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Spatial distribution of rainfall in Nigeria 尼日利亚降雨的空间分布
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-01-11 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12168-z
Afeez Alabi Salami, Rhoda Moji Olanrewaju, Katherine Olayinka Bakare, Olushola Razak Babatunde

This study investigates the spatial distribution of rainfall in Nigeria, utilizing ground-based rainfall data from 48 weather stations and two long-term satellite-based precipitation products spanning 39 years (1981–2019). Employing statistical techniques and kriging interpolation methods, this study analysed annual and seasonal rainfall patterns. Correlation coefficient was also used to compare areal averages of satellite-based rainfall estimates and ground-based rainfall data in Nigeria and for each of the six eco-climatic regions. Results indicate significant regional disparities, with the Tropical Wet (Mangrove and Swamp) region receiving the highest mean annual rainfall (> 2,300 mm) and the Sahel Savannah experiencing the lowest (< 450 mm). Eco-climatic regions exhibit varying contributions to total annual precipitation, with mangrove swamps and tropical rainforests dominating. Notably, 76.4% of annual rainfall occurs during the June–August and September–November periods, with August witnessing peak precipitation levels. Over Nigeria, there are strong correlations between satellite precipitation estimates (SPEs) and ground data on a monthly and seasonal basis, but the correlations are weaker on an annual scale, especially in Sahel and Montane regions. While SPEs provide reliable short-term rainfall estimates, caution is advised for annual precipitation estimates, particularly in regions with lower correlations. This study highlights the need for more efficient water use methods, with an emphasis on enhanced storage systems, distribution networks, sustainable irrigation practices, and judicious consumption to address rainfall variability. The findings highlight the importance of understanding rainfall distribution for agricultural planning and regional climate assessments. By integrating ground-based and satellite-derived data, this study enhances knowledge of Nigeria's climate dynamics, facilitating informed decision-making and resource management strategies.

本研究利用48个气象站的地面降雨数据和两个跨越39年(1981-2019)的长期卫星降水产品,调查了尼日利亚降雨的空间分布。本研究采用统计技术和克里格插值方法,分析了年和季节降雨模式。相关系数还用于比较尼日利亚和六个生态气候区的卫星降雨估计和地面降雨数据的区域平均值。结果表明,区域差异显著,热带潮湿地区(红树林和沼泽)的年平均降雨量最高(2300毫米),而萨赫勒大草原的年平均降雨量最低(450毫米)。生态气候区域对年降水量的贡献各不相同,以红树林沼泽和热带雨林为主。值得注意的是,年降雨量的76.4%发生在6 - 8月和9 - 11月期间,其中8月是降水高峰。在尼日利亚,卫星降水估计值(spe)与地面数据在月度和季节基础上存在很强的相关性,但是在年尺度上相关性较弱,特别是在萨赫勒和山地地区。虽然spe提供了可靠的短期降雨量估计,但建议对年降水量估计保持谨慎,特别是在相关性较低的地区。这项研究强调需要更有效的用水方法,重点是加强储存系统、分配网络、可持续灌溉实践和明智的消费,以解决降雨变化问题。这些发现强调了了解降雨分布对农业规划和区域气候评估的重要性。通过整合地面和卫星数据,本研究增强了对尼日利亚气候动态的认识,促进了知情决策和资源管理战略。
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引用次数: 0
Numerical analysis for failure and deformation assessment of the waterway tunnel, Wabe Hydropower Project, Central Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚中部瓦贝水电工程水运隧洞破坏变形评估数值分析
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-01-11 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12166-1
Mesay Tefera Kassaw, Bayisa Regassa Feyisa, Tarun Kumar Raghuvanshi, Mamo Methe

