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An unstable equilibrium: Civil-military relations within the French Ministry of Defence 不稳定的平衡:法国国防部内部的军民关系
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI: 10.1080/01402390.2022.2127090
A. Maire, O. Schmitt
Abstract French civil-military relations under the 5th Republic are marked by the imposing figure of the President, because of their role in nuclear deterrence. In that context, the role of the ministry of defence in general, and of its leader (the minister) in particular, is ambiguous: the minister is technically not the highest authority in charge of defence issues (since both the Prime Minister and the President are constitutionally tasked with important responsibilities in the defence realm), but they nevertheless need to find a role between the presidential guidelines and the military demands. In this article, we show that civil-military relations within the French ministry of Defence are therefore characterized by an “unstable equilibrium”: the history of the French MoD is rife with regular swings between the primacy of the military or the primacy of civilians. Overall, the French MoD has adopted a model civil-military relations which is structurally unstable, due to the shifting legitimacy of the military elite within the French bureaucracy and the importance of the personality of the political and military actors involved: without fundamentally altering bureaucratic rules and organization, the power balance between civilian and military actors can quickly evolve. To a degree, this shows the plasticity of French civil-military relations and its ability to adapt to the actors involved, especially the President.
第五共和国时期的法国军民关系以总统的威严形象为标志,因为他们在核威慑中的作用。在这种背景下,国防部的角色,特别是其领导人(部长)的角色是模糊的:部长在技术上不是负责国防问题的最高权力机构(因为宪法赋予总理和总统在国防领域的重要责任),但他们仍然需要在总统的指导方针和军事要求之间找到一个角色。在本文中,我们展示了法国国防部内部的军民关系因此具有“不稳定平衡”的特征:法国国防部的历史充满了军事主导或平民主导之间的定期摇摆。总体而言,法国国防部采用了一种结构不稳定的军民关系模式,这是由于法国官僚机构内军事精英的合法性不断变化,以及所涉及的政治和军事行为者的个性的重要性:如果不从根本上改变官僚规则和组织,民事和军事行为者之间的权力平衡就会迅速演变。在某种程度上,这显示了法国文武关系的可塑性,以及它适应有关行动者,特别是总统的能力。
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引用次数: 1
Towards control and effectiveness: The Ministry of Defence and civil-military relations in India 走向控制和效力:印度国防部和军民关系
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-09-12 DOI: 10.1080/01402390.2022.2118115
A. Mukherjee
ABSTRACT This article analyses India’s Ministry of Defence and its influence on civil-military relations. It argues that, until very recently, the strategic intent of the defence ministry has primarily focused on civilian control over the military. The resultant institutional structure of civilian control compromised the effectiveness of the Indian military. This was due to several features of the country’s model of civilian control, including a lack of civilian expertise, bureaucratic procedures underlying civil-military interactions as well as military autonomy. Acknowledging these problems, the government has currently embarked on reforms to maximize military power. It is doing so mainly by infusing military expertise at the ministerial level. However, this may upend the civil-military dynamic in India and the success of this initiative remains to be seen. Conceptually, this article examines a possibly pernicious effect of a civilian dominated ministry and highlights the importance of expertise in enhancing both control and military effectiveness.
本文分析了印度国防部及其对军民关系的影响。它认为,直到最近,国防部的战略意图主要集中在文官对军队的控制上。由此产生的文官控制的体制结构损害了印度军队的效力。这是由于该国文官控制模式的几个特点,包括缺乏文官专业知识、文官-军队互动的官僚程序以及军事自治。认识到这些问题,政府目前已着手进行改革,以最大限度地发挥军事力量。它这样做主要是通过在部长级注入军事专门知识。然而,这可能会颠覆印度的军民动态,这一倡议的成功仍有待观察。从概念上讲,本文考察了一个文官主导的部门可能产生的有害影响,并强调了专业知识在加强控制和军事效能方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 2
Israel’s inter-war campaigns doctrine: From opportunism to principle 以色列两次世界大战之间的战役学说:从机会主义到原则
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-08-10 DOI: 10.1080/01402390.2022.2104254
Itamar Lifshitz, Erez Seri-Levy
ABSTRACT What started as opportunistic operations has gradually given rise to Israel’s prevailing military doctrine of Inter-War Campaigns (IWC). This article provides a comprehensive analysis of a phenomenon that has shaped conflicts in the Middle East, one that has been overlooked in the literature. The IWC utilises advantageous conditions to formulate continuous military campaigns below the threshold of severe conflict. This article argues that the IWC creates and manages limited competitive conflicts intended to mitigate adversaries’ force buildup in preparation for war. It provides the first account of the doctrine’s development, analyses its enabling factors, and discusses its degree of success.
