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The COVID-19 pandemic and changes in spatio-temporal patterns of suicide: monthly variations among localities in Argentina. 新冠肺炎大流行和自杀时空模式的变化:阿根廷各地区的月度变化。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2279956
Carlos M Leveau, Guillermo A Velázquez

The aim of this study was to assess space-time clustering of suicide in Argentina between 2017 and 2020. A spatio-temporal scan statistic using a space-time permutation model was employed to retrospectively detect clusters of total suicides by sex and by age group. From 2017 to 2020, six statistically significant spatio-temporal clusters were identified in Argentina with either more or less suicides than expected. Two clusters extended from May 2019 to July and September 2020, while the remaining four clusters were detected only during 2020. The start of the COVID-19 pandemic seems to have changed the spatio-temporal patterns of suicide in Argentina. Despite the national decrease in the number of suicides during 2020 compared to previous years, the spatio-temporal analysis revealed both areas with decreases and increases in suicide. This heterogeneous scenario highlights the need for the study of local effects behind the emergence of these spatio-temporal suicide clusters.

这项研究的目的是评估2017年至2020年间阿根廷自杀的时空聚集性。采用时空排列模型进行时空扫描统计,按性别和年龄组回顾性检测总自杀人数。从2017年到2020年,阿根廷发现了六个具有统计学意义的时空集群,自杀人数比预期多或少。两个集群从2019年5月延伸到2020年7月和9月,而其余四个集群仅在2020年被检测到。新冠肺炎大流行的开始似乎改变了阿根廷自杀的时空模式。尽管与前几年相比,2020年全国自杀人数有所下降,但时空分析揭示了自杀人数减少和增加的两个领域。这种异质性场景突出了研究这些时空自杀集群出现背后的局部效应的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating injury severity interaction between urban and urban-rural fringe areas: a grouped random parameters seemingly unrelated bivariate probit approach. 调查城市和城乡边缘地区之间伤害严重程度的交互作用:分组随机参数看似不相关的双变量概率法。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2258352
Daiquan Xiao, Quan Yuan, Xuecai Xu, Shibo Zhang

Urban-rural integration is the critical process of urbanization, while during this process there are various corresponding problems generated, safety is the most important one, especially at urban-rural fringe areas due to mixed traffic flow and complicated land use. This study intended to investigate the injury severity interaction between urban area and urban-rural fringe area, and explore the correlation within injury severity levels and heterogeneity attributed to unobserved factors. To address the correlation and heterogeneity issues, a grouped random parameters seemingly unrelated bivariate (SUB) probit model was proposed, in which the SUB probit model addressed the correlation of residuals, while the random parameters model accommodated the heterogeneity due to unobserved factors. By comparing the pooled with random parameters models, the results showed that random parameters SUB probit model performed better than the pooled one, and the dataset collected from 2013 to 2017 in Chengdu, China was adopted to illustrate the proposed model. It is found that crash location, speed limit and age of person injured are significant for injury severity in urban and urban-rural fringe areas, but crash form plays a significant role in urban area while number of persons involved should be paid more attention due to injury severity in urban-rural fringe area. Some empirical suggestions are presented to improve the safety in urban and urban-rural fringe areas.

城乡一体化是城市化的关键过程,而在这一过程中会产生各种相应的问题,其中安全问题最为重要,尤其是在城乡边缘地区,由于交通流混杂、土地利用复杂,安全问题更为突出。本研究旨在调查城市地区与城乡边缘地区之间的伤害严重性交互作用,并探讨伤害严重性水平内部的相关性以及由非观测因素导致的异质性。为解决相关性和异质性问题,提出了分组随机参数看似不相关的双变量(SUB)probit 模型,其中 SUB probit 模型解决了残差的相关性问题,而随机参数模型则考虑了未观测因素导致的异质性问题。通过比较集合模型和随机参数模型,结果表明随机参数 SUB probit 模型的性能优于集合模型,并采用 2013 年至 2017 年在中国成都收集的数据集来说明所提出的模型。研究发现,在城市和城乡结合部,碰撞地点、限速和受伤者年龄对受伤严重程度有显著影响,但在城市地区,碰撞形式对受伤严重程度有显著影响,而在城乡结合部,由于受伤严重程度的影响,肇事人数应受到更多关注。本文提出了一些经验性建议,以改善城市和城乡边缘地区的安全状况。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the traffic safety performance of left-turn waiting areas at signalized intersections. 评估信号灯控制交叉路口左转等候区的交通安全性能。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2242333
Guopeng Zhang, Ying Cai, Xianghong Hu, Qianwei Xuan

