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Artificial intelligence, inattention and liability rules 人工智能、注意力不集中和责任规则
IF 0.9 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106211
Marie Obidzinski , Yves Oytana

We characterize the socially optimal liability sharing rule in a situation where a manufacturer develops an artificial intelligence (AI) system that is then used by a human operator (or user). First, the manufacturer invests to increase the autonomy of the AI (i.e, the set of situations that the AI can handle without human intervention) and sets a selling price. The user then decides whether or not to buy the AI. Since the autonomy of the AI remains limited, the human operator must sometimes intervene even when the AI is in use. Our main assumptions relate to behavioral inattention. Behavioral inattention reduces the effectiveness of user intervention and increases the expected harm. Only some users are aware of their own attentional limits. Under the assumption that AI outperforms users, we show that policymakers may face a trade-off when choosing how to allocate liability between the manufacturer and the user. Indeed, the manufacturer may underinvest in the autonomy of the AI. If this is the case, the policymaker can incentivize the latter to invest more by increasing his share of liability. On the other hand, increasing the liability of the manufacturer may come at the cost of slowing down the diffusion of AI technology.

在制造商开发出人工智能系统并由人类操作员(或用户)使用的情况下,我们描述了社会最优责任分担规则的特征。首先,制造商投资提高人工智能的自主性(即人工智能无需人工干预即可处理的情况集合),并设定销售价格。然后,用户决定是否购买人工智能。由于人工智能的自主性仍然有限,即使人工智能在使用过程中,人类操作员有时也必须进行干预。我们的主要假设与行为不集中有关。行为上的不注意会降低用户干预的效果,增加预期伤害。只有部分用户意识到自己的注意力极限。在人工智能优于用户的假设下,我们表明决策者在选择如何在制造商和用户之间分配责任时可能会面临权衡。事实上,制造商可能会对人工智能的自主性投资不足。如果是这种情况,政策制定者可以通过增加其责任份额来激励后者加大投资。另一方面,增加制造商的责任可能会以减缓人工智能技术的传播为代价。
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引用次数: 0
An economic rationale for the different methods of feeding enslaved people in the antebellum South and British West Indies 前贝鲁姆时期南方和英属西印度群岛采用不同方法喂养被奴役者的经济学原理
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106206
Eleanor Brown , Ian Ayres

This article focuses on two different systems of feeding enslaved people. In the first system, primarily associated with the cotton, tobacco, and rice plantations of antebellum South and the early sugar plantations of the British West Indies, the obligation to feed enslaved people was executed by the plantation. In contrast, under a second system known as provisioning associated with the later British West Indian colonies, the master allocated land to enslaved people on which they would grow their own food. Over time, this land was understood, in the wider community of both those enslaved and the planters, to be the “property” of the enslaved person. This article offers potential explanations both for why provisioning was adopted in the West Indies, and why provisioning did not take hold in southern U.S. plantations. Following Ronald Coase’s Nature of the Firm, we should expect to see provisioning when doing so economizes on transaction and agency costs. As it became more difficult to purchase imported food, plantations had to provide their own food. Provisioning sacrificed the plantations’ claims to surplus food, but in the West Indies such decentralized production could enhance incentives for enslaved people to produce their own food while economizing on the need for supervision.

本文重点介绍两种不同的奴役者供餐制度。第一种制度主要与前贝鲁姆时期南方的棉花、烟草和稻米种植园以及英属西印度群岛早期的蔗糖种植园有关,为奴隶提供食物的义务由种植园承担。与此相反,在与后来的英属西印度群岛殖民地有关的第二种被称为 "供给 "的制度下,主人将土地分配给奴隶,让他们自己种植粮食。随着时间的推移,在更广泛的被奴役者和种植园主的社区中,这块土地被理解为被奴役者的 "财产"。本文提供了一些可能的解释,既解释了为什么西印度群岛采用了供给制,也解释了为什么供给制没有在美国南部种植园流行起来。根据罗纳德-科斯(Ronald Coase)的《企业的性质》(Nature of the Firm)一书,我们应该想到,如果实行供给制可以节约交易成本和代理成本,那么就应该实行供给制。随着购买进口食品变得越来越困难,种植园不得不自己提供食品。供应牺牲了种植园对剩余粮食的要求,但在西印度群岛,这种分散的生产方式可以提高被奴役者生产自己的粮食的积极性,同时节省监督的需要。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic anarchy; a model of prison violence as a means to informal governance and rent extraction 战略无政府状态;监狱暴力作为非正式治理和榨取租金手段的模式
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106205
Jonathan Kurzfeld