一开始作为机会主义的行动逐渐产生了以色列盛行的战争间战役(IWC)军事理论。这篇文章提供了一个现象的全面分析,已经形成了中东地区的冲突,一个一直被忽视的文献。国际捕鲸委员会利用有利条件制定低于严重冲突门槛的连续军事行动。本文认为,国际捕鲸委员会创造和管理有限的竞争性冲突,旨在减轻对手在准备战争时的力量积累。它提供了理论发展的第一个账户,分析了它的促成因素,并讨论了它的成功程度。
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引用次数: 1
US Indo-Pacific Strategy and Pakistan’s Foreign Policy: The Hedging Option 美国印太战略与巴基斯坦外交政策:对冲选择
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.53532/ss.042.01.00153
Farhan Hanif Siddiqi Associate Professor
Pakistan finds itself at the horns of a strategic dilemma as the US-China rivalry intensifies in international politics. At the heart of the dilemma is the spectre of choosing between the US and China which has the intended effect of raising costs for Pakistan’s foreign policy. Recent commentaries on Pakistan’s foreign policy advocate the need for Pakistan to strike a balance between China and the US. In contradistinction to such commentaries, the present article makes a more nuanced case for the ‘hedging’ strategy. Hedging involves policies that advocate a mixture of return-maximization and risk-contingency planning that circumvents the dominance of major powers. The article argues that Pakistan’s hedging strategy necessitates the avoidance of binaries in international politics, domestic political stability and the prioritization of economic gains.
随着美中在国际政治中的竞争加剧,巴基斯坦发现自己处于战略困境的边缘。这一困境的核心是在美国和中国之间做出选择的幽灵,它的预期效果是提高巴基斯坦外交政策的成本。最近有关巴基斯坦外交政策的评论主张,巴基斯坦需要在中国和美国之间取得平衡。与此类评论相反,本文对“对冲”策略提出了更细致入微的案例。对冲涉及倡导收益最大化和风险应急计划的混合政策,这些政策绕过了大国的主导地位。本文认为,巴基斯坦的对冲战略需要在国际政治、国内政治稳定和经济收益优先方面避免二元对立。
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引用次数: 0
Recognition of the Taliban Government in Afghanistan 承认阿富汗塔利班政府
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.53532/ss.042.01.0014
Muhammad Faheem, Minhas Majeed Khan
The Taliban takeover of Kabul is a significant regional development having domestic, regional and global implications. Regarding the recognition of the new Taliban government; recently announced, the important states of the international community are responding with caution based on their strategic calculations, political values and long-term foreign policy goals in the regions adjoining Afghanistan. The states having stakes in Afghanistan are mainly divided in two groups: The US led group and the China-Russia led group of states. The US led group has advocated that the conduct of the Taliban on fundamental human rights, their commitment of forming an inclusive government and their detachment from international terrorist networks will be taken in consideration for deciding on the question of recognition and determining the nature of engagement with Afghanistan. The China-Russia group, is more in favor of regional stability and interested in filling the strategic vacuum left in Afghanistan by the US and its allies. The regional states are realigning themselves, with either of the major group, to respond to the unfolding situation in Afghanistan. Based on the conceptual framework of recognition of new governments in International Law and International Relations, this paper attempts to analyze the responses and concerns of the diverse international community vis-à-vis the newly formed Taliban government in Afghanistan.
