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Bolsonaro and the Black Vote: Racial Voting in Brazil’s 2018 Election 博索纳罗和黑人投票:巴西2018年选举中的种族投票
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.8
David De Micheli
Two competing narratives characterize the role of race in Brazil’s 2018 election. Journalists observe that Jair Bolsonaro “entranced” nonwhite voters while “insulting them.” Scholars argue that Bolsonaro politicized race, costing him nonwhite support. In contrast, this article argues that racialized patterns of voter behavior were not distinct from those in recent general elections, and that voters’ electoral choices varied within as well as between racial categories. This study incorporates recent findings on racial subjectivity in Brazil, which emphasize the interaction of racial identification and educational status in shaping racial consciousness. Survey data show that racial differences are driven by highly educated black voters, who are least likely to support Bolsonaro compared to educated white voters and more likely to support leftist candidates. By incorporating findings on racial subjectivity into theoretical predictions and leveraging the 2018 election, this study identifies conditions in which racial identification operates to shape electoral behavior.
两种相互竞争的说法描述了种族在2018年巴西大选中的作用。记者观察到,Jair Bolsonaro在“侮辱”非白人选民的同时“迷住”了他们。学者们认为,Bolsonaroo将种族政治化,使他失去了非白人的支持。相比之下,这篇文章认为,选民行为的种族化模式与最近的大选没有什么不同,选民的选举选择在种族类别内和种族类别之间都有所不同。这项研究结合了最近关于巴西种族主体性的研究结果,强调种族认同和教育地位在塑造种族意识方面的相互作用。调查数据显示,种族差异是由受过高等教育的黑人选民推动的,与受过教育的白人选民相比,他们最不可能支持博索纳罗,更可能支持左翼候选人。通过将种族主观性的研究结果纳入理论预测,并利用2018年的选举,本研究确定了种族认同影响选举行为的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating Parties’ Policy Positions in Uruguay: Comparing Scaling Methods Based on Legislative Speeches and Roll-Call Votes 评估乌拉圭政党的政策立场:基于立法演讲和点名表决的缩放方法比较
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.12
D. Luján, N. Schmidt, Juan A Moraes
This research note takes advantage of a novel dataset to analyze legislators’ behavior in Uruguay’s Parliament. Comparing the positions of legislators based on floor speeches and roll-call voting, it discusses the relationship between discourse and voting among individual legislators and parties. The dataset contains more than 57,000 speeches from more than 1,000 Uruguayan legislators between 1985 and 2015 and its related R package. The study estimates the parties’ policy positions on the basis of two data sources, roll-call votes and floor speeches, and then compares both results. Contrary to expectations, no clear association appears between the two scaling methods, demonstrating that vote and legislative speech may reflect the behavior of individual legislators with potentially conflicting goals. Strategic calculations or party discipline may be plausible explanations for the divergent results obtained from text and roll-call scaling methods.
本研究报告利用一个新颖的数据集来分析乌拉圭议会中立法者的行为。通过对议员发言与唱名投票的对比,探讨了议员个人与政党之间的话语与投票的关系。该数据集包含1985年至2015年期间1000多名乌拉圭立法者的57,000多篇演讲及其相关的R包。该研究基于两个数据来源——唱名表决和现场演讲——来估计两党的政策立场,然后对两种结果进行比较。与预期相反,两种衡量方法之间没有明显的关联,这表明投票和立法演讲可能反映了具有潜在冲突目标的立法者个体的行为。战略计算或党的纪律可能是对文本和唱名比例法得出的不同结果的合理解释。
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引用次数: 0
Who Is Responsible for the Emergency Aid? Cash Transfer and Presidential Approval During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Brazil 谁对紧急援助负责?巴西COVID-19大流行期间的现金转移和总统批准
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.17
Frederico Batista Pereira, Guilherme A. Russo, Felipe Nunes
Studies show that cash transfer programs increase incumbent approval through their financial impact and clear association with the executive. But does this effect hold when it is the legislature rather than the incumbent proposing the program? Amid the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, more than 60 million Brazilians received an emergency assistance payment that was proposed by Congress against resistance from the executive. This study leverages this unique case to examine if cash transfer programs affect presidential approval under circumstances of unclear responsibility. Survey results showed that while approval ratings increased, the public was divided about who was responsible for the program. Moreover, a survey-experiment that informed respondents about the negotiations between the president and Congress found that information improves views about Congress but does not affect presidential approval. The results suggest that even cash transfer programs may promote limited vertical accountability in contexts of unclear policy responsibility.