Prison gangs are often thought to create a “culture of violence” in U.S. prisons and jails. Yet mounting research and evidence suggests that prison gangs, in pursuit of profits from illicit market activity, also act as a check on the violent behavior of the broader prison population. This paper synthesizes existing research on prison gangs into a modeling framework that treats gangs as profit-maximizing suppliers and sources of informal governance in an illicit marketplace. The model offers broad policy implications that highlight the challenges and potential unintended consequences of correctional policies that address violence and gang activity.

人们通常认为监狱帮派在美国监狱和看守所中制造了一种 "暴力文化"。然而,越来越多的研究和证据表明,监狱帮派在追求非法市场活动利润的同时,也对更广泛的监狱人口的暴力行为起到了制衡作用。本文将现有关于监狱帮派的研究归纳到一个模型框架中,将帮派视为非法市场中利润最大化的供应商和非正式治理的来源。该模型提供了广泛的政策影响,强调了解决暴力和帮派活动的惩教政策所面临的挑战和潜在的意外后果。
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引用次数: 0
Ex ante litigation risk and firm restatement decisions: Evidence from district courts 事前诉讼风险与公司重述决策:来自地方法院的证据
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106198
C.S. Agnes Cheng , Henry He Huang , Zhen Lei , Haitian Lu

This study examines whether ex ante securities litigation risk prompts firms to make more or less voluntary restatements. The litigation risk is captured by a new measure based on the dismissal rate of the district court where the firm is headquartered. We find that misreporting firms headquartered in lenient (high dismissal rate) court jurisdictions are more likely to make voluntary restatements. Using the U.S. Supreme Court’s Tellabs decision as an exogenous shock that reduces the leniency of some district courts, we find robust evidence that higher litigation risk decreases managers’ incentives to admit their misreporting. Our finding sheds new light on the litigation risk-voluntary disclosure paradox by pointing to a positive aspect of court leniency in motivating self-policing behavior such as restatement.

本研究探讨了事前证券诉讼风险是否会促使公司进行更多或更少的自愿重述。诉讼风险是根据公司总部所在地区法院的驳回率来衡量的。我们发现,总部位于宽松(高驳回率)法院管辖区的虚假报告公司更有可能进行自愿重述。美国最高法院 Tellabs 案的判决降低了某些地区法院的宽松程度,我们将此作为一个外生冲击,发现有力的证据表明,较高的诉讼风险会降低管理者承认错误报告的积极性。我们的发现为诉讼风险-自愿披露悖论提供了新的启示,指出了法院宽大处理在激励重述等自我监督行为方面的积极作用。
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引用次数: 0
Unequal unification? Income inequality and unification in nineteenth century Italy and Germany 不平等的统一?十九世纪意大利和德国的收入不平等与统一
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106197
Philipp Erfurth

This research provides a comprehensive study of the linkages between institutional structures, balance of power between core and peripheries, endogenous extractive policies and inequality in the context of nineteenth century unification of Germany and Italy. To conduct this analysis, the study puts forward estimates of income inequality for pre-unification German states using social tables, compiled using primary data, some of which have thus far been unexplored in economic research. The findings suggest that the power balance between core and periphery, systems of government as well as distorted policies contributed to differences between the Italian and German experiences, specifically to the rise of inequality in the former and no marked increase in the latter.

