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Catch and release: Testing the effect of a citation release policy on crime in Washington, DC 抓了又放:检验华盛顿特区引诱释放政策对犯罪的影响
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12659
Jordan R. Riddell, Bruce A. Jacobs, Andrew T. Krajewski

Research summary

This study investigated the effect of an expanded police station citation release policy enacted in Washington, DC in March 2020 on eight types of crime: homicide, sex abuse, robbery, assault with a dangerous weapon, burglary, motor vehicle theft, theft from motor vehicles, and other theft. Monthly-level multivariate time series analyses employed data from 2013-2022 and accounted for the relationship between crime, arrests, and the jail population. The expanded policy was hypothesized to increase certain property crimes based on the new guidelines, but results indicated the policy modification was associated with changes in citywide crime counts for one type of crime: homicide.

Policy implications

Efforts around the United States to decarcerate the pre-trial jail population should examine potential unintended consequences for public safety. The current study failed to detect a statistically significant increase in seven of the eight types of crime during the expanded use of one jail decarceration approach, police station citation release. In the future, jurisdictions looking to reduce their jail population might consider citation release as a speedy and cost-effective alternative to release-on-recognizance, but they should take care to monitor individual defendants and evaluate their own program.

本研究调查了华盛顿特区于 2020 年 3 月颁布的扩大警察局传票释放政策对以下八类犯罪的影响:凶杀、性虐待、抢劫、使用危险武器袭击、入室盗窃、机动车盗窃、机动车盗窃和其他盗窃。月度多变量时间序列分析采用了 2013-2022 年的数据,并考虑了犯罪、逮捕和监狱人口之间的关系。根据新的指导方针,假设扩大后的政策会增加某些财产犯罪,但结果表明,政策修改与全市范围内一种犯罪类型的犯罪数量变化有关:凶杀。
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引用次数: 0
Neck-restraint bans, law enforcement officer unions, and police killings 束颈禁令、执法人员工会和杀警案
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12658
Brenden Beck, Joseph Antonelli, Angela LaScala-Gruenewald

Research Summary

Following high-profile police killings, many U.S. cities banned officers from using chokeholds and other neck restraints. The evidence for such bans, however, is limited. To test whether use-of-force policies prohibiting neck restraints are related to fewer police killings, we use three modeling approaches to analyze 2183 U.S. cities between 2009 and 2021. Police killings were lower in places that adopted neck-restraint bans and the bans were associated with less crime and fewer assaults on officers, net of controls. Because officer labor unions can affect use-of-force policies and the frequency of police killings, we also analyzed them, finding unionization increased the likelihood a city had a neck-restraint ban and had a null or negative association with police killings.

Policy Implications

Adopting a neck-restraint ban is likely an effective way to reduce deaths due to police use of force with minimal collateral consequences. The bans operate through a diffuse discouragement of many types of lethal force or as a part of an array of use-of-force policies. Their direct relationship to asphyxiation deaths remains unclear. Officer unionization is unlikely to change the frequency of police killings, except through its association with stricter use-of-force policies.

在备受瞩目的警察杀人事件发生后,美国许多城市禁止警察使用扼颈和其他束缚颈部的手段。然而,这种禁令的证据有限。为了检验禁止束缚颈部的武力使用政策是否与减少杀警事件有关,我们使用三种建模方法对 2009 年至 2021 年期间的 2183 个美国城市进行了分析。在禁止使用颈部束缚物的地方,警察被杀人数较少,而且在扣除控制因素后,禁止使用颈部束缚物与犯罪率降低和袭警事件减少有关。由于警官工会可能会影响使用武力政策和杀警案的发生频率,因此我们也对其进行了分析,结果发现工会化会增加一个城市实施颈部束缚禁令的可能性,并且与杀警案之间存在无效或负相关关系。
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引用次数: 0
Building “A Beautiful Safe Place for Youth” through problem-oriented community organizing: A quasi-experimental evaluation 通过以问题为导向的社区组织建设 "美丽的青少年安全场所":准实验评估
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12657
Charlotte Gill, David Weisburd, Denise Nazaire, Heather Prince, Claudia Gross Shader

Research Summary

This paper describes Rainier Beach: A Beautiful Safe Place for Youth (ABSPY), a community-led, place-based, data-driven initiative to improve community safety and reduce crime involving young people at hot spots in Seattle, Washington. The ABSPY model puts crime prevention into the hands of the community, compared to traditional problem-solving approaches that may involve community stakeholders but are led by the police. We evaluated the initiative using a quasi-experimental research design comparing the five hot spots in the Rainier Beach neighborhood, where ABSPY was implemented, to five similarly situated hot spots elsewhere in the city. We used 9 years of police calls for service and offense reports, from 2011 to 2019, to assess ABSPY's effects on crime and a five-wave community survey conducted pre- and 4 years post-implementation to examine community perceptions. Although there were no significant effects on calls for service or crime, ABSPY significantly improved community members’ perceptions of serious crime and the police in the short and medium term.