研究表明,现金转移计划通过其财务影响和与高管的明确联系,提高了在职人员的支持率。但是,当是立法机关而不是现任政府提出该计划时,这种效果是否成立?在2020年2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,6000多万巴西人不顾行政部门的抵制,获得了国会提出的紧急援助款项。本研究利用这一独特的案例来考察在责任不明确的情况下,现金转移计划是否会影响总统的批准。调查结果显示,虽然支持率上升,但公众对谁该为该计划负责存在分歧。此外,一项让受访者了解总统与国会之间谈判的调查实验发现,信息改善了对国会的看法,但并不影响对总统的认可。结果表明,在政策责任不明确的情况下,即使是现金转移计划也可能促进有限的垂直问责制。
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引用次数: 0
Jennifer Adair , In Search of the Lost Decade: Everyday Rights in Post-Dictatorship Argentina. Berkeley: University of California Press, 2020. Illustrations, notes, bibliography, index, 208 pp.; hardcover $85.00, paperback $34.95, ebook $34.95. 詹妮弗·阿代尔,《寻找失去的十年:独裁统治后阿根廷的日常权利》。伯克利:加州大学出版社,2020年。插图、注释、参考书目、索引,208页;精装本85美元,平装本34.95美元,电子书34.95美元。
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2022.70
J. Schaefer
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引用次数: 0
Enforcing Citizen Participation Through Litigation: Analyzing the Outcomes of Anti-Dam Movements in Brazil and Chile 通过诉讼强制公民参与:分析巴西和智利反大坝运动的结果
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.7
Marie-Sophie Heinelt, Valesca Lima
ABSTRACT In environmental politics, social movements play a crucial role, promoting participatory rights and confronting injustice, inequality, and the interests of the powerful. This article examines an underexplored topic in the literature on social movements, especially in Latin America: the use of litigation to force decisionmakers to comply with participatory formats, specifically in the course of opposition to hydroelectric dams. These projects often are destructive to the local environment and communities. This study examines four cases of environmental litigation that halted dam construction in Brazil and Chile, singling out causal pathways for successful collective action. It focuses on two dimensions of movement success: the implementation of participatory formats and the resulting cancellation of dam projects. In line with the joint effect model of social movement theory, the cross-case comparison of legal disputes shows that pursuing legal strategies in parallel to broad social mobilization and the support of institutional allies, can lead to successful outcomes.
在环境政治中,社会运动发挥着至关重要的作用,促进参与权利,对抗不公正、不平等和权势者的利益。本文探讨了社会运动文献中一个未被充分探讨的话题,特别是在拉丁美洲:利用诉讼迫使决策者遵守参与式形式,特别是在反对水力发电大坝的过程中。这些项目往往对当地环境和社区造成破坏。本研究考察了巴西和智利的四个环境诉讼案例,这些案例导致大坝建设停止,并找出了成功集体行动的因果途径。它侧重于运动成功的两个方面:参与式模式的实施和由此导致的水坝项目的取消。根据社会运动理论的联合效应模型,法律纠纷的跨案例比较表明,在广泛的社会动员和制度盟友的支持下,追求法律策略可以带来成功的结果。
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引用次数: 2
Lost in Corporate Translation: How Firms Mediate Between Social Mobilization and Regulatory Intervention in the Extractive Sector 迷失在企业翻译中:企业如何在采掘业的社会动员和监管干预之间进行调解
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2022.63
P. Haslam, Julieta Godfrid
ABSTRACT Firms should be considered as actors that potentially mediate between social movement pressures and policy outcomes. This article shows that at the mining project level, social mobilization can generate important changes in corporate practices toward nearby communities, and that these practices can undermine the cohesion of social movement coalitions advocating for regulatory intervention or reform, thus limiting their ability to make compelling claims on the state. In this way, company interpretations of and responses to protest are an important mediating process that conditions civil society efforts to activate state institutions in their favor. This argument extends recent work on the social foundations of regulation in Latin America by including corporate actors. The article is based on a comparative case study of the Pascua Lama/Veladero mining projects in both Argentina and Chile, using both secondary sources and primary field research.