In designing suitable support systems and ensuring safe excavation of a tunnel, deformation and block failure assessment around the opening is a crucial aspect of tunneling. In this study, a distinct element modeling approach was employed to evaluate the distribution of failed blocks, failure modes, and displacements of the tunnels to gain insight into support recommendations for the Wabe Hydropower Project in central Ethiopia. For this purpose, three representative numerical models were developed considering different rock mass along the tunnel alignment. Subsequently, the influence region classification technique was introduced, and the models were systematically classified into three distinct regions. This technique enabled the consideration of blocky rock mass as discontinuum through the direct inclusion of field-measured joints with average spacings of 0.2, 0.56, and 1.2 m into a region surrounding the tunnel opening. The simulation results indicated that tunnels in closely jointed rock mass behave anisotropic, with failed blocks following the joint inclinations of N253/72 and N035/79 and exhibiting a tensile failure mode. Tunneling in the fault zone induced a shear failure mode, with a significant distribution of failed blocks aligned in the maximum principal stress direction. However, under low horizontal in situ stress, both shear and tensile failure could exist, with tensile failure affecting the roof and floor. Furthermore, tunnels in closely jointed rock mass are primarily influenced by horizontal displacement, whereas tunneling in fault zones led to both greater horizontal and vertical convergences, with horizontal displacement being more significant. Finally, the obtained results were used to propose support recommendations.

为了设计合适的支护系统,保证隧道的安全开挖,开口处的变形和块体破坏评估是隧道施工的一个重要方面。在本研究中,采用了一种独特的元素建模方法来评估隧道的破坏块分布、破坏模式和位移,以深入了解对埃塞俄比亚中部Wabe水电项目的支持建议。为此,建立了3个具有代表性的数值模型,考虑了隧道走向中不同岩体的影响。随后,引入影响区域分类技术,系统地将模型划分为三个不同的区域。该技术通过将现场测量的平均间距为0.2、0.56和1.2 m的节理直接包裹在隧道开口周围区域,从而将块状岩体视为非连续体。模拟结果表明:紧密节理岩体中的巷道表现出各向异性,破坏块体沿N253/72和N035/79节理倾斜度变化,破坏模式为拉伸破坏;断裂带内的隧道掘进以剪切破坏为主,破坏块体沿最大主应力方向排列。而在低水平地应力条件下,剪切破坏和拉张破坏同时存在,拉张破坏主要影响顶底板。在节理紧密的岩体中,隧道主要受水平位移的影响,而在断裂带中,隧道的水平和垂直收敛都较大,其中水平位移更为显著。最后,利用所得结果提出支持建议。
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引用次数: 0
Site classification of locations of installed sensors in the Kumaon Region of the Himalayas using empirical approaches 利用经验方法对喜马拉雅Kumaon地区安装传感器的地点进行分类
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12154-5
Pankaj Kumar,  Kamal, Ashok Kumar

Seismic site classification not only is crucial for seismic hazard assessment but also influences the reliability of ground motion data. The present study classifies 81 locations where Uttarakhand State Earthquake Early Warning System (UEEWS) seismic sensors are installed in the Kumaon region. The ground motion records of earthquakes occurring between 2019 and 2023 have been used as the dataset for this work. A winnowing approach has been applied to select good records from the dataset, and then, spectral acceleration (SA) and pseudo-spectral acceleration (PSA) have been derived for all the records. The horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio (HVSR) curves have been created using SA and PSA. Four methods with the eight classification approaches have been applied to classify the sites. The first method uses the predominant period obtained from the average HVSR curve of the site and classifies it according to the standard schemes. In the second method, three approaches estimate the site classification index (SCI) by correlating the site’s HVSR curve with standard HVSR curves. In the third method, time-averaged shear wave velocity (Vs30) from the depth of 30 m to the surface of the earth, is estimated using two different empirical models, while in the fourth method, PSA is normalized by peak ground acceleration (PGA). The results from all the approaches have been thoroughly examined and the final classification has been made by comparing them with the standard curves. Out of 81 sites, 31, 23, 1, 1, 6, 2, and 17 have been classified as classes I, II, III, IV, V, VI, and VII, respectively. The description of site categories has been explained in the subsequent sections. It has also been illustrated that the earthquake’s magnitude, epicentral distance, and depth do not affect the predominant period of the sites. The classification of sites plays a crucial role in advancing seismic hazard investigations of the Uttarakhand region, as strong ground motion records are the primary input along with the site’s conditions. This study will be valuable in helping to mitigate potential earthquake damages in the future.

