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Responding to nonemergency calls for service via video: A randomized controlled trial 通过视频响应非紧急服务呼叫:随机对照试验
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-11-19 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12690
Stewart Gates, Barak Ariel, Noy Assaraf
Research summaryWe tested the effectiveness of virtual response in policing as an alternative to the traditional physical presence of officers to nonemergency calls for service. We randomly assigned 1059 eligible calls to either virtual or in‐person responses. We estimated the results in terms of waiting time, criminal justice outcomes, cost efficiency, and victim satisfaction based on a representative sample of telephone interviews. We found significant improvements across all measures when using a virtual response, including reduced victim waiting times, greater odds of arrest and charges, and enhanced perceptions of procedural justice, satisfaction, trust, and confidence in the police service. We found no adverse effects on victims due to the lack of physical presence.Research implicationsThese findings suggest that, as with e‐health services, law enforcement can benefit from a cost–beneficial virtual response to nonemergency calls for service. We encourage its consideration as a mass deployment option in policing, as well as a basis for future experimental replications.
研究摘要我们测试了虚拟警务响应作为传统的警员亲临现场接听非紧急服务电话的替代方式的有效性。我们将 1059 个符合条件的报警电话随机分配给虚拟响应或亲临现场响应。我们根据具有代表性的电话访谈样本,从等待时间、刑事司法结果、成本效率和受害者满意度等方面对结果进行了估算。我们发现,在使用虚拟回应时,所有衡量指标都有明显改善,包括缩短了受害者的等待时间,提高了逮捕和指控的几率,增强了对程序正义的感知、满意度、信任度以及对警方服务的信心。这些研究结果表明,与电子医疗服务一样,执法部门可以从对非紧急服务呼叫的成本效益型虚拟响应中获益。我们鼓励将其作为警务工作中的一种大规模部署方案,并作为未来实验复制的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Short-term evaluation of Cure Violence St. Louis: Challenges, triumphs, and lessons learned 对圣路易斯市 "治愈暴力 "项目进行短期评估:挑战、胜利和经验教训
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12687
Theodore S. Lentz, Matt Vogel, Brenda Mathias, Alessandra Early, Kimberly Rey, Tobeya Ibitayo, Matifadza Hlatshwayo Davis

Research Summary

Firearm violence continues to be a leading cause of death in the United States. As alternatives to law enforcement intervention, community-based violence prevention programs, such as Cure Violence, have become increasingly popular across U.S. cities. This article documents the results of a multiyear, mixed-methods, quasi-experimental study of the implementation and impact of Cure Violence in St. Louis, Missouri, from 2020 to 2023. We analyzed data from semistructured interviews, a two-wave community survey, and police records of neighborhood violence, finding limited evidence of program effectiveness. Although some interview participants stated that the program had a positive impact, we observed no change in community norms/perceptions of violence, and our analysis of police data suggests that program implementation was associated with declining violence in only one of the three intervention sites.

Policy Implications

This article highlights challenges of implementing and evaluating community-based violence prevention. More work is needed to unpack the mechanisms responsible for turning program activities into measurable impacts in both the short and long term. Implications for planning and evaluating community-based violence prevention programs are discussed.

研究摘要枪支暴力仍然是美国人死亡的主要原因。作为执法干预的替代方案,以社区为基础的暴力预防计划(如 "治愈暴力")在美国各城市越来越受欢迎。本文记录了一项多年期、混合方法、准实验性研究的结果,研究内容是 2020 年至 2023 年在密苏里州圣路易斯市实施的 "治愈暴力 "项目及其影响。我们分析了来自半结构式访谈、两波社区调查和警方记录的邻里暴力事件的数据,发现项目成效的证据有限。虽然一些访谈参与者表示该计划产生了积极影响,但我们观察到社区规范/对暴力的看法没有发生变化,而且我们对警方数据的分析表明,在三个干预地点中,只有一个地点的计划实施与暴力事件的减少有关。我们还需要做更多的工作来了解将项目活动转化为短期和长期可衡量影响的机制。文章还讨论了规划和评估社区暴力预防项目的意义。
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引用次数: 0
Situational crime prevention as a harm mitigation policy for active shooter incidents 将情境犯罪预防作为主动枪击事件的伤害缓解政策
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12686
Emily A. Greene-Colozzi, Joshua D. Freilich