摘要企业应被视为可能在社会运动压力和政策结果之间进行调解的行动者。这篇文章表明,在采矿项目层面,社会动员可能会导致企业对附近社区的做法发生重要变化,这些做法可能会破坏倡导监管干预或改革的社会运动联盟的凝聚力,从而限制他们对国家提出令人信服的主张的能力。这样,公司对抗议的解释和回应是一个重要的调解过程,它为民间社会激活有利于他们的国家机构提供了条件。这一论点扩展了最近关于拉丁美洲监管社会基础的工作,将企业行为者纳入其中。本文基于对阿根廷和智利Pascua Lama/Veladero采矿项目的比较案例研究,采用了二次来源和一次实地研究。
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引用次数: 2
Poverty, Partisanship, and Vote Buying in Latin America 拉丁美洲的贫困、党派之争与选票购买
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2022.66
M. Justesen, L. Manzetti
ABSTRACT Electoral contests in Latin America are often characterized by attempts by political parties to sway the outcome of elections using vote buying—a practice that seems to persist during elections throughout the region. This article examines how clientelist parties’ use of vote buying is jointly shaped by two voter traits: poverty and partisanship. We hypothesize that clientelist parties pursue a mixed strategy, broadly targeting their core voters but also poor swing voters. While most of the existing evidence comes from single-country studies, this study adds cross-national evidence from multilevel regressions of survey data from 22 Latin American countries. Empirically, we find that poverty matters mainly for swing voters. For partisans, the effect of poverty on vote buying is weaker. These results suggest that poverty plays an important role in vote-buying strategies—but also that partisanship moderates clientelistic parties’ vote-buying strategies during electoral campaigns.
摘要拉丁美洲的选举竞争通常以政党试图通过购买选票来影响选举结果为特征,这种做法在整个地区的选举中似乎一直存在。这篇文章探讨了客户主义政党对选票购买的使用是如何由两个选民特征共同形成的:贫困和党派偏见。我们假设,客户主义政党奉行混合策略,广泛针对他们的核心选民,但也针对贫穷的摇摆选民。虽然大多数现有证据来自单一国家的研究,但这项研究增加了来自22个拉丁美洲国家调查数据多级回归的跨国家证据。根据经验,我们发现贫困主要对摇摆不定的选民很重要。对于党派人士来说,贫困对选票购买的影响较弱。这些结果表明,贫困在选票购买策略中发挥着重要作用,但党派偏见也在竞选期间调节了客户主义政党的选票购买策略。
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引用次数: 0
Parties and Civil Society in Latin America: The Dominance of Contingent and Frayed Linkages 拉丁美洲的政党和公民社会:偶然和磨损联系的主导地位
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2022.65
M. Singer
Edwin F. Ackerman, Origins of the Mass Party: Dispossession and Party Form in Mexico and Bolivia. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2022. Figures, tables, abbreviations, notes, appendixes, bibliography, index, 197 pp.; hardcover $74, ebook $72.99. Juan Pablo Luna, Rafael Piñeiro Rodríguez, Fernando Rosenblatt, and Gabriel Vommaro, eds. Diminished Parties: Democratic Representation in Contemporary Latin America. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2021. Figures, tables, abbreviations, notes, bibliography, index, 341 pp.; hardcover $120, paperback $29.99 (forthcoming), ebook $120. Fernando Rosenblatt, Party Vibrancy and Democracy in Latin America. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2018. Figures, tables, abbreviations, notes, appendixes, bibliography, index, 276 pp.; hardcover $96, paperback $34.95, ebook $31.82. Brandon Van Dyck, Democracy Against Parties: The Divergent Fates of America’s New Left Contenders. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 2021. Figures, tables, abbreviations, notes, bibliography, index, 276 pp.; hardcover $55, ebook $48.45.
