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Illicit enrichment in Germany: An evaluation of the reformed asset recovery regime's ability to confiscate proceeds of crime 德国的非法致富:评估改革后的资产追回制度没收犯罪所得的能力
IF 0.9 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106230

This study examines the effectiveness of Germany's reformed asset recovery regime, which was implemented in 2017, in terms of its ability to confiscate proceeds of crime and whether it qualifies as illicit enrichment legislation. The research utilizes Dornbierer's (2021) definition of illicit enrichment to evaluate the reformed asset recovery law and analyses trends in asset recovery by reviewing data on assets seized and confiscated since 2017. Additionally, the study compares the reformed asset recovery regime to its predecessor to determine whether weaknesses that reduced the effectiveness of the previous framework to confiscate PoC have been addressed, while also evaluating the reformed regime for any potential weaknesses that may hinder its ability to confiscate proceeds of crime. The study concludes that while the reformed regime introduces some elements of illicit enrichment, it does not satisfy the criteria for illicit enrichment legislation. Nonetheless, the reformed regime is more effective in confiscating proceeds of crime, as evidenced by the high value of assets seized since the reform was implemented. Additionally, most of the weaknesses that existed in the previous system have been resolved. However, the research highlights the remaining challenges regarding the confiscation of proceeds implicated in ML, fraud, and corruption, as well as profits from non-criminal offenses. Future studies could explore whether the increased confiscation of assets leads to a decrease in profit-driven crime.

本研究从没收犯罪所得的能力以及是否符合资产非法增加立法的角度,考察了德国于2017年实施的改革后的资产追回制度的有效性。研究利用多恩比勒(2021 年)对资产非法增加的定义来评估改革后的资产追回法,并通过审查 2017 年以来扣押和没收的资产数据来分析资产追回的趋势。此外,本研究还将改革后的资产追回制度与其前身进行了比较,以确定是否已经解决了削弱以前没收犯罪所得框架有效性的薄弱环节,同时还评估了改革后的制度是否存在任何可能阻碍其没收犯罪所得能力的潜在薄弱环节。研究得出的结论是,虽然改革后的制度引入了一些资产非法增加的要素,但并不符合资产非法增加立法的标准。不过,改革后的制度在没收犯罪所得方面更加有效,改革实施以来没收的资产价值很高就是证明。此外,以前制度中存在的大多数弱点都已得到解决。然而,研究强调了在没收牵涉到洗钱、欺诈和腐败的收益以及非刑事犯罪的利润方面仍然存在的挑战。未来的研究可以探讨资产没收的增加是否会导致利润驱动型犯罪的减少。
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引用次数: 0
On the strategic choice of overconfident lawyers 关于过于自信的律师的战略选择
IF 0.9 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106231

This paper analyzes how the plaintiff selects her lawyer based on lawyers’ confidence in their trial-effort productivity. The plaintiff’s lawyer works on a contingent fee and makes litigation decisions on the plaintiff’s behalf. When the lawyer’s preferences are decisive at both the settlement and the trial stage, the plaintiff must anticipate that a more confident lawyer evaluates settlement compared to trial differently and implies different equilibrium trial effort levels. When the lawyer implements the plaintiff’s ideal settlement demand, only the influence of the confidence level on trial effort levels is relevant. In both cases, the plaintiff prefers an overconfident lawyer but would be harmed by excessive overconfidence. In many circumstances, the optimal confidence level maximizes the plaintiff’s trial payoff. However, when the lawyer’s preferences are decisive at both the settlement and trial stage, the plaintiff may choose an even more confident lawyer to raise the settlement level her lawyer demands from the defendant.

本文分析了原告如何根据律师对其审判效率的信心来选择律师。原告律师以或有收费方式工作,并代表原告做出诉讼决定。当律师的偏好在和解和审判阶段都起决定性作用时,原告必须预见到,与审判相比,更自信的律师对和解的评价不同,这意味着不同的均衡审判努力水平。当律师执行原告的理想和解要求时,只有信心水平对审判努力水平的影响是相关的。在这两种情况下,原告都更喜欢过于自信的律师,但过度过度自信会损害原告的利益。在许多情况下,最佳信心水平会使原告的审判报酬最大化。然而,当律师的偏好在和解和审判阶段都起决定性作用时,原告可能会选择一名更加自信的律师,以提高其律师向被告要求的和解水平。
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引用次数: 0
Judiciary-driven finance: Quasi-experimental evidence from specialized financial adjudication institutions in China 司法驱动的金融:来自中国金融审判专门机构的准实验证据
IF 0.9 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106227

