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How Urban Households' Consumption Reflects Their Habits: Evidence From Taiwan 城市家庭消费如何反映他们的习惯:来自台湾的证据
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70007
Chien-Wen Yang

This paper utilizes data from the Survey of Family Income and Expenditure in Taiwan to discuss habit formation, encompassing internal and external habits, in urban household consumption behaviors. Specifically, we examine high-visibility consumption commodities and narrower spatial reference groups to capture external habits among urban households. Our empirical findings reveal evidence of habit formation in consumption behaviors among urban households in Taiwan. We observe the durability of some expenditure items for internal habits. Additionally, household consumption is influenced by the consumption of reference groups, indicating external habits. This influence is particularly pronounced within highly visible commodities, such as alcoholic beverages, tobacco, beauty, apparel, and recreation and culture. Most of these are more prominent for households facing narrower spatial reference groups, with tobacco being especially notable, highlighting potential public health concerns associated with localized social interactions. Furthermore, the effect of external habits on recreation and culture appears across wider spatial contexts, suggesting a more generalized external influence. These findings carry important implications for public health and the labor market, warranting attention from policymakers.

本文利用台湾家庭收支调查的数据,探讨城市家庭消费行为中的习惯形成,包括内在习惯和外在习惯。具体来说,我们研究了高知名度的消费商品和更窄的空间参考群体,以捕捉城市家庭的外部习惯。本研究的实证结果揭示了台湾城市家庭消费行为习惯形成的证据。我们观察内部习惯的一些支出项目的持久性。此外,家庭消费受到参考群体消费的影响,表明外部习惯。这种影响在酒精饮料、烟草、美容、服装、娱乐和文化等高度可见的商品中尤为明显。其中大多数问题对于面临较窄空间参照群体的家庭更为突出,其中烟草尤其突出,突出了与局部社会互动相关的潜在公共卫生问题。此外,外部习惯对娱乐和文化的影响出现在更广泛的空间背景中,表明外部影响更为普遍。这些发现对公共卫生和劳动力市场具有重要意义,值得决策者关注。
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引用次数: 0
Do Fiscal Rules Enhance States' Fiscal Capacity? 财政规则能提高国家财政能力吗?
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70005
Bernard Cléry Nomo Beyala

This paper examines the impact of fiscal rules on fiscal capacity. It is based on the premise that fiscal rules can enhance citizens' tax morale and willingness to pay taxes, thereby improving fiscal capacity. Using a global dataset spanning from 1985 to 2021, we find that stricter fiscal rules have a positive impact on fiscal capacity. This relationship holds when excluding EU countries, differentiating between supranational and national rules and employing alternative measures of fiscal capacity. Robustness checks further reveal that while fiscal capacity tends to rise with the number of rules in place, the combination of rules plays a relevant role. These findings underscore the importance of deliberately selecting and designing fiscal rules to effectively strengthen fiscal capacity.

本文考察了财政规则对财政能力的影响。其前提是财政规则可以提高公民的纳税士气和纳税意愿,从而提高财政能力。使用1985年至2021年的全球数据集,我们发现更严格的财政规则对财政能力有积极影响。在排除欧盟国家、区分超国家和国家规则以及采用替代财政能力衡量标准的情况下,这种关系仍然成立。鲁棒性检验进一步表明,虽然财政能力往往随着规则数量的增加而增加,但规则组合起着相关作用。这些发现强调了有意选择和设计财政规则以有效增强财政能力的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Neutral Theory, Stochasticity, and the Efficiency of Social Institutions 中性理论、随机性与社会制度效率
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-10 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70006
Ryan H. Murphy

This paper draws on the concept of neutral theory from molecular biology to describe how rational choice foundations may be given to cultural practices or social institutions such that the specifics of the practice or institution are inherently arbitrary, that is, stochastic. Neutral theory describes the process by which genes at the molecular level may propagate across a species without conferring any benefit in terms of evolutionary fitness. Likewise, social institutions or cultural practices may propagate across the group without any instrumental use for them. Interpretations of practices and institutions in terms of neutral theory are generally simpler than other economic explanations. On the other hand, definitionally, neutral explanations of cultural practices are less likely because they will not be actively selected for at the group level.

