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Labor market pathways to job quality mobility in the service sector: Evidence from the “Great Resignation” 服务业工作质量流动的劳动力市场途径:来自 "大辞职 "的证据
IF 2.7 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rssm.2024.100962
Tyler Woods , Dylan Nguyen , Daniel Schneider , Kristen Harknett

Since the mid-1970s, there has been a sharp rise in the prevalence of “bad jobs” in the U.S. labor market, characterized by stagnant wages, unstable work schedules, and limited fringe benefits. Scholarly, policy, and public debate persists, however, about whether these jobs can serve as steppingstones to intra-generational job quality mobility or are instead “poverty traps.” While scholarship increasingly recognizes the multi-dimensional nature of job quality, prior research on intra-generational job mobility overwhelmingly estimates only wage mobility and generally focuses on estimating the degree of mobility, to the exclusion of the contexts and mechanisms that foster such mobility. We draw on new panel data collected from 8600 hourly service sector workers between 2017 and 2022 to estimate short-run mobility into good jobs, defined as paying at least $15/hour, having a stable work schedule, and offering paid sick leave, employer-sponsored health insurance, and retirement benefits. Overall, we find that mobility into such “good jobs” is low. However, we show that the rate of transition into “good jobs” is strongly conditioned by local labor market conditions: during the “Great Resignation” and in low state-month unemployment periods, nearly twice the share of workers transitioned to “good jobs” as in less favorable contexts, particularly workers who changed sector as opposed to staying at the same firm or taking new jobs in the service sector. Notably, during periods of labor market tightness, workers who stayed at the same employer had similar rates of mobility into “good jobs” as those who changed employers within the sector.

自 20 世纪 70 年代中期以来,美国劳动力市场上的 "坏工作 "数量急剧上升,这些工作的特点是工资停滞不前、工作时间不稳定、附带福利有限。然而,学术界、政策界和公众对这些工作是否能成为代际间工作质量流动的垫脚石,抑或是 "贫困陷阱 "的争论依然存在。虽然学术界越来越认识到工作质量的多维性,但以往关于代内工作流动性的研究绝大多数只估计工资流动性,而且一般只注重估计流动性的程度,而忽略了促进这种流动性的环境和机制。我们利用从 2017 年至 2022 年间收集的 8600 名服务业小时工的新面板数据,估算了进入好工作的短期流动性,好工作的定义是工资至少为 15 美元/小时、工作时间稳定、提供带薪病假、雇主资助的医疗保险和退休福利。总体而言,我们发现向这类 "好工作 "的流动性很低。然而,我们的研究表明,向 "好工作 "过渡的比例受到当地劳动力市场条件的强烈制约:在 "大辞职 "期间和州月度失业率较低的时期,向 "好工作 "过渡的工人比例几乎是较差情况下的两倍,尤其是相对于留在同一家公司或在服务行业从事新工作而改变行业的工人。值得注意的是,在劳动力市场紧张时期,留在同一雇主处的工人与在部门内更换雇主的工人的 "好工作 "流动率相似。
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引用次数: 0
Interaction of family SES with children’s genetic propensity for cognitive and noncognitive skills: No evidence of the Scarr-Rowe hypothesis for educational outcomes 家庭 SES 与儿童认知和非认知技能遗传倾向的相互作用:在教育成果方面没有斯卡尔-罗假设的证据
IF 2.7 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rssm.2024.100960
Gaia Ghirardi , Carlos J. Gil-Hernández , Fabrizio Bernardi , Elsje van Bergen , Perline Demange

