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Attempting to reduce traffic stop racial disparities: An experimental evaluation of an internal dashboard intervention 试图减少交通拦截中的种族差异:对内部仪表板干预措施的实验评估
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12664
Travis Carter, Scott Wolfe, Jed Knode, Grace Henry

Research Summary

We conducted a group randomized-controlled trial of an internal dashboard system deployed by the Michigan State Police to determine its effectiveness in reducing traffic stop racial disparities. Informed by a difference-in-differences design, analyses of traffic stop data from 2019–2022 indicated that the dashboard had no impact on traffic stop racial disparities. Additional analyses of traffic stops, crashes, and crime revealed that the dashboard had no “de-policing” effect on traffic patrols, nor were there any significant changes in traffic safety or crime in treatment patrol areas relative to control patrol areas. Qualitative analyses of interview data from more than 40 troopers in the agency revealed unique barriers to program implementation and opportunities for future improvement.

Policy Implications

In an era of policing where the capacity and demand for data-driven decision-making is on the rise, evidence-based policy and practice can provide police agencies with informed solutions for addressing traffic stop racial disparities. Yet, the increased demand for evidence-based reform is fueled by a relatively low supply of evidence-based research. This study adds to this evidence base by providing unique insights into the effectiveness of a program built specifically to reduce racial disparities in traffic stops, while also highlighting implementation challenges.

研究摘要我们对密歇根州警察局部署的内部仪表盘系统进行了一次小组随机对照试验,以确定其在减少交通拦截种族差异方面的有效性。在差异设计的指导下,对 2019-2022 年的交通拦截数据进行的分析表明,仪表盘对交通拦截的种族差异没有影响。对交通拦截、车祸和犯罪的其他分析表明,仪表板对交通巡逻没有 "去警务化 "的影响,相对于对照巡逻区,治疗巡逻区的交通安全或犯罪也没有显著变化。对该机构 40 多名警察的访谈数据进行的定性分析揭示了项目实施的独特障碍和未来改进的机会。政策启示在警务时代,数据驱动决策的能力和需求都在上升,以证据为基础的政策和实践可以为警察机构提供明智的解决方案,解决交通拦截中的种族差异问题。然而,对循证改革的需求不断增加,但对循证研究的需求却相对较少。本研究为这一循证基础添砖加瓦,对一项专为减少交通拦截中的种族差异而制定的计划的有效性提供了独特的见解,同时也强调了实施过程中的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Can increasing preventive patrol in large geographic areas reduce crime? A systematic review and meta-analysis 在大片地区增加预防性巡逻能否减少犯罪?系统回顾和荟萃分析
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12665
David Weisburd, Kevin Petersen, Cody W. Telep, Sydney A. Fay

Research summary

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis examining whether increasing preventive patrol in large areas reduces crime. Our review included experimental and quasi-experimental studies that focused on areas such as beats, precincts, or entire jurisdictions and that measured a crime outcome either through official data or surveys. We identified 17 studies to include in our review. We used two methods for assessing study impacts: an approach which identified a primary/general outcome measure and a second approach which used robust variance estimation (RVE) and included all effect sizes across each study. Both approaches showed small crime prevention benefits (RVE: 9% decline; primary/general: 6% decline), but only the RVE model was significant at conventional levels (p < 0.05). There was no significant evidence of displacement. Moderator analyses suggest that as dosage increases so do the crime prevention impacts. In RVE models, preventive patrol was associated with significant reductions in property and violent crime, but nonsignificant increases in drug and disorder offenses.

Policy implications

Increasing preventive patrol activities has the potential to reduce crime in large administrative areas. At the same time, existing studies offer little guidance as to how such preventive patrol should be carried out. Deterrence theory, as well as evidence from studies of hot spots policing, suggests that the greatest benefits will be gained from informing patrol efforts about where and when crime occurs. Although more research is needed regarding patrol allocations in large areas, present knowledge suggests that the more such patrols can be targeted at specific places at specific times, the greater will be the crime control benefits. In this context, we argue that police agencies may want to apply a hybrid approach to police patrol, which would include a combination of hot spots policing units and general patrol units informed by data on where crime is concentrated.

