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A methodology for the mapping of acoustic impedance and porosity in the inter-well region using seismic inversion based on the Hooke and Jeeves algorithm 一种基于Hooke和Jeeves算法的地震反演井间区声阻抗和孔隙度的方法
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12153-6
Ravi Kant, Brijesh Kumar, S. P. Maurya, Ajay P. Singh, G. Hema, Raghav Singh

To estimate acoustic impedance and porosity in inter-well regions, a seismic inversion based on Hooke and Jeeves’ methods has been developed. The Hooke and Jeeves algorithm is a local optimization method that can reach a local or global optimum solution depending on the starting model. To prevent convergence to a local optimum, in the present study, the solution is constrained by well-log data. To optimize parameters, the algorithms are first assessed on synthetic data followed by the coal coking and wedge model. The algorithm’s performance is very satisfactory, according to the error analysis between the inverted and anticipated outcomes. Further, a real data application from the Blackfoot field, Canada, has been performed in two steps: First, a composite seismic trace close to the well location is retrieved, inverted into an impedance, and compared with the well-log impedance. The analysis shows how well the well-log impedance corresponds to the inverted impedance. Finally, in the second step, the entire seismic reflection data is subjected to the Hooke and Jeeves–based inversion, and the volume of acoustic impedance and porosity in the inter-well region is predicted. The paper demonstrates that when local optimization is utilized and is constrained by well-log data, the algorithms yield higher-resolution subsurface information. A low impedance anomaly (ranging from 7000 to 9500 m/s g/cc) was detected between 1040 and 1060 ms of two-way travel time, according to the study of inverted impedance. Additionally, the same zone contains an estimated high porosity anomaly (> 12%) that is thought to be a sand channel/reservoir. According to the results of this study, it is possible to swiftly and affordably assess subsurface parameters like acoustic impedance and porosity using seismic inversion based on the Hooke and Jeeves technique.

为了估计井间区域的声阻抗和孔隙度,基于Hooke和Jeeves的方法开发了一种地震反演方法。Hooke and Jeeves算法是一种局部优化方法,根据初始模型的不同,可以达到局部或全局最优解。为了防止收敛到局部最优,在本研究中,解决方案受到测井数据的约束。为了优化参数,首先对合成数据进行了评估,然后对煤的焦化和楔块模型进行了评估。从反演结果与预期结果的误差分析来看,该算法的性能令人满意。此外,加拿大Blackfoot油田的实际数据应用分两步进行:首先,检索靠近井位的复合地震道,将其反演为阻抗,并与测井阻抗进行比较。分析表明了测井阻抗与反向阻抗的对应程度。最后,在第二步中,对整个地震反射数据进行Hooke和jeeves反演,预测井间区声阻抗和孔隙度的体积。本文表明,当利用局部优化并受测井数据约束时,该算法可获得更高分辨率的地下信息。根据反向阻抗研究,在双向行程时间1040 ~ 1060 ms之间检测到低阻抗异常(范围为7000 ~ 9500 m/s g/cc)。此外,同一区域估计含有一个高孔隙度异常(> 12%),被认为是砂道/储层。根据这项研究的结果,利用基于Hooke和Jeeves技术的地震反演技术,可以快速、经济地评估声阻抗和孔隙度等地下参数。
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引用次数: 0
Review of detection, prediction and treatment of fluid loss events 失水事件的检测、预测和处理综述
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12142-9
Mohamed Amish, Mohamed Khodja

Lost circulation has the potential to cause formation damage, wellbore instability and a blowout. Many methods have been introduced, but there is no industry-wide solution available to predict lost circulation due to some constraints in the field. It is essential to predict the onset of loss of circulation to mitigate its effects, reduce operational costs and prevent the risk to people and the environment. A wide range of methods, techniques and treatments, including environmentally friendly materials, are reviewed to mitigate the loss of circulation. Conventional and intelligent methods are presented for detecting and predicting lost circulation events. Using oil field data such as fluid parameters, drilling parameters and geological parameters, artificial intelligence can predict fluid losses using supervised machine learning (ML). Several ML models for predicting fluid loss are reviewed in this paper, and other possible applications are discussed. The sample size, field location, input and output features, performance and ML algorithms are extracted. The paper provides an inclusive presentation of the ML workflow for fluid loss prediction and is anticipated to help and support both drilling engineering practitioners and researchers in the resolution of drilling challenges, with recommendations for future development.

