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Approaching Equality? Media Treatment of Male and Female Members of Presidential Cabinets in a Cross-Country Comparison 接近平等?总统内阁男女成员的媒体待遇跨国比较
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.42
Brenna Armstrong, Michelle M. Taylor-Robinson
Generalizability of extant findings about media treatment of women in politics is uncertain because most research examines candidates for the legislature or heads of government, and little work moves beyond Anglo-American countries. We examine six presidential cabinets in Costa Rica, Uruguay, and the United States, which provide differing levels of women’s incorporation into government. These cases permit us to test hypotheses arguing that differences in media treatment of men and women cabinet ministers will decrease as women’s inclusion in government expands, and that media treatment of women is more critical when women head departments associated with masculine gender stereotypes. Results show that greater incorporation of women into government is associated with fewer gendered differences in media coverage, tone of minister coverage is more favorable for women who hold masculine stereotyped portfolios, and that the media does present qualifications of women cabinet ministers.
由于大多数研究都是针对立法机构候选人或政府首脑的,很少有研究涉及英美国家以外的地区,因此有关媒体对待从政女性的现有研究结果的可推广性并不确定。我们对哥斯达黎加、乌拉圭和美国的六个总统内阁进行了研究,这些内阁为女性进入政府提供了不同程度的帮助。通过这些案例,我们可以验证以下假设:随着女性在政府中任职人数的增加,媒体在对待男女内阁部长方面的差异会减小;当女性领导与男性性别刻板印象相关的部门时,媒体对待女性的态度更为关键。结果表明,女性更多地进入政府与媒体报道中的性别差异较小有关,部长报道的基调对担任男性刻板印象部门的女性更有利,而且媒体确实介绍了女性内阁部长的资历。
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引用次数: 0
The Ideology of Brazilian Parties and Presidents: A Research Note on Coalitional Presidentialism Under Stress 巴西政党和总统的意识形态:关于压力下联盟总统制的研究说明
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-24 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.24
Cesar Zucco, Timothy J. Power
This research note contributes updated and extended point estimates of the ideological positions of Brazilian political parties and novel estimates of the positions of all presidents since redemocratization in 1985. Presidents and parties are jointly responsible for the operability of Brazil’s version of coalitional presidentialism. Locating these key political actors in a unidimensional left–right space over time reveals rising challenges to the institutional matrix, particularly since 2013. Ideological polarization among parties has sharply increased, presidents have become more distant from Congress, and the political center has become increasingly vacated. Coalitional presidentialism is being subjected to unprecedented ideological stress as President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva begins his third term in office.
本研究报告对巴西各政党的意识形态立场进行了更新和扩展的点估计,并对自 1985 年重新民主化以来所有总统的立场进行了新的估计。总统和政党对巴西联合总统制的可操作性负有共同责任。随着时间的推移,将这些关键的政治参与者定位在单维的左右空间中,可以发现制度矩阵面临着日益严峻的挑战,尤其是自 2013 年以来。各政党之间的意识形态两极分化急剧加剧,总统与国会的距离越来越远,政治中心越来越空虚。随着路易斯-伊纳西奥-卢拉-达席尔瓦总统开始其第三个任期,联盟总统制正承受着前所未有的意识形态压力。
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引用次数: 0
The new corruption crusaders: Security sector ties as an anti-corruption voting heuristic 新的反腐斗士:作为反腐败投票启发式的安全部门关系
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-18 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.39
Luiz Vilaça, Jacob R. Turner

Despite the salience of corruption in elections in Latin America and beyond, it remains unclear what makes certain candidates attractive to voters as solutions to address corruption. Building on studies about the effect of candidates’ professional affiliation on voting behavior, we hypothesize that police and military officers are perceived to be more competent to address corruption. We test our theoretical expectations through an online survey of Brazilian voters with an image-based factorial experiment that presents respondents with three randomly generated handbills, varying candidates’ professional affiliations and potential confounders, such as economic policy, insider versus outsider status, and demographic features. Our results demonstrate that candidates affiliated with the police or the military are perceived to be more effective at reducing corruption, all else equal. The effect of police or military professions on candidates’ perceived effectiveness to fight corruption varies according to respondents’ ideology and is particularly significant among conservative voters.

