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Optimal timing and proportion in two stages learning investment 两阶段学习投资的最佳时机和比例
IF 1.7 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.1007/s11156-024-01325-w
Yu-Hong Liu, I-Ming Jiang, Mao-Wei Hung

This article introduces a two-stage real option approach with a learning effect to examine the optimal timing and proportion of investment for a firm entering a new market. Numerical findings illustrate that firms with different learning speeds exhibit distinct investment strategies: those with slower learning speeds tend to invest large proportion in the early time of first stage and invest the rest of small proportion in the later time of second stage, whereas firms with faster learning speeds invest small proportion in the early time of first stage and invest the rest of large proportion in the later time of second stage, compared to traditional one-stage investments. Leveraging the flexibility provided by two-stage learning investment, firms can effectively utilize timing and scale options, as emphasized in previous research. Furthermore, the proposed model addresses instances of learning investments with losses that cannot be accounted for by one-stage approaches.

本文介绍了一种具有学习效应的两阶段实物期权方法,以研究企业进入新市场的最佳投资时机和投资比例。数值研究结果表明,与传统的单阶段投资相比,不同学习速度的企业表现出截然不同的投资策略:学习速度较慢的企业倾向于在第一阶段前期进行大比例投资,在第二阶段后期进行其余小比例投资;而学习速度较快的企业则在第一阶段前期进行小比例投资,在第二阶段后期进行其余大比例投资。利用两阶段学习投资所提供的灵活性,企业可以有效地利用时机和规模选择,这也是以往研究中所强调的。此外,所提出的模型还能解决单阶段方法无法解释的学习投资亏损问题。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the agency cost of debt: risk, information flow, and CEO social ties 探索债务的代理成本:风险、信息流和首席执行官的社会关系
IF 1.7 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1007/s11156-024-01312-1
Md Miran Hossain, David Javakhadze, David A. Maslar, Maya Thevenot

Contrary to the findings of prior research that focuses on private loans and bank debt, we find that greater CEO social capital is positively associated with a firm’s cost of public debt. This effect is particularly pronounced for firms in financial distress and firms with a higher probability of default that increase dividends. Examining the channel, we demonstrate that social capital is associated with a reduced use of restrictive covenants, which subsequently amplifies the firm's cost of debt. Collectively, the results support the risk-shifting perspective as a plausible mechanism. Our findings remain robust when considering alternative proxies for social capital, alternative model specifications, and tests for endogeneity.

与之前关注私人贷款和银行债务的研究结果相反,我们发现 CEO 社会资本的增加与公司的公共债务成本呈正相关。对于陷入财务困境的企业和违约概率较高且增加股息的企业,这种影响尤为明显。在研究其影响渠道时,我们发现社会资本与限制性契约的减少使用有关,而限制性契约的减少使用会放大公司的债务成本。总之,这些结果支持风险转移的观点,认为这是一种合理的机制。在考虑社会资本的替代代用指标、替代模型规格和内生性检验时,我们的研究结果仍然是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Spectral risk for digital assets 数字资产的光谱风险
IF 1.7 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1007/s11156-024-01313-0
Meng-Jou Lu, Matúš Horváth, Xingjia Wang, Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Digital assets (DAs) are a unique asset class that presents investors with opportunities and risks that are contingent upon their particular characteristics such as volatility, type, and profile, among other factors. Among DAs, cryptocurrencies (CCs) have emerged as the most liquid asset class, holding this distinction for almost a decade. However, while CCs offer a high level of liquidity, investors must be aware of the potential risks and rewards associated with investing in this asset class, and should conduct a thorough evaluation before making any investment decisions. Our study examines the risk profile of CCs through portfolio analysis, utilizing Spectral Risk Measures (SRMs) as the commonly applied method. In this study, we investigate the application of SRMs in assessing the risk structure of CC portfolios, and their alignment with investors’ risk preferences. We employ SRMs to evaluate the CC index CRIX and portfolios constructed from the most liquid 10 CCs from the Blockchain Research Center (BRC), optimizing different SRMs.Our empirical findings suggest that various optimal portfolio allocations can be formulated to meet the unique risk appetites of individual investors. All Quantlets (macros, code snippets) are available via quantlet.com and instructive educational element are available on quantinar.com.