漏失有可能造成地层破坏、井筒不稳定和井喷。目前已经引入了许多方法,但由于现场的一些限制,目前还没有行业通用的解决方案来预测漏失。预测漏失的发生对于减轻其影响、降低作业成本和防止对人员和环境造成风险至关重要。本文综述了各种方法、技术和处理方法,包括环保材料,以减轻循环损失。提出了检测和预测漏失事件的常规方法和智能方法。利用油田数据,如流体参数、钻井参数和地质参数,人工智能可以使用监督机器学习(ML)来预测流体损失。本文综述了几种预测失水的ML模型,并讨论了其他可能的应用。提取样本大小、字段位置、输入和输出特征、性能和ML算法。该论文全面介绍了流体漏失预测的ML工作流程,有望帮助和支持钻井工程从业者和研究人员解决钻井挑战,并为未来的发展提出建议。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the potential for eco-industrial parks in Algiers, Algeria 评估阿尔及利亚阿尔及尔生态工业园区的潜力
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-07 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12125-w
Roukaya Soualah, Elhadj Benkhaled, Dahdouh Djamel

Eco-industrial parks (EIPs) are considered effective means to enhance economic growth, improve competitiveness, maintain environmental quality, and improve social quality. They have many direct and indirect benefits, which makes the majority or most countries seek to implement these projects. Given its importance, international organizations such as United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO), World Bank Group (WBG), and Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) have developed an international framework for EIP projects which consists of several tools. Among the tools of the framework is EIP selection tool that evaluates the current performance of industrial parks, whether already existing or newly made ones in the following areas: management, environmental, social, economic, replicability, and visibility. The tool highlights the score per category of criteria of the selected park and therefore the scope of intervention on the park. In this study, the EIP selection tool will be used to study the performance of the industrial parks located in the Province of Algiers to consider their potential to be transformed into EIP. Upon applying the tool to assess 3 industrial zones (Rouiba – Reghaia, Oued Semar & Elharrache) and 2 zones of activities (Kaidi & Dar Elbaida) in the province of Algiers, we found that all of the 3 industrial zones have the capabilities of transferring into EIP but the most appropriate zone is Rouiba – Reghaia zone.

生态工业园区被认为是促进经济增长、提高竞争力、保持环境质量和提高社会质量的有效手段。它们有许多直接和间接的好处,这使得大多数或大多数国家寻求实施这些项目。鉴于其重要性,联合国工业发展组织(工发组织)、世界银行集团(WBG)和德国国际合作组织(GIZ)等国际组织为经济知识产权项目制定了一个由若干工具组成的国际框架。该框架的工具之一是EIP选择工具,用于评估现有或新建工业园区在以下方面的绩效:管理、环境、社会、经济、可复制性和可见性。该工具突出显示了所选公园的每一类标准的得分,因此对公园的干预范围。在本研究中,EIP选择工具将用于研究位于阿尔及尔省的工业园区的绩效,以考虑其转变为EIP的潜力。应用该工具评估了3个工业区(Rouiba - Reghaia, Oued Semar &;Elharrache)和2个活动区域(Kaidi &;在阿尔及尔省的Dar Elbaida),我们发现所有3个工业区都有能力转移到EIP,但最合适的区域是Rouiba - Reghaia区。
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引用次数: 0
First documentation of Miocene shark teeth from South Garo Hills District of Meghalaya with a synopsis on the Miocene Chondrichthyes of India and palaeoenvironmental interpretation 梅加拉亚邦南加罗山区中新世鲨鱼牙齿的首次文献记录,以及印度中新世软骨鱼类的概要和古环境解释
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-07 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12140-x
Bashisha Iangrai, K. B. Vinod Kumar

