Resource and Energy Economics最新文献

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On the free allocation of emission rights under endogenous lobby formation 论内源性游说组织形成下排放权的自由配置

IF 3.1 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Resource and Energy Economics

Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2026.101555

Pauli Lappi

This paper analyses emissions trading (cap-and-trade) in a political economy model with endogenous lobby group formation. The lobby group targets the initial allocation of permits for its members and each firm makes a decision as to whether to take part in such a group. It is found that, without full participation, the initial allocation of permits is extreme in the sense that either the lobbying firms obtain their maximal business-as-usual emissions or the non-lobbying firms are given zero permits. With full participation, the initial allocation of permits induces the same emission allocation as emission limits and the greatest aggregate emissions among all the possible lobby groups. In addition, a simple condition is derived for the existence of a non-null lobby group. Furthermore, it is shown that a full lobby group is stable when lobby group participation costs are relatively small. The analysis is extended to other instruments including emission limits and an emission tax, and it is shown that with these instruments aggregate emissions are increasing in lobby group size in contrast to emissions trading, where they can be non-monotonic.

本文在一个具有内生性游说团体形成的政治经济模型下分析了碳排放交易。游说团体的目标是为其成员分配许可证的初始分配，每家公司决定是否参加这样一个团体。研究发现，在没有充分参与的情况下，许可证的初始分配是极端的，即要么游说公司获得其最大的照常营业排放量，要么非游说公司获得零许可证。在充分参与的情况下，在所有可能的游说团体中，许可证的初始分配会导致与排放限额相同的排放分配和最大的总排放量。此外，还推导了非空游说团体存在的一个简单条件。研究进一步表明，当游说团体参与成本较小时，一个充分的游说团体是稳定的。分析扩展到包括排放限制和排放税在内的其他工具，结果表明，与排放交易相比，这些工具的总排放量随着游说团体规模的增加而增加，而排放交易可能是非单调的。

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引用次数: 0

Exploring public opinions on mining governance and preferences for interventions to enhance battery mineral access 探索公众对矿业治理的意见和干预措施的偏好，以提高电池矿物的获取

IF 3.1 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Resource and Energy Economics

Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2026.101554

Mahelet G. Fikru , Sreeja Koppera , Nhien Nguyen

Based on an online survey of 1200 individuals, we examine support for new mining projects in the United States, opinions on mining governance, and preferences for various strategies to access battery minerals. We find support for domestic mining more so at the national (54 % support) than local level (32 % support), with a strong emphasis on environmental protection and multi-level governance. Respondents generally support government intervention to secure access to battery minerals, with over half agreeing with subsidizing electric vehicle (EV) producers and consumers to prioritize the use of domestic minerals in EV batteries. However, there is measurable opposition to mandates requiring prioritizing domestic minerals. Analysis based on regression models reveals that (1) respondents who support more new mining at the national or state levels are more likely to support them within a 25-mile radius of their home than the average respondent, reflecting consistency in support across levels, and (2) preferences for a variety of policy interventions to access battery minerals are shaped by support for new mining and mining governance opinions.

基于对1200人的在线调查，我们研究了对美国新采矿项目的支持，对采矿治理的意见，以及对获取电池矿物的各种策略的偏好。我们发现对国内采矿的支持在国家层面（54% %的支持）比在地方层面（32% %的支持）更大，并且非常强调环境保护和多层次治理。受访者普遍支持政府干预，以确保获得电池矿物，超过一半的受访者同意补贴电动汽车（EV）生产商和消费者，优先考虑在电动汽车电池中使用国内矿物。然而，对于要求优先考虑国内矿物的任务，有明显的反对意见。基于回归模型的分析显示：(1)在国家或州一级支持更多新采矿的受访者比普通受访者更有可能在其家的25英里半径范围内支持他们，反映了各级支持的一致性；(2)对各种政策干预的偏好是由对新采矿和采矿治理意见的支持所决定的。

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引用次数: 0

Will global warming reduce future energy consumption and CO2 emissions by U.S. households? 全球变暖会减少美国家庭未来的能源消耗和二氧化碳排放吗？

IF 3.1 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Resource and Energy Economics

Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2026.101553

Alexander Hill

Rising CO₂ emissions are projected to increase future temperatures, which reduces household heating energy demand and increases cooling demand. This leaves the overall effect, on both energy consumption and future CO₂ emissions, unknown. Using a household-level discrete choice estimation strategy, this paper finds the more extreme warming scenario reduces annual U.S. CO₂ emissions from residential space heating and cooling by 61 million tons annually by the 2070 s, compared to a scenario without rising temperatures. Rising emissions from space cooling are more than offset by the reduction in emissions from space heating, leading to $19.4 billion in annual reduced damages. JEL Q54 Q41 L90