Research summary

Situational crime prevention (SCP) is an environmental crime control perspective with enormous practical and policy relevance due to its practitioner-friendly theoretical approach. This study examines whether SCP interventions reduce incident casualty outcomes in active shooter incidents. We used an inductive, open-source data set of 555 active shooter and mass public shooting sites to study the applicability of SCP to active shooter and mass public violence. Our findings suggest a harm mitigation role for SCP: active shooter sites with stronger holistic SCP had fewer casualties. We assessed perpetrator motivation to test displacement, a core critique of SCP, and found that the harm mitigation potential of SCP persists even in the presence of a highly motivated offender.

Policy summary

SCP could be a practical and effective method to decrease casualties in the event of an active shooting, which is a highly motivated crime type that is difficult to predict and prevent. Public locations may select a range of appropriate SCP techniques based on individual resources and needs. The totality and interactions of these techniques may contribute to public safety in general, with diffuse benefits. This policy solution is highly oriented toward practice and real-life application, and may be used to supplement existing preventative measures like threat assessment and gun legislation.

研究摘要情境犯罪预防(SCP)是一种环境犯罪控制观点,由于其理论方法便于实践,因此具有巨大的现实意义和政策意义。本研究探讨了 SCP 干预措施是否能减少主动枪击事件中的伤亡结果。我们使用了 555 个主动枪击事件和大规模公共枪击事件现场的归纳式开源数据集,以研究 SCP 在主动枪击事件和大规模公共暴力事件中的适用性。我们的研究结果表明,SCP 具有减轻伤害的作用:具有较强整体性 SCP 的主动枪击事件现场的伤亡人数较少。我们对犯罪者的动机进行了评估,以测试SCP的核心批评--移位,结果发现,即使犯罪者动机强烈,SCP的危害缓解潜力依然存在。公共场所可根据各自的资源和需求选择一系列适当的 SCP 技术。这些技术的整体性和互动性可能会在总体上促进公共安全,并带来分散的效益。这种政策解决方案非常注重实践和实际应用,可用于补充现有的威胁评估和枪支立法等预防措施。
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引用次数: 0
Focused deterrence, strategic management, and effective gun violence prevention 集中威慑、战略管理和有效预防枪支暴力
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12682
Anthony A. Braga, John M. MacDonald, Stephen Douglas, Brian Wade, Benjamin Struhl

Research Summary

The evaluation literature suggests that focused deterrence strategies are effective in reducing gun violence. However, focused deterrence is notoriously difficult to implement and sustain. The history of focused deterrence implementation failure raises questions about its viability as a gun violence prevention strategy. Stockton, California, implemented focused deterrence three times during the past 25 years. In its most recent version, Stockton officials explicitly designed the strategy to be a permanent feature of the city's violence prevention portfolio. Although program caseloads diminished over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic and the strategy faced leadership and resource challenges, Stockton's efforts prevented the program from being discontinued and, for those gang members who did receive treatment, delivered a robust gun violence prevention strategy. A quasi-experimental evaluation shows that treated gang members were less likely to be shot and reduced their violent offending relative to similar untreated gang members. The focused deterrence impacts also appear to spill over to gang members who were socially connected to treated gang members. Although Stockton experienced an increase in homicides over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic, the increase was not as steep as other comparable California cities.

Policy Implications

Focused deterrence strategies can be effective responses to gun violence problems when implemented properly. A priori planning is essential when jurisdictions prepare to adopt focused deterrence. Strategic management actions, such as maintaining a robust network of partnering agencies, developing accountability structures and sustainability plans, and conducting upfront and ongoing problem analysis, are critical elements that must be in place for focused deterrence to be effective and sustainable.