Shark teeth from representatives of four families, including Lamnidae, Hemigaleidae, Carcharhinidae and Sphyrnidae belonging to five genera, namely Isurus, Lamna, Hemipristis, Carcharhinus and Sphyrna, were recorded and documented for the first time from the South Garo Hills District of Meghalaya from the Baghmara and Chengapara formations of the Garo Group of rocks of Oligo-Miocene age. They show close affinity and similarities to the Miocene shark tooth assemblages recorded from the Baripada beds of Orissa and the Surma basin of Mizoram. These selachian assemblages from South Garo Hills point to a shallow marine, nearshore coastal environment well connected to the open sea. Thus, the present study provides new insights on the palaeodiversity and palaeoenvironmental setup of the Miocene sediments of South Garo Hills of Meghalaya and also enhances the existing knowledge of chondrichthyan diversity in India during the Miocene time.

在梅加拉亚邦南加罗山区,首次记录和记录了新近至中新世加罗组bagmara组和Chengapara组岩石中4个科的鲨鱼牙齿,包括Lamnidae、Hemigaleidae、Carcharhinidae和sphynidae 5属,分别为Isurus、Lamna、Hemipristis、Carcharhinus和Sphyrna。它们与在奥里萨邦的巴里帕达地层和米佐拉姆邦的苏尔玛盆地记录的中新世鲨鱼牙齿组合具有密切的亲缘性和相似性。这些来自南加罗山的塞拉契亚组合指向浅海,近岸海岸环境,与公海紧密相连。因此,本研究对梅加拉亚南加罗山中新世沉积物的古多样性和古环境设置提供了新的认识,也增强了对印度中新世软骨鱼多样性的现有认识。
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引用次数: 0
An integrated approach for evaluating groundwater resources of the weathered granite gneiss aquifer of the Usri watershed, Jharkhand, India 评价印度贾坎德邦Usri流域风化花岗岩片麻岩含水层地下水资源的综合方法
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-06 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12126-9
Ashok Kumar

This study integrates and optimizes the use of geomorphology, hydrogeology, hydro-geophysics, and remote sensing to get a better understanding of aquifer storage and retrieval mechanisms in the weathered aquifer system of the Usri watershed in Giridih, India. Integrated spatial analysis at the watershed scale has enhanced knowledge of weathered layer geometry, basement topography, broad fractures, and sub-surface flow barriers that affect groundwater availability in different areas of the watershed. The technique used for resource estimation not only estimates dynamic resources, as it has in the past, but also estimates static groundwater resources in weathered aquifers. It has been found that static resources are more than three times more abundant than dynamic resources that go unutilized. The digital basement topographic model of the watershed indicated multiple localized basement depressions. These depressions contain considerable drainable static groundwater resources that can be exploited for sustained extraction by implementing area-specific Aquifer Storage and Retrieval or Artificial Recharge and Retrieval system. The study found that the reliability of inferred lineaments as real fracture is limited in heavily weathered region such as the Usri watershed. The spatial hydro-geophysical characterization of satellite-derived inferred lineaments revealed that the majority of them do not correlate to real fractures.