本研究对 19 世纪德国和意大利统一背景下的制度结构、核心与外围之间的权力平衡、内生采掘政策和不平等之间的联系进行了全面研究。为了进行分析,本研究使用社会表格对统一前德国各州的收入不平等进行了估算,这些表格是使用原始数据编制的,其中一些数据迄今为止尚未在经济研究中得到探讨。研究结果表明,核心与边缘之间的权力平衡、政府制度以及扭曲的政策造成了意大利和德国经历的差异,特别是造成了前者不平等现象的增加,而后者则没有明显增加。
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引用次数: 0
How acceptable is optimal deterrence? 最佳威慑的可接受性有多大?
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106194
Michał Kłusek

The article examines the social acceptability of optimal deterrence policies. While there is considerable research on intuitions regarding punishment and the counter-intuitive nature of economic reasoning, the problem of whether decisions based on optimal deterrence are acceptable remains inadequately researched. Two studies examined how acceptance rates vary for different decisions implementing optimal deterrence theory. They demonstrate that (1) policies increasing punishment severity are more acceptable than those decreasing it; (2) changes at the level of penal policy are more acceptable than individual court rulings; (3) acceptance rates decrease as the magnitude of change increases; (4) strict adherence to optimal deterrence theory’s recommendations does not significantly affect the acceptability of the decisions. In addition, no optimal deterrence policies were accepted, on average, or by the majority of participants.

文章探讨了最佳威慑政策的社会可接受性。虽然对惩罚的直觉和经济推理的反直觉性质已有大量研究,但对基于最优威慑的决策是否可接受这一问题的研究仍然不足。有两项研究考察了不同决策在执行最佳威慑理论时的接受率有何不同。研究表明:(1) 加重处罚的政策比减轻处罚的政策更容易被接受;(2) 刑事政策层面的变化比个别法院的裁决更容易被接受;(3) 接受率随着变化幅度的增加而降低;(4) 严格遵守最佳威慑理论的建议对决策的可接受性没有显著影响。此外,平均而言,没有一项最佳威慑政策被大多数参与者接受。
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引用次数: 0
Bayesian persuasion in lawyer–client communication 律师与客户沟通中的贝叶斯说服法
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106196
Mehdi Ayouni , Tim Friehe , Yannick Gabuthy

When considering whether to bring a lawsuit, a plaintiff may delegate the decision to her lawyer- better informed about the case’s merits- or consult with her lawyer and decide for herself. Focusing on the latter, we assess how a lawyer communicates with his client about the case’s merits if the client relies on the lawyer’s information to decide whether to bring suit. In some circumstances, the lawyer only partially reveals the case’s merits to persuade the client to bring a suit. In addition, in anticipation of the lawyer’s strategic communication, the plaintiff sometimes adjusts her questions to the lawyer about the case’s merits. Focusing on the communication between lawyers and clients, our paper explores a new consequence of misaligned incentives between the two parties.

在考虑是否提起诉讼时,原告可能会将决定权委托给她的律师--因为她更了解案件的是非曲直--或者咨询她的律师并由她自己决定。针对后者,我们将评估如果委托人依赖律师提供的信息决定是否提起诉讼,律师是如何与委托人沟通案情的。在某些情况下,律师为了说服委托人提起诉讼,只透露了部分案情。此外,原告有时会根据律师的策略性沟通,调整向律师提出的有关案情的问题。我们的论文以律师和客户之间的沟通为重点,探讨了双方激励不一致的新后果。
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引用次数: 0
Commercial arbitration regime and sourcing decision 商事仲裁制度和采购决定
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106195
Se Mi Park

Introducing commercial arbitration into a two-country sourcing model, this paper examines how the quality of commercial arbitration regime affects sourcing decision when production involves a relationship-specific transaction. Arbitration may be invoked when a firm shaves the investment value of a customized intermediate input or does not pay in full for investment. Under the full verifiability of an ex-post investment value by an arbitrator, firm behavior is governed by the quality of arbitration regime, measuring how fully a national arbitration regime supports the enforcement of arbitral awards. I theoretically find that a firm’s likelihood of choosing global sourcing over domestic sourcing increases with the source and destination countries’ qualities of international arbitration regimes and the source country’s quality of general arbitration regime. These impacts are magnified as the production of an intermediate input involves a greater degree of relationship-specific transaction. Results also show that as the production of an intermediate input entails a greater degree of relationship-specific transaction, a firm’s likelihood of choosing global sourcing over domestic sourcing decreases when domestic arbitration offers the better enforcement of arbitral awards compared to international arbitration.