塔利班接管喀布尔是一个重大的区域事态发展,对国内、区域和全球都有影响。关于承认新的塔利班政府;国际社会的重要国家根据其在阿富汗邻近地区的战略计算、政治价值和长期外交政策目标,谨慎地作出反应。在阿富汗有利害关系的国家主要分为两组:美国领导的国家组和中国-俄罗斯领导的国家组。美国领导的小组主张,在决定承认问题和确定与阿富汗接触的性质时,将考虑塔利班在基本人权方面的行为、他们组建包容性政府的承诺以及他们脱离国际恐怖主义网络。中俄集团更倾向于维护地区稳定,希望填补美国及其盟友在阿富汗留下的战略真空。该地区国家正在重新调整自己,与这两个主要集团中的任何一个结盟,以应对阿富汗不断演变的局势。本文试图以国际法和国际关系学中承认新政府的概念框架为基础,分析国际社会对-à-vis阿富汗新成立的塔利班政府的反应和关注。
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引用次数: 0
3-Cs of Cyberspace and Pakistan: Cybercrime, Cyber-Terrorism, and Cyber Warfare 网络空间与巴基斯坦的3c:网络犯罪、网络恐怖主义和网络战争
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.53532/ss.042.01.00134
Muhammad Nadeem Mirza, Muhammad Shahzad Akram
This qualitative exploratory and embedded case study deliberates the nature of 3-Cs – cybercrime, cyber-terrorism, cyber warfare – against Pakistan. What are the three Cs and how are they impacting the state and society in Pakistan. How Pakistan has been dealing with these threats related to its cyberspace. While taking cue from cyber realism – which provides the basic lens to conduct this research – this study notes that states and state-sponsored individuals, groups, and organisations remain the main actors in the cyberspace who are active against each other. The perception that the cyberspace has diminished the role of state is an exaggeration. States still are the most important actors in the cyber world order animated by the typical great power politics. Pakistan remained a prime target of the cybercrimes, cyber-terrorism, and cyber warfare launched by the regional and extra-regional states. Though, it has implemented Prevention of Electronic Crime Act (PECA) and passed National Cyber Policy, yet it still has to go a long way in order to protect itself against the 3-Cs of the cyberspace. Adopting a proactive strategy to counter these threats prematurely is still a far-fetched cry for Pakistan.
这个定性的探索性和嵌入式案例研究审议了针对巴基斯坦的3c -网络犯罪,网络恐怖主义,网络战争的性质。什么是3c,以及它们如何影响巴基斯坦的国家和社会。巴基斯坦是如何应对这些与网络空间有关的威胁的。在借鉴网络现实主义(为开展本研究提供了基本视角)的同时,本研究指出,国家和国家支持的个人、团体和组织仍然是网络空间中相互对抗的主要参与者。认为网络空间削弱了国家的作用是夸大其词。在典型的大国政治推动下,国家仍是网络世界秩序中最重要的角色。巴基斯坦仍然是地区和地区外国家发起的网络犯罪、网络恐怖主义和网络战争的主要目标。虽然已经实施了防止电子犯罪法案(PECA),并通过了国家网络政策,但为了保护自己免受网络空间3c的侵害,还有很长的路要走。对巴基斯坦来说,过早地采取积极主动的战略来应对这些威胁仍然是一种牵强的呼吁。
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引用次数: 1
99 seconds to Midnight: A Case for Institutionalizing Nuclear Risk Reduction Measures in South Asia 午夜前99秒:南亚减少核风险措施制度化的案例
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.53532/ss.042.01.00131
Salma Malik Assistant Professor
South Asian nuclear tests in summer of 1998, heralded a new chapter in the pervasive & deeply rooted sub-continental cold war, bringing forth the sobering realization that given geographical proximity and an inherent risk of tension escalation, there is a need to implement safeguards against incidental or accidental nuclear weapons usage, as well as avoidance of brinksmanship. Resultantly, Lahore MoU of 1999, and later the comprehensive dialogue process (2004), were positive steps initiated to institutionalize nuclear restraint measures. However, given the checkered history of bilateral relations, after making initial progression, this critical track like all other tracks of dialogue also faced a setback. Further exacerbated by populist ultra nationalist rhetoric and anti-Pakistan hate mongering of the Saffron regime in India under Narendra Modi. The recent Indian missile incident, trivialized as a mere accident is latest in the series of such episodes, that breaches mutual nuclear restraint protocols, as such actions carry the risk of inadvertent war under the nuclear shadow. Given the nature of relations between the two neighbours, these “accidents” can very well be misperceived or considered an intentional and deliberate misadventure, which can lead not only to tension escalation, but a nuclear crisis with grim consequences. This paper would appraise the often overlooked yet established nuclear restraint protocols between the two countries, seeking the fundamental question, whether after quarter of century, the South Asia neighbours fully understand the consequence of using nuclear weapons as elements of political currency. Can this incident be used as a positive turning point in helping usher a viable risk reduction regime between the two adversaries or the region is destined to gradually slide up the escalation ladder to an eventual catastrophe.
