International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion最新文献

Spousal physical violence (PV) against women is considered to be major health issue in developing countries. Lifetime physical violence is a composite outcome consists of hit, kick, beat, slap and threatened with weapon, perpetrated by the husband. The study aims to examine changes in prevalence and specific risk factors for PV from 1998 to 2016 in India. This study analyzed data from a cross sectional epidemiological survey in 1998-1999, NFHS-3 (2005-2006) and NFHS-4 (2015-2016) data. There was a significant decline of about 10% (95% CI: 8.8%-11.1%) in PV. Major risk factors for change in PV were husband's use of alcohol, illiteracy and socio-economic status of the household. The Protection of Women from Domestic Violence Act may have played a role in reducing the PV. Even though there was a decline in PV, actions have to be implemented from the root level to ensure women empowerment.

Investigating the contributing factors to traffic crash severity is a demanding topic in research focusing on traffic safety and policies. This research investigates the impact of 16 roadway condition features and vacations (along with the spatial and temporal factors and road geometry) on crash severity for major intra-city roads in Saudi Arabia. We used a crash dataset that covers four years (Oct. 2016 - Feb. 2021) with more than 59,000 crashes. Machine learning algorithms were utilized to predict the crash severity outcome (non-fatal/fatal) for three types of roads: single, multilane, and freeway. Furthermore, features that have a strong impact on crash severity were examined. Results show that only 4 out of 16 road condition variables were found to be contributing to crash severity, namely: paints, cat eyes, fence side, and metal cable. Additionally, vacation was found to be a contributing factor to crash severity, meaning crashes that occur on vacation are more severe than non-vacation days.

To achieve an effective emergency response and road safety, this study aims to assist a semi-automated dynamic system to analyze and predict the spatial distribution and temporal pattern of road crashes. Kasur, an intermediate city of Pakistan, was selected and data including location, time and reasons of accidents for five years (2014-2018) was utilized. Radar charts, Getis-Ord Gi* statistic, Moran's I spatial auto-correlation, and time series indices were engaged to present temporal, spatial and spatial-temporal variation of accidents, using python-based tools and jupyter notebook. A dynamic user interface was created using Github and Tableau to visualize a real-time zoom-able spatiotemporal variation of accidents. The results explain that out of 12 months, October faces the peak while April sees the least of road accidents. 7am is the peak hour for accidents and the weekends record a significantly higher number of road accidents as compared to weekdays. The city core witnesses the major hotspot areas with huge cluster of accidents. The findings contribute towards a well-informed decision support system, the knowledge of spatial analytics and its application in road safety science, and the preparedness of the rescue agencies for rapid response to reduce the impacts of road accidents.

Identifying black spots effectively and accurately is a pivotal and challenging task to improve road traffic safety. A novel black spot identification model is proposed by integrating the GIS-based processing with hierarchical density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise. Additionally, the optimal clustering parameters are determined based on an internal validation indicator called the density-based clustering validation index to minimize the impact of subjectivity in parameter selection. The model is validated by collecting 3536 accident data from 1 August to 31 October 2020 in Hangzhou, China, and eventually identifies 39 black spots. The results show that: (1) The number of accidents contained in black spots account for 75% of all accidents, while the length of network in the black spots only account for 23.26% of the total road network length. (2) Compared with the conventional density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise model and K-means model, the proposed model achieves the best performance with more accidents gathered per unit road length. (3) The sample survey with 6 onsite of the identified black spots indicates that the proposed model has high recognition accuracy and recommend these sites for further investigation.

Motorcycle accident studies usually rely upon data collected from road accidents collected through questionnaire surveys/police reports including characteristics of motorcycle riders and contextual data such as road environment. The present study utilizes big data, in the form of vehicle trajectory patterns collected through GPS, coupled with self-reported road accident information along with motorcycle rider characteristics to predict the likelihood of involvement of a motorcyclist in an accident. Random Forest-based machine learning algorithm is employed by taking inputs based on a variety of features derived from trajectory data. These features are mobility-based features, acceleration event-based features, aggressive overtaking event-based features and motorcyclists socio-economic features. Additionally, the relative importance of features is also determined which shows that aggressive overtaking event-based features have more impact on motorcycle accidents as compared to other categories of features. The developed model is useful in identifying risky motorcyclists and implementing safety measures focused towards them.