The "law and finance" paradigm posits that legal institutions play a crucial role in financial development; however, China has long been considered an exception. This study challenges that assumption by examining how improvements in the judiciary affect financial development in China. Using a quasi-natural experiment (i.e., staggered difference-in-difference estimation) over a twenty-year period, we find that the establishment of specialized financial adjudication institutions (i.e., financial courts and tribunals) in certain prefecture-level cities significantly reduces financing constraints for local listed companies. Further heterogeneity tests show that these effects are more pronounced among private enterprises, small and medium-sized enterprises, and companies in the central and western regions. Through the analysis of representative practices and interviews with relevant judges and enterprises, we find that China's financial judiciary demonstrates efficiency and proactiveness. Additionally, political considerations enable courts to regulate finance and maintain stability, improving the local financial legal environments and reducing transaction costs for market participants. By investigating the causal relationship between judicial reforms and financial development, our findings provide new insights into the "law and finance" theory and offer policy implications for addressing financial development gaps and promoting financial inclusion in emerging markets.

法律与金融 "范式认为,法律制度在金融发展中发挥着至关重要的作用;然而,中国长期以来一直被认为是一个例外。本研究通过考察司法机构的改善如何影响中国的金融发展,对这一假设提出了挑战。通过对 20 年间的准自然实验(即交错差分估算),我们发现,在某些地级市设立专门的金融审判机构(即金融法院和法庭)大大降低了当地上市公司的融资约束。进一步的异质性检验表明,这些效应在民营企业、中小企业以及中西部地区的企业中更为明显。通过对代表性实践的分析以及对相关法官和企业的访谈,我们发现中国的金融司法机构表现出了高效性和前瞻性。此外,政治因素使法院能够规范金融、维护稳定,改善地方金融法制环境,降低市场参与者的交易成本。通过研究司法改革与金融发展之间的因果关系,我们的研究结果为 "法律与金融 "理论提供了新的见解,并为解决新兴市场的金融发展差距和促进金融包容性提供了政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
Mandatory disclosure of open-ended real estate fund shares that are registered for redemption? 强制披露登记赎回的开放式房地产基金份额?
IF 0.9 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106229
Open-ended funds that invest in long-term assets face constant liquidity transformation risk, which can lead to financial instability. German lawmakers have responded to the liquidity crisis of open-ended real estate funds by introducing mandatory minimum holding and notice periods of 24 and 12 months, respectively. Since the new regulations were enacted in July 2013, the management companies of German open-ended real estate funds have received detailed information on the expected cash outflows from share redemptions. This article explores the question of whether the number of shares registered for redemption should be disclosed. A teleological analysis of German fund accounting law and regulation reveals a mismatch between the current nondisclosure and the stated objective to provide decision-useful information. However, a trade-off must be made between investors’ need for information and the risk of self-reinforcing panic effects, which is investigated using agent-based modeling. Parameterizing the model with historical fund data shows that disclosure would increase the probability of a redemption suspension but that such suspensions would occur timelier; thus, fewer investors would be trapped in a fund that has to suspend the redemption of shares. In addition, such disclosure would shift not only risk from uninformed, life-cycle, saving investors to sophisticated investors but also investment returns from sophisticated investors to saving investors. Such disclosure would thus constitute the opposite of what Georgakopoulos (1996, 2017) calls a disclosure subsidy for informed traders, i.e., a disclosure subsidy for uninformed investors that is borne by informed investors. However, the model in this article is distinguishable from the one outlined in Georgakopoulos (1996, 2017) because it does not model noise traders. The framework provided in this article is also relevant to the legislature in the United Kingdom and its recently created fund category of long-term asset funds.
投资于长期资产的开放式基金面临着持续的流动性转换风险,这可能导致金融不稳定。针对开放式房地产基金的流动性危机,德国立法者出台了强制性最低持有期和通知期,分别为 24 个月和 12 个月。自新法规于 2013 年 7 月颁布以来,德国开放式房地产基金的管理公司已收到有关份额赎回预期现金流出的详细信息。本文探讨了是否应披露登记赎回股份数量的问题。对德国基金会计法律法规的目的论分析表明,目前的不披露与提供决策有用信息的既定目标之间存在不匹配。然而,必须在投资者对信息的需求与自我强化恐慌效应的风险之间做出权衡,本文使用基于代理的模型对这一问题进行了研究。利用基金历史数据对模型进行参数化,结果表明,信息披露会增加暂停赎回的概率,但这种暂停赎回会更及时地发生;因此,会有更少的投资者被困在不得不暂停赎回份额的基金中。此外,这种披露不仅会将风险从不知情的、有生命周期的、储蓄型投资者转移到成熟的投资者身上,而且会将投资收益从成熟的投资者转移到储蓄型投资者身上。因此,这种信息披露将构成 Georgakopoulos(1996,2017)所说的对知情交易者的信息披露补贴的反面,即由知情投资者承担对不知情投资者的信息披露补贴。然而,本文中的模型与 Georgakopoulos(1996,2017)中概述的模型有所不同,因为它没有建立噪音交易者的模型。本文提供的框架也与英国的立法机构及其最近创立的长期资产基金类别相关。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting patent lawsuits with machine learning 用机器学习预测专利诉讼
IF 0.9 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106228

