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Urban Sprawl and Intergenerational Mobility: City- and Neighborhood-Level Effects of Sprawl 城市无计划扩展与代际流动:无计划扩展对城市和社区的影响
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1177/08912424241279561
Kelsey Carlston, Yehua Dennis Wei
Characteristics of sprawl, like decreased social cohesion and lower accessibility to jobs and services, could negatively affect economic opportunity and intergenerational mobility. City-level studies have found mixed results, but neighborhood effects have been largely ignored. This study uses census tract and city-level data in a multilevel model to develop a richer understanding of the scale-dependent relationship between sprawl and intergenerational mobility. The authors found that a 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in sprawl at the tract level is associated with a 0.07 SD decrease in upward economic mobility, while a 1 SD increase in city-level sprawl is associated with a 0.08 SD decrease. Sprawl negatively affects upward intergenerational mobility at the metropolitan level and the census tract level. The negative relationship of economic outcomes to sprawl does not hold for high-income children, indicating that there may be conflicting benefits for different income families. Policy makers should understand these conflicting pressures.
无计划扩展的特征,如社会凝聚力下降、工作和服务的可及性降低,可能会对经济机会和代际流动性产生负面影响。城市层面的研究结果有好有坏,但邻里效应在很大程度上被忽视了。本研究在多层次模型中使用了人口普查区和城市层面的数据,以更丰富地理解无计划扩展与代际流动性之间的规模依赖关系。作者发现,在普查区层面,无计划扩展每增加 1 个标准差,经济向上流动性就会减少 0.07 个标准差,而在城市层面,无计划扩展每增加 1 个标准差,经济向上流动性就会减少 0.08 个标准差。在大都市层面和人口普查区层面,无计划扩展对代际向上流动性都有负面影响。经济结果与无计划扩展的负面关系对高收入儿童并不适用,这表明不同收入的家庭可能会得到相互冲突的好处。决策者应该了解这些相互冲突的压力。
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引用次数: 0
Too Cold to Venture There? January Temperature and Immigrant Self-Employment Across the United States 太冷而不敢冒险?美国各地一月份的气温和移民自雇情况
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1177/08912424241271142
Jun Yeong Lee, John V. Winters
Immigrants in the United States have higher self-employment rates than native-born Americans. However, immigrant self-employment rates vary considerably across areas of the country. The authors examine the percentage of immigrant workers in local areas who are self-employed (i.e., the self-employment rate for the foreign born). Areas with colder winter temperatures have especially low self-employment rates among their immigrant populations compared to warmer areas. The relationship between winter temperature and immigrant self-employment persists after controlling for numerous individual and local area characteristics. The relationship holds for numerous subsamples of immigrants but is strongest for immigrants arriving to the United States as adults. Child immigrants and native-born Americans exhibit a weaker relationship, possibly because of previous exposure and attachment to particular locations chosen by their parents that constrain the migration responses of potential entrepreneurs. Entrepreneurial immigrants arriving to the country as adults appear especially footloose and particularly responsive to January temperatures in their location decisions.
美国移民的自营职业率高于土生土长的美国人。然而,移民自营职业率在美国不同地区之间存在很大差异。作者研究了当地移民工人中自营职业者的比例(即外国出生者的自营职业率)。与温暖地区相比,冬季气温较低的地区移民人口的自营职业率尤其低。在控制了许多个人和地区特征之后,冬季气温与移民自雇之间的关系依然存在。这种关系在许多移民子样本中都是成立的,但对于成年后抵达美国的移民来说,这种关系最为强烈。儿童移民和土生土长的美国人之间的关系较弱,这可能是因为他们以前接触过父母选择的特定地点并对其产生了依恋,从而限制了潜在企业家的移民反应。成年后来到美国的创业移民似乎特别自由散漫,在作出地点选择时对一月份的气温反应特别灵敏。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying and Developing the Battery Manufacturing Workforce: A Regional Analysis of Supply–Demand of Skilled Workers 识别和发展电池制造业劳动力:地区技术工人供需分析
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1177/08912424241274318
Gigi Jones, Christiana McFarland, Michael Lee, Christa Reid, Emma Rose, Jacob Gottlieb, Ilan Falcon
Several regions throughout the country are at a crossroads in identifying and developing a sizeable workforce to support President Biden's 2030 zero-emission goals. This case study investigates the Youngstown–Warren–Boardman region's burgeoning viability in supplying the needed workers in its local electric vehicle battery manufacturing industry. This article presents findings from a mixed-methods approach that includes a supply–demand analysis of the region using Lightcast job-postings data; an analysis of the National Labor Exchange data to identify the most common and desirable skills by employers; a curriculum mapping analysis of local educational institutions training programs; and a cost–benefit analysis of program-educated employees that compares employees with only a high school education. Regional stakeholder interviews verified and clarified the findings. The authors conclude with a few partnership-driven recommendations that provide opportunities to strengthen and expand the electric vehicle battery manufacturing workforce for the Youngstown–Warren–Boardman and similar regions.