The study examined the extent, demographics and risks for child pedestrian, burns and drowning mortality in Johannesburg. Information on the demographics, scene and temporal circumstances for childhood injury deaths from 2000 to 2010 was gleaned from the National Injury Mortality Surveillance System. Descriptive statistical methods were used. The study recorded 756 pedestrian (8.7/100,000), 439 drowning (5.1/100,000), and 399 burn injury deaths (4.6/100,000) among children aged 0-14 years. Male children were the main victims, with male-to-female ratios of 2.3 for drowning, 1.7 for pedestrian and 1.2 for burn mortality. The pattern of child mortality differed across age groups with older children recording higher rates for pedestrian deaths and younger children higher rates for the non-traffic deaths. Pedestrian and burn mortality especially affected black children, while drowning affected both black and white children. The time, day and month of greatest injury mortality varied by injury cause, with e.g. pedestrian mortality common in afternoons and evenings, weekends, and dispersed across the year although increasing towards year end. The study highlighted the salience of differentiating risks for childhood injuries by discrete external cause for purposes of informing prevention responses.

Pedestrian safety is a serious concern in the developing nations of the world. It is evident from the past studies that built-environment characteristics near bus-stops, play a crucial role on the frequency and overall share of pedestrian deaths and injuries in road traffic crashes. The present study aims to identify critical built-environment features around vulnerable bus-stops in an Indian city and evaluate the odds of risk that prevails on the safety of pedestrians near bus stops. Hotspot analysis was conducted to finalise 177 bus stop sites within high-crash clusters in the study area. Built-environment attributes considered were based on sidewalk, crosswalk and bus stop conditions near such vulnerable locations. This study includes a video graphic and manual field survey conducted during the day and night-time. Logistic regression was applied to estimate the impact of built environment features on pedestrian crashes. Width and disability friendliness of sidewalks, presence of bus bays and on-street parking have significant impacts on pedestrian fatalities at locations with a higher share of pedestrian fatalities during the day. On the other hand, presence of zebra crossings at junctions, proper bus stop lighting and high sidewalks reduce the odds of pedestrian crashes at night near bus stops.

This article investigates factors associated with fatal and severe injury pedestrian crash percentages at intersections in Colorado. Many published studies associate road and traveler characteristics with the frequency or severity of pedestrian crashes without reference to specific locations. The objective of this study is to determine whether road and traveler characteristics, aggregated by intersection, partly explain differences in severe crash percentages at intersections. From 2006 to 2018, there were a total of 17,047 reported crashes involving pedestrians and motor vehicles in all of Colorado. This study analyzes 3,015 of these crashes that had the GPS coordinates needed to identify their locations at intersections and included the information needed to identify the pedestrian outcomes of the crash. The results of logistic and linear regressions found that lighting condition, vehicle speed, turning movement of vehicle, vehicle type, pedestrian age, and driver or pedestrian impairment by drugs or alcohol were most associated with severe crash percentages at intersections. These findings identify crash characteristics at intersections with higher severe crash proportions that can potentially be addressed to improve safety.

Un-signalized intersections in India witnessed the maximum number of crashes and fatalities in 2019. The nature of the crash investigation is still largely reactive, where the need for accurate and reliable crash data for effective safety diagnosis is pivotal. In India, crash records are unscientific, and critical details are missing. Therefore, a proactive approach using surrogate safety measures is more promising and prudent in analyzing traffic safety. The present study investigates and models crossing conflicts at un-signalized intersections under mixed traffic conditions. Traffic video data for 14 un-signalized intersections (eight un-signalized three-legged intersections and six un-signalized four-legged intersections) were collected under normal weather conditions. The crossing conflicts were identified and characterized as critical and noncritical conflicts based on the values of post-encroachment time (PET). Conflicts with PET values between -1 s and 1 s were identified as critical conflicts. The observation revealed the existence of both positive and negative PET values. The investigation revealed that crossing conflicts with negative PET values are riskier and more unsafe than conflicts with positive ones. Therefore, the crossing conflicts with positive and negative PETs were modeled separately. The positive and negative PET-based critical crossing conflicts are modeled as a function of traffic flow and intersection geometry-related characteristics using truncated negative binomial regression under a full Bayesian modeling framework. K-fold cross-validation with fivefold was employed to calibrate the model, and RMSE was used to find the best model. The modeling results revealed that the volume and traffic composition of the offending and conflicting stream and intersection geometry significantly influence the number of positive and negative PET-based critical crossing conflicts. The developed models can interest engineers and safety experts to analyze traffic safety and identify critical intersections in urban road networks.