This study examines the role of genes and environments in predicting educational outcomes. We test the Scarr-Rowe hypothesis, suggesting that enriched environments enable genetic potential to unfold, and the compensatory advantage hypothesis, proposing that low genetic endowments have less impact on education for children from high socioeconomic status (SES) families. We use a pre-registered design with Netherlands Twin Register data (426 ≤ Nindividuals ≤ 3875). We build polygenic indexes (PGIs) for cognitive and noncognitive skills to predict seven educational outcomes from childhood to adulthood across three designs (between-family, within-family, and trio) accounting for different confounding sources, totalling 42 analyses. Cognitive PGIs, noncognitive PGIs, and parental education positively predict educational outcomes. Providing partial support for the compensatory hypothesis, 39/42 PGI × SES interactions are negative, with 7 reaching statistical significance under Romano-Wolf and 3 under the more conservative Bonferroni multiple testing corrections (p-value < 0.007). In contrast, the Scarr-Rowe hypothesis lacks empirical support, with just 2 non-significant and 1 significant (not surviving Romano-Wolf) positive interactions. Overall, we emphasise the need for future replication studies in larger samples. Our findings demonstrate the value of merging social-stratification and behavioural-genetic theories to better understand the intricate interplay between genetic factors and social contexts.

本研究探讨了基因和环境在预测教育成果中的作用。我们检验了斯卡尔-罗假说(Scarr-Rowe hypothesis)和补偿优势假说(Compensatory advantage hypothesis),斯卡尔-罗假说(Scarr-Rowe hypothesis)认为,丰富的环境能使遗传潜能得以发挥,而补偿优势假说(Compensatory advantage hypothesis)则认为,低遗传禀赋对高社会经济地位(SES)家庭子女的教育影响较小。我们利用荷兰双胞胎登记数据(426 ≤ Nindividuals ≤ 3875)进行预登记设计。我们建立了认知和非认知技能的多基因指数(PGIs),通过三种设计(家庭间、家庭内和三人组)来预测从童年到成年的七种教育结果,并考虑了不同的混杂因素,共进行了 42 项分析。认知能力的PGIs、非认知能力的PGIs和父母的教育程度对教育结果有积极的预测作用。为补偿假说提供部分支持的是,39/42 个 PGI × SES 交互作用为负,其中 7 个在 Romano-Wolf 法下达到统计显著性,3 个在更保守的 Bonferroni 多重检验校正法下达到统计显著性(p 值为 0.007)。相比之下,斯卡尔-罗假设缺乏经验支持,仅有 2 项不显著和 1 项显著(罗曼-沃尔夫法不适用)的正交互作用。总之,我们强调今后需要在更大的样本中进行重复研究。我们的研究结果表明,将社会分层理论与行为遗传理论相结合,对更好地理解遗传因素与社会环境之间错综复杂的相互作用具有重要价值。
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引用次数: 0
The progression of achievement gap between immigrant and native-born students from primary to secondary education 从小学到中学,移民学生与本地出生学生之间的成绩差距的发展情况
IF 2.7 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rssm.2024.100961
Aigul Alieva , Vincent A. Hildebrand , Philippe Van Kerm

This paper depicts the evolution of gaps in academic performance between native and immigrant background students as they progress from primary to secondary education. We study three cohorts of students in European and traditional English-speaking immigration countries using combinations of international assessment studies (PIRLS, TIMSS and PISA). To address the issue of comparability of test scores across surveys and over time, we exploit rank-based measures of relative performance, which only require ordinal comparability of the data. We do not find significant differences between the academic achievements of immigrant children and their native-born peers in English-speaking receiving countries. By contrast, immigrant-background children – both of first- and of second-generation – exhibit a large achievement gap in primary school in Europe, even when accounting for observable differences in socioeconomic characteristics. The gap tends to narrow down in secondary education in both reading and mathematics but is not fully absorbed in most countries. This finding is noteworthy among second-generation students in systems with early tracking. The performance of students with mixed parents is not markedly different from native students. Diverging educational progress between immigrant children in traditional immigration countries and our sample of European countries seems to reinforce the importance of the initial socioeconomic endowment in shaping the academic trajectories of immigrant children.