尽管腐败问题在拉美及其他地区的选举中十分突出,但仍不清楚是什么原因使某些候选人能够吸引选民,成为解决腐败问题的方案。基于有关候选人职业归属对投票行为影响的研究,我们假设警察和军官被认为更有能力解决腐败问题。我们通过对巴西选民进行在线调查,并采用基于图像的因子实验来验证我们的理论预期。该实验向受访者展示了三种随机生成的宣传单,候选人的职业归属和潜在的混杂因素(如经济政策、内部人与外部人身份以及人口特征)各不相同。我们的结果表明,在其他条件相同的情况下,隶属于警察或军队的候选人被认为能更有效地减少腐败。受访者的意识形态不同,警察或军人职业对候选人反腐效果的影响也不同,在保守派选民中尤为显著。
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引用次数: 0
“I Would Prefer Not To”: Establishing the Missing Link between Invalid Voting and Public Protest in Latin America "我宁愿不投票建立拉丁美洲无效投票与公众抗议之间的缺失联系
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-18 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.29
Alberto Lioy

While invalid voting is often treated as protest behavior in an electoral context, its association with actual political protests has not yet been empirically demonstrated. The relative scarcity of research on the topic is likely due to the hybrid nature of invalid voting as a both formal and informal political gesture. The novel availability of event-based data for public protests in Latin America allows for testing whether their occurrence is connected with changes in spoiled and blank ballots. Using an appropriate dynamic regression model covering variations in the 148 intervals between Latin American legislative elections in the 1979–2021 period, this study finds a strong connection between the emergence of antigovernment protests and surges in invalid voting (and vice versa). This relationship still holds at parity of economic conditions and it is reinforced by a lack of alternation in the party of power. Conversely, the appearance of workers’ strikes appears to work as a substitute for this behavior, which is also chosen by voters when democracy deteriorates, while corruption has no independent impact on invalid voting. Overall this work’s findings promise to send the research agenda on invalid voting in a new direction, previously unexplored because of an absence of fitting data.

虽然无效投票通常被视为选举背景下的抗议行为,但其与实际政治抗议的关联性尚未得到实证证明。有关该主题的研究相对较少,这可能是由于无效投票作为正式和非正式政治姿态的混合性质。拉丁美洲公众抗议活动的事件数据新颖易得,可检验抗议活动的发生是否与废票和白票的变化有关。本研究使用了一个适当的动态回归模型,涵盖了 1979-2021 年期间拉丁美洲立法选举之间 148 个间隔期的变化,发现反政府抗议的出现与无效投票的激增(反之亦然)之间存在密切联系。在经济条件相同的情况下,这种关系依然存在,并且由于执政党没有更替而得到加强。相反,工人罢工的出现似乎可以替代这种行为,当民主恶化时,选民也会选择这种行为,而腐败对无效投票没有独立的影响。总之,这项工作的发现有望将无效投票的研究议程推向一个新的方向,而此前由于缺乏拟合数据,这方面的研究尚未展开。
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引用次数: 0
Inside the Black Box: Uncovering Dynamics and Characteristics of the Chilean Central Government Bureaucracy with a Novel Dataset 黑箱内部:利用新数据集揭示智利中央政府官僚机构的动态和特征
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.41
Daniel Brieba, Mauricio-René Herrera-Marín, Marcelo Riffo, Danilo Garrido

This article examines bureaucracies using a novel dataset of Chilean central government employees from 2006 to 2020. Unlike perception-based sources, this dataset provides objective, disaggregated, and longitudinal insights into bureaucrats’ characteristics and careers. The authors validate it against official employment statistics and conduct an exploratory and descriptive analysis, presenting six descriptive findings about the Chilean bureaucracy that cannot be discovered using available aggregate data. The analysis reveals significant degrees of personnel stability and professionalization in the civil service, but with considerable rigidity in careers and substantial interagency heterogeneity in turnover, wages, and exposure to political cycles. These findings suggest that the Chilean national bureaucracy is mostly well developed along Weberian lines, though not uniformly so. These measurements also serve as a benchmark for comparing other Latin American bureaucracies in the future.