本文借鉴了分子生物学中性理论的概念,描述了理性选择的基础是如何赋予文化实践或社会制度的,这样的实践或制度的细节本质上是任意的,也就是说,随机的。中性理论描述了基因在分子水平上可能在物种间传播而不赋予进化适应性任何好处的过程。同样,社会制度或文化习俗可能在没有任何工具用途的情况下在群体中传播。中性理论对实践和制度的解释通常比其他经济学解释更简单。另一方面,从定义上讲,对文化习俗的中立解释不太可能,因为它们不会在群体层面上被积极选择。
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引用次数: 0
Language Structure and Political Ideology: Evidence From the World Value Survey 语言结构与政治意识形态:来自世界价值调查的证据
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-09 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70004
Yang Zhou, Josh Matti, Nabamita Dutta

This paper studies the relationship between language structure and political ideology. Using several language structure data sets and the World Value Survey data, we test the relationship between linguistic characteristics and political ideologies on democracy for over 150,000 people in countries across the world during the past approximately two decades. We explore the impact of pronoun drop, politeness distinction, and irrealis mood on people's political ideology. In addition to considering the links between these language structures and support for democracy, we also examine how language structures influence what aspects of democracy people care about. Additionally, we also test for heterogeneity by income level and degree of democracy across countries. In considering culture, we conduct mediation analysis with the traits of individualism, power distance, and uncertainty avoidance. Overall, these further tests, along with the robustness tests, support the main results by highlighting the connections between language structures and political ideology.

本文研究了语言结构与政治意识形态的关系。使用几个语言结构数据集和世界价值调查数据,我们测试了过去大约二十年来世界各国超过15万人的语言特征与民主政治意识形态之间的关系。我们探讨了代词省略、礼貌区分和不现实情绪对人们政治意识形态的影响。除了考虑这些语言结构和对民主的支持之间的联系外,我们还研究了语言结构如何影响人们关心民主的哪些方面。此外,我们还测试了各国收入水平和民主程度的异质性。在考虑文化因素的情况下,我们对个人主义、权力距离和不确定性规避特征进行了中介分析。总的来说,这些进一步的测试以及稳健性测试通过强调语言结构和政治意识形态之间的联系来支持主要结果。
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引用次数: 0
Trust and Income Among Immigrants in Europe 欧洲移民的信任与收入
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-02 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70003
Niclas Berggren, Erik Enger Karlson, Elis Hodzic

Social trust, a key cultural trait influencing economic behavior, plays a critical yet understudied role in immigrant integration. This paper examines how trust, both as an individual disposition and as a culturally inherited norm, relates to the economic integration of immigrants in Europe, measured by household income. Using European Social Survey data from 2002 to 2022, we analyze first- and second-generation immigrants, incorporating both individual trust levels and average trust in countries of origin through an epidemiological approach. We find that trust is positively associated with income for both groups, but its source matters: for first-generation immigrants, country-of-origin trust is a stronger predictor, while for the second generation, individual trust dominates. Origin-based trust appears to facilitate labor market navigation for first-generation immigrants, though its influence diminishes over time. In contrast, second-generation immigrants benefit more from institutional familiarity and culturally embedded trust. Given the stability of social trust and its limited responsiveness to policy, the results point to a need for targeted integration strategies for immigrants from low-trust backgrounds.

社会信任是影响经济行为的重要文化特质,在移民融合中发挥着重要的作用,但研究尚不充分。本文考察了信任作为一种个人倾向和一种文化继承规范如何与欧洲移民的经济一体化(以家庭收入衡量)相关。利用2002年至2022年的欧洲社会调查数据,我们分析了第一代和第二代移民,通过流行病学方法结合个人信任水平和对原籍国的平均信任。我们发现,对两组人来说,信任都与收入呈正相关,但其来源很重要:对第一代移民来说,原籍国信任是一个更强的预测因素,而对第二代移民来说,个人信任占主导地位。基于原籍的信任似乎有助于第一代移民在劳动力市场上导航,尽管它的影响随着时间的推移而减弱。相比之下,第二代移民更多地受益于对制度的熟悉和文化上根深蒂固的信任。鉴于社会信任的稳定性及其对政策的有限反应,研究结果表明,需要为来自低信任背景的移民制定有针对性的融合战略。
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引用次数: 0
Sovereign Debt in a Warming World: Are Credit Ratings Responding to Climate Risks? 全球变暖中的主权债务:信用评级是否会对气候风险做出反应?
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70002
Thomas Barnebeck Andersen

Investors and policymakers increasingly worry that climate change threatens sovereign debt. While recent studies find a negative effect, they typically estimate models assuming a time-invariant impact and rely on climate variables endogenous to economic and policy conditions. This paper addresses both concerns by employing a long-horizon, nonactionable, external measure of climate risk from the Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative, interacted with year-fixed effects to capture any time-varying impacts. Analyzing sovereign issuer default ratings from major agencies, I find no evidence that climate risk systematically affects ratings or that its influence has evolved over time. I confirm these results using climate disaster data from the Emergency Events Database. These findings likely reflect credit rating agencies' short- to medium-term focus on economic fundamentals rather than on long-term climate risks.

