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Hayek, Buchanan and the justification of the market 哈耶克、布坎南与市场的合理性
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12406
Robert Sugden

This paper discusses the work of two twentieth-century liberal economists, Friedrich Hayek and James Buchanan, who have made lasting contributions to our understanding of the role of the market in a free society. I argue that they offer significantly different but complementary visions of the value of the market as a system of individual freedom. Hayek's vision is of the price system as a marvel of spontaneous order which solves a fundamental economic problem – that of making efficient use of a totality of knowledge that is divided between individuals. Buchanan's vision is of the market as a space in which individuals are free to make voluntary exchanges. In his words, ‘this is all that there is to it’: the market is not a solution to any collective problem. These visions have a common blind spot. Both writers recognise the need for programmes of social insurance and consider how they should structured so as to be as compatible as possible with the workings of a market economy and a liberal democracy. But, I argue, neither sees the full importance of social insurance in a justification of the market system.

本文讨论了两位二十世纪自由主义经济学家弗里德里希-哈耶克和詹姆斯-布坎南的著作,他们为我们理解市场在自由社会中的作用做出了持久的贡献。我认为,他们对市场作为个人自由体系的价值提出了截然不同但又相辅相成的看法。哈耶克认为,价格体系是自发秩序的奇迹,它解决了一个基本的经济问题--即如何有效地利用被个人瓜分的全部知识。布坎南认为,市场是个人自由进行自愿交换的空间。用他的话说,"仅此而已":市场并不能解决任何集体问题。这些观点有一个共同的盲点。两位作家都认识到社会保险计划的必要性,并考虑如何构建社会保险计划,以便尽可能地与市场经济和自由民主的运作相协调。但我认为,他们都没有充分认识到社会保险对市场体系的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
A spatial analysis of NATO burden sharing at the operational levels 北约在行动层面分担负担的空间分析
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12401
Justin George, Todd Sandler

The paper applies connectivity measures—membership status, contiguity, inverse distance, and power projection—to investigate North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) defense burden sharing at the operational or (defense spending) categorical levels (i.e., personnel, infrastructure, equipment, and operations and maintenance [O&M]) during the post-Cold War era, 1991–2022. Alternative spatial weights, assigned to allies' operational-based spillovers, indicate diverse free-riding responses with the greatest free riding characterizing equipment, followed by O&M and then personnel outlays. Infrastructure spending, which does not permit much substitution among allies, is understandably characterized by the least inter-ally free riding. After the Wales Summit and Russia's invasion of Crimea in 2014, there are marked changes to NATO free riding at the operational levels, with equipment spending displaying reduced free riding. Generally, there is little evidence of a positive reaction to increased Russian military expenditures; however, there is some enhanced operational spending by NATO allies nearest to Russia after 2014. Also, we estimate simultaneous spatial autoregressive models to gauge inter-operational spending responses to the four kinds of spillovers, where we find interesting inter-operational substitutions and complementarities.

本文采用连通性度量--成员地位、毗连性、反向距离和力量投射--来研究后冷战时代(1991-2022 年)北大西洋公约组织(北约)在行动或(国防开支)分类层面(即人员、基础设施、装备以及运营和维护[O&M])的国防负担分担情况。对盟国基于行动的溢出效应所分配的不同空间权重表明了不同的搭便车反应,其中装备的搭便车反应最大,其次是运营和维护,然后是人员支出。基础设施支出不允许盟国之间有太多的替代,因此可以理解为盟国之间的搭便车现象最少。在威尔士峰会和 2014 年俄罗斯入侵克里米亚之后,北约在行动层面的自由支配发生了明显变化,装备支出的自由支配减少。总体而言,几乎没有证据表明俄罗斯增加军费会带来积极反应;但是,2014 年后,距离俄罗斯最近的北约盟国的行动支出有所提高。此外,我们还估算了同步空间自回归模型,以衡量行动间支出对四种溢出效应的反应,我们发现了有趣的行动间替代和互补性。
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引用次数: 0
The judicial superego: Implicit egoism, internalized racism, and prejudice in three million sentencing decisions 司法超我:三百万项判决决定中的隐性利己主义、内化的种族主义和偏见
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12400
Daniel L. Chen

I document implicit egoism across 3 million sentencing decisions. In administrative data from the U.S. New Orleans District Attorney's office for 1988–1999 and Chile for 2014–2019, sentences are 8% longer and 2% longer, respectively, when the judge and defendant's first initials match. Name letter effects measure implicit self-esteem. Faced with ego threat, high self-esteem individuals punish negatively valenced targets as self-regulation. In New Orleans, effects are larger for Black defendants labeled by police as “N” rather than “B.” Consistent with recent theoretical models, Black–White sentence differences double for egoist judges, and this effect is especially pronounced among Black judges.