本文利用 2006 年至 2020 年智利中央政府雇员的新数据集研究了官僚机构。与基于感知的资料来源不同,该数据集提供了对官僚特征和职业生涯的客观、分类和纵向洞察。作者根据官方就业统计数据对数据集进行了验证,并进行了探索性和描述性分析,提出了关于智利官僚机构的六项描述性发现,这些发现是现有综合数据所无法发现的。分析结果表明,公务员队伍的人员稳定性和专业化程度很高,但职业生涯相当僵化,机构间在更替、工资和受政治周期影响方面存在很大的异质性。这些研究结果表明,智利的国家官僚机构大多是按照韦伯的思路发展起来的,尽管并不一致。这些测量结果也可作为今后比较其他拉丁美洲官僚机构的基准。
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引用次数: 0
Transitioning Guerrillas: An Analysis of the Internal Cohesion of the Former FARC in Their Transit from War to Democracy 过渡游击队:分析前哥伦比亚革命武装力量从战争向民主过渡的内部凝聚力
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.37
Juan E. Ugarriza, Rafael C. Quishpe, Diana C. Acuña, Mónica A. Salazar
The emergence of ex-rebels’ political parties after peace accords creates a vehicle for political reintegration, which in turn has positive effects on peace and democracy consolidation after war. However, many of these parties tend to break apart and disappear, elevating the risk of renewed cycles of political violence. In times of war, cohesion plays a pivotal role in maintaining the bonds among members of armed organizations. It empowers them to perform effectively even in the face of challenging conditions and continues to be a critical factor during postconflict transitions. By means of a quantitative analysis of former FARC guerrillas in Colombia, now part of a newly founded legal political party, we test whether ideology, organizational dynamics, or individual perceptions and motivations help to explain their levels of cohesion. Our results show that even if all dimensions add up to the observed cohesion levels, perceptions of internal democracy, and inclusion, are the most relevant. We argue that assistance to former rebels in their organizational reengineering efforts after war will help to reduce the risk of the negative effects of rebel party collapse.
在和平协定之后,前叛军政党的出现为政治重新融合创造了一个工具,这反过来又对战后的和平与民主巩固产生了积极影响。然而,这些政党中有许多倾向于分裂和消失,这增加了政治暴力再次循环的风险。在战争时期,凝聚力在维持武装组织成员之间的联系方面发挥着关键作用。它使他们能够有效地执行任务,即使面对具有挑战性的条件,并继续成为冲突后过渡期间的关键因素。通过对哥伦比亚前FARC游击队(现在是新成立的合法政党的一部分)的定量分析,我们测试了意识形态、组织动态或个人观念和动机是否有助于解释他们的凝聚力水平。我们的结果表明,即使所有维度加起来观察到的凝聚力水平,内部民主和包容的看法是最相关的。我们认为,帮助前叛军在战后进行组织重组,将有助于降低叛军政党崩溃的负面影响风险。
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引用次数: 0
Partisan Stereotyping and Polarization in Brazil 巴西的党派成见与两极分化
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.38
David Samuels, Fernando Mello, Cesar Zucco
In recent decades, Brazilian voters have grown polarized between supporters of the Partido dos Trabalhadores (Workers’ Party, PT), known as petistas, and its opponents, known as antipetistas. What explains this animosity? One potential source of polarization is partisan stereotyping, a tendency for partisans to misperceive the social composition of both their own side’s bases of support as well as their opponents’. We show that most Brazilians overestimate the extent to which petistas and antipetistas belong to party-stereotypical groups such as Afro-Brazilians, evangelical Christians, or poor or rich people. We then show that stereotyping is associated with polarization: the greater the bias in perceived partisan group composition, the greater the perceptions of partisan political extremism and feelings of social distance toward the partisan out-group.
近几十年来,巴西选民在工人党(Partido dos Trabalhadores)和反工人党(antipetistas)的支持者和反对者之间出现了两极分化。如何解释这种敌意?两极分化的一个潜在来源是党派刻板印象,即党派倾向于误解自己和对手的支持基础的社会构成。我们的研究表明,大多数巴西人都高估了“亲民者”和“反亲民者”属于党派刻板印象群体的程度,比如非裔巴西人、福音派基督徒、穷人或富人。然后,我们发现刻板印象与两极分化有关:对党派群体构成的偏见越大,对党派政治极端主义的看法越大,对党派外群体的社会距离感也越大。
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引用次数: 0
Partial Presidential Vetoes and Executive–Legislative Bargaining: Chile, 1990–2018 总统部分否决与行政立法谈判:智利,1990-2018 年
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.33
Jorge Belmar Soto, Patricio Navia, Rodrigo Osorio
Defined as a credible threat that strengthens the bargaining position of the executive, presidential vetoes, widely understudied, carry a stigma of confrontation between state powers. But under some institutional setups, partial vetoes can be an additional step in the executive–legislative bargaining process. After a discussion of whether partial vetoes are a proactive legislative tool or a bargaining tool to induce executive–legislative cooperation, we test four hypotheses using the 2,346 bills introduced in Chile between 1990 and 2018 that reached a vetoable stage. We identified 97 partial vetoes (4.2 percent) and one total veto. Presidents are more likely to veto bills with more complex legislative processes and when they have stronger support in at least one chamber, but more popular presidents do not veto more bills. As most presidential vetoes in Chile are partial, they are an additional executive–legislative bargaining step in the lawmaking process rather than evidence of hyperpresidentialism.
总统否决权被定义为一种可信的威胁,可以加强行政部门的谈判地位,但广泛未得到充分研究,它带有国家权力之间对抗的污名。但在一些机构设置下,部分否决可能是行政-立法谈判过程中的一个额外步骤。在讨论了部分否决是一种积极的立法工具还是一种诱导行政-立法合作的讨价还价工具之后,我们使用1990年至2018年期间在智利提出的2346项法案来检验四种假设。我们确定了97个部分否决(4.2%)和一个完全否决。总统更有可能否决具有更复杂立法程序的法案,如果他们在至少一个议院中获得更强大的支持,但更受欢迎的总统不会否决更多的法案。由于智利的大多数总统否决权都是部分的,它们是立法过程中额外的行政立法谈判步骤,而不是超级总统主义的证据。
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引用次数: 0
The Bureaucratic Politics of Urban Land Rights: (Non)Programmatic Distribution in São Paulo’s Land Regularization Policy 城市土地权利的官僚政治:圣保罗土地正规化政策中的(非)规划分配
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-04 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.35
Marcela Alonso Ferreira