预计二氧化碳排放量的增加将提高未来的温度，从而减少家庭取暖能源需求并增加制冷需求。这样一来，对能源消耗和未来二氧化碳排放的总体影响就不得而知了。使用家庭层面的离散选择估计策略，本文发现，与没有温度上升的情景相比，到2070年 年代，更极端的变暖情景每年使美国住宅空间供暖和制冷的二氧化碳排放量减少6100万吨。空间制冷排放的增加被空间供暖排放的减少所抵消，每年减少的损失达194亿美元。Jel q54 q41 90

引用次数: 0

To tax or to regulate? Cultural worldviews and the efficacy of policy trials 征税还是监管？文化世界观与政策试验的有效性

IF 3.1 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Resource and Energy Economics

Pub Date : 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2026.101552

Maria J. Montoya-Villalobos , Alexandre Cambo

This paper examines the acceptability of taxes and regulatory standards, presented as a full ban, aimed at correcting negative externalities. Using an unframed laboratory experiment, participants engage in a negative externalities game. We analyze the effects of policy trials on acceptability and compare support for bans versus taxes through the lens of cultural worldviews. The results reveal no significant difference in support between the two policies. We find that policy trials increase overall public policy acceptability, but hierarchical worldviews are associated with lower support for public policies, while individualistic orientations have no significant effect. Additionally, we explore how cultural worldviews influence policy preferences and the efficacy of policy trials. The findings suggest that policy preferences are not dependent on worldviews. However, policy trials fail to increase support among individuals with both individualistic and hierarchical orientations, highlighting the challenge of making public policies universally acceptable across different cultural worldviews.

本文考察了税收和监管标准的可接受性，提出了一个全面禁令，旨在纠正负面外部性。利用一个无框架的实验室实验，参与者参与了一个负外部性博弈。我们分析了政策试验对可接受性的影响，并通过文化世界观的视角比较了对禁令和税收的支持。结果显示，两种政策的支持度无显著差异。我们发现，政策试验提高了公共政策的总体可接受性，但等级世界观与公共政策的低支持率相关，而个人主义取向则没有显著影响。此外，我们还探讨了文化世界观如何影响政策偏好和政策试验的有效性。研究结果表明，政策偏好并不取决于世界观。然而，政策试验未能增加具有个人主义和等级取向的个人的支持，突出了使公共政策在不同文化世界观中被普遍接受的挑战。

引用次数: 0

Prominent numbers in DCE cost vectors: A review and an application to wind energy DCE成本向量中的突出数：综述及其在风能中的应用

IF 3.1 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Resource and Energy Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2025.101551

Pierre-Alexandre Mahieu , Klaus Glenk , Jürgen Meyerhoff

Nearly all discrete choice experiments in environmental valuation have a cost attribute to estimate willingness to pay for the goods and services in question. The composition of the cost vector, however, has received little attention in the literature so far. This paper focuses on whether or not the cost vector should include "prominent amounts" (e.g., €1, €2, €5, €10, €20, €50). On the one hand, these amounts are familiar to participants as they are used in everyday life (e.g., coins or banknotes). On the other hand, respondents may not consider the amounts to reflect the cost of environmental programs, affecting credibility. In a review of published discrete choice experiment articles on wind energy, we find little information on how the levels of the cost attribute vectors were chosen and why prominent amounts are (not) included, reflecting the lack of guidance in the literature. In a split-sample survey on renewable energy, we find that the composition of the cost vector does not affect choice frequencies or the perceived difficulty of the task. However, we observe that the cost vector impacts credibility, suggesting that it may impact the validity of the welfare estimates.

几乎所有环境评估中的离散选择实验都有一个成本属性，用来估计人们为所讨论的商品和服务支付的意愿。然而，到目前为止，成本向量的构成在文献中很少受到关注。本文的重点是成本向量是否应该包括“突出金额”（例如，1欧元，2欧元，5欧元，10欧元，20欧元，50欧元）。一方面，这些金额对参与者来说是熟悉的，因为它们在日常生活中使用（例如，硬币或纸币）。另一方面，受访者可能不会考虑反映环境项目成本的金额，从而影响可信度。在对已发表的关于风能的离散选择实验文章的回顾中，我们发现很少有关于如何选择成本属性向量的水平以及为什么包括（不包括）显著量的信息，这反映了文献中缺乏指导。在对可再生能源的分样本调查中，我们发现成本向量的组成并不影响选择频率或任务的感知难度。然而，我们观察到成本向量影响可信度，表明它可能影响福利估计的有效性。

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引用次数: 0

Jumping beans: Implications of fat tails in international soybean and biofuels markets 跳豆：肥尾对国际大豆和生物燃料市场的影响

IF 3.1 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Resource and Energy Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2025.101550