We use machine learning methods to predict which patents end up in court using the population of US patents granted between 2002 and 2005. We show that patent characteristics have significant predictive power, particularly value indicators and patent-owner characteristics. Furthermore, we analyze the predictive performance concerning the number of observations used to train the model, which patent characteristics to use, and which predictive model to choose. We find that extending the set of patent characteristics has the biggest positive impact on predictive performance. The model choice matters as well. More sophisticated machine learning methods provide additional value relative to a simple logistic regression. This result highlights the existence of non-linearities among and interactions across the predictors. Our results provide practical advice to anyone building patent litigation models, e.g., for litigation insurance or patent management more generally.

我们使用机器学习方法,以 2002 年至 2005 年间获得授权的美国专利为样本,预测哪些专利最终会被送上法庭。我们的研究表明,专利特征具有显著的预测能力,尤其是价值指标和专利所有人特征。此外,我们还分析了用于训练模型的观测数据的数量、使用哪种专利特征以及选择哪种预测模型等方面的预测性能。我们发现,扩展专利特征集对预测性能的积极影响最大。模型的选择也很重要。相对于简单的逻辑回归,更复杂的机器学习方法能提供更多价值。这一结果凸显了预测因素之间存在非线性和交互作用。我们的研究结果为任何建立专利诉讼模型的人提供了实用的建议,例如用于诉讼保险或更广泛的专利管理。
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引用次数: 0
Fighting free with free: Freemium vs. Piracy 以免费对抗免费:免费与盗版
IF 0.9 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106226

We analyze the optimal business model of a firm facing piracy. The firm either sells a premium version of its product, or also offers a free version along with the premium version. The firm can in turn impose restrictions on the use of the free version. Consumers can choose between the free and the premium version, but can also get an illegal digital copy. We show that freemium offers can reduce digital piracy by fighting free with free and that firms choose their optimal business model depending on the strength of copyright protection. Therefore, the strength of copyright protection can lead firms to choose a traditional business model rather than the new freemium model, impacting significantly the legal usage of the good.

我们分析了面临盗版问题的企业的最佳商业模式。该公司要么销售其产品的高级版本,要么在提供高级版本的同时提供免费版本。企业也可以对免费版本的使用施加限制。消费者可以在免费版和高级版之间做出选择,但也可能获得非法数字拷贝。我们的研究表明,免费服务可以通过 "以免费对抗免费 "来减少数字盗版,而且企业可以根据版权保护的力度来选择最佳商业模式。因此,版权保护的力度会导致企业选择传统的商业模式而不是新的免费模式,从而对商品的合法使用产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Selling and abandoning legal rights 出售和放弃合法权利
IF 0.9 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106219

Legal rights impose concomitant legal burdens. This paper considers the valuation and disposition of legal rights, and legal burdens, when courts cannot be relied upon to perfectly enforce rights. Because courts do not perfectly enforce rights, victims suffer some loss in the value of their rights depending on the degree of underenforcement. The welfare implications of trading away and abandoning rights are examined. Victims do not necessarily trade away rights when and only when such trade is socially desirable. Relatively pessimistic victims (who believe their rights are weaker than injurers do) trade away rights too cheaply. Extremely pessimistic victims abandon their rights. Implications for the enforceability of waivers, discrimination in courts, and legal ethics are discussed.

法律权利会带来相应的法律负担。本文探讨了在无法依靠法院完美执行权利的情况下,法律权利和法律负担的价值评估和处置问题。由于法院不能完美地执行权利,受害者的权利价值会因执行不力的程度而遭受一定的损失。本文探讨了交换和放弃权利对福利的影响。当且仅当这种交易对社会有利时,受害者不一定会放弃权利。相对悲观的受害者(他们认为自己的权利比加害人弱)会以过于低廉的价格交换权利。极度悲观的受害者会放弃自己的权利。本文讨论了弃权的可执行性、法院中的歧视以及法律伦理的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Strict liability versus negligence in the case of data breach 数据泄露情况下的严格责任与过失
IF 0.9 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106218

This study compares the efficiency of the strict liability and negligence rules in the case of a data breach. Contrary to standard results, we demonstrate that the strict liability rule cannot induce the efficient activity and care levels of a data controller. This is mainly due to possible positive externalities from data breaches, unlike in usual tort cases. We show that the negligence rule is more efficient than the strict liability rule if the positive externality is sufficiently large. The main insight is carried over to the case where a data controller uses a data processor to process personal information before selling it in the market. If hackers are explicitly introduced into the model, the care level of the data controller increases with the hacking activity, whereas the latter level decreases with the former. In this model, if the hacker’s gain is sufficiently small, the negligence rule can be made more efficient by adjusting due care to a harsher level than the equilibrium care level under strict liability to reduce hacking activity, although a pure strategy equilibrium may not exist for some due care levels.