研究摘要我们进行了一项系统综述和荟萃分析,研究在大面积区域增加预防性巡逻是否会减少犯罪。我们的综述包括实验性和准实验性研究,这些研究关注的区域包括节拍、辖区或整个辖区,并通过官方数据或调查来衡量犯罪结果。我们确定了 17 项研究纳入审查范围。我们使用了两种方法来评估研究的影响:一种是确定主要/一般结果衡量标准的方法,另一种是使用稳健方差估计(RVE)并包含每项研究的所有效应大小的方法。两种方法都显示了较小的犯罪预防效益(RVE:下降 9%;主要/一般:下降 6%),但只有 RVE 模型在常规水平上具有显著性(p < 0.05)。没有明显的替代证据。调节分析表明,随着剂量的增加,预防犯罪的影响也在增加。在 RVE 模型中,预防性巡逻与财产犯罪和暴力犯罪的显著减少有关,但与毒品犯罪和扰乱治安犯罪的显著增加无关。与此同时,现有研究对如何开展这种预防性巡逻几乎没有提供指导。威慑理论以及热点地区警务研究的证据表明,将犯罪发生的时间和地点作为巡逻工作的依据将获得最大收益。虽然还需要对大面积区域的巡逻分配进行更多研究,但目前的知识表明,越是能够在特定时间针对特定地点进行巡逻,犯罪控制的效益就越大。在这种情况下,我们认为,警察机构可能希望采用一种混合的警察巡逻方法,其中包括结合热点地区的治安单位和一般巡逻单位,并根据犯罪集中地点的数据提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Scaling up effective juvenile delinquency programs by focusing on change levers: Evidence from a large meta-analysis 通过关注变革杠杆来推广有效的青少年犯罪计划:大型荟萃分析的证据
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12663
David B. Wilson, Mark W. Lipsey

Research summary

The primary outcome desired for juvenile delinquency programs is the cessation of delinquent and related problematic behaviors. However, this outcome is almost always pursued by attempting to change intermediate outcomes, such as family functioning, improved mental health, or peer relations. We can conceptualize intermediate outcomes that are related to reduced delinquency as change levers for effective intervention. A large meta-analysis identified several school-related change levers, including school engagement (i.e., improved attendance and reduced truancy), nondelinquent problem behaviors, and attitudes about school and teachers. In addition, family functioning and reducing substance use were also effective change levers. In contrast, effects on youth getting/keeping a job, peer relationships, and academic achievement were not associated with reduced delinquency.

Policy implications

Only a small percentage of rehabilitative programs provided to youth involved in the juvenile justice system have been established as evidence based. Moreover, there are constraints on what local policy makers and practitioners can do regarding the selection, adoption, and implementation of programs from the available lists of evidence-based programs. Adopting programs that focus on effective change levers and avoiding those that concentrate on ineffective ones has the potential to increase the likelihood that a local agency is engaged in effective programming. Based on our data, programs known to improve family functioning, attachment to and involvement in schooling, and reducing substance use are justified by the change lever evidence, even if these programs’ effectiveness in reducing delinquency has not been directly proven. In contrast, programs focusing on vocational skills, academic achievement, and peer relations are less likely to be beneficial. Furthermore, a change lever perspective can help frontline staff select appropriate programs for different juvenile offenders and focus their quality control efforts on those aspects of a program that are likely to be essential to maintaining effectiveness.

研究摘要 青少年犯罪计划所期望的主要结果是停止犯罪和相关的问题行为。然而,为了实现这一结果,几乎总是要试图改变中间结果,如家庭功能、改善心理健康或同伴关系。我们可以将与减少犯罪相关的中间结果概念化,作为有效干预的变革杠杆。一项大型荟萃分析确定了几种与学校相关的改变杠杆,包括学校参与(即提高出勤率和减少逃学)、非犯罪问题行为以及对学校和教师的态度。此外,家庭功能和减少药物使用也是有效的改变杠杆。与此相反,对青少年找到/保住工作、同伴关系和学业成绩的影响与犯罪率的降低无关。此外,地方决策者和从业人员在从现有的循证项目清单中选择、采纳和实施项目时,也会受到一些限制。采用那些注重有效变革杠杆的计划,避免那些注重无效变革杠杆的计划,有可能增加地方机构参与有效计划的可能性。根据我们的数据,众所周知的改善家庭功能、依恋和参与学校教育以及减少药物使用的计划,即使这些计划在减少青少年犯罪方面的有效性尚未得到直接证明,但从变革杠杆的证据来看,这些计划是合理的。相比之下,以职业技能、学业成绩和同伴关系为重点的计划不太可能带来益处。此外,改变杠杆的观点可以帮助一线工作人员为不同的青少年罪犯选择合适的计划,并将他们的质量控制工作集中在计划中可能对保持有效性至关重要的那些方面。
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引用次数: 0
Criminal background check laws and labor market inequality in the United States 犯罪背景调查法与美国劳动力市场的不平等
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12662
David McElhattan