投资者和政策制定者越来越担心气候变化会威胁到主权债务。虽然最近的研究发现了负面影响,但它们通常估计的模型假设具有时不变的影响,并依赖于经济和政策条件内生的气候变量。本文通过采用巴黎圣母院全球适应倡议(Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative)提供的一种长期的、不可操作的、外部的气候风险测量方法来解决这两个问题,并与固定年效应相互作用,以捕捉任何随时间变化的影响。通过分析主要机构的主权发行人违约评级,我发现没有证据表明气候风险会系统性地影响评级,或者其影响会随着时间的推移而演变。我利用紧急事件数据库中的气候灾害数据证实了这些结果。这些发现可能反映了信用评级机构对经济基本面的中短期关注,而不是对长期气候风险的关注。
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引用次数: 0
“You Can't Always Get What You Want”: Middle-Class Expectations and Incomplete Social Contracts in the Global South “你不可能总是得到你想要的”:全球南方中产阶级的期望和不完整的社会契约
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-21 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70000
Eric Rougier, Matthieu Clément, François Combarnous, Dominique Darbon

Over the past decade, much of the global middle class has become more vulnerable and disillusioned. Drawing on original qualitative surveys in Brazil, Côte d'Ivoire, Turkey, and Vietnam, this paper reveals a persistent disconnect between middle-class expectations and government policy in the core domains of the social contract: public services, social protection, and participation. On the demand side, middle-class respondents report frustration with poor service provision—particularly in education, health, and security—and with tax systems, they perceive as burdensome yet unreciprocated. On the supply side, policymakers emphasize market access and credit expansion while retreating from broad-based public support, a pattern we term “laissez-faire paternalism.” Despite their dissatisfaction, middle-class citizens often remain politically disengaged due to fragmentation and institutional barriers, producing a form of “truncated citizenship” in which they enjoy consumption rights but lack political influence. These findings challenge the assumption that middle-class growth naturally drives reform. Instead, we find a fragmented and politically instrumentalized group with limited capacity to press for change. By contrasting demand- and supply-side perceptions, the paper uncovers institutional blind spots and warns of rising frustration and instability if governance does not become more inclusive and responsive.

在过去十年中,全球大部分中产阶级变得更加脆弱,幻想破灭。根据在巴西、Côte科特迪瓦、土耳其和越南进行的原始定性调查,本文揭示了在公共服务、社会保护和参与等社会契约核心领域,中产阶级期望与政府政策之间的持续脱节。在需求方,中产阶级受访者对糟糕的服务供应——尤其是教育、健康和安全——以及税收制度感到失望,他们认为税收制度负担沉重,但却得不到回报。在供给侧,政策制定者强调市场准入和信贷扩张,而放弃广泛的公众支持,我们将这种模式称为“自由放任的家长式作风”。尽管中产阶级不满,但由于分裂和制度障碍,他们往往在政治上脱离,产生了一种“截断公民”的形式,他们享有消费权利,但缺乏政治影响力。这些发现挑战了中产阶级增长自然推动改革的假设。相反,我们看到的是一个支离破碎、被政治工具化的团体,他们推动变革的能力有限。通过对比需求侧和供给侧的看法,本文揭示了制度盲点,并警告说,如果治理不能变得更具包容性和响应性,挫锐感和不稳定性将不断上升。
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引用次数: 0
Food as a Necessity Good and Food Subsidies 食品作为必需品和食品补贴
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-18 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70001
Zhiyong An

In this article, we extend a benchmark model to allow for a non-welfarist social welfare function (SWF) that treats food as a necessity good rather than a regular good, while preserving the assumption that individuals are rational. We show that the widespread use of food subsidies by governments worldwide for redistributive purposes can be justified by recognizing food as a necessity good in almost all societies. Specifically, (1) If food is treated as a regular good, food consumption should be neither taxed nor subsidized; (2) If food is treated as a necessity good, food consumption should be subsidized; and (3) The higher the “basic need” for food, the more heavily food consumption should be subsidized. We argue that our model provides a general theoretical framework that can also justify subsidies for other necessity goods, including essential utilities such as electricity and gas. Additionally, our model suggests that adopting a non-welfarist SWF would result in the breakdown of the Atkinson–Stiglitz theorem.