数字资产(DAs)是一种独特的资产类别,它给投资者带来的机遇和风险取决于其特殊性,如波动性、类型和概况等因素。在数字资产中,加密货币(CC)已成为流动性最强的资产类别,并保持了近十年之久。然而,虽然加密货币具有高流动性,但投资者必须意识到投资该资产类别的潜在风险和回报,并应在做出任何投资决策前进行全面评估。我们的研究通过投资组合分析,利用频谱风险度量(SRM)这一常用方法,对 CCs 的风险状况进行了研究。在本研究中,我们探讨了频谱风险度量在评估 CC 投资组合风险结构中的应用,以及它们与投资者风险偏好的一致性。我们采用 SRM 评估区块链指数 CRIX 和由区块链研究中心(BRC)流动性最强的 10 个区块链构建的投资组合,优化不同的 SRM。我们的实证研究结果表明,可以制定各种最优投资组合配置,以满足个人投资者独特的风险偏好。所有 Quantlet(宏、代码片段)均可通过 quantlet.com 获取,教学元素可通过 quantinar.com 获取。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign capital exposure and firms’ financial reporting behavior: international evidence from equity market openings 外国资本敞口与公司的财务报告行为:来自股票市场开放的国际证据
IF 1.7 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11156-024-01317-w
Fangfang Hou

When equity markets open to foreign investors, firms in these markets have significant opportunities for attracting foreign capital. Using a set of economies that opened their equity markets, I find a significant degree of income-increasing earnings management in the year of opening. This positive effect is more pronounced in industries that are more dependent on external financing and for financially constrained firms, suggesting that firms’ need for equity finance contributes the earnings management. The effect is weaker when a firm is constrained from earnings management by a Big N auditor and by being in an economy with stronger legal enforcement. Overall, my results suggest that equity market liberalization fosters firms’ upward earnings management behaviors around the world.

当股票市场向外国投资者开放时,这些市场中的企业就有了吸引外国资本的重要机会。利用一组开放了股票市场的经济体,我发现在开放的当年,收入增加的收益管理程度显著。这种积极效应在更依赖外部融资的行业和财务受限的企业中更为明显,这表明企业对股权融资的需求促进了收益管理。当企业受到大 N 审计师的约束,以及处于法律执行力较强的经济体时,这种效应就会减弱。总之,我的研究结果表明,在全球范围内,股票市场自由化促进了企业的向上收益管理行为。
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引用次数: 0
How do underwriting and investment activities affect P&C insurers’ capital adjustments? Evidence from Canada 承保和投资活动如何影响 P&C 保险公司的资本调整?来自加拿大的证据
IF 1.7 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1007/s11156-024-01314-z
Alaa Guidara, Van Son Lai, Min-Teh Yu, Yang Zhao

Using a sample of 83 Canadian property-casualty insurance companies from 1996 to 2010, we examine the impact of underwriting and investment choices on the insurers’ capital level and adjustment speed. An aggressive investment policy (risky equity investments) and a heavy reliance on reinsurance underwriting activities have the opposite effect on insurers’ capital level, though both lead to a slower capital adjustment speed. Meanwhile, insurers reshuffling their underwriting and investments significantly change their capital. With an integrated framework that considers underwriting cycles and regulatory pressure, insurers are slower in their capital adjustments in hard markets of the underwriting cycle, and higher regulatory pressure for an insurer moderates the positive relationship between capital level and adjustment speed.

我们以 1996 年至 2010 年的 83 家加拿大财产保险公司为样本,研究了承保和投资选择对保险公司资本水平和调整速度的影响。激进的投资政策(高风险股票投资)和对再保险承保活动的严重依赖对保险公司的资本水平产生了相反的影响,尽管两者都会导致资本调整速度减慢。同时,保险公司重新调整承保和投资也会大大改变其资本。在考虑了承保周期和监管压力的综合框架下,保险公司在承保周期的硬市场中资本调整速度较慢,而保险公司较高的监管压力会缓和资本水平与调整速度之间的正相关关系。
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引用次数: 0
European banking M&As: The role of financial advisors 欧洲银行业并购:财务顾问的作用
IF 1.7 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11156-024-01287-z
Yiannis Anagnostopoulos, George Alexandrou, Hardy M. Thomas

We investigate the puzzle of banks contracting the services of external advisors for deals they can self-manage and the role of financial advisors in mergers and acquisitions among European banking firms. We also study the determinants of the choice by bank acquirers and bank targets to either appoint external advisors or manage in-house, as well as between appointing either top or lower tier advisors. Top tier advisors are more likely to be employed in debt financed and cross-border deals. We also find that most European bank mergers are managed in-house, contrary to prior findings reporting mostly externally managed deals attributed to the certification effect. Targets fail to benefit from deals where they do not match acquirer’s decision to appoint external advisors. However, there is an overall propensity to match the counter party’s tier of advisor.

