面情绪相对应。这篇文章为推特上积极的团结信息的潜在作用提供了一线希望(现在是 X)。
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引用次数: 0
Latin America’s Polarization in Comparative Perspective 从比较角度看拉丁美洲的两极分化
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2024.17
Jennifer McCoy
Political polarization is a systemic-level and multifaceted process that severs cross-cutting ties and shifts perceptions of politics to a zero-sum game. When it turns pernicious, political actors and supporters view opponents as an existential threat and the capacity of democratic institutions to process political conflict breaks down. The article identifies four common fault lines of polarization globally – who belongs, democracy, inequality and social contract. It argues that while Latin American countries experience, to varying degrees, all four of the fault lines, it is the deep-seated, persistent social hierarchies oriented around class, race, and place that stand out relative to other countries. Reaching consensus on reforms that may renew or reformulate agreements on the terms of the social contract, boundaries of community membership, and redressing social inequality is a tall task. Yet the region’s sustained consensus on the democratic rules of the game can provide the mechanisms for addressing this task if new majority coalitions can be formed.
政治两极分化是一个系统层面的多层面过程,它切断了交叉联系,使人们对政治的看法转变为零和游戏。当两极分化发展到恶性程度时,政治行动者和支持者会将对手视为生存威胁,民主机构处理政治冲突的能力也会崩溃。文章指出了全球两极分化的四个常见问题--归属、民主、不平等和社会契约。文章认为,虽然拉美国家在不同程度上都存在这四条断层,但与其他国家相比,以阶级、种族和地域为导向的根深蒂固、持续存在的社会等级制度更为突出。就改革达成共识,以更新或重新制定关于社会契约条款、社区成员界限和纠正社会不平等的协议,是一项艰巨的任务。然而,如果能够形成新的多数联盟,该地区对民主游戏规则的持续共识就能为完成这一任务提供机制。
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引用次数: 0
Disjointed Polarization in Chile’s Enduring Crisis of Representation 智利持久的代表权危机中脱节的两极分化
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2024.19
Juan Pablo Luna
This analytical essay proposes the notion of disjointed polarization to characterize the nature of polarization in contemporary Chile. In disjointed polarization, elite-level polarization does not lead to a successful electoral realignment. Disjointed polarization is thus consistent with a long-lasting crisis of representation in which a serial disconnect between politicians (pursuing different polarizing strategies) and a sizable fraction of the electorate persists, as voters remain alienated from old and emerging political elites. Because the structural changes that make disjointed polarization persist longer than expected in Chile today are widespread across Latin America, the essay speculates on the possibility that enduring disjointed polarization applies to other cases where neither a “populist realignment” nor “generative polarization” took place. Instead, disjointed polarization might reflect the onset of a new (non-partisan representation) normal.
这篇分析文章提出了 "脱节极化 "的概念,以描述当代智利两极分化的性质。在脱节的两极分化中,精英层面的两极分化不会导致成功的选举调整。因此,脱节极化与长期的代表危机是一致的,在这种情况下,政治家(追求不同的极化策略)和相当一部分选民之间的连续脱节持续存在,因为选民仍然疏远旧的和新的政治精英。由于结构性变化使得脱节的两极分化在智利持续的时间比预期的要长,而这种结构性变化在整个拉美地区都很普遍,因此文章推测,在其他既没有发生 "民粹主义调整 "也没有发生 "产生性两极分化 "的情况下,也有可能出现持久的脱节的两极分化。相反,脱节的两极分化可能反映了一种新的(无党派代表)常态的开始。
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引用次数: 0
Recent Trends in Mass-Level Ideological Polarization in Latin America 拉丁美洲群众意识形态两极分化的最新趋势
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2024.13
Paolo Moncagatta, Pedro Silva
This article offers an analysis of the changes in mass-level ideological polarization in Latin America. It provides a cross-national, region-wide assessment of polarization dynamics using survey data on left-right ideological identities. A novel indicator for measuring ideological polarization at the individual level is proposed, which is more compatible with theoretical conceptualizations of ideological polarization than other existing indicators. The indicator is applied to data from the AmericasBarometer surveys to measure degrees and changes in mass-level ideological polarization in 19 Latin American countries between 2006 and 2019. The study reveals a substantial process of mass-level ideological restructuring, accompanied by a region-wide increase in ideological polarization in Latin America taking place during the second decade of the twenty-first century. We also find that ideological polarization, albeit varying in intensity from country to country, is clearly present at the mass level in the majority of countries in the region.
本文分析了拉丁美洲大众意识形态两极分化的变化。文章利用左右意识形态认同的调查数据,对两极分化的动态进行了跨国家、全地区的评估。报告提出了一个衡量个人层面意识形态极化的新指标,与其他现有指标相比,该指标更符合意识形态极化的理论概念。该指标被应用于美洲晴雨表调查数据,以衡量 2006 至 2019 年间 19 个拉美国家大众层面意识形态极化的程度和变化。研究显示,在二十一世纪的第二个十年中,伴随着整个地区意识形态两极分化的加剧,拉丁美洲出现了大规模的意识形态结构调整。我们还发现,尽管各国意识形态两极分化的程度不同,但该地区大多数国家在大众层面都明显存在意识形态两极分化。
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引用次数: 0
Anti-corruption Audits and Citizens’ Trust in Audit and Auditee Institutions 反腐败审计与公民对审计和被审计机构的信任
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2024.10
Letícia Barbabela