研究摘要 评估文献表明,重点威慑策略能有效减少枪支暴力。然而,重点威慑却很难实施和维持。重点威慑实施失败的历史让人怀疑其作为枪支暴力预防策略的可行性。过去 25 年中,加利福尼亚州斯托克顿曾三次实施重点威慑。在最近的版本中,斯托克顿的官员明确将该战略设计为该市暴力预防组合的永久性特征。尽管在 COVID-19 大流行的过程中,项目案例数量有所减少,而且该战略面临着领导力和资源方面的挑战,但斯托克顿的努力阻止了项目的终止,并为那些接受治疗的帮派成员提供了强有力的枪支暴力预防战略。一项准实验性评估显示,与未接受治疗的类似帮派成员相比,接受治疗的帮派成员被枪击的可能性更低,暴力犯罪行为也有所减少。集中威慑的影响似乎还波及到了与接受治疗的帮派成员有社会关系的帮派成员。虽然斯托克顿在 COVID-19 大流行期间凶杀案有所增加,但增幅不如加州其他同类城市那么大。当司法管辖区准备采用重点威慑时,事先规划至关重要。战略管理行动,如维持一个强大的合作机构网络、制定问责结构和可持续发展计划以及进行前期和持续的问题分析,是重点威慑有效和可持续发展所必须具备的关键要素。
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引用次数: 0
Diverting 911 calls: Lessons from early adopting urban jurisdictions 转移 911 电话:早期采用城市管辖区的经验教训
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12680
Greg Midgette, Peter Reuter

Research Summary

Two perceptions drive interest in finding ways of diverting more 911 calls from police to civilian first responders: (1) police responses can result in inadvertent harm to citizens and (2) many calls to which police respond require services that police often cannot provide. Thus, using other personnel may improve police–citizen relations and strengthen crime fighting by reducing extraneous police burden. Using a case study design, we conducted formative evaluations of programs that have developed beyond pilots in three large U.S. cities: Albuquerque, Atlanta, and Houston. In each city, we interviewed officials, program operators, and other stakeholders and reviewed program documents and statistics. We detail the events and forces that led to the establishment of each program, the way in which the programs have been institutionalized, and the way they interact with the police department. We then discuss key lessons learned for these jurisdictions.

Policy Implications

Many U.S. cities are considering diverting some emergency calls for service from police to civilian first responders. This analysis provides evidence to aid policy makers, researchers, and other stakeholders in the development and evaluation of community responder programs. In all respects, we find that cities’ unique experiences inform program design. For example, in Albuquerque, a City Hall-driven initiative established a new city agency parallel to the police department. In Atlanta, decarceration activists drove the initiative; the program is a city/county-funded nonprofit, more fragile in its funding. Risk aversion among call takers and dispatchers has led to low call diversion rates across all sites, but training and collaboration have shown promise to resolve this problem. Public safety officials external to the diversion programs commonly expressed concerns about first responder safety and perceptions that police are expected when 911 is called. This risk aversion has led to slower-than-expected expansion of the program within each city.