How do bureaucrats implement public policy when faced with political intermediation? This article examines this issue in the distribution of land rights to informal settlements in the municipality of São Paulo, Brazil. Land regularization is a policy established over three decades, where politicians’ requests for land titles to their constituencies play a relevant role. Based on interviews and documents, this study finds that bureaucrats adopt a twofold approach to regulate distribution: they document informal settlements, enacting eligibility criteria; then, they manage and prioritize beneficiaries, accommodating qualifying political demands. In this process, they enforce eligibility rules consistently across cases, constraining political intermediation to a rational scheme. Therefore, bureaucrats reconcile nonprogrammatic politics and policy rules by separating eligibility assessment from beneficiary selection. This paper bridges urban distributive politics and street-level bureaucracy literature by revealing that policy implementers may use technical expertise to curb political influence and negotiate conflicting interests and constraints.

面对政治中介,官僚如何执行公共政策?本文考察了巴西圣保罗市非正规住区土地权利分配中的这一问题。土地正规化是一项建立了30多年的政策,其中政治家对其选区土地所有权的要求发挥了相关作用。基于访谈和文献资料,本研究发现,官僚们采用了双重方法来规范分配:他们记录非正式住区,制定资格标准;然后,他们管理和优先考虑受益人,满足合格的政治要求。在这个过程中,他们在各个案件中一致地执行资格规则,将政治调解限制在一个合理的方案中。因此,官僚们通过将资格评估与受益人选择分开来协调非规划政治和政策规则。本文通过揭示政策执行者可能使用技术专长来抑制政治影响并协商冲突的利益和约束,将城市分配政治和街头官僚主义文献联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Who Gets Credit? Citizen Responses to Local Public Goods 谁有功劳?市民对地方公共物品的反应
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1017/lap.2023.25
Katherine McKiernan
In decentralized systems, citizens struggle to identify which level of government provides local goods. This problem is particularly salient in weakly institutionalized party environments, where politicians at different levels of government are less likely to benefit from partisan coattail effects. This article asks how citizens attribute credit for local public goods. I argue that citizens have a strong tendency to attribute credit to local politicians. As a result, citizens will respond differently to credit-claiming behavior by local and national politicians. Local politicians experience a ceiling effect, in which credit claiming has no effect on how citizens attribute credit. However, national politicians have no such ceiling and can claim credit to increase the likelihood that citizens will attribute credit to them. As a result, both political actors can receive credit for the same local goods. The article tests and supports these theoretical predictions using a vignette survey experiment in Colombia.
在分权体制中,公民很难确定哪一级政府提供本地产品。这个问题在制度化程度较弱的政党环境中尤为突出,在这种环境中,各级政府的政治家不太可能从党派连带效应中受益。这篇文章探讨了公民如何为地方公共产品赋予信用。我认为,市民有一种强烈的倾向,把功劳归功于当地的政治家。因此,公民对地方和国家政客的信用索取行为会有不同的反应。地方政客经历了一种天花板效应,即信用申请对公民如何评价信用没有影响。然而,国家政治家没有这样的上限,他们可以声称自己的功劳,以增加公民将功劳归于他们的可能性。因此,两个政治角色都可以从同样的当地商品中获得信用。文章测试和支持这些理论预测使用小插曲调查实验在哥伦比亚。
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引用次数: 0
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Latin American Politics and Society
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