在本文中,我们扩展了一个基准模型,以允许非福利主义社会福利函数(SWF),该函数将食物视为必需品而不是常规商品,同时保留了个人是理性的假设。我们表明,世界各国政府为了再分配的目的而广泛使用粮食补贴,可以通过承认食物在几乎所有社会中都是一种必需品来证明是合理的。具体来说,(1)如果将食品视为普通商品,则不应对食品消费征税或补贴;(二)将食品作为生活必需品的,应当给予食品消费补贴;(3)对食物的“基本需求”越高,对食物消费的补贴就越高。我们认为,我们的模型提供了一个一般的理论框架,也可以证明对其他必需品的补贴是合理的,包括电力和天然气等基本公用事业。此外,我们的模型表明,采用非福利主义的主权财富基金将导致阿特金森-斯蒂格利茨定理的失效。
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引用次数: 0
Does Climate Risk Affect Management Sentiment? 气候风险会影响管理层情绪吗?
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-18 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12478
Minfeng Yu, Bingjing Xie, Zeyuan Huang, Mengna Fan

We use extreme weather events as quasi-natural experiments to examine their impact on management sentiment. Based on a sample of China's A-share listed companies from 2013 to 2020, we find that managers issue more pessimistic forecasts following climate disasters. Moreover, the impact of climate risk on management forecast pessimism is more pronounced in firms with lower financial flexibility, less-experienced CEOs, and CEOs with less specialist experience. In addition, economic losses and heightened future uncertainty are the primary drivers of management pessimism after extreme weather events. Further analysis reveals that managers issue more ambiguous earnings forecasts and adopt a more negative tone in the wake of climate disasters.

我们使用极端天气事件作为准自然实验来检验它们对管理层情绪的影响。以2013 - 2020年中国a股上市公司为样本,研究发现,气候灾害发生后,管理者的预测更为悲观。此外,气候风险对管理层预测悲观情绪的影响在财务灵活性较低、ceo经验较少和ceo专业经验较少的公司中更为明显。此外,经济损失和未来不确定性加剧是极端天气事件后管理层悲观情绪的主要驱动因素。进一步分析表明,在气候灾害之后,管理者发布的盈利预测更加模糊,并采取了更加消极的基调。
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引用次数: 0
Competition Within the Church: Market Entry and the Rise of Traditional Catholicism in the United States 教会内部的竞争:市场进入与美国传统天主教的兴起
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-11 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12476
Ennio E. Piano, Benjamin W. Bauer, Clara E. Piano

The Catholic Church enacted broad reforms after the Second Vatican Council (1962–1965), notably to the liturgies that Catholics must attend every Sunday. However, there has been a revival of pre-Vatican II practices recently, such as the Traditional Latin Mass (TLM). We explore the role played in this resurgence by the entry of a traditionalist Catholic competitor (the Society of Saint Pius X) in the market for religious services. Using data from the continental United States, we show that the presence of SSPX chapels significantly increases the availability of TLMs, particularly on Sundays when attendance at a Mass is required. We also find evidence that the effect is strongest at a local level and that it has intensified over time, possibly due to Pope Benedict XVI's liberalization of TLM celebrations in 2007.

在第二次梵蒂冈会议(1962-1965)之后,天主教会进行了广泛的改革,特别是对天主教徒每个星期天必须参加的礼拜仪式。然而,梵蒂冈二世之前的习俗最近又开始复兴,比如传统的拉丁弥撒(TLM)。我们探讨了传统主义天主教竞争者(圣庇护十世会)在宗教服务市场上的复兴所起的作用。使用来自美国大陆的数据,我们表明SSPX教堂的存在显着增加了tlm的可用性,特别是在需要参加弥撒的周日。我们还发现有证据表明,这种影响在地方层面上是最强的,并且随着时间的推移而加剧,这可能是由于教皇本笃十六世在2007年放开了TLM庆祝活动。
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引用次数: 0
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