地震场地分类不仅是地震危险性评价的关键,而且影响地震动资料的可靠性。目前的研究对Kumaon地区北阿坎德邦地震预警系统(UEEWS)地震传感器安装的81个地点进行了分类。2019年至2023年发生的地震的地面运动记录被用作这项工作的数据集。采用筛选的方法从数据集中筛选出较好的记录,然后对所有记录进行谱加速度(SA)和伪谱加速度(PSA)计算。利用SA和PSA建立了水平-垂直光谱比(HVSR)曲线。采用了四种方法和八种分类方法对遗址进行了分类。第一种方法利用场地HVSR平均曲线得到的优势周期,按标准方案进行分类。在第二种方法中,三种方法通过将站点的HVSR曲线与标准HVSR曲线相关联来估计站点分类指数(SCI)。第三种方法采用两种不同的经验模型估计了从30 m深度到地表的时均横波速度(Vs30),而第四种方法采用峰值地面加速度(PGA)对PSA进行归一化。所有方法的结果都经过了彻底的检验,并通过与标准曲线的比较进行了最终的分类。在81个遗址中,分别有31个、23个、1个、1个、6个、2个和17个被划分为I、II、III、IV、V、VI和VII类。网站类别的描述已在后面的章节中解释。研究还表明,地震的震级、震中距离和震源深度对地震发生的主要时期没有影响。场地的分类在推进北阿坎德邦地区的地震灾害调查中起着至关重要的作用,因为强地面运动记录是与场地条件一起的主要输入。这项研究将有助于减轻未来潜在的地震破坏。
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引用次数: 0
Advanced bench design and technical challenges in open pit mining: a comprehensive review of stability and productivity 露天矿开采的先进台阶设计和技术挑战:稳定性和生产率的综合评价
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12157-2
Geleta Warkisa Deressa, Bhanwar Singh Choudhary, Nagessa Zerihun Jilo

This study provides a detailed review of the open pit mine planning process, focusing on the critical parameters that influence the stability, safety, and efficiency of mining operations. Historically, the importance of integrated mine planning and geomechanical understanding in bench design has been underestimated, leading to operational challenges. The primary objective of this review is to emphasize the significance of effective mine planning and design, highlighting key factors such as rock mass properties, bench geometry, stability considerations, blast design, and other operational elements that directly impact efficiency and safety. Optimizing bench design requires a careful balance of economic, geomechanical, and operational factors, including bench height, slope angle, blasting design, and equipment considerations, to enhance safety and productivity in open pit mining. Numerical modelling is crucial for simulating interactions between rock behavior, bench design, and mining processes, providing insights into stress distribution, material displacement, and potential failure mechanisms. Incorporating machine learning techniques in open pit mine planning introduces innovative solutions for design optimization. In conclusion, the paper proposes strategies for improving stability and productivity through integrated blasting protocols, advanced monitoring technologies, and machine learning for design optimization. Future research should focus on enhancing safety and productivity by refining modelling techniques and deepening the understanding of mine planning and design for sustainable mining operations.