1998年夏天南亚的核试验预示着普遍和根深蒂固的次大陆冷战的新篇章,使人们清醒地认识到,由于地理上的接近和紧张局势升级的固有风险,有必要实施防止偶然或意外使用核武器的保障措施,并避免边缘政策。因此,1999年的拉合尔谅解备忘录,以及后来的全面对话进程(2004年),都是推动核约束措施制度化的积极步骤。然而,考虑到两国关系的曲折历史,这条关键的对话轨道在取得初步进展后,与所有其他对话轨道一样,也遇到了挫折。民粹主义的极端民族主义言论和纳伦德拉·莫迪领导下的印度藏红花政权的反巴基斯坦仇恨贩子进一步加剧了这种情况。最近的印度导弹事件被轻描淡写为仅仅是一次事故,这是一系列此类事件中的最新事件,违反了相互核约束议定书,因为这种行动在核阴影下有无意中引发战争的风险。鉴于这两个邻国之间关系的性质,这些“事故”很可能被误解,或被认为是蓄意和蓄意的灾难,这不仅可能导致紧张局势升级,还可能导致核危机,造成严重后果。本文将评价两国之间经常被忽视但已确立的核限制议定书,寻求一个根本问题,即在四分之一世纪之后,南亚邻国是否充分理解将核武器作为政治货币要素使用的后果。这一事件能否被用来作为一个积极的转折点,帮助在两个对手之间建立一个可行的减少风险制度,或者该地区注定要逐步升级,最终陷入灾难。
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引用次数: 0
Russian South Asia Policy: From Estrangement to Pragmatism 俄罗斯的南亚政策:从疏远到实用主义
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.53532/ss.042.01.0011
Almas Haider Naqvi, Dr. Syed Qandil Abbas Assistant Professor
This paper is an attempt to analyse the Soviet and Post-Soviet Russian policy responses towards the South Asia particularly India and Pakistan contextualising how the systemic pressures stimulated from balance of power and intervened by domestic factors specifically ideology and leaders’ images played important role in policy formulation and execution. Majority explanations of Soviet-Russian South Asian policy do not offer analysis of inside-out interactions. Incorporation of domestic factors in analysis would provide better explanation of Soviet-Russian policy and the key developments in South Asia. Soft-positivist methodology with qualitative and quantitative methods are employed to analyse data from primary and secondary sources. The paper categorises four distinct phases of Russian South Asia policy responses; Estrangement (1947-1953), Engagement (1954-1971), Indo-Centrality (1971-1991), Pragmatism (1991-2022) stimulated by systemic and intervened by domestic factors. Balancing and competition with the United States (US) and China primarily motivates Soviet Union to shape policy but ideology, leaders’ perceptions and images also influenced.