Left-turn waiting area (LWA) is an innovative traffic design that is popularly applied to improve the traffic capacity of signalized intersections in China. The traffic safety impacts of the LWA, however, have not been fully discussed in previous studies. Thus, the study aims to evaluate the safety performance of the LWA by means of the traffic conflict technique. A field investigation was conducted to collect the post-encroachment time (PET) of conflicts and relevant variables at the signalized intersections in Jinhua, China. The Chi-square and two sample t-tests were adopted to examine the difference in conflict distribution between the intersections with and without LWA. The random parameter ordered logit model was employed to identify the factors contributing to the risks of vehicular collisions. Results indicate that (1) intersections with LWA are generally associated with more merging conflicts; (2) there are no significant discrepancies in the PET values between intersections with and without LWA; and (3) factors such as the number of left-turn lanes, number of receiving lanes, conflict type, vehicle type, driving direction, stopping outside LWA and overtaking behavior are identified to significantly impact the traffic conflicts. The findings serve to develop the countermeasures to ensure the safe operation of LWA.

左转等待区(LWA)是一种创新的交通设计,在中国被广泛应用于提高信号交叉口的通行能力。然而,以往的研究并未充分讨论左转等待区对交通安全的影响。因此,本研究旨在通过交通冲突技术来评估 LWA 的安全性能。通过实地调查,收集了中国金华市信号交叉口的冲突后时间(PET)和相关变量。采用卡方检验和双样本 t 检验来检验有 LWA 和无 LWA 交叉口的冲突分布差异。采用随机参数有序对数模型来确定导致车辆碰撞风险的因素。结果表明:(1) 有 LWA 的交叉口一般会有更多的并线冲突;(2) 有 LWA 和没有 LWA 的交叉口之间的 PET 值没有显著差异;(3) 左转车道数、接收车道数、冲突类型、车辆类型、行驶方向、在 LWA 外停车和超车行为等因素被确定为对交通冲突有显著影响。研究结果有助于制定对策,以确保左转弯车道的安全运行。
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引用次数: 0
Mediating role of emotional suppression in the relationship between psychological factors and intimate partner violence among couples with mixed-romantic orientations. 情感压抑在心理因素与亲密伴侣暴力之间的关系中起着中介作用。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2258505
A O Olaseni, R Oguntayo, J A Nel

Intimate partner violence (IPV) is considered a serious public health concern among couples, regardless of the sexual orientation. However, there is a dearth of data about the determining factors of IPV among couples with mixed-romantic orientations, and not much is known about the role that intra-psychic factors play in the relationship between psychological factors and IPV. Therefore, the study set out to examine the mediating role of emotional suppression in the relationship between psychological factors and IPV among couples with mixed-romantic orientations in Nigeria. The study adopted a correlational research design. A total of 241 respondents (61.4% identified as heterosexual and 38.6% as bisexual) in mixed-romantic orientation marriages, were engaged using respondents-driven sampling. Outcomes revealed that emotional suppression (indirectly) mediated the relationship between depressive symptoms [c'-path analysis; b = .029, t(240) = 108, p = <.01; bootstrap =.0573-1715], anxiety [c'-path analysis; b = .027, t(240) = -0.044, p = <.05; bootstrap = .108-.004], stress [c'-path analysis; b = 0.019, t(240) = 0.057, p = <.001; bootstrap = .0247-.0992] and IPV among couples with mixed-romantic orientations. It was concluded that emotional suppression directly and indirectly mediated the relationship between psychological factors and IPV. Recommendations and limitations are discussed.

