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Linking multisectoral economic models and consumption surveys for the European Union 将欧洲联盟的多部门经济模型和消费调查联系起来
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-24 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1856044
I. Cazcarro, Antonio F. Amores, I. Arto, K. Kratena
Multisectoral models usually have a single representative household. However, more diversity of household types is needed to analyse the effects of multiple phenomena (i.e. ageing, gender inequality, distributional income impact, etc.). Household consumption surveys’ microdata is a rich data source for these types of analysis. However, feeding multisectoral models with this type of information is not simple and recent studies show how even slightly inaccurate procedures might result in significantly biased results. This paper presents the full procedure for feeding household consumption microdata into macroeconomic models and for the first time provides in a systematic way an estimation of the bridge matrices needed to link European Union Household Budget Surveys’ microdata with the most popular multi-regional input–output frameworks (e.g. Eurostat, WIOD, EORA, OECD).
多部门模式通常只有一个具有代表性的家庭。但是,需要更多样化的家庭类型来分析多种现象(即老龄化、性别不平等、收入分配影响等)的影响。家庭消费调查的微观数据为这类分析提供了丰富的数据源。然而,向多部门模型提供这类信息并不简单,最近的研究表明,即使是稍微不准确的程序也可能导致严重偏差的结果。本文介绍了将家庭消费微观数据输入宏观经济模型的完整程序,并首次系统地估计了将欧盟家庭预算调查的微观数据与最流行的多区域投入产出框架(例如欧盟统计局、世界经合组织、欧洲经委会、经合发组织)联系起来所需的桥梁矩阵。
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引用次数: 11
The role of allocation of retail trade margins across household segments on their carbon footprint calculation 零售贸易利润分配在家庭部门碳足迹计算中的作用
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-22 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1855418
Radomír Mach, Milan Ščasný, Jan Weinzettel
The homogeneity assumption, inherent to input–output (IO) analysis, implies that every euro spent within one product group is assigned the same environmental burden. We address this assumption applied to price conversion of household expenditures from purchasers’ to basic prices when the carbon footprint of consumption is calculated for specific household segments by linking the IO table and micro-level household consumption data. We perform a sensitivity analysis of the different allocations of the retail trade margin of two consumption groups (Food and Goods) across household expenditure deciles. While a differently allocated retail trade margin influences the carbon footprint of household segments, it does not challenge the general finding that households with higher expenditures are responsible for higher footprints. This finding holds also for different emission intensities of retail trade margins.
投入产出(IO)分析固有的同质性假设意味着,在一个产品组内花费的每一欧元都被分配了相同的环境负担。我们通过将IO表与微观层面的家庭消费数据联系起来,将这一假设应用于家庭支出从购买者价格到基本价格的价格转换。我们对两个消费群体(食品和商品)在家庭支出十分位数中的零售贸易利润率的不同分配进行了敏感性分析。虽然不同分配的零售贸易利润会影响家庭部门的碳足迹,但它并不挑战支出较高的家庭负责较高足迹的一般发现。这一发现也适用于不同排放强度的零售贸易利润率。
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引用次数: 1
Tax reforms in Spain: efficiency levels and distributional patterns 西班牙的税收改革:效率水平和分配模式
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-22 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1848806
Ana-Isabel Guerra, L. Varela-Candamio, J. López-Rodríguez
This paper approximates the efficiency levels of the most relevant tax categories and their distributional patterns for a European country considering Spain as an illustrative example. This is done computing the ‘marginal’ excess burden of these taxes, taking into account the structure of the Spanish tax system before and after the major tax reforms undertaken since 2010. In doing so we use a static applied general equilibrium model, which features heterogeneous households classified according to their taxable income. In addition, and in identical terms, another alternative tax reform is evaluated: a flat value-added tax system and a reduction in employers’ social security contributions. Our results indicate that the alternative tax reform would have slightly improved the degree of efficiency of these taxes while implying a lower negative impact on aggregate income. Regarding distributive effects, we do not find significant differences between the actual and the alternative tax policies.
本文以西班牙为例,对一个欧洲国家最相关的税收类别及其分配模式的效率水平进行了近似分析。这是在计算这些税收的“边际”超额负担时完成的,同时考虑到2010年以来进行的重大税收改革前后西班牙税收体系的结构。在此过程中,我们使用静态应用一般均衡模型,其特征是根据应税收入分类的异质家庭。此外,以同样的方式,本文还评估了另一种替代性税收改革:统一的增值税制度和减少雇主的社会保障缴款。我们的研究结果表明,替代税制改革将略微提高这些税收的效率程度,同时暗示对总收入的负面影响较低。在分配效应方面,我们没有发现实际税收政策和替代税收政策之间存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Hypothetical extraction, betweenness centrality, and supply chain complexity 假设提取、介数中心性和供应链复杂性
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-18 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1848807
Shohei Tokito, S. Kagawa, T. Hanaka
ABSTRACT Two frameworks, hypothetical extraction and betweenness centrality analysis, can be used to identify environmentally important sectors in complex supply chains. This study derives an analytic expression for the relationship between hypothetical extraction and betweenness centrality analysis. Second, using the Eora and WIOD, this study analyzes the degree of difference in ‘important’ sectors identified by hypothetical extraction and betweenness centrality analysis. While the results obtained by rank correlation yield similarities, both methods have advantages. This study demonstrates that estimating betweenness centrality is meaningful and less computationally expensive, and can help us to understand the structural positions in the global supply chain network. The hypothetical extraction indicators can be easily computed using the betweenness centrality indicators’ mathematical relationship. We conclude that the implementation of effective CO2-reduction polices through greener global supply chain engagement center around two key sectors, chemical and metal products from China, and their higher betweenness centrality should be strengthened.