研究摘要有两种观点促使人们关注如何将更多的 911 报警电话从警方转给民事急救人员:(1) 警方的回应可能会对公民造成意外伤害,(2) 警方回应的许多报警电话所需要的服务往往是警方无法提供的。因此,使用其他人员可能会改善警民关系,并通过减少警察的额外负担来加强打击犯罪。我们采用案例研究的设计方法,对美国三个大城市试点后发展起来的项目进行了形成性评估:阿尔伯克基、亚特兰大和休斯顿。在每个城市,我们都采访了官员、项目运营者和其他利益相关者,并查阅了项目文件和统计数据。我们详细介绍了导致每项计划建立的事件和力量、计划制度化的方式以及与警察局互动的方式。然后,我们讨论了这些辖区的主要经验教训。 政策影响美国许多城市都在考虑将一些紧急求助电话从警方转给民事急救人员。本分析为决策者、研究人员和其他利益相关者提供了制定和评估社区急救人员项目的证据。我们发现,在所有方面,城市的独特经验都为项目设计提供了参考。例如,在阿尔伯克基,由市政厅推动的一项倡议建立了一个与警察局平行的新城市机构。在亚特兰大,非监禁活动家推动了该计划的实施;该计划是由市/县资助的非营利性机构,资金较为脆弱。电话接线员和调度员的风险规避导致所有地点的电话分流率都很低,但培训和合作已显示出解决这一问题的希望。分流计划外部的公共安全官员普遍对第一响应者的安全表示担忧,并认为在拨打 911 时,警察就会出现。这种风险规避心理导致该计划在各城市的推广速度低于预期。
{"title":"Diverting 911 calls: Lessons from early adopting urban jurisdictions","authors":"Greg Midgette,&nbsp;Peter Reuter","doi":"10.1111/1745-9133.12680","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1745-9133.12680","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Research Summary</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Two perceptions drive interest in finding ways of diverting more 911 calls from police to civilian first responders: (1) police responses can result in inadvertent harm to citizens and (2) many calls to which police respond require services that police often cannot provide. Thus, using other personnel may improve police–citizen relations and strengthen crime fighting by reducing extraneous police burden. Using a case study design, we conducted formative evaluations of programs that have developed beyond pilots in three large U.S. cities: Albuquerque, Atlanta, and Houston. In each city, we interviewed officials, program operators, and other stakeholders and reviewed program documents and statistics. We detail the events and forces that led to the establishment of each program, the way in which the programs have been institutionalized, and the way they interact with the police department. We then discuss key lessons learned for these jurisdictions.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Policy Implications</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Many U.S. cities are considering diverting some emergency calls for service from police to civilian first responders. This analysis provides evidence to aid policy makers, researchers, and other stakeholders in the development and evaluation of community responder programs. In all respects, we find that cities’ unique experiences inform program design. For example, in Albuquerque, a City Hall-driven initiative established a new city agency parallel to the police department. In Atlanta, decarceration activists drove the initiative; the program is a city/county-funded nonprofit, more fragile in its funding. Risk aversion among call takers and dispatchers has led to low call diversion rates across all sites, but training and collaboration have shown promise to resolve this problem. Public safety officials external to the diversion programs commonly expressed concerns about first responder safety and perceptions that police are expected when 911 is called. This risk aversion has led to slower-than-expected expansion of the program within each city.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47902,"journal":{"name":"Criminology & Public Policy","volume":"23 3","pages":"777-799"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1745-9133.12680","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141631642","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Police reform in public housing contexts: Body-worn cameras, surveillance, and harm reduction in New York City Housing Authority developments 公共住房背景下的警务改革:纽约市住房管理局开发项目中的随身摄像头、监控和减少伤害
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12679
Anthony A. Braga, John M. MacDonald, James E. McCabe

Research summary

The concern of crime in New York City public housing complexes motivated heightened police patrol of buildings and the enforcement of trespass laws. The 2013 federal court settlement of Davis et al. v. City of New York et al. mandated that the New York City Police Department (NYPD) implement a series of reforms, including the deployment of body-worn cameras (BWCs) on officers, to address unconstitutional use of criminal trespass enforcement and stop and frisk practices in public housing developments. This study employed a stepped wedge quasi-experimental design that involved the sequential crossover of public housing service area clusters from control to BWC implementation until all NYPD housing bureau officers were equipped with BWCs. Panel regression models at the individual officer and service area levels were used to estimate BWC program impacts on outcomes between 2015 and 2019. Logistic regression models were used to estimate the impact of the BWCs on the lawfulness of officer stop reports that were randomly selected for audit between 2017 and 2019. Results show that BWC deployment in public housing reduced excessive enforcement, citizen complaints, and use of force by NYPD housing officers. Findings further suggest that BWCs can help reduce constitutionally problematic stops and frisks of citizens.

Policy implications

Problematic police activities in public housing contexts can be reformed using BWCs. When coupled with routine supervisory review of video footage, the deployment of BWCs on public housing officers can improve compliance with department directives to reduce enforcement actions and increase documentation of citizen stops.

