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Lessons learned from characteristics of extraordinarily severe traffic crashes in China, 2004-2019. 2004-2019年中国特大交通事故特点的经验教训。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2279959
Lai Zheng, Peng Gu, Wei Wei

China has experienced remarkable achievements in terms of reducing the number of extraordinarily severe traffic crashes (ESTCs) that cause more than 10 deaths each crash. However, ESTCs still occur occasionally and result in extremely adverse social impacts. This study aims at investigating the common characteristics, characteristic patterns, and changes of characteristics of ESTCs in China with the expectation to learn from the past and act for the future. A total of 373 ESTCs occurred in 2004-2019 were collected, and characteristics of driver factors, road factors, vehicle factors, environment factors, and other factors were analyzed through the multiple correspondence analysis (MCA). The results show that run off road crashes, not qualified drivers, improper driving, large bus, overload, class II highway, and straight road sections are the most common categories of characteristics. In addition, four underlying characteristic patterns are identified through the MCA. Significant changes in characteristics and characteristic patterns are also found, and these changes are the results of various law enforcement, safety policies, educational interventions, and engineering interventions. It is also inferred that the specific law enforcement targeting to certain category of characteristics is more effective than the corresponding safety campaigns or policies in terms of ESTC prevention.

中国在减少每次造成10人以上死亡的特大交通事故数量方面取得了显著成就。然而,无害环境技术仍然偶尔发生,并造成极其不利的社会影响。本研究旨在探讨我国无害环境贸易的共同特征、特征模式和特征变化,以期惩前毖后。共收集了2004-2019年发生的373起ESTC,通过多元对应分析(MCA)对驾驶员因素、道路因素、车辆因素、环境因素等因素的特征进行了分析。结果表明,失控道路碰撞、驾驶员不合格、驾驶不当、大型客车、超载、二级公路和直行路段是最常见的特征类别。此外,通过MCA识别了四种潜在的特征模式。特征和特征模式也发生了重大变化,这些变化是各种执法、安全政策、教育干预和工程干预的结果。还可以推断,针对某一类特征的具体执法在无害环境污染预防方面比相应的安全运动或政策更有效。
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引用次数: 0
Multilevel structural equation modeling of willingness-to-pay for fatality risk reduction: perspectives of driver and district levels. 降低死亡风险支付意愿的多层次结构方程模型:驾驶员和地区层面的视角。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2266841
Panuwat Wisutwattanasak, Sajjakaj Jomnonkwao, Buratin Khampirat, I-Soon Raungratanaamporn, Vatanavongs Ratanavaraha

Road accidents remain a serious problem and directly affect drivers. Therefore, the perspectives of drivers are important in improving road safety. The objectives of this study are to empirically examine damage due to road accidents using the willingness-to-pay (WTP) approach and to analyze the factors that influence WTP at the driver and district levels. This study obtained data on WTP derived from car drivers across Thailand, which covers 96 districts. The value of statistical life was 824,344 USD per fatality (2,296 million USD annually). The results of Multilevel Structural Equation Modeling revealed a statistically important insight. At the driver level, the Health Belief Model and sociodemographic exert influence on the intention to pay. The demographic factor that has the greatest influence on perceived risk and leads to a high intention to pay is the working age group (γ = 0.826). However, when considering the HBM, perceived susceptibility (γ = 0.901) emerges as the most valuable factor influencing drivers' concerns about road accidents. On the other hand, district-level factors have a negative influence on the intention to pay for road safety measures. Among these factors, the law enforcement (γ = -0.555) practices implemented by local authorities have the most significant impact on drivers' perspectives and intentions regarding WTP. This finding can be used as a guideline for budget allocation and policy recommendation for policymakers in improving road safety according to the area contexts.

道路事故仍然是一个严重的问题,并直接影响到驾驶员。因此,驾驶员的观点对于改善道路安全非常重要。本研究的目的是使用支付意愿(WTP)方法实证检验道路事故造成的损害,并分析驾驶员和地区层面影响WTP的因素。这项研究获得了来自泰国96个地区的汽车司机的WTP数据。统计生命值为每例死亡824344美元(每年22.96亿美元)。多层结构方程建模的结果揭示了一个具有统计学意义的见解。在驾驶员层面,健康信念模型和社会人口学对支付意愿产生影响。对感知风险影响最大并导致高支付意愿的人口统计因素是工作年龄组(γ = 0.826)。然而,当考虑HBM时,感知易感性(γ = 0.901)成为影响驾驶员对道路事故的关注的最有价值的因素。另一方面,地区层面的因素对道路安全措施的支付意愿有负面影响。在这些因素中,地方当局实施的执法(γ=-0.555)做法对驾驶员对WTP的看法和意图影响最大。这一发现可作为预算分配的指导方针和政策建议,供决策者根据地区情况改善道路安全。
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引用次数: 0
Examining factors influencing the severity of motorized two-wheeler crashes in Delhi. 调查影响德里机动两轮车碰撞严重程度的因素。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-10-26 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2267040
Anurag Thombre, Indrajit Ghosh, Amit Agarwal