Anticorruption audits may deter corruption and signal to citizens that institutions are proactively combating it. However, by detecting and reporting corruption, audits might also unintentionally erode trust in institutions. Therefore, the impact of audits potentially hinges on whether they uncover corruption. Audit institutions, not implicated in the corruption they uncover, might be less likely to experience a decline in trust compared to auditee institutions. This study uses survey and administrative data from Brazil, leveraging a federal anti-corruption program that randomly selects municipalities for auditing. Results do not support the claim that audits boost institutional trust. Individuals in audited municipalities show no different levels of trust in local government or the audit institution than those in non-audited municipalities, and the coefficients may even indicate a negative effect. Additionally, audit institutions may not be better insulated from the corrosive effects of uncovering corruption than the institutions they audit.

反腐败审计可以遏制腐败,并向公民发出机构正在积极打击腐败的信号。然而,通过发现和报告腐败,审计也可能无意中削弱人们对机构的信任。因此,审计的影响可能取决于它们是否揭露了腐败。与被审计机构相比,没有卷入所揭露腐败的审计机构可能不太可能出现信任度下降的情况。本研究使用了巴西的调查和行政数据,利用联邦反腐计划随机抽取市政当局进行审计。研究结果并不支持审计能提高机构信任度的说法。与未接受审计的城市相比,接受审计城市的个人对当地政府或审计机构的信任程度并无不同,系数甚至可能显示出负面影响。此外,审计机构可能并不比其审计的机构更能免受揭露腐败的腐蚀性影响。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction: The New Polarization in Latin America 导言:拉丁美洲新的两极分化
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2024.15
Rodolfo Sarsfield, Paolo Moncagatta, Kenneth M. Roberts

Mounting evidence suggests that Latin American democracies are characterized by politics and societies becoming more divisive, confrontational, and polarized. This process, which we define here as the “new polarization” in Latin America, seems to weaken the ability of democratic institutions to manage and resolve social and political conflicts. Although recent scholarship suggests that polarization is integral to contemporary patterns of democratic “backsliding” seen in much of the world, this new polarization in the region has not yet received systematic scholarly attention. Aiming to address this gap in the literature, the different contributions in this special issue revise the conceptualization, measurement, and theory of a multidimensional phenomenon such as polarization, including both its ideological and affective dimensions, as well as perspectives at the elite and mass levels of analysis. Findings shed light on the phenomenon of polarization as both a dependent and an independent variable, contributing to comparative literature on polarization and its relationship to democratic governance.

越来越多的证据表明,拉美民主政体的特点是政治和社会变得更加分裂、对抗和两极化。我们在此将这一过程定义为拉丁美洲的 "新两极分化",它似乎削弱了民主体制管理和解决社会与政治冲突的能力。尽管最近的学术研究表明,两极分化是当代世界许多地区民主 "倒退 "模式的组成部分,但该地区的这种新的两极分化尚未得到系统的学术关注。为了弥补文献中的这一空白,本特刊中的不同文章对两极分化这种多维现象的概念、测量和理论进行了修订,包括其意识形态和情感层面,以及精英和大众层面的分析视角。研究结果揭示了作为因变量和自变量的两极分化现象,为有关两极分化及其与民主治理关系的比较文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic Resources for Drug Trafficking Organizations and the Geography of Violence: Evidence from Mexico 贩毒组织的战略资源与暴力地理:墨西哥的证据
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2024.11
Martín Macías-Medellín, Aldo F. Ponce

This article helps understand why locations close to strategic infrastructure to transport illegal drugs (seaports, airports, highways, and US ports of entry along the Mexico-US border) or to increase income (pipelines) experience different levels of violence due to DTOs operations. Our theory breaks down the impact of the geographical distance to these facilities on violence into two effects. The first effect is produced by the level of (violent) competition among DTOs, measured by the number of DTOs employing violence. We report that greater proximity to the U.S. ports of entry along the Mexico-US border, ports, and airports furthers the number of competitors, and such increase boosts violence. The second effect shapes the intensity of competition among DTOs. Reductions in the costs of excluding competing DTOs from using the facility could trigger greater confrontation among DTOs. We confirm the importance of this second effect in relation to ports and the U.S. ports of entry along the Mexico-US border.

这篇文章有助于理解为什么靠近用于运输非法毒品的战略基础设施(海港、机场、高速公路和墨美边境的美国入境口岸)或用于增加收入的战略基础设施(输油管道)的地区会因贩毒组织的活动而经历不同程度的暴力。我们的理论将这些设施的地理距离对暴力的影响细分为两种效应。第一种影响来自于 DTO 之间的(暴力)竞争程度,以 DTO 使用暴力的数量来衡量。我们的报告显示,墨西哥与美国边境、港口和机场距离美国入境口岸越近,竞争者的数量就越多,而竞争者数量的增加会加剧暴力。第二种效应影响了贩毒组织之间的竞争强度。排除竞争的 DTO 使用设施的成本降低,可能会引发 DTO 之间更大的对抗。我们证实了第二种效应在墨西哥-美国边境沿线的港口和美国入境口岸方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Latin American Politics and Society
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