International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion最新文献

Understanding of how injuries occur plays an effective role in accident learning and prevention. Existing frameworks focus on crucial information but ignore their causal relationships, which can lead to an incomplete understanding of the injury process. In this study, the descriptive framework of injury data (DFID) is expanded and combined with accident causation models used to elaborate on the causality of each injury factor. Subsequently, the injury process description ontology (IPD-Onto) based on DFID (extension) is established through a seven-step method developed by Stanford University. The IPD-Onto divides injury cases into five unified classes and constructs the injury process through the object properties. The ontology-based description of the injury process (with causal relationships) provides additional description and interpretation capabilities that are understandable by human experts or computers. The results of the Protégé DL query show that the ontology-based method enables the machine to interpret the injury process.

Pedestrian casualties are a severe domestic as well as international problem. This study analyses the spatial distribution of pedestrian casualties to define contributory factors and delineate the means for their prediction. Three years of crash data were collected along with other factors and analysed using kernel density estimation (KDE), spatial autocorrelation (Moran's I), cluster K-Means, spatial regression, and general linear regressions (GLM). Kernel density estimate defines a cluster of pedestrian deaths within 1250 meters. According to Moran's I, 17/22 attributes about casualties, road networks, demographics, and land use have positive values, indicating similar importance clustering. The spatial pattern of pedestrian casualties is random and insignificant and does not change with time. Casualties are negatively related to the surrounding attributes, indicating a tendency towards dispersion. A K-Means analysis of multiple variables revealed that when variables included in the clustering were higher, the variance explanation percentage was lower. In the multi-variable GLM assuming Poisson distribution, the road network length alone or with the house permits combined were the best predictors of casualties. Classic regressions were not significantly enhanced by spatial dimension, and none of the autoregressive coefficients were significant. The predictions from the Poisson-based GLM model are similar to the classic regressions.

The present paper compares motorized two-wheeler (MTW) and passenger car's interactions with the rest of the traffic in urban roads while performing overtaking and filtering maneuvers. To better understand filtering maneuvers of motorcyclists and car drivers, an attempt was made to propose a new measure, i.e. pore size ratio. Additionally, the factors affecting lateral width acceptance for motorcyclists and car drivers while overtaking and filtering were studied using advanced trajectory data. A regression model was developed to predict the significant factors affecting motorcyclist's and car driver's decisions to accept lateral width with the adjacent vehicle while performing overtaking and filtering maneuvers. Finally, a comparative analysis between machine learning and the probit model revealed that, in the present case, machine learning models perform better than the probit model in terms of the model's discernment power. The findings of this study will help ameliorate the power of existing microsimulation tools.

Accidents occur due to a series of interactions between deficiencies within the various levels of a sociotechnical system. Quantifying the relationship between upper and lower levels helps develop accident countermeasures focusing on significant organisational latent conditions. This study explores the relationship between the causal factors of accidents within Ghanaian mines using SEM. Data obtained from the analysis of incident reports using HFACS-GMI were quantified to enable its use in the SEM software, as SEM calculations cannot be done using a 0/1 description. The study also tests five hypotheses, including the basic assumption of the HFACS model. The case study results showed that organisational factors significantly influence workplace/individual conditions; upper causal categories do not only influence adjacent immediate lower causal categories, and partial correlations exist between causal categories with a particular level. Based on the SEM model from LISERL, an accident causation path diagram was developed. The diagram reveals that leadership flaws, the technological environment and adverse physiological/mental states were the mediating factors in accident causation within the mines. The operational process has a prominent position in the organisational factors tier and is an essential factor in the entire accident system. Therefore, accident countermeasures should be directed to addressing operational deficiencies.