Research summary

A growing literature documents the effect of criminal justice contact on inequalities in the labor market. While ample evidence indicates that a criminal record itself imposes considerable disadvantage, the formal legal mechanisms that may contribute to criminal record-based exclusion have received less empirical attention. The present study examines how one such mechanism—legal requirements for employers and license boards to perform criminal background checks—shapes labor market outcomes among formerly incarcerated people. The study draws from novel longitudinal data on the extensiveness of background check requirements at the state level, as well as individual-level data on incarceration, wages, and unemployment from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics. Results show that while the extensiveness of state-level background check requirements does not significantly affect the likelihood of unemployment, formerly incarcerated people residing in states where background check requirements are extensive are estimated to earn significantly lower wages than their counterparts in states with few screening mandates.

Policy implications

Criminal background check requirements stand as significant policy barriers that diminish the earning potential of formerly incarcerated people. Policy makers seeking to mitigate the collateral consequences of criminal convictions should narrow the scope of these laws to target specific, highly sensitive occupations, as opposed to broader workplace contexts. Reforms should also address persistent data quality issues in state criminal history record systems and shift the burdens imposed by incomplete or erroneous rap sheets. To minimize adverse self-selection, background check procedures should clarify for applicants the role that a criminal history record may play in clearance decisions. Finally, future research should assess the marginal benefit of criminal background checks compared with other methods of screening prospective hires and licensees.

研究摘要 越来越多的文献记录了刑事司法接触对劳动力市场不平等的影响。虽然有大量证据表明犯罪记录本身会造成相当大的不利影响,但可能会导致基于犯罪记录的排斥的正式法律机制却较少受到实证研究的关注。本研究探讨了这样一种机制--对雇主和执照委员会进行犯罪背景调查的法律要求--如何影响曾被监禁者的劳动力市场结果。本研究利用了州一级背景调查要求广泛性的新型纵向数据,以及《收入动态面板研究》(Panel Study of Income Dynamics)中关于监禁、工资和失业的个人层面数据。结果表明,虽然州一级背景调查要求的广泛性对失业的可能性没有显著影响,但据估算,居住在背景调查要求广泛的州的曾被监禁者的工资收入明显低于那些很少有筛查要求的州的同类人。政策含义犯罪背景调查要求是削弱曾被监禁者收入潜力的重要政策障碍。寻求减轻刑事定罪附带后果的政策制定者应缩小这些法律的适用范围,使其针对特定的、高度敏感的职业,而不是更广泛的工作场所。改革还应解决各州犯罪历史记录系统中长期存在的数据质量问题,并转移不完整或错误的犯罪记录所带来的负担。为尽量减少不利的自我选择,背景调查程序应向申请人说明犯罪历史记录在审批决定中可能发挥的作用。最后,未来的研究应评估犯罪背景调查与其他筛选潜在雇员和持证人的方法相比的边际效益。
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引用次数: 0
Right to counsel? A mixed-methods evaluation of the St. Louis County initial appearance program 获得律师帮助的权利?圣路易斯县初次出庭计划的混合方法评估
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-02-21 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12660
Lauren A. Morgan, Faraneh Shamserad, Beth M. Huebner

Research summary

Legal representation is a critical right in the criminal legal process, yet it is unclear when representation is guaranteed. Further, many individuals find obtaining legal representation difficult and expensive. The current study is an evaluation of an initial appearance program implemented in St. Louis County, Missouri. This mixed-methods study focuses on understanding if and how providing counsel at initial appearance affects the bond amount, release type, and length of pretrial detention. Data from official court records and interviews with project staff and stakeholders suggest that early, free representation at arraignment can facilitate release on recognizance and lowered bail amounts. Results from a series of interaction models suggest that this type of programming may be able to help reduce some racial disparities. Our thematic analysis indicates that courtroom stakeholders see value in the program for the defendants, the criminal process, and the courtroom workgroup dynamics during pretrial stages.

Policy implications

The results reflect the need for early representation in the legal process. Representation can potentially reduce some of the racial and ethnic disparities in case processing, which are relatively stark and can lead to downstream effects like a greater likelihood of recidivism and conviction. Currently, most funding for public defenders is inequitable to that of the prosecutor's office, and this work speaks to the necessity of providing representation that begins with the initial appearance and continues throughout the life of the case. This work also highlights how outside funding can be used to support more equitable and fair case processing in the criminal legal system.