本文试图分析苏联和后苏联时期俄罗斯对南亚特别是印度和巴基斯坦的政策反应,并将权力平衡所激发的系统性压力以及国内因素(特别是意识形态和领导人形象)的干预如何在政策制定和执行中发挥重要作用置于背景之下。对苏俄南亚政策的大多数解释都没有提供对内外互动的分析。在分析中纳入国内因素将更好地解释苏俄政策和南亚的关键事态发展。本文采用软实证主义的方法,结合定性和定量的方法对第一手和第二手资料进行分析。本文将俄罗斯南亚政策反应分为四个不同阶段;隔阂(1947-1953)、接触(1954-1971)、印度中心主义(1971-1991)、实用主义(1991-2022):受体制因素刺激和国内因素干预。与美国和中国的平衡和竞争主要促使苏联制定政策,但意识形态、领导人的看法和形象也受到影响。
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引用次数: 0
Plebiscite Conundrum in Jammu and Kashmir 查谟和克什米尔的公民投票难题
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.53532/ss.042.01.00138
Victoria Schofield Independentwriter
Since 1947 the expectation that the fate of the disputed former princely state of Jammu and Kashmir would be decided by a plebiscite has been part of the narrative of the state’s history. Seventy-five years later, the plebiscite has never been held, the state remaining de facto divided between India and Pakistan, both accusing each other of illegally occupying the territory the other controls, while a significant proportion of the inhabitants of the state maintain that they have never been allowed their ‘right of self-determination.’[1] This paper examines the reasoning behind holding a plebiscite, the challenges of holding a unitary plebiscite in a state where the inhabitants of the major regions of the state have differing allegiances and aspirations and the reasons why the plebiscite was not held. It also explains why successive governments of Pakistan have clung to the notion of holding a plebiscite, whereas successive Indian governments have long since decided that a plebiscite is no longer necessary. Finally this paper will examine whether, in a changed demographic environment, with the state de facto divided for over half the time it was ever a united administrative unit, the holding of a plebiscite would resolve the issue or whether it would create more disaffection among disappointed minorities.    [1] Pakistani maps and rhetoric describe the area of the state occupied by India as ‘illegally occupied disputed territory’; Indian maps describe the area of the state occupied by Pakistan as ‘Pakistan Occupied Kashmir’ (POK).
自1947年以来,有争议的前土邦查谟和克什米尔的命运将由公民投票决定的期望一直是该邦历史叙述的一部分。75年过去了,公民投票从未举行过,这个国家实际上仍然在印度和巴基斯坦之间分裂,双方都指责对方非法占领对方控制的领土,而该州相当大比例的居民坚持认为他们从未被允许他们的“自决权”。[1]本文考察了举行公民投票的原因,在一个主要地区的居民有不同的忠诚和愿望的国家举行单一公民投票的挑战,以及公民投票没有举行的原因。这也解释了为什么巴基斯坦历届政府一直坚持举行公民投票的想法,而印度历届政府早就决定不再需要公民投票。最后,本文将探讨,在人口环境发生变化的情况下,国家事实上有超过一半的时间是分裂的,它曾经是一个统一的行政单位,举行公民投票是否会解决这个问题,或者它是否会在失望的少数民族中引起更多的不满。[1]巴基斯坦的地图和措辞将被印度占领的地区描述为“非法占领的争议领土”;印度地图将巴基斯坦占领的地区描述为“巴占克什米尔”(POK)。
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引用次数: 0
The Yangtze and the Sino-US cooperation in World War II, 1940–1945 二战时期长江与中美合作(1940-1945)
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-07-31 DOI: 10.1080/01402390.2022.2104836
Woody Wu
ABSTRACT This article sheds new light on how the war on the Yangtze became integrated into the broader Allied war effort and contributed to the collapse of the Japanese wartime economy. From 1940 to 1945, the Sino-Japanese conflict on the Yangtze, while influenced by developments in other theatres, remained at the core of Kuomintang’s concerns and strategy. The fall of Yichang caused severe economic and strategic difficulties in Free China. Assisted by the US, the Chinese forces repelled the Japanese expansion in West Hubei. Moreover, the Sino-US aerial interdictions on the Yangtze halted iron ore shipment essential to the Japanese economy.
本文揭示了长江战争是如何融入更广泛的盟军战争努力并导致日本战时经济崩溃的。从1940年到1945年,中日长江冲突虽然受到其他战区事态发展的影响,但仍然是国民党关注和战略的核心。在美国的帮助下,中国军队击退了日军在鄂西的扩张。此外,中美对长江的空中封锁,使对日本经济至关重要的铁矿石运输中断。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Strategic Studies
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