研究摘要 纽约市公共住宅区的犯罪问题引起了人们的关注,这促使警方加强了对建筑物的巡逻,并执行了有关非法入侵的法律。2013 年戴维斯等人诉纽约市政府等人一案在联邦法院达成和解,要求纽约市警察局(NYPD)实施一系列改革措施,包括在警察身上安装随身摄像头(BWC),以解决在公共住宅区违宪使用非法入侵执法和拦截搜身的问题。本研究采用了阶梯式楔形准实验设计,将公共住房服务区分组从对照组到 BWC 实施组依次交叉,直到纽约市警察局住房局的所有警官都配备了 BWC。采用警官个人和服务区层面的面板回归模型来估算 BWC 计划在 2015 年至 2019 年期间对结果的影响。逻辑回归模型用于估算 BWC 对 2017 年至 2019 年期间随机抽取进行审计的警员拦截报告合法性的影响。结果表明,在公共住房中部署 BWC 减少了纽约市警察局住房警官的过度执法、市民投诉和武力使用。研究结果进一步表明,BWC 可以帮助减少在宪法上存在问题的拦截和搜身。在对视频录像进行例行监督审查的同时,在公共住房警员身上部署 BWCs 可以改善对部门指令的遵守情况,从而减少执法行动,并增加对拦截公民行为的记录。
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引用次数: 0
State efforts to enforce firearm dispossession through relinquishment laws 各州通过放弃法律强制执行枪支处置的努力
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12677
Stephen N. Oliphant, April M. Zeoli

Research Summary

Although federal law prohibits firearm possession by individuals who have been convicted of a disqualifying offense and those who are subject to certain domestic violence protective orders (DVPOs), it does not provide a mechanism for enforcing firearm dispossession. Some states have adopted relinquishment laws to enforce firearm possession restrictions among prohibited persons following a disqualifying status or conviction. To date, limited research has assessed the statutory characteristics of firearm relinquishment laws related to DVPOs. We build on this work by assessing DVPO and conviction-based relinquishment statutes, including legislative changes through time, to identify gaps in policy.

Policy Implications

Our analysis revealed that many states still lack statutory elements that are expected to increase the likelihood of firearm dispossession, such as requiring the court to order relinquishment, strict standards for providing proof of firearm transfer or some form of compliance verification, and provisions that authorize law enforcement to recover unrelinquished firearms. The absence of such elements may facilitate unlawful firearm retention by those who become prohibited possessors. States might consider adopting relinquishment provisions that outline clear requirements for actors (i.e., judges, prohibited possessors, law enforcement) at each stage of the process to ensure that firearms are relinquished following a disqualifying conviction or DVPO.

研究摘要虽然联邦法律禁止被判定犯有不合格罪行的个人和受某些家庭暴力保护令(DVPO)约束的个人持有枪支,但并未提供强制执行枪支剥夺的机制。一些州已经通过了放弃枪支的法律,对被禁止持有枪支的人在被取消资格或定罪后实施枪支持有限制。迄今为止,对与 DVPO 相关的枪支放弃法的法定特征进行评估的研究十分有限。我们的分析表明,许多州仍然缺乏有望提高枪支剥夺可能性的法定要素,例如要求法院下令放弃、提供枪支转让证明或某种形式的合规验证的严格标准,以及授权执法部门收回未被放弃枪支的条款。缺乏这些要素可能会助长那些成为违禁持有者的人非法保留枪支。各国可考虑通过放弃条款,在程序的每个阶段对行为者(即法官、被禁持有者、执法部门)提出明确要求,以确保在取消资格的定罪或《家庭暴力和预防家庭暴力法》之后放弃枪支。
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引用次数: 0
Finding the path of least resistance: An examination of officer communication tactics and their impact on suspect compliance 寻找阻力最小的途径:考察警官的沟通策略及其对嫌疑人遵纪守法的影响
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12676
Jacob T. Foster, Laura Zimmerman, William Terrill, Logan J. Somers

Research Summary

This study investigated the impact of patrol officer communication tactics on suspect compliance by using Systematic Social Observation (SSO) to code 438 body-worn camera and dashcam video recordings from two police agencies. Specifically, we examined officer tenor/demeanor, use of noncoercive directives, use of verbal coercion, and accusations, while controlling for a host of suspect and situational factors. Results showed that when officers presented a positive tenor/demeanor or employed noncoercive verbal tactics, suspects were significantly more likely to comply. Conversely, use of coercive verbal tactics and accusatory language did not have a significant impact on suspect compliance. In addition, negative suspect demeanor, suspect impairment, and suspect elevated emotional state negatively affected compliance.