摘要假设提取和介数中心性分析这两个框架可用于识别复杂供应链中对环境重要的部门。本研究推导了假设提取和介数中心性分析之间关系的分析表达式。其次,使用Eora和WIOD,本研究分析了通过假设提取和介数中心性分析确定的“重要”部门的差异程度。虽然通过秩相关获得的结果相似,但这两种方法都有优势。这项研究表明,估计介数中心性是有意义的,计算成本较低,可以帮助我们了解全球供应链网络中的结构位置。使用介数中心性指标的数学关系可以很容易地计算假设的提取指标。我们得出的结论是,通过更绿色的全球供应链参与,围绕中国的化工和金属产品这两个关键行业实施有效的二氧化碳减排政策,应该加强它们更高的介数中心性。
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引用次数: 10
Economic and environmental impacts of decarbonisation through a hybrid MRIO multiplier-accelerator model 通过混合MRIO乘数加速器模型实现脱碳的经济和环境影响
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-11-27 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1848808
Óscar Dejuán, Ferran Portella-Carbó, Mateo Ortiz
ABSTRACT This paper analyses the impacts of decarbonisation in three energy-intensive sectors/institutions (electricity generation, road transport, and household consumption) on four economic and environmental variables (value added, employment, energy consumption, and emissions). In our basic scenario, the EU is supposed to complete the decarbonisation of the selected sectors in 30 years, whereas in the rest of the world these sectors will be 30% decarbonised. We hypothesise that emissions and employment will fall once renewable sources of energy replace fossil fuels. Yet, in the meanwhile, massive investments are needed to build the required infrastructure. To compute the full impact, we apply a multiplier-accelerator model to a global multiregional hybrid input–output table derived from EXIOBASE3. In the EU, such a decarbonisation reduces yearly energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and employment by 22%, 19%, and 4%, respectively. Thus, additional measures are necessary to avoid global warming and absorb unemployment.
摘要本文分析了三个能源密集型部门/机构(发电、道路运输和家庭消费)的脱碳对四个经济和环境变量(增加值、就业、能源消耗和排放)的影响。在我们的基本设想中,欧盟应该在30年内完成选定部门的脱碳,而在世界其他地区,这些部门将实现30%的脱碳。我们假设,一旦可再生能源取代化石燃料,排放量和就业率就会下降。然而,与此同时,需要大量投资来建设所需的基础设施。为了计算全部影响,我们将乘数加速器模型应用于从EXIOBASE3导出的全局多区域混合输入-输出表。在欧盟,这种脱碳每年分别减少22%、19%和4%的能源消耗、二氧化碳排放和就业。因此,有必要采取额外措施来避免全球变暖和吸收失业。
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引用次数: 6
Survey-based versus algorithm-based multi-regional input–output tables within the CGE framework – the case of Austria CGE框架内基于调查与基于算法的多区域投入产出表——以奥地利为例
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-29 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1839385
Bartlomiej Rokicki, O. Fritz, J. Horridge, G. Hewings
Spatial CGE models rely on detailed multiregional input–output (MRIO) tables. This paper compares two different approaches to compiling MRIO tables for Austria – an algorithm-based approach that regionalizes national input–output tables (IOT) and generates trade estimates using a predefined set of regional variables (i.e. Horridge’s algorithm), and a hybrid approach that uses as much regional and interregional data as possible. We investigate whether we observe differences in CGE simulation results that use them. Results from an aggregate simulation are surprisingly similar. So the algorithmic approach is, in fact, effective in making an MRIO from a national IOT. But noticeable differences appear at the sectoral level. They seem mainly due to differences in calibration rather than in regionalization.
