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Market competition and strategic choices of electric power sources under fluctuating demand 需求波动下的市场竞争与电力资源战略选择
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2021.101280
Hiroaki Ino , Norimichi Matsueda , Toshihiro Matsumura

This study investigates the effects of the introduction of a competitor on the behavior of an incumbent electricity producer who used to be a local monopolist. We especially focus on its implications for the incumbent's decision of capacity choice between two different electric power sources: one with a relatively high production cost (peak-load technology), which is represented by gas-fired power generation, and the other with a relatively high capacity-building cost (base-load technology), which is represented by nuclear power generation. We assume that the entrant does not have access to the latter technology, and also that demand fluctuates over time, as is typically the case with any electricity market. We show that the introduction of a competitor increases the capacity of nuclear power generation if and only if the nuclear power capacity is sufficiently costly to establish, in comparison with the marginal production cost of a gas-fired plant. This result also implies that the competition tends to decrease the nuclear capacity when the level of carbon tax, which raises the relative production cost of gas-fired power generation, is sufficiently high.

本研究探讨了竞争对手的引入对曾经是地方垄断者的在位电力生产商行为的影响。我们特别关注它对在位者在两种不同电力来源之间的容量选择决策的影响:一种是生产成本相对较高的(峰值负荷技术),以燃气发电为代表,另一种是能力建设成本相对较高的(基本负荷技术),以核能发电为代表。我们假设进入者无法获得后一种技术,而且需求随时间波动,就像任何电力市场的典型情况一样。我们表明,当且仅当与燃气电厂的边际生产成本相比,建立核电能力的成本足够高时,引入竞争对手会增加核能发电能力。这一结果还表明,当碳税水平足够高时,竞争倾向于降低核电容量,碳税提高了燃气发电的相对生产成本。
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引用次数: 1
Raising climate ambition in emissions trading systems: The case of the EU ETS and the 2021 review 在排放交易体系中提高气候目标:欧盟排放交易体系和2021年审查的案例
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101300
Simon Quemin

We provide a quantitative assessment of policy options to inform the 2021 review of the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) and raise climate ambition. We use a permit trading model in which firms utilize rolling finite planning horizons, which replicates historical price and banking developments well compared to an infinite horizon. When firms have bounded foresight, indirectly raising ambition through the Market Stability Reserve (MSR) is not equivalent to directly raising ambition through the emissions cap trajectory. Leveraging the MSR turns out to be efficiency improving as it compensates for firms’ bounded foresight by frontloading abatement efforts. We analyze the MSR interaction with the cap trajectory to exploit synergies and minimize the cost of raising ambition. We also provide a comparative assessment of a complete suite of changes in the MSR parameters. Whatever its parameters, MSR-induced resilience to demand shocks remains limited by design: the MSR acts more as an unconditional price support provider than as a responsive price stabilizer.

我们提供了政策选择的定量评估,为2021年欧盟排放交易体系(ETS)的审查提供信息,并提高气候目标。我们使用许可交易模型,其中公司利用滚动有限规划范围,与无限范围相比,它可以很好地复制历史价格和银行发展。当企业具有有限的远见时,通过市场稳定储备(MSR)间接提高雄心并不等同于通过排放限额轨迹直接提高雄心。利用MSR被证明是提高效率,因为它补偿了企业的有限远见,通过预先加载减排努力。我们分析了MSR与上限轨迹的相互作用,以利用协同效应并最小化提高雄心的成本。我们还提供了一套完整的MSR参数变化的比较评估。无论其参数如何,MSR诱导的对需求冲击的弹性仍然受到设计的限制:MSR更多地充当无条件的价格支撑提供者,而不是响应性的价格稳定器。
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引用次数: 30
Structural behavioral models for rights-based fisheries 基于权利的渔业的结构行为模型
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101294
Matthew N. Reimer , Joshua K. Abbott , Alan C. Haynie

Rights-based management is prevalent in many fisheries, yet conventional spatiotemporal models of fishing behavior do not reflect such institutional settings. We adapt random utility maximization (RUM) models of spatiotemporal fishing behavior to capture the general equilibrium dynamics of catch-share fisheries by incorporating endogenously determined equilibrium quota prices. We demonstrate how a structural estimation strategy is capable of recovering policy-invariant behavioral parameters and predicting out-of-sample counterfactual policies. We illustrate the utility of our structural modeling approach by evaluating the efficacy of “ecosystem-based” policies, such as spatial closures, in a catch-share-managed fishery. Simulation results reveal that such policies have the potential to distort price signals in the quota market and prevent quota prices from coordinating fishing behavior in an efficient manner. Ecosystem-based policies may thus fall short of their intended objectives when introduced into rights-based managed fisheries. Importantly, we demonstrate that such conclusions cannot easily be drawn from behavioral models that omit or approximate the general equilibrium dynamics of rights-based fisheries.