本研究整合并优化了地貌学、水文地质学、水文地球物理和遥感的应用,以更好地了解印度吉里迪乌斯里流域风化含水层系统中的含水层储存和恢复机制。流域尺度上的综合空间分析增强了对影响流域不同地区地下水可用性的风化层几何形状、基底地形、宽裂缝和次地表流动障碍的认识。用于资源估算的技术不仅像过去那样估算动态资源,而且还估算风化含水层中的静态地下水资源。人们发现,静态资源比未被利用的动态资源丰富三倍以上。该流域的数字基底地形模型显示了多个局部基底洼地。这些洼地含有大量可排水的静态地下水资源,可以通过实施特定区域的含水层储存和回收或人工补给和回收系统来进行持续开采。研究发现,在Usri流域等风化严重的地区,推断出的地貌作为真实裂缝的可靠性是有限的。卫星推导的空间水文地球物理特征表明,它们中的大多数与实际裂缝无关。
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引用次数: 0
Shaking table test on seismic wave propagation characteristics of substrate-overlying slope with weak structural plane 弱结构面基上覆边坡地震波传播特性的振动台试验
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-06 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12135-8
Li fang Pai

Using the landslide of Yushu Airport Road 2# as an instance, a large shaking table was utilized to examine the propagation of seismic wave properties of the substrate-overlying slope with low structural planes. XZ acceleration data were obtained for different excitation intensities. The spatial impact of the seismic wave component propagation with elevation was discovered by the examination of the time-history of accelerating. The suggested law of variation damping ratios for the propagation of seismic wave components used processing half-power bandwidth as well as the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT). Its main frequency for propagation of seismic waves was quantified using the spectral ratio of the horizontal component spectrum (Hc) to the vertical component spectrum (Vc), and the predominant frequency of propagation was obtained quantitatively. Furthermore, piecewise spectral curves were refined, and the frequency and specific period spectral differences of the speed increase components at different vibration stages were characterized. The findings demonstrated that when relative height rose, the peak acceleration ratio of the horizontal and vertical components also increased. When the weak structural plane is present, the horizontal acceleration component can propagate directly through the weak structural surface. Vertical acceleration occurs at this point of seismic wave reflection and propagation. The weak structural face has a significant blocking effect on the acceleration amplification of the overlying slope. The slide bed and landslide mass’s horizontal component featured a rich low-frequency component. The primary frequency component spanned from 1.5 to 14.1 Hz. The vertical component had sufficient high-frequency components. The dominant frequency component ranged from 2.3 to 24.8 Hz, while the maximum frequency measured was 11.8 Hz. The vertical component was not amplified much in the horizontal component’s main frequency amplification range. In the frequency range of 8.1 Hz above the horizontal component’s transcendent, the impact was insignificant. The rear part of the slope was sensitive to the vertical seismic component.

以玉树机场路2#滑坡为例,采用大型振动台对低结构面底上覆边坡的地震波传播特性进行了研究。得到了不同激励强度下的XZ加速度数据。通过对加速度时程的考察,发现了地震波分量随高程的空间影响。采用半功率带宽处理和快速傅里叶变换(FFT),提出了地震波分量传播的阻尼比变化规律。利用水平分量谱(Hc)与垂直分量谱(Vc)的谱比量化了其地震波传播的主频率,定量得到了其传播的主导频率。在此基础上,对分段谱曲线进行了细化,表征了不同振动阶段转速分量的频率和比周期谱差异。结果表明,随着相对高度的升高,水平和垂直分量的峰值加速度比也随之增大。当弱结构面存在时,水平加速度分量可以直接通过弱结构面传播。垂直加速度发生在地震波反射和传播的这一点上。软弱构造面对上覆边坡的加速度放大具有显著的阻挡作用。滑床和滑坡体水平分量具有丰富的低频分量。主要频率成分从1.5到14.1赫兹。垂直分量有足够的高频分量。主导频率分量范围为2.3 ~ 24.8 Hz,最大频率测量值为11.8 Hz。在水平分量的主频率放大范围内,垂直分量的放大幅度不大。在水平分量超越8.1 Hz以上的频率范围内,影响不显著。边坡后部对竖向地震分量较为敏感。
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引用次数: 0
Safety and stability control of Mashkid Olia earth dam based on response surface optimization methodology (case study) 基于响应面优化方法的Mashkid Olia土坝安全稳定控制(以实例为例)
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-05 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12139-4
Ahad Bagherzadeh Khalkhali, Pooya Izadi