我们研究了银行在可以自行管理的交易中与外部顾问签订合同的难题,以及财务顾问在欧洲银行企业并购中的作用。我们还研究了银行收购方和目标银行选择聘用外部顾问还是内部管理的决定因素,以及选择聘用顶级顾问还是低级顾问的决定因素。在债务融资和跨境交易中,更有可能聘用顶级顾问。我们还发现,大多数欧洲银行兼并都是内部管理的,这与之前因认证效应而报告的大部分外部管理交易的结果相反。如果目标公司不配合收购方任命外部顾问的决定,就无法从交易中获益。不过,总体而言,目标公司倾向于与收购方的顾问层级相匹配。
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引用次数: 0
Stock buybacks and growth opportunities 股票回购和增长机会
IF 1.7 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11156-024-01296-y
Naresh Gopal, Ravi S. Mateti, Duong Nguyen, Gopala Vasudevan

This study examines the role of growth opportunities on stock buybacks and provides evidence on the importance of signaling and agency theories in explaining stock buybacks. Both theories are required to fully explain stock buybacks. As per the signaling theory, we find that the announcement period returns are positive for stock buybacks, which indicates that the buyback firms’ stock is undervalued. Furthermore, consistent with agency theory, we also find that the announcement period returns are higher for firms with low growth opportunities and high free cash flow. We also examine buyback firms' long-run stock price performance for 12 months, 24 months, and 36 months following the buyback. We use the Fama–French five-factor model to study the long-run stock performance of buyback firms because of its better explanatory power than the three-factor model. Low growth-high free cash flow firms tend to outperform their benchmark portfolios during this period. Recent regulations such as the Stock Buyback Tax can discourage low growth firms from conducting stock buybacks, which could increase agency costs.

本研究探讨了增长机会对股票回购的作用,并为信号理论和代理理论在解释股票回购方面的重要性提供了证据。要全面解释股票回购,这两种理论都必不可少。根据信号理论,我们发现股票回购的公告期收益为正,这表明回购公司的股票价值被低估。此外,与代理理论一致,我们还发现低增长机会和高自由现金流的公司的公告期回报率更高。我们还考察了回购公司在回购后 12 个月、24 个月和 36 个月的长期股价表现。我们使用 Fama-French 五因子模型来研究回购公司的长期股价表现,因为该模型比三因子模型有更好的解释力。在此期间,低增长-高自由现金流公司的表现往往优于其基准投资组合。股票回购税等最新法规可能会阻碍低增长公司进行股票回购,从而增加代理成本。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate carbon footprint and market valuation of restructuring announcements 企业碳足迹和重组公告的市场估值
IF 1.7 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11156-024-01315-y
Gbenga Adamolekun, Anthony Kyiu

The call for greener and more sustainable corporate practices triggered a surge in corporate restructuring. In this study, we investigate the impact of carbon emissions on the market reaction to announcements of corporate restructuring activities. Using a sample of US firms, we find that investors discount the value of corporate restructuring announcements when firms have higher levels of carbon emissions. Our results indicate that emissions are negatively associated with cumulative abnormal returns (CAR), cumulative total returns (CTR), and buy and hold abnormal returns (BHAR) around announcements. This effect is more pronounced for firms with a lower risk of bankruptcy, those financially constrained, and those with lower growth opportunities. We also find that high emissions at announcements are negatively associated with post-restructuring financial and market performance. Overall, our results highlight the growing implications of firm-level carbon emissions for corporate market valuations, especially amongst firms undertaking restructuring.