Policy Implications

Recent calls for police reform have focused on producing less coercive outcomes by explicitly recognizing the role that officers have in managing encounters rather than simply reacting to suspect behaviors. An increased focus on officer communication strategies in both police training and practice is likely to promote suspect compliance while reducing the need for officer use of force. Similarly, it is likely that more coercive verbal strategies have little impact on suspect compliance and may lead to negative perceptions of police interactions and law enforcement in general.

本研究通过使用系统社会观察(SSO)对来自两个警察机构的 438 个随身摄像头和仪表盘视频记录进行编码,调查了巡警的沟通策略对嫌疑人服从命令的影响。具体来说,我们考察了警官的语气/举止、非胁迫性指令的使用、口头胁迫的使用以及指控,同时控制了一系列嫌疑人和情景因素。结果表明,当警官表现出积极的态度/举止或使用非胁迫性口头策略时,嫌疑人服从命令的可能性明显增加。相反,使用胁迫性言语策略和指责性语言对嫌疑人的服从性没有显著影响。此外,疑犯的负面举止、疑犯的损伤和疑犯情绪的高涨也会对疑犯的服从性产生负面影响。最近关于警察改革的呼吁主要集中在通过明确认识到警官在管理冲突中的作用,而不是简单地对疑犯的行为做出反应,来减少胁迫性结果。在警察培训和实践中加强对警官沟通策略的关注很可能会促进嫌疑人服从,同时减少警官使用武力的必要性。同样,更具胁迫性的口头策略很可能对疑犯的服从性影响甚微,并可能导致对警察互动和执法的总体负面看法。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of formal de-policing on police traffic stop behavior and crime: Early evidence from LAPD's policy to restrict discretionary traffic stops 正式的非警务化对警方交通拦截行为和犯罪的影响:来自洛杉矶警察局限制酌情拦截交通的政策的早期证据
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12673
Hunter M. Boehme, Scott M. Mourtgos

Research Summary

On March 1, 2022, correspondence from the Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD) headquarters stated that officers can no longer use minor infractions (e.g., equipment violations) as a pretextual reason to further investigate drivers for criminal behavior. If LAPD officers are to execute a discretionary stop, they must activate their body-worn cameras and reasonably articulate to the civilian why they are being investigated. The intent is to reduce racial/ethnic disparities in stops and build trust of the police within the community. Critics of the policy argue that elevated crime rates will result due to the crime suppression effect of such stops. This study examines racial differences in stops before and after the policy change, as well as whether Part 1 violent and property crimes increased. Descriptive findings show that while the counts of stops, arrests, and contraband seizures during stops decreased, the percentage of non-White civilians stopped decreased only minimally following the intervention. Results from using Bayesian synthetic control methods indicate an increase in both violent and property crimes post-intervention compared with the synthetic counterfactual. The increase in violent crimes has a low probability of being different from the counterfactual, whereas the increase in property crimes has a high probability, suggesting that the intervention led to a real change in property crimes compared with what would have been expected under the counterfactual.

Policy Implications

This study provides preliminary evidence that emerging policies intended to restrict discretionary stops may not have the intended effect on racial disparities in police traffic stops. Instead, agencies passing similar policies may expect to see the potential unintended consequence of a spike in jurisdictional property crimes. We argue that such types of stops across a jurisdiction may have a general deterrent effect on more common and calculative crimes such as property crimes. To combat violent crimes, agencies should consider focusing discretionary stops in known hot spots. Further, our findings offer implications for research on the effects of de-policing on crime. Police agencies should monitor potential unintended impacts of these policies if enacted and be prepared to deal with such consequences.