研究摘要 法律代理是刑事法律程序中的一项重要权利,但何时保证法律代理却并不明确。此外,许多人认为获得法律代理既困难又昂贵。本研究是对密苏里州圣路易斯县实施的初次出庭计划的评估。这项混合方法研究的重点是了解在初次出庭时提供律师是否以及如何影响保释金数额、释放类型和审前拘留期限。来自官方法庭记录的数据以及对项目工作人员和利益相关者的访谈表明,提审时提前提供免费律师服务有助于担保释放和降低保释金金额。一系列互动模型的结果表明,这种类型的计划可能有助于减少一些种族差异。我们的专题分析表明,法庭利益相关者认为该计划对被告、刑事诉讼程序以及审前阶段的法庭工作组动态都有价值。代理服务有可能减少案件处理过程中的一些种族和民族差异,这些差异相对明显,并可能导致下游影响,如更有可能重犯和定罪。目前,对公设辩护律师的资助大多与检察官办公室的资助不平等,这项工作表明,有必要从初次出庭开始并在整个案件审理过程中提供代理服务。这项工作还强调了如何利用外部资金来支持刑事法律系统更公平、更公正地处理案件。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges in creating humane and equitable policing: A focus on the Global South 创建人道和公平的警务工作所面临的挑战:聚焦全球南部
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12661
Beatriz Magaloni
<div> <section> <h3> Research Summary</h3> <p>Police brutality is a widespread phenomenon around the world. Particularly gruesome human rights abuses in the course of policing take place in Latin America, the world's most violent region outside war zones. Democratic institutions such as competitive elections, checks and balances, and judicial independence are insufficient to prevent police from abusing their power. What factors explain that police engage in abusive behaviors, including illegal arrest, the fabrication of evidence, the use of torture to extract confessions, and the excessive use of force causing injury or death? How can societies restrain these abusive behaviors and subject police to the rule of law? Police behavior is shaped by a combination of institutional, societal, political, organizational, and individual factors. Inquisitorial criminal justice institutions, inherited from the colonial past, have persisted in Latin America until very recently. This meant that democracies in the region were born with weak due process protections that have enabled state authorities and police to abuse their coercive powers as they investigate and prosecute crimes. Police brutality is further the product of security policies. High crime rates and the presence of highly organized criminal groups have pushed many Latin American governments to adopt militarized security interventions -including deploying the armed forces to control crime and militarizing police forces. Populist demands for harsh policies, moreover, generate incentives for politicians to adopt security strategies that violate human rights and which, in the long run, increase violence in society. The most affected groups are the poor, people of color, and those living in impoverished minoritized communities.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Policy Implications</h3> <p>It is essential to strengthen due process protections and judicial oversight over police to reduce torture and other forms of police brutality. Police demilitarization and, under some conditions, community-oriented policing approaches can sharply reduce the use of excessive force causing injury or death. Body-worn cameras (BWC), moreover, can effectively be used to reduce police abusive behavior —and violence against police officers — even in high violence situations and where toxic police-community relations prevail. One limitation of this technology is that it gives too much leeway to frontline officers to turn their cameras on. Poor supervision can further undermine police compliance with camera protocols. These problems can be overcome by assigning cameras to supervisors and using more advanced technologies that allow turning cameras on from the main station. Monetary incentives that reward police officers “to kill less” is another effective policy intervention
警察施暴是全世界普遍存在的现象。拉丁美洲是世界上除战争地区外暴力最严重的地区,在警务过程中发生的践踏人权事件尤其令人发指。竞争性选举、制衡机制和司法独立等民主制度不足以防止警察滥用权力。是什么因素导致了警察的滥用权力行为,包括非法逮捕、伪造证据、刑讯逼供以及过度使用武力造成人员伤亡?社会如何才能约束这些滥用权力的行为,让警察服从法治?警察的行为是由制度、社会、政治、组织和个人因素共同决定的。从殖民时代继承下来的审问式刑事司法体制在拉丁美洲一直延续到最近。这意味着该地区的民主国家在诞生之初对正当程序的保护薄弱,使得国家当局和警察在调查和起诉犯罪时滥用强制权力。警察施暴也是安全政策的产物。高犯罪率和高度有组织犯罪团伙的存在促使许多拉美国家政府采取军事化的安全干预措施--包括部署武装部队来控制犯罪和将警察部队军事化。此外,民粹主义对严厉政策的要求也促使政治家采取侵犯人权的安全策略,从长远来看,这些策略会加剧社会暴力。受影响最大的群体是穷人、有色人种和生活在贫困的少数民族社区的人。
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引用次数: 0
Catch and release: Testing the effect of a citation release policy on crime in Washington, DC 抓了又放:检验华盛顿特区引诱释放政策对犯罪的影响
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12659
Jordan R. Riddell, Bruce A. Jacobs, Andrew T. Krajewski