亲密伴侣暴力(IPV)被认为是夫妻间一个严重的公共健康问题,无论性取向如何。然而,关于混合性倾向夫妇中 IPV 的决定性因素的数据却十分匮乏,而关于心理因素在心理因素与 IPV 之间的关系中所起的作用也知之甚少。因此,本研究旨在探讨情感压抑在尼日利亚具有混合恋爱倾向的夫妇中心理因素与 IPV 之间关系中的中介作用。研究采用了相关研究设计。研究采用受访者驱动抽样法,共调查了 241 对混合恋爱倾向婚姻中的受访者(61.4% 被认定为异性恋者,38.6% 被认定为双性恋者)。结果显示,情感压抑(间接)调解了抑郁症状之间的关系[c'-路径分析;b = .029,t(240) = 108,p = c'-路径分析;b = .027,t(240) = -0.044,p = c'-路径分析;b = 0.019,t(240) = 0.057,p = c'-路径分析]。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating mid-block pedestrian crossing behaviour and safety at urban streets in Cairo. 调查开罗城市街道中段的行人过街行为和安全。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2258857
Abduallah Bayomi, Mohamed Shawky, Ahmed Osama

Pedestrians are the most vulnerable road users in the transportation system. Understanding pedestrian behaviour and road safety culture is critical for improving traffic safety in developing countries. The primary goal of this 2-fold study is to provide an investigation of pedestrian behaviour in Egypt, a developing country. The first part of this study validated the applying of Pedestrian Behaviour Scale (PBS) to investigate pedestrian behaviour in Egypt. Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) was applied to 533 participants to assess the pedestrian's behavioural factors based on four validated categories: transgressions, lapses, aggressive and positive behaviours. The second part investigated pedestrian crossing behaviour at five different mid-block locations using video recordings. Then, logistic regression models were conducted to investigate pedestrian crossing safety. Males reported more aggressive behaviour than females. Pedestrians previously involved in a collision committed more transgressions and lapses. The presence of forced pedestrian crossing facilities, such as raised pedestrian crossings or traffic signals, significantly reduced the number of unsafe crossings when compared to uncontrolled pedestrian crossings. The aforementioned findings can be used by policymakers to improve road safety programs, create effective traffic safety campaigns, and enact appropriate laws, which could reduce the number of pedestrian-related crashes.

行人是交通系统中最易受伤害的道路使用者。了解行人行为和道路安全文化对于改善发展中国家的交通安全至关重要。本研究分为两个部分,主要目的是对发展中国家埃及的行人行为进行调查。本研究的第一部分验证了行人行为量表(PBS)的应用,以调查埃及的行人行为。对 533 名参与者进行了确证因子分析(CFA),根据四个已验证的类别评估行人的行为因素:违规行为、失足行为、攻击性行为和积极行为。第二部分使用视频记录对五个不同街区中间位置的行人过马路行为进行了调查。然后,采用逻辑回归模型对行人过街安全进行调查。与女性相比,男性报告的攻击性行为更多。曾经发生过碰撞事故的行人有更多的越线和失足行为。与不受控制的行人过街设施相比,强制行人过街设施(如高架行人过街设施或交通信号灯)的存在大大减少了不安全过街的次数。决策者可以利用上述研究结果改进道路安全计划,开展有效的交通安全宣传活动,并制定适当的法律,从而减少与行人有关的碰撞事故。
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引用次数: 0
Newspaper framing of motor vehicle crashes and road safety in Argentina. 阿根廷机动车碰撞和道路安全的报纸框架。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2266810
María Eugenia Keller, Rubén D Ledesma, Fernando M Poó, Margaret Peden

The media plays a key role in shaping the public's perception of road safety. This study analyzes the newspaper coverage and framing of motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) and road safety in Argentina, South America. The content of 304 articles published by 15 newspapers in November 2020 was reviewed. The results show that episodically framed news stories (focused on a single event or incident) prevail over thematically framed articles. MVCs are presented primarily as 'police' events and tend to receive more coverage when fatalities are involved. There is limited information provided on contextual and risk factors, and road safety advice is rarely included. Speeding, infrastructure, alcohol and other human-related variables are the most cited risk factors. Very few articles mention the use of protective devices (seat-belt, helmet and child restraint system). Although motorcyclists represent 40% of RTC deaths in Argentina, only 20% of the news coverage was about them. News coverage was quite similar in national and regional newspapers. There is an opportunity for the media to help build a better road safety culture, but significant changes in news framing are required. Practical recommendations for editors, journalists and road safety practitioners are provided.