Policy Implications

Our results show positive changes in community perceptions that offer a foundation for relationship and capacity building in problem-solving efforts. Although ABSPY is not associated with reductions in crime, our results suggest that even communities with entrenched crime problems can leverage this capacity to reduce crime in the longer term. Community coalitions also offer some benefits relative to police-led efforts, such as shared culture and values; stability; and consistency. However, community coalitions must build capacity for action as well as community engagement, and consider if and how the police should be involved, ensuring that the specific expertise of each coalition member is leveraged. Furthermore, our study highlights the importance of identifying measures of crime that are not affected by increased trust and collaboration between the police and the community.

本文介绍了雷尼尔海滩:A Beautiful Safe Place for Youth (ABSPY)是一项以社区为主导、以地方为基础、以数据为驱动的计划,旨在改善华盛顿州西雅图市热点地区的社区安全并减少涉及青少年的犯罪。与传统的问题解决方法相比,ABSPY 模式将犯罪预防工作交到了社区手中,传统的问题解决方法可能有社区利益相关者的参与,但由警方主导。我们采用准实验研究设计对该倡议进行了评估,将实施 ABSPY 的雷尼尔海滩社区的五个热点地区与该市其他地区的五个类似热点地区进行了比较。我们使用了从 2011 年到 2019 年 9 年的报警电话和犯罪报告来评估 ABSPY 对犯罪的影响,并使用了实施前和实施后 4 年的五波社区调查来考察社区的看法。虽然 ABSPY 对出警次数或犯罪率没有明显影响,但在短期和中期内大大改善了社区成员对严重犯罪和警察的看法。
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引用次数: 0
Working upstream: A statewide analysis of individual and contextual risk factors for future juvenile justice involvement among youth receiving prevention services 上游工作:在全州范围内分析接受预防服务的青少年未来卷入少年司法的个人和环境风险因素
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12656
Keller G. Sheppard, Jorge L. Hernandez, Jovontae Butts, Orlando Mendonca, Julie C. Orange

Research Summary

Juvenile justice agencies are increasing their emphasis on early intervention and prevention services as a growing body of research evinces their effectiveness and cost efficiency. The present study analyzed the relationship between individual risk factors, contextual risk factors, and future juvenile justice involvement for 30,328 Florida youth residing in 3309 census tracts served by prevention programs. A series of two-level logistic regressions indicated that several distinct criminological domains (e.g., aggression, relationships, family, substance use, and attitudes/behaviors) predict future juvenile justice system involvement. However, education-related risk factors are among the most consequential for all youth, especially older youth. Concerning community context, neighborhood disadvantage directly affects system involvement, but only for youth under 12.

Policy Implications

These findings indicate the importance of addressing highly consequential risk factors—especially educational deficits—of youth in early intervention and prevention programs while also recognizing the impact of their social environments. Agencies attempting to work upstream with prevention services may benefit from prioritizing educational services and allocating resources to highly disadvantaged communities for early intervention programming.

青少年司法机构越来越重视早期干预和预防服务,因为越来越多的研究证明了这些服务的有效性和成本效益。本研究分析了居住在佛罗里达州3309个人口普查区的30328名青少年的个体风险因素、环境风险因素和未来少年司法参与之间的关系。一系列两级逻辑回归表明,几个不同的犯罪学领域(如攻击、人际关系、家庭、物质使用和态度/行为)预测了未来少年司法系统的参与。然而,与教育有关的风险因素对所有青年,特别是大龄青年影响最大。在社区背景下,邻里劣势直接影响系统参与,但仅限于12岁以下的青少年。
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引用次数: 0
Fair Chance Act failures? Employers’ hiring of people with criminal records 公平机会法案失败?雇主雇佣有犯罪记录的人
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12655
Sharon S. Oselin, Justine G. M. Ross, Qingfang Wang, Wei Kang

Research summary

We examine the efficacy of the California Fair Chance Act (CFCA) policy—legislative stipulations regarding employers’ hiring of individuals with criminal records—on practices and outcomes in two Southern California counties during 2021. We rely on survey and experiment data with 542 hiring decision makers to investigate employer and personal compliance with the CFCA, whether applicant appeals affect employers’ willingness to hire them, and heterogeneity in treatment effects across firms and industries. Close to 80% of hiring decision makers violate the CFCA by obtaining background information before they extend an offer, appeals have a minimal impact on hiring outcomes, and firm-level characteristics continue to shape hiring practices to some extent.