Failure to meet road safety targets has necessitated urgent actions from stakeholders worldwide, especially in developing countries like India. Road safety of motorized two-wheelers (MTWs), one of India's most preferred travel modes for urban commutes, is in danger and witnessing threatening figures of fatalities and injuries. Most of the studies in the domain of MTW safety were conducted in developed countries, with very limited research in countries having a significant proportion of MTWs. The present work investigates police-reported crash data to identify the contributory factors of motorized two-wheeler crash severity. Data from MTW crash-prone areas were selected from Delhi, which is leading in road traffic fatalities among the million-plus urban cities in India. A binary logistic regression model was developed using the data for 2016-2018 period. The model results show that the odds of fatal motorized two-wheeler crashes increase when the following circumstances apply: crash occurs on underpasses; involves bus, truck, heavy motor vehicle (lorry, crane) as the striking vehicle; when hit-and-run type of crash occurs and when older age-group (> = 55) riders are involved. Finally, based on the findings, countermeasures were suggested to facilitate policymakers and traffic enforcement agencies, in improving the road safety situation of MTW users.

未能实现道路安全目标,需要世界各地的利益相关者采取紧急行动,特别是在印度等发展中国家。机动两轮车是印度城市通勤最受欢迎的出行方式之一,其道路安全正处于危险之中,伤亡人数也很高。MTW安全领域的大多数研究都是在发达国家进行的,在MTW占很大比例的国家进行的研究非常有限。本工作调查了警方报告的碰撞数据,以确定机动两轮车碰撞严重程度的影响因素。MTW事故多发地区的数据来自德里,德里是印度数百万城市中道路交通死亡人数最多的城市。使用2016-2018年期间的数据开发了一个二元逻辑回归模型。模型结果表明,当以下情况适用时,发生致命机动两轮车碰撞的几率会增加:碰撞发生在地下通道上;涉及公共汽车、卡车、重型机动车辆(卡车、起重机)作为打击车辆;当发生肇事逃逸型车祸时,以及当年龄较大的群体(> = 55)骑手参与其中。最后,根据调查结果,提出了促进政策制定者和交通执法机构改善MTW用户道路安全状况的对策。
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引用次数: 0
Road traffic mortality in Iran: longitudinal trend and seasonal analysis, March 2011-February 2020. 伊朗道路交通死亡率:纵向趋势和季节性分析,2011年3月至2020年2月。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-10-20 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2272239
Milad Delavary, Amir Hossein Kalantari, Abolfazl Mohammadzadeh Moghaddam, Vahid Fakoor, Martin Lavallière, Felix Wilhelm Siebert

Road traffic mortalities (RTMs) and injuries are among the leading causes of human fatalities worldwide, particularly in low-and middle-income countries like Iran. Using an interrupted time series analysis, we investigated three interventional points (two government-mandated fuel price increases and increased traffic ticket fines) for their potential relation to RTMs. Our findings showed that while the overall trend of RTMs was decreasing during the study period, multiple individual provinces showed smaller reductions in RTMs. We also found that both waves of government-mandated fuel price increases coincided with decreases in RTMs. However, the second wave coincided with RTM decreases in a smaller number of provinces than the first wave suggesting that the same type of intervention may not be as effective when repeated. Also, increased traffic ticket fines were only effective in a small number of provinces. Potential reasons and solutions for the findings are discussed in light of Iran's Road Safety Strategic Plan.

