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Revenue sharing, fiscal incentives, and economic growth: Evidence from China 收入分享、财政激励和经济增长:来自中国的证据
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12362
Yixin Chen, Bingyang Lyu, Guangrong Ma

This study revisited the impact of fiscal decentralization on China's economic growth, focusing on the role of the revenue-sharing system in providing local fiscal incentives. Using city-level data from 2003 to 2016, we construct the revenue retention rate at the sub-provincial level to test the impacts of fiscal incentives on economic growth. The results show that the sub-provincial revenue retention rate is significantly and positively associated with the local economic growth rate. Further, we find that a higher revenue retention rate encourages sub-provincial governments to spend more on infrastructure, borrow more debt, distort land price, and relax environmental regulatory standards. Our findings indicate that the positive economic effect of fiscal decentralization is accompanied by a social cost and increased financial risk.

本研究重新审视了财政分权对中国经济增长的影响,重点关注财政收入分享制度在提供地方财政激励方面的作用。利用 2003 年至 2016 年的城市级数据,我们构建了省级以下的财政收入留成率,以检验财政激励对经济增长的影响。结果显示,省级以下财政收入留成率与地方经济增长率显著正相关。此外,我们还发现,较高的财政收入留成率会鼓励省级以下政府在基础设施上投入更多资金、举借更多债务、扭曲土地价格以及放宽环境监管标准。我们的研究结果表明,财政权力下放的积极经济效应伴随着社会成本和金融风险的增加。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of recentralization reform on corruption: evidence from a quasi-natural experiment 权力下放改革对腐败的影响:来自准自然实验的证据
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12361
Hiep Ngoc Luu, Tram Anh Nguyen, Ngoc Minh Nguyen, Dam Duc Le, Khoi Trong Dao

How does government recentralization reform affect corruption? We utilize the pilot recentralization reform that transforms the legislative function, power, and responsibility of the district-level authorities to the higher level of the government organ in Vietnam as a quasi-natural experiment to address the aforementioned question. We find strong evidence that recentralization reform leads to lower corruption. The result illustrates that, among the firms which have the highest probability of making a bribe payment, those incorporated in jurisdictions experiencing the recentralization reform are 4.3% less likely to pay a bribe. In addition, the perception that bribery is a common and necessary practice is also significantly lowered in the post-recentralization period. We further show that the impact of recentralization is stronger for firms which lack a political connection. Overall, these results shed light on the real impact of the government recentralization reform and also the determinants of corruption, thereby providing important policy implications for policymakers to create a more conducive business environment.

政府权力下放改革如何影响腐败?我们利用越南将县级政府的立法职能、权力和责任移交给上级政府机关的再集权改革试点作为一个准自然实验来解决上述问题。我们发现强有力的证据表明,权力下放改革会降低腐败程度。结果表明,在行贿概率最高的企业中,那些在经历了权力下放改革的地区注册的企业行贿的概率降低了 4.3%。此外,认为贿赂是一种常见且必要的行为的观念在权力下放后也显著降低。我们进一步发现,对于缺乏政治联系的企业来说,重新分权的影响更大。总之,这些结果揭示了政府重新分权改革的实际影响以及腐败的决定因素,从而为政策制定者创造更有利的商业环境提供了重要的政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
A theory of the city-state: The rise and decline of the rule of law in Medieval Italy 城邦理论:中世纪意大利法治的兴衰
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-09-24 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12360
Ennio E. Piano

We leverage theoretical insights from political economy to study several aspects of the institutional development of the Italian city-states during the High Middle Ages (1000–1350). A society's regime type depends on its domestic balance of power. When the ruled can credibly threaten to punish a rogue ruler, the rule of law prevails. If the ruler can easily overpower the ruled, despotism results instead. The transition from one regime to the other results when exogenous shocks and endogenous dynamics disturb the prevailing balance of power. This framework accounts for the rise and eventual decline of rule of law regimes in the towns of central and northern Italy between the 10th and 14th centuries.