本研究对露天矿规划过程进行了详细的回顾,重点关注影响采矿作业稳定性、安全性和效率的关键参数。从历史上看,综合矿山规划和地质力学理解在台架设计中的重要性被低估了,这导致了操作上的挑战。这篇综述的主要目的是强调有效的矿山规划和设计的重要性,强调关键因素,如岩体特性、台阶几何形状、稳定性考虑、爆破设计和其他直接影响效率和安全的操作因素。优化工作台设计需要仔细平衡经济、地质力学和操作因素,包括工作台高度、坡度、爆破设计和设备考虑,以提高露天矿开采的安全性和生产率。数值模拟对于模拟岩石行为、工作台设计和采矿过程之间的相互作用至关重要,可以深入了解应力分布、材料位移和潜在的破坏机制。将机器学习技术纳入露天矿规划,为设计优化提供了创新的解决方案。综上所述,本文提出了通过综合爆破协议、先进监测技术和机器学习优化设计来提高稳定性和生产率的策略。今后的研究应侧重于通过改进建模技术和加深对可持续采矿业务的矿山规划和设计的了解来提高安全和生产力。
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引用次数: 0
An analysis of the causes of Kenya’s extreme drought event in May 2023 2023年5月肯尼亚极端干旱事件的原因分析
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12169-y
Ai Zeng, Lin Liu, Paul Oloo, Qiuchi Li, Yawen Wang

In the context of global warming, the East African region has experienced frequent droughts, with severe impacts on local society and livelihoods. Kenya, in particular, is one of the most drought-affected countries in the region. In May 2023, Kenya experienced an unprecedented extreme drought event that posed a serious threat to the lives and property of the local population. This study focuses on this event, and through quantitative diagnostic analysis, tentatively examines the main controlling factors and possible influencing mechanisms that affect rainfall in Kenya during this event. The analysis results indicate that the anomalous vertical atmospheric motion in 2023, which influences the transport process of the vertical gradient of water vapor, is the main controlling factor of the Kenyan drought event, with the anomalous descending airflow playing a dominant role. Further analysis shows that the anomalous warming of sea surface temperatures in the southwestern Indian Ocean in May 2023 triggered an anticyclonic circulation over the western Indian Ocean, which significantly influenced the anomalous vertical atmospheric motion. This research provides a preliminary explanation of the causes of the drought event from an air-sea interaction perspective.

在全球变暖的背景下,东非地区干旱频发,对当地社会和生计造成严重影响。肯尼亚是该地区受干旱影响最严重的国家之一。2023年5月,肯尼亚经历了前所未有的极端干旱,给当地人民的生命财产造成严重威胁。本研究针对该事件,通过定量诊断分析,初步探讨了该事件期间影响肯尼亚降雨的主要控制因素和可能的影响机制。分析结果表明,2023年大气垂直运动异常影响水汽垂直梯度输送过程,是肯尼亚干旱事件的主要控制因素,其中下降气流异常起主导作用。进一步分析表明,2023年5月西南印度洋海温异常升温引发西印度洋上空反气旋环流,显著影响了大气垂直异常运动。本研究从海气相互作用的角度初步解释了干旱事件的成因。
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引用次数: 0
Multiparameter study of shear strength improvement near-surface by vegetation roots and fibers 植物根系和纤维提高近地表抗剪强度的多参数研究
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-01-04 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12170-5
Charu Chauhan, Kala Venkata Uday

The shear strength of soil is a significant engineering property. Recently, the utilization of nature-based elements, including roots and fibers, to enhance soil shear strength for surface applications like erosion control has received considerable attention. The experimental program outlined in this paper encompasses direct shear testing on bare soil, soil-fiber, and soil-root specimens with diverse compositions for parameters. The current study utilized four locally sourced grassroots from the Himalayan region, along with a combination of natural and synthetic fibers, to investigate the enhancement of shear strength in surface soils. A fractional factorial method of experimental design has been implemented for laboratory testing programs. Additionally, data analysis has been conducted to determine factor contributions and optimum parameter for the most favorable results. The findings demonstrate that the incorporation of plant roots and fibers significantly affects the shear strength of the soil matrix. The root area ratio serves as an equivalent for fiber content in soil-root interaction research aimed at improving shear strength at the soil surface.