为支持拜登总统提出的 2030 年零排放目标,全国多个地区正处于寻找和培养大量劳动力的十字路口。本案例研究调查了扬斯敦-沃伦-博曼地区在为当地电动汽车电池制造业提供所需工人方面的新兴可行性。本文介绍了一种混合方法的研究结果,包括利用 Lightcast 工作岗位发布数据对该地区进行供需分析;分析国家劳动力交流中心的数据,以确定雇主最常用和最需要的技能;对当地教育机构的培训项目进行课程图谱分析;对接受过项目教育的员工进行成本效益分析,并与仅受过高中教育的员工进行比较。地区利益相关者访谈核实并澄清了调查结果。最后,作者提出了一些以合作为导向的建议,为加强和扩大扬斯敦-沃伦-博曼及类似地区的电动汽车电池制造劳动力提供了机会。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive Analytics Supporting Labor Market Success: A Career Explorer for Job Seekers and Workforce Professionals in Michigan 支持劳动力市场成功的预测分析:密歇根州求职者和劳动力专业人士的职业探索者
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1177/08912424241271163
Christopher J. O’Leary, Kevin Doyle, Ben Damerow, Kenneth J. Kline, Beth C. Truesdale, Salomon Orellana, Randall W. Eberts, Amy Meyers, Anna Wilcoxson, Scott Powell
Career Explorer provides customized career exploration tools for workforce development staff and job seekers in Michigan. There are two separate Career Explorer modules: a staff-mediated service and a self-service for job seekers. The system was developed by the Michigan Center for Data and Analytics in collaboration with the W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research and Michigan Works! Southwest. It was funded by the U.S. Department of Labor's Office of Workforce Investment and the Schmidt Futures’ Data for the American Dream (D4AD) project. In this paper, the authors describe the machine learning models behind the predictive analytics of the frontline staff-mediated version of Career Explorer. These models were trained on program administrative data. Additionally, the authors describe the self-service version of Career Explorer, which provides clients with customized labor market information based on published U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Career Explorer became an active feature of Michigan's online reemployment services system in June 2021.
Career Explorer 为密歇根州的劳动力开发人员和求职者提供定制的职业探索工具。Career Explorer 有两个独立的模块:以工作人员为媒介的服务和求职者自助服务。该系统由密歇根数据与分析中心(Michigan Center for Data and Analytics)与 W.E. Upjohn 就业研究所(W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research)和密歇根工作(Michigan Works)合作开发!Southwest 合作开发的。该系统由美国劳工部劳动力投资办公室和 Schmidt Futures 的 "美国梦数据"(D4AD)项目资助。在本文中,作者介绍了以一线员工为媒介的 Career Explorer 预测分析模型背后的机器学习模型。这些模型是在项目管理数据的基础上进行训练的。此外,作者还介绍了 Career Explorer 的自助服务版本,该版本根据美国劳工统计局公布的数据为客户提供定制的劳动力市场信息。Career Explorer 于 2021 年 6 月成为密歇根州在线再就业服务系统的一个活跃功能。
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引用次数: 0
Can Anyone Learn to Code? A Qualitative Study of Place-Based Information Technology Training Programs 任何人都能学会编程吗?基于地方的信息技术培训计划的定性研究
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1177/08912424241276845
Kathleen Bolter, Nicholas Martens
The demand for workers with information technology skills is high, creating a challenge for today's workforce system to train enough people. In response, nonprofit organizations and workforce development agencies have developed place-based training programs for information technology jobs. The intricate nature of these jobs necessitates innovative training approaches that address both technical proficiency and cultural competence. Drawing from interviews and case studies, this analysis highlights the importance of rigorous prescreening processes, structured support for graduates transitioning to employment, and collaboration with employers in ensuring the success and sustainability of place-based information technology training programs. It is recommended that programs incorporate these elements into their design to effectively meet the demands of the labor market and foster diversity and inclusion within the technology sector.