Policy implications

Although certain firms comply with the relatively new CFCA, most employers violate it by seeking applicant criminal background information, a practice that has profound consequences for those with criminal records as well as other disadvantaged groups. This finding underscores the discrepancy between de jure and de facto policy practices. Better statewide enforcement of the CFCA coupled with increased employer educational training could help reform it and improve policy adherence. Given it is a young policy, future research should continue to assess the CFCA's efficacy over time.

我们考察了《加州公平机会法》(CFCA)政策-立法规定关于雇主雇用有犯罪记录的个人的有效性-关于2021年南加州两个县的做法和结果。我们依靠对542名招聘决策者的调查和实验数据来调查雇主和个人对CFCA的遵守情况,申请人的申诉是否会影响雇主雇用他们的意愿,以及不同公司和行业对待他们的效果的异质性。近80%的招聘决策者违反了CFCA,在提供offer之前获取背景信息,上诉对招聘结果的影响微乎其微,公司层面的特征在某种程度上继续影响着招聘行为。
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引用次数: 0
Gunshot detection technology effect on gun violence in Kansas City, Missouri: A microsynthetic control evaluation 枪击探测技术对密苏里州堪萨斯城枪支暴力的影响:微合成控制评估
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12648
Eric L. Piza, David N. Hatten, George O. Mohler, Jeremy G. Carter, Jisoo Cho

Research Summary

We apply the microsynthetic control method to evaluate the gun violence prevention effect of gunshot detection technology (GDT) in Kansas City, MO. We measure the influence of GDT on process measures (ballistic evidence collection and gun recoveries) and outcome measures (shots fired calls for service, non-fatal shootings, fatal shootings, and aggravated assaults and robberies committed with a firearm). The GDT system was associated with higher levels of ballistic evidence collection in the GDT target area and surrounding catchment area, higher levels of gun recoveries in the surrounding catchment area, and lower levels of shots fired calls for service in the GDT target area. The GDT system did not influence any of the gun violence categories involving confirmed victims (non-fatal shootings, fatal shootings, and aggravated assaults and robberies committed with a firearm).

Policy Implications

Agencies that highly prioritize increasing evidence collection and reducing unauthorized firearm discharges may consider dedicating necessary resources to acquire GDT. Agencies that prioritize the reduction of gun violence victimization, however, should consider whether resources are better used for solutions other than GDT. Moving forward, violence prevention scholars should strive to identify contextual factors that facilitate or mitigate the GDT system effect, in an attempt to better understand how to deploy GDT in a manner that maximizes the likelihood of success. This would provide additional guidance to public safety agencies looking to maximize return on investment. Continued adoption of GDT should perhaps be contingent upon the development of such research, given the high cost of the technology.

我们应用微合成控制方法来评估密苏里州堪萨斯城枪击检测技术(GDT)的枪支暴力预防效果。我们测量了GDT对过程措施(弹道证据收集和枪支回收)和结果措施(射击呼叫服务,非致命枪击,致命枪击和严重袭击和持枪抢劫)的影响。GDT系统与GDT目标区域和周边集水区较高水平的弹道证据收集,周边集水区较高水平的枪支回收以及GDT目标区域较低水平的射击服务呼叫相关。GDT系统不影响涉及确认受害者的任何枪支暴力类别(非致命枪击、致命枪击和持枪的严重袭击和抢劫)。
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引用次数: 0
On guard but not sworn: The relationship between school security guards, school resource officers, and student behavior, discipline, and arrests 站岗但不宣誓:学校保安、学校资源官员与学生行为、纪律和逮捕之间的关系
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12653
Keenen Vernon, F. Chris Curran

Research Summary

The increasing presence of armed security personnel in schools has led to concerns about the criminalization of students. While many schools use sworn law enforcement (e.g. school resource officers or SROs), many schools also use security guards who are not sworn law enforcement. Recent policy changes in a number of states and political pressures resulting from acts of mass school violence have led policymakers to face decisions between the use of SROs and security guards. This study informs this policy debate by empirically examining the relationships between security guards and SROs with rates of student behavior, discipline, and arrest using nationally representative data from the Civil Rights Data Collection. Controlling for observable covariates and school district fixed effects, we find that, in contrast to SROs, the use of security guards in schools is not systematically related to student arrest or suspension rates. The findings suggest that non-sworn security guards may provide a form of security personnel that minimizes the criminalization of students relative to SROs.

Policy Implications

As school districts nationwide grapple with how to respond to school shootings and other acts of school violence, policymakers have frequently turned to the use of school security personnel, including SROs and security guards, as a response. Doing so, however, has been contentious given concerns about the overcriminalization of students. This study provides evidence to inform these policy debates by demonstrating the relationships between security guards and SROs and a number of outcomes. The results suggest that the use of security guards as a policy response may minimize arrests and exclusionary discipline relative to the use of SROs.