媒体在塑造公众对道路安全的看法方面发挥着关键作用。本研究分析了报纸对南美洲阿根廷机动车碰撞(MVCs)和道路安全的报道和框架。回顾了15家报纸在2020年11月发表的304篇文章的内容。结果表明,情节性的新闻报道(关注单个事件或事件)胜过主题性的文章。MVC主要以“警察”事件的形式出现,当涉及死亡时,往往会得到更多的报道。提供的关于背景和风险因素的信息有限,道路安全建议很少包括在内。超速、基础设施、酒精和其他与人类相关的变量是被引用最多的风险因素。很少有文章提到使用保护装置(安全带、头盔和儿童约束系统)。尽管摩托车手占阿根廷RTC死亡人数的40%,但只有20%的新闻报道是关于他们的。全国性和地区性报纸的新闻报道非常相似。媒体有机会帮助建立更好的道路安全文化,但需要对新闻框架进行重大变革。为编辑、记者和道路安全从业人员提供了实用的建议。
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引用次数: 0
A systematic review of risk factors associated with road traffic crashes and injuries among commercial motorcycle drivers 对商用摩托车驾驶员道路交通事故和受伤相关风险因素的系统性研究
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-22 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2024.2319628
George Kiwango, Daudi Katopola, Filbert Francis, Jette Möller, Marie Hasselberg
To effectively reduce road traffic crashes (RTCs) and injuries interventions should be based on firm evidence regarding risk factors of RTCs and injuries in that specific population. Therefore, we ...
为有效减少道路交通事故(RTC)和伤害,干预措施应建立在有关特定人群道路交通事故和伤害风险因素的可靠证据基础上。因此,我们...
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引用次数: 0
Data-driven crash prediction by injury severity using a recurrent neural network model based on Keras framework. 基于Keras框架的递归神经网络模型损伤严重程度数据驱动碰撞预测。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-26 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2239211
Dajie Zuo, Cheng Qian, Daiquan Xiao, Xuecai Xu, Hui Wang

With the development of big data technology and the improvement of deep learning technology, data-driven and machine learning application have been widely employed. By adopting the data-driven machine learning method, with the help of clustering processing of data sets, a recurrent neural network (RNN) model based on Keras framework is proposed to predict the injury severity in urban areas. First, with crash data from 2014 to 2017 in Nevada, OPTICS clustering algorithm is employed to extract the crash injury in Las Vegas. Next, by virtue of Keras' high efficiency and strong scalability, the parameters of loss function, activation function and optimizer of the deep learning model are determined to realize the training of the model and the visualization of the training results, and the RNN model is constructed. Finally, on the basis of training and testing data, the model can predict the injury severity with high accuracy and high training speed. The results provide an alternative and some potential insights on the injury severity prediction.

随着大数据技术的发展和深度学习技术的完善,数据驱动和机器学习应用得到了广泛的应用。采用数据驱动的机器学习方法,通过对数据集进行聚类处理,提出了一种基于Keras框架的递归神经网络(RNN)模型,用于城市损伤严重程度预测。首先,利用内华达州2014 - 2017年的碰撞数据,采用OPTICS聚类算法提取拉斯维加斯的碰撞损伤。接下来,利用Keras的高效率和强可扩展性,确定深度学习模型的损失函数、激活函数和优化器的参数,实现模型的训练和训练结果的可视化,构建RNN模型。最后,在训练和测试数据的基础上,该模型能够以较高的准确率和较高的训练速度预测损伤的严重程度。该结果为损伤严重程度预测提供了一种替代方法和一些潜在的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Can job stress, health status and risky driving behaviours predict the crash risk level of taxi drivers? New evidence from China. 工作压力、健康状况和危险驾驶行为能否预测出租车司机的碰撞风险水平?来自中国的新证据。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-24 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2214887
Xuezhen Dai, Yu Cao, Yonggang Wang