我们利用政治经济学的理论见解来研究中世纪后期(1000-1350 年)意大利城邦制度发展的几个方面。一个社会的制度类型取决于其国内的权力平衡。当被统治者能够以可信的方式威胁惩罚无赖统治者时,法治就会盛行。如果统治者可以轻而易举地压制被统治者,则会导致专制。当外生冲击和内生动力扰乱了当时的权力平衡时,就会从一种制度过渡到另一种制度。这一框架解释了 10 至 14 世纪意大利中部和北部城镇法治制度的兴起和最终衰落。
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引用次数: 0
Seventy-five years West German currency reform: Crisis as catalyst for the erosion of the market order 西德货币改革七十五年:危机是侵蚀市场秩序的催化剂
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-09-18 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12359
Gunther Schnabl

The paper analyzes the role of the 1948 currency and economic reform in West Germany for growth and social cohesion in Germany and Europe. It describes the theoretical foundation by Walter Eucken and the implementation and defense of the new economic order by Ludwig Erhard. The paper stresses the positive impact of the market economy on growth and welfare in Germany and Europe. Then, it is shown that Eucken's constituting principles of the market economy were gradually eroded after euro introduction in course of crises, with the negative repercussions on growth and equality being explained. The policy conclusion is that only the reconstitution of price stability in the euro area can prevent a further decline of welfare in Europe. The 1948 economic reforms provide an important blueprint for the necessary reform process.

本文分析了 1948 年西德货币和经济改革对德国和欧洲经济增长和社会凝聚力的作用。论文介绍了沃尔特-尤肯(Walter Eucken)的理论基础以及路德维希-艾哈德(Ludwig Erhard)对新经济秩序的实施和维护。论文强调了市场经济对德国和欧洲经济增长和福利的积极影响。然后,论文指出,欧肯的市场经济构成原则在欧元问世后逐渐被危机所侵蚀,并解释了其对经济增长和平等的负面影响。政策结论是,只有重建欧元区的价格稳定,才能防止欧洲福利的进一步下降。1948 年的经济改革为必要的改革进程提供了重要蓝图。
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引用次数: 0
A post-politics earnings penalty? Evidence from politicians' lifetime income trajectories (1970–2019) 从政后的收入惩罚?政治家一生收入轨迹(1970-2019)的证据
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12358
Benny Geys, Rune J. Sørensen

Politicians are commonly believed to gain financially from holding and/or having held office. We argue that there may often also be economic downsides to pursuing a political career and investigate whether and when politicians can (not) capitalize on their political experience. We thereby study both entry into and exit from political office and directly compare the returns to politics across government levels and types of politicians. Empirically, we build on detailed information from Norwegian administrative register data over the period 1970–2019 to study individual-level income developments before, during and after a political career at the national and local levels (covering nearly 22,000 individuals and 700,000 person-years). Using an event-study methodology, we show that politicians on average witness a significant income boost during their time in office. In sharp contrast, leaving political office is on average associated with a substantial drop in income, which generally outweighs the income gain from entry into office. These findings suggest that most politicians face a net present value loss from holding office.

人们普遍认为,政治家会从担任和/或曾经担任的职务中获得经济收益。我们认为,从政往往也会带来经济上的弊端,并研究从政者是否以及何时可以(不可以)利用其从政经验。因此,我们研究了政治职位的进入和退出,并直接比较了不同级别政府和不同类型政治家的政治回报。在实证研究方面,我们以1970-2019年期间挪威行政登记数据的详细信息为基础,研究了个人在国家和地方层面从政之前、期间和之后的收入发展情况(涵盖近22,000人和700,000人年)。利用事件研究方法,我们发现政治家在任期间的平均收入显著增加。与此形成鲜明对比的是,离开政治职位平均会导致收入大幅下降,这通常会超过任职期间的收入增长。这些发现表明,大多数政治家在任职期间都会面临净现值损失。
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引用次数: 0
Does the unemployment rate moderate the well-being disadvantage of the unemployed? Within-region estimates from the European Social Survey 失业率是否减缓了失业者的福利劣势?来自欧洲社会调查的区域内估计值
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-09-04 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12357
Gábor Hajdu, Tamás Hajdu

Using pooled cross-sectional data (eight waves of the European Social Survey), this work analysed how the regional unemployment rate influences the well-being disadvantages of the unemployed. We estimate region fixed effects and slopes models that, unlike the standard region fixed effects approach, provide an unbiased estimate of the cross-level interaction term (between being unemployed and the unemployment rate) in the absence of unobserved time-variant confounders. The results show that the satisfaction disadvantage of the unemployed (relative to the employed) is larger when the regional unemployment rate is higher. Smaller and insignificant differences were found regarding happiness. These results are in line with the argument that worse re-employment perspectives in high-unemployment regions may be particularly harmful to unemployed people. These results do not contradict the claim that, in regions with a weaker social norm to work, unemployed people may be more satisfied. Instead, they suggest that the unemployment rate does not reflect the social norm to work.