本文将商事仲裁引入两国采购模型,研究当生产涉及特定关系交易时,商事仲裁制度的质量如何影响采购决策。当企业削减定制化中间投入品的投资价值或不全额支付投资时,可能会援引仲裁。在事后投资价值完全可由仲裁员核实的情况下,企业行为受仲裁制度质量的制约,衡量国家仲裁制度在多大程度上支持仲裁裁决的执行。我在理论上发现,企业选择全球采购而非国内采购的可能性会随着来源国和目的地国的国际仲裁制度质量以及来源国的一般仲裁制度质量而增加。当中间投入品的生产涉及更多的特定关系交易时,这些影响就会放大。结果还显示,当中间投入品的生产涉及更多的特定关系交易时,如果国内仲裁比国际仲裁能更好地执行仲裁裁决,那么企业选择全球采购而非国内采购的可能性就会降低。
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引用次数: 0
Changes in damages when liability rules change: an empirical study on compensation for the time spent in pretrial detention 责任规则改变时损害赔偿的变化:关于审前羁押时间赔偿的实证研究
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106193
Gabriel Doménech-Pascual , Juan Luis Jiménez

In some legal systems, non-convicted pretrial detainees are to be compensated by the Government for the losses derived from their stay on remand. Several theoretical and empirical studies have analyzed some of the consequences of such compensation. This paper finds a result that said studies did not predict: a legal change that relaxed the requirements for compensation is correlated with a reduction in the amount of compensation awarded. We empirically analyze which factors are correlated with the amount of compensation awarded in these cases by Spanish courts from 1990 until today. Our econometrical analysis finds that (i) this amount has drastically decreased after the Supreme Court, by establishing that every non-convicted pretrial detainee is to be compensated, significantly expanded the set of cases where such compensation is due. Moreover: (ii) the longer the time spent on remand, the lower the daily compensation awarded; (iii) those who work receive higher damages than those who do not work, but there are notable (and apparently unjustifiable) differences by type of work; e.g., police officials get much higher awards than other claimants; (iv) we find no gender nor foreign bias.

在一些法律制度中,未定罪的审前被拘留者因还押候审而遭受的损失应由政府给予补偿。一些理论和实证研究分析了这种赔偿的一些后果。本文发现了一个上述研究没有预测到的结果:放宽赔偿要求的法律变化与赔偿金额的减少相关。我们从经验角度分析了从 1990 年至今,哪些因素与西班牙法院在这些案件中裁定的赔偿金额相关。我们的计量经济学分析发现:(i) 最高法院规定所有未定罪的审前被拘留者都应获得赔偿,从而大幅扩大了应获得赔偿的案件范围,此后赔偿金额急剧下降。此外:(ii) 还押时间越长,日赔偿额越低;(iii) 有工作的人获得的赔偿额高于没有工作的人,但不同工作类型之间存在明显(显然不合理)的差异,例如,警官获得的赔偿额远高于其他索赔人;(iv) 我们没有发现性别偏见或外国偏见。
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引用次数: 0
Does heat cause homicides? A meta-analysis 高温会导致凶杀案吗?荟萃分析
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2024.106191
Vojtěch Mišák

Several studies provide evidence that heat is positively associated with criminal activity. However, the empirical literature does not provide conclusive evidence about the effect of high temperature on homicides. I examine 156 estimates from 20 studies on the relationship between temperature and homicide rates. In particular, in this meta-analysis I study publication bias using linear and nonlinear techniques together with Bayesian model averaging to explain the heterogeneity in the estimates. After correcting estimates from the publication bias, I cannot conclude that there is a significant effect of temperature on homicide rates. Moreover, monthly data produce larger estimates. Conversely, studies using data from Asia or the OLS estimation method lead to smaller estimates.

一些研究证明,高温与犯罪活动呈正相关。然而,关于高温对杀人案的影响,实证文献并未提供确凿证据。我研究了 20 项研究中关于气温与凶杀率之间关系的 156 个估计值。在这项荟萃分析中,我特别使用线性和非线性技术以及贝叶斯模型平均法研究了发表偏差,以解释估计值的异质性。在修正了发表偏差的估计值后,我无法得出气温对凶杀率有显著影响的结论。此外,月度数据产生的估计值更大。相反,使用亚洲数据或 OLS 估计方法的研究得出的估计值较小。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Review of Law and Economics
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