Globally, the increase in pedestrian fatalities due to road traffic crashes (RTCs) on transport networks has been a major concern. In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), pedestrians face a high risk due to RTCs on the rural highway network. The safety evaluation methods, such as observational before-after, empirical Bayes, full Bayes, and cross-sectional methods have been used to identify risk factors of RTCs. However, these methods are data-intensive and have associated limitations. Thus, this study employed a matched case-control method to identify the risk factors of fatal pedestrian crashes. This study utilized crash, traffic volume, speed, geometric, and roadside environment data of a 175 km six-lane rural highway in India. The identified major risk factors, such as clear zone width, the presence of habitation, service roads, and horizontal curve sections, increase the likelihood of a fatal pedestrian crash. This study provides specific insights for modifying the speed limit of highway sections passing through habitation. On such highway sections, designers should shift focus to pedestrian safety. It also suggests that the service road design needs to be reconsidered from a pedestrian safety viewpoint. The proposed method can be used in any other setting having similar traffic and socio-economic conditions.

The article aims to investigate the influence of risk exposure factors on the frequency of road crashes from January to August 2020 in Ciudad Juarez, Mexico. It is a longitudinal study with four data sets: road crashes, population and housing census, location of economic activities, and road network information. Specifically, this study investigates the relationship between exposure factors - demographics, main roads and land use - and road crashes. A mixed method analysis was employed, (1) spatial analysis using GIS techniques; and (2) a negative binomial spatial regression model. The results showed a strong spatial dependence (0.274; p-value 0.00) of road crashes in the census tracts, and this effect was statistically significant (0.007) in the spatial regression model. In the model, a high probability (<0.05) of road crashes in the census tracts was found with the population aged 15 to 65 years, the length of main roads and the level of road coverage (Engel index), land uses with economic activities of an industrial and commercial character. The findings of this study successfully capture the social, economic, and urban conditions during the January-August 2020 period in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. This new knowledge could help create preventive plans and policies to address the frequency of road crashes.

Traffic fatalities from 2015 to 2019 in Uttar Pradesh (UP), India show that pedestrians and cyclists have the largest share of total road fatalities. This study analyzed the pedestrian's perceptions of risk in the medium-sized city-Bulandshahr-UP, India regarding the traffic and road features. Perception of risk provides important information in identifying potential risks and explaining travel choices by pedestrians. The study locations were selected based on identified blackspots i.e. clustering of actual fatal crashes during 2015-2019 in UP. The types of locations at the blackspots were intersections below flyover, four-way signalized intersections, midblocks and foot of flyovers. An empirical analysis is presented in the study by taking pedestrians' ranking of the selected risk factors like traffic speed, free left turn at intersections, unmarked crosswalks, median width, traffic volume and the number of lanes and using the Rank-ordered logit model. Traffic speed and median width were ranked as the two highest risk factors by pedestrians. The results also indicated that increased numbers of lanes are more likely to be perceived riskier by older age groups of pedestrians and females at intersections below flyovers and midblocks. A comparison of different locations shows that all the factors were significant at four-way signalized intersections, indicating more perceived risk by pedestrians at intersections. These significant results can be used by practitioners to design safer intersections and midblocks at selected locations for pedestrians in UP, India.

The main goal of this study is to investigate the unobserved heterogeneity in VRU-MV crash data and to determine the relatively important contributing factors of injury severity. For this end, a latent class analysis (LCA) coupled with random parameters logit model (LCA-RPL) is developed to segment the VRU-MV crashes into relatively homogeneous clusters and to explore the differences among clusters. The random-forest-based SHapley Additive exPlanation (RF-SHAP) approach is used to explore the relative importance of the contributing factors for injury severity in each cluster. The results show that, vulnerable group (VG), intersection or not (ION) and road type (RT) clearly distinguish the crash clusters. Moto-vehicle type and functional zone have significant impact on the injury severity among all clusters. Several variables (e.g. ION, crash type [CT], season and RT) demonstrate a significant effect in a specific sub-cluster model. Results of this study provide specific and insightful countermeasures that target the contributing factors in each cluster for mitigating VRU-MV crash injury severity.