我记录了 300 万项判决决定中的隐性利己主义。在美国新奥尔良地区检察官办公室1988-1999年和智利2014-2019年的行政数据中,当法官和被告姓名首字母一致时,判刑分别延长8%和2%。姓名字母效应衡量内隐自尊。面对自我威胁,高自尊者会惩罚负价值目标作为自我调节。在新奥尔良,被警方标记为 "N "而非 "B "的黑人被告受到的影响更大。与最近的理论模型一致,自我主义法官对黑人和白人的判刑差异加倍,这种效应在黑人法官中尤为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Lynching and economic opportunities: Evidence from the US South 私刑与经济机会:美国南部的证据
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-17 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12397
Sotiris Kampanelis, Aldo Elizalde

This paper examines the impact of historical lynching on the economic opportunities of Black individuals today. Our results indicate that past lynchings have an adverse effect on the current economic opportunities of Black people, likely arising from persistent racial prejudice dating back to the early 20th century. We emphasize the importance of rapid urbanization, industrialization, and population mixing in the US South post-1880, which led to heightened competition among racial groups for economic, social, and political prominence, ultimately resulting in a surge of lynchings. Our findings survive a series of robustness checks.

本文研究了历史上的私刑对当今黑人经济机会的影响。我们的研究结果表明,过去的私刑对黑人当前的经济机会产生了不利影响,这很可能源于可追溯到 20 世纪初的持续种族偏见。我们强调了 1880 年后美国南方快速城市化、工业化和人口混合的重要性,这导致了种族群体之间对经济、社会和政治地位的竞争加剧,最终导致私刑激增。我们的研究结果通过了一系列稳健性检验。
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting the resource curse: Does volatility matter? 重新审视资源诅咒:波动性重要吗?
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-17 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12396
Yassine Kirat

Countries with abundant natural resources often possess greater wealth, yet the impact of these resources on economic growth remains unclear. This paper examines how natural-resource abundance and its volatility impact economic growth. It questions whether natural resources themselves are a curse or if the negative growth effects are due to the volatility of natural-resource revenues. The study also investigates how volatility of natural resources affects key economic growth channels, such as investment, human capital, and institutional quality. Using the standard panel model and panel smooth transition regression (PSTR), the paper analyzes data from 125 countries (1988–2020). Results show that natural-resource abundance boosts economic growth, contradicting the resource-curse theory. However, the growth impact is non-linear and varies with natural-resource volatility. Countries with high volatility face up to a 22 percentage point annual GDP growth loss compared with those with low volatility, suggesting that volatility and poor government responses drive the resource-curse paradox, not the abundance of resources per se.

自然资源丰富的国家往往拥有更多财富,但这些资源对经济增长的影响仍不明确。本文探讨了自然资源的丰富性及其波动性如何影响经济增长。它质疑自然资源本身是否是一种诅咒,或者负增长效应是否是由于自然资源收入的不稳定性造成的。研究还探讨了自然资源的波动性如何影响关键的经济增长渠道,如投资、人力资本和制度质量。本文使用标准面板模型和面板平稳过渡回归(PSTR),分析了 125 个国家(1988-2020 年)的数据。结果表明,自然资源丰富会促进经济增长,这与资源诅咒理论相矛盾。然而,对经济增长的影响是非线性的,并随自然资源的波动而变化。与波动性低的国家相比,波动性高的国家面临高达 22 个百分点的 GDP 年增长率损失,这表明是波动性和政府应对不力导致了资源诅咒悖论,而不是资源丰富本身。
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引用次数: 0
Experts and arbitration outcomes: Insights from public procurement contract disputes 专家与仲裁结果:公共采购合同纠纷的启示
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-15 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12399
Claudio Detotto, Riccardo Marselli, Bryan C. McCannon, Marco Vannini

We explore the use of experts in arbitration proceedings by analysing public procurement contract disputes in Italy. Balancing cost with accuracy, participants to a contract select arbitration when speedy dispute resolution is valued highly. Alternative dispute resolution mechanisms tend to give appointed arbitrators discretion in how to proceed. Consequently, principal-agent problems can arise. Using an inverse-probability-weighted approach, we show that the use of an expert causes a slowing down of the case resolution, without having an effect on the outcome of the dispute nor resolving uncertainty as measured by unanimous decisions by the panel of arbitrators. Conflict resolution mechanism designers should consider the alignment of incentives between the disputants and the service providers.