对掌握信息技术技能的工人的需求量很大,这给当今的劳动力系统培训足够的人才带来了挑战。为此,非营利组织和劳动力发展机构针对信息技术工作制定了基于地方的培训计划。这些工作的复杂性要求采用创新的培训方法,既要解决技术熟练程度问题,又要解决文化能力问题。通过访谈和案例研究,本分析报告强调了严格的预选流程、对毕业生就业过渡的结构化支持以及与雇主的合作对于确保基于地方的信息技术培训项目的成功和可持续性的重要性。建议培训项目在设计中融入这些元素,以有效满足劳动力市场的需求,促进技术行业的多样性和包容性。
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引用次数: 0
Dissolving Districts: Did Property Values Fall When California Terminated Its Redevelopment Agencies? 解散地区:加州终止重建机构后,房产价值是否下降?
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1177/08912424241271259
Huixin Zheng, Nicholas Marantz, Jae Hong Kim, John R. Hipp
California pioneered the use of tax increment finance (TIF) to promote redevelopment, but in 2012 all redevelopment agencies in the state were simultaneously (and unexpectedly) dissolved, essentially eliminating TIF-supported redevelopment in California. This paper uses hedonic methods to analyze changes in residential property values associated with the dissolution of TIF districts in five cities in northern Orange County. If TIF is necessary for (re)development in the TIF districts, then the unexpected elimination of TIF-funded redevelopment should have reduced property values. The authors find that, within the study area, the elimination of TIF was not associated with decreases in residential values within TIF districts, and quality-adjusted home prices in and near former TIF districts continued to grow at a rate at least comparable to citywide rates in the aftermath of the dissolution. These findings raise the concern that TIF may function as a tool for revenue capture before the TIF districts reach the anticipated expiration dates. In the absence of significant regulatory safeguards, TIF may be used to capture revenue from overlapping governments, instead of serving as an engine of economic development.
加利福尼亚州率先使用税收增量融资(TIF)来促进再开发,但在 2012 年,该州所有的再开发机构同时(意外地)被解散,这基本上消除了加利福尼亚州由 TIF 支持的再开发。本文采用享乐主义方法分析了奥兰治县北部五个城市与 TIF 区解散相关的住宅物业价值变化。如果 TIF 是 TIF 区(再)开发的必要条件,那么意外取消 TIF 资助的再开发应该会降低房产价值。作者发现,在研究区域内,取消 TIF 与 TIF 区内住宅价值的下降并无关联,前 TIF 区内及附近经过质量调整后的房价在解散后继续以至少与全市相当的速度增长。这些发现引起了人们的担忧,即 TIF 可能会在 TIF 区达到预期到期日之前成为攫取收入的工具。如果没有重要的监管保障措施,TIF 可能会被用来从重叠的政府中获取收入,而不是作为经济发展的引擎。
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引用次数: 0
Aerospace Place-Based Policy: The Impact of Boeing on South Carolina's Aerospace Industry 以地方为基础的航空航天政策:波音公司对南卡罗来纳州航空航天业的影响
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1177/08912424241268284
Adam Scavette
South Carolina offered Boeing nearly $1 billion to locate a 787 Dreamliner assembly plant in North Charleston, which opened in 2011. Using difference-in-differences and synthetic difference-in-differences estimators, the author finds a substantial impact of the plant on South Carolina's aerospace employment (311% or 6,000 jobs), wages (10%), and establishments (44%) in the subsequent decade. The estimated number of aerospace jobs generated by the plant exceeds Boeing's 3,800 promised jobs. However, much of the state's aerospace establishment growth does not appear to be directly related to the Boeing plant, with most of it occurring in the upstate region (Greenville, Spartanburg) late in the treatment period. An analysis of the Charleston metropolitan area's economy reveals a 5-year local employment multiplier of 2.6 per promised job.
南卡罗来纳州向波音公司提供了近 10 亿美元,用于在北查尔斯顿建立 787 Dreamliner 装配厂,该厂于 2011 年开业。作者使用差分和合成差分估算器发现,在随后的十年中,该工厂对南卡罗来纳州的航空航天就业(311% 或 6000 个工作岗位)、工资(10%)和机构(44%)产生了巨大影响。据估计,该工厂创造的航空航天工作岗位数量超过了波音公司承诺的 3800 个岗位。然而,该州大部分航空航天机构的增长似乎与波音工厂没有直接关系,大部分增长发生在处理期后期的北部地区(格林维尔、斯帕坦堡)。对查尔斯顿大都会区经济的分析表明,5 年内当地每个承诺就业岗位的就业乘数为 2.6。
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引用次数: 0
What Motivates Employer Engagement? Promoting Youth Career Embeddedness in Two Tennessee Regions 雇主参与的动力是什么?在田纳西州的两个地区促进青少年职业发展
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1177/08912424241265331
Jenna E. Myers
While workforce development can create skilled workers and better jobs, employer engagement is often limited. This article analyzes the case of Tennessee Pathways and draws on interviews with highly engaged employers, including those that hosted youth worker interns. The author investigates how employers accounted for their involvement and how program design shaped the benefits they perceived. Despite a traditional focus on skills gaps, the author finds that most employers sustained their engagement due to workforce challenges rooted in a mismatch between new hires’ expectations and the realities of the job, which resulted in high turnover of incumbent adult workers. Employers perceived that youth programs addressed this issue by fostering “career embeddedness” and deepening youth workers’ commitment to a nascent career interest or by redirecting them to other viable options. The author argues that practitioners should promote the potential of workforce development to yield long-term workforce reproduction and next-generation career development.