土的抗剪强度是一项重要的工程特性。近年来,利用基于自然的元素,包括根和纤维,来提高土壤的抗剪强度,用于表面应用,如侵蚀控制,受到了相当大的关注。本文概述的试验方案包括裸土、土纤维和土根样品的直剪试验,这些样品具有不同的成分参数。目前的研究利用了来自喜马拉雅地区的四种当地草根,以及天然和合成纤维的组合,来研究表层土壤抗剪强度的增强。一个分数阶乘的实验设计方法已实施实验室测试程序。此外,还进行了数据分析,以确定最有利结果的因素贡献和最佳参数。结果表明,植物根系和纤维的掺入对土壤基质的抗剪强度有显著影响。在提高土壤表面抗剪强度的土-根相互作用研究中,根面积比作为纤维含量的等量物。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting slope stability potential failure surface using machine learning algorithms 利用机器学习算法预测边坡稳定性潜在破坏面
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-01-03 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12146-5
MyoungSoo Won, Shamsher Sadiq, JianBin Wang, YuCong Gao

This study investigated the performance of machine learning models in predicting the FS and slip surface. The models considered include support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithms. The slope stability analysis data for training of machine learning algorithms were obtained through the limit equilibrium method. This includes various scenarios of dry and homogeneous slope cases, encompassing a range of slope geometries (height (H), slope ratio (v/h)), and soil shear strength parameters (soil unit weight (γ), cohesion (c), friction angle (ϕ)). According to the evaluation using Taylor’s chart metrics, including standard deviation, correlation determination (R2), and root-mean-square error (RMSE), the XGBoost algorithm demonstrated the best performance. Additionally, employing the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) methodology revealed the significance order of variables as v/h > H > c > ϕ > γ for the factor of safety (FS) and H > v/h > c > ϕ > γ for the slip surface.

本研究探讨了机器学习模型在预测FS和滑移面方面的性能。考虑的模型包括支持向量机(SVM)、随机森林(RF)和极端梯度增强(XGBoost)算法。通过极限平衡法获得用于机器学习算法训练的边坡稳定性分析数据。这包括干燥和均匀边坡情况的各种情况,包括一系列边坡几何形状(高度(H),坡度比(v/ H))和土壤抗剪强度参数(土壤单位重量(γ),凝聚力(c),摩擦角(ϕ))。根据Taylor’s chart指标的评价,包括标准差、相关确定(R2)和均方根误差(RMSE), XGBoost算法表现出最好的性能。此外,采用SHapley加性解释(SHAP)方法揭示了变量的显著性顺序为v/h >; h > c >; ϕ >; γ对于安全系数(FS)和h >; v/h > c >; ϕ >; γ对于滑移面。
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引用次数: 0
Diagenetic controls on the porosity of adigrat sandstone formation in the Dejen-Gohatsion section of the Blue Nile Basin, Central Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚中部青尼罗河盆地Dejen-Gohatsion剖面adigrat砂岩地层孔隙度的成岩控制
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-30 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12164-3
Yohannes Dessalegn Girma, Balemwal Atnafu Alemu, Worash Getaneh Shibeshi, Tilahun Weldemaryam Zegeye

The Adigrat Sandstone Formation, representing the siliciclastic assemblage of the Lower Mesozoic succession, underlies the Gohatsion Formation in the Blue Nile Basin. Despite its stratigraphic and geological significance, the impact of diagenesis on the porosity value of the Adigrat sandstone remains poorly understood. By analyzing a detailed field description of two stratigraphic logs, along with the associated thin sections and additional correlated well data, the environment of deposition has been interpreted. The petrographic analysis was carried out to 30 sandstone samples collected from five selected outcrops, and complemented by the two stratigraphic columns. The main diagenetic processes affecting the Adigrat sandstone porosity were compaction, cementation, mineral dissolution, replacement, authigenesis, and recrystallization. The framework grain and cement relationship suggests an early quartz cement precipitation, followed by partial or intense calcite and hematite development in some samples as the second cementation phase. Feldspar alteration to lath-shaped kaolinite clusters causes kaolinite to act as a pore-lining and pore-filling cement, thereby reducing porosity. Conversely, the fracture and dissolution of some samples enhanced the fluid storage capacity. The estimated existing optical porosity (EOP) varies between 1 and 8%, with a mean value of 5%, of which 70% of the samples possess catenary and cul-de-sac porosities. Based on petrographic analysis, the sandstone is mineralogically categorized as sub-mature to mature. These findings significantly contribute to understanding the diagenetic evolution of the Adigrat Sandstone Formation, providing valuable insights for reservoir characterization and exploration strategies in the Blue Nile Basin (BNB).