Charles F. Mason , Luca Taschini , Neil A. Wilmot

Several recent policies have been promulgated to reduce reliance on fossil fuels in the United States (US) transportation sector. To achieve these ambitious goals, it seems highly likely that refineries will have to accommodate significant inflows of soybeans imported from Brazil; important large-scale (irreversible) investments will also be required. These investments are subject to substantial uncertainty, underscoring the importance of characterizing the stochastic nature of soybean prices. In this paper we investigate the potential presence of jumps in four key prices: the spot price for soybeans and ethanol, in both Brazil the US. We find compelling empirical evidence for the importance of jumps in both markets. The presence of jumps in these markets has important implications for large scale infrastructure investments, as would be necessary to produce ethanol-based motor vehicle fuels, as well as ecological implications associated with deforestation that is likely to accompany any increases in Brazilian soybean production.

最近颁布了几项政策，以减少美国运输部门对化石燃料的依赖。为了实现这些雄心勃勃的目标，炼油厂似乎很有可能不得不适应从巴西进口的大量大豆；还需要重要的大规模（不可逆转的）投资。这些投资受到很大的不确定性的影响，强调了描述大豆价格随机特性的重要性。在本文中，我们调查了四个关键价格的潜在跳跃：巴西和美国的大豆和乙醇现货价格。我们找到了令人信服的经验证据，证明这两个市场的跳跃具有重要意义。这些市场的跳跃对大规模基础设施投资具有重要意义，因为这是生产以乙醇为基础的汽车燃料所必需的，以及与巴西大豆产量增加可能伴随的森林砍伐有关的生态影响。

引用次数: 0

Stochastic deforestation and ecosystem collapse 随机砍伐森林和生态系统崩溃

IF 3.1 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Resource and Energy Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2025.101549

Fayu Chong , Gregory S. Amacher , Kelly Cobourn

Deforestation of native forests is currently driving tropical forest systems across potentially irreversible tipping points, leading to a dramatic loss in globally important ecosystem services. This article explores these tipping points when decision makers cannot perfectly control nor predict deforestation due to uncertainty arising from socio-economic and biophysical factors. We present a model of deforestation defined by a stochastic process with drift and volatility that reflect long- and short-term shocks. In a numerical simulation representative of the Brazilian Amazon, we identify the most influential drivers of the timing and possibility of collapse, offering an estimated time window of tipping threats. Our results indicate that in the context of stochastic deforestation, targeting primary forest harvesting costs is a more efficient policy approach to forestall collapse than efforts to improve land-tenure rights or ecosystem service provision in secondary forests. This suggests that as shocks to native forest become more prevalent through climate change, investments in policies to discourage illegal harvest and technologies to accurately detect deforestation are paramount in avoiding ecosystem collapse.

原生森林的砍伐目前正在推动热带森林系统跨越潜在的不可逆转的临界点，导致全球重要生态系统服务的巨大损失。本文探讨了由于社会经济和生物物理因素带来的不确定性，决策者无法完全控制或预测森林砍伐的这些临界点。我们提出了一个由反映长期和短期冲击的具有漂移和波动的随机过程定义的森林砍伐模型。在一个代表巴西亚马逊的数值模拟中，我们确定了最具影响力的驱动因素和崩溃的可能性，提供了一个估计的倾覆威胁的时间窗口。我们的研究结果表明，在随机森林砍伐的背景下，瞄准原生林采伐成本是一种更有效的预防崩溃的政策方法，而不是努力改善次生林的土地权利人权利或生态系统服务提供。这表明，随着气候变化对原生森林的冲击变得更加普遍，投资于阻止非法采伐的政策和准确检测森林砍伐的技术，对于避免生态系统崩溃至关重要。

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引用次数: 0

The effects of spatial framing and attribute range on the measurement of nonuse values of biodiversity improvements 空间分框和属性范围对生物多样性改善非利用价值测度的影响

IF 3.1 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Resource and Energy Economics

Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2025.101539

Kennet Christian Uggeldahl , Thomas Lundhede , Jette Bredahl Jacobsen , Søren Bøye Olsen

Assessing the value of changes in environmental conditions using stated preference valuation studies requires accurate quantification and communication of outcomes that affect human welfare. Using a stated choice experiment to estimate primarily nonuse value of changes in biodiversity per se, i.e., as an inherent characteristic of an ecosystem, we employ a composite metric known as the Biodiversity Intactness Index to capture and communicate the multifaceted nature of biodiversity. However, using complex ecological indices to value abstract concepts might make respondents more susceptible to effects related to the framing of the choice context, thereby raising concerns about validity. Employing a split sample design, we find that value estimates depend on the spatial context in which biodiversity improvements are presented: the larger the spatial scale, the smaller the value. Varying the range of the biodiversity improvement attribute in additional split samples, we find that in two out of the three tested spatial framings, the results are insensitive to the presented attribute range. Respondents thus appear to react to the absolute, rather than the relative, size of the improvements presented. The results from these two spatial framings also exhibit sensitivity to scope, supported by both internal and external scope tests. These findings might alleviate some of the validity concerns associated with employing abstract ecological indices in stated preference valuation studies.