空间CGE模型依赖于详细的多区域输入-输出(MRIO)表。本文比较了奥地利编制MRIO表的两种不同方法——一种是基于算法的方法,将国家投入产出表(IOT)区域化,并使用预定义的一组区域变量(即Horridge算法)生成贸易估计,另一种是混合方法,尽可能多地使用区域和区域间数据。我们调查是否在使用它们的CGE模拟结果中观察到差异。聚合模拟的结果惊人地相似。因此,算法方法实际上在从国家物联网中生成MRIO方面是有效的。但在部门层面出现了明显的差异。它们似乎主要是由于校准方面的差异,而不是区域化方面的差异。
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引用次数: 4
Estimating induced effects in IO impact analysis: variation in the methods for calculating the Type II Leontief multipliers 估计IO影响分析中的诱导效应:计算II型莱昂惕夫乘数方法的变化
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-29 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1837741
Tobias Emonts-Holley, A. Ross, K. Swales
Type II input–output (IO) multipliers are frequently used for impact analysis. Unfortunately, there is no standard way to calculate these. The fundamental issue is that these multiplier methods endogenise household consumption but all have drawbacks because the IO accounts are missing key information required to consistently link household income and consumption to domestic economic activity. Using compatible regional and national data sets, we evaluate the values for various IO Type II multipliers to a benchmark value calculated with the aid of social accounting matrix data. The results suggest that the variation in Type II IO multiplier values generated by these alternative methods is an empirically non-trivial issue.
II型输入输出乘数经常用于影响分析。不幸的是,没有标准的方法来计算这些。根本问题是,这些乘数方法使家庭消费内部化,但都有缺点,因为国际收支账户缺少将家庭收入和消费与国内经济活动始终联系起来所需的关键信息。使用兼容的区域和国家数据集,我们将各种IO II型乘数的值评估为借助社会会计矩阵数据计算的基准值。结果表明,由这些替代方法产生的II型IO乘数值的变化是一个经验上不平凡的问题。
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引用次数: 8
Constructing a SAMEA to analyze energy and environmental policies in Chile 构建SAMEA以分析智利的能源和环境政策
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-29 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1839386
C. Mardones, Claudio Brevis
In this study, a social accounting matrix with environmental accounts (SAMEA) for Chile is built based on the 2016 input-output tables, socioeconomic household survey, expenditure survey, among other information sources. The SAMEA has high disaggregation of the electricity sector that is not currently available in national accounts. Complementary information on the operating costs of different electricity subsectors (thermoelectric, solar, wind, hydro, and biomass) from national and international studies are obtained. Then, intersectoral indicators, accounting multipliers, and simulations of shocks (subsidy on the non-conventional renewable energy subsectors and environmental taxes) are calculated. The main findings of the study show that each electricity subsector has different production technology and emission intensity. In consequence, energy and environmental policies simulated with intersectoral models that do not disaggregate the electricity sector would produce significant biases in the results.
在本研究中,基于2016年投入产出表、社会经济家庭调查、支出调查等信息来源,建立了智利的社会核算与环境核算矩阵(SAMEA)。SAMEA对电力部门的分类很高,而目前国民账户中没有。从国家和国际研究中获得了关于不同电力子部门(热电、太阳能、风能、水力和生物质)运营成本的补充信息。然后,计算部门间指标、会计乘数和冲击模拟(非传统可再生能源部门补贴和环境税)。研究的主要发现表明,每个电力部门都有不同的生产技术和排放强度。因此,用部门间模型模拟的能源和环境政策,如果没有对电力部门进行分解,结果会产生重大偏差。
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引用次数: 6
Retraction: Tracing Knowledge Flows in Innovation Systems—an Informetric Perspective on Future Research Science-based Innovation 摘自:追踪创新系统中的知识流动——未来科学创新研究的信息计量学视角
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1804704
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引用次数: 0
Reassembling social defragmented responsibilities: the indecent labour footprint of US multinationals overseas 重组社会非碎片化责任:美国跨国公司在海外的不体面劳动力足迹
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-09-29 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1827224
Á. García-Alaminos, Mateo Ortiz, Guadalupe Arce, J. Zafrilla
Multinational corporations (MNEs) have been at the forefront of the geographical disintegration of production chains in search of lower salaries, among other reasons, which led to a global race to the bottom in labour standards. Therefore, significant amounts of indecent work are currently embodied in MNEs’ global value chains, compromising not only the brands’ corporative image but also the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals. In this work, we shed light on this matter by estimating the indecent-work-conditions related impacts linked to the foreign activities of MNEs from the United States. Using a socially extended MRIO model that integrates three social indicators (forced labour, fatal and nonfatal occupational injuries), we found that these activities show increasing trends between 2009 and 2013 on indecent labour, contributing with 1.1%–1.3% of the global cases. United States affiliates located in India, China and Brazil, show the highest ratios per unit of value-added.
跨国公司(MNEs)一直处于生产链地理解体的最前沿,以寻求更低的工资,以及其他原因,这导致了全球范围内的最低劳动标准竞争。因此,大量的不雅工作目前体现在跨国公司的全球价值链中,这不仅损害了品牌的企业形象,也影响了可持续发展目标的实现。在这项工作中,我们通过估计与来自美国的跨国公司的外国活动有关的不雅工作条件的影响来阐明这一问题。使用整合了三个社会指标(强迫劳动、致命和非致命职业伤害)的社会扩展MRIO模型,我们发现,这些活动在2009年至2013年期间显示出不体面劳动的增加趋势,占全球案例的1.1%-1.3%。位于印度、中国和巴西的美国子公司的单位增加值比率最高。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Economic Systems Research
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