本文描述了本地学生和移民背景学生在从小学升入中学的过程中学习成绩差距的演变。我们利用国际评估研究(PIRLS、TIMSS 和 PISA)的组合,对欧洲和传统英语移民国家的三批学生进行了研究。为了解决不同调查和不同时期测试分数的可比性问题,我们采用了基于排名的相对成绩衡量方法,这种方法只要求数据的顺序可比性。在英语接受国,我们没有发现移民儿童的学业成绩与本地出生的同龄人有明显差异。相比之下,有移民背景的儿童--无论是第一代还是第二代--在欧洲小学的成绩差距很大,即使考虑到可观察到的社会经济特征差异也是如此。这种差距在中学阶段的阅读和数学学习中趋于缩小,但在大多数国家并没有完全消除。这一发现在早期跟踪系统中的第二代学生中值得注意。父母为混血儿的学生的成绩与本地学生没有明显差异。传统移民国家的移民儿童与我们的欧洲国家样本中的移民儿童在教育方面取得的进步存在差异,这似乎更加说明了初始社会经济禀赋在塑造移民儿童学业轨迹方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of transitioning into temporary employment on wages is not negative: A comparative study in eight countries 过渡到临时就业对工资的影响并不是负面的:八个国家的比较研究
IF 2.7 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rssm.2024.100957
Jonathan P. Latner

There remains a lack of clarity about the effect of temporary employment on wages. Using asymmetric fixed effects models with a dummy impact function, we study the wage effects of four distinct transitions: (1) from unemployment into a temporary relative to (2) a permanent contracts; and (3) from temporary into permanent contracts relative to (4) from permanent into temporary contracts. We use panel data from eight countries to examine the effect of these distinct transitions, over time after the transition occurs, and in a cross-national, comparative context. The main finding explains the wage penalty of temporary employment identified by previous research. The negative effect is more accurately understood as the difference between two types of transitions, neither of which are negative, even if transitions from temporary into permanent contracts more positive than transitions from permanent into temporary contracts. There is little difference in the wage effect of transitions from unemployment into temporary relative to permanent contracts. The findings may be counter intuitive, but they are consistent with the theory of equalizing differences.

临时就业对工资的影响仍不明确。我们使用具有虚拟影响函数的非对称固定效应模型,研究了四种不同过渡对工资的影响:(1)相对于(2)长期合同,从失业过渡到临时合同;(3)相对于(4)从长期合同过渡到临时合同,从临时合同过渡到长期合同。我们利用八个国家的面板数据,在跨国比较的背景下,研究了这些不同过渡在过渡发生后一段时间内的影响。主要发现解释了以往研究中发现的临时就业对工资的惩罚。负效应更准确地理解为两类过渡之间的差异,这两类过渡都不是负效应,即使从临时合同过渡到长期合同比从长期合同过渡到临时合同更积极。相对于长期合同而言,从失业过渡到临时合同对工资的影响差别不大。这些研究结果可能有悖直觉,但与均衡差异理论是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Variation in unemployment scarring across labor markets. A comparative factorial survey experiment using real vacancies 使用真实空缺职位进行的比较性因素调查实验:劳动力市场中失业伤痕的差异
IF 2.7 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.rssm.2024.100959
Stefan Sacchi , Robin Samuel

Unemployment may severely impede access to (good) jobs. We focus on the effects of unemployment scarring on the chances of young workers to get hired and evaluate the extent to which they are affected in labor markets with different levels of unemployment. Drawing on Goffman’s work on stigmatization and on queuing theory, we derive two potentially complementary micro-level explanations with opposing macro-level implication. We address the variation in unemployment scarring across 20 labor markets in four European countries based on factorial survey experiments embedded in real hiring situations. The results suggest that in labor markets with persistently low levels of unemployment, stigmatization, as proposed by Goffman, is the main source of unemployment scarring. We find no evidence that unemployment scarring is weaker when unemployment and the number of job seekers are low, as we inferred from queuing approaches. Our study contributes to expanding knowledge of context variability in unemployment scarring.

