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Pakistan-Turkmenistan Relations: Evaluating the Progress on TAPI 巴基斯坦与土库曼斯坦关系:评价TAPI进展
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-20 DOI: 10.53532/ss.040.02.0075
Mir Sherbaz Khetran
Turkmenistan and Pakistan enjoy mutually respectful and cordial relations underpinned by history, culture and religion. Both countries value people-to-people ties and underscore the need to further augment bilateral cooperation in a variety of fields. China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a component of Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), provides an opportunity to enhance bilateral cooperation and shift the focus of relationship to addressing socio-economic challenges, building economic linkages and enhancing bilateral trade. Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) gas pipeline is one of the most effective development projects since the countries of the region are energy starved. The collective address to the common handicap will also play a vital role in the regional economic upswing. Most importantly, new avenues of cooperation can promote a common understanding of evolving regional and international issues of interest to both countries.
土库曼斯坦和巴基斯坦享有以历史、文化和宗教为基础的相互尊重和友好关系。双方重视人文交流,强调有必要进一步加强各领域合作。中巴经济走廊是“一带一路”倡议的组成部分,为加强双边合作、将关系重点转向应对社会经济挑战、建立经济联系和促进双边贸易提供了机遇。土库曼斯坦-阿富汗-巴基斯坦-印度(TAPI)天然气管道是该地区能源匮乏国家最有效的开发项目之一。共同解决共同障碍也将对地区经济复苏发挥至关重要的作用。最重要的是,新的合作途径可以促进对两国关心的不断演变的地区和国际问题的共同理解。
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引用次数: 0
A Critical Study of Press Freedom on Foreign Policy and Indo-Pak Relations in Pakistan 新闻自由对巴基斯坦外交政策和印巴关系的批判性研究
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-08 DOI: 10.53532/ss.040.04.0062
Haroon Elahi, Farish Ullah and Aslam Dogar
In Pakistan, freedom of press has long been a subject of intense debate. Both the political and non-political governments adopted various legal and constitutional means to regulate the press in the milieu of public debate and criticism. With this view, the current study aims to measure the extent to which the press enjoyed freedom in Pakistan over strategic issues like foreign policy and Indo-Pak relations during civil and military governments. Based on the theoretical framework of agenda-setting coupled with framing, the study also examines the ways and means by which the print media influence the public opinion on foreign policy and Indo-Pak relations. It also takes into account how media agenda transforms into public agenda. The results of the study depict a mixed trend for press freedom. However, one thing remains common that the press enjoyed freedom when new governments commenced whether it was headed by civil leadership or military and this freedom would gradually curtail towards the end of their tenure.
在巴基斯坦,新闻自由长期以来一直是激烈辩论的主题。无论是政治政府还是非政治政府,都采取了各种法律和宪法手段,在公众辩论和批评的环境中对新闻界进行管制。从这个角度来看,目前的研究旨在衡量巴基斯坦在文官和军政府执政期间,在外交政策和印巴关系等战略问题上,媒体享有多大程度的自由。基于议程设置与框架相结合的理论框架,本研究还考察了印刷媒体影响公众对外交政策和印巴关系的舆论的方式和手段。它还考虑到媒体议程如何转变为公共议程。研究结果显示,新闻自由的趋势喜忧参半。然而,有一件事仍然是普遍的,即在新政府成立时,无论是文职领导还是军方领导,新闻界都享有自由,这种自由将在其任期结束时逐渐减少。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Karot Hydro Power Project on Pakistan Economy Karot水电项目对巴基斯坦经济的影响
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-04 DOI: 10.53532/ss.041.03.0043
Samina Sabir Author
Pakistan has been facing the problem of energy crisis since 2007 and it has adversely affected the productivity and growth of the economy. To overcome this problem, under CPEC, 21 energy projects have been started in four provinces of Pakistan, Gilgit Baltistan (GB) and Azad Jammu & Kashmir (AJK). This study tries to access the impact of the CPEC energy project located in the Azad Jammu and Kashmir referred to as the 720MW Karot hydropower project on the economy of Pakistan using the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. Based on Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) 2010-2011 and) Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) database, this study simulates the impact of Karot hydropower project on some of the macroeconomic variables. The simulated results reveal that real GDP and total exports to other countries increase owing to the investment in hydropower projects as well as an increase in the supply of electricity. Moreover, investment in the Karot hydropower project also increases the growth of the interlinked sectors such as manufacturing sector, transport, and communication, agriculture and services sector respectively. This study also observes that the real prices of factor input also increase which would have a direct impact on wellbeing of the people.