Despite statistics indicating that China has the world's largest taxi industry, there exists limited research about the relationship between workplace health hazards and taxi driver occupational crashes. In this paper, a cross-sectional survey of taxi drivers in four typical Chinese cities was conducted, and data on their self-reported job stress, health status, and daily risky driving behaviours, together with crash involvement experience in the two years before the survey was collected. Three hypotheses were then developed, and they were verified via multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) that the seriousness of drivers' health problems and the frequency of their daily risky driving behaviours could be the accurate predictor of their crash risk of taxi drivers. These factors were subsequently substituted in a bivariate negative binomial (BNB) distribution model to determine the joint rate of at-fault taxi drivers' involvement in property-damage-only (PDO) and personal-injury (PI) crashes. The results offer some useful advice for policy development to decrease and prevent professional taxi drivers from causing severe traffic crashes.

尽管统计数据表明中国拥有世界上最大的出租车行业,但关于工作场所健康危害与出租车司机职业碰撞之间关系的研究有限。本文对中国四个典型城市的出租车司机进行了横断面调查,收集了调查前两年出租车司机自我报告的工作压力、健康状况、日常危险驾驶行为以及碰撞卷入经历等数据。然后提出了三个假设,并通过多变量方差分析(MANOVA)验证了司机健康问题的严重程度和他们日常危险驾驶行为的频率可以准确预测他们的出租车司机的碰撞风险。这些因素随后被替换为二元负二项(BNB)分布模型,以确定有过错的出租车司机参与仅财产损害(PDO)和人身伤害(PI)事故的联合比率。研究结果为政策制定提供了一些有益的建议,以减少和防止职业出租车司机造成严重的交通事故。
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引用次数: 0
Injury severity of single-vehicle large-truck crashes: accounting for heterogeneity. 单辆大型卡车碰撞的伤害严重程度:考虑异质性。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-27 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2239212
Md Al Adib Sarker, Alireza Rahimi, Ghazaleh Azimi, Xia Jin

This research examines the injury severity of single-vehicle large-truck crashes in Florida while exploring the role of heterogeneity. A random parameter ordered logit (RPOL) model was applied to 27,505 single-vehicle large-truck crashes from 2007 to 2016 in Florida, and the contributing factors were identified. Random parameters and interaction effects were introduced to the model to determine the heterogeneity and its potential sources. The results suggested that driving speed of 76-120 mph and defective tires were the most influential factors in crash injury severity, increasing the probability of severe crashes. Regarding truckers' attributes, asleep or fatigued conditions and driving under the influence were correlated with a higher possibility of severe crashes. Interestingly, the results showed that truckers from outside the state of Florida were less likely to cause severe single-vehicle large-truck crashes compared to their Floridian counterparts. Y-intersections were also found as a high-risk location for single-vehicle large-truck crashes, leading to more severe outcomes. Regarding heterogeneity, the results indicated that the impacts of driving speed (26-50 mph) and light condition (dark - not lighted) significantly varied among the observations, and these variations could be attributed to driver action, vision obstruction, driver distraction, roadway type and roadway alignment.

本研究在探讨异质性的作用的同时,考察了佛罗里达州单车辆大型卡车碰撞的伤害严重程度。采用随机参数有序logit (RPOL)模型分析了2007年至2016年美国佛罗里达州27505起单车大型卡车碰撞事故,并确定了影响因素。在模型中引入随机参数和相互作用效应来确定异质性及其潜在来源。结果表明,76-120 mph的行驶速度和轮胎缺陷是影响碰撞损伤严重程度的最重要因素,增加了严重碰撞的概率。就卡车司机的属性而言,睡眠或疲劳状态以及酒后驾驶与严重撞车的可能性较高相关。有趣的是,结果显示,与佛罗里达州的卡车司机相比,来自佛罗里达州以外的卡车司机不太可能造成严重的单车大型卡车撞车事故。y型十字路口也被发现是单人大型卡车撞车的高风险地点,导致更严重的后果。在异质性方面,研究结果表明,驾驶速度(26-50英里/小时)和光照条件(黑暗-无光照)的影响在不同的观察结果中存在显著差异,这些差异可归因于驾驶员行为、视觉障碍、驾驶员分心、道路类型和道路线形。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
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