本研究比较了数据泄露情况下严格责任规则和过失规则的效率。与标准结果相反,我们证明了严格责任规则不能促使数据控制者有效地开展活动和提高关注水平。这主要是由于数据泄露可能带来的正外部性,这与通常的侵权案件不同。我们证明,如果正外部性足够大,过失规则比严格责任规则更有效。我们的主要见解也适用于数据控制者使用数据处理者处理个人信息后再在市场上出售的情况。如果在模型中明确引入黑客,数据控制者的关注程度会随着黑客活动的增加而增加,而后者的关注程度会随着黑客活动的增加而减少。在这个模型中,如果黑客的收益足够小,可以通过将适当注意调整到比严格责任下的均衡注意水平更苛刻的水平,使过失规则更有效率,从而减少黑客活动,尽管对于某些适当注意水平,可能不存在纯策略均衡。
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引用次数: 0
ESG disclosure, investor awareness, and carbon risk pricing: Evidence from the Chinese market ESG信息披露、投资者意识和碳风险定价:来自中国市场的证据
IF 0.9 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106217

This article examines the relationship between carbon disclosure, equity returns, and investor awareness in the Chinese A-share market. The study uses firm-disclosed and proprietary vendor-estimated carbon emissions data for A-share listed companies and investigates whether the presentation of carbon risks affects the cross-sectional equity returns of Chinese domestically listed firms. The results indicate that main-board listed companies with higher unscaled carbon emissions tend to earn higher equity returns, even after controlling for factors such as size, book-to-market ratio, momentum, and firm characteristics. Moreover, the observed carbon risk premium associated with carbon-emitting companies decreases as investor awareness improves following the launch of policy agendas promoting carbon neutrality in China. These findings support the research hypothesis that investors seek higher returns for equity investments in carbon-emission-intensive companies to compensate for the higher carbon risks associated with such firms. The study also highlights the importance of carbon disclosure, as companies generally disclose their ESG information when they have improved performance in reducing their carbon emissions.

本文探讨了中国 A 股市场碳信息披露、股票收益和投资者意识之间的关系。研究利用公司披露的碳排放数据和专有供应商估算的碳排放数据,考察了碳风险的表述是否会影响中国国内上市公司的横截面股票回报。结果表明,即使在控制了规模、市净率、发展势头和公司特征等因素后,无标度碳排放量较高的主板上市公司也倾向于获得较高的股票回报。此外,在中国推出促进碳中和的政策议程后,随着投资者意识的提高,观察到的与碳排放公司相关的碳风险溢价也会降低。这些发现支持了研究假设,即投资者在碳排放密集型公司的股权投资中寻求更高的回报,以补偿这类公司相关的较高碳风险。该研究还强调了碳信息披露的重要性,因为公司一般会在其碳减排业绩有所改善时披露其 ESG 信息。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental liability and product differentiation: Strict liability versus negligence revisited 环境责任与产品差异化:重新审视严格责任与过失
IF 0.9 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106214

This paper studies the role of environmental liability in shaping firms’ product differentiation choices, both horizontally (product design) and vertically (safety), and the ensuing welfare implications. We use a spatial Cournot duopoly where firms’ activity may entail accidental environmental harm. We show that for low levels of harm, both strict liability and negligence lead to a fully symmetric equilibrium with no differentiation: strict liability provides less output and more safety (thus, lower expected environmental harm) than negligence. Nevertheless, negligence affords higher welfare. For higher environmental harm, only strict liability yields an equilibrium where firms differentiate both horizontally and vertically: each firm becomes dominant (dominated) on a subset of local markets, where it delivers more (less) output and much more (less) safety than in the no-differentiation equilibrium under negligence. In this case, strict liability provides higher welfare.

本文研究了环境责任在横向(产品设计)和纵向(安全)影响企业产品差异化选择方面的作用,以及随之而来的福利影响。我们采用了一种空间库诺二元垄断模式,在这种模式下,企业的活动可能会造成意外的环境损害。我们的研究表明,在危害程度较低的情况下,严格责任和过失责任都会导致一种完全对称的无差异均衡:严格责任比过失责任提供更少的产出和更高的安全性(因此,预期环境危害程度较低)。尽管如此,过失提供了更高的福利。在环境危害较高的情况下,只有严格责任才会产生企业横向和纵向分化的均衡:每个企业都在当地市场的一个子集上占主导地位(被支配),与过失下的无分化均衡相比,它提供了更多(更少)的产出和更高(更低)的安全性。在这种情况下,严格责任提供了更高的福利。
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引用次数: 0
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International Review of Law and Economics
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