武装保安人员在学校的增加引起了对学生被定罪的担忧。虽然许多学校使用宣誓执法人员(例如学校资源人员或sro),但许多学校也使用没有宣誓执法的保安人员。最近一些州的政策变化以及大规模校园暴力行为带来的政治压力,导致政策制定者在使用sro和保安人员之间面临抉择。本研究利用民权数据收集的具有全国代表性的数据,实证研究了保安人员和sro与学生行为、纪律和逮捕率之间的关系,从而为这一政策辩论提供了信息。控制可观察的协变量和学区固定效应,我们发现,与sro相比,学校保安人员的使用与学生被捕或停学率没有系统关系。研究结果表明,未经宣誓的保安人员可能会提供一种安全人员形式,使学生相对于sro的犯罪化程度降到最低。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of online ad campaigns on DDoS-attacks: A cross-national difference-in-differences quasi-experiment 网络广告活动对DDoS攻击的影响:跨国差异准实验
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12649
Asier Moneva, Rutger Leukfeldt

Research Summary

European law enforcement agencies have begun to use targeted online ad campaigns to raise cybercrime awareness among at-risk populations. Despite their rapid proliferation, there is little research to support their efficacy and effectiveness. This study uses a quasi-experimental difference-in-differences design to evaluate the effect of seven campaigns deployed in 2021 and 2022 on the volume of (distributed) denial-of-service or (D)DoS-attacks recorded in six European countries: Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, and Portugal. The results show mixed effects, suggesting that the campaigns are not clearly effective in reducing DDoS-attacks in the short term.

Policy Implications

Law enforcement has partly justified the use of targeted online ad campaigns on the premise that they reduce DDoS-attacks. However, this study shows that the evidence in this regard is inconclusive. If public support for the use of such campaigns is to be secured in the long term, law enforcement will likely need to rely on stronger arguments. The effect of this type of campaigns needs to be further investigated.

欧洲执法机构已开始利用有针对性的在线广告活动,提高高危人群的网络犯罪意识。尽管它们迅速扩散,但几乎没有研究支持它们的功效和有效性。本研究使用准实验差异设计来评估2021年和2022年部署的七场战役对六个欧洲国家(丹麦、芬兰、荷兰、挪威、瑞典和葡萄牙)记录的(分布式)拒绝服务或(D)DoS攻击数量的影响。结果显示,效果喜忧参半,表明这些活动在短期内减少DDoS攻击方面并不明显有效。
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引用次数: 0
Hydra: Lessons from the world's largest darknet market 九头蛇:世界最大暗网市场的经验教训
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12647
Priyanka Goonetilleke, Alex Knorre, Artem Kuriksha

Research Summary

We present a comprehensive description of Hydra, the largest darknet marketplace in the world until its shutdown in April 2022. We document the main features of Hydra such as dead-drop delivery, feedback and reputation system, escrow, and dispute resolution. Using data scraped from the platform, we quantitatively examine the scale and the structure of the marketplace. We find that it has been highly competitive, geographically covering at least 69% of the Russian population and trading a wide variety of drugs, while also allowing the wholesale trade of drugs and precursors. The dead-drop delivery system used on Hydra was expensive, as the courier costs comprised a substantial proportion of the sale price of drugs on Hydra. We contribute to the research on drug cryptomarkets by studying an unprecedentedly large non-Western marketplace that existed substantially longer than any other known darknet market.

Policy Implications

The phenomenon of Hydra shows that shut-down policies applied to darknet marketplaces have a large effect and implicitly shape the whole drug market. Without these policies, a pervasive digitalization of the drug trade can occur. The major cost of allowing marketplaces to grow is the probable increase in the consumption of illegal drugs due to convenience for consumers and facilitated cooperation between suppliers. This cost must be weighed against the potential benefits, including a higher quality of drugs, a decrease in potential violence, and the incentives for a large marketplace to self-regulate. The case of Hydra also suggests the relevance of financial regulation to limit the growth of darknet marketplaces.

我们对Hydra进行了全面的描述,Hydra是世界上最大的暗网市场,直到2022年4月关闭。我们记录了九头蛇的主要功能,如死滴交付、反馈和信誉系统、托管和争议解决。使用从平台上收集的数据,我们定量地检查了市场的规模和结构。我们发现,它具有高度竞争力,在地理上覆盖了至少69%的俄罗斯人口,交易各种各样的毒品,同时也允许毒品和前体的批发贸易。Hydra上使用的死滴递送系统非常昂贵,因为快递费用占Hydra上药品销售价格的很大一部分。我们通过研究一个前所未有的大型非西方市场,为药物加密市场的研究做出了贡献,该市场的存在时间远远超过任何其他已知的暗网市场。
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引用次数: 0
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12654
Cynthia Lum, Christopher S. Koper, Jin R. Lee, Thomas J. Holt
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引用次数: 0
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Criminology & Public Policy
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