埃德温·阿克曼:《群众党的起源:墨西哥和玻利维亚的剥夺与政党形式》。牛津:牛津大学出版社,2022。图表、表格、缩写、注释、附录、参考书目、索引,共197页;精装版74美元,电子书72.99美元。Juan Pablo Luna, Rafael Piñeiro Rodríguez, Fernando Rosenblatt和Gabriel Vommaro编。削弱政党:当代拉丁美洲的民主代表制。剑桥:剑桥大学出版社,2021。图表、表格、缩写、注释、参考书目、索引,341页;精装本120美元,平装本29.99美元(即将出版),电子书120美元。费尔南多·罗森布拉特:《拉丁美洲的政党活力与民主》。牛津:牛津大学出版社,2018。图、表、缩写、注释、附录、参考书目、索引,276页;精装本96美元,平装本34.95美元,电子书31.82美元。布兰登·范·戴克,《反对政党的民主:美国新左派竞争者的不同命运》。匹兹堡:匹兹堡大学出版社,2021年。图、表、缩写、注释、参考书目、索引,276页;精装版55美元,电子书48.45美元。
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引用次数: 1
Pablo Ruiz-Tagle, Five Republics and One Tradition: A History of Constitutionalism in Chile, 1810–2020. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2021. Appendix, tables, bibliography, index, 305 pp.; hardcover $110, paperback $30. 巴勃罗·鲁伊斯-塔格莱:《五个共和国和一个传统:1810-2020年智利宪政史》。纽约:剑桥大学出版社,2021。附录,表格,参考书目,索引,305页;精装本110美元,平装本30美元。
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-05-15 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2022.71
Patricio D. Navia
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引用次数: 0
From Second-Best to First-Best Veto Point: Explaining the Changing Uses of Judicial Review and Referendums in Uruguay 从第二名到第一名维托观点:解释乌拉圭司法审查和公民投票用途的变化
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2022.50
F. Antía, D. Vairo
ABSTRACT The use of veto points to block policy change has received significant attention in Latin America, but the different institutional venues have not been analyzed in a unified framework. Uruguay is exceptional in that political actors use both referendums and judicial review as effective ways to oppose public policies. While the activation of direct democracy mechanisms in Uruguay has been widely studied, the surge in the use of the judicial venue remains underexplored. This article argues that veto point use responds to the ideological content of policies adopted by different coalitions and the type of interest organization affected. It shows that policy opponents predominantly activate referendums when center-right coalitions rule and judicial review when center-left coalitions govern. It illustrates the causal argument by tracing the politics of court and referendum activation. This approach helps to bridge the gap between research on direct democracy and judicial politics, providing a unified framework.
使用否决点阻止政策变化在拉丁美洲受到了极大的关注,但尚未在统一的框架内分析不同的制度场所。乌拉圭的例外之处在于,政治行动者利用公民投票和司法审查作为反对公共政策的有效途径。尽管人们对乌拉圭启动直接民主机制的问题进行了广泛研究,但对司法场所使用激增的问题仍然没有充分探索。本文认为,否决点的使用与不同联盟所采取政策的意识形态内容和受影响的利益组织类型有关。研究表明,当中右翼联盟执政时,政策反对者主要激活公民投票,而当中左翼联盟执政时则激活司法审查。它通过追溯法院和公民投票激活的政治来说明因果论点。这种方法有助于弥合直接民主和司法政治研究之间的差距,提供一个统一的框架。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Latin American Politics and Society
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