自2007年以来,巴基斯坦一直面临能源危机问题,这对生产力和经济增长产生了不利影响。为了克服这一问题,根据中巴经济走廊,在巴基斯坦的四个省、吉尔吉特-巴尔蒂斯坦(GB)和阿扎德-查谟和克什米尔(AJK)启动了21个能源项目。本研究试图使用可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型来访问位于Azad查谟和克什米尔的中巴经济走廊能源项目(即720MW Karot水电项目)对巴基斯坦经济的影响。本研究基于2010-2011年社会会计矩阵(SAM)和全球贸易分析项目(GTAP)数据库,模拟了Karot水电项目对部分宏观经济变量的影响。模拟结果表明,由于水电项目的投资和电力供应的增加,实际GDP和对其他国家的出口总额增加。此外,对卡洛特水电项目的投资还促进了制造业、交通和通信、农业和服务业等相互关联部门的增长。本研究还观察到,要素投入的实际价格也会上升,这将直接影响到人民的福祉。
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引用次数: 0
Growing Chinese Presence in the Indian Ocean: Prospects and Challenges 中国在印度洋日益增长的存在:前景与挑战
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-04 DOI: 10.53532/ss.041.02.0048
Khalid Manzoor Butt and Sadaf Jan Siddiqui
The ‘String of Pearls’ strategy attributed to China for growing its relations with the states situated around the Indian Ocean (IO) in order to neutralise Indian influence. Furthermore, protecting economic and strategic interests are also the key factors that China is maintaining its presence in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR). After the completion of the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), it is predicted that Gwadar Port will be the most precious pearl of the string. With the increased Chinese influence, the United States (US) will not fall behind and will have to revise strategy to maintain its supremacy in the IO and keep Chinese influence under check. However, Chinese presence will enhance economic prospects in the IO but may also pose some challenges for regional peace and security. In this paper, an analytical study would be undertaken on such questions.
“珍珠链”战略归因于中国发展与印度洋周边国家的关系,以抵消印度的影响。此外,保护经济和战略利益也是中国维持其在印度洋地区存在的关键因素。有人预测,中巴经济走廊建成后,瓜达尔港将成为这条走廊上最珍贵的一颗珍珠。随着中国影响力的增加,美国将不会落后,必须修改战略,以保持其在国际上的霸主地位,并遏制中国的影响力。然而,中国的存在将增强该地区的经济前景,但也可能对地区和平与安全构成一些挑战。本文将对这些问题进行分析性研究。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of India’s ISR Capabilities on South Asian Security Dynamics 印度ISR能力对南亚安全动态的影响
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.53532/ss.041.04.0040
Amjad Mahmood and Adil Sultan Author
Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) capabilities have grown exponentially over the past two decades. Almost all major powers are building their ISR potential for commercial and military purposes which has provided incentive for the other emerging powers such as India to follow suit and develop its own cross-domain ISR network. This is likely to adversely impact South Asian security environment where India and Pakistan, the two nuclear armed states, remain embroiled in a military competition and have experienced several serious military crises over the past many years. Acquisition of new ISR technologies could also provide incentive to India to exploit its apparent conventional military advantage against Pakistan and venture into a limited armed conflict in pursuit of its political objectives under a nuclear overhang. Owing to a long history of distrust such an attempt could quickly escalate conflict with the possibility of an all-out war including the potential for a nuclear exchange. This paper aims to discuss India’s ambitious plan to upgrade its ISR capabilities in all the four domains of warfare, i.e. space, land, sea and air; the evolving India-US cooperation in sharing of data and its implications for Pakistan.