失业可能会严重阻碍获得(好的)工作机会。我们将重点放在失业伤痕对青年工人受雇机会的影响上,并评估他们在不同失业水平的劳动力市场中受到影响的程度。借鉴戈夫曼的鄙视理论和排队理论,我们得出了两种可能互补的微观解释,其宏观含义截然相反。我们基于嵌入真实招聘情境的因子调查实验,探讨了四个欧洲国家 20 个劳动力市场中失业烙印的差异。结果表明,在失业率持续较低的劳动力市场,戈夫曼提出的污名化是失业伤痕的主要来源。我们没有发现任何证据表明,当失业率和求职者人数较低时,失业烙印会减弱,正如我们从排队方法中推断的那样。我们的研究有助于扩大对失业疤痕背景变异的了解。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-economic change and intergenerational class mobility: A dynamic analysis of the experiences of West Germans born between 1929 and 1971 社会经济变革与代际阶级流动:对 1929-1971 年间出生的西德人经历的动态分析
IF 2.7 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.rssm.2024.100956
Rolf Becker , Hans-Peter Blossfeld , Karl Ulrich Mayer

Augmenting the conceptual and methodological approaches that are common in current mobility research, we are proposing a dynamic approach to the analysis of intergenerational mobility. A multilevel model is developed that embeds differences and changes in individual resources, such as respondents’ class origin, educational attainment, and labor force experience, in the time-varying macro context of a changing cohort size, socio-economic modernization, and business cycles. The empirical analysis combines longitudinal career data from two German life history studies with time series data from official statistics and identifies the mechanisms behind the dynamics of intergenerational mobility processes by means of event history analysis. For the 1945–2008 period, the hypotheses of our theoretical model are supported empirically for daughters and sons born between 1929 and 1971. Their educational distribution is a particularly important factor for their vertical social mobility. Career duration also affects intergenerational mobility. Processes of intergenerational mobility are significantly shaped by time-dependent processes of socio-economic modernization and labor market conditions, which are affected by business cycle fluctuations that act as both push and pull factors on social class positions at labor market entry (cohort effect) and at all later career stages (period effect). Cohort size, which is assumed to increase competition in the career process, reduces upward mobility. Finally, when controlling for all these time-dependent mechanisms of social mobility, significant effects of social origin on offspring’s class positions in their life course remain. In particular, upward mobility and class reproduction dominate descents across cohorts and periods.

我们提出了一种动态分析代际流动性的方法,以补充当前流动性研究中常见的概念和方法。我们建立了一个多层次模型,将个人资源(如受访者的阶级出身、教育程度和劳动力经验)的差异和变化嵌入到队列规模变化、社会经济现代化和商业周期等随时间变化的宏观背景中。实证分析结合了德国两项生命史研究的纵向职业生涯数据和官方统计的时间序列数据,并通过事件史分析确定了代际流动过程背后的动态机制。在 1945-2008 年期间,我们理论模型的假设在 1929-1971 年间出生的女儿和儿子身上得到了实证支持。他们的教育分布是其纵向社会流动性的一个特别重要的因素。职业生涯的持续时间也会影响代际流动。代际流动的过程在很大程度上受到与时间相关的社会经济现代化进程和劳动力市场条件的影响,而这些进程和条件又受到商业周期波动的影响,商业周期波动对进入劳动力市场时的社会阶层地位(队列效应)和以后所有职业阶段的社会阶层地位(时期效应)既是推力因素,又是拉力因素。假定队列规模会增加职业生涯过程中的竞争,从而降低向上流动性。最后,在控制了所有这些随时间变化的社会流动机制后,社会出身对后代在其生命过程中的阶级地位仍有显著影响。特别是,向上流动和阶级再生产在不同组群和时期的下降过程中占主导地位。
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引用次数: 0
Regional variation in participation in private tutoring and the role of education system features 参与家教的地区差异和教育系统特征的作用
IF 2.7 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.rssm.2024.100958
Robin Benz