In this paper, a specific earth dam in Iran as a case study was selected to introduce a new approach to numerical modeling and safety analysis. First, the dam body and its foundation were accurately modeled in PLAXIS 3D. The datum was collected from official reports. A specific section of the dam and foundation in which some instruments were placed was selected and a comparison of settlements in different parts was made between instrument data and finite element method (FEM) analysis. Since there was no favorable fitting, back analysis seemed to be crucial. Response surface methodology (RSM) was adopted to make some equations that can replace the hardening soil model and be easy to be optimized for desired settlements. Since the runs in the FEM software, PLAXIS 3D would take considerable time and energy, a new approach to use RSM was introduced which is called two-step RSM. It could be seen that if sensitivity analysis is performed on a linear RSM model at first, the second-order model of soil behavior can accurately be predicted with much less effort. Some statistical tests such as ({sigma }^{2}) and ({R}_{adj}^{2}) were considered to prove the adaptability of the new method. Two second-order RSM equations, for both core and shell, were optimized with the help of a genetic algorithm. The results suggested an acceptable fit when compared to instrumental data. Four water level scenarios were selected to run a Safety analysis on the most significant section of the dam which yielded the factors in the favorable ranges.

Graphical Abstract

本文以伊朗某土坝为例,介绍了一种新的数值模拟和安全分析方法。首先,利用PLAXIS 3D软件对坝体和坝基进行精确建模。资料是从官方报告中收集的。选取放置仪器的坝基特定断面,将仪器数据与有限元分析结果进行对比。由于没有合适的拟合,反向分析似乎至关重要。采用响应面法(Response surface methodology, RSM)建立了一些可以代替硬化土模型,且易于优化的沉降方程。由于在有限元软件PLAXIS 3D中运行需要大量的时间和精力,因此提出了一种新的RSM方法,即两步RSM。可以看出,如果首先对线性RSM模型进行敏感性分析,则可以以较少的努力准确地预测土体的二阶模型。通过({sigma }^{2})和({R}_{adj}^{2})等统计检验,证明了新方法的适应性。利用遗传算法对核和壳两个二阶RSM方程进行了优化。与仪器数据相比,结果表明可接受的拟合。选择了四种水位方案,对大坝最重要的部分进行了安全分析,得出了有利范围内的因素。图形摘要
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引用次数: 0
An integrated approach to evaluate reservoir continuity and pressure communication between Nuke JF7 and Otam EF8 reservoirs Nuke JF7与Otam EF8储层连续性及压力连通性综合评价方法
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-05 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12144-7
Okiemute Enaughe, Destiny Okolocha, Samuel Budede, Victoria Ovueferie, Desire Suofe, Motunrayo Omojusebinu, Adimo Morrison Obi-Egbedi, Olugbenga Olamigoke, Olaniyi Adenaiye, Best Akpotive, Tanmay Mallick, Festus Ogbonna, Kelvin Okpako, Ebimobowei Wodu, Olugbenga Daodu, Mike Edih

A major uncertainty exists as regards reservoir continuity across Otam EF8 and Nuke JF7 reservoirs and whether pressure depletion in one reservoir would result in reserve loss in the other if these reservoirs were exploited independently. Reservoir characterization was used to resolve this challenge utilizing a dataset of 3D seismic data, well-log data, biostratigraphic data, fluid composition data, pressure data, and production data via an integrated study. Seismic interpretation was used to characterize the structural and stratigraphic framework of the Niger Delta reservoirs of interest. Fault seal analysis, grain size analysis, fluid composition, and dynamic data analysis were supportive in making inferences on reservoir continuity and pressure communication. Otam EF8 reservoir was identified as a thick, clean sand zone as opposed to the Nuke JF7 reservoir with shaly sand intercalations, which revealed that the EF8 reservoir does not extend to the JF7 reservoir. The permeability and pressure analysis highly suggest communication with its juxtaposing reservoir. The thickness–throw ratio and manual computation of the shale gouge ratio also indicate the potential for fluid communication across the fault. It was established from coupled material balance analysis that these two reservoirs may be in pressure communication, as a relatively good history match was obtained. The study has shown that reservoir continuity and pressure communication across two proximal reservoirs may be mutually exclusive.