情报、监视和侦察(ISR)能力在过去二十年中呈指数级增长。几乎所有大国都在建设自己的ISR潜力,用于商业和军事目的,这为印度等其他新兴大国效仿并发展自己的跨域ISR网络提供了动力。这可能会对南亚的安全环境产生不利影响,印度和巴基斯坦这两个拥有核武器的国家仍然卷入军事竞争,并在过去多年中经历了几次严重的军事危机。获得新的ISR技术还可以激励印度利用其明显的常规军事优势对抗巴基斯坦,并冒险进入有限的武装冲突,以追求其在核威胁下的政治目标。由于长期的互不信任,这种企图可能迅速使冲突升级,有可能爆发全面战争,包括可能发生核交火。本文旨在讨论印度在所有四个战争领域(即太空、陆地、海上和空中)升级其ISR能力的雄心勃勃的计划;印美在数据共享方面不断发展的合作及其对巴基斯坦的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Strategic Significance of Pakistan: Challenges and Way Forward 巴基斯坦的战略意义:挑战与前进之路
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.53532/ss.041.04.0035
Ayesha Rana Author
Since its very inception Pakistan has been facing multiple strategic, diplomatic and economic challenges. With a significant strategic position Pakistan is situated at the doorway to the oil-rich countries of the Middle East and Central Asia and, therefore, it has great potential of becoming a transit economy. One cannot overlook the two-dimensional impact of geographical location; it has advantages as well as challenges. In order to transform these challenges into opportunities and protect one’s own national interests there is always a dire need to devise strategies to maximise the advantages. This article seeks to examine the benefits of Pakistan’s strategic location as well as its internal and external challenges on the same basis.
自成立以来,巴基斯坦一直面临着战略、外交和经济方面的多重挑战。巴基斯坦位于中东和中亚富油国家的门口,具有重要的战略地位,因此具有成为过境经济体的巨大潜力。我们不能忽视地理位置的二维影响;它有优势也有挑战。为了将这些挑战转化为机遇,保护自己的国家利益,总是迫切需要制定战略,使优势最大化。本文试图在同样的基础上审视巴基斯坦战略位置的好处以及其内部和外部挑战。
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引用次数: 0
The rise of the autocratic nuclear marketplace 专制的核市场的兴起
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/01402390.2022.2052725
N. Miller, Tristan A. Volpe
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引用次数: 4
Protecting civilians or preserving NATO? Alliance entanglement and the Bosnian safe areas 保护平民还是维护北约?联盟纠葛和波斯尼亚安全区
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-31 DOI: 10.1080/01402390.2022.2044315
Stefano Recchia
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引用次数: 0
From the editors 来自编辑
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-28 DOI: 10.1080/01402390.2022.2057670
J. Rovner
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to debates about its motives, the chances of aggression elsewhere, the dangers of nuclear instability, the prospects for deterrence, and the future of nuclear disarmament. The articles in this issue address these questions. What drives Russian strategy? In ‘Conspiracy theories in Russian security thinking,’ Martin Krugh of the Swedish Institute of International Affairs and the Uppsala Institute for Russian and Eurasian Studies, Erik Andermo of the Swedish Institute of International Affairs, and Liliia Makashova examine a pattern of conspiratorial ideas that circulate throughout the Russian defense community. According to the authors, leading think tanks promote a worldview stressing Russian victimization. Supposed threats from the United States and NATO justify Russian foreign policy and domestic repression. The authors leave open the