这项研究利用汇集的横截面数据(欧洲社会调查的八次波次),分析了地区失业率如何影响失业者的福利劣势。我们估计了地区固定效应和斜率模型,与标准的地区固定效应方法不同的是,在没有未观察到的时间变量混杂因素的情况下,这些模型提供了对跨级别交互项(失业与失业率之间)的无偏估计。结果显示,当地区失业率较高时,失业者(相对于就业者)的满意度劣势更大。幸福感方面的差异较小且不显著。这些结果与高失业率地区较差的再就业前景可能对失业者特别有害的论点相吻合。这些结果与以下说法并不矛盾,即在工作社会规范较弱的地区,失业者可能会更满意。相反,这些结果表明,失业率并不反映工作的社会规范。
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引用次数: 0
The cost of love: Solving the gift anomaly 爱的代价解决礼物异常问题
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12355
Elias L. Khalil

Friendship-and-love affords bonding that satisfies what can be called “transcendental preferences”—in contradistinction of “substantive preferences” afforded by, for example, food, clothes, and shelter. Substantive preferences involve ordinary “substantive cost,” whereas transcendental preferences involve “bonding cost” that includes heartaches, obsession, and emotional turmoil. What about the cost of gifts such as flowers, time, and other carriers of friendship-and-love? The greater is the expenditure on gifts, the greater the bonding cost. This paper investigates the following question: How should we model bonding cost, which includes the cost of gift, in relation to substantive cost? Given bonding cost and substantive cost share the same budget, neoclassical economists treat them as commensurable and, hence, transcendental and substantive preferences make up a unidimensional objective function. This treatment, however, originates the “gift anomaly”: If people easily substitute between the two genera of preferences, why do they consider the demand of payments for visiting their grandmothers—or payments for voting and sexual intercourse—as repugnant (taboo)? To solve the gift anomaly, this paper is critical of the standard economist's entry point. This paper proposes bonding and substantive costs as incommensurable and, corollary, transcendental and substantive preferences as incommensurable as well. This paper further shows how, without undermining the incommensurability thesis, the incommensurability is up to a limit: the two genera of costs and, corollary, the two genera of preferences are still linked via the income effect—as opposed to the substitution effect.

友情和爱情所提供的亲情可以满足所谓的 "超越性偏好"--与诸如食物、衣服和住所等 "实质性偏好 "截然不同。实质性偏好涉及普通的 "实质性成本",而超越性偏好涉及 "结合成本",包括心痛、痴迷和情感波动。那么,鲜花、时间和其他友情与爱情的载体等礼物的成本又是多少呢?礼物花费越多,纽带成本就越大。本文探讨了以下问题:我们应该如何建立包括礼物成本在内的纽带成本与实质成本的关系模型?鉴于绑定成本和实质成本共享相同的预算,新古典经济学家将它们视为可相提并论的,因此,超验偏好和实质偏好构成了一个单维目标函数。然而,这种处理方法产生了 "礼物异常":如果人们很容易在这两类偏好之间进行替代,那么为什么他们会认为探望祖母的付款需求,或者投票和性交的付款需求是令人反感的(禁忌)呢?为了解决礼物异常现象,本文对标准经济学家的切入点进行了批判。本文提出,结合成本和实质成本是不可通约的,由此推论,超验偏好和实质偏好也是不可通约的。本文进一步说明,在不破坏不可通约性论点的前提下,不可通约性是有限度的:两类成本以及由此推论的两类偏好仍然通过收入效应--而非替代效应--联系在一起。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal taxation for democracies with less than perfect voters: A public choice perspective 选民不够完美的民主国家的最佳税收:公共选择视角
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12356
Roger D. Congleton

This paper analyzes optimal tax policy from the perspective of voters who want public policies to systematically advance their interests. Self-acknowledged ignorance implies that voters have a practical interest in transparent and stable tax systems that allow personal tax burdens to be calculated accurately and easily. Such properties reduce voter mistakes. However, a voter's normative interests may conflict with these practical interests, because ideas about a good life or good society often support tax system complexity. Tradeoffs between these two aims of democratic tax systems imply that the optimal tax system for a democracy neither minimizes voter errors nor maximizes a social welfare function.