道路交通伤亡是全球人类死亡的主要原因之一,尤其是在伊朗等中低收入国家。使用中断时间序列分析,我们调查了三个干预点(两个政府强制燃油价格上涨和交通罚单罚款增加)与RTMs的潜在关系。我们的研究结果表明,虽然RTM的总体趋势在研究期间呈下降趋势,但多个省份的RTM下降幅度较小。我们还发现,政府规定的两波燃料价格上涨与RTM的下降同时发生。然而,与第一波相比,第二波与RTM下降同时发生的省份数量较少,这表明重复进行同样类型的干预可能没有那么有效。此外,增加交通罚单罚款仅在少数省份有效。根据伊朗的道路安全战略计划,讨论了调查结果的潜在原因和解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of distracted driving of online car-hailing drivers on overall driving performance. 网约车司机分心驾驶对整体驾驶表现的影响。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-10-24 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2272242
Qianqian Pang, Shuyan Chen, Yongfeng Ma, Fengxiang Qiao, Yi Zhu

The distraction affects driving performance and induces serious safety issues. To better understand distracted driving, this study examines the influence of distracted driving on overall driving performance. This paper analyzes the distraction behavior (mobile phone use, entertainment activities, and passenger interference) under three driving tasks. The statistical results show that viewing or sending messages is common during driving. Smoking, phone calls, and talking to passengers are evident in cruising, ride request and drop-off, respectively. Then, overall driving performance is proposed based on velocity, longitudinal acceleration (longacc) and yaw_rate. It is divided into three categories, high, medium, and low, by k-means algorithms. The average speed increases from low to high performance; however, the longacc and yaw_rate decrease. Finally, the influence of distracted driving on overall driving performance is analyzed using C4.5 algorithm. The result shows that when time is peak, the probability of high performance (HP) is higher than off-peak. The possibility of HP increases with the increase of duration; the number of, talking to passengers, listening to music or radio, eating; the duration of, viewing or sending messages, phone calls; but reduces with the increase of the number of phone calls. These findings provide theoretical support for driving performance evaluation.

分心会影响驾驶性能并引发严重的安全问题。为了更好地理解分心驾驶,本研究考察了分心驾驶对整体驾驶表现的影响。本文分析了三种驾驶任务下的分心行为(手机使用、娱乐活动和乘客干扰)。统计结果显示,在驾驶过程中查看或发送信息是很常见的。吸烟、打电话和与乘客交谈分别在巡航、请求乘车和还车时表现得很明显。然后,基于速度、纵向加速度(longacc)和横摆角速度提出了整体驾驶性能。它被k均值算法分为三类,高、中、低。平均速度从低性能提高到高性能;然而,longacc和yawrate降低。最后,利用C4.5算法分析了分心驾驶对整体驾驶性能的影响。结果表明,当时间为峰值时,高性能(HP)的概率高于非峰值。HP的可能性随着持续时间的增加而增加;与乘客交谈、听音乐或广播、吃饭的人数;查看或发送信息、电话的持续时间;但是随着电话呼叫次数的增加而减少。这些发现为驾驶性能评价提供了理论支持。
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引用次数: 0
Whether occupational injuries of the industrial workers can be prevented: an analysis from the slums of West Bengal-India? 工业工人的职业伤害是否可以预防——来自印度西孟加拉邦贫民窟的分析?
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-23 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2258511
Shashwati Banerjee, Kishor Goswami

A lack of research exists concerning the heterogeneity of the occupational injuries of slum dwellers across industries which has a close link with health expenditure and hence livelihood. It necessitates analysing their occupational injuries and associated out-of-pocket health expenditures. Multi-stage random sampling is used to collect the primary data and the logit model is used for data analyses. Permanent non-fatal injuries in the civil-mechanical industries and temporary non-fatal injuries in textile industries are common. The share of health expenditure of the injured workers seeking medical consultations remains 59% of their average monthly income. Average monthly income, parental occupation, types of industry, job security, risk intensity, and salary basis are significant estimates of occupational injuries. The differences in the nature and extent of the occupational injuries of the workers across industries in the light of the socio-demographic and working environment context provide significant insight into the policy implications.

缺乏关于贫民窟居民在不同行业的职业伤害异质性的研究,这与医疗支出和生计密切相关。这就需要分析他们的职业伤害和相关的自付医疗支出。多阶段随机抽样用于收集原始数据,logit模型用于数据分析。民用机械行业的永久性非致命伤害和纺织行业的临时性非致命损伤很常见。寻求医疗咨询的受伤工人在医疗支出中所占的份额仍然是其平均月收入的59%。平均月收入、父母职业、行业类型、工作保障、风险强度和工资基础是职业伤害的重要估计。根据社会人口和工作环境背景,不同行业工人职业伤害的性质和程度存在差异,这为政策含义提供了重要见解。
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引用次数: 0
The COVID-19 pandemic and changes in spatio-temporal patterns of suicide: monthly variations among localities in Argentina. 新冠肺炎大流行和自杀时空模式的变化:阿根廷各地区的月度变化。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2279956
Carlos M Leveau, Guillermo A Velázquez