The use of private tutoring to enhance academic outcomes has proliferated across the globe over recent decades. Despite increased scholarly interest in these so-called shadow education activities, the understanding of how education system features relate to the prevalence of shadow education is relatively limited. Moreover, regional variation of private tutoring within countries remains largely overlooked. This study exploits the federalist structure of Switzerland's education system to investigate how education system features incentivise or discourage participation in private tutoring. Based on a subjective expected utility framework and drawing on data from two large-scale assessment studies, the analyses reveal a substantial regional variation in participation rates in private tutoring. Multilevel regression models provide evidence that the institutional modalities of selection into general secondary education contribute to this variation and the social inequalities in the use of private tutoring.

近几十年来,利用私人辅导提高学习成绩的现象在全球范围内激增。尽管学者们对这些所谓的 "影子教育 "活动越来越感兴趣,但对教育系统特征与 "影子教育 "盛行程度之间关系的了解却相对有限。此外,各国国内私人辅导的地区差异在很大程度上仍被忽视。本研究利用瑞士教育系统的联邦制结构,探讨教育系统的特点如何激励或阻碍学生参与家教。基于主观预期效用框架和两项大规模评估研究的数据,分析揭示了私人辅导参与率的巨大地区差异。多层次回归模型提供的证据表明,普通中等教育的制度选拔模式导致了这种差异,并造成了使用家教方面的社会不平等。
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引用次数: 0
The gendered character of claims-making: A longitudinal analysis 索赔的性别特征:纵向分析
IF 2.7 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.rssm.2024.100955
Laura Lükemann, Anja-Kristin Abendroth

In this article, we examine the gendered outcomes of career negotiations, which involve employees discussing career advancements with their direct supervisors. We apply relational inequality theory, which conceptualizes career negotiations as instances of relational claims-making, to explain gender differences in returns in terms of hourly wages, occupational status, and subjective perceptions of job advancements. Our empirical approach employs individual fixed-effect models using three waves of unique German linked employer-employee panel data on 2090 employees across 131 workplaces (LEEP-B3; 2012–2019). We find that men discussing career advancements with supervisors, experience pay raises and occupational upward mobility, whereas women do not. Yet, we find only minor gender differences in perceived job advancements following career negotiations. In workplaces with a more balanced gender representation in management and supervisory positions, women’s wage returns from negotiations increase. Although individual negotiations seem to perpetuate gender inequalities, workplace structures can weaken inequality-generating mechanisms.

在本文中,我们研究了职业谈判的性别结果,职业谈判涉及员工与其直接主管讨论职业晋升问题。我们运用关系不平等理论(该理论将职业谈判概念化为提出关系要求的实例)来解释男女在时薪、职业地位和对职位晋升的主观看法等方面的回报差异。我们的实证方法采用了个人固定效应模型,使用了三波独特的德国关联雇主-雇员面板数据,涉及 131 个工作场所的 2090 名雇员(LEEP-B3;2012-2019 年)。我们发现,男性会与上司讨论职业发展、加薪和职业上升空间,而女性则不会。然而,我们发现,在职业生涯谈判之后,感知到的职位晋升方面的性别差异很小。在管理和监督岗位上男女比例更加均衡的工作场所,女性从谈判中获得的工资回报会增加。尽管个人谈判似乎会延续性别不平等,但工作场所的结构可以削弱不平等的产生机制。
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引用次数: 0
The changing educational and social class gradients in union dissolution: Evidence from a latecomer of the Second Demographic Transition 工会解体中不断变化的教育和社会阶层梯度:来自第二次人口结构转型晚期国家的证据
IF 2.7 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.rssm.2024.100954
Elena Bastianelli , Raffaele Guetto , Daniele Vignoli