Otam EF8和Nuke JF7储层的连续性存在很大的不确定性,如果这些储层独立开采,一个储层的压力下降是否会导致另一个储层的储量损失。通过综合研究,利用三维地震数据、测井数据、生物地层数据、流体成分数据、压力数据和生产数据,利用储层特征来解决这一挑战。地震解释用于表征尼日尔三角洲储层的构造和地层格架。断层封闭性分析、粒度分析、流体成分和动态数据分析有助于推断储层的连续性和压力传递。与Nuke JF7储层具有泥质砂夹层相反,Otam EF8储层为厚砂洁净带,这表明EF8储层不会延伸到JF7储层。渗透率和压力分析表明其与并置储层有密切联系。厚抛比和人工计算的页岩泥比也表明了流体在断层上的连通可能性。耦合物质平衡分析表明,这两个储层可能处于压力通信状态,并获得了较好的历史匹配。研究表明,两个近端储层的储层连续性和压力通信可能是相互排斥的。
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引用次数: 0
Pangea rifting in eastern Arabia—new insights from mafic dikes of the Saih Hatat Dome (Oman Mountains) 阿拉伯东部的泛大陆裂谷——来自阿曼山脉Saih Hatat Dome岩脉的新见解
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-03 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12136-7
Frank Mattern, Andreas Scharf, Bernhard Pracejus, Salma Al-Rhabi

Dolerite dikes in the Cambro-Ordovician Amdeh Formation of Oman were never studied in detail and their affiliation to a particular magmatic interval was debatable. We studied the composition, structure, tectonic setting, and age of five dolerite dikes and compared their composition and orientation to those of rocks of other magmatic episodes to assign the dikes to one of them. We provide novel information on these dikes, derived from transmitted and reflective light microscopy, X-ray diffraction, and fluorescence and structural analyses. The dolerites are low-alkali tholeiitic basalts, displaying a monotonous, fine, uniform texture. They mainly contain diopside and albitized anorthite, as well as some clinochlore, epidote, actinolite, quartz, muscovite, goethite, rutile, and pyrite. The dolerites are rich in silicon (Si), aluminum (Al), and iron (Fe) and low in titanium (Ti) and potassium (K). The sodium (Na) content is considerably higher than that of potassium. The five dikes strike either ∼NNW or ∼SW, paralleling the north-northwestern and southwestern rift arms of the regional Permian rift-rift-rift triple junction related to the breakup of Pangea. Geochemical plots of our rock samples and literature information demonstrate compositional similarities with Permian, rift-related mafic rocks of the region. Field relations of an unmapped sixth dolerite dike indicate an intra-Permian intrusion age as well. We conclude that the dikes represent Permian dikes of the Pangean rift system. Our samples plot in fields of oceanic volcanic arcs and continental back-arcs, attributed to melts generated from a subducted pre-Permian slab of corresponding composition. The source material remelted through decompression during Pangean rifting.