Research summary

This study investigated the effect of an expanded police station citation release policy enacted in Washington, DC in March 2020 on eight types of crime: homicide, sex abuse, robbery, assault with a dangerous weapon, burglary, motor vehicle theft, theft from motor vehicles, and other theft. Monthly-level multivariate time series analyses employed data from 2013-2022 and accounted for the relationship between crime, arrests, and the jail population. The expanded policy was hypothesized to increase certain property crimes based on the new guidelines, but results indicated the policy modification was associated with changes in citywide crime counts for one type of crime: homicide.

Policy implications

Efforts around the United States to decarcerate the pre-trial jail population should examine potential unintended consequences for public safety. The current study failed to detect a statistically significant increase in seven of the eight types of crime during the expanded use of one jail decarceration approach, police station citation release. In the future, jurisdictions looking to reduce their jail population might consider citation release as a speedy and cost-effective alternative to release-on-recognizance, but they should take care to monitor individual defendants and evaluate their own program.

本研究调查了华盛顿特区于 2020 年 3 月颁布的扩大警察局传票释放政策对以下八类犯罪的影响:凶杀、性虐待、抢劫、使用危险武器袭击、入室盗窃、机动车盗窃、机动车盗窃和其他盗窃。月度多变量时间序列分析采用了 2013-2022 年的数据,并考虑了犯罪、逮捕和监狱人口之间的关系。根据新的指导方针,假设扩大后的政策会增加某些财产犯罪,但结果表明,政策修改与全市范围内一种犯罪类型的犯罪数量变化有关:凶杀。
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引用次数: 0
Neck-restraint bans, law enforcement officer unions, and police killings 束颈禁令、执法人员工会和杀警案
IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12658
Brenden Beck, Joseph Antonelli, Angela LaScala-Gruenewald

Research Summary

Following high-profile police killings, many U.S. cities banned officers from using chokeholds and other neck restraints. The evidence for such bans, however, is limited. To test whether use-of-force policies prohibiting neck restraints are related to fewer police killings, we use three modeling approaches to analyze 2183 U.S. cities between 2009 and 2021. Police killings were lower in places that adopted neck-restraint bans and the bans were associated with less crime and fewer assaults on officers, net of controls. Because officer labor unions can affect use-of-force policies and the frequency of police killings, we also analyzed them, finding unionization increased the likelihood a city had a neck-restraint ban and had a null or negative association with police killings.

Policy Implications

Adopting a neck-restraint ban is likely an effective way to reduce deaths due to police use of force with minimal collateral consequences. The bans operate through a diffuse discouragement of many types of lethal force or as a part of an array of use-of-force policies. Their direct relationship to asphyxiation deaths remains unclear. Officer unionization is unlikely to change the frequency of police killings, except through its association with stricter use-of-force policies.

在备受瞩目的警察杀人事件发生后,美国许多城市禁止警察使用扼颈和其他束缚颈部的手段。然而,这种禁令的证据有限。为了检验禁止束缚颈部的武力使用政策是否与减少杀警事件有关,我们使用三种建模方法对 2009 年至 2021 年期间的 2183 个美国城市进行了分析。在禁止使用颈部束缚物的地方,警察被杀人数较少,而且在扣除控制因素后,禁止使用颈部束缚物与犯罪率降低和袭警事件减少有关。由于警官工会可能会影响使用武力政策和杀警案的发生频率,因此我们也对其进行了分析,结果发现工会化会增加一个城市实施颈部束缚禁令的可能性,并且与杀警案之间存在无效或负相关关系。
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引用次数: 0
Building “A Beautiful Safe Place for Youth” through problem-oriented community organizing: A quasi-experimental evaluation 通过以问题为导向的社区组织建设 "美丽的青少年安全场所":准实验评估
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12657
Charlotte Gill, David Weisburd, Denise Nazaire, Heather Prince, Claudia Gross Shader