我们通过分析意大利的公共采购合同纠纷,探讨了在仲裁程序中使用专家的问题。在成本与准确性之间权衡时,合同参与者会选择仲裁,因为快速解决争议的价值很高。替代性争议解决机制往往赋予指定仲裁员在如何进行仲裁方面的自由裁量权。因此,可能会出现委托代理问题。通过使用反概率加权法,我们发现使用专家会导致案件解决速度减慢,但不会对争议结果产生影响,也不会解决仲裁员小组一致裁决所衡量的不确定性。冲突解决机制的设计者应考虑争议方与服务提供者之间激励机制的协调。
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引用次数: 0
Patriarchy, development, and the divergence of women's empowerment 父权制、发展与妇女赋权的分歧
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-11 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12398
Lewis Davis

How do culture and development interact to determine women's empowerment? I develop a simple model of women's labor supply in which economic development simultaneously reduces the stigma against women working and relaxes the consumption constraint that often forces poor women to work. The model predicts that women's labor supply will follow a U-shaped relationship, falling and then rising as development proceeds. In addition, in countries with more patriarchal values, women's labor supply will be lower, fall over a greater income range, and then rise more slowly on the upward sloping portion of the curve. I investigate and confirm these predictions in a broad sample of countries employing six different measures of historical patriarchy as well as a composite measure of patriarchal history. These findings indicate that as economic development proceeds, women's labor supply will diverge across countries as differences in the intensity of patriarchal values play an ever larger role in the allocation of women's labor.

文化与发展是如何相互作用来决定妇女赋权的?我建立了一个简单的妇女劳动力供给模型,在这个模型中,经济发展同时减少了对妇女工作的偏见,并放松了往往迫使贫困妇女工作的消费限制。根据该模型的预测,妇女的劳动力供给将呈 U 型关系,随着经济的发展先降后升。此外,在父权价值观较为浓厚的国家,妇女的劳动力供给将较低,在较大的收入范围内下降,然后在曲线的上坡部分缓慢上升。我采用六种不同的历史父权制衡量方法以及一种父权制历史的综合衡量方法,在广泛的国家样本中调查并证实了这些预测。这些研究结果表明,随着经济的发展,重男轻女价值观在妇女劳动力分配中的作用越来越大,各国妇女的劳动力供给将出现分化。
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引用次数: 0
The role of non-base compensation in explaining the motherhood wage gap: Evidence from Italy 非基准报酬在解释母亲工资差距中的作用:来自意大利的证据
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12393
Eliane Badaoui, Eleonora Matteazzi, Vincenzo Prete

This paper underlines the importance of accounting for non-base compensation in explaining the motherhood wage gap. We consider two alternative measures of hourly wage using Italian EU-SILC data from 2007 to 2019: the base-wage and the full-wage. The former refers to the contractual base wage, while the latter includes performance-based bonuses, productivity bonuses, commissions, pay incentives, and other extra payments. We address the endogeneity issues of motherhood and examine the effect of motherhood status across various quantiles of the wage distribution for the two hourly wage measures. Empirical findings provide evidence of a motherhood base-wage premium, which becomes nonsignificant when using the full-wage measure, suggesting that non-base compensation is a source of inequality for mothers. These findings are consistent across the wage distribution. Exploring potential heterogeneity across macro-regions and periods, we find no notable regional disparities except minor distinctions for the Southern regions, alongside a decline in the base-wage premium over time and the emergence of a full-wage penalty in recent years. A comparative analysis with a sample of men reveals that fathers enjoy a premium with both wage measures. Nevertheless, fatherhood is also associated with reduced extra remunerations, yet to a lesser extent than motherhood.

本文强调了在解释母亲工资差距时考虑非基准报酬的重要性。我们利用 2007 年至 2019 年的意大利 EU-SILC 数据,考虑了两种可供选择的小时工资衡量标准:基础工资和全额工资。前者是指合同规定的基本工资,后者包括绩效奖金、生产率奖金、佣金、薪酬奖励和其他额外报酬。我们解决了母亲身份的内生性问题,并研究了母亲身份对两种小时工资衡量标准的工资分布中不同数量级的影响。实证研究结果提供了母亲基础工资溢价的证据,当使用全额工资衡量时,这一溢价变得不显著,这表明非基础报酬是母亲不平等的一个来源。这些发现在整个工资分布中是一致的。在探讨不同宏观地区和不同时期的潜在异质性时,我们发现除了南方地区存在细微差别外,其他地区没有明显的差异,同时随着时间的推移,基薪溢价有所下降,近年来出现了全额工资惩罚。对男性样本的比较分析表明,父亲在两种工资衡量标准中都享有溢价。然而,父亲身份也与额外报酬减少有关,但程度低于母亲身份。
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引用次数: 0
Self-love, growth, and competition in a public good game 公益游戏中的自爱、成长和竞争
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12394
Annarita Colasante, Andrea Morone, Francesco Nemore, Paola Tiranzoni