The aim of this study was to assess space-time clustering of suicide in Argentina between 2017 and 2020. A spatio-temporal scan statistic using a space-time permutation model was employed to retrospectively detect clusters of total suicides by sex and by age group. From 2017 to 2020, six statistically significant spatio-temporal clusters were identified in Argentina with either more or less suicides than expected. Two clusters extended from May 2019 to July and September 2020, while the remaining four clusters were detected only during 2020. The start of the COVID-19 pandemic seems to have changed the spatio-temporal patterns of suicide in Argentina. Despite the national decrease in the number of suicides during 2020 compared to previous years, the spatio-temporal analysis revealed both areas with decreases and increases in suicide. This heterogeneous scenario highlights the need for the study of local effects behind the emergence of these spatio-temporal suicide clusters.

这项研究的目的是评估2017年至2020年间阿根廷自杀的时空聚集性。采用时空排列模型进行时空扫描统计,按性别和年龄组回顾性检测总自杀人数。从2017年到2020年,阿根廷发现了六个具有统计学意义的时空集群,自杀人数比预期多或少。两个集群从2019年5月延伸到2020年7月和9月,而其余四个集群仅在2020年被检测到。新冠肺炎大流行的开始似乎改变了阿根廷自杀的时空模式。尽管与前几年相比,2020年全国自杀人数有所下降,但时空分析揭示了自杀人数减少和增加的两个领域。这种异质性场景突出了研究这些时空自杀集群出现背后的局部效应的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating injury severity interaction between urban and urban-rural fringe areas: a grouped random parameters seemingly unrelated bivariate probit approach. 调查城市和城乡边缘地区之间伤害严重程度的交互作用:分组随机参数看似不相关的双变量概率法。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2258352
Daiquan Xiao, Quan Yuan, Xuecai Xu, Shibo Zhang

Urban-rural integration is the critical process of urbanization, while during this process there are various corresponding problems generated, safety is the most important one, especially at urban-rural fringe areas due to mixed traffic flow and complicated land use. This study intended to investigate the injury severity interaction between urban area and urban-rural fringe area, and explore the correlation within injury severity levels and heterogeneity attributed to unobserved factors. To address the correlation and heterogeneity issues, a grouped random parameters seemingly unrelated bivariate (SUB) probit model was proposed, in which the SUB probit model addressed the correlation of residuals, while the random parameters model accommodated the heterogeneity due to unobserved factors. By comparing the pooled with random parameters models, the results showed that random parameters SUB probit model performed better than the pooled one, and the dataset collected from 2013 to 2017 in Chengdu, China was adopted to illustrate the proposed model. It is found that crash location, speed limit and age of person injured are significant for injury severity in urban and urban-rural fringe areas, but crash form plays a significant role in urban area while number of persons involved should be paid more attention due to injury severity in urban-rural fringe area. Some empirical suggestions are presented to improve the safety in urban and urban-rural fringe areas.

城乡一体化是城市化的关键过程,而在这一过程中会产生各种相应的问题,其中安全问题最为重要,尤其是在城乡边缘地区,由于交通流混杂、土地利用复杂,安全问题更为突出。本研究旨在调查城市地区与城乡边缘地区之间的伤害严重性交互作用,并探讨伤害严重性水平内部的相关性以及由非观测因素导致的异质性。为解决相关性和异质性问题,提出了分组随机参数看似不相关的双变量(SUB)probit 模型,其中 SUB probit 模型解决了残差的相关性问题,而随机参数模型则考虑了未观测因素导致的异质性问题。通过比较集合模型和随机参数模型,结果表明随机参数 SUB probit 模型的性能优于集合模型,并采用 2013 年至 2017 年在中国成都收集的数据集来说明所提出的模型。研究发现,在城市和城乡结合部,碰撞地点、限速和受伤者年龄对受伤严重程度有显著影响,但在城市地区,碰撞形式对受伤严重程度有显著影响,而在城乡结合部,由于受伤严重程度的影响,肇事人数应受到更多关注。本文提出了一些经验性建议,以改善城市和城乡边缘地区的安全状况。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the traffic safety performance of left-turn waiting areas at signalized intersections. 评估信号灯控制交叉路口左转等候区的交通安全性能。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2242333
Guopeng Zhang, Ying Cai, Xianghong Hu, Qianwei Xuan