虽然劳动力发展可以创造熟练工人和更好的工作,但雇主的参与往往是有限的。本文分析了田纳西州 Pathways 项目的案例,并对参与度高的雇主进行了访谈,包括那些接待青年工人实习生的雇主。作者调查了雇主如何解释他们的参与,以及项目设计如何影响了他们所感受到的益处。尽管传统的重点是技能差距,但作者发现,大多数雇主持续参与的原因是劳动力方面的挑战,其根源在于新员工的期望与现实工作不匹配,这导致了在职成年工人的高流失率。雇主们认为,青年项目可以通过培养 "职业嵌入"、加深青年工人对新职业兴趣的承诺或将他们转向其他可行的选择来解决这一问题。作者认为,从业人员应促进劳动力发展的潜力,以实现劳动力的长期再生产和下一代的职业发展。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond Local and Traded: Evidence for a Third Industry Market Area Type and Implications for Regional Economic Development 超越本地和贸易:第三产业市场区域类型的证据及其对区域经济发展的影响
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1177/08912424241264546
Teresa M. Lynch, Robert Manduca
Geographers, economists, and urban planners have long distinguished between “local” industries that serve geographically proximate customers and “traded” industries that serve customers around the country or across the globe. This study uses newly developed, high-quality data to provide evidence of a third major industry market area type, which the authors term “regional” industries. Regional industries serve market areas larger than a U.S. county and smaller than a state, with employment found in most metropolitan areas, but spatially concentrated within each metro area. Paradigmatic regional industries include business-to-business services, like facilities maintenance and logistics, and some types of manufacturing, like craft brewing. Regional industries have a distinct economic profile: their customers are often other businesses rather than consumers, they pay higher average wages than local industries, and they offer more entrepreneurship opportunities than traded industries. In total, regional industries accounted for an estimated 31% of U.S. employment and 33% of gross domestic product in 2021.
长期以来,地理学家、经济学家和城市规划者一直在区分服务于地理位置邻近客户的 "本地 "产业和服务于全国或全球客户的 "贸易 "产业。本研究利用新开发的高质量数据,提供了第三种主要产业市场区域类型的证据,作者称之为 "区域 "产业。区域性产业服务的市场区域大于美国的一个县,小于一个州,在大多数大都市地区都有就业,但在空间上集中在每个大都市地区。典型的区域产业包括企业对企业服务,如设施维护和物流,以及某些类型的制造业,如手工酿造。地区产业具有独特的经济特征:它们的客户通常是其他企业而非消费者,它们支付的平均工资高于本地产业,它们提供的创业机会也多于贸易产业。据估计,到 2021 年,地区产业总共占美国就业人数的 31%,占国内生产总值的 33%。
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引用次数: 0
Flying Blind on Job Creation Policies? A Case Study of California 盲目推行创造就业的政策?加州案例研究
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1177/08912424241254797
David Neumark, Emma Wohl
Are state job creation policies evidence-based? The authors present a case study of California's extensive set of job creation policies. The authors identify tax credits, grants, loans, entrepreneur training and assistance, and worker training and assistance policies, and estimate their costs. They synthesize what evidence there is on policy effectiveness. There is good evidence for a small number of state job creation policies, sometimes pointing to success in creating or retaining jobs. But for many state policies there is no evidence on effectiveness, or the evidence does not establish that the policy works.
各州创造就业的政策是否有据可依?作者对加利福尼亚州广泛的创造就业政策进行了案例研究。作者确定了税收抵免、赠款、贷款、企业家培训和援助以及工人培训和援助政策,并估算了其成本。他们综合了有关政策有效性的证据。少数几个州的创造就业政策有很好的证据,有时表明在创造或保留就业岗位方面取得了成功。但对于许多州的政策而言,没有证据表明其有效性,或者证据并不能证明政策是有效的。
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引用次数: 0
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Economic Development Quarterly
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