Competition and cooperation are not always at odds and contributions to public goods are almost never one-off one-shot temporally isolated events. We examine voluntary contribution in a new public good experiment where “self-love” competitive motivations and time dynamic interdependencies are simultaneously considered. The competitive motivations are manipulated via subjects competing in each group (intragroup competition) for higher return factors on their public expenditure, whereas time dynamic interdependencies are modeled by letting returns from previous periods available for future contributions to public goods (CG). We ran two control conditions where intragroup competition (C) and time dynamic interdependencies (G) are separately implemented. Our findings showed that shares of endowment contributed were significantly greater and increasing over time when endowments growth and heterogeneous returns factors were simultaneously introduced. This effect can be attributed to return factors obtained in previous periods. Accordingly, wealth exponential growth has been greatly accelerated relative to our control condition. Distributive equity concerns have been also documented. Although Gini coefficients were significantly lower in the presence of heterogeneous return factors and endowments growth, inequality trends seemed to converge at control condition values in the long term.

竞争与合作并不总是对立的,对公益事业的贡献几乎从来都不是一次性的、在时间上孤立的事件。我们在一项新的公益实验中研究了自愿捐助问题,在这项实验中,"自爱 "竞争动机和时间动态相互依存关系被同时考虑。竞争动机是通过受试者在各组中竞争(组内竞争)以获得公共开支的更高回报系数来操纵的,而时间动态相互依赖则是通过让前一时期的回报用于未来的公共产品捐助(CG)来模拟的。我们采用了两种控制条件,分别实施组内竞争(C)和时间动态相互依存(G)。我们的研究结果表明,当同时引入禀赋增长和异质回报因素时,禀赋贡献的份额显著增加,且随时间推移而增加。这种效应可归因于前期获得的回报因素。因此,相对于我们的控制条件,财富指数增长大大加快。分配公平问题也得到了证实。虽然在存在异质回报因素和禀赋增长的情况下,基尼系数明显降低,但从长期来看,不平等趋势似乎向控制条件值靠拢。
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引用次数: 0
The sun's position at birth is unrelated to subjective well-being: Debunking astrological claims 出生时太阳的位置与主观幸福感无关:揭穿占星术的谎言
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-27 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12395
Mohsen Joshanloo

Beliefs linking zodiac signs to personality traits, life outcomes, and well-being remain widespread across various cultures. This study examined the relationship between Western zodiac signs and subjective well-being in a nationally representative American sample from the General Social Survey (N = 12,791). Well-being was measured across eight components: general unhappiness, depressive symptoms, psychological distress, work dissatisfaction, financial dissatisfaction, perceived dullness of one's life, self-rated health, and unhappiness with marriage. Parametric and nonparametric analyses consistently revealed no robust associations between zodiac signs and any of the well-being variables, regardless of whether demographic factors were controlled for. The effect sizes were negligible, accounting for 0.3% or less of the variance in well-being, demonstrating that zodiac signs lack predictive power for well-being outcomes. An additional analysis revealed that astrological signs were no more predictive of than random numbers. Thus, a randomly generated number between 1 and 12 is statistically as predictive of one's well-being as one's zodiac sign. These findings challenge popular astrological claims about the influence of zodiac signs on well-being and quality of life.

在各种文化中,将十二星座与人格特质、生活结果和幸福感联系在一起的观念仍然很普遍。本研究以具有全国代表性的美国一般社会调查样本(N = 12,791)为对象,研究了西方十二星座与主观幸福感之间的关系。幸福感的测量包括八个方面:总体不幸福感、抑郁症状、心理困扰、工作不满意、经济不满意、认为生活枯燥乏味、自评健康和婚姻不幸福。参数分析和非参数分析一致显示,无论是否控制了人口统计学因素,十二星座与任何幸福变量之间都没有强有力的关联。效应大小微乎其微,仅占幸福感变异的 0.3% 或更少,这表明十二星座对幸福感结果缺乏预测力。另一项分析表明,星座对幸福感的预测能力并不比随机数字强。因此,在统计学上,一个随机产生的 1 到 12 之间的数字与一个人的黄道星座一样,都能预测一个人的幸福感。这些研究结果对流行的占星学关于十二星座对幸福和生活质量的影响的说法提出了质疑。
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引用次数: 0
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