2022 年 3 月 1 日,洛杉矶警察局(LAPD)总部来函称,警察不能再以轻微违规(如违反设备规定)为借口,进一步调查司机的犯罪行为。如果洛杉矶警察局的警官要酌情拦截,他们必须启动随身携带的摄像机,并向平民合理地说明为什么要对他们进行调查。该政策旨在减少拦截中的种族/民族差异,并在社区内建立对警察的信任。该政策的批评者认为,由于这种拦截的犯罪抑制效果,会导致犯罪率上升。本研究考察了政策改变前后拦截的种族差异,以及第一部分暴力犯罪和财产犯罪是否增加。描述性研究结果表明,虽然拦截、逮捕和没收违禁品的次数减少了,但非白人平民被拦截的比例在干预措施实施后只出现了极小程度的下降。使用贝叶斯合成控制方法得出的结果表明,与合成反事实相比,干预后暴力犯罪和财产犯罪都有所增加。暴力犯罪增加与反事实不同的概率较低,而财产犯罪增加的概率较高,这表明与反事实下的预期相比,干预导致了财产犯罪的实际变化。这项研究提供了初步证据,表明旨在限制酌情拦截的新兴政策可能不会对警察拦截交通中的种族差异产生预期效果。相反,通过类似政策的机构可能会看到潜在的意外后果,即辖区内财产犯罪激增。我们认为,在整个辖区内实施此类拦截,可能会对财产犯罪等更常见、更易计算的犯罪产生普遍的威慑作用。为打击暴力犯罪,各机构应考虑将酌情拦截的重点放在已知的热点地区。此外,我们的研究结果还为研究非警务化对犯罪的影响提供了启示。警察机构应监控这些政策颁布后可能产生的意外影响,并做好应对这些后果的准备。
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引用次数: 0
Speaking of reform: Experimental insights into influencing police executives' perspectives on civilian oversight 谈到改革:通过实验了解如何影响警察管理人员对文职监督的看法
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12674
Scott M. Mourtgos, Ian T. Adams, Joshua McCrain, Kaylyn Jackson Schiff, Daniel S. Schiff

Research summary

This study investigates how information about public opinion and peer practices influences police executives' views on civilian review boards. We applied structural topic modeling in an experimental paradigm, a novel approach diverging from traditional experimental survey methods, to the open-ended responses of 1331 police executives collected in an original survey experiment. This technique enables the capture of subtle shifts in belief directly from the executives' own words. The experiment systematically varied the information provided to police executives, including state-level public opinion data from a representative sample of 16,840 U.S. residents, and peer practices in major city police agencies. Our findings reveal that police executives, although generally aligned in their views, demonstrate a readiness to update their beliefs when presented with cohesive local public opinion and information about peer practices in policing.

Policy implications

In a democratic society, the core policy beliefs of police executives critically shape the existence and efficacy of civilian oversight mechanisms. Our findings demonstrate the adaptability of police executives in updating their policy positions, reflecting their commitment to informed decision making in response to the dynamic nature of police governance. We find that police executives are willing to update their beliefs related to the public's ability to oversee policing in an unbiased and qualified manner when presented with information about reforms adopted by peer agencies. In contrast, information about public demand for more aggressive forms of oversight can lead to a backlash, increasing the likelihood of police executives to favor existing oversight mechanisms and to doubt the public's qualification. For executives, reformers, and scholars, these findings highlight the limitations of public opinion and benefits of peer influence as mechanisms for policy learning in policing.

本研究调查了有关公众舆论和同行做法的信息如何影响警察管理人员对文职审查委员会的看法。我们将实验范式中的结构主题建模(一种有别于传统实验调查方法的新方法)应用于在原始调查实验中收集到的 1331 名警察高管的开放式回答。这种技术能够直接从高管的话语中捕捉到信念的微妙变化。实验系统地改变了提供给警察主管的信息,包括来自 16840 个美国居民代表性样本的州一级民意数据,以及主要城市警察机构的同行做法。我们的研究结果表明,尽管警察行政人员的观点总体上是一致的,但当他们看到当地具有凝聚力的公众舆论和有关同行警务实践的信息时,就会表现出更新其信念的意愿。在民主社会中,警察行政人员的核心政策信念对公民监督机制的存在和效力起着至关重要的作用。我们的研究结果表明,警务人员在更新其政策立场时具有很强的适应性,这反映出他们致力于根据警务管理的动态性质做出明智决策。我们发现,当获得有关同行机构所采取的改革措施的信息时,警察行政人员愿意更新他们对公众是否有能力以公正、合格的方式监督警务工作的看法。与此相反,有关公众要求更积极的监督形式的信息则会导致反弹,使警察行政人员更倾向于现有的监督机制,并怀疑公众的监督资格。对于行政人员、改革者和学者来说,这些研究结果凸显了公众舆论的局限性和同行影响作为警务政策学习机制的益处。
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期刊
Criminology & Public Policy
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