Most studies on the changing socioeconomic gradient of divorce have operationalized individuals’ socioeconomic status (SES) through education, often neglecting social class differences. Education may proxy cultural and cognitive skills, whereas social class could more accurately capture economic means. Additionally, existing research has predominantly focused on women and marital dissolutions. This study addresses these oversights by analyzing the educational and social class gradients of both marriage and cohabitation dissolutions among men and women in Italy—a latecomer to the Second Demographic Transition. We used non-proportional hazard models to estimate survival curves and union dissolution probabilities stratified by education, social class, and cohort. Our findings reveal a vanishing socioeconomic gradient of marital dissolution among women and a reversal from positive to negative among men across cohorts. These results challenge the conventional view that men’s higher SES always stabilizes unions and support Goode’s hypothesis on the reversal of the socioeconomic gradient of divorce for both genders. No clear SES gradient was found for cohabiting unions. Overall, the study demonstrates the significant predictive power of social class for marital dissolutions, even when controlling for education, emphasizing the need to consider both measures of SES to comprehensively account for different underlying mechanisms.

大多数关于离婚的社会经济梯度变化的研究都是通过教育来确定个人的社会经济地位(SES),往往忽略了社会阶层的差异。教育可以代表文化和认知技能,而社会阶层可以更准确地反映经济手段。此外,现有研究主要关注女性和婚姻解体。本研究通过分析意大利--第二次人口结构转型的后来者--男性和女性婚姻和同居解体的教育和社会阶层梯度,解决了这些问题。我们使用非比例危险模型估算了按教育程度、社会阶层和队列分层的生存曲线和婚姻解体概率。我们的研究结果表明,女性婚姻解体的社会经济梯度正在消失,而男性婚姻解体的社会经济梯度则从正向梯度逆转为负向梯度。这些结果挑战了 "男性社会经济地位越高,婚姻越稳定 "的传统观点,并支持了古德关于男女离婚社会经济梯度逆转的假设。在同居关系中没有发现明显的社会经济梯度。总之,该研究表明,即使在控制教育程度的情况下,社会阶层对婚姻解体也具有显著的预测能力,这就强调了同时考虑两种社会经济地位衡量标准以全面考虑不同潜在机制的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Is the social origin pay gap bigger than we thought? Identifying and acknowledging workers with undefined social origins in survey data 社会出身的薪酬差距是否比我们想象的要大?在调查数据中识别和确认社会出身未定义的工人
IF 2.7 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.rssm.2024.100952
Michael Vallely , Jeanette Findlay , Kristinn Hermannsson

This article investigates whether empirical studies have underestimated the social origin pay gap by omitting respondents with undefined social origins. Specifically, individuals that were not assigned a social origin because the identity of their parental household was unclear, nobody was earning in the household, or the occupational identity of the main wage earner could not be identified. Data from the UK Quarterly Labour Force Survey is analysed to establish the prevalence of undefined social origins and the extent to which the socioeconomic characteristics of these groups are different from those who can be identified using the Standard Occupational Classification (SOC). The results show that 10.5% of the working age population have undefined social origins and that the labour market outcomes of these people are worse than those with defined social origins. Results show that omitting these respondents underestimates the range of the social origin pay gap and the number of people affected.

本文探讨了实证研究是否由于忽略了社会出身不明确的受访者而低估了社会出身薪酬差距。具体来说,这些人没有被指定为社会出身,是因为其父母家庭的身份不明确、家庭中没有人挣钱,或者无法确定主要工资劳动者的职业身份。对英国季度劳动力调查的数据进行了分析,以确定未确定社会出身的普遍程度,以及这些群体的社会经济特征与使用标准职业分类(SOC)可以确定的群体的不同程度。结果显示,10.5% 的劳动适龄人口有未确定的社会出身,这些人在劳动力市场上的表现不如有确定社会出身的人。结果表明,忽略这些受访者会低估社会出身薪酬差距的范围和受影响的人数。
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引用次数: 0
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Research in Social Stratification and Mobility
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