基于权利的管理在许多渔业中普遍存在,但传统的捕鱼行为时空模型并不能反映这种制度环境。我们采用时空捕鱼行为的随机效用最大化(RUM)模型,通过结合内生确定的均衡配额价格,捕捉捕获份额渔业的一般均衡动态。我们展示了结构估计策略如何能够恢复策略不变的行为参数并预测样本外的反事实策略。我们通过评估“基于生态系统”的政策(如空间封闭)在渔获量份额管理渔业中的功效,说明了我们的结构建模方法的效用。模拟结果表明,这种政策有可能扭曲配额市场中的价格信号,并阻止配额价格以有效的方式协调捕鱼行为。因此,将基于生态系统的政策引入基于权利的管理渔业时,可能达不到预期目标。重要的是,我们证明,从省略或近似基于权利的渔业的一般均衡动态的行为模型中很难得出这样的结论。
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引用次数: 0
Moving down the energy ladder: In-utero temperature and fuel choice in adulthood 能量阶梯向下移动:子宫内温度和成年后的燃料选择
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101297
Manuel Barron

A growing literature shows that weather conditions during gestation can have persistent impacts on education and income, especially among females. However, the consequences of these impacts on behavior and choices during adulthood are still under-explored. To shed light on this issue, I use survey data for over 200,000 households in Peru and find that average temperature during gestation affects fuel choice during adulthood among women, with extensive margin increases in the use of dirty cooking fuels, but no changes in the likelihood of fuel stacking. Analysis of the mechanisms suggests that female head’s income may be a more important driver than education. Supporting this argument, I show that the effects of in-utero temperature disappear among female beneficiaries of a conditional cash transfer program.

越来越多的文献表明,怀孕期间的天气状况会对教育和收入产生持续影响,尤其是对女性而言。然而,这些影响对成年期行为和选择的后果仍未得到充分探讨。为了阐明这一问题,我使用了秘鲁20多万户家庭的调查数据,发现怀孕期间的平均温度影响了妇女成年后的燃料选择,使用肮脏的烹饪燃料的幅度大幅增加,但燃料堆积的可能性没有变化。对机制的分析表明,女性家长的收入可能是比教育更重要的驱动因素。为了支持这一论点,我表明子宫内温度的影响在有条件现金转移计划的女性受益者中消失了。
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引用次数: 0
Using consumer’s surplus to bound willingness to pay for non-market goods 用消费者剩余来约束非市场商品的支付意愿
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2021.101276
Jon R. Neill

Measuring willingness to pay for non-market goods continues to be problematic for the benefit-cost analyst. This note presents a new procedure for placing a lower bound on that value. The measure identified herein offers the advantage of not requiring any assumptions that are not empirically verifiable, and can be taken using the market demand schedule for any good that has the quantity of the non-market good consumed as an argument.

衡量购买非市场商品的意愿对收益成本分析师来说仍然是个问题。本文介绍了一个为该值设置下界的新过程。本文确定的测量方法的优点是不需要任何未经经验验证的假设,并且可以使用任何商品的市场需求表,以非市场商品的消费量作为参数。
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引用次数: 1
Integrated assessment of nitrogen runoff to the Gulf of Mexico 流入墨西哥湾的氮径流的综合评估
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2021.101279
Yuelu Xu , Levan Elbakidze , Haw Yen , Jeffrey G. Arnold , Philip W. Gassman , Jason Hubbart , Michael P. Strager