possibility that these theories do not really influence Russian decision makers at high levels, who may operate according to a more level-headed assessment of state interests and the balance of powers. Even in this case, however, the presence of entrenched conspiratorial thinking may act as a constraint on policymakers. Negotiating with the West might prove difficult to justify to domestic audiences who have absorbed worst-case assumptions about Western intentions. Will Russia expand its military campaign? In ‘Russian strategy towards the Nordic region: Tracing continuity and change,’ Karen-Anna Eggen of the Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies examines whether Russian activism in Ukraine foreshadows a more active policy in Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, and Iceland, along with Artic Ocean and Baltic Sea. Eggen sees continuity in Russia’s goals in the region. It has consistently sought to maximize its own political influence, minimizing that of the
俄罗斯对乌克兰的入侵引发了关于其动机、在其他地方进行侵略的可能性、核不稳定的危险、威慑的前景以及核裁军的未来的辩论。本期的文章讨论了这些问题。是什么推动了俄罗斯的战略?瑞典国际事务研究所(Swedish Institute of International Affairs)和乌普萨拉俄罗斯与欧亚研究所(Uppsala Institute for Russian and Eurasian Studies)的克鲁(Martin Krugh)、瑞典国际事务研究所的安德莫(Erik Andermo)和马卡绍娃(Liliia Makashova)在《俄罗斯安全思维中的阴谋论》(Conspiracy theories In russia security thinking)一书中研究了在俄罗斯防务界流传的阴谋论思想模式。根据作者的说法,领先的智库宣扬一种强调俄罗斯受害的世界观。来自美国和北约的所谓威胁为俄罗斯的外交政策和国内镇压提供了理由。作者留下了一种可能性,即这些理论并没有真正影响俄罗斯高层决策者,他们可能会根据对国家利益和权力平衡的更冷静的评估来运作。然而,即使在这种情况下,根深蒂固的阴谋论思想的存在也可能对政策制定者起到约束作用。事实可能会证明,与西方谈判很难让国内观众信服,因为他们已经接受了西方意图的最坏假设。俄罗斯会扩大军事行动吗?在《俄罗斯对北欧地区的战略:追踪连续性和变化》一书中,挪威国防研究所的凯伦-安娜·埃根(Karen-Anna Eggen)研究了俄罗斯在乌克兰的行动是否预示着俄罗斯在挪威、瑞典、芬兰、丹麦、冰岛以及北冰洋和波罗的海采取更积极的政策。埃根认为俄罗斯在该地区的目标是持续的。它一直寻求最大限度地扩大自己的政治影响力,尽量减少
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引用次数: 0
Imagining total onslaught: South African military threat scenarios and doctrinal change, 1953–1975 想象全面冲击:1953-1975年南非军事威胁情景和教义变化
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-08 DOI: 10.1080/01402390.2022.2045583
Alon Posner
ABSTRACT The Apartheid-era South African military (SADF) underwent dramatic peacetime changes, from a small and underfunded expeditionary element of Commonwealth forces in the 1950s to a regime bulwark with regional capabilities under ‘Total Strategy’ in the mid-1970s. By comparing internal assessments, changes in the SADF’s official view of future wars are traced through security crises of the 1960s and 1970s. Shifting future war perceptions were shaped by the interplay of organizational-political needs during crises of legitimacy for the military. These shifts in future war perception motivated strategic and operational-tactical doctrinal change and shaped the military’s view of security crises.
种族隔离时期的南非军队(SADF)在和平时期经历了巨大的变化,从20世纪50年代英联邦军队中规模较小且资金不足的远征部队,转变为20世纪70年代中期在“全面战略”下具有区域能力的政权堡垒。通过比较内部评估,SADF对未来战争的官方看法的变化可以追溯到20世纪60年代和70年代的安全危机。在军事合法性危机期间,组织政治需求的相互作用塑造了未来战争观念的转变。未来战争观念的这些转变推动了战略和作战战术理论的变革,并塑造了军方对安全危机的看法。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Strategic Studies
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