阿曼寒武纪-奥陶系Amdeh组的白云岩岩脉从未被详细研究过,它们与特定岩浆层段的关系也存在争议。研究了5条白云岩岩脉的组成、构造、构造背景和年龄,并与其他岩浆期岩石的组成和取向进行了比较,确定了其中一条岩脉。我们从透射和反射光显微镜、x射线衍射、荧光和结构分析中获得了关于这些堤防的新信息。玄武岩为低碱拉斑玄武岩,质地单一、细、均匀。主要含透辉石、钠长石,少量含斜长石、绿帘石、放线石、石英、白云母、针铁矿、金红石、黄铁矿等。白云石中硅(Si)、铝(Al)、铁(Fe)含量丰富,钛(Ti)、钾(K)含量低,钠(Na)含量明显高于钾。这5条岩脉走向~ NNW或~ SW,平行于与泛大陆分裂有关的区域性二叠纪裂谷-裂谷-裂谷三联结的西北和西南裂谷臂。岩石样品的地球化学图和文献资料表明,我们的岩石成分与该地区二叠纪、裂谷相关的基性岩相似。未测绘的第6白云岩脉的现场关系也表明了二叠系内的侵入时代。我们认为这些岩脉代表了泛古裂谷系的二叠纪岩脉。我们的样品在海洋火山弧和大陆后弧领域绘制,归因于相应成分的俯冲前二叠纪板块产生的熔体。源物质在盘古裂谷作用下减压重熔。
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引用次数: 0
Tsunami hazard assessment for the Cilegon industrial zone, Java, Indonesia, by considering various digital elevation model (DEM) datasets and fault source models 基于不同数字高程模型(DEM)数据集和断层源模型的印尼爪哇Cilegon工业区海啸危害评估
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12133-w
Sesar Prabu Dwi Sriyanto, Arif Nurokhim, Teguh Sulistian, Indra Gunawan, Rizki Iman Sari, Brilian Tatag Samapta, Iman Fatchurochman, Fajar Triady Mugiarto, Rifqi Muhammad Harrys

Sumatra-Java megathrust has been a host of six earthquake-triggered tsunamis in recent decades, which caused severe damage. Cilegon industrial area is a tsunami-prone zone since it is located on the Sunda Strait coast, facing a possibility of large-magnitude earthquake occurrence in the transition zone of Sumatra and Java megathrust. In this study, we assess the tsunami hazard in this area using a deterministic approach from a worst-case earthquake scenario (Mw 8.9). The assessment was done using numerical tsunami modeling, considering various fault source models and digital elevation model (DEM) datasets to accommodate the uncertainty of those factors in the modeling. Two source models (non-uniform and uniform fault slips) and three DEM datasets (global, regional, and local data) were employed. Uniform slip affected the smaller maximum tsunami amplitude than the non-uniform slip, but the travel time from these two source models is similar. Differences in water depth and slope bathymetry profile also strongly influence the tsunami propagation characteristics, particularly in the finest layer model. Generally, the Cilegon coast is consistently hit by up to 9 m of tsunami height from all used scenarios. The estimated tsunami arrival time is more than 60 min, providing enough time for the coastal community to evacuate to the higher ground level. However, the Cilegon industrial area is still categorized as highly hazardous since the tsunami strike can damage industrial buildings, infrastructure, and factory equipment, leading to economic losses.

近几十年来,苏门答腊-爪哇巨型逆冲断层已经发生了六次地震引发的海啸,造成了严重的破坏。Cilegon工业区位于巽他海峡沿岸,面临苏门答腊和爪哇巨型逆冲断层过渡带发生大地震的可能性,是海啸易发区。在本研究中,我们使用最坏情况地震情景(Mw 8.9)的确定性方法评估该地区的海啸危害。评估采用数值海啸模型,考虑了各种断层源模型和数字高程模型(DEM)数据集,以适应建模中这些因素的不确定性。采用了2个源模型(非均匀断层滑动和均匀断层滑动)和3个DEM数据集(全球、区域和局部数据)。均匀滑动对最大海啸振幅的影响小于非均匀滑动,但两种震源模式的走时相似。水深和坡度测深剖面的差异也强烈影响海啸传播特征,特别是在最细层模式中。一般来说,在所有的场景中,西列贡海岸都会受到高达9米的海啸袭击。估计海啸到达的时间超过60分钟,为沿海社区疏散到较高的地面提供了足够的时间。然而,由于海啸袭击可能会破坏工业建筑、基础设施和工厂设备,导致经济损失,西勒贡工业区仍被列为高度危险地区。
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Arabian Journal of Geosciences
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