An integrated hydro-economic agricultural land use model was developed with endogenous and spatially explicit crop planting, nitrogen (N) fertilizer use and irrigation in the Mississippi River Basin (MRB). We used the model to quantify the effects of energy and N fertilizer prices on N runoff to the Gulf of Mexico. Results show a modest effect of energy costs and a more substantive impact of N fertilizer costs on N delivered to the Gulf of Mexico. A 30 % reduction (increase) in N fertilizer price leads to a 3.5 % and 1.5 % increase (2.9 % and 1.5 % decrease) in N use and runoff, respectively. The model was also used to estimate the opportunity cost of N runoff abatement. The opportunity cost of reducing N runoff from crop production to the Gulf by 45 % is estimated to be $6 billion annually, which corresponds to an average cost of $29.3 per kg of N runoff reduction. The results show heterogeneities in the optimal N runoff reduction efforts across counties within the MRB, demonstrating the significance of a targeted abatement strategy.

以密西西比河流域(MRB)为研究对象,建立了内源和空间显性的作物种植、氮肥使用和灌溉一体化水文经济农业土地利用模型。我们使用该模型量化了能源和氮肥价格对流入墨西哥湾的氮的影响。结果表明,能源成本的影响不大,而氮肥成本对输送到墨西哥湾的氮有更实质性的影响。氮肥价格降低(增加)30%会导致氮肥使用量和径流量分别增加3.5%和1.5%(减少2.9%和1.5%)。该模型还用于估算氮素径流消减的机会成本。据估计,每年将作物生产中流入墨西哥湾的氮径流减少45%的机会成本为60亿美元,相当于每公斤氮径流减少29.3美元的平均成本。研究结果表明,流域内各县域间氮素径流量减少的效果存在异质性,表明有针对性的减排策略具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 8
Revisiting the location bias and additionality of REDD+ projects: the role of project proponents status and certification 重新审视REDD+项目的位置偏差和附加性:项目支持者的地位和认证的作用
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2021.101277
Philippe Delacote , Gwenolé Le Velly , Gabriela Simonet

Since the establishment of REDD+, hundreds of projects have emerged around the globe. Much attention has been given to REDD+ projects in the literature, but the conditions under which they are likely to be effective are still not well known. In particular, the location bias concept states that projects are more likely to be implemented in remote areas, where development pressure is low, hence questioning the additionality of these projects. In this article, we examine this concept, assessing how the status of REDD+ project proponents and the project certification influence the choice of location and the project's additionality. Using a sample of six REDD+ projects in Brazil, we show that these two dimensions can impact location choice toward areas with higher or lower opportunity costs and that this choice can impact additionality. We also show that the selection of an area with low opportunity costs, which is frequently presented as a location bias, does not necessarily preclude additionality.

自REDD+成立以来,全球涌现了数百个项目。文献中对REDD+项目给予了很多关注,但是它们可能有效的条件仍然不为人所知。特别是,区位偏见的概念指出,项目更有可能在偏远地区实施,那里的发展压力较小,因此质疑这些项目的附加性。在本文中,我们将研究这一概念,评估REDD+项目支持者的地位和项目认证如何影响地点的选择和项目的附加性。我们以巴西的六个REDD+项目为样本,表明这两个维度可以影响机会成本较高或较低地区的区位选择,并且这种选择可以影响附加性。我们还表明,选择机会成本低的地区(通常表现为区位偏差)并不一定会排除额外性。
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引用次数: 7
Sell green and buy green: A signaling theory of green products 绿色买卖:绿色产品的信号理论
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2021.101266
Hyoshin Ki, Jeong-Yoo Kim

In this paper, we reconsider the information problem of consumers who are concerned about the environment that was first identified by Mahenc, 2007, Mahenc, 2008. We obtain the result that Intuitive Criterion selects the unique equilibrium in which a seller producing eco-friendly products separates itself from the seller producing eco-unfriendly products by distorting its price from its first-best price upwards to the least costly degree. That is, a high price signals environmental friendliness. This is contrasted with the result of Mahenc (2007) who obtains the pooling equilibrium as the unique outcome (if the product is very likely to be eco-friendly) by using the concept of the undefeated equilibrium. We also examine the effect of the subsidy policy to promote consumptions of environmentally-friendly products by using Intuitive Criterion. Interestingly, a selective subsidy scheme can separate the high type from the low type but cannot provide the seller a strong enough incentive to invest in the environmental-friendly technology. We also show that if the motive of the monopolist, whether it is solely profit-maximizing or involves concerns for the environment, is its private information, a high price can signal the monopolist's environmental concerns and its voluntary choice of the eco-friendly technology.