阿迪格拉特砂岩组位于青尼罗盆地戈哈顿组之下,代表了下中生代演替中的硅屑组合。尽管具有地层和地质意义,但成岩作用对阿迪格拉特砂岩孔隙度的影响仍知之甚少。通过分析两个地层测井的详细现场描述,以及相关的薄片和额外的相关井数据,对沉积环境进行了解释。对5个露头的30个砂岩样品进行了岩石学分析,并辅以2个地层柱。影响阿迪格拉特砂岩孔隙度的主要成岩作用为压实作用、胶结作用、矿物溶蚀作用、替代作用、自生作用和重结晶作用。骨架颗粒与胶结关系表明早期石英胶结沉淀,随后部分样品出现部分或强烈方解石和赤铁矿发育为第二胶结阶段。长石蚀变成条状高岭石团簇,使高岭石充当孔隙衬里和填充孔隙的胶结物,从而降低孔隙度。相反,一些试样的断裂和溶解增强了储液能力。现有光学孔隙度(EOP)在1 ~ 8%之间,平均值为5%,其中70%的样品具有悬链线和死胡同孔隙度。通过岩相分析,将砂岩的矿物学分类为亚成熟至成熟。这些发现有助于了解Adigrat砂岩组的成岩演化,为青尼罗河盆地(BNB)的储层表征和勘探策略提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Projection of future frequency of severe and extreme droughts over Iran country 预测伊朗未来严重和极端干旱的频率
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-30 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12162-5
Sohrab Naderi, Parsa Haghighi, Fatemeh Rouzbahani, Mohammad Hossein Jahangir, Iman Shirvani

Drought is one of the most destructive environmental hazards posing negative economic and social consequences. The country of Iran, which is located in the dry and semi-arid belt, is involved in much damage caused by drought every year, which makes it necessary to investigate. In this study, an attempt was made to investigate the frequency (number of occurrences) of severe and extreme droughts in the future. We considered of monthly averaged precipitation of 10 climate models of the fifth report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for the basic period (1976–2005) and future periods (2020–2049, 2070–2099) under two scenarios (RCP4.5, 8.5). Using a new method, the difference between the average monthly precipitation of the models in the base period with the observed data and the inverse of the difference of each model was divided by the sum of the inverse of all models in each month (WP). Next, the average monthly precipitation of each model in the future period and the corresponding scenario was divided into the base period of that model (PCF), and at the end, for each month, the amount of WP was multiplied by the PCF of each model and their sum was obtained ((Delta P)). The value (Delta P), which is a 12-month time series, is introduced to the lars-wg model as a scenario file, and this model builds precipitation data based on this file. In the following, using the 12-month SPI index, according to the SPI index classification (values between − 1.5 and − 2 as severe drought and greater than − 2 as extreme drought), the total number of events in which the 12-month SPI (during the examined period in each station) being placed in the severe and extreme category was calculated. The estimation of error indices, especially RSqr (0.95), on average shows the accuracy of the combined weighted method and the Lars-Wg model in simulating precipitation. Also, the result presented in box plots shows an increase in the frequency of severe and extreme droughts in most of the country’s stations. Except group 3 (Southwestern and Western regions of the country), where the frequency of severe drought has decreased, in other groups, especially group 4 (60% on average), there is an obvious increase. The frequency of extreme drought in areas with good rainfall in the western and northern half of the country (especially groups 3 and 4) has declined (86% on average), while extreme events has decreased in group 1 with low rainfall. Considering that these areas are the main agricultural poles in the country, increasing the frequency of extreme drought can create harmful economic, social, and environmental consequences.