Left-turn waiting area (LWA) is an innovative traffic design that is popularly applied to improve the traffic capacity of signalized intersections in China. The traffic safety impacts of the LWA, however, have not been fully discussed in previous studies. Thus, the study aims to evaluate the safety performance of the LWA by means of the traffic conflict technique. A field investigation was conducted to collect the post-encroachment time (PET) of conflicts and relevant variables at the signalized intersections in Jinhua, China. The Chi-square and two sample t-tests were adopted to examine the difference in conflict distribution between the intersections with and without LWA. The random parameter ordered logit model was employed to identify the factors contributing to the risks of vehicular collisions. Results indicate that (1) intersections with LWA are generally associated with more merging conflicts; (2) there are no significant discrepancies in the PET values between intersections with and without LWA; and (3) factors such as the number of left-turn lanes, number of receiving lanes, conflict type, vehicle type, driving direction, stopping outside LWA and overtaking behavior are identified to significantly impact the traffic conflicts. The findings serve to develop the countermeasures to ensure the safe operation of LWA.

左转等待区(LWA)是一种创新的交通设计,在中国被广泛应用于提高信号交叉口的通行能力。然而,以往的研究并未充分讨论左转等待区对交通安全的影响。因此,本研究旨在通过交通冲突技术来评估 LWA 的安全性能。通过实地调查,收集了中国金华市信号交叉口的冲突后时间(PET)和相关变量。采用卡方检验和双样本 t 检验来检验有 LWA 和无 LWA 交叉口的冲突分布差异。采用随机参数有序对数模型来确定导致车辆碰撞风险的因素。结果表明:(1) 有 LWA 的交叉口一般会有更多的并线冲突;(2) 有 LWA 和没有 LWA 的交叉口之间的 PET 值没有显著差异;(3) 左转车道数、接收车道数、冲突类型、车辆类型、行驶方向、在 LWA 外停车和超车行为等因素被确定为对交通冲突有显著影响。研究结果有助于制定对策,以确保左转弯车道的安全运行。
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引用次数: 0
Mediating role of emotional suppression in the relationship between psychological factors and intimate partner violence among couples with mixed-romantic orientations. 情感压抑在心理因素与亲密伴侣暴力之间的关系中起着中介作用。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2258505
A O Olaseni, R Oguntayo, J A Nel

Intimate partner violence (IPV) is considered a serious public health concern among couples, regardless of the sexual orientation. However, there is a dearth of data about the determining factors of IPV among couples with mixed-romantic orientations, and not much is known about the role that intra-psychic factors play in the relationship between psychological factors and IPV. Therefore, the study set out to examine the mediating role of emotional suppression in the relationship between psychological factors and IPV among couples with mixed-romantic orientations in Nigeria. The study adopted a correlational research design. A total of 241 respondents (61.4% identified as heterosexual and 38.6% as bisexual) in mixed-romantic orientation marriages, were engaged using respondents-driven sampling. Outcomes revealed that emotional suppression (indirectly) mediated the relationship between depressive symptoms [c'-path analysis; b = .029, t(240) = 108, p = <.01; bootstrap =.0573-1715], anxiety [c'-path analysis; b = .027, t(240) = -0.044, p = <.05; bootstrap = .108-.004], stress [c'-path analysis; b = 0.019, t(240) = 0.057, p = <.001; bootstrap = .0247-.0992] and IPV among couples with mixed-romantic orientations. It was concluded that emotional suppression directly and indirectly mediated the relationship between psychological factors and IPV. Recommendations and limitations are discussed.

亲密伴侣暴力(IPV)被认为是夫妻间一个严重的公共健康问题,无论性取向如何。然而,关于混合性倾向夫妇中 IPV 的决定性因素的数据却十分匮乏,而关于心理因素在心理因素与 IPV 之间的关系中所起的作用也知之甚少。因此,本研究旨在探讨情感压抑在尼日利亚具有混合恋爱倾向的夫妇中心理因素与 IPV 之间关系中的中介作用。研究采用了相关研究设计。研究采用受访者驱动抽样法,共调查了 241 对混合恋爱倾向婚姻中的受访者(61.4% 被认定为异性恋者,38.6% 被认定为双性恋者)。结果显示,情感压抑(间接)调解了抑郁症状之间的关系[c'-路径分析;b = .029,t(240) = 108,p = c'-路径分析;b = .027,t(240) = -0.044,p = c'-路径分析;b = 0.019,t(240) = 0.057,p = c'-路径分析]。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
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