在本文中,我们重新考虑消费者谁是关心环境的信息问题,这是由Mahenc, 2007年,Mahenc, 2008年首次确定。我们得到的结果是,直觉准则选择了唯一的均衡,在这种均衡中,生产生态友好产品的卖方通过将其价格从第一优价格向上扭曲到成本最低的程度,将自己与生产生态不友好产品的卖方分开。也就是说,价格高意味着环境友好。这与Mahenc(2007)的结果形成对比,他通过使用不败均衡的概念,将池化均衡作为唯一的结果(如果产品很可能是生态友好的)。本文还运用直觉准则检验了补贴政策对促进环保产品消费的效果。有趣的是,选择性补贴计划可以将高类型和低类型区分开来,但不能为卖方提供足够强的激励来投资环保技术。我们还表明,如果垄断者的动机,无论是单纯的利润最大化还是对环境的关注,都是其私人信息,高价可以表明垄断者对环境的关注和对环保技术的自愿选择。
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引用次数: 6
Environmental disparities in urban Mexico: Evidence from toxic water pollution 墨西哥城市环境差异:来自有毒水污染的证据
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2021.101281
Lopamudra Chakraborti , Jay P. Shimshack

All else equal, disparities in environmental exposure are associated with disparities in health and economic well-being. Here, we combine 9 years of data on toxic water pollution discharges from more than 1600 industrial facilities across urban Mexico with geographic, economic, and sociodemographic data from ≈ 50,000 Mexican urban block groups. We first show that industrial facilities pollute more in marginalized neighborhoods and in neighborhoods that are becoming more marginalized over time. In contrast, we find no evidence for relationships between toxic water pollution and indigenous race. We then explore channels driving observed exposure disparities. We find evidence that environmental disparities in urban Mexico are associated with collective action, community pressure, and Coasian bargaining. We do not find evidence consistent with political economic or amenity-based sorting mechanisms.

在其他条件相同的情况下,环境暴露的差异与健康和经济福利的差异有关。在这里,我们将墨西哥城市1600多个工业设施9年来的有毒水污染排放数据与约50,000个墨西哥城市街区组的地理、经济和社会人口数据结合起来。我们首先表明,工业设施在被边缘化的社区污染更严重,而且随着时间的推移,这些社区越来越被边缘化。相比之下,我们没有发现有毒水污染与土著种族之间关系的证据。然后,我们探索驱动观察到的暴露差异的渠道。我们发现证据表明,墨西哥城市的环境差异与集体行动、社区压力和科斯讨价还价有关。我们没有发现与政治、经济或以便利为基础的分类机制相一致的证据。
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引用次数: 7
Environmental policy helping antitrust decisions: Socially excessive and insufficient merger approvals 环境政策有助于反垄断决策:社会过度和不充分的并购批准
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2021.101267
Pak-Sing Choi , Ana Espínola-Arredondo , Félix Muñoz-García

This paper considers firms’ incentives to merge under imperfect competition, where we allow for product differentiation, cost asymmetries, and pollution intensities (green and brown goods). We first analyze mergers in the absence of environmental regulation, showing that mergers induce an output shift towards the lowest cost firm. When emission fees are introduced, however, firms also consider their relative pollution intensities, potentially reverting the above output shift. We show that socially excessive mergers can arise when firms shift output to the more cost-efficient firm which may cause more pollution. In contrast, socially insufficient mergers can arise if output shifts reduce pollution.

本文考虑了企业在不完全竞争条件下的合并动机,在不完全竞争条件下,我们考虑了产品差异化、成本不对称和污染强度(绿色和棕色产品)。我们首先分析了在没有环境监管的情况下的并购,结果表明并购会导致产出向成本最低的企业转移。然而,当引入排放费时,企业也会考虑它们的相对污染强度,这可能会逆转上述产出转移。我们表明,当企业将产出转移到成本效率更高的企业时,可能会出现社会过度合并,这可能会造成更多的污染。相反,如果产出转移减少了污染,就会出现对社会不利的合并。
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引用次数: 3
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Resource and Energy Economics
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