干旱是造成负面经济和社会后果的最具破坏性的环境危害之一。伊朗地处干旱和半干旱地带,每年都有许多干旱造成的损害,因此有必要进行调查。在这项研究中,试图调查未来严重和极端干旱的频率(发生次数)。我们考虑了政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)第五次报告中10个气候模式在两种情景(RCP4.5、8.5)下基本期(1976-2005)和未来期(2020-2049、2070-2099)的月平均降水量。采用一种新的方法,将各模式基期月平均降水与观测资料之差与各模式月平均降水之差的倒数除以各模式月平均降水倒数之和(WP)。接下来,将各模式未来时段及对应情景的月平均降水量划分为该模式基期(PCF),最后将每个月的WP量乘以各模式的PCF,得到其总和((Delta P))。值(Delta P)是一个12个月的时间序列,作为场景文件引入lars-wg模型,该模型基于该文件构建降水数据。下面,使用12个月SPI指数,根据SPI指数分类(数值在- 1.5到- 2之间为严重干旱,大于- 2为极端干旱),计算12个月SPI(在每个站的检查期间)处于严重和极端类别的事件总数。对误差指标的平均估计,尤其是RSqr(0.95),表明了联合加权法与Lars-Wg模式模拟降水的准确性。此外,箱形图显示的结果显示,该国大多数气象站发生严重和极端干旱的频率有所增加。除了第三组(该国西南部和西部地区)严重干旱的频率有所减少外,其他组,特别是第四组(60% on average), there is an obvious increase. The frequency of extreme drought in areas with good rainfall in the western and northern half of the country (especially groups 3 and 4) has declined (86% on average), while extreme events has decreased in group 1 with low rainfall. Considering that these areas are the main agricultural poles in the country, increasing the frequency of extreme drought can create harmful economic, social, and environmental consequences.
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引用次数: 0
A CNN-based method for forest classification using compact PolSAR images 一种基于cnn的基于紧凑PolSAR图像的森林分类方法
IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-26 DOI: 10.1007/s12517-024-12163-4
Sahar Ebrahimi, Hamid Ebadi, Amir Aghabalaei

The primary intention of this study is to explore the ability of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for forest classification using Compact Polarimetric (CP) data. Due to the phenomenal performance of the CNNs, more and more studies have tended to apply CNN-based methods to classify polarimetric synthetic aperture radar (PolSAR) images. In this study, three strategies were applied for this purpose. The first strategy involved designing and applying a CNN-based network to the Full Polarimetry (FP) mode of RADARSAT-2 C band, the simulated CP modes, and the reconstructed Pseudo Quad (PQ) modes. The results of these different modes were then compared with each other. In the second strategy, we compared the outcomes obtained from the first strategy with those from the Wishart classifier and the support vector machine (SVM) used in previous studies. Finally, the last strategy combined the CP modes to improve the classification outcomes further. Results showed that the CNN network outperformed other methods by using the CP modes for forest classification, and combining π/4 and DCP_L modes provided higher overall accuracy.

本研究的主要目的是探索卷积神经网络(cnn)使用紧凑极化(CP)数据进行森林分类的能力。由于cnn的优异性能,越来越多的研究倾向于采用基于cnn的方法对偏振合成孔径雷达(PolSAR)图像进行分类。在本研究中,为此目的采用了三种策略。第一种策略是设计一个基于cnn的网络,并将其应用于RADARSAT-2 C波段的全偏振(FP)模式、模拟CP模式和重建的伪四元(PQ)模式。然后将这些不同模式的结果相互比较。在第二种策略中,我们将第一种策略的结果与先前研究中使用的Wishart分类器和支持向量机(SVM)的结果进行了比较。最后,最后一种策略结合了CP模式,进一步提高了分类结果。结果表明,CNN网络在森林分类中使用CP模式优于其他方法,其中π/4模式和DCP_L模式相结合具有更高的整体准确率。
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Arabian Journal of Geosciences
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