本文从选民的角度分析了最优税收政策,选民希望公共政策能够系统地促进他们的利益。选民自认无知,这意味着他们对透明而稳定的税收制度有着实际的兴趣,因为这种制度能够准确而方便地计算出个人的税收负担。这种特性可以减少选民的失误。然而,选民的规范利益可能与这些实际利益相冲突,因为有关美好生活或美好社会的观念往往支持税制的复杂性。民主税制这两个目标之间的权衡意味着,民主国家的最优税制既不能使选民失误最小化,也不能使社会福利函数最大化。
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引用次数: 0
Forever young: Relative age effects in Belgian political selection 永远年轻:比利时政治选择中的相对年龄效应
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-08-15 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12353
Alan Al Yussef, Bruno Heyndels, Pauline Le Boulaire

Political selection is crucial for the functioning of democracy. However, the practice—in education and sports contexts—of artificially dividing school-age children into different age groups leads to a considerable bias in this selection. The probability of becoming a (successful) politician depends on individuals' relative age. Being born shortly after the cut-off date significantly increases the probability that an individual will be politically successful later in life. Using a regression discontinuity design, we find strong evidence of such relative age effect (RAE) among a large sample of Belgian federal parliamentarians over the period 1950–2019 (N = 4032), but not among municipal councillors (N = 7387), nor among municipal candidates (N = 36,740) in the 2018 election. The estimated overrepresentation of federal members of the parliament (MPs) born immediately after the cut-off date is up to 90% compared to politicians born just before the cut-off date. The overrepresentation is observed over the whole period and thus seems to be deeply rooted in the political system. We find the RAE to have a gendered dimension: The effect is driven by early-born male politicians' overrepresentation. No significant RAE was found among female politicians.

政治选择对民主的运作至关重要。然而,在教育和体育背景下,人为地将学龄儿童分为不同年龄组的做法导致了这种选择的相当大的偏见。成为(成功的)政治家的概率取决于个人的相对年龄。在截止日期后不久出生大大增加了一个人在以后的生活中取得政治成功的可能性。使用回归不连续性设计,我们在1950年至2019年期间的大量比利时联邦议员样本中发现了这种相对年龄效应(RAE)的有力证据(N = 4032),但不在市议员中(N = 7387),也不在市政候选人中(N = 36740)。与在截止日期前出生的政客相比,在截止日期后立即出生的联邦议员(议员)的比例估计高达90%。在整个时期都可以观察到代表人数过多的现象,因此似乎深深植根于政治制度。我们发现RAE具有性别维度:这种影响是由出生较早的男性政治家的代表性过高所驱动的。女性政治家中没有发现显著的RAE。
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引用次数: 0
Free riding on short-time work allowances? Results from an experimental survey design 免费享受短期工作津贴?实验调查设计的结果
IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-08-15 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12354
Mario Bossler, Christopher Osiander, Julia Schmidtke, Mark Trappmann

Short-time work (STW) is a policy measure whose prominence increases during economic crises and is intended to stabilize the labor market. Employers can temporarily reduce employees' working hours, which are in turn paid by the social security system in the meantime. Although short-time work—by design—saves employers a fraction of their wage costs, little is known about free riding behavior when using this option. Accordingly, we analyze the employee-reported free riding experience with respect to longer actual working hours than accounted for in employees' short-time work allowances, the unchanged workloads experienced by these employees, and announced lay-off decisions. Since these questions are certainly sensitive, we employ the crosswise model, a privacy-preserving technique, in a random half of the sample. Our results show significant employee-reported prevalences across all dimensions and a significant association between free riding and workers' job dissatisfaction. These findings thus highlight the importance of the crosswise model in uncovering these findings and demonstrate a specific drawback in the application of short-time work.

短期工作(STW)是一项在经济危机期间更加突出的政策措施,旨在稳定劳动力市场。雇主可以暂时减少员工的工作时间,同时由社会保障系统支付。尽管短期工作在设计上为雇主节省了一小部分工资成本,但人们对使用这种选择时的搭便车行为知之甚少。因此,我们分析了员工报告的搭便车经历,包括实际工作时间比员工的短期工作津贴更长、这些员工经历的工作量不变,以及宣布的裁员决定。由于这些问题肯定是敏感的,我们在随机的一半样本中使用了交叉模型,这是一种隐私保护技术。我们的研究结果显示,员工报告的所有维度的患病率都很高,搭便车与员工工作不满之间存在显著关联。因此,这些发现突出了横向模型在揭示这些发现方面的重要性,并证明了短期工作应用中的一个具体缺陷。
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引用次数: 0
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