对更环保、更可持续的企业做法的呼吁引发了企业重组的热潮。在本研究中,我们调查了碳排放对企业重组活动公告的市场反应的影响。以美国公司为样本,我们发现当公司的碳排放量较高时,投资者会对公司重组公告的价值打折扣。我们的研究结果表明,碳排放量与公告前后的累计异常回报率(CAR)、累计总回报率(CTR)以及买入并持有异常回报率(BHAR)呈负相关。对于破产风险较低的公司、财务紧张的公司和增长机会较少的公司,这种影响更为明显。我们还发现,公告时的高排放与重组后的财务和市场表现呈负相关。总之,我们的研究结果凸显了公司层面的碳排放对企业市场估值的影响越来越大,尤其是在进行重组的公司中。
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引用次数: 0
Information disclosure ratings and stock price crash risk 信息披露评级与股价暴跌风险
IF 1.7 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1007/s11156-024-01305-0
Kung-Cheng Ho, Andreas karathanasopoulos, Chia Chun Lo, Xixi Shen

This research examines the effects of information disclosure ratings (IDR) on firm-specific stock price crash risk. We present evidence that there is a statistically significant negative relationship between stock price crash risk and IDR. Specifically, effective information disclosure attracts greater investor attention and leads to more liquidity, which mitigates the stock price crash risk. Our findings remain robust after controlling for relevant variables and addressing the issue of endogeneity. This research proves that high IDR mitigates the stock price crash risk by eliciting market reaction, which not only introduces a novel perspective for investors in their analysis of corporate risks but also offers valuable directions for policy formulation to guide the market.

本研究探讨了信息披露评级(IDR)对特定公司股价暴跌风险的影响。我们提出的证据表明,股价暴跌风险与信息披露评级之间存在统计意义上的显著负相关关系。具体而言,有效的信息披露会吸引更多投资者的关注,并带来更多的流动性,从而降低股价暴跌风险。在控制了相关变量并解决了内生性问题后,我们的研究结果依然稳健。这项研究证明,高信息披露率可以通过引起市场反应来缓解股价暴跌风险,这不仅为投资者分析企业风险引入了一个新的视角,也为制定政策引导市场提供了有价值的方向。
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引用次数: 0
Firm-level investor favoritism and the external financing and capital expenditure anomalies 公司层面的投资者偏好与外部融资和资本支出异常现象
IF 1.7 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1007/s11156-024-01299-9
Lucile Faurel, Mark Soliman, Jessica Watkins, Teri Lombardi Yohn

Prior literature documents a positive (negative) relation between past (future) stock returns and both external financing and capital expenditures. In this study, we examine whether managers’ financing and capital expenditure decisions are associated with firm-level investor favoritism (neglect) and, therefore, whether managers exploit investor mispricing by issuing more (less) capital and investing more (less) in capital expenditures when firm-level investor sentiment is high (low), which leads to more negative future stock returns. We employ both a stock’s extreme return momentum and extreme trading volume to capture firm-level investor favoritism (neglect), which reflects firm-level investor overpricing (underpricing) due to investor sentiment. We find that both external financing and capital expenditure decisions are positively (negatively) associated with favoritism (neglect) and that the previously documented negative association between future stock returns and external financing is more pronounced in periods of favoritism. However, we find no association between future stock returns and capital expenditures after controlling for external financing. These findings suggest that managers’ financing and capital expenditure decisions are associated with firm-level investor favoritism/neglect, and that managers exploit investor mispricing in making financing decisions, resulting in lower future stock returns.

先前的文献记录了过去(未来)股票回报与外部融资和资本支出之间的正(负)关系。在本研究中,我们考察了管理者的融资和资本支出决策是否与公司层面的投资者偏好(忽视)相关,因此,当公司层面的投资者情绪高涨(低落)时,管理者是否会利用投资者的错误定价,增发(减少)资本和增加(减少)资本支出投资,从而导致未来股票回报率更加负面。我们利用股票的极端回报势头和极端交易量来捕捉公司层面的投资者偏好(忽视),这反映了投资者情绪导致的公司层面的投资者定价过高(过低)。我们发现,外部融资和资本支出决策都与偏好(忽视)正(负)相关,而且之前记录的未来股票回报与外部融资之间的负相关在偏好时期更为明显。然而,在控制了外部融资后,我们发现未来股票回报与资本支出之间没有关联。这些发现表明,管理者的融资和资本支出决策与公司层面的投资者偏好/忽视有关,管理者在做出融资决策时利用了投资者的错误定价,导致未来股票回报率降低。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting
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