使用既定偏好评估研究来评估环境条件变化的价值，需要对影响人类福利的结果进行准确的量化和交流。通过陈述选择实验来估计生物多样性本身变化的主要非利用价值，即作为生态系统的固有特征，我们采用了一种称为生物多样性完整性指数的复合度量来捕捉和传达生物多样性的多面性。然而，使用复杂的生态指数来评价抽象概念可能会使受访者更容易受到与选择背景框架相关的影响，从而引起对有效性的担忧。采用分裂样本设计，我们发现价值估计依赖于生物多样性改善的空间背景：空间尺度越大，价值越小。在额外的分割样本中改变生物多样性改善属性的范围，我们发现在三个测试的空间框架中，有两个空间框架的结果对所呈现的属性范围不敏感。因此，受访者似乎是对所提出的改善的绝对规模作出反应，而不是相对规模。这两个空间框架的结果也表现出对范围的敏感性，得到了内部和外部范围测试的支持。这些发现可能会减轻在陈述偏好评估研究中使用抽象生态指数相关的一些有效性问题。

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引用次数: 0

Sticks vs carrots: Climate policy under government turnover 大棒vs胡萝卜：政府更替下的气候政策

IF 3.1 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Resource and Energy Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2025.101538

Scott Behmer

There is an active debate among economists on the value of using clean energy subsidies to address climate change. However, the models used to inform this debate typically make a common simplifying assumption: the preferences of the government are kept constant over time. In reality, control of the government often rotates between parties with very different policy preferences. This paper finds that adding turnover in party control of the government can have significant implications. Specifically, when the two parties are sufficiently polarized, the party more concerned about the environment (“the green party”) finds it optimal to subsidize irreversible investments in clean energy, even when carbon taxes are available and can be placed at any level. We then provide quantitative evidence on the green party’s optimal subsidy using two approaches: sufficient statistic estimation and a calibration exercise. The results suggest that the optimal subsidy is quantitatively significant, between 5% and 17% of the cost of investment. Furthermore, if the green party naively uses just a carbon tax, clean investment is 34% lower than when they use their optimal subsidy.

经济学家就利用清洁能源补贴来应对气候变化的价值展开了激烈的辩论。然而，用来为这场辩论提供信息的模型通常做出了一个共同的简化假设：政府的偏好随着时间的推移保持不变。在现实中，政府的控制权经常在政策偏好截然不同的政党之间轮换。本文发现，增加党对政府的控制权变动具有重要意义。具体来说，当两党足够两极化时，更关心环境的一方（“绿党”）会发现，补贴不可逆转的清洁能源投资是最理想的选择，即使碳税可以征收，而且可以设定在任何水平。然后，我们使用两种方法提供了关于绿党最优补贴的定量证据：充分的统计估计和校准练习。结果表明，最优补贴在数量上是显著的，在投资成本的5%到17%之间。此外，如果绿党天真地只征收碳税，清洁能源投资将比他们使用最优补贴时减少34%。

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引用次数: 0

Climate events and adaptation: Effects on environmental policy and abatement 气候事件与适应：对环境政策和减排的影响

IF 3.1 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Resource and Energy Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2025.101537

Ana Espinola-Arredondo , Felix Munoz-Garcia , Françeska Tomori

We examine how an extreme climate event affects the incentives of regulators to invest in adaptation measures that reduce the impact on firms’ production costs, and how this investment affects environmental policy and firms’ incentives to invest in abatement. Different government agencies implement these policies (adaptation and emission fees) and can exhibit asymmetric preferences for pollution. We find that investment in adaptation and abatement are complements, and more likely climate events decrease firms’ investment in abatement. We also find that severe climate events can induce less investment in adaptation, as they can be used as a tool to reduce expected output and pollution. In addition, we show that symmetric agencies induce a lower investment in adaptation. Finally, we separately identify the welfare gains from adaptation and environmental policy.

我们研究了极端气候事件如何影响监管机构投资于适应措施以减少对企业生产成本的影响的激励，以及这种投资如何影响环境政策和企业投资于减排的激励。不同的政府机构执行这些政策（适应和排放费），并可能表现出对污染的不对称偏好。我们发现，适应和减排投资是互补的，更有可能的是，气候事件减少了企业在减排方面的投资。我们还发现，严重的气候事件可以减少对适应的投资，因为它们可以被用作减少预期产出和污染的工具。此外，我们还证明了对称代理诱导较低的适应投资。最后，我们分别确定了适应政策和环境政策带来的福利收益。

引用次数: 0

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