Research Summary

This paper describes Rainier Beach: A Beautiful Safe Place for Youth (ABSPY), a community-led, place-based, data-driven initiative to improve community safety and reduce crime involving young people at hot spots in Seattle, Washington. The ABSPY model puts crime prevention into the hands of the community, compared to traditional problem-solving approaches that may involve community stakeholders but are led by the police. We evaluated the initiative using a quasi-experimental research design comparing the five hot spots in the Rainier Beach neighborhood, where ABSPY was implemented, to five similarly situated hot spots elsewhere in the city. We used 9 years of police calls for service and offense reports, from 2011 to 2019, to assess ABSPY's effects on crime and a five-wave community survey conducted pre- and 4 years post-implementation to examine community perceptions. Although there were no significant effects on calls for service or crime, ABSPY significantly improved community members’ perceptions of serious crime and the police in the short and medium term.

Policy Implications

Our results show positive changes in community perceptions that offer a foundation for relationship and capacity building in problem-solving efforts. Although ABSPY is not associated with reductions in crime, our results suggest that even communities with entrenched crime problems can leverage this capacity to reduce crime in the longer term. Community coalitions also offer some benefits relative to police-led efforts, such as shared culture and values; stability; and consistency. However, community coalitions must build capacity for action as well as community engagement, and consider if and how the police should be involved, ensuring that the specific expertise of each coalition member is leveraged. Furthermore, our study highlights the importance of identifying measures of crime that are not affected by increased trust and collaboration between the police and the community.

本文介绍了雷尼尔海滩:A Beautiful Safe Place for Youth (ABSPY)是一项以社区为主导、以地方为基础、以数据为驱动的计划,旨在改善华盛顿州西雅图市热点地区的社区安全并减少涉及青少年的犯罪。与传统的问题解决方法相比,ABSPY 模式将犯罪预防工作交到了社区手中,传统的问题解决方法可能有社区利益相关者的参与,但由警方主导。我们采用准实验研究设计对该倡议进行了评估,将实施 ABSPY 的雷尼尔海滩社区的五个热点地区与该市其他地区的五个类似热点地区进行了比较。我们使用了从 2011 年到 2019 年 9 年的报警电话和犯罪报告来评估 ABSPY 对犯罪的影响,并使用了实施前和实施后 4 年的五波社区调查来考察社区的看法。虽然 ABSPY 对出警次数或犯罪率没有明显影响,但在短期和中期内大大改善了社区成员对严重犯罪和警察的看法。
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引用次数: 0
Working upstream: A statewide analysis of individual and contextual risk factors for future juvenile justice involvement among youth receiving prevention services 上游工作:在全州范围内分析接受预防服务的青少年未来卷入少年司法的个人和环境风险因素
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9133.12656
Keller G. Sheppard, Jorge L. Hernandez, Jovontae Butts, Orlando Mendonca, Julie C. Orange

Research Summary

Juvenile justice agencies are increasing their emphasis on early intervention and prevention services as a growing body of research evinces their effectiveness and cost efficiency. The present study analyzed the relationship between individual risk factors, contextual risk factors, and future juvenile justice involvement for 30,328 Florida youth residing in 3309 census tracts served by prevention programs. A series of two-level logistic regressions indicated that several distinct criminological domains (e.g., aggression, relationships, family, substance use, and attitudes/behaviors) predict future juvenile justice system involvement. However, education-related risk factors are among the most consequential for all youth, especially older youth. Concerning community context, neighborhood disadvantage directly affects system involvement, but only for youth under 12.

Policy Implications

These findings indicate the importance of addressing highly consequential risk factors—especially educational deficits—of youth in early intervention and prevention programs while also recognizing the impact of their social environments. Agencies attempting to work upstream with prevention services may benefit from prioritizing educational services and allocating resources to highly disadvantaged communities for early intervention programming.

青少年司法机构越来越重视早期干预和预防服务,因为越来越多的研究证明了这些服务的有效性和成本效益。本研究分析了居住在佛罗里达州3309个人口普查区的30328名青少年的个体风险因素、环境风险因素和未来少年司法参与之间的关系。一系列两级逻辑回归表明,几个不同的犯罪学领域(如攻击、人际关系、家庭、物质使用和态度/行为)预测了未来少年司法系统的参与。然而,与教育有关的风险因素对所有青年,特别是大龄青年影响最大。在社区背景下,邻里劣势直接影响系统参与,但仅限于12岁以下的青少年。
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Criminology & Public Policy
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